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SAP SE — Investor Presentation 2015
Feb 3, 2015
365_ip_2015-02-03_e2484566-3754-48b2-b1f5-46989a0256ab.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Capital Markets Day
Feb 3, 2015 – The New York Stock Exchange
Welcome
Stefan Gruber, Head of Investor Relations
Agenda
Safe Harbor Statement
Any statements contained in this document that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "intend," "may," "plan," "project," "predict," "should" and "will" and similar expressions as they relate to SAP are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. SAP undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. All forwardlooking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. The factors that could affect SAP's future financial results are discussed more fully in SAP's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including SAP's most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates.
Bill McDermott, CEO
Strategy is ever consistent since 2010
Re-invented the core with SAP S/4 HANA
Simple | 4th generation of real-time built natively on SAP HANA
Fiori and Mobile First UX | Cloud or On Premise
Integrated enterprise in the Cloud
CONCUR VIDEO
Integrated enterprise in the Cloud
World's Business Network
Connecting companies, people and devices
SAP Business Network Powered by SAP HANA
Vision for the perfect enterprise
UNDERARMOUR VIDEO
Vision for the perfect enterprise
Driving Effectiveness & Efficiency of Our Business Models
Luka Mucic, CFO
2015 outlook and path to 2020
Fast cloud growth, growing highly predictable revenue and operating profit
- Growing cloud business 7X (2014–2020), reflecting organic growth rates unmatched for a company of our scale
- Adding close to €10bn total revenue by 2020
- In 2018 cloud subscriptions & support overtakes software license – SAP will reach a scale in its cloud business which clears the way for operating profit expansion
- Continued positive contribution to operating profit from software license and cloud business models
Fast growing Cloud business changes revenue mix
Total revenue mix
Cloud subscription and support revenue
All other revenue
Fast growing Cloud business
Solid core business with resilient support revenue stream
Cloud subscriptions & support expected to overtake software licenses in 2018
SAP will have a much larger cloud business in 2020 relative to the core business – change in revenue mix weighs on blended operating margin for the group in short/medium term
Core business – steady improvement of profitability due to growing support, solid license revenue and efficiency gains
Total revenue mix
All other revenue
Support revenue
- High renewal rates of ~97-98%
- Enterprise support is today our de facto standard with an acceptance rate of net new customers of 99% in Q4/14
Software & Support
Example: existing customer with continued software purchases
Assumptions:
License purchases decline by 5% p.a.; Enterprise Support offering fee 22% p.a.
Software license revenue
- Driven by innovations next generation Business Suite S/4HANA, CEC* and strategic industries
- Dependent on macroeconomic environment, in particular in emerging markets
- SAP outlook implies moderate decline in software revenue due to secular shift to cloud and assumption of unchanged market conditions
© 2015 SAP SE or an SAP affiliate company. All rights reserved. 18 * Customer Engagement & Commerce
Both businesses will contribute to operating profit expansion
SAP has a more diversified Cloud portfolio with different economics
Public Cloud
- Classical subscription SaaS model for cloud applications
- Most comparable cloud offering to pure cloud vendors
- Mostly 3 years contract
- Massively scaling while continuing to improve efficiency
Private Cloud
- Start-up business supporting large customers' transition to HANA and cloud (significant cross selling potential)
- Mission critical processes
- High set-up costs and significant ramp up weighs on margins short term – while scaling & leveraging partnerships in future
Business Networks
- Market leading with Ariba, Fieldglass and Concur
- Steady predictable revenue stream with a very high stickiness
- Primarily 'Pay-as-you-go' model with contractual commitments
- Stable revenue growth rates
Primarily annual pre-billing which results in deferred revenue
Pre-billing with short (monthly) billing terms, consequently lower deferred revenues
~80% long term gross margin
~40% long term gross margin Frequent, transaction-based billing leads to lower deferred revenue
~80% long term gross margin
As share of new bookings reduces over time, cloud profitability ramps
Share of new vs. anniversary and renewal bookings
Typical Cloud deal impact on gross profit* (three years contract duration)
* excl. G&A and R&D
Levers for increased effectiveness & efficiency across the different business models
1 Top line S/4 HANA CEC Strategic Industries 2 Run Simple
© 2015 SAP SE or an SAP affiliate company. All rights reserved. 22
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ONE Service one service portfolio, out of one global organization and under one contract
Innovation Product Strategy
Bernd Leukert, Member of the Executive Board
Capital Markets Day
Feb 3, 2015 – The New York Stock Exchange
PLATFORM SAP HANA Cloud Platform
APPLICATIONS SAP's Next Big Thing
APPLICATIONS SAP S/4HANA
~1/1 0 o f d a t a f o o t p r i n t | 3-7X h i g h e r t h r o u g h p u t | U p t o 1 .8 0 0X f a s t e r a n a l y t i c s R e p l i c a t i o n for t h r o u g h p u t a n d h i g h - a v a i l a b i l i t y | P r e d i c t , r e c o m m e n d , s i m u l a t e All data: social, text, geo, graph, processing | any device | Easy upgrade | Extensions through HCP BENEFITS
NETWORK Reaching beyond the company frontier
Rob Enslin, Executive Board Member
Hans Engel, CFO of BASF SE
Alan Matula, CIO, Royal Dutch Shell
The Business Network
Steve Singh, Member, SAP Global Managing Board
How the world should work
Networks for consumers
The Business Network
The SAP Business Network
Opportunity for business network technology disruption
Delivering value today
Capital Markets Day
Feb 3, 2015 – The New York Stock Exchange
Capital Markets Day
Feb 3, 2015 – The New York Stock Exchange