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SAP SE — Investor Presentation 2015
Feb 6, 2015
365_ip_2015-02-06_99fb157b-17de-4639-bcad-be48ca686dcf.pdf
Investor Presentation
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SAP Debt Investor Presentation Fourth Quarter 2014 Update Call
Walldorf, Germany Friday, February 06, 2015
Safe Harbor Statement
Any statements contained in this document that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "intend," "may," "plan," "project," "predict," "should" and "will" and similar expressions as they relate to SAP are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. SAP undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. All forwardlooking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. The factors that could affect SAP's future financial results are discussed more fully in SAP's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including SAP's most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates.
SAP Strategy
2014 – FY Performance Update & 2015 Outlook
Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Analysis
Other Topics
- I. Concur acquisition Financing Overview
- II. Debt Maturity profile
2015 Outlook and path to 2020
PLATFORM SAP HANA Cloud Platform
APPLICATIONS SAP S/4HANA
All data: social, text, geo, graph, processing | any device | Easy upgrade | Extensions through HCP
NETWORK Reaching beyond the company frontier
SAP Strategy
2014 – FY Performance Update & 2015 Outlook
Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Analysis
Other Topics
- I. Concur acquisition Financing Overview
- II. Debt Maturity profile
2015 Outlook and path to 2020
FY 2014 – Exceptional growth in Cloud
| SAP's Outlook at the beginning of FY 2014 |
SAP's Outlook after Q3 for FY 2014 |
Actual Performance 2014 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Cloud subscription and support revenue (Non-IFRS @cc) |
€950m to €1bn Upper end was +32% |
€1,040m to €1,070m Upper end of this range represents a growth rate of +41% |
€1,098m* |
| Software and Software-related Service Revenue (Non-IFRS @cc) |
+6% to +8% | +6% to +8% | +7% |
| Operating Profit (Non-IFRS @cc) | €5.8bn to €6.0bn | €5.6bn to €5.8bn | €5.63bn |
| Effective Tax Rate (IFRS) | 26.0% to 27.0% | 26.0% to 27.0% | 24.8% |
| Effective Tax Rate (Non-IFRS) | 27.5% to 28.5% | 27.5% to 28.5% | 26.2% |
© 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 9 * Includes Concur contribution of €45m (@cc)
Unique combination of fast growing Cloud & solid core business
- Cloud revenue: +45% yoy (+45% @cc)
- Annual run rate: >€1.7bn / \$2.0bn
- Deferred revenue: €699m, +56% yoy (+40% @cc)
- Calculated billings: +104% yoy (+78% @cc)
- Backlog: +94% yoy >€2.3bn for FY
-
Order entry for new business in cloud was ~1/3 of software revenue for FY
-
Stable core business with software & support revenue: +4% (+5%@cc)
- SW revenue: -3% (-3%@cc)
- Resilient support revenue: +7% (+8%@cc)
SSRS +7% @cc achieving FY guidance
Strong growth across all regions FY 2014 - Cloud Subscription Revenue & SSRS
All revenue figures are Non-IFRS reported unless otherwise stated, @cc = constant currencies
Broad Cloud offering with three different business models
Public Cloud
- Cloud applications with mainly SuccessFactors, CEC*, Suite solutions
-
Classical subscription SaaS model is the most comparable cloud offering to pure cloud vendors
-
Market leading with Ariba, Fieldglass and Concur
- Steady predictable revenue stream with a very high stickiness
- Stable revenue growth rates
Private Cloud
- Supporting mission critical processes
- High set-up costs
- Longer time to revenue
- Order entry will flow into future revenue
Powerful mix shift to high growth Cloud business leading to higher share of predictable revenue
Cloud subscriptions and support revenue
Non-IFRS, in € million
Combined total revenue
Non-IFRS, in € billion Share of Cloud subscriptions & support and support revenue
Operating profit grew 3% to €5.63bn* while significantly expanding our Cloud delivery capabilities Non-IFRS, FY/14
© 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 14 * At constant currencies
Outlook for the full year 2015
| SAP's Outlook FY 2015 |
Basis for Comparison 2014 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Cloud subscription and support revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
€1.95bn to €2.05bn (upper end +86%*) |
€1.10bn |
| Cloud & Software Revenue** (Non-IFRS at cc) |
+ 8% to 10% | €14.33bn |
| Operating Profit (Non-IFRS at cc) | €5.6bn to €5.9bn | €5.64bn |
| Effective Tax Rate (IFRS) | 25.0% to 26.0% | 24.8% |
| Effective Tax Rate (Non-IFRS) | 26.5% to 27.5% | 26.2% |
© 2015 SAP SE. All rights reserved. 15 ** Formerly known as Software and Software-related Service Revenue
SAP Strategy
2014 – FY Performance Update & 2015 Outlook
Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Analysis
Other Topics
- I. Concur acquisition Financing Overview
- II. Debt Maturity profile
2015 Outlook and path to 2020
Net liquidity declined sequentially by €6.7bn to €-7.7bn mainly due to the debt financed acquisition of Concur
Balance sheet, condensed December 31, 2014 IFRS
| Assets € millions |
12/31/14 | 12/31/13 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash, cash equivalents and other financial assets |
4,007 | 2,999 | |
| Trade and other receivables | 4,330 | 3,864 | |
| Other non-financial assets and tax assets |
605 | 488 | |
| Total current assets | 8,942 | 7,351 | |
| Goodwill | 20,831 | 13,690 | |
| Intangible assets | 4,608 | 2,954 | |
| Property, plant, and equipment | 2,102 | 1,820 | |
| Other non-current assets | 1,892 | 1,275 | |
| Total non-current assets | 29,432 | 19,739 | |
| Total assets | 38,374 | 27,091 |
| 850 | |
|---|---|
| 1,681 | 1,408 |
| 150 | 346 |
| 6,931 | 3,743 |
| 9,767 | 6,347 |
| 7,741 | 3,758 |
| 149 | 132 |
| 78 | 74 |
| 1,044 | 731 |
| 9,013 | 4,695 |
| 18,780 | 11,043 |
| 19,594 | 16,048 |
| 38,374 | 27,091 |
| 1,006 |
Operating cash flow declined by 7% to €3,57bn mainly due to payouts for litigation
| € millions, unless otherwise stated |
01/01/14 - 12/31/14 |
01/01/13 - 12/31/13 |
∆ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow |
3,574 | 3,832 | -7% |
| - Capital expenditure |
-737 | -566 | +30% |
| Free cash flow |
2,837 | 3,266 | -13% |
| Free cash flow as a percentage of total revenue | 16% | 19% | -3pp |
| Cash conversion rate | 1.09 | 1.15 | -5% |
| Days sales outstanding (DSO in days) | 65 | 62 | +3 |
SAP Strategy
2014 – FY Performance Update & 2015 Outlook
Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Analysis
Other Topics
- I. Concur acquisition Financing Overview
- II. Debt Maturity profile
2015 Outlook and path to 2020
Concur Financing and take out strategy
Debt maturity profile* Approx. €11,1bn of M&A driven external debt
~70% of SAP's financial debt will mature in the next 5 years
SAP Strategy 2014 – FY Performance Update & 2015 Outlook Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Analysis Other Topics I. Concur acquisition – Financing Overview II. Debt Maturity profile 2015 Outlook and path to 2020
2015 outlook and path to 2020
Fast cloud growth, growing highly predictable revenue and operating profit
- Growing cloud business 7X (2014–2020), reflecting organic growth rates unmatched for a company of our scale
- Adding close to €10bn total revenue by 2020
- In 2018 cloud overtakes license SAP will reach a scale in its cloud business which clears the way for operating profit expansion
2020 ambition
€7.5 to €8bn Cloud subs
€26 to €28bn Total revenue
70% to 75% Support + Cloud subs – share of revenue
€8 to €9bn Operating profit