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Salcef Group Investor Presentation 2022

Mar 17, 2022

4374_ip_2022-03-17_556229d3-daa0-4bc3-a9d5-b769a5c0a859.pdf

Investor Presentation

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FY 2021 Results Presentation

17 March 2022

Speakers

Valeriano Salciccia Chief Executive Officer

Fabio De Masi Chief Financial Officer

Alessio Crosa

IR & Sustainability Manager

Key messages

  • A year of consistent delivery in line with expectations and strategic targets
  • Solid growth trends and profitability confirmed also in 4Q
  • Remarkable commercial performance leading to a € 1.2 Bn Backlog. Good start to the year with ~€ 100 Mln new contracts in Italy and the US
  • National Recovery and Resilience Plan already materializing into new contracts, with 2022 to be the key year for new tenders
  • Distribution of a € 0.46 dividend proposed to the AGM (vs. € 0.42 last year)
  • 2022 to confirm sizeable growth, with activities focused on operational excellence, industrial/new products development, M&A

Robust growth since IPO…

€ Mln

…with room and strong commitment to further boost it in the coming years

  1. Adjusted to exclude the impact on financial expenses of the fair value gains and losses on the "warrant in compendio e integrativi" and, only for 2020 and 2021, the tax impact of the reversal of deferred tax assets on revaluations

  2. 2019 and 2020 adjusted to exclude financial liabilities related to outstanding "warrant in compendio e integrativi" as of 31 December 2021 and 31 December 2020 respectively

Progresses on NRPP implementation

Funds already flowing into contracts

2 contracts signed for more than € 200 mln for the construction of the new high-speedhigh-capacity Verona-Padua railway line

Timely entry into force of sector reforms

    1. Regulatory change that reduces the authorization process for new railway projects from 11 to 6 months
    1. Legislative change that shortens the approval process of the Program Contract between the Ministry of Infrastructure and Sustainable Mobility and RFI

Tenders focused on 2022

During a public event, the CEO and COO of RFI announced that in 2022 19 new tenders for € 15.5 Bn will be launched, of which approximately € 6 Bn in 1H2 . New tenders will be based on new pricing lists, recently adapted to CPI

Delivery of investments

2020-2021 expenditures by RFI at € 2.5 Bn, higher than the € 2.2 Bn budget, mainly driven by progresses on the already ongoing HS projects1

GROWING DEMAND FOR RAILWAY MAINTENANCE EXPECTED

The "Strategic paper on railway mobility of people and freight", issued at the end of December 2021 and aimed at speeding up the approval of the 2022-2026 PCO, includes an overview of the future maintenance needs

Ordinary
Maintenance
Extraordinary
Maintenance
2016-2021 PCO 1 0.8
2022-2026 PCO
(to be approved)
1.2 2.2
PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE: 1.5
ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE: 0.2
TECHNOLOGICAL INFRASTRUCTURE: 0.3
OTHER: 0.2

Spending for maintenance activities +80% vs. previous PCO mainly due to increasing demand of transportation and growing network size (+540 km of new HS lines, upgrade/development of ~1,900 km of national lines and 700 km electrified)

  1. Source: https://www.ilsole24ore.com/art/pnrr-19-gare-rfi-2022-AE6iUxIB

Revenues

€ Mln

  • Consolidated Revenues at € 440.1 Mln, up 29.3% YoY mainly due to:
  • Outstanding organic growth at 17.8%
  • Change in perimeter with the full consolidation of Delta (€ 32.7 Mln1 ) and, to a lesser extent, Bahnbau Nord (€ 8.5 Mln) impacting mainly Track & Light Civil Works, which without these contributions grew 14% organically
  • Allocation among BUs broadly stable YoY
FY 2021 FY 2020 Δ (%)
Track and Light Civil Works 314.3 241.4 30.2%
Energy, Signalling
& TLC
57.8 43.8 31.8%
Heavy Civil
Works
21.6 19.0 13.7%
Railway Materials 36.1 25.6 41.2%
Railway Machines 10.4 10.5 (1.2%)
Total 440.1 340.3 29.3%
  • 71.4% Track & Light Civil Works (70.9% in FY 2020) 13.1% Energy, Signalling & TLC (12.9% in FY 2020)
  • 4.9% Heavy Civil Works (5.6% in FY 2020)
  • 8.2% Railway Materials (7.5% in FY 2020)
  • 2.4% Railway Machines (3.1% in FY 2020)

Focus on Business Units (1/2)

FY 2021 Revenues at € 314.3 Mln, up 30.2% YoY mainly due to:

  • Activities within the new 3-year framework agreements with RFI
  • Consolidation of Delta for € 43 Mln
  • Track renewal activities in Egypt on the Cairo Alexandria line
  • Final phase of the track construction project on the Ruwais Ghuweifat railway in Abu Dhabi and kick-off of a second project for freight facilities on the same line
  • Execution of light civil works contracts in Italy
  • Going forward, activities will be focused on executing new framework agreements and other domestic/international contracts

Track & Light Civil Works Energy, Signalling & Telecommunication

  • FY 2021 Revenues at € 57.8 Mln, up 31.8% YoY mainly due to:
  • Ongoing production on main contracts in Italy
  • First contribution from Germany
  • Going forward, activities will be focused on executing current agreements in both segments and on integrating the recently acquired business

Focus on Business Units (2/2)

  • FY 2021 Revenues at € 21.6 Mln, up 13.7% YoY mainly due to:
  • Final activities on some contracts in Italy recorded in 1H
  • Execution of a sizeable contract in Germany
  • Delivery of the new Olbia station in Sardinia
  • Going forward, production volumes mainly driven by the civil works portion of the 2 new Italian High-Speed contracts for the Verona-Padua line and activities in Germany

Railway Materials

  • FY 2021 Revenues at € 36.1 Mln, up 41.2% YoY with the production volumes that reached >500k sleepers
  • Slab-track prototypes ready for the authorization by RFI
  • New production lines expected to be fully operative during 2022
  • Going forward, activities at Overail focused on reaching operational excellence and enlarging the range of products

  • FY 2021 Revenues at € 10.5 Mln, down 1.2% YoY

  • Overall business volumes higher YoY with the consolidated figure impacted by higher activities for Group companies accounted for as intercompany
  • Consolidation of Delta and full contribution for the second plant in Italy
  • Going forward, activities will be focused on expanding the US business and the third-party market as well as supporting Group companies

FOCUS ON RAW MATERIALS PRICES

  • Steel and derivatives, mainly used by Railway Materials and to a lesser extent Railway Machines, is the product category mostly impacted by the price increases especially during 2H 2021
  • Limited exposure to prices of the most expensive components of the railway infrastructure (i.e. tracks, copper wires) confirmed as they will continue to be bought directly by customers
  • Overall impact at FY 2021level at around € 1.5 Mln

Revenues by Geography

€ Mln

  • Revenues coming from outside Italy at 26.4% of the total, up compared to the 19.5% recorded in 2020, mainly driven by:
  • North America, now at 10% with the consolidation of Delta
  • Further growth of the contribution from Middle East, thanks to activities in Abu Dhabi
  • Slowdown of Europe, partially offset by the growing contribution from Germany
FY 2021 FY 2020 Δ (%)
Italy 324.0 274.0 18.2%
Europe [Excluding Italy] 39.4 46.0 (14.5%)
North America 43.4 10.7 305.9%
Middle East 28.9 6.7 331.4%
North Africa 4.5 2.9 58.2%
Total 440.1 340.3 29.3%
73.7% Italy
(80.5% in FY 2020)
8.9% Europe (excl. Italy) (13.5% in FY 2020)
9.8% North America (3.1% in FY 2020)
6.6% Middle East (2.0% in FY 2020)
1.0% North Africa (0.8% in FY 2020)

Economic and Financial KPI

FY 2021 FY 2020 Δ (%) Revenues 440.1 340.3 29.3% EBITDA 97.3 78.9 23.3% EBITDA Margin 22.1% 23.2% - D&A1 (29.1) (20.6) 41.4% EBIT 68.2 58.3 16.9% EBIT Margin 15.5% 17.1% - Adjusted Net Financial Income (Expenses)* 1.9 (2.0) - Adjusted EBT 70.1 56.3 24.5% Adjusted Income Taxes** (17.8) (14.6) 22.0% Adjusted Net Profit 52.2 41.7 25.3% € Mln

Net Financial Position 114.5 20.02 474.0%
Net Profit 39.3 41.3 173.4%
** DTA reversal related to revaluations (3.1) 15.7 -
* Change in warrant fair value (9.7) (16.1) (39.6%)
  • EBITDA Margin down 1.1 p.p. vs. FY 2020 due to the different mix of revenues, mainly generated by the different consolidation perimeter of the subsidiaries, and to some inflation headwinds mainly in 4Q 2021
  • Higher D&A on the back of higher Capex
  • Tax rate adjusted at 25.5%, slightly down compared to 26.0% in 2020. Going forward, tax rate adjusted expected to be between 27% and 28% (see dedicated slide)

P&L adjustments related to:

  • warrant are flat over the 9M 2021 figure as expected. Compared to FY 2020 reduction due to the conversions occurred during 2021
  • DTA reversal
  • NFP at € 114.5 Mln (Net Cash) doesn't include any impact related to warrant since they have been fully converted/expired during 3Q 2021. Increase vs. 2020 mainly due to € 107 Mln upside from warrant conversion and Sept. share capital increase

  • Adjusted to exclude financial liabilities related to outstanding "warrant in compendio e integrativi" as of 31 December 2020

1. Including impairment losses

Focus on Capex

  • FY 2021 Capex at € 46.6 Mln, slightly higher than budget (€ 44.7 mln)
  • Development Capex (Upgrade + New Business) broadly aligned with expectations but with a different mix mainly due addition investments in a new track works machine that offset lower than expected investments in production plant for the Railway Materials business
  • 2022 Capex expected to further grow (+2%) with a strong focus on Track & Light Civil Works and Railway Materials accounting for 81% of the total
  • Business Upgrade (+46%) and New Businesses (+24%) to benefit from lower capex on Ordinary Business

Ordinary Business: investments to maintain of existing production capacity, the quality standards required by customers and the achievement of budget objectives Business upgrade: investments to upgrade existing production lines, with new plants, machinery or equipment, allowing for an increase in production capacity New business line: investments related to the design and production of new products in order to open new strategic business lines

Focus on Tax

€ Mln

  • FY 2021 final tax impact of € 20.99 Mln
  • Effective tax rate without DTA on Capex effect (Base tax fee / Adjusted EBT) is equal to 25.5% (26% in FY 2020)
  • Capex Fiscal Impact 2021 at € 5.62 Mln, in line with expectations. 2022-2028 figures do not include Capex from 2022 onwards

  • Calculated on Capex until 31.12.21

NFP at 31 December 2021

Backlog

€ Mln

  • Backlog1 at the all-time high € 1.2 Bn, of which € 1,086 mln (90.4%) from Italian market and € 115 mln (9.6%) from foreign markets, even higher that the 9M 2021 figure
  • The different time frame of Italian contracts, typically longer than foreign ones, impacts the current composition of the backlog together with the sizeable contracts signed during 4Q in Italy (High-speed line Verona-Padua)
  • Track & Light and Civil Works and Energy Signalling & Telecommunication confirmed as the core Business Units, with 91.7% of the total backlog

Book-to-bill ratio at 2.36, with a 1.63 in 4Q

  1. Does not include agreements between Group companies, to be considered intercompany

Business priorities for 2022

2022 Outlook

  • Business volumes expected to solidly continue in the growth trend (around 10% organic), mainly driven by:
  • Execution of the contracts for the Verona-Padua high-speed line
  • Consolidation within the Energy, Signalling & Telecommunication BU of the recently acquired business starting from May 2022
  • Further growth of the core business in Italy
  • No exposure to Russia or other countries involved in EU sanctions
  • Current geopolitical scenario and the related tensions on the entire value chain expected to impact on cost base (fuel, transport, subcontractors, raw materials). Since it is not related to company activities and substantially out of our control, the overall impact at EBITDA level is difficult to be estimated and it will depend on the evolution of the situation
  • 2022 Capex expected at € 48 mln with a strong focus on strengthening the production capacity and developing new businesses

Q&A

Appendix

Active in the railway sector for more than 70 years

Market scouting for additional M&A opportunities

Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (1/3)

Mission 3
Infrastructure for a sustainable mobility
EU Recovery
and Resilience
Facility (RRF)
Complementary
Fund
TOTAL
Component 1: Investments on railway network € 24.8 Bn € 3.2 Bn € 28 Bn € 31.5 Bn
Component 2: Integrated Logistics € 0.6 Bn € 2.9 Bn € 3.5 Bn

2020-2021 overall expenditure at € 2.5 Bn, higher than the € 2.3 Bn budget

TOTAL 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
1.1 High-speed railway connections to
the South for
passengers and freight
4,640 52 125 359 748 919 1,125 1,313 TARGET: 274 km of new HS lines
Napoli - Bari 1,400 30 80 143 180 271 352 344
Palermo - Catania - Messina 1,440 22 25 100 199 283 439 372
Salerno - Reggio Calabria 1,800 0 20 116 369 365 334 596
1.2 High-speed lines 8,570 550 881 904 758 2,030 1,935 1,512 TARGET: 274 km of new HS lines
Brescia - Verona - Padova 3,670 152 341 440 76 900 1,096 665
Liguria - Alpi 3,970 398 532 454 636 886 559 505
Verona - Brennero 930 0 8 10 46 244 280 342
1.3 Cross-country connections 1,580 2 9 52 175 301 427 614 TARGET: 87 km of new lines
Orte - Falconara 510 0 1 27 61 92 125 204
Roma - Pescara 620 0 2 16 57 125 186 234
Taranto - Metaponto - Potenza - Battipaglia 450 2 6 9 57 84 116 176
1.4 ERTMS 2,970 0 50 299 425 563 705 928 TARGET: 3,400 km of lines equipped with ERTMS
1.5 Upgrading metropolitan railway
junctions and key national rail networks
2,970 172 189 280 320 616 715 680 TARGET: 1,280 km of lines upgraded
1.6 Upgrading regional railways 936 41 116 30 158 254 152 185 TARGET: 680 km of lines enhanced
1.7 Improvement, electrification
and
more resilience for
Southern railways
2,400 0 53 187 217 506 700 737 TARGET: 573 km of lines enhanced
1.8 Enhancement of
Southern Italian
train stations
700 0 21 64 103 195 192 125 TARGET: 54 stations upgraded
24,766 817 1,443 2,175 2,903 5,384 5,951 6,094

Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (2/3)

Mission 3
Infrastructure for a sustainable mobility
EU Recovery
and Resilience
Facility (RRF)
Complementary
Fund
TOTAL
Component 1: Investments on railway network € 24.8 Bn € 3.2 Bn € 28 Bn € 31.5 Bn
Component 2: Integrated Logistics € 0.6 Bn € 2.9 Bn € 3.5 Bn
TOTAL 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Upgrading
regional
railways
(which
are
not owned/operated
by
RFI)
1,550 0 150 360 405 377 248 10
of
regional
railways
Securing
454
Upgrade
and
renewal
of
rolling
stock
fleet
278
Enhancement
of
regional
rail
network
with
of
simultaneous
upgrade
and/or
renewal
fleet
rolling
stock
140
Enhancement
of
regional
railways
677
Renewal
of
rolling
stock
200 0 60 50 40 30 20 0
Safe
roads
- Implementation
of
a
dynamic
monitoring
system for
remotely
controlling
bridges,
viaducts
and
tunnels
(A24-A25)
1,000 0 150 150 90 337 223 50
Safe
roads
- Implementation
of
a
dynamic
system for
remotely
monitoring
controlling
bridges,
viaducts
and
tunnels
(ANAS)
450 0 25 50 100 100 100 75
3,200 0 385 610 635 844 591 135
  • Already allocated through a decree of the Ministry of sustainable infrastructures and mobility, to 29 projects, with the overall amount allocated 81% to the South and 19% to the Centre-North
  • With the only exceptions of the upgrade and renewal of the rolling stock fleet and some technological works in the signalling field, all the other projects are potentially in the scope of Group's core business

Focus on Italian National Recovery and Resilience Plan (3/3)

Component 2: Renewable Energy, hydrogen, power grids and
sustainable mobility
Facility (RRF)
€ 23.8 Bn
€ 1.4 Bn € 25.2 Bn € 59.5 Bn
Mission 2
Green revolution and ecological transition
EU Recovery
and Resilience
Complementary
Fund
TOTAL
FOCUS ON AREA # 4 – DEVELOP MORE SUSTAINABLE LOCAL PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION
--------------------- ------------------------------------------------------ --
TOTAL 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
4.1
Encouraging
cycling
600 0 0 130 225 100 80 65
4.2
Rapid
mass transportation
development
3,600 0 180 476 709 967 738 530
of
4.3
Installation
eletric
charging
infastructure
741 0 0 0 400 150 141 50
of
fleets
4.4
Renovation
bus
and
green
trains
3,639 0 0 440 594 931 979 695
8,580 0 180 1,045 1,928 2,148 1,939 1,340
SUBWAYS

€ 0.7 Bn for 11 km of new subways, rolling stock and technical/civil works

TRAMWAYS

€ 2 Bn for 85 km of new tramways, rolling stock and technical/civil works

TROLLEY WAYS and FUNICULARS

€ 0.9 Bn for 120 km of new trolley ways and 15 km of new funiculars

  • Projects will be mainly focused on the metropolitan areas of the major Italian cities.
  • Expenditures have been already agreed between the Ministry of sustainable infrastructures and mobility and the Local Authorities. Final Decree expected soon

Disclaimer

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE, OR SUBSCRIBE FOR, SECURITIES

IMPORTANT: Please read the following before continuing. For the purposes of this disclaimer, this presentation (the "Presentation") comprises the attached slides and any materials distributed at, or in connection with, the Presentation. This Presentation and the information, statements and opinions contained herein have been prepared by Salcef Group S.p.A. (the "Company" or "Salcef") for use during meetings with investors and financial analysts and is solely for information purposes and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. The following applies to the Presentation, the oral presentation and any question and answer session that follows the oral presentation.

This Presentation may contain forward-looking statements about the Company, and/or the group headed by Salcef (the "Group"), based on current expectations and opinions developed by the Company, as well as based on current plans, estimates, projections and projects of the Group. Forward looking statements include (but are not limited to) statements identified generally by the use of terminology such as "may", "will", "should", "plan", "expect", "anticipate", "estimate", "believe", "intend", "project", "goal", "aim", "foresee", or "target" or the negative of these words or other variations on these words or comparable terminology. By their nature, forwardlooking statements are based upon various assumptions, expectations, projections, provisional data, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including, without limitation, examination of historical operating trends and other data available from third parties. Projections, estimates and targets presented herein are based on information available to Salcef as at the date of this Presentation. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of the Company and/or the Group to control or estimate. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements or other information contained in this Presentation. The information contained herein has a merely informative and provisional nature and does not constitute investment, legal, accounting, regulatory, taxation or other advice. This Presentation speaks as of the date hereof and the information contained herein is provided as at the date of this Presentation and, except to the extent required by applicable law, Salcef nor any other person is under any obligation to update and keep current this Presentation, nor the information contained in this Presentation or any other written, electronic or oral information provided in connection with this Presentation. The information contained herein may be subject to updating, completion, revision and amendment and may change materially without notice. Any reference to past performance or trends or activities of Salcef or the Group shall not be taken as a representation or indication that such performance, trends or activities will continue in the future.

The information contained in this Presentation does not purport to be comprehensive nor to include everything which might be material to your purposes and has not been independently verified by any third party. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made by the Company or any of its respective affiliates or any of its of their respective directors, officers, advisers, employees or agents or any other person as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained therein or any other statement made or purported to be made in connection with the Company and its consolidates subsidiaries, for any purpose whatsoever, including but not limited to any investment considerations. Neither the Company nor any of its respective affiliates, directors, officers, advisers, agents or employees, nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of these materials or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation. Neither this Presentation nor any part or copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. The information contained in this Presentation is not for publication or distribution, directly or indirectly, in Australia, Canada or Japan. Neither this Presentation nor its delivery to any recipient will or is intended to constitute or contain or form part of any offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to purchase, or subscribe for, any securities or related financial instruments, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement or recommendation to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. By attending the meeting where this Presentation is made, by reading the presentation slides or by accessing and/or accepting delivery of this Presentation, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations and restrictions. The Presentation cannot be reproduced in any form, further distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable laws.

Contacts

Alessio Crosa Investor Relations & Sustainability Manager

Tel: +39 06 416281 E-mail: [email protected]

Bloomberg: SCF:IM Reuters: SCFG.MI Borsa Italiana: SCF