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Scatec ASA — Investor Presentation 2017
Jul 21, 2017
3737_rns_2017-07-21_978c9536-3f18-47f5-b9c3-dc9d6066b8f9.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Second quarter 2017
Raymond Carlsen, CEO Mikkel Tørud, CFO Oslo, July 21, 2017
Our values
Predictable Driving results Changemakers Working together
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
Ready to harvest project backlog
- Power production reached 147 GWh, up 24% from Q2'16 excluding divestments
- SSO proportionate share of cash flow to equity from PP and O&M of NOK 49 million, up 26% from Q2'16
- Several projects approaching financial close
- Secured guarantee facilities with Nordea and GIEK as well as ABN Amro and Swedbank
-
New project opportunities identified as a result of dedicated market efforts in new geographies
-
Financial results presented based on proportionate method without eliminations
- In line with segment reporting while adjusting for Scatec Solar's ownership in Power Production
| Second quarter 2017 (NOK million) |
Power Production 100% basis |
Power Production SSO share* |
Operation & Maintenance SSO share* |
Development & Construction SSO share* |
Corporate SSO share* |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues and other income | 279.0 | 142.8 | 19.7 | -0.1 | 2.7 | 165.1 |
| EBITDA | 238.1 | 120.7 | 10.2 | -17.5 | -13.8 | 99.7 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 155.4 | 79.8 | 9.9 | -18.1 | -14.1 | 57.5 |
| Second quarter 2016 (NOK million) |
Power Production 100% basis |
Power Production SSO share* |
Operation & Maintenance SSO share* |
Development & Construction SSO share* |
Corporate SSO share* |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues and other income | 213.9 | 115.9 | 15.8 | 303.5 | 2.0 | 437.3 |
| EBITDA | 176.3 | 94.2 | 8.8 | 11.8 | -14.9 | 99.9 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 106.6 | 55.1 | 8.2 | 7.3 | -15.0 | 55.5 |
SSO's share of cash flow to equity
Interest paid on corporate bond
www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 5 (*) Cash flow to equity is defined as EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over each calendar year) loan and net interest repayments, less
Solid progress on projects across backlog (i) Project backlog
Malaysia, 197 MW
- 21 year PPA with TNB
- Capex: MYR 1,240 million
Honduras, 53 MW
- 20 year PPA with ENEE
- Capex: USD 100 million
Mozambique, 40 MW
- 25 year PPA with EDM
- Capex: USD 80 million
Status
- Project finance MYR 1000 million green Islamic Bond – well received in the Malaysian debt market
- Certain construction activities initiated
Status
- Finalising remaining conditions to close financing for first phase (35 MW)
- Certain construction activities initiated
Status
- Finalising remaining conditions to close financing
- Construction preparations ongoing
Solid progress on projects across backlog (ii) Project backlog
Egypt, 400 MW
- 25 year PPAs with Gov of Egypt
- Capex: USD 450 million
South Africa, 258 MW
- 20 year PPA with Eskom
- Capex: ZAR 4,600 million
Brazil, 162 MW
- 20 year PPA with ANEEL
- Capex: BRL 680 million
Mali, 33 MW
- 25 year PPA with Energie du Mali
- Capex: EUR 52 million
Status
- Credit committee and board approval obtained for project finance by bank consortium
- Financial close by end of October
Status
• Timing of financial close relies on alignment between Eskom and the various government bodies
Status
- All permits secured for the project
- Good progress on debt and equity structuring
Status
- Board approval obtained for IFC project finance and for Partial Risk Guarantee from the World Bank
- Awaiting final board approval by AfDB
Financial review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Consolidated & proportionate financials
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 9
Power Production
Stable revenues and EBITDA
• The year on year increase in revenues is explained by higher solar irradiation, additional revenues from the new plants in Jordan and a strengthening of ZAR/NOK of 17%
Operation & Maintenance
Growth in revenues and EBITDA
• The year on year increase in revenues and EBITDA is due to additional O&M revenues from Jordan and higher O&M bonus in South Africa
Preparing execution of projects in backlog
• Project backlog's D&C contract value represents NOK ~11,000 million
Solid financial position – NOK 427 million free cash
- Cash position of NOK 1,309 million of which NOK 766 million in project companies
- New guarantee facilities supporting execution of backlog with Nordea and GIEK as well as ABN Amro and Swedbank as new members in the consortium
| NOKm | Consolidated | SSO prop. share |
Group level** |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1,309 | 910 | 427 |
| Interest bearing liabilities* |
-5,022 | -2,691 | -497 |
| Net debt | -3,713 | -1,781 | -70 |
Financial position (NOKm)
www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 13 *) Total interest bearing liabilities does not include shareholder loans to project companies (**) As per definitions of "Recourse Group" in senior unsecured bond agreement
Movement of free cash at group level
Outlook
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Fully funded for investments in project backlog
| In operation | Backlog | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capacity | MW | 322 | 1,143 | 1,465 |
| Annual Production | GWh | ~640 | ~2,352 | ~2,992 |
| Annual Revenues | MNOK | ~1,100 | ~1,750 | ~2,850 |
| Total Capex | MNOK | 5,487* | ~13,000 | ~18,487 |
| Total Equity |
MNOK | 1,781* | ~2,800 | ~4,581 |
- Scatec Solar's share of equity investments NOK 1,700 2,000 million in project backlog
- SSO targets average equity IRR of 15% nominal after tax on these investments
- Free cash position of NOK 427 million
- Project backlog's D&C contract value representing NOK ~11,000 million
- Scatec Solar targets 15% gross margin from Development & Construction
Summary
- Technology innovation and cost reductions make solar the lowest cost source of electricity
- Emerging economies are taking advantage of renewables – low cost, clean and rapidly deployed
- Scatec Solar is set to grow and strengthen its position as an emerging market focused IPP
- Partnerships and new business models are being explored for additional growth opportunities
Thank you
Our values Predictable Driving results Changemakers Working together
Consolidated profit & loss
| (NOK million) | Q2 17 | Q1 17 | Q2 16 | YTD 17 |
YTD 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 278.9 | 276.3 | 213.4 | 555.1 | 441.2 |
| OPEX | -61.8 | -54.0 | -60.8 | -115.8 | -123.5 |
| EBITDA | 217.0 | 222.3 | 152.6 | 439.3 | 317.7 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | -66.0 | -62.0 | -59.6 | -127.9 | -118.2 |
| Operating profit | 151.1 | 160.3 | 93.0 | 311.4 | 199.5 |
| Interest, other financial income | 16.6 | 13.2 | 15.8 | 29.8 | 27.9 |
| Interest, other financial expenses | -130.4 | -127.4 | -119.3 | -257.8 | -238.0 |
| Foreign exchange gain/(loss) | -37.9 | -8.3 | 16.5 | 46.3 | -18.0 |
| Net financial expenses | -151.7 | -122.5 | -87.0 | -274.3 | -228.1 |
| Profit before income tax | -0.1 | 37.8 | 6.0 | 37.1 | -28.6 |
| Income tax (expense)/benefit | 2.2 | -6.7 | -0.5 | -4.6 | 11.2 |
| Profit/(loss) for the period | 1.5 | 31.0 | 5.5 | 32.5 | -17.5 |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to: | |||||
| Equity holders of the parent | -12.7 | 3.6 | 4.6 | -9.0 | -41.6 |
| Non-controlling interests | 14.1 | 27.4 | 0.9 | 41.6 | 24.1 |
| Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) | -0.12 | 0.04 | 0.05 | -0.09 | -0.44 |
Consolidated cash flow statement
| (NOK million) | Q2 17 | Q1 17 | Q2 16 | YTD 17 | YTD 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operations | 215.3 | 262.0 | 311.7 | 477.3 | 321.1 |
| Net cash flow from investments | -101.7 | -44.0 | -317.5 | -145.7 | -726.9 |
| Net cash flow from financing | -360.5 | 197.9 | -309.8 | -162.5 | -283.1 |
| Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | -246.9 | 415.9 | -315.6 | 169.1 | -688.9 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | -6.8 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 2.5 | -41.9 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period | 1,562.5 | 1,137.2 | 1,217.2 | 1,137.2 | 1,639.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period | 1,308.8 | 1,562.5 | 908.2 | 1,308.8 | 908.2 |
Segment results – Q2'17
| (NOK million) | Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Eliminations | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External revenues | 279.0 | - | - | - | - | 279.0 |
| Internal revenues | - | 19.7 | 0.1 | 2.7 | -22.5 | - |
| Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income / (loss) from associates |
- | - | -0.1 | - | - | -0.1 |
| Total revenues and other income |
279.0 | 19.7 | -0.1 | 2.7 | -22.5 | 278.9 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gross profit | 279.0 | 19.7 | -0.1 | 2.7 | -22.5 | 278.9 |
| Operating expenses | -40.9 | -9.5 | -17.5 | -16.4 | 22.5 | -61.8 |
| EBITDA | 238.1 | 10.2 | -17.5 | -13.7 | - | 217.0 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
-82.7 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 17.9 | -66.0 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 155.3 | 9.9 | -18.1 | -14.1 | 17.9 | 151.1 |
Proportionate financials
| Second quarter 2017 (NOK million) |
Power Production 100% basis |
Power Production SSO share* |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 279.0 | 142.8 | 19.7 | -0.1 | 2.7 | 165.1 |
| Gross Profit | 279.0 | 142.8 | 19.7 | -0.1 | 2.7 | 165.1 |
| Operating expenses | -40.9 | -22.1 | -9.5 | -17.5 | -16.4 | -65.4 |
| EBITDA | 238.1 | 120.7 | 10.2 | -17.5 | -13.8 | 99.7 |
| Depreciation , amort. and impairment |
-82.7 | -40.9 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -42.1 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 155.4 | 79.8 | 9.9 | -18.1 | -14.1 | 57.5 |
| Second quarter 2016 | Power Production |
Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | 100% basis | SSO share* | ||||
| Revenues | 213.9 | 115.9 | 15.8 | 303.5 | 2.0 | 437.3 |
| Gross Profit | 213.9 | 115.9 | 15.8 | 28.4 | 2.0 | 162.2 |
| Operating expenses | -37.6 | -21.7 | -7.0 | -16.6 | -16.9 | -62.3 |
| EBITDA | 176.3 | 94.2 | 8.8 | 11.8 | -14.9 | 99.9 |
| Depreciation , amort. and impairment |
-69.7 | -39.2 | -0.6 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -44.4 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 106.6 | 55.1 | 8.2 | 7.3 | -15.0 | 55.5 |
Cash flow to Scatec Solar's equity
Cash flow to equity from PP and O&M* (NOKm)
• Calculation of SSO's share of cash flow to equity based on proportionate method:
| Q2'17 - NOKm |
Power Production |
O&M | D&C | Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 142.8 | 19.7 | -0.1 | 2.7 | 165.1 |
| EBITDA | 120.7 | 10.2 | -17.5 | -13.8 | 99.7 |
| Net interest & loan repayments |
-73.7 | - | 1.2 | -8.3 | -80.8 |
| Tax | -5.8 | -2.4 | 4.0 | 5.4 | 1.2 |
| SSO share of CF to equity*: |
41.1 | 7.8 | -12.3 | -16.7 | 19.9 |
(*) Cash flow to equity is defined as EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over each calendar year) loan and net interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments. The definition implies changes in net working capital and investing activities are excluded from the figure.
23
Project companies' financials – Q2'17
| (NOK million) | Czech Republic |
Kalkbult | Linde | Dreunberg | ASYV | Agua Fria | Jordan | Segment overhead |
Total segment |
SSO prop. share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSO shareholding | 100% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 54% | 40% | 90/50.1% | |||
| Revenues | 38.8 | 76.8 | 29.6 | 53.5 | 8.3 | 28.1 | 44.0 | - | 279.0 | 142.8 |
| OPEX | -2.4 | -9.7 | -5.1 | -8.4 | -1.3 | -5.2 | -2.7 | -6.3 | -40.9 | -22.1 |
| EBITDA | 36.5 | 67.1 | 24.4 | 45.2 | 7.0 | 22.8 | 41.4 | -6.3 | 238.1 | 120.7 |
| Net interest expenses |
-5.1 | -28.7 | -12.6 | -29.1 | -2.9 | -9.9 | -12.1 | 0.3 | -100.0 | -44.8 |
| Normalised loan repayments |
-5.6 | -8.8 | -7.9 | -14.8 | -3.3 | -12.3 | -7.1 | - | -59.8 | -28.9 |
| Cash flow to equity* | 21.6 | 24.1 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 21.3 | -4.5 | 68.4 | 41.1 |
* Cash flow to equity: is EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average quarterly) loan and interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments.
Eliminated D&C margins affect book equity
- Margins created through Development & Construction of power plants are eliminated in consolidated financial statement
- Elimination booked against PP&E in consolidated financial statements
Leads to:
- A negative effect on consolidated equity short term as corresponding non-recourse finance is included at full value
- Improves consolidated net profit over time
Build up of PP&E as per 30.06.2017 ( NOKm)
Project pipeline
Project pipeline status
| Project | Capacity | Status |
|---|---|---|
| South Africa | 430 MW | SSO bid the projects in November 2015. Award of preferred bidder status expected after closing of the round 4 Upington projects |
| Pakistan | 150 MW | All required development steps completed. Received grid study approval and is applying for a "costs plus tariff" |
| Nigeria | 100 MW | Signed Joint Development Agreement with Norfund and Africa50 in November 2016. |
| Kenya | 48 MW | Re-initialed PPA with local utility Kenya Power and Lighting Company (KPLC) in June 2017. |
| Burkina Faso | 17 MW | Concession agreement to be signed with Ministry of Energy. Awaiting final sign-off from Ministry of Finance before PPA can be signed. |
Total 745 MW