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Scatec ASA — Earnings Release 2016
Oct 25, 2016
3737_rns_2016-10-25_f8af500e-0df6-44d0-8eef-7a0db0c047d6.pdf
Earnings Release
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Third quarter 2016
Raymond Carlsen, CEO Mikkel Tørud, CFO Oslo, October 25, 2016
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Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.
The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
Operational review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Solid operational results Q3'16 Highlights
- Revenues reached NOK 280 million, up 39% from Q3'15
- SSO cash flow to equity from Power Production and O&M of NOK 56 million, up from NOK 41 million in Q3'15
- 33 MW in Jordan reached COD total operating capacity now stands at 426 MW
- Entered into agreement to sell the Utah Red Hills project with expected gross proceeds of NOK 230 million
- High activity on development of the project backlog and pipeline The 10 MW Oryx plant in Jordan
Steady growth in cash flow to equity from Power Production and O&M
• Increased cash generation across Power Production and Operation & Maintenance
Project development
A solid project funnel – supporting growth targets
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
(*) Scatec Solar has entered into an agreement for sale of 100% of the sponsor equity in the 104 MW Utah Red Hills project
Status on project backlog Project development
| Project | Capacity | Target construction start |
SSO ownership |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Prados, Honduras |
53 MW | 1H 2017 | 70% | Project finance secured – sponsors and utility awaiting interregional grid permit |
| Segou, Mali | 33 MW | 1H 2017 | 50% | Pre-Credit approval from IFC and AfDB - Political Risk Guarantee from World Bank pending |
| Piaui, Brazil | 78 MW | Q1 2017 | 70% | Project preparations continue but timeline is tight – reviewing alternative execution strategies |
| Upington, South Africa |
258 MW | 1H 2017 | 42%* | Process ongoing to align gov't bodies – may impact timing of financial close |
| Total | 422 MW |
www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 7 (*) Local Trust to own 40% - Trust to be funded by SSO and Norfund
Project pipeline progressing
| Project | Capacity | Target construction start |
Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 341 MW | End 2017 | Round 1 (original PPA): Expect to sign PPA for one project. Subsequently several details still need to be resolved |
| Round 2 (new PPA): Expect to move forward, but key aspects of the projects need to be settled before final investment decision |
|||
| East & West Africa |
205 MW | 2017 | Moving forward with 100 MW in Nigeria. 40 MW in Mozambique in final stage of financing. 48 MW in Kenya with government for approval. |
| Pakistan | 150 MW | 2017 | All required development steps completed. Awaiting hearing and award of new 'Feed in Tariff' valid for 2H 2016. |
| South Africa | 430 MW | 2018 | SSO bid the projects in November 2015. Award of preferred bidders expected after closing of the Upington projects |
Total 1,126 MW
Financial review
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Consolidated financials
Quarter on quarter:
- Revenue and EBITDA increase mainly driven by higher power production
- Net profit affected by non-cash currency loss of NOK 19 million on intercompany balances
Solid performance across plant portfolio
- Production volume more than doubled from same quarter last year
- Quarter on quarter: Seasonally higher production in South Africa and higher production in Jordan
- Production in South Africa 13% higher than same period last year – normalized irradiation levels
Power production (GWh)
Start of production in Jordan
• Quarter on quarter revenues and EBITDA increase due to start of production in Jordan, higher production in South Africa and higher tariff for the Utah plant.
Operation & Maintenance
Steady growth in revenues and EBITDA
• The quarter on quarter increase in revenues and EBITDA is mainly due to higher performance bonus for the South African plants
Maturing pipeline and preparing new construction
- Completed construction in Jordan
- High activity in D&C organisation on developing the project portfolio and preparing construction of new power plants
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 14
Cash generation to Scatec Solar's equity
Cash flow to equity from D&C* (NOKm)
| Q3'16 - NOK million |
Power Production |
O&M | D&C | Corporate | Total | Elim. | Consolidated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 279.8 | 19.8 | 36.6 | 2.3 | 338.5 | -57.9 | 280.6 |
| EBITDA | 235.7 | 12.4 | -13.9 | -12.5 | 221.7 | - | 221.7 |
| Net interest & loan repayments |
-139.5 | - | 0.3 | -9.9 | -149.1 | ||
| Total cash flow to equity*: |
79.5 | 9.5 | -9.8 | -16.8 | 62.4 | ||
| SSO share of CF to equity*: |
45.9 | 9.5 | -9.8 | -16.8 | 28.7 |
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] (*) Cash flow to equity is defined as EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over each calendar year) loan and net interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments. The definition implies changes in net working capital and investing activities are excluded from the figure.
Investing for further growth
Consolidated financial position
- Cash position of NOK 869 million of which NOK 81 million free cash available outside project companies
- Invested NOK 76 million in new plants and in maturing backlog and pipeline
- Total interest bearing liabilities* of NOK 5.4 billion of which NOK 4.9 billion nonrecourse project financing
SSO financial position – outside project companies**:
- Equity of NOK 1,325 million
- Interest bearing liabilities of NOK 495 million (bond)
- Equity to capitalisation ratio of 72%
www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 16 *) Total interest bearing liabilities does not include shareholder loans to project companies (**) As per definitions in senior unsecured bond agreement
Outlook
Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]
Outlook
- Recent fall in component prices makes solar power even more competitive
- Target 1,300-1,500 MW in operation and under construction by end 2018
- Development and Construction gross margin averaging 15%
- Average equity IRR of 15% nominal after tax on power plant investments
- Expected 2016 cash flow to SSO equity of NOK 160-180 million (PP and O&M)
- Q4'16 production forecast of 195,000 MWh
Thank you
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Consolidated profit & loss
| (NOK million) | Q3 16 | Q2 16 | Q3 15 |
YTD 16 | YTD 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 280.6 | 213.4 | 202.3 | 721.8 | 614.3 |
| Gross profit | 280.6 | 213.4 | 202.3 | 721.8 | 614.3 |
| EBITDA | 221.7 | 152.6 | 159.2 | 539.4 | 483.1 |
| Depreciation, amortization and impairment | -68.1 | -59.6 | -46.1 | -186.3 | -123.1 |
| Operating profit | 153.6 | 93.0 | 113.1 | 353.0 | 360.0 |
| Interest, other financial income | 8.8 | 15.8 | 18.5 | 36.7 | 47.2 |
| Interest, other financial expenses | -131.1 | -119.3 | -100.5 | -369.1 | -297.0 |
| Foreign exchange gain/(loss) | -19.2 | 16.5 | -4.9 | -37.2 | 18.3 |
| Net financial expenses | -141.5 | -87.0 | -86.9 | -369.6 | -231.4 |
| Profit before income tax | 12.1 | 6.0 | 26.2 | -16.6 | 128.5 |
| Income tax (expense)/benefit | -0.1 | -0.5 | -17.8 | 10.3 | -51.8 |
| Profit/(loss) for the period | 11.2 | 5.5 | 8.4 | -6.3 | 76.7 |
| Profit/(loss) attributable to: | |||||
| Equity holders of the parent | -1.1 | 4.6 | 3.3 | -42.7 | 41.3 |
| Non-controlling interests | 12.3 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 36.5 | 35.4 |
| Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) | -0.01 | 0.05 | 0.03 | -0.46 | 0.44 |
Consolidated cash flow statement
| (NOK million) | Q3 16 | Q2 16 | Q3 15 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operations | 196.0 | 311.7 | -30.5 | 517.1 | 584.3 |
| Net cash flow from investments | -66.9 | -317.5 | -193.8 | -793.8 | -2,021.8 |
| Net cash flow from financing | -177.1 | -309.8 | 176.8 | -460.2 | 1,275.1 |
| Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | -48.0 | -315.6 | -47.5 | -736.9 | -162.4 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | -5.9 | 6.6 | -18.6 | -47.8 | - |
| Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period | 907.8 | 1,217.2 | 952.5 | 1,638.6 | 1,049.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period | 853.9 | 908.2 | 886.3 | 853.9 | 886.3 |
Segment results – Q3'16
| Power | Operation & | Development & | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (NOK million) | Production | Maintenance | Construction | Corporate | Eliminations | |
| External revenues |
279.8 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 280.7 |
| Internal revenues | - | 18.9 | 36.7 | 2.3 | -57.9 | - |
| Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income / (loss) from associates |
- | - | -0.1 | - | - | -0.1 |
| Total revenues and other income |
279.8 | 19.8 | 36.6 | 2.3 | -57.9 | 280.6 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | -36.8 | 0.0 | 36.8 | - |
| Gross profit | 279.8 | 19.8 | -0.1 | 2.3 | -21.2 | 280.6 |
| Operating expenses | -44.1 | -7.4 | -13.8 | -14.8 | 21.2 | -58.9 |
| EBITDA | 235.7 | 12.4 | -13.9 | -12.5 | - | 221.7 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
-81.4 | -0.5 | -1.6 | -0.2 | 15.5 | -68.1 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 154.3 | 11.9 | -15.5 | -12.7 | 15.5 | 153.6 |
Segment results – First nine months 2016
| (NOK million) | Power Production |
Operation & Maintenance |
Development & Construction |
Corporate | Eliminations | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| External revenues |
721.1 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 723.4 |
| Internal revenues | - | 46.4 | 599.0 | 6.7 | -652.1 | - |
| Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets | - | - | 1.6 | - | - | 1.6 |
| Net income / (loss) from associates |
- | - | -3.2 | - | - | -3.2 |
| Total revenues and other income |
721.1 | 48.7 | 597.5 | 6.7 | -652.1 | 721.8 |
| Cost of sales | - | - | -539.5 | - | 539.5 | - |
| Gross profit | 721.1 | 48.7 | 58.0 | 6.7 | -112.6 | 721.8 |
| Operating expenses | -115.4 | -21.8 | -52.7 | -45.7 | 53.1 | -182.4 |
| EBITDA | 605.7 | 26.9 | 5.3 | -39.0 | -59.5 | 539.4 |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairment |
-222.2 | -1.6 | -8.5 | -0.5 | 46.5 | -186.3 |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | 383.5 | 25.3 | -3.2 | -39.5 | -13.0 | 353.0 |
| (NOK million) | Czech Republic |
Kalkbult | Linde | Dreunberg | ASYV | Agua Fria |
Utah Red Hills |
Jordan | Segment overhead |
Total segment |
SSO prop. share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSO shareholding | 100% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 43% | 40% | 100% | 90/50.1% | |||
| Revenues | 35.0 | 71.7 | 30.3 | 56.8 | 8.7 | 29.9 | 19.8 | 27.2 | 0.9 | 279.8 | 150.6 |
| OPEX | -2.5 | -9.3 | -5.5 | -8.4 | -1.5 | -4.5 | -5.4 | -3.1 | -3.9 | -44.1 | -25.3 |
| EBITDA | 32.5 | 62.4 | 24.8 | 48.4 | 7.1 | 25.4 | 14.4 | 24.0 | -3.0 | 235.7 | 125.3 |
| Net interest expenses |
-5.1 | -27.0 | -15.8 | -27.1 | -3.3 | -9.9 | -8.5 | -9.3 | 1.3 | -104.7 | -50.9 |
| Normalised loan repayments |
-5.4 | -4.9 | -6.7 | -11.1 | -3.0 | -3.7 | - | - | - | -34.8 | -17.0 |
| Cash flow to equity* |
18.4 | 25.0 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 0.5 | 11.8 | - | 14.5 | -1.2 | 79.5 | 45.8 |
* Cash flow to equity: is EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average quarterly) loan and interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments.
SSO's profit normally impacted by growth investments
- Scatec Solar is investing early phase project development and construction as well as corporate functions that impacts SSO's share of net profit
- These investments pays off through access to attractive projects and significant cash generation
| Q3'16 (NOK million) |
Consolidated | SSO prop. share | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 280.7 | 162.6 | 58 % |
| Cost of sales & opex | -58.9 | -51.4 | 87% |
| EBITDA | 221.7 | 111.2 | 50% |
| D&A & Impairments | -68.1 | -33.8 | 50% |
| EBIT | 153.6 | 77.4 | 50 % |
| Net financials & tax | -142.4 | -82.8 | 59% |
| Net profit | 11.2 | -1.0 | -9% |
Eliminated D&C margins affect book equity
- Margins created through Development & Construction of power plants are eliminated in consolidated financial statement
- Elimination booked against PP&E in consolidated financial statements
Leads to:
- A negative effect on consolidated equity short term as corresponding non-recourse finance is included at full value
- Improves consolidated net profit over time through reduced depreciation