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Salcef Group — Investor Presentation 2022
Mar 17, 2022
4374_ip_2022-03-17_556229d3-daa0-4bc3-a9d5-b769a5c0a859.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FY 2021 Results Presentation
17 March 2022
Speakers
Valeriano Salciccia Chief Executive Officer
Fabio De Masi Chief Financial Officer
Alessio Crosa
IR & Sustainability Manager
Key messages
- A year of consistent delivery in line with expectations and strategic targets
- Solid growth trends and profitability confirmed also in 4Q
- Remarkable commercial performance leading to a € 1.2 Bn Backlog. Good start to the year with ~€ 100 Mln new contracts in Italy and the US
- National Recovery and Resilience Plan already materializing into new contracts, with 2022 to be the key year for new tenders
- Distribution of a € 0.46 dividend proposed to the AGM (vs. € 0.42 last year)
- 2022 to confirm sizeable growth, with activities focused on operational excellence, industrial/new products development, M&A
Robust growth since IPO…
€ Mln
…with room and strong commitment to further boost it in the coming years
-
Adjusted to exclude the impact on financial expenses of the fair value gains and losses on the "warrant in compendio e integrativi" and, only for 2020 and 2021, the tax impact of the reversal of deferred tax assets on revaluations
-
2019 and 2020 adjusted to exclude financial liabilities related to outstanding "warrant in compendio e integrativi" as of 31 December 2021 and 31 December 2020 respectively
Progresses on NRPP implementation
Funds already flowing into contracts
2 contracts signed for more than € 200 mln for the construction of the new high-speedhigh-capacity Verona-Padua railway line
Timely entry into force of sector reforms
-
- Regulatory change that reduces the authorization process for new railway projects from 11 to 6 months
-
- Legislative change that shortens the approval process of the Program Contract between the Ministry of Infrastructure and Sustainable Mobility and RFI
Tenders focused on 2022
During a public event, the CEO and COO of RFI announced that in 2022 19 new tenders for € 15.5 Bn will be launched, of which approximately € 6 Bn in 1H2 . New tenders will be based on new pricing lists, recently adapted to CPI
Delivery of investments
2020-2021 expenditures by RFI at € 2.5 Bn, higher than the € 2.2 Bn budget, mainly driven by progresses on the already ongoing HS projects1
GROWING DEMAND FOR RAILWAY MAINTENANCE EXPECTED
The "Strategic paper on railway mobility of people and freight", issued at the end of December 2021 and aimed at speeding up the approval of the 2022-2026 PCO, includes an overview of the future maintenance needs
| Ordinary Maintenance |
Extraordinary Maintenance |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-2021 PCO | 1 | 0.8 | ||||
| 2022-2026 PCO (to be approved) |
1.2 | 2.2 | ||||
| PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE: 1.5 | ||||||
| ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE: 0.2 | ||||||
| TECHNOLOGICAL INFRASTRUCTURE: 0.3 | ||||||
| OTHER: 0.2 |
Spending for maintenance activities +80% vs. previous PCO mainly due to increasing demand of transportation and growing network size (+540 km of new HS lines, upgrade/development of ~1,900 km of national lines and 700 km electrified)
Revenues
€ Mln
- Consolidated Revenues at € 440.1 Mln, up 29.3% YoY mainly due to:
- Outstanding organic growth at 17.8%
- Change in perimeter with the full consolidation of Delta (€ 32.7 Mln1 ) and, to a lesser extent, Bahnbau Nord (€ 8.5 Mln) impacting mainly Track & Light Civil Works, which without these contributions grew 14% organically
- Allocation among BUs broadly stable YoY
| FY 2021 | FY 2020 | Δ (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Track and Light Civil Works | 314.3 | 241.4 | 30.2% |
| Energy, Signalling & TLC |
57.8 | 43.8 | 31.8% |
| Heavy Civil Works |
21.6 | 19.0 | 13.7% |
| Railway Materials | 36.1 | 25.6 | 41.2% |
| Railway Machines | 10.4 | 10.5 | (1.2%) |
| Total | 440.1 | 340.3 | 29.3% |
- 71.4% Track & Light Civil Works (70.9% in FY 2020) 13.1% Energy, Signalling & TLC (12.9% in FY 2020)
- 4.9% Heavy Civil Works (5.6% in FY 2020)
- 8.2% Railway Materials (7.5% in FY 2020)
- 2.4% Railway Machines (3.1% in FY 2020)
Focus on Business Units (1/2)
FY 2021 Revenues at € 314.3 Mln, up 30.2% YoY mainly due to:
- Activities within the new 3-year framework agreements with RFI
- Consolidation of Delta for € 43 Mln
- Track renewal activities in Egypt on the Cairo Alexandria line
- Final phase of the track construction project on the Ruwais Ghuweifat railway in Abu Dhabi and kick-off of a second project for freight facilities on the same line
- Execution of light civil works contracts in Italy
- Going forward, activities will be focused on executing new framework agreements and other domestic/international contracts
Track & Light Civil Works Energy, Signalling & Telecommunication
- FY 2021 Revenues at € 57.8 Mln, up 31.8% YoY mainly due to:
- Ongoing production on main contracts in Italy
- First contribution from Germany
- Going forward, activities will be focused on executing current agreements in both segments and on integrating the recently acquired business
Focus on Business Units (2/2)
- FY 2021 Revenues at € 21.6 Mln, up 13.7% YoY mainly due to:
- Final activities on some contracts in Italy recorded in 1H
- Execution of a sizeable contract in Germany
- Delivery of the new Olbia station in Sardinia
- Going forward, production volumes mainly driven by the civil works portion of the 2 new Italian High-Speed contracts for the Verona-Padua line and activities in Germany
Railway Materials
- FY 2021 Revenues at € 36.1 Mln, up 41.2% YoY with the production volumes that reached >500k sleepers
- Slab-track prototypes ready for the authorization by RFI
- New production lines expected to be fully operative during 2022
-
Going forward, activities at Overail focused on reaching operational excellence and enlarging the range of products
-
FY 2021 Revenues at € 10.5 Mln, down 1.2% YoY
- Overall business volumes higher YoY with the consolidated figure impacted by higher activities for Group companies accounted for as intercompany
- Consolidation of Delta and full contribution for the second plant in Italy
- Going forward, activities will be focused on expanding the US business and the third-party market as well as supporting Group companies
FOCUS ON RAW MATERIALS PRICES
- Steel and derivatives, mainly used by Railway Materials and to a lesser extent Railway Machines, is the product category mostly impacted by the price increases especially during 2H 2021
- Limited exposure to prices of the most expensive components of the railway infrastructure (i.e. tracks, copper wires) confirmed as they will continue to be bought directly by customers
- Overall impact at FY 2021level at around € 1.5 Mln
Revenues by Geography
€ Mln
- Revenues coming from outside Italy at 26.4% of the total, up compared to the 19.5% recorded in 2020, mainly driven by:
- North America, now at 10% with the consolidation of Delta
- Further growth of the contribution from Middle East, thanks to activities in Abu Dhabi
- Slowdown of Europe, partially offset by the growing contribution from Germany
| FY 2021 | FY 2020 | Δ (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 324.0 | 274.0 | 18.2% |
| Europe [Excluding Italy] | 39.4 | 46.0 | (14.5%) |
| North America | 43.4 | 10.7 | 305.9% |
| Middle East | 28.9 | 6.7 | 331.4% |
| North Africa | 4.5 | 2.9 | 58.2% |
| Total | 440.1 | 340.3 | 29.3% |
| 73.7% | Italy (80.5% in FY 2020) |
|---|---|
| 8.9% | Europe (excl. Italy) (13.5% in FY 2020) |
| 9.8% | North America (3.1% in FY 2020) |
| 6.6% | Middle East (2.0% in FY 2020) |
| 1.0% | North Africa (0.8% in FY 2020) |
Economic and Financial KPI
FY 2021 FY 2020 Δ (%) Revenues 440.1 340.3 29.3% EBITDA 97.3 78.9 23.3% EBITDA Margin 22.1% 23.2% - D&A1 (29.1) (20.6) 41.4% EBIT 68.2 58.3 16.9% EBIT Margin 15.5% 17.1% - Adjusted Net Financial Income (Expenses)* 1.9 (2.0) - Adjusted EBT 70.1 56.3 24.5% Adjusted Income Taxes** (17.8) (14.6) 22.0% Adjusted Net Profit 52.2 41.7 25.3% € Mln
| Net Financial Position | 114.5 | 20.02 | 474.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Profit | 39.3 | 41.3 | 173.4% |
| ** DTA reversal related to revaluations | (3.1) | 15.7 | - |
| * Change in warrant fair value | (9.7) | (16.1) | (39.6%) |
- EBITDA Margin down 1.1 p.p. vs. FY 2020 due to the different mix of revenues, mainly generated by the different consolidation perimeter of the subsidiaries, and to some inflation headwinds mainly in 4Q 2021
- Higher D&A on the back of higher Capex
- Tax rate adjusted at 25.5%, slightly down compared to 26.0% in 2020. Going forward, tax rate adjusted expected to be between 27% and 28% (see dedicated slide)
P&L adjustments related to:
- warrant are flat over the 9M 2021 figure as expected. Compared to FY 2020 reduction due to the conversions occurred during 2021
- DTA reversal
-
NFP at € 114.5 Mln (Net Cash) doesn't include any impact related to warrant since they have been fully converted/expired during 3Q 2021. Increase vs. 2020 mainly due to € 107 Mln upside from warrant conversion and Sept. share capital increase
-
Adjusted to exclude financial liabilities related to outstanding "warrant in compendio e integrativi" as of 31 December 2020
1. Including impairment losses
Focus on Capex
- FY 2021 Capex at € 46.6 Mln, slightly higher than budget (€ 44.7 mln)
- Development Capex (Upgrade + New Business) broadly aligned with expectations but with a different mix mainly due addition investments in a new track works machine that offset lower than expected investments in production plant for the Railway Materials business
- 2022 Capex expected to further grow (+2%) with a strong focus on Track & Light Civil Works and Railway Materials accounting for 81% of the total
- Business Upgrade (+46%) and New Businesses (+24%) to benefit from lower capex on Ordinary Business
Ordinary Business: investments to maintain of existing production capacity, the quality standards required by customers and the achievement of budget objectives Business upgrade: investments to upgrade existing production lines, with new plants, machinery or equipment, allowing for an increase in production capacity New business line: investments related to the design and production of new products in order to open new strategic business lines
Focus on Tax
€ Mln
- FY 2021 final tax impact of € 20.99 Mln
- Effective tax rate without DTA on Capex effect (Base tax fee / Adjusted EBT) is equal to 25.5% (26% in FY 2020)
-
Capex Fiscal Impact 2021 at € 5.62 Mln, in line with expectations. 2022-2028 figures do not include Capex from 2022 onwards
-
Calculated on Capex until 31.12.21
NFP at 31 December 2021
Backlog
€ Mln
- Backlog1 at the all-time high € 1.2 Bn, of which € 1,086 mln (90.4%) from Italian market and € 115 mln (9.6%) from foreign markets, even higher that the 9M 2021 figure
- The different time frame of Italian contracts, typically longer than foreign ones, impacts the current composition of the backlog together with the sizeable contracts signed during 4Q in Italy (High-speed line Verona-Padua)
- Track & Light and Civil Works and Energy Signalling & Telecommunication confirmed as the core Business Units, with 91.7% of the total backlog
Book-to-bill ratio at 2.36, with a 1.63 in 4Q
- Does not include agreements between Group companies, to be considered intercompany
Business priorities for 2022
2022 Outlook
- Business volumes expected to solidly continue in the growth trend (around 10% organic), mainly driven by:
- Execution of the contracts for the Verona-Padua high-speed line
- Consolidation within the Energy, Signalling & Telecommunication BU of the recently acquired business starting from May 2022
- Further growth of the core business in Italy
- No exposure to Russia or other countries involved in EU sanctions
- Current geopolitical scenario and the related tensions on the entire value chain expected to impact on cost base (fuel, transport, subcontractors, raw materials). Since it is not related to company activities and substantially out of our control, the overall impact at EBITDA level is difficult to be estimated and it will depend on the evolution of the situation
- 2022 Capex expected at € 48 mln with a strong focus on strengthening the production capacity and developing new businesses
Q&A
Appendix
Active in the railway sector for more than 70 years
Market scouting for additional M&A opportunities
Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (1/3)
| Mission 3 Infrastructure for a sustainable mobility |
EU Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) |
Complementary Fund |
TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Component 1: Investments on railway network | € 24.8 Bn | € 3.2 Bn | € 28 Bn | € 31.5 Bn |
| Component 2: Integrated Logistics | € 0.6 Bn | € 2.9 Bn | € 3.5 Bn |
2020-2021 overall expenditure at € 2.5 Bn, higher than the € 2.3 Bn budget
| TOTAL | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 High-speed railway connections to the South for passengers and freight |
4,640 | 52 | 125 | 359 | 748 | 919 | 1,125 | 1,313 | TARGET: 274 km of new HS lines |
| Napoli - Bari | 1,400 | 30 | 80 | 143 | 180 | 271 | 352 | 344 | |
| Palermo - Catania - Messina | 1,440 | 22 | 25 | 100 | 199 | 283 | 439 | 372 | |
| Salerno - Reggio Calabria | 1,800 | 0 | 20 | 116 | 369 | 365 | 334 | 596 | |
| 1.2 High-speed lines | 8,570 | 550 | 881 | 904 | 758 | 2,030 | 1,935 | 1,512 | TARGET: 274 km of new HS lines |
| Brescia - Verona - Padova | 3,670 | 152 | 341 | 440 | 76 | 900 | 1,096 | 665 | |
| Liguria - Alpi | 3,970 | 398 | 532 | 454 | 636 | 886 | 559 | 505 | |
| Verona - Brennero | 930 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 46 | 244 | 280 | 342 | |
| 1.3 Cross-country connections | 1,580 | 2 | 9 | 52 | 175 | 301 | 427 | 614 | TARGET: 87 km of new lines |
| Orte - Falconara | 510 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 61 | 92 | 125 | 204 | |
| Roma - Pescara | 620 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 57 | 125 | 186 | 234 | |
| Taranto - Metaponto - Potenza - Battipaglia | 450 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 84 | 116 | 176 | |
| 1.4 ERTMS | 2,970 | 0 | 50 | 299 | 425 | 563 | 705 | 928 | TARGET: 3,400 km of lines equipped with ERTMS |
| 1.5 Upgrading metropolitan railway junctions and key national rail networks |
2,970 | 172 | 189 | 280 | 320 | 616 | 715 | 680 | TARGET: 1,280 km of lines upgraded |
| 1.6 Upgrading regional railways | 936 | 41 | 116 | 30 | 158 | 254 | 152 | 185 | TARGET: 680 km of lines enhanced |
| 1.7 Improvement, electrification and more resilience for Southern railways |
2,400 | 0 | 53 | 187 | 217 | 506 | 700 | 737 | TARGET: 573 km of lines enhanced |
| 1.8 Enhancement of Southern Italian train stations |
700 | 0 | 21 | 64 | 103 | 195 | 192 | 125 | TARGET: 54 stations upgraded |
| 24,766 | 817 | 1,443 | 2,175 | 2,903 | 5,384 | 5,951 | 6,094 |
Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (2/3)
| Mission 3 Infrastructure for a sustainable mobility |
EU Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) |
Complementary Fund |
TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Component 1: Investments on railway network | € 24.8 Bn | € 3.2 Bn | € 28 Bn | € 31.5 Bn |
| Component 2: Integrated Logistics | € 0.6 Bn | € 2.9 Bn | € 3.5 Bn |
| TOTAL | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upgrading regional railways (which are not owned/operated by RFI) |
1,550 | 0 | 150 | 360 | 405 | 377 | 248 | 10 |
| of regional railways Securing |
454 | |||||||
| Upgrade and renewal of rolling stock fleet |
278 | |||||||
| Enhancement of regional rail network with of simultaneous upgrade and/or renewal fleet rolling stock |
140 | |||||||
| Enhancement of regional railways |
677 | |||||||
| Renewal of rolling stock |
200 | 0 | 60 | 50 | 40 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| Safe roads - Implementation of a dynamic monitoring system for remotely controlling bridges, viaducts and tunnels (A24-A25) |
1,000 | 0 | 150 | 150 | 90 | 337 | 223 | 50 |
| Safe roads - Implementation of a dynamic system for remotely monitoring controlling bridges, viaducts and tunnels (ANAS) |
450 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 75 |
| 3,200 | 0 | 385 | 610 | 635 | 844 | 591 | 135 |
- Already allocated through a decree of the Ministry of sustainable infrastructures and mobility, to 29 projects, with the overall amount allocated 81% to the South and 19% to the Centre-North
- With the only exceptions of the upgrade and renewal of the rolling stock fleet and some technological works in the signalling field, all the other projects are potentially in the scope of Group's core business
Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (3/3)
| Component 2: Renewable Energy, hydrogen, power grids and sustainable mobility |
Facility (RRF) € 23.8 Bn |
€ 1.4 Bn | € 25.2 Bn | € 59.5 Bn |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mission 2 Green revolution and ecological transition |
EU Recovery and Resilience |
Complementary Fund |
TOTAL |
| FOCUS ON AREA # 4 – | DEVELOP MORE SUSTAINABLE LOCAL PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION | |
|---|---|---|
| --------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------ | -- |
| TOTAL | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1 Encouraging cycling |
600 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 225 | 100 | 80 | 65 |
| 4.2 Rapid mass transportation development |
3,600 | 0 | 180 | 476 | 709 | 967 | 738 | 530 |
| of 4.3 Installation eletric charging infastructure |
741 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 150 | 141 | 50 |
| of fleets 4.4 Renovation bus and green trains |
3,639 | 0 | 0 | 440 | 594 | 931 | 979 | 695 |
| 8,580 | 0 | 180 | 1,045 | 1,928 | 2,148 | 1,939 | 1,340 |
| SUBWAYS | |
|---|---|
€ 0.7 Bn for 11 km of new subways, rolling stock and technical/civil works
TRAMWAYS
€ 2 Bn for 85 km of new tramways, rolling stock and technical/civil works
TROLLEY WAYS and FUNICULARS
€ 0.9 Bn for 120 km of new trolley ways and 15 km of new funiculars
- Projects will be mainly focused on the metropolitan areas of the major Italian cities.
- Expenditures have been already agreed between the Ministry of sustainable infrastructures and mobility and the Local Authorities. Final Decree expected soon
Disclaimer
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE, OR SUBSCRIBE FOR, SECURITIES
IMPORTANT: Please read the following before continuing. For the purposes of this disclaimer, this presentation (the "Presentation") comprises the attached slides and any materials distributed at, or in connection with, the Presentation. This Presentation and the information, statements and opinions contained herein have been prepared by Salcef Group S.p.A. (the "Company" or "Salcef") for use during meetings with investors and financial analysts and is solely for information purposes and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. The following applies to the Presentation, the oral presentation and any question and answer session that follows the oral presentation.
This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements about the Company, and/or the group headed by Salcef (the "Group"), based on current expectations and opinions developed by the Company, as well as based on current plans, estimates, projections and projects of the Group. Forward looking statements include (but are not limited to) statements identified generally by the use of terminology such as "may", "will", "should", "plan", "expect", "anticipate", "estimate", "believe", "intend", "project", "goal", "aim", "foresee", or "target" or the negative of these words or other variations on these words or comparable terminology. By their nature, forwardlooking statements are based upon various assumptions, expectations, projections, provisional data, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including, without limitation, examination of historical operating trends and other data available from third parties. Projections, estimates and targets presented herein are based on information available to Salcef as at the date of this Presentation. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of the Company and/or the Group to control or estimate. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements or other information contained in this Presentation. The information contained herein has a merely informative and provisional nature and does not constitute investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice. This Presentation speaks as of the date hereof and the information contained herein is provided as at the date of this Presentation and, except to the extent required by applicable law, Salcef nor any other person is under any obligation to update and keep current this Presentation, nor the information contained in this Presentation or any other written, electronic or oral information provided in connection with this Presentation. The information contained herein may be subject to updating, completion, revision and amendment and may change materially without notice. Any reference to past performance or trends or activities of Salcef or the Group shall not be taken as a representation or indication that such performance, trends or activities will continue in the future.
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Contacts
Alessio Crosa Investor Relations & Sustainability Manager
Tel: +39 06 416281 E-mail: [email protected]
Bloomberg: SCF:IM Reuters: SCFG.MI Borsa Italiana: SCF