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SAP SE — Earnings Release 2018
Feb 28, 2019
365_ip_2019-02-28_e47760b2-d857-4eab-947c-e0623b9a5769.pdf
Earnings Release
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Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2018 Preliminary Results Release
Walldorf, Germany Tuesday, January 29, 2019
Bill McDermott CEO
SAP is winning
| 10-year run | Promises kept |
|
|---|---|---|
| Since 2009 | Non-IFRS IFRS constant currencies |
outlook metrics |
| 2.3 2.5 x x |
32 38 + % + % |
5.205 € B |
| total operating |
cloud subscription and support | cloud subscription & support |
| revenue profit |
5 10 + % + % |
21.577 € B |
| cloud and software | cloud and software | |
| 2.7 186 x M > market cloud value users |
11 5% + + % total revenue |
25.961 € B total revenue |
| ~10,500 | 17 10 + % + % operating profit |
7.480 € B operating profit |
| SAP S/4HANA customers |
14 + % |
|
| cloud and software |
new order entry
SAP hits or exceeds all raised outlook metrics
€5.205B
cloud subscription & support
€21.577B cloud and software
€25.961B
€7.480B
Figures in this column non-IFRS at constant currency
SAP is delivering the Intelligent Enterprise
SAP will lead with Experience Management
1.8B
experience touchpoints run on Qualtrics
of the world's transactions across 25 industries touch SAP systems
SAP's business model is customer-first
| Fast growing cloud |
Rock solid core |
Partners for today and tomorrow |
|---|---|---|
| Return to software license growth |
||
| in Q4 | ||
>425,000 companies turning to SAP to accelerate value creation
Luka Mucic CFO
SAP hits or exceeds all raised outlook metrics
Other financial and non-financial highlights (FY):
- New cloud bookings: +25% to €1.81bn (+28% cc)
- Cloud backlog: >€10bn (+30% cc)
-
New cloud and software license order entry**: +11% to >€10bn (+14% cc)
-
Share of more predictable revenue now at 65%
- Greenhouse gas emissions reduced to 310 kilotons
- Overall retention rate remains high at 93.9%
- Women in management increased to 25.7%
SAP's unmatched global reach
Strength across all geographies in Q4 and FY 2018
© 2019 SAP SE or an SAP affiliate company. All rights reserved. ǀ PUBLIC 10 Revenues calculated based on customer location; All numbers are Non-IFRS unless otherwise stated Individual country highlights are based on Non-IFRS at constant currencies
Full year gross margins up for all business models
| Non-IFRS@cc; in percent | FY/17 | FY/18 |
|---|---|---|
| Cloud Subscriptions & Support |
62.2 | 62.8 |
| Business Network | 76.7 | 77.8 |
| Private Cloud (IaaS) | 7.2 | 13.7 |
| Public Cloud (SaaS/PaaS) |
56.7 | 59.1 |
| Software & Support | 87.0 | 87.2 |
| Cloud & Software | 82.2 | 81.3 |
| Services | 23.5 | 23.8 |
| Total Gross Margin |
72.5 | 71.6 |
- Cloud gross margin expanded 60 basis points, reaching 63% in 2018
- Business network margin increased for the full year by 1.1 percentage points
- Private cloud margin improved to 14% for the full year. Going forward we expect it to improve significantly due to partnerships with hyperscalers
- Public cloud gross margin improvement is primarily driven by top line growth and will increasingly benefit from platform convergence
- Software and support gross margin slightly up yoy
- Cloud and software margin impacted by revenue mix shift by 1.2 percentage points
- Services gross margin was up to 24% in 2018 and remains among best in class
Continued operating profit expansion
▪ Operating profit (Non-IFRS) ▫ FY/18: €7.16bn | +10% cc
2019 and beyond:
- Increasing benefits from highly standardized "converged platform"
- Efficiency improvements in each business
- Leverage from scaling cloud and an ever higher renewal base
- SAP will further increase its focus on key strategic growth areas in 2019
Tax rate, EPS and Cash Flow
Effective tax rate
- Actuals FY/18
- IFRS: 27.0% | +7.5pp
- Non-IFRS: 26.4% | +3.6pp
- Reminder: prior year was unusually low due to one time tax benefits from the U.S. tax reform and an intellectual property transfer to SAP SE
- 2018 IFRS tax rate was at the lower end of guidance and Non-IFRS tax rate was slightly lower than guidance
EPS
- Actuals FY/18
- IFRS: €3.42 | +2%
- Non-IFRS: €4.35 | -2%
- Prior year benefited from extraordinarily high SAPPHIRE Ventures investment gains and unusually low effective tax rate
Cash Flow
- Operating Cash Flow FY/18
- €4.3bn | -15%
Decline was mainly due to higher tax and insurance payments, share based compensation and currency headwinds
- Free Cash Flow FY/18
- €2.8bn | -25%
Decline was due to lower operating cash flow and previously announced additional CapEx for 2018
CapEx
- Actuals FY/18
- €1.5bn | +14%
- Less than planned at the beginning of 2018
2019 outlook and mid-term ambition
outlook*
Targeting >3x cloud revenue and >€35bn in total revenue by 2023
2018 2019
- Cloud Subscription Revenue €5.03bn
- Cloud and Software Revenue €20.66bn
- Total Revenue €24.74bn
-
Operating Profit €7.16bn
-
Cloud Subscription Revenue in a range of €6.7 – 7.0bn Growth: 33.0% to 39.0%
- Cloud and Software Revenue in a range of €22.4 – 22.7bn Growth: 8.5% to 10.0%
- Operating Profit in a range of €7.7 – 8.0bn Growth: 7.5% to 11.5%
- Total Revenue to increase strongly at a rate slightly lower than Operating Profit
▪ Cloud Subscription Revenue in a range of €8.6 – 9.1bn
2020
ambition
- Total Revenue in a range of €28.6 – 29.2bn
- Operating Profit in a range of €8.5 – 9.0bn
-
Share of more predictable revenue 70% to 75%
-
More than triple Cloud Subscription Revenue
- More than €35.0bn Total Revenue
- Operating Profit Growth: 7.5% – 10.0% [CAGR]
- Share of more predictable revenue approaching 80%
| Expected Currency Impact Based on December 2018 Level for the Rest of the Year | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in percentage points | Q1 | FY | ||||
| Cloud subscriptions and support | +5pp to +7pp |
+1pp to +3pp |
||||
| Cloud and software | +2pp to +4pp |
0pp to +3pp |
||||
| Operating profit | +5pp to 7pp |
+1pp to +3pp |
Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2018 Preliminary Results Release
Walldorf, Germany Tuesday, January 29, 2019
Appendix
Key cloud metrics Q4 2018
Q4/18 unless otherwise stated
All figures are Non-IFRS and growth rates at constant currencies unless otherwise stated
| Cloud Subscriptions and Support Revenue |
New Cloud Bookings1 | Total Network Commerce2 |
Cloud Applications Total Subscribers |
|---|---|---|---|
| +40% €1,413m |
+23% €736m |
>\$2.9 trillion | >186m |
| SAP Business Network – Segment Revenue |
Customer Experience Revenue |
Number of end users processing travel and expense with Concur |
Flexible workers managed with Fieldglass platform |
| €721m +24% |
€349m +50% |
>53m | >5.7m |
1) New cloud bookings – key measure for SAP's sales success in the cloud – consist of order entry of a given period that is expected to be classified as cloud subscription and support revenue and results from purchases by new customers and from incremental purchases by existing customers. Consequently, orders to renew existing contracts are not included. The order amount must be committed. Consequently, due to their pay-peruse nature, business network transaction fees which do not include a committed minimum consumption are not reflected in the bookings metric (e.g. SAP Ariba and SAP Fieldglass transaction-based fees). Amounts included in the measures are generally annualized.
2) SAP Business Network commerce is the total commerce transacted on the Ariba, Concur and Fieldglass Networks in the trailing 12 months. Ariba commerce includes procurement and sourcing spend
Gross margin development 2015 – 2018
| Non-IFRS | FY/15 | Q1/16 | Q2/16 | Q3/16 | Q4/16 | FY/16 | Q1/17 | Q2/17 | Q3/17 | Q4/17 | FY/17 | Q1/18 | Q2/18 | Q3/18 | Q4/18 | FY/18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cloud* | 66 | 66 | 65 | 65 | 63 | 64 | 65 | 62 | 61 | 61 | 62 | 63 | 64 | 64 | 62 | 63 |
| Business Network* |
75 | 75 | 76 | 77 | 75 | 76 | 77 | 77 | 76 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 78 | 78 | 78 |
| Software & Support |
87 | 86 | 87 | 87 | 88 | 87 | 85 | 87 | 87 | 89 | 87 | 86 | 87 | 87 | 89 | 87 |
| Cloud & Software |
84 | 82 | 84 | 83 | 85 | 84 | 81 | 82 | 82 | 84 | 82 | 81 | 81 | 81 | 83 | 82 |
| Services | 23 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 23 |
| Total gross margin |
73 | 70 | 73 | 73 | 76 | 73 | 70 | 71 | 73 | 75 | 72 | 70 | 71 | 71 | 74 | 72 |
* Subscriptions and support
Q4 2018 – Income Statement
| € millions, unless otherwise stated |
IFRS | Non-IFRS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Numbers | Q4/18 | Q4/17 | ∆ % | Q4/18 | Q4/17 | ∆ % | ∆ % at cc |
| Cloud subscriptions and support |
1,406 | 995 | 41 | 1,413 | 997 | 42 | 40 |
| Software licenses | 2,089 | 2,058 | 1 | 2,089 | 2,058 | 1 | 8 |
| Software support | 2,825 | 2,754 | 3 | 2,826 | 2,754 | 3 | 3 |
| Software licenses and support |
4,914 | 4,812 | 2 | 4,914 | 4,812 | 2 | 5 |
| Cloud and software |
6,320 | 5,807 | 9 | 6,327 | 5,809 | 9 | 11 |
| Services | 1,108 | 998 | 11 | 1,108 | 998 | 11 | 21 |
| Total revenue | 7,428 | 6,805 | 9 | 7,434 | 6,807 | 9 | 13 |
| Total operating expenses |
-5,027 | -4,840 | 4 | -4,887 | -4,442 | 10 | 15 |
| Operating profit | 2,401 | 1,964 | 22 | 2,547 | 2,364 | 8 | 8 |
| Financial income, net | -87 | 119 | <-100 | -87 | 119 | <-100 | |
| Profit before tax |
2,316 | 2,053 | 13 | 2,462 | 2,453 | 0 | |
| Income tax expense |
-624 | -189 | >100 | -659 | -320 | >100 | |
| Profit after tax | 1,692 | 1,864 | -9 | 1,803 | 2,133 | -15 | |
| Operating margin (in %) |
32.3 | 28.9 | 3.5pp | 34.3 | 34.7 | -0.5pp | -1.5pp |
| Earnings per share, basic (in €) | 1,41 | 1.54 | -8 | 1.51 | 1.77 | -15 |
FY 2018 – Income Statement
| € millions, unless otherwise stated |
IFRS | Non-IFRS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Numbers | FY/18 | FY/17 | ∆ % | FY/18 | FY/17 | ∆ % | ∆ % at cc |
| Cloud subscriptions and support |
4,993 | 3,769 | 32 | 5,027 | 3,771 | 33 | 38 |
| Software licenses | 4,647 | 4,872 | -5 | 4,647 | 4,872 | -5 | 0 |
| Software support | 10,981 | 10,908 | 1 | 10,982 | 10,908 | 1 | 5 |
| Software licenses and support |
15,628 | 15,780 | -1 | 15,629 | 15,780 | -1 | 4 |
| Cloud and software |
20,622 | 19,549 | 5 | 20,655 | 19,552 | 6 | 10 |
| Services | 4,086 | 3,912 | 4 | 4,086 | 3,912 | 4 | 12 |
| Total revenue | 24,708 | 23,461 | 5 | 24,741 | 23,464 | 5 | 11 |
| Total operating expenses |
-19,003 | -18,584 | 2 | -17,577 | -16,694 | 5 | 11 |
| Operating profit | 5,705 | 4,877 | 17 | 7,165 | 6,769 | 6 | 10 |
| Financial income, net | -47 | 188 | <-100 | -47 | 188 | <-100 | |
| Profit before tax |
5,602 | 5,029 | 11 | 7,061 | 6,921 | 2 | |
| Income tax expense |
-1,513 | -983 | 54 | -1,861 | -1,575 | 18 | |
| Profit after tax | 4,089 | 4,046 | 1 | 5,200 | 5,346 | -3 | |
| Operating margin (in %) |
23.1 | 20.8 | 2.3pp | 29.0 | 28.9 | 0.1pp | 0.0pp |
| Earnings per share, basic (in €) | 3.42 | 3.35 | 2 | 4.35 | 4.43 | -2 |
Q4 2018 – Non-IFRS operating profit up 8%
FY 2018 – Strong topline, continued cloud gross margin improvement and operational discipline led to operating profit expansion
Q4 2018 – Cost ratios
€7.4bn Total revenue, Non-IFRS
*Non-IFRS at constant currencies
FY 2018 – Cost ratios
€24.7bn Total revenue, Non-IFRS
*Non-IFRS at constant currencies
Balance Sheet, Condensed December 31, 2018, IFRS
| Assets | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| € millions | 12/31/18 | 12/31/17 | |
| Cash, cash equivalents and other financial assets | 9,075 | 5,001 | |
| Trade and other receivables |
6,384 | 5,899 | |
| Other current assets |
1,445 | 1,031 | |
| Total current assets |
16,904 | 11,930 | |
| Goodwill | 23,725 | 21,271 | |
| Intangible assets | 3,227 | 2,967 | |
| Property, plant, and equipment |
3,553 | 2,967 | |
| Other non-current assets | 4,278 | 3,349 | |
| Total non-current assets |
34,781 | 30,554 | |
| Total assets | 51,685 | 42,484 |
| Equity and liabilities |
||
|---|---|---|
| € millions | 12/31/18 | 12/31/17 |
| Trade and other payables |
1,501 | 1,151 |
| Provisions | 80 | 149 |
| Other liabilities | 5,991 | 6,140 |
| Contract liabilities / deferred income, current |
3,047 | 2,771 |
| Total current liabilities |
10,619 | 10,210 |
| Financial liabilities | 10,553 | 5,034 |
| Provisions | 301 | 328 |
| Contract liabilities / deferred income, non-current |
88 | 79 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 1,249 | 1,318 |
| Total non-current liabilities |
12,191 | 6,759 |
| Total liabilities | 22,810 | 16,969 |
| Total equity | 28,876 | 25,515 |
| Total equity and liabilities |
51,685 | 42,484 |
Operating cash flow and free cash flow 2018
| € millions, unless otherwise stated | FY/18 | FY/17 | ∆ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow |
4,302 | 5,045 | -15% |
| - Capital expenditure |
-1,458 | -1,275 | +14% |
| Free cash flow |
2,843 | 3,770 | -25% |
| Free cash flow in percent of total revenue | 12 | 16 | -5pp |
| Cash conversion rate | 1.05 | 1.25 | -16% |
| Days sales outstanding (DSO in days, DEC 31) | 70 | 70 | -0.6 |
Group Liquidity Development
Group Liquidity = cash and cash equivalent + current investments
Other = mainly purchase and sales of equity or debt instruments of other entities, purchase and proceeds from treasury shares and effects of foreign currency rates on cash and cash equivalents
FY 2019 – Additional outlook information and non-IFRS adjustments
The Company expects a full-year 2019 effective tax rate (IFRS) of 26.5% to 27.5% (2018: 27.0%) and an effective tax rate (non-IFRS) of 26.0% to 27.0% (2018: 26.4%)
| Non-IFRS adjustments | Actual Amounts FY/17 |
Actual Amounts FY/18 |
Est. Amounts for FY/19 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue adjustments | €3m | €33m | €100m to €150m |
| Acquisition-related charges | €587m | €577m | €750m to €900m |
| Share-based payment expenses | €1,120m | €830m | €1,200m to €1,500m |
| Restructuring charges | €182m | €19m | €800m – €950m |
| Sum of all adjustments | €1,892m | €1,459m | €2,850m to €3,500m |
Due to rounding, numbers may not add precisely
IFRS 16 'Leases' adopted as of January 1, 2019 Expected impact
- SAP adopted the new IFRS standard on lease accounting (IFRS 16 'Leases')
- Under the approach chosen by SAP prior year numbers are not restated therefore, 2019 profit, assets and liabilities and cash flow growth rates will be impacted by the new policies
- The actual impact of IFRS 16 on our profits depends on the lease agreements in effect at the time of adoption and on new lease agreements entered into or terminated in 2019
- Expected impact of the policy change on profit:
- Operating expenses and so operating profit are expected to experience a benefit of substantially less than €0.1 billion.
- Finance costs are expected to increase and net financial income is consequently expected to decrease by an amount very similar to the benefit in operating profit.
- Thus, the impact on profit before tax, profit after tax and earnings per share is expected to be inconsequential.
- Operating cash flow is expected to increase and cash flow from financing activities is expected to decrease by appr. €0.3 – €0.4 billion.
- SAP plans to adjust the definition of its Free Cash Flow metric in a way that it is not affected by this change in cash flow classification.
- Link to video: https://broadcast.co.sap.com/video/190129\_IFRS16?hash=1ef92a
Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2018 Preliminary Results Release
Walldorf, Germany Tuesday, January 29, 2019