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SANTOS LIMITED — Annual Report 2017
Feb 20, 2018
65872_rns_2018-02-20_2165677b-3208-41e4-ab36-b02273fe1390.pdf
Annual Report
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- Santos 2017 Full year results
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21 February 2018
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Disclaimer and im ortant notice p
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This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the oil and gas industry. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, geotechnical factors, drilling and production results, gas commercialisation, development progress, operating results, engineering estimates, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial markets conditions in various countries, approvals and cost estimates.
All references to dollars, cents or $ in this document are to United States currency, unless otherwise stated.
EBITDAX (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, depletion, exploration, evaluation and impairment), EBIT (earnings before interest and tax), underlying profit and free cash flow (operating cash flows less investing cash flows net of acquisitions and disposals) are non-IFRS measures that are presented to provide an understanding of the performance of Santos’ operations. Underlying profit excludes the impacts of asset acquisitions, disposals and impairments, as well as items that are subject to significant variability from one period to the next, including the effects of fair value adjustments and fluctuations in exchange rates. The non-IFRS financial information is unaudited however the numbers have been extracted from the audited financial statements.
This presentation refers to estimates of petroleum reserves contained in Santos’ Annual Report released to the ASX on 21 February 2018 (Annual Reserves Statement). Santos confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the Annual Reserves Statement and that all the material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the Annual Reserves Statement continue to apply and have not materially changed.
The estimates of petroleum reserves contained in this presentation are as at 31 December 2017. Santos prepares its petroleum reserves estimates in accordance with the Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS) sponsored by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE). Unless otherwise stated, all references to petroleum reserves quantities in this presentation are Santos’ net share. Reference points for Santos’ petroleum reserves and production are defined points within Santos’ operations where normal exploration and production business ceases, and quantities of produced product are measured under defined conditions prior to custody transfer. Fuel, flare and vent consumed to the reference points are excluded. Petroleum reserves are aggregated by arithmetic summation by category and as a result, proved reserves may be a very conservative estimate due to the portfolio effects of arithmetic summation. Petroleum reserves are typically prepared by deterministic methods with support from probabilistic methods. Petroleum reserves replacement ratio is the ratio of the change in petroleum reserves (excluding production) divided by production. Organic reserves replacement ratio excludes net acquisitions and divestments. Conversion factors: 1PJ of sales gas and ethane equals 171,937 boe; 1 tonne of LPG equals 8.458 boe; 1 barrel of condensate equals 0.935 boe; 1 barrel of crude oil equals 1 boe.
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
2
Turnaround delivered ahead of lan p
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Santos now well-positioned to unlock significant shareholder value and capitalise on a clear strategy to Build and Grow the business
Strengthened the balance sheet Simplified the portfolio Reduced costs and increased efficiencies Advanced significant growth opportunities Embedded a new disciplined operating model Delivered a strong operating performance
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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2017 Full- ear hi hli hts y g g
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Significant turnaround in business performance
Forecast free cash flow breakeven reduced
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Forecast free cash flow breakeven [1]
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Balance sheet strengthened
Net debt
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36.50
+ $618 million free cash flow 3.5 + Ample liquidity of
32
generated $3.2 billion in cash and
2.7
undrawn bilateral facilities
+ Focus remains on maximising
12% operating cash flow to reduce 22% + Target $2 billion in net debt
debt by the end of 2019
2016 2017 2016 2017 + No final dividend declared
Underlying profit increased Disciplined cost control
Underlying NPAT Upstream unit production cost
336 + Underlying profit $273 million 8.45 8.07 + Cultural shift to lean, focused
higher operations with rigorous cost
control
+ Net loss of $360 million,
433% incorporates previously 4% + Proven cost performance
announced US$689 million supports increasing
63
after-tax net impairment development activity to unlock
2016 2017 2016 2017
US$ per bbl US$ billion
US$ million US$ per boe
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-
- Proven cost performance supports increasing development activity to unlock future gas supply
1 Free cash flow breakeven is the average annual oil price in 2017 at which cash flows from operating activities (including hedging) equals cash flows from investing activities. Forecast methodology uses corporate assumptions. Excludes one-off restructuring and redundancy costs, and asset divestitures and acquisitions.
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
4
Stron free cash eneration g g
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$1.4 billion turnaround in free cash generation in two years
Free cash flow[1]
US$ million
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618
206
2016 2017
2015
(739)
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-
- 2018 forecast free cash flow breakeven ~$36/bbl[2]
-
- includes all 2018 forecast capex
-
- Every $10/bbl increment in oil price above free cash flow breakeven increases free cash flow by $250-300 million per annum
-
- Priorities for cash allocation
-
- Debt repayment
-
- Fund exploration
-
- Fund growth projects
-
- Returns to shareholders
1 Operating cash flows less investing cash flows net of acquisitions and disposals.
2 Free cash flow breakeven is the average annual oil price in 2018 at which cash flows from operating activities (including hedging) equals cash flows from investing activities. Forecast methodology uses corporate assumptions. Excludes one-off restructuring and redundancy costs, and asset divestitures and acquisitions.
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
5
Build & Grow
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Execute and bring on-line growth opportunities across the core portfolio
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BUILD & GROW
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NORTHERN AUSTRALIA
- Barossa field identified as lead candidate for Darwin LNG backfill. FEED targeted for 2Q 2018 + Development study of Petrel-Tern initiated + Crown-Lasseter well positioned for backfill or expansion of existing infrastructure
PNG
QUEENSLAND
-
Further debottlenecking of existing PNG LNG plant
-
Commercialise uncontracted Eastern Qld gas
-
Roma East sanctioned
-
- PNG LNG expansion
-
Arcadia sanction targeted for 1H 2018
-
Western Area farm-in executed. JV alignment continues to strengthen
-
Aiming to ramp-up GLNG LNG sales to ~6 mtpa by the end of 2019
COOPER BASIN
NARRABRI
-
EIS submitted and approvals process underway
-
Expect to drill 70-80 wells in 2018 with 3 rigs to grow production
-
Strong inventory build. >100 E&A opportunities identified
-
Introduced to core portfolio
-
Accelerated exploration and appraisal focus
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
6
Sustainabilit y
SAFETY & ENVIRONMENT
-
- Increased focus on process safety and incidents with potential for significant harm
-
- Continued focus on compliance to safety critical maintenance activities
-
Energy Solutions group evaluating and selecting new technologies to reduce emissions and increase gas supply
CLIMATE CHANGE & SUSTAINABILITY REPORTING
-
- Consistently reported our greenhouse gas emissions and sustainability data since 2004
-
- Inaugural Climate Change Report consistent with TCFD Guidelines published in February 2018
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LOST TIME INJURY FREQUENCY RATE Three year rolling average (2012 – 2017)
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1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
rate per million hours worked
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GOVERNANCE, SYSTEMS AND PROCESSES
-
- Strong and streamlined governance structures and processes developed in 2017
-
- Strengthened risk management processes
-
- Increased focus on organisational capability development
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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LNG Marketin and Tradin g g
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Santos and ENN Ecological in discussions to establish an LNG trading joint venture
Chinese gas demand
-
- Builds on the existing strategic relationship between Santos and ENN
-
- The LNG trading joint venture will:
-
- focus on the increasing LNG demand across growing Chinese and international markets
-
- give both parties increased access to LNG markets
-
- provide access to ENN’s Zhoushan import terminal in China
-
- ENN is one of the largest natural gas distributors in China. ENN invests in and operates gas pipeline infrastructure, vehicle/ship refuelling stations, and the sales and distribution of pipeline gas and LNG
-
- ENN to commission the Zhoushan import terminal (3 mtpa capacity) in 2H of 2018
-
- Targeting definitive JV agreement Q2 2018
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mtpa
350
300
250
200
150
100
9% CAGR
50
0
2015 2020 2025
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Production Net Import (Pipe)
Net Import (LNG) Demand
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Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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Drivin sustainable shareholder value g
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Being a low-cost, reliable and high performance business underpins the significant organic growth options across the core portfolio
-
DISCIPLINED CORE LONG-LIFE GAS
-
OPERATING MODEL ASSET PORTFOLIO + Core long-life gas assets positioned to provide stable
-
Core portfolio free cash flow production, pre-major breakeven at ≤$40/bbl oil growth opportunities price through the oil price + Targeting production growth
-
cycle across all core assets
-
Each core asset free cash + Major growth opportunities:
-
flow positive at ≤$40/bbl, + PNG LNG expansion
-
pre-major growth spend + Barossa backfill to Darwin LNG + Narrabri Gas Project
-
- Core portfolio free cash flow breakeven at ≤$40/bbl oil price through the oil price cycle
-
- Each core asset free cash flow positive at ≤$40/bbl, pre-major growth spend
-
MAXIMISE FREE CASH FLOW
-
- Priorities for cash allocation + Debt repayment + Fund exploration + Fund growth projects + Returns to shareholders
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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Finance & capital management Anthony Neilson CFO
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Financial riorities p
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Significant progress in 2017 on our financial priorities
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REDUCING INCREASING REDUCING DEBT CAPITAL
COSTS FREE CASH FLOW MANAGEMENT
+ EURO 1 billion
Subordinated
+ Free cash flow Notes redeemed
+ Net debt
$618 million and replaced by
+ Unit upstream $2.7 billion $800 million 10-
+ $412 million
production costs + $0.8 billion year Reg-S bond
$8.07 per boe + excludes net cash from asset + Gross debt + Annual interest cost
+ $0.38/boe disposals and $4 billion savings of
acquisitions of >$40 million per
$96 million + $1.6 billion annum
+ $600 million ECA
facility prepayment
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2017 full-year compared to 2016 full-year outcomes
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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2017 Full- ear financial sna shot y p
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Underlying profit up 433% to $336 million. Net loss of $360 million incorporates $703 million after tax net impairment ($689 million taken at half-year results)
| US$ million | 2017 | 2016 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Product sales | 3,107 | 2,594 | 20% |
| EBITDAX | 1,428 | 1,199 | 19% |
| Underlying profit1 | 336 | 63 | 433% |
| Net loss after tax | (360) | (1,047) | 66% |
| Operating cash flow | 1,248 | 840 | 49% |
| Free cash flow2 | 618 | 206 | 200% |
| Net debt | 2,731 | 3,492 | 22% |
1 For a reconciliation of 2017 Full-year net loss to underlying profit, refer to Appendix.
2 Operating cash flow less investing cash flows net of acquisitions and disposals.
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
12
Stron free cash flow eneration g g
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Free cash flow up 200% to $618 million continues trend of improving free cash generation
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Operating cash flow Investing cash flow [1] Free cash flow [1]
US$ million US$ million US$ million
618
1,248 2015 2016 2017
206
840 2016 2017
811
(634) (630)
2015
2015 2016 2017 (1,550) (739)
49% 1% 200%
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Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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1 Excludes acquisitions / divestments
Production and sales volumes
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Core asset production 4% higher. Core asset sales volumes 5% higher
Production volume
mmboe
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61.6
57.7 59.5
2015 2016 2017
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Core assets Other assets
Sales volume
mmboe
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84.1 83.4
64.3
2015 2016 2017
Own product Third party
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-
- Core asset production increased 4% to 51.8 mmboe, primarily due to the ramp-up of GLNG
-
- Core asset sales volumes 5% higher at 75.7 mmboe due to increased upstream production and third party purchases
-
- Production from other assets decreased 35% to 7.7 mmboe primarily due to the sale of the Victorian, Mereenie and Stag assets
-
- 2018 full-year guidance maintained at 55-60 mmboe
-
Other assets 4 mmboe lower primarily due to asset sales
-
-
- LNG sales volumes up 10% to a record 3.1 million tonnes due to strong performance from PNG LNG and the ramp-up of GLNG
-
2018 full-year guidance maintained at 72-78 mmboe
-
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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Sales revenue
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Sales revenue higher due to higher oil and LNG prices, and higher LNG sales volumes
| US$ million | 2017 2016 Var |
|---|---|
| Sales Revenue (incl. third party) Gas, ethane and liquefied gas Crude oil Condensate and naphtha Liquefied petroleum gas |
2,205 1,784 24% 579 575 1% 235 183 28% 88 52 69% |
| Total1 | 3,107 2,594 20% |
- 1 Total product sales include third-party product sales of $926 million (2016: $643 million)
Average realised crude Average realised LNG oil price up 25% price up 21%
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57.85
46.43
2016 2017
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7.31
6.03
2016 2017
US$ per mmbtu
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-
- Sales revenue up 20% to $3.1 billion
-
- Average realised LNG price up 21% to $7.31/mmbtu
-
- Higher average realised oil prices (up 25%) offset lower sales volumes
-
- Condensate sales volumes and average prices both higher
2017 sales revenue by asset
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Northern
Australia
4.9% WA Gas
7.8%
Cooper Basin Other
24.3% Oil
Sales gas, 10.9%$579m
ethane and
LNG
Corporate &
Queensland$2,205m Trading
23.5% 11.7%
PNG
16.9%
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Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
Production costs
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Production costs down 8% primarily due to cost saving initiatives
-
- Unit upstream production costs down 4% to $8.07/boe
| US$ million | 2017 2016 Var |
|---|---|
| Production costs Production cost (US$/boe) |
481 520 (8)% 8.07 8.45 (4)% |
| Other operating costs | |
| LNG plant costs | 63 58 9% |
| Pipeline tariffs, processing tolls & other |
181 174 4% (16) 29 (155)% |
| Onerous contract | |
| Royalty and excise | 64 43 49% |
| Shipping costs | 18 22 (18)% |
| Total other operating costs | 310 326 (5)% |
| Total | 791 846 (7)% |
-
- Cooper Basin down 13% to $9.32/boe
-
- Queensland down 8% to $5.92/boe
-
- LNG plant costs up primarily due to full-year of GLNG T2 in 2017
-
- Onerous contract provision 155% lower due to M&T optimising infrastructure positions and increased utilisation
-
- Royalty and excise higher primarily due to higher sales revenue
-
- 2018 upstream unit cost guidance maintained at $8.2-8.8/boe
-
- Planned shutdown activities at PNG LNG and Moomba
-
- Stronger AUD/USD exchange rate is providing upward pressure on AUD costs when translated into USD
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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Financial erformance p
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EBITDAX up 19% to $1.4 billion. Underlying NPAT up 433% to $336 million
| US$ million | 2017 2016 Var |
|---|---|
| Total revenue/income Production costs Other operating costs Third party product purchases Other1 Foreign exchange (losses)/gains Fair value losses on commodity hedges EBITDAX |
3,264 2,747 19% (481) (520) (8)% (310) (326) (5)% (696) (544) 28% (133) (178) (25)% (153) 34 (550)% (63) (14) (350)% |
| 1,428 1,199 19% |
|
| Exploration and evaluation expense | (94) (138) (32)% |
| Depreciation and depletion | (742) (741) 0% |
| Impairment losses | (938) (1,561) (40)% |
| Change in future restoration | 31 37 (16)% |
| EBIT | (315) (1,204) (74)% |
| Net finance costs | (270) (281) (4)% |
| Loss before tax | (585) (1,485) (61)% |
| Tax benefit/(expense) | 225 438 (49)% |
| Loss after tax | (360) (1,047) (66)% |
| Underlying profit | 336 63 433% |
-
- Revenue up 19% to $3.3 billion due to higher oil and LNG prices, and higher LNG sales volumes
-
- Lower production costs primarily due to Cooper Basin cost efficiencies and divestment of non-core assets
-
- Higher third party product purchases reflect ramp-up in GLNG demand and higher Santos portfolio volumes
-
- Foreign exchange losses in 2017 primarily represent FX movements on revaluations of tax bases which are offset in tax expense, plus FX movements on foreign currency cash balances
-
- Fair value losses on commodity hedges represent mark-tomarket valuation of oil hedge contracts at year-end
-
- Pre-tax net impairment charge of $938 million primarily due to net impairments taken at half-year
1 Other includes product stock movement, corporate expenses, other expenses and share of profit of joint ventures
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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Ca ital ex enditure p p
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Full-year capex $682 million. 2018 capex guidance maintained at $825-875 million
-
- Capital expenditure of $682 million
Capital expenditure[1]
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US$ million
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-
- includes Muruk acquisition and exploration drilling costs (Exploration)
-
- Barossa appraisal drilling (Northern Australia)
-
- 2018 capital expenditure guidance maintained at $825-875 million
-
- Cooper Basin 3-rig program drilling 70-80 wells
-
- GLNG drilling ~250 wells
-
- PNG LNG Angore pipeline and surface facilities
-
- Northern Australia Bayu-Undan 3-well infill program and Barossa FEED
1 Capital expenditure incurred includes abandonment expenditure but excludes capitalised interest
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1,288
682
625
2015 2016 2017
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2017 Full-year capital expenditure[1]
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PNG
WA Gas
$18m
$37m
Northern
Australia
$55m
Cooper Basin
$199m
Other
$81m
Corporate &
Queensland Exploration
$178m $114m
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18
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
Net debt reduced to $2.7 billion
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Target $2 billion in net debt by the end of 2019
-
- Net debt reduced to $2.7 billion[1] through a combination of free cash flow, previously announced asset sales and proceeds from the Share Purchase Plan
-
- Focus remains on using surplus cash flow for debt reduction
-
- Gross debt reduced to $4 billion, down $1.6 billion
-
- Annual interest cost savings of >$40 million per annum
-
- S&P BBB- (stable) credit rating
-
- Liquidity of $3.2 billion[1]
-
- $1.2 billion in cash
-
- $2 billion in undrawn bi-lateral bank debt facilities
Movement in net debt to 31 December 2017
$ million
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3,492
(96)
630 102
2,731
(149)
(1,248)
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Opening net Net cash Operating Investing Share Other non Closing net debt (31 Dec from asset cash flow cash flow Purchase cash debt (31 Dec 2016) disposals Plan 2017) and acquisitions
1 As at 31 December 2017
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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Drawn debt maturit rofile y p
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Euro hybrid redeemed and replaced with more efficient long-term debt funding. Early repayment of $600 million 2019 ECA supported loan facility occurred in 2017
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Drawn debt maturity profile as at Breakdown of drawn debt
31 December 2017 [1] facilities as at 31 December 2017 [1]
$million
1,200
972
900
815
Senior unsecured
58%
600
490 PNG LNG
project
finance (non-
317
289 recourse)
300 219 209 244 253 42%
124
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 + Weighted average term to
Long-term notes ECA supported loan facilities maturity ~5 years
PNG LNG project finance Reg-S Bond
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Drawn debt maturity profile excluding
PNG LNG as at 31 December 2017 [1]
$million
1,200
900
808 815
600
300 277
64 60 62 68 70 18 -
0
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Long-term notes ECA supported loan facilities Reg-S Bond
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¹ Excludes finance leases and derivatives.
20
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
Summar y
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In 2018 the focus remains on reducing costs, increasing free cash flow, reducing debt and disciplined capital management
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REDUCING INCREASING REDUCING DEBT CAPITAL
COSTS FREE CASH FLOW MANAGEMENT
+ Forecast 2018 group
+ Cost out continuing free cash flow + Capital management
+ Target $2 billion in
in 2018 for core and breakeven expected strategy in place and
net debt by the end
non-core assets to be ~$36/bbl oil continues to target
of 2019
price efficient debt
+ Lower cost base
+ Further gross debt funding
allows increase in + Disciplined model,
reduction through
activity to build and all core assets free + Prudent oil price
free cash flow
grow the business cash flow breakeven hedging
≤$40/bbl oil price
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Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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Operations review Kevin Gallagher Managing Director & CEO
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Northern Australia
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Three significant multi-Tcf resource hubs well positioned for backfill or expansion of existing infrastructure
+ Bonaparte Basin
-
- Two-well appraisal campaign strengthened Barossa (Santos 25%) as lead candidate for Darwin LNG backfill
-
- Significant increase in resource size
-
- Brownfield development leveraging existing infrastructure
-
- FEED targeted for Q2 2018 and FID in late 2019
-
- Development study of Petrel-Tern initiated (Santos 35-40%)
+ Browse Basin
-
- Retention leases secured over Crown-Lasseter fields (Santos 30% and operator); well positioned for backfill or expansion of existing infrastructure
-
- Evaluating monetisation opportunities
-
- Material exploration inventory
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Barossa
Caldita
Bayu-Undan
Darwin LNG Icthys
Petrel LNG
Tern
Crown
Prelude
Lasseter Blacktip
Icthys CPF
Wadeye gas plant
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Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
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Northern Australia
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Strong Darwin LNG performance and successful Barossa appraisal campaign
-
- Darwin LNG continues to achieve excellent reliability and availability (Santos 11.5%)
-
- 51 LNG cargoes shipped in 2017 + 3.3 million tonnes of LNG produced
-
- Bayu-Undan in-fill program expected to deliver first gas in Q4 2018
-
- EBITDAX in-line with prior year
-
- Capex higher due to successful Barossa two-well appraisal campaign
| Asset KPIs | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| Production (mmboe) | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Sales volume (mmboe) | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Revenue (US$m) | 153 | 145 |
| Production cost (US$/boe) | 18.95 | 17.58 |
| EBITDAX (US$m) | 87 | 86 |
| Capex (US$m) | 55 | 14 |
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EBITDAX
86 87
1%
US$ million 2016 2017
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Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
PNG
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Well-positioned to participate in PNG LNG expansion
+ Muruk appraisal, 21 kilometres from Hides
-
- Multi-Tcf contingent resource potential; excellent reservoir quality and flow rates
-
- Seismic acquisition over Muruk and adjacent Karoma prospect
-
- Muruk 2 appraisal well expected to spud Q2 2018
+ Western area farm-in announced Q4 2017 (Santos 20%)[1]
-
- Exploration position aligned along the Hides-P’nyang trend with JV partners ExxonMobil and Oil Search
-
- Aure Fold Belt farm-in announced Q4 2017 (Santos 20%)[1] , southeast of the Elk/Antelope fields
-
- Barikewa appraisal (Santos 40%), 5 kilometres from PNG LNG sales gas pipeline
-
- Barikewa 3 appraisal well expected to spud in 2018
1 Subject to conditions precedent including Government approval
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Western area farm-in
P’nyang
Muruk & Karoma
Juha Hides
Angore
Kutubu
Aure farm-in
Barikewa
Pandora PNG LNG plant
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Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
25
PNG
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Record PNG LNG performance
-
- EBITDAX 23% higher due to higher LNG prices, strong operating performance and lower unit costs
-
- 110 LNG cargoes shipped in 2017
-
- PNG LNG maximum day rate of 8.9 mtpa achieved, 30% above nameplate capacity (Santos 13.5%)
-
- Further debottlenecking opportunities
-
- Continue to work with partners to align interests to support expansion opportunities
-
- PNG LNG reserves upgrade due to continued strong Hides field performance, including an upgraded condensate forecast, and improved LNG plant performance
| Asset KPIs | 2017 | 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Production (mmboe) | 12.6 | 12.2 | |
| Sales volume (mmboe) | 12.0 | 11.8 | |
| Revenue (US$m) | 532 | 444 | |
| Production cost (US$/boe) | 4.37 | 4.59 | |
| EBITDAX (US$m) | 430 | 350 | |
| Capex (US$m) | 18 | 8 |
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----- Start of picture text -----
EBITDAX
430
350
23%
US$ million 2016 2017
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26
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
Onshore East Coast Australia
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Australia’s lowest-cost onshore operations set to benefit from supplying domestic and export markets
-
- Sustainable structural cost reductions now embedded
-
- Lower Cooper Basin costs and increased exploration expected to deliver reserves additions over time
-
- 2018 drilling activity expected to increase
-
- 70-80 wells in the Cooper Basin
-
- ~250 wells in GLNG
-
- Expect to supply ~70 PJ into the East Coast domestic market in 2018
-
- Medium-term growth opportunities as a result of large uncontracted Eastern Queensland gas reserves
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----- Start of picture text -----
Queensland
+ GLNG
+ Eastern Qld
Wallumbilla
Moomba
Cooper Basin
Narrabri
Gas Project
----- End of picture text -----
-
- Strategic infrastructure position and gas storage
-
- Narrabri introduced to core portfolio
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
27
Queensland[1]
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Stronger asset performance due to ramp-up of GLNG and lower costs
| + EBITDAX 72% higher due to increased upstream production, higher third-party volumes, lower cost operations and higher LNG prices + Unit production costs down 8% to $5.92/boe + Lowest cost onshore operator in Queensland + Roma drill-complete-connect well costs down 44% to $0.9 million + GLNG produced 5.2 million tonnes of LNG in 2017 with 89 cargoes shipped + Roma 2B and 3A projects complete, Scotia CF1 project >70% complete and ahead of schedule + Roma East development drilling commenced + Progressing Arcadia development toward sanction by end of 1H 2018 + Agreements executed to evacuate uncontracted Eastern |
Asset KPIs 2017 2016 |
Asset KPIs 2017 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| Production (mmboe) 11.5 9.5 Sales volume (mmboe) 22.7 19.2 |
||
| Revenue (US$m) 764 540 |
||
| Production cost (US$/boe) 5.92 6.44 |
||
| EBITDAX (US$m) 329 191 |
||
| Capex (US$m) 178 228 |
||
| US$ million | EBITDAX 191 2016 2017 329 72% |
-
- Agreements executed to evacuate uncontracted Eastern Queensland gas
1 Queensland asset segment was previously called GLNG. The assets included in the segment are unchanged and include the GLNG Joint Venture plus Santos’ non-operated interests in Combabula, Ramyard, Spring Gully and Denison.
28
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
Coo er Basin p
==> picture [70 x 19] intentionally omitted <==
Transformed to low-cost, efficient drill-complete-connect operations
-
- EBITDAX 27% higher due to lower cost operations, improved productivity and higher oil prices
-
- Improved drilling cycle times have led to embedded and sustainable cost reductions
-
- Drill-stimulate-complete gas well costs down 33% to $2.8 million
-
- Unit production costs down 13% to US$9.32/boe + Lower costs and renewed exploration focus expected to lead to reserves additions over time
-
- 5 mmboe increase in 2P reserves before production in 2017
-
- Significant progress in identifying new potential growth prospects
-
- Moomba South renewed exploration and appraisal focus
| Asset KPIs 2017 2016 |
Asset KPIs 2017 2016 |
|---|---|
| Production (mmboe) 14.4 15.1 Sales volume (mmboe) 21.0 23.5 |
|
| Revenue (US$m) 833 768 |
|
| Production cost (US$/boe) 9.32 10.71 |
|
| EBITDAX (US$m) 328 258 |
|
| Capex (US$m) 199 173 |
|
| US$ million | EBITDAX 258 2016 2017 328 27% |
29
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
Coo er Basin Growth – Moomba South p
==> picture [70 x 19] intentionally omitted <==
Renewed exploration and appraisal focus in underexplored areas beneath a mature field. Significant resource potential adjacent to Moomba Plant
-
- Thick gas-saturated Patchawarra sequence intersected but not developed in historical wells
-
- Moomba 212 success in 2016 reinvigorates Moomba flank play in underexplored areas of the mature field
-
- Ongoing appraisal success will enable maturation to reserves
-
- Low execution costs are an enabler
LOWER PATCHAWARRA VC50 DEPTH STRUCTURE
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----- Start of picture text -----
MOOMBA
PLANT
M212
A
A’
POTENTIAL
APPRAISAL
LOCATIONS
PATCHAWARRA
PENETRATIONS
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [160 x 248] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
A A’
M212 PRODUCING ZONES
ONLAPPING
PATCHAWARRA PLAY
----- End of picture text -----
30
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
Western Australia Gas
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Low cost operations with capacity and reserves to meet short and long-term demand
| + | Higher production, sales volumes and revenues |
|---|---|
| + | Low-cost, high margin conventional domestic gas assets |
| generating strong free cash flow |
| + | Low-cost, high margin conventional domestic gas assets generating strong free cash flow |
Low-cost, high margin conventional domestic gas assets generating strong free cash flow |
|---|---|---|
| + | Positive market fundamentals | |
| + | Supply deficit emerging from early 2020s | |
| + | Expected that ~50% (1,000 PJ) of forecast market demand needs to be | |
| re-contracted during 2019-24 | ||
| + | Santos has significant uncontracted 2P reserves | |
| + | Signed two new gas sales agreements with Wesfarmers commencing in | |
| 2018 |
| Asset KPIs 2017 2016 |
Asset KPIs 2017 2016 |
|---|---|
| Production (mmboe) 9.2 8.9 Sales volume (mmboe) 9.4 8.8 |
|
| Revenue (US$m) 262 184 |
|
| Production cost (US$/boe) 5.82 5.11 |
|
| EBITDAX (US$m) 201 206 |
|
| Capex (US$m) 37 24 |
|
| US$ million | EBITDAX 206 2016 2017 201 2% |
31
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
Other assets
==> picture [70 x 19] intentionally omitted <==
Packaged and run separately for value as a standalone business. Portfolio to be continually optimised to realise value
-
- Strong performance from Asian assets
-
- EBITDAX $177 million
-
- Continued strong free cash generation from production of 6.1 mmboe
-
- Cost reductions through operating efficiencies and moving to unmanned offshore operations in the Sampang PSC
-
- 7 mmboe 2P reserves increase (>100% RRR)
| Asset KPIs | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| Production (mmboe) | 7.7 | 11.8 |
| Sales volume (mmboe) | 7.7 | 11.7 |
| Revenue (US$m) | 346 | 411 |
| Production cost (US$/boe) | 15.91 | 14.06 |
| EBITDAX (US$m) Capex (US$m) |
223 81 |
246 84 |
-
- Production and sales volumes from Australian non-core assets lower primarily due to the sale of the Victorian, Mereenie and Stag assets
EBITDAX
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----- Start of picture text -----
246
223
9%
US$ million 2016 2017
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32
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
2018 strate ic riorities g p
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Business focus aligned with the core strategy
Focus on business improvement and operational efficiencies to further reduce costs and maximise operating cash flow
Disciplined allocation of free cash to repay debt and build production levels across core assets
Disciplined exploration and appraisal around core assets
Progress major growth opportunities in core assets
Strengthen and develop Santos’ high-performance culture
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
33
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Appendix
==> picture [158 x 77] intentionally omitted <==
Reserves
==> picture [70 x 19] intentionally omitted <==
-
1P reserves increased by 44 mmboe before production (90% organic RRR) 2P reserves increased by 19 mmboe before production (62% organic RRR)
-
- Improving trend of 2P organic reserve replacement
-
- Developed 2P reserves increased to 57% of total 2P reserves (from 51% in 2016)
-
- Reserve upgrades in PNG, Asia, Cooper Basin and WA Gas before 2017 production
2P organic reserve replacement ratio (RRR) %
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----- Start of picture text -----
100
62%
50
19%
2017
0%
0
2015 2016 2017
----- End of picture text -----
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----- Start of picture text -----
2P reserves
mmboe
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----- Start of picture text -----
848
Other
WA Gas
Northern
Australia
PNG
Queensland
Cooper Basin
2017
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Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
35
Si nificant items g
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Reconciliation of full-year net loss to underlying profit
| US$million 2017 2016 |
US$million 2017 2016 |
US$million 2017 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| Net profit/(loss) after tax | (360) | (1,047) |
| Add/(deduct) significant items after tax | ||
| Impairment losses | 703 | 1,101 |
| Net gains on asset sales | (59) | (17) |
| Other items | 52 | 26 |
| Underlying profit | 336 | 63 |
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
36
Li uidit and net debt as at 31 December 2017 q y
==> picture [70 x 19] intentionally omitted <==
$3.2 billion in cash and committed undrawn debt facilities
| Liquidity (US$million) | Liquidity (US$million) | 31 Dec 2017 | 31 Dec 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 1,231 | 2,026 | |
| Undrawn bilateral bank debt facilities | 2,020 | 2,313 | |
| Total liquidity | 3,251 | 4,339 | |
| Debt (US$million) | |||
| Export credit agency supported loan facilities | Senior, unsecured | 1,057 | 1,734 |
| US Private Placement | Senior, unsecured | 424 | 619 |
| Reg-S bond | Senior, unsecured | 783 | - |
| PNG LNG project finance | Non-recourse, secured | 1,616 | 1,749 |
| Euro-denominated hybrid notes | Subordinated | - | 1,049 |
| Other | Finance leases and derivatives | 82 | 367 |
| Total debt | 3,962 | 5,518 | |
| Santos 2017 Full-Year Results Total net debt |
2,731 | 37 3,492 |
2017 Full- ear se ment results summar y g y
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| 2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2017 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 833 | 764 | 532 | 153 | 262 | 346 | 282 | 3,172 |
| Production costs | (134) | (68) | (55) | (75) | (54) | (123) | 28 | (481) |
| Other operating costs |
(88) | (73) | (46) | - | (20) | (13) | (70) | (310) |
| Third party product purchases |
(200) | (275) | (1) | - | - | - | (220) | (696) |
| Inter-segment purchases |
(1) | (34) | - | - | - | - | 35 | - |
| Product stock movement |
(58) | 23 | 1 | 1 | (4) | (3) | (5) | (45) |
| Other income | - | 1 | 2 | - | 34 | 43 | 12 | 92 |
| Other expenses | (21) | (4) | (3) | (3) | (17) | (26) | (88) | (162) |
| FX gains and losses |
(3) | (5) | - | - | - | (1) | (144) | (153) |
| Share of profit of joint ventures |
- | - | - | 11 | - | - | - | 11 |
| EBITDAX | 328 | 329 | 430 | 87 | 201 | 223 | (170) | 1,428 |
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
38
2016 Full- ear se ment results summar y g y
==> picture [70 x 19] intentionally omitted <==
| 2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
2016 US$million Cooper Basin QLD PNG Northern Australia WA Gas Other Assets Corporate explor’n & elimins Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 768 | 540 | 444 | 145 | 184 | 411 | 135 | 2,627 |
| Production costs | (160) | (61) | (56) | (73) | (46) | (166) | 42 | (520) |
| Other operating costs |
(77) | (74) | (38) | - | (5) | (16) | (116) | (326) |
| Third party product purchases |
(201) | (142) | (1) | - | - | (3) | (197) | (544) |
| Inter-segment purchases |
(18) | (75) | - | - | - | - | 93 | - |
| Product stock movement |
(11) | (12) | - | - | 3 | - | (7) | (27) |
| Other income | 1 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 73 | 39 | (17) | 120 |
| Other expenses | (44) | (8) | (1) | (4) | (6) | (16) | (96) | (175) |
| FX gains and losses |
- | 9 | - | - | 3 | (3) | 25 | 34 |
| Share of profit of joint ventures |
- | - | - | 10 | - | - | - | 10 |
| EBITDAX | 258 | 191 | 350 | 86 | 206 | 246 | (138) | 1,199 |
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
39
2018 Guidance
==> picture [70 x 19] intentionally omitted <==
2018 guidance maintained
| 2018 Guidance | 2018 Guidance |
|---|---|
| Sales volumes | 72-78 mmboe |
| Production | 55-60 mmboe |
| Upstream production costs | US$8.2-8.8/boe |
| DD&A | US$725-775 million |
| Capital expenditure | US$825-875 million |
Capital expenditure guidance includes abandonment expenditure but excludes capitalised interest.
-
- Production and sales guidance maintained
+ Upstream unit cost guidance maintained at $8.2-8.8/boe
-
- Higher costs due to planned DLNG/Bayu-Undan shutdown
-
- Lower production from PNG LNG and Moomba major shutdowns
-
- Lower production from non-core assets
-
- Stronger AUD/USD exchange rate is providing upward pressure on AUD costs when translated into USD
-
- DD&A US$725-775 million
-
- Capital expenditure guidance maintained
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
40
Im airment p
==> picture [70 x 19] intentionally omitted <==
Net impairment of $703 million after tax taken in 2017, primarily due to lower oil prices
-
- In determining the carrying value of its assets, Santos considers a range of asset and macro assumptions, including oil price, exchange rates, discount rates, production and costs
| Brent US$ oil price | Dec |
|---|---|
| assumptions | 2017 |
| 2018 | 55 |
| 2019 | 60 |
| 2020 | 65 |
| 2021 | 70 |
| 2022 | 771 |
| 2023+ | 791 |
- 1 US$70/bbl long-term (2017 real) from 2022
Previously announced impairments taken at 2017 halfyear: GLNG: net impairment of $867 million
-
- as a result of the changes in assumptions, predominantly lower US$ oil prices
Cooper Basin: positive net write-back of $336 million
-
- lower assumed costs and higher assumed development activity and production, supported by significant improvements in drill, stimulate and connect unit cost performance, partially offset by lower US$ oil prices
AAL: net impairment of $149 million
-
- lower US$ oil prices
Impairments taken at 2017 full-year:
Other assets: net impairment of $14 million
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
41
Oil rice hed in p g g
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Oil price hedging provides protection to oil price downside
| Open oil price positions | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Zero-cost three-way collars (barrels) Brent short call price ($/bbl) Brent long put price ($/bbl) Brent short put price ($/bbl) Zero-cost collars (barrels) Brent long put price ($/bbl) |
11,439,500 US$60.30 US$48.48 US$40.80 - - |
- - - - 3,431,000 US$45.00 |
| Brent short call price ($/bbl) | - | US$79.27 |
2018 Zero-cost three-way collar hedge
==> picture [298 x 148] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
$70 Short call
US$60.30
$60 Long put
Short put US$48.48
$50 US$40.80
$40
$30 Realise
Realise Brent Realise Brent Realise US$60.30
plus US$7.68 US$48.48 price
$20
$20 $30 $40.80 $41 $48.48 $48 $60.30 $60 $70 $80
Brent (US$/bbl)
Realised Price (US$/bbl)
----- End of picture text -----
As at 21 February 2018
Santos 2017 Full-Year Results
42