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Scatec ASA — Earnings Release 2016
Jul 22, 2016
3737_rns_2016-07-22_f2917e37-6b58-46c6-8290-f2902ce70bed.pdf
Earnings Release
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Second quarter 2016
1
Raymond Carlsen, CEO Mikkel Tørud, CFO Oslo, July 22, 2016
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Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
Operational review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Q2'16 Highlights
Power production doubled from last year
- 21 MW in Jordan reached COD in June & July, another 22 MW to reach COD in August
- Investments of NOK 333 million in plants under construction and further development of project backlog and pipeline
- Egyptian authorities and International Finance Institutions have not yet agreed on the terms of the PV programme – construction start moved to 2017
- Targets 500-550 MW in operation and under construction by year end 2016
- The target for end of 2018 is 1,400-1,600 MW in operation and under construction
| Key figures (NOKm) | Q2 16 | Q1 16 | Q2 15 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 213 | 228 | 205 |
| EBITDA | 153 | 165 | 146 |
| Net profit | 6 | -23 | 21 |
| Cash flow to SSO equity |
31 | 22 | 71 |
| Power production (GWh) | 183 | 182 | 90 |
Financial highlights
Cash flow to Scatec Solar's equity
• Increased cash generation across Power Production, O&M and Development & Construction
Project development
A solid project funnel – supporting growth targets
Status on project backlog Project development
| Project | Capacity | Target construction start |
SSO ownership |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Prados, Honduras |
53 MW | Q4 2016 | 70% | Project finance progressing – final grid permit delayed - expected construction start moved out. |
| Segou, Mali | 33 MW | Q4 2016 | 50% | Project finance process with IFC and AfDB extended – timeline adjusted. |
| Piaui, Brazil | 78 MW | End 2016 | 70% | Project finance process and preparations for construction start moves forward as planned. |
| Upington, South Africa |
258 MW | Q1 2017 |
42%* | Project finance and EPC preparations ongoing – financial close expected in 2H 2016. |
| Total | 422 MW |
Added 100 MW to project pipeline since Q1'16 reporting
| Project | Capacity | Target construction start |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 341 MW | 2017 | Egyptian authorities and International Finance Institutions have not yet agreed on the terms of the PV programme – moved to 2017. |
| East & West Africa |
205 MW | 2016/2017 | Secured 100 MW project in Nigeria. PPA for 40 MW in Mozambique approved and 48 MW in Kenya with government for approval. |
| Pakistan | 150 MW | 2017 | All required development steps completed. Awaiting hearing and award of new 'Feed in Tariff' valid for 2H 2016. |
| Americas | 30 MW | 2017 | 30 MW in Mexico awaiting grid capacity feedback. |
| South Africa | 430 MW | 2018 | SSO bid the projects in November 2015. Award of preferred bidders expected in 2H 2016. |
Total 1,156 MW
Financial review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Consolidated financials
Quarter on quarter:
- Revenue decline reflecting seasonally lower production in South Africa partially offset by higher production in the US, Czech Republic and Jordan
- Net profit is affected by non-cash currency gain on intercompany loans and reduced loss on Utah plant
An increasingly diversified asset portfolio
- The production volume is doubled from same quarter last year
- Quarter on quarter: Seasonally lower production in South Africa offset by higher production in the US
- The 10 MW Oryx plant in Jordan reached COD in June
Power production (GWh)
Shift in production mix impacts financials
• Quarter on quarter revenues and EBITDA decline as the share of production from South Africa declines and production sold from Utah increases
Operation & Maintenance
Growth in revenues and EBITDA
• The quarter on quarter increase in revenues and EBITDA is due to higher performance bonus for the South African plants reflecting higher performance ratio
Completing construction of the Jordan projects
- Construction of the Oryx and GLAE plant in Jordan was completed and COD achieved in June and July
- The EJRE plant in Jordan is currently being commissioned
Cash generation to Scatec Solar's equity
Cash flow to equity from D&C* (NOKm)
| Q2'16 - NOK million |
Power Production |
O&M | D&C | Corporate | Total | Elim. | Consolidated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 213.9 | 15.8 | 303.5 | 2.0 | 535.2 | -321.9 | 213.4 |
| EBITDA | 176.3 | 8.8 | 11.8 | -14.9 | 182.0 | -29.4 | 152.6 |
| Net interest & loan repayments |
-120.8 | - | 0.3 | -8.8 | -129.3 | ||
| Total cash flow to equity*: |
49.4 | 6.7 | 10.2 | -17.7 | 48.6 | ||
| SSO share of CF to equity*: |
31.9 | 6.7 | 10.2 | -17.7 | 31.0 |
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] (*) Cash flow to equity is defined as EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over each calendar year) loan and net interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments. The definition implies changes in net working capital and investing activities are excluded from the figure. Consolidated financial position
outside project companies
recourse project financing
• Equity of NOK 1,371 million
billion of which NOK 4.9 billion non-
Investing for further growth
5 772 666 1 287 6 043 1 682 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 Assets Equity & Liabilities Non-current liabilities Current liabilities Equity Non-current assets Current assets 5 843 5 821 715 654 1 425 1 159 5 844 6 382 2 140 1 251 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 Assets Equity & Liabilities Assets Equity & Liabilities Non-current liabilities Current liabilities Equity Non-current assets Current assets • Cash position of NOK 908 million of which NOK 126 million free cash available • Invested NOK 333 million in new plants and in maturing backlog and pipeline • Total interest bearing liabilities* of NOK 5.4 SSO financial position – outside project • Interest bearing liabilities of NOK 494 Financial position (NOKm) As of 31.12.2015 As of 30.06.2016 7,984 7,984 7,633 7,633
• Equity to capitalisation ratio of 73%
million (bond)
companies**:
www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 16 *) Total interest bearing liabilities does not include shareholder loans to project companies (**) As per definitions in senior unsecured bond agreement
Outlook
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Outlook
- Targets 500-550 MW in operation and under construction by year end 2016
- The target for end of 2018 is 1,400-1,600 MW in operation and under construction
- Development and Construction gross margin averaging 15%
- Hurdle rate for power plant investments: Average equity IRR of 15% nominal after tax
- Expected 2016 cash flow to SSO equity of NOK 160-180 million (PP and O&M)
- Q3'16 production forecast of 205,000 MWh
The 10 MW Oryx solar power plant in Jordan
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Consolidated profit & loss
| (NOK million) | Q2 16 | Q1 16 | Q2 15 |
YTD 16 | YTD 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 213.4 | 227.9 | 204.8 | 441.2 | 412.1 |
| Gross profit | 213.4 | 227.9 | 187.3 | 441.2 | 412.1 |
| EBITDA | 152.6 | 165.2 | 146.2 | 317.7 | 324.0 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | -59.6 | -58.6 | -38.1 | -118.2 | -77.0 |
| Operating profit | 93.0 | 106.6 | 108.1 | 199.5 | 246.9 |
| Interest, other financial income | 15.8 | 12.1 | 15.8 | 27.9 | 28.7 |
| Interest, other financial expenses | -119.3 | -118.7 | -95.3 | -238.0 | -196.4 |
| Foreign exchange gain/(loss) | 16.5 | -34.5 | 1.0 | -18.0 | 23.2 |
| Net financial expenses | -87.0 | -141.1 | -78.5 | -228.1 | -144.6 |
| Profit before income tax | 6.0 | -34.6 | 29.6 | -28.6 | 102.4 |
| Income tax (expense)/benefit | -0.5 | 11.6 | -8.3 | 11.2 | -34.0 |
| Profit/(loss) for the period | 5.5 | -22.9 | 21.3 | -17.5 | 68.3 |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to: | |||||
| Equity holders of the parent | 4.6 | -46.2 | 18.6 | -41.6 | 38.1 |
| Non-controlling interests | 0.9 | 23.2 | 2.7 | 24.1 | 30.3 |
| Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) | 0.05 | -0.49 | 0.20 | -0.44 | 0.41 |
Consolidated cash flow statement
| (NOK million) | Q2 16 | Q1 16 | Q2 15 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operations | 311.7 | 9.4 | 102.7 | 321.1 | 559.3 |
| Net cash flow from investments | -317.5 | -409.5 | -1,142.8 | -726.9 | -1,828.0 |
| Net cash flow from financing | -309.8 | 26.7 | 750.7 | -283.1 | 1,203.9 |
| Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | -315.6 | -373.3 | -289.4 | -688.9 | -64.9 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | 6.6 | -48.5 | -2.2 | -41.9 | 18.3 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period | 1,217.2 | 1,639.0 | 1,294.1 | 1,639.0 | 1,049.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period | 908.2 | 1,217.2 | 1,002.5 | 908.2 | 1,002.5 |
Segment results – Q2'16
| (NOK million) | Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Eliminations | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External revenues |
213.9 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 214.4 |
| Internal revenues | - | 15.4 | 304.5 | 2.0 | -321.9 | - |
| Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets | - | - | 1.4 | - | - | 1.4 |
| Net income / (loss) from associates |
- | - | -2.4 | - | - | -2.4 |
| Total revenues and other income |
213.9 | 15.8 | 303.5 | 2.0 | -321.9 | 213.4 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | -275.1 | - | 275.1 | - |
| Gross profit | 213.9 | 15.8 | 28.4 | 2.0 | -46.8 | 213.4 |
| Operating expenses | -37.6 | -7.0 | -16.6 | -16.9 | 17.4 | -60.8 |
| EBITDA | 176.3 | 8.8 | 11.8 | -14.9 | -29.4 | 152.6 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
-69.7 | -0.6 | -4.5 | -0.2 | 15.3 | -59.6 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 106.6 | 8.2 | 7.3 | -15 | -14.1 | 93.0 |
Segment results – First half 2016
| Power | Operation & | Development & | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | Production | Maintenance | Construction | Corporate | Eliminations | Total |
| External revenues |
441.2 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 442.6 |
| Internal revenues | - | 27.5 | 562.3 | 4.4 | -594.2 | - |
| Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets | - | - | 1.6 | - | - | 1.6 |
| Net income / (loss) from associates |
- | - | -3.0 | - | - | -3.0 |
| Total revenues and other income |
441.2 | 28.9 | 560.9 | 4.4 | -594.2 | 441.2 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | -502.7 | - | 502.7 | - |
| Gross profit | 441.2 | 28.9 | 58.1 | 4.4 | -91.5 | 441.2 |
| Operating expenses | -71.3 | -14.4 | -38.9 | -30.9 | 31.9 | -123.5 |
| EBITDA | 370 | 14.5 | 19.2 | -26.5 | -59.6 | 317.7 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
-140.8 | -1.1 | -6.9 | -0.3 | 31 | -118.2 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 229.2 | 13.4 | 12.3 | -26.8 | -28.6 | 199.5 |
| (NOK million) | Czech Republic |
Kalkbult | Linde | Dreunberg | ASYV | Agua Fria | Utah Red Hills |
Oryx | Segment overhead |
Total segment |
SSO prop. share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSO shareholding | 100% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 43% | 40% | 100% | 90% | |||
| Revenues | 34.5 | 58.6 | 23.2 | 43.6 | 7.5 | 27.7 | 14.4 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 213.9 | 116.1 |
| OPEX | -2.4 | -7.3 | -4.5 | -8.5 | -1.5 | -4.1 | -4.9 | -0.2 | -4.2 | -37.6 | -21.9 |
| EBITDA | 32.1 | 51.2 | 18.7 | 35.1 | 6.1 | 23.6 | 9.5 | 4.0 | -3.9 | 176.3 | 94.1 |
| Net interest expenses |
-5.3 | -24.9 | -10.4 | -24.7 | -3.2 | -9.9 | -8.6 | -1.0 | 0.8 | -87.1 | -42.7 |
| Normalised loan repayments |
-5.4 | -4.7 | -6.4 | -10.6 | -3.1 | -3.7 | - | - | - | -34.7 | -16.6 |
| Cash flow to equity* |
18.0 | 18.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | -0.4 | 10.0 | - | 2.9 | -2.1 | 49.4 | 31.9 |
* Cash flow to equity: is EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average quarterly) loan and interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments.
SSO's profit normally impacted by growth investments
- Scatec Solar is investing early phase project development and construction as well as corporate functions that impacts SSO's share of net profit
- These investments pays off through access to attractive projects and significant cash generation
| Q2'16 (NOK million) |
Consolidated | SSO prop. share | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 213.4 | 123.0 | 58 % |
| Cost of sales & opex | -60.8 | -57.3 | 94 % |
| EBITDA | 152.6 | 65.6 | 43 % |
| D&A & Impairments | -59.6 | -25.1 | 42 % |
| EBIT | 93.0 | 40.6 | 44 % |
| Net financials & tax | -87.4 | -35.7 | 41 % |
| Net profit | 5.5 | 4.9 | 89 % |
Eliminated D&C margins affect book equity
- Margins created through Development & Construction of power plants are eliminated in consolidated financial statement
- Elimination booked against PP&E in consolidated financial statements
Leads to:
- A negative effect on consolidated equity short term as corresponding non-recourse finance is included at full value
- Improves consolidated net profit over time through reduced depreciation