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Scatec ASA — Investor Presentation 2017
May 5, 2017
3737_rns_2017-05-05_1205c3ba-93a2-4c0e-8797-221d394f91aa.pdf
Investor Presentation
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First quarter 2017
Raymond Carlsen, CEO Mikkel Tørud, CFO Oslo, May 5, 2017
Our values
Predictable Driving results Changemakers Working together
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
On track to reach 2018 growth target
- Power production reached 156 GWh, up 12% from Q1'16*
- SSO cash flow to equity from Power Production and Operation & Maintenance of NOK 33 million
- NOK 380 million equity raised free cash of NOK 665 million – fully funded for equity investments in project backlog
- Added 400 MW to project backlog with signing of 25-year PPAs in Egypt – backlog now totaling 1,131 MW
-
On track to reach target of 1,300 1,500 MW in operation or under construction by year end 2018
-
Financial results presented based on proportionate method without eliminations
- In line with segment reporting while adjusting for Scatec Solar's ownership in Power Production
| First quarter 2017 (NOK million) |
Power Production 100% basis |
Power Production SSO share* |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues and other income | 276.5 | 125.3 | 14.6 | -0.2 | 3.0 | 142.7 |
| EBITDA | 243.3 | 107.8 | 4.9 | -15.4 | -10.5 | 86.8 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 165.8 | 69.3 | 4.6 | -15.9 | -10.8 | 47.2 |
| First quarter 2016 (NOK million) |
Power Production 100% basis |
Power Production SSO share* |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate * |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues and other income | 227.3 | 102.5 | 13.1 | 257.4 | 2.4 | 375.3 |
| EBITDA | 193.7 | 81.5 | 5.7 | 7.5 | -11.6 | 83.1 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 122.6 | 41.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | -11.8 | 39.5 |
SSO's share of cash flow to equity
Interest paid on corporate bond
www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 5 (*) Cash flow to equity is defined as EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over each calendar year) loan and net interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments. The definition implies changes in net working capital and investing activities are excluded from the figure.
Signed 25 year PPAs for 400 MW in Egypt Project backlog
Background and status
- Feed-in-Tariff programme for 2 GW of PV established in 2015
- 25 year PPA signed with EETC in April 2017
- Six projects co-located in Aswan area, Upper Egypt
- Economic reforms basis for further growth in Egypt – a solar market with a solid long term potential
Partners
- Scatec Solar ASA*
- KLP Norfund and local partners
- Project finance to be provided by EBRD, Green Climate Fund and Islamic Development Bank
Key facts
- Capacity: 400 MW
- Capex: USD 450 million
- Production: 870 GWh/year
Good progress on projects across backlog Project backlog
UPINGTON, 258 MW
- 20 year PPA with Eskom
- Capex: ZAR 4,600 million
- Production: 645 GWh/year
MALAYSIA, 197 MW
- 21 year PPA with Tenaga Nasional Berhad
- Capex: MYR 1,240 million
- Production: 285 GWh/year
BRAZIL, 150 MW
- 20 year PPA with ANEEL
- Capex: BRL 720 million
- Production: 305 GWh/year
HONDURAS, 53 MW
- 20 year PPA with ENEE
- Capex: USD 100 million
- Production: 110 GWh/year
MOZAMBIQUE, 40 MW
- 25 year PPA with EDM
- Capex: USD 80 million
- Production: 77 GWh/year
MALI, 33 MW
- 25 year PPA with Energie du Mali
- Capex: EUR 52 million
- Production: 60 GWh/year
Financial review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Consolidated & proportionate financials
Seasonally lower production in South Africa
• Quarter on quarter revenues decrease reflect sale of the Utah Red Hills plant and a seasonally lower production in South Africa
Operation & Maintenance
Stable revenues and EBITDA
• Additional O&M revenues to be recognised when new power plants are grid connected
Preparing for construction start
- Continued high activity in Development & Construction organisation
- Project backlog's D&C contract value represents NOK ~11,000 million
Solid financial position – NOK 665 million free cash
Financial position
- Total assets of NOK 7.5 billion
- New equity NOK 380 million raised in March 2017
| NOKm | Consolidated | SSO prop. share* |
Group level** |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1,562 | 1,137 | 665 |
| Interest bearing liabilities* |
-5,195 | -2,752 | -496 |
| Net debt/cash | -3,633 | -1,615 | 169 |
Financial position (NOKm)
www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 13 *) Total interest bearing liabilities does not include shareholder loans to project companies (**) As per definitions of "Recourse Group" in senior unsecured bond agreement
Movement of free cash at group level
NOK million
Outlook
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Fully funded for investments in project backlog
| In operation | Backlog | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capacity | MW | 322 | 1,131 | 1,453 |
| Annual Production | GWh | ~640 | ~2,352 | ~2,992 |
| Annual Revenues | MNOK | ~1,100 | ~1,750 | ~2,850 |
| Total Capex | MNOK | 5,639* | ~13,000 | ~18,639 |
| Total Equity |
MNOK | 1,382* | ~2,800 | ~4,182 |
- Scatec Solar's share of equity investments NOK 1,700 2,000 million in project backlog
- SSO targets average equity IRR of 15% nominal after tax on these investments
- Free cash position of NOK 665 million
- Project backlog's D&C contract value representing NOK ~11,000 million
- Scatec Solar targets 15% gross margin from Development & Construction
Outlook
- Growth target by year end 2018:
- 1,300-1,500 MW in operation & under construction
- 2017 SSO cash flow to equity from PP and O&M:
- NOK 170 190 million
- Power production:
- 2017: ~ 640 GWh
- Q2'17: ~145 GWh
Thank you
Our values Predictable Driving results Changemakers Working together
Consolidated profit & loss
| (NOK million) | Q1 17 | Q4 16 | Q1 16 |
FY 16 | FY 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 276.3 | 363.1 | 227.9 | 1,084.9 | 881.0 |
| OPEX | -54.0 | -69.5 | -62.7 | -251.9 | -182.6 |
| EBITDA | 222.3 | 293.6 | 165.2 | 833.0 | 698.3 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | -62.0 | -83.7 | -58.6 | -270.1 | -175.6 |
| Operating profit | 160.3 | 209.9 | 106.6 | 563.0 | 522.8 |
| Interest, other financial income | 13.2 | 14.1 | 12.1 | 50.8 | 64.4 |
| Interest, other financial expenses | -127.4 | -135.7 | -118.7 | -504.8 | -408.1 |
| Foreign exchange gain/(loss) | -8.3 | 27.2 | -34.5 | -10.1 | 40.5 |
| Net financial expenses | -122.5 | -94.4 | -141.1 | -464.1 | -303.1 |
| Profit before income tax | 37.8 | 115.5 | -34.6 | 98.9 | 219.6 |
| Income tax (expense)/benefit | -6.7 | -38.7 | 11.6 | -28.4 | -84.0 |
| Profit/(loss) for the period | 31.0 | 76.8 | -22.9 | 70.5 | 135.7 |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to: | |||||
| Equity holders of the parent | 3.6 | 46.2 | -46.2 | 3.5 | 67.7 |
| Non-controlling interests | 27.4 | 30.5 | 23.2 | 67.0 | 68.0 |
| Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) | 0.04 | 0.49 | -0.49 | 0.04 | 0.72 |
Consolidated cash flow statement
| (NOK million) | Q1 17 | Q4 16 | Q1 16 | FY 2016 | FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operations | 262.0 | 214.8 | 9.4 | 732.0 | 504.8 |
| Net cash flow from investments | -44.0 | 211.8 | -409.5 | -582.0 | -2,408.8 |
| Net cash flow from financing | 197.9 | -199.8 | 27.1 | -660.0 | -2,534.7 |
| Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | 415.9 | 226.8 | -372.9 | -510.1 | 630.8 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | 9.3 | 56.5 | -48.5 | 8.7 | -41.3 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period | 1,137.2 | 853.9 | 1,639.0 | 1,638.6 | 1,049.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period | 1,562.5 | 1,137.2 | 1217.6 | 1,137.2 | 1,638.6 |
Segment results – Q1'17
| (NOK million) | Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Eliminations | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External revenues | 276.5 | - | - | - | - | 276.5 |
| Internal revenues | - | 14.6 | 0.1 | 3.0 | -17.6 | - |
| Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income / (loss) from associates |
- | - | -0.3 | - | - | -0.3 |
| Total revenues and other income |
276.5 | 14.6 | -0.2 | 3.0 | -17.6 | 276.3 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gross profit | 276.5 | 14.6 | -0.2 | 3.0 | -17.6 | 276.5 |
| Operating expenses | -33.3 | -9.7 | -15.2 | -13.5 | 17.6 | -54.0 |
| EBITDA | 243.3 | 4.9 | -15.4 | -10.5 | - | 222.3 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
-77.4 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 16.5 | -62.0 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 165.8 | 4.6 | -15.9 | -10.8 | 16.5 | 160.3 |
Proportionate financials
| First quarter 2017 | Power Production |
Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 100% basis | SSO share* | ||||
| Revenues | 276.5 | 125.3 | 14.6 | -0.2 | 3.0 | 142.7 |
| Gross Profit | 276.5 | 125.3 | 14.6 | -0.2 | 3.0 | 142.7 |
| Operating expenses | -33.3 | -17.5 | -9.7 | -15.2 | -13.5 | -55.8 |
| EBITDA | 243.3 | 107.8 | 4.9 | -15.4 | -10.5 | 86.8 |
| Depreciation , amort. and impairment |
-77.4 | -38.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -39.6 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 165.8 | 69.3 | 4.6 | -15.9 | -10.8 | 47.2 |
| First quarter 2016 (NOK million) |
Power Production 100% basis |
Power Production SSO share* |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 227.3 | 102.5 | 13.1 | 257.4 | 2.4 | 375.3 |
| Gross Profit | 227.3 | 102.5 | 13.1 | 29.7 | 2.4 | 147.7 |
| Operating expenses | -33.6 | -21.0 | -7.3 | -22.3 | -14.0 | -64.6 |
| EBITDA | 193.7 | 81.5 | 5.7 | 7.5 | -11.6 | 83.1 |
| Depreciation , amort. and impairment |
-71.2 | -40.5 | -0.5 | -2.4 | -0.2 | -43.6 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 122.6 | 41.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | -11.8 | 39.5 |
Cash flow to Scatec Solar's equity
Q1'17
Q4'16
Cash flow to equity from PP and O&M* (NOKm)
Cash flow to equity from D&C* (NOKm) -11 10 -12 7 -10 Development and Construction (D&C)
Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16
• Calculation of SSO's share of cash flow to equity based on proportionate method:
| Q1'17 - NOKm |
Power Production |
O&M | D&C | Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 125.3 | 14.6 | -0.2 | 3.0 | 142.7 |
| EBITDA | 107.8 | 4.9 | -15.4 | -10.5 | 86.8 |
| Net interest & loan repayments |
-72.1 | - | - | -9.1 | -81.2 |
| Tax | -6.3 | -1.2 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 1.1 |
| SSO share of CF to equity*: |
29.3 | 3.8 | -11.4 | -14.8 | 6.8 |
(*) Cash flow to equity is defined as EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over each calendar year) loan and net interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments. The definition implies changes in net working capital and investing activities are excluded from the figure.
23
Power production now excludes Utah plant
- Power production reached 156 GWh this quarter, up 12% from Q1'16 excluding the sold Utah plant
- Quarter on quarter: Reduction in production reflects the sale of the Utah Red Hills plant and a seasonally lower production in South Africa
Power production (GWh)
Project companies' financials – Q1'17
| (NOK million) | Czech Republic |
Kalkbult | Linde | Dreunberg | ASYV | Agua Fria |
Jordan | Segment overhead |
Total segment |
SSO prop. share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSO shareholding | 100% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 43% | 40% | 90/50.1% | |||
| Revenues | 15.6 | 77.9 | 41.3 | 73.3 | 7.8 | 30.1 | 30.2 | 0.4 | 276.5 | 125.3 |
| OPEX | -1.0 | -8.9 | -3.6 | -6.4 | -1.0 | -4.5 | -2.9 | -5.1 | -33.3 | -17.5 |
| EBITDA | 14.6 | 69.0 | 37.6 | 66.9 | 6.8 | 25.6 | 27.3 | -4.6 | 243.3 | 107.8 |
| Net interest expenses |
-4.8 | -28.4 | -14.0 | -27.6 | -3.0 | -9.8 | -12.2 | 1.5 | -98.2 | -43.3 |
| Normalised loan repayments |
-5.7 | -8.7 | -7.9 | -14.7 | -3.3 | -12.2 | -7.0 | - | -59.4 | -28.8 |
| Cash flow to equity* |
3.8 | 25.3 | 11.7 | 18.4 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 8.0 | -2.2 | 68.8 | 29.3 |
* Cash flow to equity: is EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average quarterly) loan and interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments.
Eliminated D&C margins affect book equity
- Margins created through Development & Construction of power plants are eliminated in consolidated financial statement
- Elimination booked against PP&E in consolidated financial statements
Leads to:
- A negative effect on consolidated equity short term as corresponding non-recourse finance is included at full value
- Improves consolidated net profit over time
Build up of PP&E as per 31.03.2017 ( NOKm)
Good progress on projects across backlog (i) Project backlog
| Project | Equity partners | Lenders | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt 400 MW |
• Scatec Solar • KLP Norfund • Local partners |
• EBRD • Islamic Development Bank • Green Climate Fund |
• Project secured in April 2017 • Final stage of securing financing and preparing for construction start |
| Malaysia 197 MW |
• Scatec Solar • ItraMas |
• CIMB • Sukuk Project Bond |
• Project secured in December 2016 • Final stage of securing financing and preparing for construction start |
| Upington, South Africa 258 MW |
• Scatec Solar • KLP Norfund • Local Trust* |
• Standard Bank • Syndicate of South African commercial banks |
• Awarded preferred bidder status in April 2015 • Timing of financial close relies on alignment between Eskom and various governmental bodies involved in the REIPP Programme |
| Brazil, 150 MW |
• Scatec Solar • Kroma Energia Ltda |
• Regional and/or International Development Bank |
• Project secured in December 2016 • Good progress on debt and equity structuring |
Project backlog
Good progress on projects across backlog (ii)
| Project | Equity partners | Lenders | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Prados, Honduras 53 MW |
• Scatec Solar • KLP Norfund |
• EksportKreditt / GIEK • CABEI |
• Project secured in October 2015 • Project has obtained grid permit for first 35 MW • Financing approved and preparations ongoing for construction start |
| Segou, Mali 33 MW |
• Scatec Solar • IFC Infraventures • Power Africa 1 |
• IFC • African Development Bank |
• Project secured in July 2015 • Pre-Credit approval from IFC and AfDB • Political Risk Guarantee from World Bank pending |
| Mozambique 40 MW |
• Scatec Solar KLP Norfund • • EDM |
• IFC Emerging Africa Infrastructure • |
• Project secured in July 2015 • At final stage of project finance process – construction preparations ongoing |
Project pipeline
Project pipeline status
| Project | Capacity | Status |
|---|---|---|
| South Africa | 430 MW | SSO bid the projects in November 2015. Award of preferred bidder status expected after closing of the round 4 Upington projects |
| Pakistan | 150 MW | All required development steps completed. Recived grid study approval and is now applying for the "costs plus tariff" |
| Nigeria | 100 MW | Signed Joint Development Agreement with Norfund and Africa50 in November 2016. |
| Kenya | 48 MW | Initialed PPA with local utility Kenya Power and Lighting Company (KPLC) in December 2016. |
| Burkina Faso | 17 MW | Concession agreement signed with Ministry of Energy. Awaiting final sign-off from Ministry of Finance before PPA can be signed. |
| Total | 745 MW |
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 29