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Saipem — Investor Presentation 2022
Feb 28, 2023
4504_ip_2023-02-28_46dc60de-ac5e-45da-bddc-d486eedf661a.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FULL YEAR 2022 RESULTS AND STRATEGY UPDATE
February 28th, 2023
Disclaimer
This communication does not constitute an offer or an invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities.
Forward-looking statements contained in this presentation regarding future events and future results are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about the industries in which Saipem S.p.A. (the "Company") operates, as well as the beliefs and assumptions of the Company's management.
These forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors beyond the Company' control that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. These include, but are not limited to: forex and interest rate fluctuations, commodity price volatility, credit and liquidity risks, HSE risks, the levels of capital expenditure in the oil and gas industry and other sectors, political instability in areas where the Group operates, actions by competitors, success of commercial transactions, risks associated with the execution of projects (including ongoing investment projects), the Coronavirus outbreak (including its impact across our business, worldwide operations and supply chain); in addition to changes in stakeholders' expectations and other changes affecting business conditions.
Therefore, the Company's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. They are neither statements of historical fact nor guarantees of future performance. The Company therefore caution against relying on any of these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, economic conditions globally, the impact of competition, political and economic developments in the countries in which the Company operates, and regulatory developments in Italy and internationally. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Company speak only as of the date they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in the Company's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein.
The Financial Reports contain analyses of some of the aforementioned risks.
Forward-looking statements neither represent nor can be considered as estimates for legal, accounting, fiscal or investment purposes. Forward-looking statements are not intended to provide assurances and/or solicit investment.
The Company, its advisors and its representatives decline all liability (for negligence or any other cause) for any loss occasioned by the use of this presentation or its contents.
The Manager responsible for preparing the Company's financial reports declares, in accordance with art. 154- bis, para. 2, of the "Consolidated Financial Act" (Legislative Decree No. 58/1998), that the accounting information contained in this document corresponds to documentary records, ledgers and accounting entries.
Agenda
4Q & Full year 2022 highlights
Financial and business performance
Strategic update
Closing remarks
Appendix
2.9 B€ Group Revenues1
150 M€
Group Adjusted EBITDA1
Driven by offshore
6.0 B€
+72% YoY
+3% QoQ
Order Intake1
~ 14 B€2 in FY 2022, 1.4x Book-to-bill
56 M€
Net Cash pre-IFRS 16
264 M€ Net debt post-IFRS 16
- Revenues, adjusted EBITDA and order intake do not include discontinued operations (Drilling Onshore)
4 2. FY 2022 order intake (o/w E&C Offshore 8.4 B€, E&C Onshore 3.7 B€ and Drilling Offshore 1.7 B€), excluding discontinued operations (Drilling Onshore) and pre-cancellation of ~ 1 B€ backlog in 1Q22. FY 2022 order intake net of order cancellations is ~ 13 B€
FY 2022: delivery on strategic plan commitments (1/2)
-
Excluding discontinued operations (Drilling Onshore)
-
FY 2022 guidance: revenue >9 B€ (excluding discontinued operations), adjusted EBITDA >550 M€ (excluding discontinued operations), net debt post-IFRS 16 c.300 M€
-
Post-IFRS 16
-
Pre cancellations of ~ 1 B€ backlog in 1Q 2022 in E&C Onshore
FY 2022: delivery on strategic plan commitments (2/2)
Leveraging offshore drilling
• Offshore Drilling fleet: zero idleness1 in 2022
• Booked 87%2 in 2023 and 70%2 in 2024
Phased approach for offshore wind
- 3 projects completed, others in line with revised schedule
- Commercial agreement with Seaway7
in KCA Deutag Cash actions to unlock liquidity
- Drilling onshore sale for 550 M\$ cash +10% stake
- 2 projects in Russia closed
- 2 non-consolidated3 under exit De-risking
-
- Contractual idleness
-
- Including optional periods
-
- Non-consolidated residual backlog in Russia < 0.3 B€
4Q & Full year 2022 highlights
Financial and business performance
Strategic update
Closing remarks
Appendix
FY 2022 group results (M€)
- Excluding special items. See slide 35 in the appendix for special items and slide 11 for reported results
FY 2022 results – Offshore (M€)
E&C Offshore
- Revenue increased by 80% YoY, with 4Q confirming strong progress
- Higher volumes across all regions, driven by Middle East
- Oil & gas projects progressing well and supporting EBITDA performance
- Results in 2021 impacted by execution issues in offshore wind and fabrication bottlenecks in Far East, also due to pandemic
- Significant physical progress of offshore wind projects in 2022
Drilling Offshore
- Overall positive year-on-year results on the wake of market upcycle, good operating performance and improved pricing
- Zero idleness and the start of operations of new drillship Santorini boosted revenues
- Adjusted EBITDA mainly reflects revenue increase
FY 2022 results – Onshore (M€)
E&C Onshore
- n.m. margin 0.0% Revenue increased YoY driven by project progress mainly in Middle East and Latam; Mozambique decreased due to suspension from April 21
- Adjusted EBITDA improvement YoY, with 2021 backlog review still weighing on margins
- Mozambique project still suspended with residual backlog at 3.5B€
FY 2022 results – P&L YoY comparison (excluding drilling onshore)
| Adjusted1 Group – |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | ||||
| M€ | FY 21 | FY 22 | Var. | |
| Revenue | 6,528 | 9,980 | 3,452 | |
| Total costs | (7,802) | (9,385) | (1,583) | |
| EBITDA | (1,274) | 595 | 1,869 | |
| margin | n.m. | 6.0% | ||
| D&A | (400) | (445) | (45) | |
| EBIT | (1,674) | 150 | 1,824 | |
| Financial expenses | (137) | (195) | (58) | |
| Result from equity investments | 9 | (65) | (74) | |
| EBT | (1,802) | (110) | 1,692 | |
| Income taxes | (59) | (153) | (94) | |
| Minorities | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Discontinued operations | (53) | 124 | 177 | |
| Net Result | (1,914) | (139) | 1,775 |
| Group – Reported Income Statement |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| FY 21 FY 22 |
|||
| 6,528 | 9,980 | ||
| (8,252) | (9,437) | ||
| (1,724) | 543 | ||
| n.m. | 5.4% | ||
| (495) | (445) | ||
| (2,219) | 98 | ||
| (137) | (195) | ||
| 9 | (65) | ||
| (2,347) | (162) | ||
| (59) | (153) | ||
| 0 | 0 | ||
| (61) | 106 | ||
| (2,467) | (209) |
11 1. Excluding special items of 70 M€ mainly related to Covid-19 costs (29 M€) and redundancy costs (50 M€). Out of 70 M€, 52 M€ is at EBITDA and EBIT level and 18 M€ in discontinued operations. See slide 35 for special items
4Q 2022 Net Debt Evolution
- Others including cash special items, repayment of lease liabilities, cash flow from own funds and exchange differences
Available liquidity provides ample room to manage upcoming maturities
Cash in JV and others
Available cash & cash equivalent
-
Pro-forma liquidity includes actual liquidity at year-end 2022 and the new facilities signed in February 2023 (new term loan, 70% guaranteed by SACE, and new undrawn RCF)
-
FY 2022 average cost of debt, including treasury hedging and fees
Selective commercial strategy brought ~ 14 B€ of order intake in 20221
Order intake FY 20221
8.4B€ E&C Offshore
1.7B€ Drilling Offshore
3.7B€2 E&C Onshore Awards concentrated in Saipem's sweet spots, as targeted in the business plan: ~ 73% in Offshore (E&C and drilling)
Achieved over a third of 2022-25 E&C Offshore plan acquisitions in year one3
-
Pre-cancellation of ~ 1 B€ backlog in 1Q22
-
FY 2022 E&C offshore acquisitions ~ 8.4 B€ vs ~ 24 B€ 2022-25 target for E&C offshore (as per March 2022 Strategic Plan)
1. Order intake do not include discontinued operations (Drilling Onshore). FY 2022 order intake pre-cancellation of ~ 1 B€ backlog in 1Q22 (in E&C Onshore). Order intake net of order cancellations is ~ 13 B€
Backlog shifting towards offshore
IFRS Backlog portfolio
As of 31st December 2022
As of 31st December 2021
22,985 M€ 10,756 45% 1,494 6% 11,767 49% Drilling Offshore E&C Offshore E&C Onshore 24.0 B€ 51% Offshore
Detail as of 31st December 2022
Note: 31st December 2022 backlog does not include the residual backlog (114 M€) of drilling onshore geographies still under disposal (Latam)
Non-consolidated backlog @ 31 December 2022 equal to 359M€, of which 251 M€ in Russia (~ 800 M€ of non-consolidated projects in Russia removed in 9M 2022, see slide 34)
Offshore wind projects well under execution
Large projects in backlog nearing completion1
- Average work-weighted physical progress 85%, considering offshore wind projects in backlog that have already started offshore activities 16
E&C market near-term1 opportunities worth ~ 51 B€ Growing project pipeline momentum, weighed towards offshore
- From 41 B€ in 9M22 presentation to 51 B€ in FY22 presentation
Agenda
4Q & Full year 2022 highlights
Financial and business performance
Strategic update
Closing remarks
Appendix
Progressing along the strategic path outlined in March 2022
Asset Based Services - E&C Offshore growth
Exploit the positive market context and growing clients' demand, while strengthening Saipem competitive positioning in subsea
Ensuring the possibility to utilise HVO1 as biofuel for our vessels in collaboration with Eni2to meet net zero target
Focus acquisitions in Africa, Guyana and Middle East secure execution capabilities
- Subsea projects in West Africa, Guyana
- Leverage presence in Middle East and West / North Africa targeting large-size platforms
- Trunklines market upcycle in Mediterranean region, North Europe, Americas and Far East
- New trunklines and platforms linked to CCUS and H2 ammonia hubs
Secure execution capabilities
• New deepwater heavy lift and pipelay vessel (leased) to execute new awards globally
Strengthen positioning and offering in subsea
- Consolidate position in reeling market
- Integrated projects:
- maintain our commercial flexibility, open to cooperations
-
strengthen current commercial alliances
-
Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil
Expected order intake 2023-26 24.1 B€ (50% of total acquisitions) of which: SURF 11.3 B€
Conventional 12.8 B€
Asset Based Services - Exploit positive Drilling Offshore momentum
Exploit positive market momentum and possible fleet monetization opportunities
Ensuring the possibility to utilise HVO2 as biofuel for our vessels in collaboration with Eni3to meet net zero target
Expand drilling fleet
- Increase drilling fleet, mainly through leased vessels, both shallow and deep-water, to increase capacity to serve clients
- Fleet rejuvenation (average age from 19 in 2018 to 11 by 2024) thanks to:
- New 7 th gen. drillship: Santorini
- New leased 7th gen. drillship: Deep Value Driller
- 3 new leased jackups: Perro Negro 11, 12 and 13
- Strengthen presence in West Africa (deep-water), Norwegian market (harsh environment) and Mediterranean
Explore monetization opportunities
• Potential valorisation of shallow water
Expected order intake 2023-26 2.8 B€ (6% of total acquisitions) Fleet booking1 2023 87%
2024 70%
-
- Utilisation based on active contracts as of 27 February 2023, including optional periods
-
- Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil
-
- MoU signed with Eni Sustainable Mobility for use of biofuels on Saipem drilling and construction offshore fleet
Asset Based Services - Progress Offshore Wind strategy
Short-term focus on backlog
Leveraging on lesson learned for new acquisition
Explore partnerships to access required vessels and mitigate risks
Focus on core capabilities
- Target T&I and EPCI of foundations leveraging on Saipem's track record in serial fabrication and offshore installation
- Progressively purse large substation EPCI, in partnership with equipment manufacturers
Joining forces
- Commercial alliance with Seaway7
- Fleet complementarity
- Widening opportunities for mega-projects
Position in the floating wind
- Investments in the development of floating solutions and construction equipment
- Alliances with major shipyards and assembly contractors to improve the EPCI proposition, standardize the supply chain and reduce execution time
Expected order intake 2023-26
3.6 B€ (7% of total acquisitions)
Energy Carriers - Selective E&C onshore, focusing on energy transition
Position Saipem in the energy transition, stabilize cash flows and managing portfolio execution risks
Position Saipem in the energy transition
- Focus on LNG, Gas Monetization (including green and blue solutions), pursue momentum in CCUS
- Explore partnership/M&A in the high-tech energy transition to enrich Saipem's portfolio
Increase recurring revenues
• Growth on Operation & Maintenance and engineering services
Managing portfolio execution risks
- Front-end design competition schemes
- Increase share of cost+ and/or hybrid contracts
- Maximize pre-award agreements with the supply chain
- Partnerships for manpower availability and geographical presence
Building Sustainable Infrastructures
Target NRRP1 projects, focusing on high-tech railway infrastructures
Potential to expand internationally
Leveraging 30+ years in railways infrastructure
- Mainly focusing on strategic transportation and infrastructure projects and further investments on innovative mobility solutions
- Market boost by NRRP1 : ~ 15 B€ of expected investments in strategic transportation infrastructures
- Potential opportunities for high-end services in smart infrastructures and technology solutions
International development
• Synergies with current Saipem global footprint
Expected order intake 2023-26
1.6 B€ (3% of total acquisitions)
Develop Robotics and Industrialized Solutions
Industrialized solutions for low-carbon energy with digitally enabled product-to-service business model
Low-carbon and energy transition
- Bluenzyme 200 first product to capture CO2 for the hard-to-abate segment (200t/day)
- Plastic to Liquid: invest in innovative technologies to increase plastic recycling
- Focus on green hydrogen and derivatives (e.g. ammonia, methanol) integrated projects
Robotics and subsea factory
- Integrated EPCI + IMR1 proposition for deployment and operation of multipurpose resident subsea drones
- Explore M&A to support the investments growth
- Well positioned in the emerging market for subsea asset integrity and security surveillance
Expected order intake 2023-26
1.9 B€ (4% of total acquisitions)
Further accelerating low-carbon commercial effort
Initiatives towards net zero well identified and under execution
• Scope: using biofuels on Saipem drilling and construction offshore fleet
• Focus on operations in the Mediterranean Sea
27
Guidance and Outlook
| Revenues | 1 Adj. EBITDA |
Capex | 2 FCF |
Net Debt | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | > 11 B€ | ~ 850 M€ Double-digit margin from 2025 |
~ 450 M€ |
Breakeven | Positive Net cash pre-IFRS 16 Net debt ~ 500 M€ post-IFRS 16 |
| 2026 | > 12 B€ | > 1.2 B€ | 1.2 B€ ~ cumulative 2023-26 |
> 0.6 B€ | Positive Net cash > 0.7 B€ post-IFRS 16 |
-
Excluding special items
-
Free cash flow pre-IFRS 16, computed as EBITDA reported pre-IFRS 16, after capex, delta net working capital, financial charges, taxes and dividends
Agenda
4Q & Full year 2022 highlights
Financial and business performance
Strategic update
Closing remarks
QoQ comparison - (M€)
4Q 2022 group results
-
Excluding Drilling Onshore (discontinued operations)
-
Excluding special items. See slide 36 in the appendix for special items and slide 11 for reported results
4Q 2022 results by division QoQ comparison (M€)
- Excluding special items
FY 2022 Net Debt evolution
(M€)
- Others including cash special items, repayment of lease liabilities, cash flow from own funds and exchange differences
Russia: exit almost completed, in full compliance with the sanctioning framework provisions and timeframe
- Exit completed from consolidated projects
- Exit on non-consolidated projects ongoing, consistently with the provisions and timeframe of the sanctioning framework
- Non-consolidated backlog almost entirely removed
- No new acquisitions in Russia confirmed in Strategic Plan 2023 2026
- Monitoring the continuous evolution of the geopolitical context and sanctioning framework
• Exit completed, no further impacts
Artic LNG 2 – GBS and Topsides
- Residual backlog of ~ 251 M€
- Ongoing negotiation with project partner
FY 2022 backlog distribution
Sizeable backlog provides support for the mid-term
Non-consolidated Backlog By Year Of Execution
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025+ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 331 | 17 | 11 | M€ |
Note: 31st December 2022 backlog does not include the residual backlog (114 M€) of drilling onshore geographies still under disposal (Latam) Non-consolidated backlog @ 31 December 2022 equal to 359 M€, of which 251 M€ in Russia (~ 800 M€ of non-consolidated projects in Russia removed in 9M 2022, see slide 33)
FY 2022 Net Result - Reconciliation Adjusted vs Reported
Net Result (M€)
Drilling Onshore (discontinued operations2 )
Costs from Covid-19
Cost mainly related to management of pandemic and safeguarding people's health
-
Special items of 70 M€ mainly related to Covid-19 costs (29 M€) and redundancy costs (50 M€). Out of 70 M€, 52 M€ is at EBITDA and EBIT level, while 18 M€ in discontinued operations.
-
Drilling Onshore has been classified as discontinued operations following the sale agreement with KCA Deutag. (First closing on 28th October 2022)
FY 2022 Results – D&A, financial expenses and taxes (M€)
• Taxes at 153 M€ in FY 2022
• FY 2023 expected broadly in line with FY 2022
- Including 18 M€ of IFRS 16 impact
Taxes1
Debt maturity profile and liquidity Analysis as of 31 December 2022
| Billion € | FY 22 |
|---|---|
| Gross Debt | 2.63 |
| o/w Banks | 0.53 |
| Bonds | 2.00 |
| Accruals and other financial debt |
0.10 |
| Total liquidity | (2.69) |
| Net Debt (pre IFRS 16) | (0.06) |
| IFRS 16 | 0.32 |
| Net Debt (post IFRS 16) | 0.26 |
Bonds and banking facilities maturities (M€)
Liquidity as of 31 December 2022 (B€)
Note: FY 2022 average cost of debt ~ 5%, including treasury hedging and fees; average tenor at 31 December 2022 ~ 2.6 years.
-
Restricted liquidity mainly related to projects and local currencies
-
Revolving Credit Facility of 470 M€ and Term loan of 390 M€ (70% guaranteed by SACE)
Drilling offshore fleet booking on the rise
Drilling Vessel Engagement Map (2022-24)
Top-ranked ESG player among peers
| ESG Rating1 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ||||||
| Saipem | 79/100 | 87/100 | 4.2/5 | 79.3/100 | 61/100 | 18.1(100<0) |
| E&C peers average3 |
23/100 | 74/100 | 2.6/5 | 53.2/100 | n.a. | 25.9 (100<0) |
| Saipem ranking4 |
st 1 |
st 1 |
st 1 |
st 1 |
st 1 |
rd 3 |
ESG culture and achievements recognized externally
-
Rating as of 31 December 2022
-
- Rating ESG of Sustainalytics is based on risk evaluation, thus the lowest is the best
-
- Sector Average Rating is defined by ESG rating agency or, in case of Refinitiv, Bloomberg and Sustainalytics, is calculated considering the following peers group: TechnipFMC, Subsea 7, Petrofac, Tecnicas Reunidas, Maire Tecnimont, Aker Solutions
- 39 4. Official ranking communicated to Saipem by ESG rating agencies; peer groups defined by agencies except for Bloomberg e Refinitiv for which it is calculated for the above peer group; Saipem official overall ranking for Refinitiv is 4th