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Scatec ASA — Investor Presentation 2015
Feb 11, 2015
3737_rns_2015-02-11_6698066d-6683-4ac7-9652-ad6aaa66599c.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Fourth quarter and full year 2014
Raymond Carlsen, CEO Mikkel Tørud, CFO Oslo, February 11, 2015
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
Agenda
- Operational review
- Financial review
- Targets & outlook
Operational review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
220 MW in operation – set to double in 2015
- Strong growth in power production 220 MW now in full operation
- Financing secured for 207 MW with construction to be completed in 2015:
- 104 MW, Utah Red Hills, USA
- 60 MW, Agua Fria, Honduras
- 43 MW, Oryx, GLAE, EJRE, Jordan
- Project pipeline of 660 MW
Operational highlights
Strong growth in power production
- Production increased by 54% from Q3'14
- Dreunberg, the last of three plants to be grid connected in 2014
- All plants are operating well, 99.9% average plant availability
Q4'14: Continued growth in revenues and EBITDA
Fourth quarter 2014:
- Consolidated revenues of NOK 196 million and EBITDA of NOK 133 million
- Consolidated adjusted net profit NOK 13 million
- Cash flow to SSO equity reached NOK 44 million
Consolidated revenues and EBITDA
Solid cash generation in 2014
| FY 2014 - NOK million |
Power Production |
O&M | D&C | Corporate | Total | Elim. | Consolidated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 459.5 | 28.7 | 970.8 | 6.2 | 1 456.1 | -988.7 | 476.4 |
| EBITDA | 412.2 | 12.9 | 241.9 | -47.6 | 619.3 | -326.5 | 292.9 |
| Total cash flow to equity*: |
180.6 | 9.6 | 178.5 | -34.6 | 334.1 | ||
| SSO share of CF to equity*: |
86.7 | 9.6 | 178.5 | -34.6 | 240.1 |
- Consolidated revenues and gross profit mainly represent value creation in Power Production segment
- O&M, D&C and Corporate gross profit are internal to the group and hence eliminated
- Cash margins are generated by Scatec Solar in all segments
Operational highlights
Construction of new power plants under way
Project portfolio
215 MW of projects in backlog & under construction
| SSO % | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | H1'14 | H2'14 | H1'15 | H2'15 | 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projects in operation: | |||||||||||
| Czech projects | 20 MW | 100% | Operation | ||||||||
| Kalkbult, RSA |
75 MW | 39% | Development | Construction | Operation | ||||||
| Linde, RSA | 40 MW | 39% | Development | Construction | Operation | ||||||
| Dreunberg,RSA | 75 MW | 39% | Development | Construction | Operation | ||||||
| ASYV, Rwanda | 9 MW | 43%* | Development | Constr. | Operation | ||||||
| Total | 219 MW | ||||||||||
| Backlog /under construction: |
|||||||||||
| Oryx, Jordan |
10 MW | 70% | Development | ||||||||
| EJRE/GLAE Jordan | 33 MW | 40%** | Development | ||||||||
| Utah, USA | 104 MW | 100% | Development | ||||||||
| Honduras | 60 MW | 40% | Developm. | ||||||||
| Hawaii, USA | 8 MW | 49% | Development | FC | |||||||
| Total | 215 MW | ||||||||||
| Project pipeline: | |||||||||||
| Americas | 250 MW | ||||||||||
| Africa | 358 MW | ||||||||||
| MENA | 50 MW |
||||||||||
| Total | 658 MW | Financial close | Start of operation |
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
(*) Option to increase to 57% (**) Option to increase to 50.1%
Financial review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Growth in revenues and EBITDA
Net profit impacted by:
- Non-recurring IPO costs of NOK 8 million
- Gain on sale of land rights for the Utah Red Hills project of NOK 17 million
- Restructuring costs and impairments Japan, as well as a write down related to a former sale of project rights of NOK 17 million
- Non-cash currency losses on intercompany balances of NOK 13 million, down from a gain of 18 million in Q3'14
SSO's profit is impacted by growth investments
- Scatec Solar is investing early phase project development and construction that impacts SSO's share of net profit
- However these investments pays off through access to attractive projects and significant cash generation
| Fourth quarter (NOKm) |
Consolidated | SSO prop. share | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 196.5 | 98.9 | 50% |
| Cost of sales & opex |
-63.5 | -52.9 | 83% |
| EBITDA | 133.0 | 46.0 | 35% |
| D&A & Impairments |
-38.7 | -20.0 | 52% |
| EBIT | 94.3 | 26.1 | 28% |
| Net financials & tax | -89.4 | -37.1 | 41% |
| Net profit | 4.9 | -11.0 | - |
| Adjusted net profit* | 12.9 | -3.0 | - |
(*) Adjusted for IPO costs and share based payment totalling NOK 8.0 million.
Continued growth in revenues and EBITDA
- Production growth mainly driven by Dreunberg and Linde, normal seasonal variations in Czech portfolio
- Dreunberg earning 'early revenues' 60 % of PPA tariff until year end 2014
Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)
Operation & Maintenance
Stable revenues and margins
• From early 2015, expected annual revenues of NOK 50-55 million based on current plant performance
Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)
EBITDA increase after financial close of Utah Red Hills
- D&C revenues and margins reflect project development and power plant construction activities
- Development revenues of NOK 103 million after financial close of Utah Red Hills in Q4'14
- Revenues set to grow again with start of construction of new projects
Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)
Solid cash generation across the business segments
| Q4 - NOK million |
Power Production |
O&M | D&C | Corporate | Total | Elim. | Consolidated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 173.7 | 9.6 | 119.6 | -0.6 | 302.5 | -106.0 | 196.5 |
| Cost of sales | 0.0 | 0.0 | -51.9 | 0.0 | -51.9 | 49.8 | -2.1 |
| Gross profit | 173.7 | 9.6 | 67.7 | -0.6 | 250.6 | -56.2 | 194.4 |
| Operating expenses | -19.2 | -4.5 | -27.0 | -18.3 | 69.0 | 7.7 | -61.4 |
| EBITDA | 154.5 | 5.1 | 40.7 | -18.9 | 181.5 | -48.5 | 133.0 |
| D&A and impairments |
-44.5 | -0.3 | -7.6 | -0.1 | -52.4 | 13.7 | -38.7 |
| EBIT | 110.0 | 4.8 | 33.2 | -18.9 | 129.0 | -34.7 | 94.3 |
| Total cash flow to equity*: |
61.6 | 3.8 | 31.4 | -13.8 | 83.1 | ||
| SSO share of CF to equity*: |
22.8 | 3.8 | 31.4 | -13.8 | 44.3 |
- O&M, D&C and Corporate gross profit are internal to the group and hence eliminated
- Cash margins are generated to Scatec Solar in all segments
Strong cash flow from D&C in South Africa in 2014
- Strong cash flow generation from power plant construction activities
- Steadily increasing cash flow from Power Production
- D&C cash flow set to increase with the start of construction of the new power plants
- Non-recurring cost affecting Corporate in 2H'14
Financial position
Solid financial position
- Cash position of NOK 1 049 million of which NOK 406 million free cash
- All non-current interest bearing liabilities represent non-recourse project financing
- Eliminated D&C margin reduces asset values in the balance sheet leads to;
- Lower book equity value
- Reduced depreciation over time
Financial review - summary
Q4'14 results:
- Strong growth in revenues and EBITDA
- Continued growth in underlying net profit
- Solid cash flow generation across all business segments
Targets and outlook
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
On track to deliver on our targets
- Target to own gross 750 MW by end of 2016
- 220 MW in operation
- 207 MW in backlog/under construction
- Additional 658 MW in project pipeline
- Annual cash flow to SSO of NOK 140-160 million from the 220 MW installed capacity based on current currency exchange rates (Power Prod. and O&M)
- 15-20% gross margin from Development and Construction
- Target average equity IRR of 15% nominal after tax on power plant investments.
- For 2014, dividend estimated to NOK 25 million
- From 2015, 50% of cash redistributions from project companies (Power Production) to be paid out as dividends
ASYV, Rwanda
2015 will be another busy year
- Q1'15 production target of ~113,000 MWh, broadly in line with Q4'14
- Construction of 207 MW of projects under way
- 207 MW represents total investments of about USD 443 million and Scatec Solar equity investments of close to USD 60 million
- SSO construction contracts for Jordan and Honduras totalling USD 170 million
- Strong focus on moving projects in pipeline to backlog and financial close
Thank you
Our values
- Predictable
- Driving results
- Change makers
- Working together
Consolidated profit & loss
| (NOK million) | Q4 14 | Q3 14 | Q4 13 |
FY 2014 | FY 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 196.5 | 130.2 | 52.4 | 476.4 | 129.0 |
| Gross profit | 194.4 | 128.8 | 52.3 | 471.3 | 116.6 |
| EBITDA | 133.0 | 78.8 | 6.6 | 292.9 | -16.9 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment |
-38.7 | -27.4 | -22.1 | -101.9 | -57.8 |
| Operating profit | 94.3 | 51.4 | -15.6 | 190.0 | -74.7 |
| Interest, other financial income Interest, other financial expenses Foreign exchange gain/(loss) Net financial expenses |
14.6 -90.0 -12.8 -88.2 |
8.3 -65.3 18.4 -38.5 |
8.1 -58.7 63.6 12.9 |
54.8 -248.6 62.3 -131.5 |
129.8 -101.3 64.2 92.7 |
| Profit before income tax | 6.1 | 12.9 | -2.6 | 59.6 | 18.1 |
| Income tax (expense)/benefit Profit/(loss) for the period |
-1.2 4.9 |
-5.4 7.4 |
-0.3 -2.9 |
-11.1 48.5 |
-25.6 -7.6 |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to: | |||||
| Equity holders of the parent | -11.0 | -5.4 | 3.2 | -17.9 | -34.7 |
| Non-controlling interests | 15.8 | 12.8 | -6.2 | 66.4 | 27.1 |
| Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) | -0.12 | -0.08 | 0.05 | -0.25 | -0.53 |
Consolidated cash flow statement
| (NOK million) | Q4 14 | Q3 14 | Q4 13 | FY 2014 | FY 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operations | 48.1 | -258.4 | 194.8 | -96.5 | 301.1 |
| Net cash flow from investments | -132.2 | -122.6 | -429.3 | -909.8 | -1,306.4 |
| Net cash flow from financing | 390.8 | 146.7 | 534.3 | 972.0 | 1,868.3 |
| Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equvivalents |
306.6 | -234.2 | 299.8 | -31.5 | 862.9 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivavelents |
76.4 | -19.0 | -2.1 | 58.0 | -10.8 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period |
666.1 | 919.3 | 727.6 | 1,025.4 | 173.2 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period |
1,049.1 | 666.1 | 1,025.4 | 1,049.1 | 1,025.4 |
Project companies' financials – full year 2014
| (NOK million) SSO shareholding |
Czech Republic 100% |
Kalkbult 39% |
Linde 39% |
Dreunberg 39% |
ASYV 43% |
Other | Total segment |
SSO prop. share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 75.7 | 250.0 | 75.3 | 48.6 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 459.5 | 230.0 |
| EBITDA | 65.3 | 221.9 | 69.0 | 46.7 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 412.2 | 201.5 |
| Interest expenses | -19.6 | -104.6 | -29.9 | -22.0 | -4.5 | - | -180.6 | -82.6 |
| Cash flow to equity* | 25.4 | 96.2 | 33.0 | 21.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 180.6 | 86.7 |
| Power Production | D&C, O&M, | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | Czech Republic |
Kalkbult | Linde | Dreunberg | ASYV | Utah | Corporate & Eliminations** |
Consolidated |
| Net debt | 359.2 | 838.7 | 511.7 | 1,005.1 | 116.7 | 40.8 | -478.7 | 2,400.9 |
| Project equity |
186.2 | 422.8 | 196.3 | 344.2 | 20.1 | 50.5 | -42.1 | 1,176.6 |
| Total assets | 577.8 | 1,544.1 | 868.3 | 1,636.4 | 200.8 | 198.9 | -28.9 | 5,011.8 |
| PP&E | 538.8 | 1,266.4 | 690.3 | 1,339.5 | 154.4 | 181.5 | -1,136.0 | 3,049.2 |
* Cash flow to equity: is EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over the calendar year) loan and interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments.
** The amount of NOK 1 136 million includes capitalised development spending on projects that have not yet reached construction phase of NOK 50,7 million.
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
D&C margins reduces consolidated PP&E
- Margins created through D&C of power plants are eliminated in consolidated financial statement
- Elimination booked against PP&E in consolidated financial statements
Leads to:
- A negative effect on consolidated equity short term as corresponding non-recourse finance is included at full value
- Improves consolidated net profit over time through reduced depreciation