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SAP SE — Investor Presentation 2014
Feb 6, 2014
365_ip_2014-02-06_b16bdb0e-6b94-4087-a798-991b8ea3fbed.pdf
Investor Presentation
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SAP Debt Investor Presentation Fourth Quarter 2013 Update Call
Walldorf, Germany Thursday, February 06, 2014
Safe Harbor Statement
Any statements contained in this document that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "intend," "may," "plan," "project," "predict," "should" and "will" and similar expressions as they relate to SAP are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. SAP undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. All forwardlooking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. The factors that could affect SAP's future financial results are discussed more fully in SAP's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including SAP's most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates.
Agenda
Key Financials Q4 & Full-Year 2014 SAP Strategy & Mid-term Outlook Financing Strategy & Credit Profile
FY 2013 – Performance vs. Guidance
| SAP's Outlook FY 2013 |
Actual Performance FY 2013 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Cloud subscription and support revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
around €750m | €787m |
| Software and Software-related Service Revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
at least +10% | +11% |
| Operating Profit (Non-IFRS at cc) | €5.85bn to €5.95bn | €5.9bn |
SAP is successfully managing the shift to cloud while still growing its core business
| € millions, unless otherwise stated | IFRS | Non-IFRS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Numbers | FY/13 | FY/12 | ∆% | FY/13 | FY/12 | ∆% | ∆% at cc |
| Software | 4.516 | 4.658 | -3 | 4.518 | 4.658 | -3 | 2 |
| Cloud subscriptions and support | 697 | 270 | 158 | 758 | 343 | 121 | 130 |
| Software & Cloud subscriptions | 5.213 | 4.928 | 6 | 5.276 | 5.001 | 6 | 11 |
| Support | 8.739 | 8.237 | 6 | 8.758 | 8.246 | 6 | 11 |
| SSRS revenue | 13.952 | 13.165 | 6 | 14.034 | 13.246 | 6 | 11 |
| PSOS revenue | 2.866 | 3.058 | -6 | 2.866 | 3.058 | -6 | -3 |
| Total revenue | 16.817 | 16.223 | 4 | 16.900 | 16.304 | 4 | 8 |
SAP's fast-growing cloud business demonstrates the Company's leadership in the Cloud – Annual cloud revenue run rate3) > €1.06bn
| € millions | On Premise Division | Cloud Division | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Premise Division |
On Premise Division |
Cloud Division | Cloud Division | Total | Total | |
| FY 2013 | Total 2013 | Total 2012 | Total 2013 | Total 2012 | 2013 | 2012 |
| Total revenue | 15.924 | 15.848 | 975 | 456 | 16.900 | 16.304 |
| Cost of revenue | -4.152 | -4.289 | -358 | -233 | -4.511 | -4.523 |
| Gross profit | 11.772 | 11.559 | 617 | 223 | 12.389 | 11.782 |
| Cost of sales & marketing | -3.443 | -3.410 | -477 | -275 | -3.920 | -3.684 |
| Reportable Segment Profit/Loss | 8.329 | 8.150 | 140 | -51 | 8.469 | 8.098 |
- Cloud subscriptions and support backlog2): €1.2bn as of Dec 31, 2013 (€0.8bn as of Dec 31,2012), +50% yoy
- Deferred cloud subscription and support revenue1) (non-IFRS as of December 31): €447m +25% yoy
- Calculated cloud subscription & support billings (adj. for Ariba acq.): >50% growth* yoy (Non-IFRS, cc), Q4/13
- Number total cloud users: 35 million
- Ariba segment:
- trailing 12 month network spend volume4): >\$0.5 trillion
– 1.4m companies connected through the Ariba network, the world's largest web-based business trading community
- 1) Beginning in Q1 2013, SAP discloses non-IFRS deferred cloud subscription and support revenue, which is a subset of the total non-IFRS deferred revenue number reported on the balance sheet. The opening balance for Ariba deferred cloud subscription and support revenue at October 1st, 2012 was €118 million (Non-IFRS) and €53 million (IFRS).
- 2) Cloud subscription and support backlog represents expected future cloud subscription and support revenue that is contracted but not yet invoiced and thus not recorded in deferred revenue, w/o hybris
- 3) The annual revenue run rate is the fourth quarter 2013 cloud division revenue of €266 million multiplied by 4.
- 4) Network spend volume is the total value of purchase orders transacted on the Ariba Network in the trailing 12 months *) Billings calculation see appendix
© 2014 SAP AG. All rights reserved. 6
FY 2013 IFRS EPS increased by 18 % to €2.79
| € millions, unless otherwise stated | IFRS | Non-IFRS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Numbers | FY/13 | FY/12 | ∆% | FY/13 | FY/12 | ∆% | ∆% at cc |
| Total revenue | 16.817 | 16.223 | 4 | 16.900 | 16.304 | 4 | 8 |
| Operating Expense Numbers | |||||||
| Total operating expenses | -12.336 | -12.158 | 1 | -11.386 | -11.090 | 3 | 6 |
| Profit Numbers | |||||||
| Operating profit | 4.482 | 4.065 | 10 | 5.513 | 5.214 | 6 | 13 |
| Finance income, net | -66 | -68 | -3 | -66 | -67 | -1 | |
| Profit before tax | 4.399 | 3.824 | 15 | 5.431 | 4.974 | 9 | |
| Income tax expense | -1.069 | -1.000 | 7 | -1.406 | -1.366 | 3 | |
| Profit after tax | 3.330 | 2.823 | 18 | 4.024 | 3.608 | 12 | |
| Operating margin in % | 26,7 | 25,1 | +1,6pp | 32,6 | 32,0 | +0,6pp | +1,5pp |
| Basic earnings per share, in € | 2,79 | 2,37 | 18 | 3,37 | 3,03 | 11 |
150bps expansion of non-IFRS operating margin at cc driven by operational excellence despite impact from acquisitions & cloud momentum
Non-IFRS, FY/13
Non-IFRS operating profit:
- +6% to €5.51bn (+ €0.3bn)
- +13% to €5.90bn at cc
Non-IFRS operating margin:
- +0.6pp (+1.5pp at cc) to 32.6% (FY/12: 32.0%)
- Non-IFRS operating profit and operating margin were negatively impacted by the acquisitions of Success-Factors, Ariba and hybris. The operating margin was impacted in total by 50 bps (FY/12: 100 bps).
* At constant currencies
Simplification of P&L structure for FY 2014 – focusing on combined power of fast growing cloud business and solid core
| Revenue Numbers | FY/13 | Revenue Numbers | FY/13 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Software | 4.518 | Cloud subscriptions and support | 758 |
| Cloud subscriptions and support | 758 | Software | 4.518 |
| Software & Cloud subscriptions | 5.276 | Support | 8.758 |
| Support | 8.758 | Software and support | 13.276 |
| SSRS revenue | 14.034 | SSRS revenue | 14.034 |
| PSOS revenue | 2.866 | PSOS revenue | 2.866 |
| Total revenue | 16.900 | Total revenue | 16.900 |
Income statement current version Income statement simplified structure
| Revenue Numbers | FY/13 |
|---|---|
| Cloud subscriptions and support | 758 |
| Software | 4.518 |
| $\rightarrow$ Support | 8.758 |
| Software and support | 13.276 |
| SSRS revenue | 14.034 |
| PSOS revenue | 2.866 |
| Total revenue | 16.900 |
Only the order & subtotals will change, the content of line items will not change
For the respective multi-quarter overview (FY 2012; Q1 to Q4 2013, FY 2013) of the new P&L Structure 2014 please see online.
Non-IFRS FY 2013 revenue numbers as reported on January 21, 2014
Agenda
Key Financials Q4 & Full-Year 2014 SAP Strategy & Mid-term Outlook Financing Strategy & Credit Profile
2010 – Foundation of a winning strategy
- Extended leadership in the core
- Outgrowing competition, gaining market share
- Grew revenue in Cloud & Database categories > 75X
- Invented In Memory THE next generation real-time platform
- Largest cloud company by users and business network
SAP's outlook for the full year 2014
| SAP's Outlook FY 2014 |
Basis for Comparison 2013 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Cloud subscription and support revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
€950m – €1bn |
€758m |
| Software and Software-related Service Revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
+ 6% – 8% |
€14.03bn |
| Operating Profit (Non-IFRS at cc) | €5.8bn to €6bn | €5.51bn |
SAP's Mid-term Outlook
Financial Objectives
- Transition to the Cloud while growing our stable core
- Commitment to 2015 top-line aspirations; extend outlook to 2017
- Continued margin expansion
2017 Outlook
- €22B+ in total revenue
- €3.0B - €3.5B in Cloud revenue
- 35% operating margin
Agenda
Key Financials Q4 & Full-Year 2014 SAP Strategy & Mid-term Outlook Financing Strategy & Credit Profile
Balance sheet, condensed December 31, 2013, IFRS
| Assets € millions |
12/31/13 | 12/31/12 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash, cash equivalents and other financial assets |
2,999 | 2,631 |
| Trade and other receivables | 3,884 | 3,917 |
| Other non-financial assets and tax assets |
652 | 450 |
| Total current assets | 7,535 | 6,998 |
| Goodwill | 13,688 | 13,192 |
| Intangible assets | 2,956 | 3,234 |
| Property, plant, and equipment | 1,820 | 1,708 |
| Other non-current assets | 1,596 | 1,577 |
| Total non-current assets | 20,061 | 19,711 |
| Total assets | 27,595 | 26,710 |
| Equity and liabilities € millions |
12/31/13 | 12/31/12 |
|---|---|---|
| Trade and other payables | 864 | 870 |
| Deferred income | 1,426 | 1,386 |
| Provisions | 642 | 843 |
| Other liabilities | 3,523 | 3,449 |
| Current liabilities | 6,455 | 6,547 |
| Financial liabilities | 3,758 | 4,446 |
| Provisions | 278 | 361 |
| Deferred income |
74 | 62 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 931 | 1,123 |
| Non current liabilities | 5,042 | 5,991 |
| Total liabilities |
11,497 | 12,538 |
| Total equity | 16,099 | 14,171 |
| Equity and liabilities |
27,595 | 26,710 |
Total group liquidity increased to €2.8bn due to high operating cash flow despite acquisitions, repayments of debt & dividend payment
- 1) Cash and cash equivalents + restricted cash + current investments
- 2) Business combinations, net of cash and cash equivalents acquired amounted to -€1,160m
- 3) Includes proceeds from sales of intangible assets or PPE, purchase and sales of equity or debt instruments of other entities, as well as effect of FX rates on cash and cash equivalents
- 4) Total Group Liquidity less financial liabilities (=bank loans, private placement transactions and bonds); corresponds with net liquidity 2 for more details see third quarter and nine months Interim Report and Annual Report 2013
Operating cash flow in FY 2013 stable at €3.8 billion
| € millions, unless otherwise stated |
01/01/13 - 12/31/13 |
01/01/12 - 12/31/12 |
∆ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow |
3,832 | 3,822 | +/-0% |
| - Capital expenditure |
-566 | -541 | +5% |
| Free cash flow |
3,266 | 3,281 | +/-0% |
| Free cash flow as a percentage of total revenue | 19% | 20% | -1pp |
| Cash conversion rate | 1.15 | 1.35 | -15% |
| Days sales outstanding (DSO) | 62 | 59 | +3 day |
| Equity ratio | 58% | 53% | +5pp |
Three Pillar Financing Strategy Liquidity Protection – Ensure Maximum Financial Stability & Flexibility
Minimum Operating Group Liquidity
M&A Driven External Debt Financing
Revolving Credit Facility
EUR 2bn
SAP's Minimum Operating Group Liquidity is ensured by stable cash flows driven by recurring revenue streams
M&A activities since 2007 to optimally position SAP in the current industry transformation, especially towards cloud business
Special focus on fast repayment of acquisition term loans
EUR 2bn
SAP's Revolving Credit Facility serves as back-up credit facility
Facility was successfully refinanced and increased to EUR 2bn in November 2013 to enhance financial flexibility
SAP's Strong Liquidity Profile Excellent Cash Flow Generation
Past 5 Years of Operating Cash Flow and
Strong Cash Generation enhancing SAP's Financial Flexibility
While SAP's operating cash flow increased significantly over the last 5 fiscal years, capex and dividends left ample room for financial flexibility
High free cash flow (minus dividends) has been used for fast repayment of M&A-related acquisition term loans
Larger M&A transactions have been funded through cash, bank term loans, and/or public issuances, allowing for a balanced maturity profile and flexible repayment
Free Cash Flow (minus dividends) in % of 2013 Operating Cash Flow underscores the value of conservative leverage, funding, and liquidity strategy
In 2012 an extraordinary share dividend to celebrate SAP's 40th anniversary was paid out
SAP's Credit Story Debt Serving Track Record – Fast Repayments
M&A Scenarios – Financing Strategy
Take & hold scenarios in case of smaller acquisitions (SuccessFactors, hybris) – term loans have been quickly repaid with free cash flow
Takeout scenarios for bigger acquisitions (Ariba) – debt capital market takeout is bridged by term loan
SAP committed to fast repayment and has continued its successful credit story by early repaying hybris acquisition term loan within 2013
| Acquisition SuccessFactors |
Acquisition Ariba |
Acquisition hybris |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | |
| Term Loan | Term Loan | Term Loan | |
| €1.0bn | €2.4bn | €1.0bn | |
| Dec 15, 2011 | May 22, 2012 | June 05, 2013 | |
| Full Repayment | Full Repayment | Full Repayment | |
| Nov 12, 2012 | Dec 05, 2012 | Dec 6, 2013 | |
| Issuance | Debt Capital Market | ||
| Issue of Eurobonds |
Issue of US Private Placement |
||
| €1.3bn | \$1.4bn | ||
| Nov 13, | Nov. 15, | ||
| 2012 | 2012 |
SAP's Strong Credit Profile Low risk to market volatility
Maturity Profile – Financial Debt SAP AG
Fixed Interest Variable Interest
A well-balanced maturity profile prevents repayment peaks – refinancing market risk is small due to very low maximum debt tower relative to operating cash flow
SAP's Debt Maturity Profile Interest Rate Management - Matching Assets/Liabilities
2.100 2.100 2.208 741 0 € 500 € 1.000 € 1.500 € 2.000 € 2.500 € 3.000 € 3.500 € 4.000 € 4.500 € 5.000 € Group Liquidity Debt Fix Floating in m € Floating Group Liquidity above Min. Op. Liquidity
Interest Rate Asset-Liability Match
SAP optimized existing debt profile in Q4/2013 by implementing an Asset-Liability Match
Asset-Liability Match to optimize SAP's risk/return profile by swapping financial debt in the equivalent amount of minimum operating group liquidity from fixed to floating interest rates via interest rate swaps was successfully implemented
SAP's well-balanced maturity profile was further enhanced by matching duration of interest-bearing assets with interest-bearing liabilities achieving a "natural hedge"
A reduction of interest expenses and increased risk diversification by optimizing SAP's risk/return profile was achieved
as of December 31st, 2013
SAP's Strong Liquidity Profile Excellent Cash Flow Protection
Liquidity Protection due to Strong Recurring Revenue Figures
Fast-growing cloud business along with support revenue growth drive continuously a higher share of recurring revenue
The renewal rate of maintenance contracts in on-premise software business is nearly 100%
Customer loyalty to SAP's cloud business remains high at around 90% renewal rates
of total revenue in 2013 consisted of recurring Software, Support, and Cloud Subscription revenue
Recurring Revenue Ratio of Past 5 Years
Balance Sheet Stability - Goodwill Profitability of Reported Segments
Goodwill by Segment in 2012
Goodwill mainly based on highly profitable segments
Profitability of On-Premise Products amounts to 58%
On-Premise Services delivered a profitability of 23%
65%
of Goodwill is mapped to highly profitable On-Premise segment. Cloud Applications profitability expected to grow significantly until 2017
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