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Scatec ASA — Investor Presentation 2015
Jul 29, 2015
3737_rns_2015-07-29_f0420567-a8c2-4bc1-a296-fbdda8cdff9c.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Second quarter 2015
Raymond Carlsen, CEO Mikkel Tørud, CFO Oslo, July 29, 2015
Our values
Predictable Driving results Change makers Working together
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
Agenda
- Operational review
- Financial review
- Outlook
Operational review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Strong growth in pipeline and Agua Fria completed
- Revenues of NOK 205 million, EBITDA of NOK 146 million and net profit of NOK 21 million
- Scatec Solar's proportionate share of cash flow to equity reached NOK 71 million
- Backlog increased by 33 MW to 299 MW
- Pipeline increased by gross 747 MW to 1,172 MW
- Total investments of NOK 1,159 million across 207 MW under construction
- The 60 MW Agua Fria project reached mechanical completion and will start production in the third quarter 2015
The 60 MW Agua Fria plant in Honduras
Construction driving increased cash generation
Q2'15 cash flow to SSO equity:
- Power Production and O&M cash flow of NOK 36 million
- D&C cash flow driven by the near completion of the Agua Fria plant
- Corporate cost fairly stable
Project development
Solid progress trough the project funnel
426 MW
IN OPERATION / UNDER CONSTRUCTION
33 MW added to the backlog since Q1 reporting
| Project | Capacity, MW | Target construction start |
SSO Ownership |
Comment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa | 258 | Q1 2017 | 42% | Co-investment with Norfund Local Trust to own 40% - Trust to be funded by SSO and Norfund |
|
| Waihonu, Hawaii |
8 | Q4 2015 | 49% | Sales process initiated | |
| Segou, Mali | 33 | Q1 2016 | 50% | Co-investment with IFC and local partner |
|
| Sum | 299 | ||||
| Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] |
New since Q1 reporting | 8 |
Gross 747 MW added to pipeline since Q1 reporting
| Project | Capacity, MW | Target construction start |
Comment | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Africa | 88 (+53) | 2016 | Co-development with Norfund in Mozambique and Kenya | |
| West Africa | 57 | 2016 | Co-development with IFC. 33 MW Mali moved to backlog | |
| USA | 200 | 2016 | Realization strategy under evaluation | |
| Latin America | 83 | 2016 | Honduras with Norfund and Mexico with local partner | |
| Egypt | 250 (+200) |
2016 | One SSO controlled project and participation in four others | |
| Pakistan | 150 | 2016 | Co-development with Nizam Energy of 3x50 MWp |
|
| South Africa | 344 | 2018 | Four new projects secured for next bidding round | |
| Sum | 425 | 747 1,172 |
||
| New since Q1 reporting |
Scatec Solar establishing a solid position in Egypt
- Egypt target to more than double its electricity capacity from renewable sources (to 20%) by year 2022
- A Feed in Tariff (FiT) program has been launched for 4,300 MW of Solar and Wind by 2017 and further 9,000 MW of solar planned until 2022
- Scatec Solar was one of the first to be awarded a 50 MW (AC) project in the Ben Ban area of Egypt
- Scatec Solar additionally has secured participation in further 4 x 50 MW (AC) projects as an equity investor, EPC provider and O&M contractor
- All projects will receive a PPA tariff of 14.3 USDc/kWh
- Target PPA signing in 2H 2015 and target financial close and construction start in 1H 2016
Financial review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Consolidated financials
Financials impacted by normal seasonal effects
- Revenues and EBITDA reduction from Q1 affected by lower production volumes
- Q2 revenues impacted by NOK 20 million sale of UK project portfolio with a marginal EBITDA impact
Production affected by winter in South Africa
- Production was affected by winter in South Africa and by five percent lower irradiation than normal in the quarter
- Plant availability remained high during the quarter
Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)
O&M contracts taking full effect
- Quarter on quarter increase in revenues and EBITDA based on increased overperformance revenues
- Overperformance revenues/bonus profit sharing based on plant performance irrespective of irradiation
- O&M contracts covering 236 MW, of which 17 MW for third parties
Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)
Development & Construction
Agua Fria nearly completed – Jordan well under way
- D&C revenues and margins reflect project development and power plant construction activities
- Development revenues of NOK 28 million for sale of UK projects and financial close of EJRE/GLAE in Jordan
- Construction revenues of NOK 564 million mainly driven by solid progress of Agua Fria
- Underlying gross margin within guidance but will vary from quarter to quarter
Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)
Stable long term cash flow generation
| Q2'15 - NOK million |
Power Production |
O&M | D&C | Corporate | Total | Elim. | Consolidated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 184.3 | 15.8 | 596.4 | 1.5 | 797.9 | -593.1 | 204.8 |
| EBITDA | 158.0 | 10.0 | 53.3 | -7.1 | 214.2 | -68.0 | 146.2 |
| Interest expenses |
-82.4 | -82.4 | |||||
| Loan repayment |
-21.2 | -21.2 | |||||
| Tax | -4.9 | -2.6 | -14.2 | 2.0 | -19.7 | ||
| Total cash flow to equity*: |
49.4 | 7.4 | 39.2 | -5.1 | 90.9 | ||
| SSO share of CF to equity*: |
29.2 | 7.4 | 39.2 | -5.1 | 70.6 |
- Consolidated revenues and gross profit mainly represent value creation in the Power Production segment
- O&M, D&C and Corporate gross profit are internal to the group and hence eliminated
Total investments of NOK 1,159 million in Q2
4 738
784
1 416
0
- Cash position of NOK 1,003 million of which NOK 223 million free cash
- SSO equity investments of NOK 203 million in Q2'15
- All non-current interest bearing liabilities represent non-recourse project financing
- Eliminated D&C margin reduces asset values in the balance sheet leads to;
- Lower book equity value
- Reduced depreciation over time
Non-current liabilities Current liabilities Equity Non-current assets Current assets
Assets Equity & Liabilities Assets Equity & Liabilities
Outlook
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Significant opportunities for further growth
- Target to own gross 750 MW by end of 2016
- 426 MW in operation and under construction
- 299 MW in project backlog
- 1,172 MW in project pipeline
- A solid platform for increased growth in 2016 and beyond
- To fund accelerated growth, alternatives for accessing debt at the corporate level is being evaluated
- Annual cash flow to SSO equity of NOK 140-160 million from 219 MW in operation (PP and O&M)
- 15-20% gross margin from Development and Construction
- Target average equity IRR of 15% nominal after tax on power plant investments.
- Q3'15 production target of 115,000 MWh
The 60 MW Agua Fria plant in Honduras
Thank you
Our values Predictable Driving results Change makers Working together
Consolidated profit & loss
| (NOK million) | Q2 15 | Q1 15 | Q2 14 |
FY 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 204.8 | 224.8 | 92.7 | 476.4 |
| Gross profit | 187.3 | 224.8 | 91.5 | 471.3 |
| EBITDA | 146.2 | 177.7 | 52.0 | 292.9 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment |
-38.1 | -38.9 | -16.7 | -101.9 |
| Operating profit | 108.1 | 138.8 | 35.3 | 191.0 |
| Interest, other financial income Interest, other financial expenses Foreign exchange gain/(loss) Net financial expenses |
15.8 -95.3 1.0 -78.5 |
12.9 -101.1 22.2 -66.0 |
8.3 -36.1 23.8 -3.9 |
54.8 -248.6 62.3 -131.5 |
| Profit before income tax | 29.6 | 72.8 | 31.3 | 59.6 |
| Income tax (expense)/benefit Profit/(loss) for the period |
-8.3 21.3 |
-25.8 47.0 |
-4.9 26.4 |
-11.1 48.5 |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to: | ||||
| Equity holders of the parent | 18.6 | 19.5 | 8.2 | -17.9 |
| Non -controlling interests |
2.7 | 27.5 | 18.3 | 66.4 |
| Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.13 | -0.25 |
Consolidated cash flow statement
| (NOK million) | Q2 15 | Q1 15 | Q2 14 | FY 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operations | 102.7 | 456.5 | 1.5 | -96.5 |
| Net cash flow from investments | -1,142.8 | -685.2 | -255.4 | -909.8 |
| Net cash flow from financing | 750.7 | 453.2 | 178.6 | 972.0 |
| Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | --289.4 | 224.5 | -75.2 | -34.3 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivavelents | -2.2 | 20.5 | 23.2 | 58.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period | 1,294.1 | 1,049.1 | 971.3 | 1,025.4 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period | 1,002.5 | 1,294.1 | 919.3 | 1,049.1 |
SSO's profit normally impacted by growth investments
- Scatec Solar is investing early phase project development and construction as well as corporate functions that impacts SSO's share of net profit
- However these investments pays off through access to attractive projects and significant cash generation
| Second quarter (NOKm) | Consolidated | SSO prop. share | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 204.8 | 124.2 | 61 % |
| Cost of sales & opex | -58.6 | -56.7 | 97 % |
| EBITDA | 146.2 | 67.5 | 46 % |
| D&A & Impairments | -38.1 | -13.4 | 35 % |
| EBIT | 108.1 | 54.1 | 50 % |
| Net financials & tax | -86.8 | -35.5 | 41 % |
| Net profit | 21.3 | 18.6 | 87 % |
Production affected by winter in South Africa
• Production affected by winter in South Africa and by five percent lower irradiation than normal in the quarter
• Plant availability remained high during the quarter
Power Production (MWh)
| (NOK million) | Czech Republic |
Kalkbult | Linde | Dreunberg | ASYV | Segment overhead |
Total segment |
SSO prop. share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSO shareholding | 100% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 43% | - | - | - |
| Revenues | 31.8 | 67.2 | 27.7 | 49.9 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 184.3 | 92.2 |
| OPEX | -2.2 | -8.9 | -4.9 | -6.9 | -0.9 | -2.4 | -26.2 | -13.0 |
| EBITDA | 29.7 | 58.3 | 22.8 | 43.0 | 5.4 | -1.1 | 158.1 | 79.2 |
| Net interest expenses |
-5.0 | -30.1 | -14.9 | -30.3 | -2.9 | 0.7 | -82.4 | -34.9 |
| Normalised loan repayments | -4.9 | -3.7 | -6.5 | -4.5 | -1.7 | - | -21.2 | 11.3 |
| Cash flow to equity* | 16.6 | 21.3 | 1.7 | 9.4 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 49.4 | 29.2 |
* Cash flow to equity: is EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over the calendar year) loan and interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments.
| Power Production | D&C, O&M, | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | Czech Republic |
Kalkbult | Linde | Dreunberg | ASYV | Red Hills |
Agua Fria |
Oryx | EJRE/ GLAE |
Corporate & Eliminations* |
Consolidated |
| Project equity |
185.0 | 349.0 | 216.9 | 381.3 | 23.4 | 249.0 | 293.6 | 60.4 | 249.8 | -592.3 | 1,415.9 |
| Total assets | 607.8 | 1,467.2 | 844.7 | 1,611.2 | 188.2 | 1,227.1 | 970.2 | 132.5 | 268.0 | -379.8 | 6,937.1 |
| PP&E* | 518.0 | 1,235.3 | 674.2 | 1,331.4 | 161.5 | 1,214.2 | 808.0 | 91.8 | 101.2 | -1,199.2 | 4,936.6 |
| Cash** | 38.4 | 180.6 | 93.0 | 132.8 | 19.9 | 0.7 | 162.0 | 9.4 | - | 365.8 | 1,002.5 |
| Gross debt | 383.3 | 1,054.6 | 595.8 | 1,182.2 | 154.0 | 893.3 | 395.8 | 25.1 | - | - | 4,684.1 |
| Net debt | 344.9 | 874.1 | 502.8 | 1,049.4 | 134.0 | 892.6 | 233.8 | 15.7 | - | -365.8 | 3,681.5 |
| Net working capital*** |
-11.2 | -23.6 | -35.8 | -52.1 | -15.3 | -72.6 | -280.6 | -15.7 | 110.6 | 682.9 | 286.8 |
* The amount of NOK 1,199 million includes capitalised development spending on projects that have not yet reached construction phase of NOK 44 million.
** Cash in project companies includes cash in proceeds accounts, debt service reserve accounts and cash available for redistribution to project company shareholders. Cash in D&C, O&M and Corporate include NOK 133 million of restricted cash related to deposits for withholding tax, guarantees, VAT and rent as well as collateralised shareholders financing of NOK 33 million.
*** Net working capital includes trade and other receivables, other current assets, trade and other payables, income tax payable, other current liabilities and intercompany receivables and payables.
| (NOK million) | Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Eliminations | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External revenues |
183.6 | 0.9 | 20.5 | - | - | 205.0 |
| Internal revenues | 0.7 | 14.9 | 576.0 | 1.5 | -593.1 | - |
| Net income / (loss) from associates |
- | - | -0.2 | - | - | -0.2 |
| Total revenues and other income |
184.3 | 15.8 | 596.4 | 1.5 | -593.1 | 204.8 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | -525.5 | - | 508.0 | -17.5 |
| Gross profit | 184.3 | 15.8 | 70.8 | 1.5 | -85.1 | 187.3 |
| Operating expenses | -26.2 | -5.8 | -17.5 | -8.6 | 17.1 | -41.1 |
| EBITDA | 158.1 | 10.0 | 53.3 | -7.1 | -68.0 | 146.2 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
-52.2 | -0.5 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 15.6 | -38.1 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 105.9 | 9.4 | 52.5 | -7.2 | -52.4 | 108.1 |
| (NOK million) | Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Eliminations | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External revenues |
448.1 | 7.0 | 22.5 | - | - | 477.6 |
| Internal revenues | 11.4 | 21.6 | 949.5 | 6.2 | -988.7 | - |
| Net income / (loss) from associates |
- | - | -1.2 | - | - | -1.2 |
| Total revenues and other income |
459.5 | 28.7 | 970.8 | 6.2 | -988.7 | 476.4 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | -639.5 | - | 634.4 | -5.1 |
| Gross profit | 459.5 | 28.7 | 331.3 | 6.2 | -354.3 | 471.3 |
| Operating expenses | -47.2 | -15.8 | -89.4 | -53.8 | 27.8 | -178.4 |
| EBITDA | 412.2 | 12.9 | 241.9 | -47.6 | -326.5 | 292.9 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
-122.9 | -1.2 | -15.4 | -0.4 | 38.1 | -101.9 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 289.3 | 11.7 | 226.4 | -48.0 | -288.4 | 191.0 |
D&C margins reduces consolidated PP&E
- Margins created through D&C of power plants are eliminated in consolidated financial statement
- Elimination booked against PP&E in consolidated financial statements
Leads to:
- A negative effect on consolidated equity short term as corresponding non-recourse finance is included at full value
- Improves consolidated net profit over time through reduced depreciation