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Scatec ASA — Interim / Quarterly Report 2018
Oct 19, 2018
3737_rns_2018-10-19_26eae9eb-1302-4f5a-8da6-35b314987988.pdf
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
Agenda
• Highlights and project update
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
• Financial review
Mikkel Tørud, CFO
• Summary and Outlook
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
High construction activity and increased backlog
- Q3'18 proportionate revenues of NOK 1,259 million and EBITDA of NOK 257 million
- D&C revenues of NOK 1,077 million and EBITDA of NOK 130 million
- 35 MW Los Prados plant in Honduras grid connected and in commercial operation
- Secured 121 MW of new backlog projects in Ukraine
- Year to date cash distributions from operating assets of NOK 188 million
- Increased ownership in the three operating plants in South Africa
Our second solar plant in Honduras in commercial operation
Los Prados solar plant
- Capacity 35MW
- Equity partnership with Norfund
- 20-year power purchase agreement with state-owned utility ENEE
- Annual production 73,000 MWh
- Providing energy for more than 16,300 households
ENEE: Empresa Nacional de Energía Eléctrica.
Five projects totalling 1,057 MW under construction
Egypt, 400 MW
Malaysia, 197 MW Brazil, 162 MW Mozambique, 40 MW
South Africa, 258 MW
Increasing project backlog to 251 MW in Ukraine
Solar in Ukraine
- Aiming to change energy mix replace nuclear reactors and reduce supply of Russian gas – 11% renewables by 2020
- FiT of 15 €cents/kWh until 2030 for renewable energy embedded in law and backed by international community
- Financing from DFIs with EBRD and others available
Scatec Solar in Ukraine
- Projects with total capacity of 251 MW secured
- Target grid connection towards end of 2019
- Additional pipeline of 220 MW
Key facts
- Feed-in Tariff 15 €cents/kWh
- Tariff valid until 2029
- Yield: 1,200 1,400 hours per year
Solid project backlog and pipeline of 4.3 GW
Financial review
Mikkel Tørud, CFO
High construction activities - steady increase in cash generation
Power Production Improved performance – especially in Czech Republic
Operation & Maintenance Stable operations – ready to operate new power plants
Development & Construction High construction activities – satisfactory margins
Revenues EBITDA
Note: The gross profit in third quarter 2017 was positively affected by the NOK 375 million gain on the partial sale of the Apodi project in Brazil.
A solid financial position
- Equity investments of about NOK 1.4 billion in the construction portfolio over the last 18 months
- Group free cash of NOK 489 million + NOK 500 million available through undrawn credit facilities
- Group* book equity strengthened to NOK 2,900 million equity ratio of 80%
| NOK million | Consolidated | SSO prop. Share |
Group level* |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 2,041 | 1,444 | 489 |
| Interest bearing liabilities* | -7,136 | -4,537 | -742 |
| Net debt | -5,095 | -3,093 | -253 |
Consolidated financial position (NOK million)
Current assets Non-current assets Equity Current liabilities Non-current liabilities
* As defined in the corporate bond and loan agreements
Q3'18 movement of free cash at group level
Stable project cash flows based on PPAs - allowing for a non-recourse debt structure
Managing financial risk
Financial targets and guidance
- 2018 O&M revenues of NOK 80-85 million with an EBITDA margin of around 40%
- Total D&C contract value of projects under construction of about NOK 8.0 billion
- Around 50% of the D&C contract value is expected to recognised in 2018 – balance in 2019
- Power production volumes:
| GWh | Q3'18 | Q4'17 | Q4'18e |
|---|---|---|---|
| Proportionate | 73 | 71 | 105-115 |
| 100% basis | 155 | 167 | 220-240 |
Short term guidance Targets and guidance 2021
D&C contribution of NOK 2.0 – 2.5 billion
Annual cash flow from operating solar plants of NOK 750 – 850 million
D&C gross margin; 12-15%
Equity IRR on power plant investments; 15%
Summary and Outlook
Raymond Carlsen, CEO
Increase installed capacity to above 3.5 GW by end 2021
Effective execution of current project portfolio
Secure growth in priority regions
Broaden commercial and technology scope Optimise financing and asset portfolio to enhance value
Targeting 3.5 GW by end of 2021
Consolidated profit & loss
| NOK MILLION | Q3 18 | Q3 17 | YTD 18 | YTD 17 | FY 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues and other income | 294.2 | 654.9 | 869.3 | 1,210.0 | 1,491.5 |
| OPEX | 73.6 | -60.4 | -224.1 | -176.2 | -250.2 |
| EBITDA | 220.6 | 594.5 | 645.2 | 1,033.8 | 1,241.3 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment |
-78 | -60.3 | -202.7 | -188.2 | -248.1 |
| Operating profit | 142.6 | 534.3 | 442.5 | 845.6 | 993.2 |
| Interest, other financial income | 60.5 | 11.1 | 206.5 | 40.8 | 51.2 |
| Interest, other financial expenses | -121.5 | -119.3 | -376.3 | -377.1 | -523.8 |
| Foreign exchange gain/(loss) | -21.7 | -14.3 | -44.1 | -60.5 | -59.8 |
| Net financial expenses | -82.7 | 122.5 | -213.9 | -396.8 | -532.3 |
| Profit before income tax | 59.9 | 411.8 | 228.6 | 448.9 | 460.9 |
| Income tax (expense)/benefit | -24.0 | -5.0 | -78.6 | -9.6 | -23.0 |
| Profit/(loss) for the period | 35.9 | 406.8 | 150.0 | 439.3 | 437.9 |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to: | |||||
| Equity holders of the parent | 14.4 | 383.0 | 94.5 | 374.0 | 339.1 |
| Non-controlling interests | 21.5 | 23.8 | 55.5 | 65.3 | 98.8 |
| Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) | 0.13 | 3.71 | 0.88 | 3.73 | 3.36 |
Consolidated cash flow statement
| NOK MILLION | Q3 18 | Q3 17 | YTD 18 | YTD 17 | FY 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operations | 60.7 | 190.9 | 1,064.6 | 668.2 | 844.1 |
| Net cash flow from investments | -655.6 | -192.4 | -2,464.0 | -338.1 | -874.1 |
| Net cash flow from financing | 244.4 | -129.4 | 626.8 | -292.0 | 1,639.8 |
| Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | -350.6 | -130.9 | -772.7 | 38.1 | 1,609.8 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | -38.1 | -58.9 | -49.7 | -56.4 | 116.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period | 2,429.4 | 1,308.8 | 2,863.1 | 1,137.2 | 1,137.2 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period | 2,040.7 | 1,118.9 | 2,040.7 | 1,118.9 | 2,863.1 |
Segment results – Q3'18
| Q3 2018 NOK MILLION |
Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 155 | 22 | 1,077 | 4 | 1,259 |
| Gross profit | 155 | 22 | 160 | 4 | 342 |
| EBITDA | 127 | 11 | 130 | -11 | 257 |
| EBITDA % | 82% | 50% | 12% | - | 20% |
| EBIT | 89 | 11 | 113 | -12 | 200 |
| EBIT (%) | 57% | 50% | 10% | - | 16% |
| Q3 2017 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power | Operation & | Development & | |||
| NOK MILLION | Production | Maintenance | Construction | Corporate | Total |
| Revenues | 141 | 20 | 760 | 3 | 924 |
| Gross profit | 141 | 20 | 405 | 3 | 569 |
| EBITDA | 119 | 9 | 384 | -11 | 500 |
| EBITDA % | 84% | 45% | 50% | - | 54% |
| EBIT | 81 | 9 | 383 | -11 | 461 |
| EBIT (%) | 57% | 45% | 50% | - | 50% |
Segment results – Q3'18
| PROPORTIONATE | RESIDUAL | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POWER | OPERATION & | DEVELOPMENT & | OWNERSHIP | |||||
| NOK MILLION | PRODUCTION | MAINTENANCE | CONSTRUCTION | CORPORATE | TOTAL | INTERESTS | ELIMINATIONS | CONSOLIDATED |
| External revenues | 145.9 | - | - | - | 145.9 | 137.5 | - | 283.4 |
| Internal revenues | 9.5 | 22.1 | 1,077.2 | 4.2 | 1,113.0 | 78.3 | -1,191.3 | - |
| Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income from JV and associated companies | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| Total revenues and other income | 155.4 | 22.1 | 1,077.2 | 4.2 | 1,259.0 | 215.8 | -1,180.6 | 294.2 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | -916.9 | - | -916.9 | 1.3 | 915.6 | - |
| Gross profit | 155.4 | 22.1 | 160.3 | 4.2 | 342.1 | 217.1 | -265.0 | 294.2 |
| Personnel expenses | -3.0 | -5.8 | -13.0 | -9.7 | -31.4 | - | - | -31.5 |
| Other operating expenses | -25.7 | -5.4 | -16.8 | -6.0 | -53.9 | -17.4 | 29.3 | -42.1 |
| EBITDA | 126.8 | 10.9 | 130.4 | -11.5 | 256.7 | 199.7 | -235.8 | 220.6 |
| Depreciation and impairment | -37.8 | -0.2 | -17.9 | -0.8 | -56.7 | -36.6 | 15.4 | -78.0 |
| Operating profit | 89.0 | 10.8 | 112.5 | -12.3 | 200.0 | 163.0 | -220.4 | 142.6 |
Project companies' financials – Q3'18
| Q3 2018 NOK MILLION |
CZECH REPUBLIC |
SOUTH AFRICA | RWANDA | HONDURAS | JORDAN | OTHER | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSO economic interest | 100% | 39% | 54% | 40% | 60% | ||
| Revenues | 42 | 64 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 11 | 155 |
| OPEX | -3 | -10 | -1 | -2 | -3 | -10 | -29 |
| EBITDA | 39 | 54 | 1 | 9 | 23 | -1 | 127 |
| Net interest expenses |
-5 | -22 | -1 | -4 | -6 | 3 | -35 |
| Normalised loan repayments | -6 | -14 | -1 | -5 | -6 | - | -32 |
| Normalised income tax payments | -4 | -5 | - | - | -1 | -3 | -13 |
| Cash flow to equity | 22 | 14 | -1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 47 |
| Q3 2017 NOK MILLION |
CZECH REPUBLIC |
SOUTH AFRICA | RWANDA | HONDURAS | JORDAN | OTHER | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSO economic interest | 100% | 39% | 54% | 40% | 60% | ||
| Revenues | 33 | 68 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 3 | 141 |
| OPEX | -3 | -9 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -6 | -22 |
| EBITDA | 30 | 59 | 3 | 9 | 22 | -4 | 119 |
| Net interest expenses |
-5 | -26 | -1 | -4 | -7 | 1 | -42 |
| Normalised loan repayments | -6 | -12 | -2 | -5 | -4 | - | -28 |
| Normalised income tax payments | -3 | -5 | - | - | - | 1 | -8 |
| Cash flow to equity | 17 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -2 | 42 |