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Saipem — Investor Presentation 2021
Oct 28, 2021
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Investor Presentation
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SAIPEM CAPITAL MARKETS DAY NINE MONTHS 2021 RESULTS AND NEW STRATEGIC PLAN
October 28th, 2021


Forward-looking statements
Forward-looking statements contained in this presentation regrading future events and future results are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about the industries in which Saipem S.p.A. (the "Company") operates, as well as the beliefs and assumptions of the Company's management.
These forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors beyond the Company' control that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. These include, but are not limited to: forex and interest rate fluctuations, commodity price volatility, credit and liquidity risks, HSE risks, the levels of capital expenditure in the oil and gas industry and other sectors, political instability in areas where the Group operates, actions by competitors, success of commercial transactions, risks associated with the execution of projects (including ongoing investment projects), the Coronavirus outbreak (including its impact across our business, worldwide operations and supply chain); in addition to changes in stakeholders' expectations and other changes affecting business conditions.
Therefore, the Company's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. They are neither statements of historical fact nor guarantees of future performance. The Company therefore caution against relying on any of these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, economic conditions globally, the impact of competition, political and economic developments in the countries in which the Company operates, and regulatory developments in Italy and internationally. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Company speak only as of the date they are made. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in the Company's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein.
The Financial Reports contain analyses of some of the aforementioned risks.
Forward-looking statements neither represent nor can be considered as estimates for legal, accounting, fiscal or investment purposes. Forward-looking statements are not intended to provide assurances and/or solicit investment.
Today's Speakers

Chief Executive Officer and General Manager

Francesco Caio Antonio Paccioretti
Chief Financial Officer

9M 2021 results
Closing remarks
Q&A

9M 2021 highlights
- 3Q adjusted EBITDA material enhancement vs 2Q (-25 M€ in 3Q vs -354 M€ in 2Q)
- Continuing signs of drilling activity recovery
- For the nine months revenues -6% YoY and adjusted EBITDA at -291 M€
- Business environment still conditioned by pandemic:
- Delays and cost overruns adding to challenges in offshore wind
- Longer client investment decisions for new projects
- Continued impact from covid direct costs
- Mozambique project suspension
- Order intake of 4.9 B€, book-to-bill c.1x in 9M
- c. 24.5 B€1 backlog provides support for the mid-term
- Net debt post IFRS-16 c. 1.7 B€, trending as expected in 3Q

9M 2021 results YoY comparison (M€)


9M 2021 results P&L YoY (M€)
| Adjusted1 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M€ | 9M 20 | 9M 21 | Var. | |
| Revenue | 5,380 | 5,064 | (316) | |
| Total costs | (4,889) | (5,355) | (466) | |
| EBITDA | 491 | (291) | (782) | |
| margin | 9.1% | n.m. | ||
| D&A | (457) | (383) | (74) | Driven by the termination of contract on a leased vessel and asset impairments of 2020 |
| EBIT | 34 | (674) | (708) | |
| Financial expenses | (133) | (88) | 45 | Costs for bond buyback in 2020, lower expenses for FX derivatives and leasing in 2021 |
| Result from equity investments |
10 | (10) | (20) | Loss from projects in JV |
| EBT | (89) | (772) | (683) | |
| Income taxes | (106) | (90) | 16 | Lower taxable profits |
| Minorities | (15) | 0 | 15 | No contribution from entities with minority partners |
| Net result | (210) | (862) | (652) |

9M 2021 net result Reconciliation adjusted vs reported
Net Result (M€)
| 9M21 Adjusted |
Health & Safety (Covid-19) |
Others1 | Write-down2 | 9M21 Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (862) | (61) | (85) | ||
| (113) | (1,121) |
Costs from Covid-19, safety first
Cost mainly related to management of pandemic and safeguarding people's health:
- Cost of personnel on stand-by (e.g. quarantine, extraordinary charter flights)
- Personal protective equipment in excess of the standard quantities
- Sanitising work areas
Asset write-down mainly in E&C offshore and onshore in connection with competitiveness program
- Of which 95 M€ of assets (included in D&A) and 18 M€ of inventories (included in operating costs)

9M 2021 results – E&C YoY comparison (M€)

- Lower volumes in Middle East, North Africa and Italy partially offset by Europe and Americas
- Results further impacted by challenges in offshore wind projects and fabrication bottlenecks in Far East also due to pandemic
- Projects in traditional O&G business progressing well

• Revenue decrease in Middle East not entirely offset by increase in Sub-Saharan Africa
9M20 9M21
- Margin affected by impact of Mozambique project and project extracosts in Middle East
- Mozambique project still suspended with residual backlog at 3.6 B€
(42)
9M20 9M21

9M 2021 results – drilling YoY comparison (M€)
Drilling offshore Drilling onshore 234 274 9M20 9M21 61 76 9M20 9M21 Revenue Adjusted EBITDA 26.1% margin 27.7%
- Revenue increase mainly driven by Saipem 12000, Saipem 10000 and Scarabeo 8
- Continuing recovery on revenues and margin driven by market recovery and improving utilization

- Lower activity in Middle East resulting from rig suspensions
- EBITDA and EBITDA margin impacted by lower volumes
- Restart of activity in Middle East supporting margin in 3Q

9M 2021 net debt evolution (B€)
Operating cashflow partly offset by positive working capital dynamic

2H 2021 outlook1

-
Outlook for 2H does not factor further and possible material macro and business deterioration (e.g. from Covid-19)
-
E&C Onshore including floaters business and XSIGHT
Agenda
Group financial highlights
Closing remarks
Q&A

Towards the new Saipem…what to leverage…what to change
Saipem extraordinary potential is confirmed

But, a step change is now required
Risk discipline from commercial to execution
Tailored approach by project type
Simplification and streamlining
One Saipem


Saipem has always been the «partner of choice» for the most complex technology challenges of energy industry …
Saipem's cutting-edge solutions have always made the difference


…and is already pioneering technologies for the energy transition


…but a radically new energy eco-system calls for a discontinuity..

Oil Companies are executing different and polarized strategies

NOC
IOC
The depth of structural changes in market dynamics are redefining the content and the borders of our industry


Multiple emerging technologies on new energy carriers to be challenged and engineered into bankable and executable projects

New players and evolving client base

Growing appetite for advanced digital solutions and services aimed at reducing Total Cost of Ownership and Carbon Footprint

Sustainable infrastructure systems acquiring a critical role
Flexible strategy and differentiated go-to-market models

We need to clearly address our core business through a dual strategy…
Saipem dual strategy for the energy transition

Technical Sparring Partner of Energy Co's in complex projects

Provider of modular and scalable solutions and digitally-enabled services

+
Integrator of sustainable infrastructural systems

… evolving accordingly our business model around four pillars

…embedding transition technology in all areas

1 Asset based offer (1/2)
Capture growth cycle with key accounts in core geos
Optimize mix of own / leased assets and utilization rate
Gradual exit from vertically integrated fabrication model
Strengthen offering through partnerships and/or alliances
Reduce fleet carbon footprint
Strategic actions

Long-term drilling contracts SURF Transport & Installation



Asset based offer (2/2) 1
| Key Figures | |
|---|---|
| >90% | '22-'25 revenues from top 3 geos |
| 5 | Vessels to be scrapped |
| 3 | Fabrication yards to be discontinued |
| 85% | '25 vs. '20 Drilling Idleness costs |
| 50% | '25 vs. '20 Vessels Idleness costs |
| Comm. agreement announced today w/ Technip FMC |



Energy carriers (1/2) 2
| Key Figures | |
|---|---|
| 300+ | Refining, Pet-Chem & Fertilizer plants built by Saipem |
| ~€100B - |
Addressable market (LNG, Regasification, Fertilizers…) |
| - 50+ |
Pre-FEED / FEED/ concept studies already in pipeline to tackle addressable market |

26
Energy carriers (2/2) 2
| s n o ti c a c gi e t a r t S |
Focus on backlog execution with increased discipline on cost and risk |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shift Order Intake from volume to value | ||||
| Proactive marketing | ||||
| Accelerating new paradigm |
Tech innovation … Venture Capital … own patents | |||
| Digitalization of processes … and plants |


LNG & Regasification Biorefinery & Biochem Green fertilizer




Robotics, Digital and Industrialized solutions (1/4) 3
A new kind of demand
| Floating Wind / Solar Modular Solutions |
Concentrated Solar Power Systems |
Green Hydrogen Plant Packages (Electrolizer + Renewables) |
Small-scale CCS units for hard-to abate applications |
Plastic Recycling Industrialized Solutions |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e z si t c e oj r p |
30 ÷ 450 MW |
50 ÷ 200 MW |
10 ÷ 100 MW* |
200 ÷ 400 CO2 Mtpa |
50 ÷ 100 Ktpa |
| e c n e r e f e R |
250 M€ ÷ 1.5 B€ |
300 M€ ÷ 1 B€ |
30 ÷ 800 M€ |
50 ÷ 150 M€ |
70 ÷ 250 M€ |

Robotics, Digital and Industrialized solutions (2/4) 3
Strategic actions Develop modular, scalable, industrialized technological solutions
Exploit digitally-enabled service platforms (e.g. subsea robots)…
…to grow recurring monitoring and maintenance services
Build the execution model for the new world
Examples


Industrialized solutions Digital & advanced services Robotics


Robotics, Digital and Industrialized solutions (3/4) 3
| Key Figures | |
|---|---|
| 70+ | CO removal plants designed and built worldwide 2 |
| 150+ | engineers already engaged in new solutions offering |
| €200M+ | total annual existing service revenues |
| 30+ | years of experience in subsea ROV; world's first provider of subsea drone services |
| €100M+ | robotics service recurring revenues opportunities in today's pipeline |

Fare clic per modificare lo stile del titolo dello schema 3 Robotics, Digital and Industrialized solutions (4/4) Saipem Floating Wind Offer example

Tactical Make or Buy Mix



Sustainable Infrastructures (1/2) 4
Strategic actions
Exploit PNRR as a launch pad to create a solid backlog
Focus on digitalized, interconnected and sustainable infrastructures
Diversify from energy industry cycles
Examples

High Speed/High Capacity Rail Infrastructures

Integrated, Digitized, Interconnected, Smart, Safe mobility solutions

Infrastructures Technological upgrade

Sustainable Infrastructures (2/2) 4

New Saipem strategy will capture ST cash generating growth, while creating value in the LT addressing the energy transition opportunities
Evolutionary trajectory
| Asset based | • Cycle driven cash generation • Active portfolio management • CAPEX discipline |
S/MT Growth driven by cycle |
|---|---|---|
| Energy carriers | • Value over volume & de-risking • Hybridization and new energy carriers • Tech-based proposition |
Stable with significant re-mix |
| Robotics, Digital & Industrialized Solutions |
• Growth and superior resilience • Modular solutions • High-end recurring service revenues |
Growth, fast evolving |
| Sustainable infrastructure |
• Italy PNRR launch pad • Long-term diversification driver • Focus on integrated systems |
Growth |
Towards a more resilient portfolio with an higher value revenue mix

Evolutionary path toward the new Saipem: how we get there


ESG leadership

Saipem strategy on one page

Agenda
Closing remarks
Q&A

From a challenging present to a resilient future
• Solid revenue growth
• Cash costs reduction
• Recouping pre-pandemic profitability
• CAPEX plan sustained by cash generation after 2022
Revenue growth

Current backlog provides high future revenue coverage…

High backlog coverage 2022-onwards

41
…complemented with 23 B€ of selected commercial opportunities
Europe, CIS & Central Asia


Overview of cost competitiveness program

-
Savings net of implementation costs
-
Non-strategic international offices

Strategy enabled by new CAPEX plan with expected deleverage towards 2025

Capex mix shifting towards new asset-lighter segments, with c. 1.5 B€ cumulated 2022-25
Deleveraging through c. 0.8 B€ cumulative FCF generation 2022-2025

Balance sheet and liquidity: strong liquidity and well-balanced debt structure

Liquidity

Well-balanced debt maturity profile
First significant maturity in 2022, covered by existing liquidity
Monitoring debt capital markets
Strategic plan as basis to access sustainability-linked funding pools
- Restricted liquidity mainly related to projects and local currencies

Towards a resilient profitable future
| • Solid revenue growth |
• Growth driven by offshore and drilling • c.15% CAGR 21-25 |
|---|---|
| Cash costs reduction • |
c.100 M€ net savings in 2022 • c.300 M€ per year by 2025 (run-rate) • |
| • Recouping pre-pandemic profitability |
Close to pre-pandemic EBITDA1 • from 2023 Double-digit profitability by 20241 • |
| • CAPEX plan sustained by cash generation after 2022 |
• c.1.5 B€ cumulated CAPEX in 2022-25 • Net debt c.2.2 B€ in 2022 • Targeting < 1 B€ net debt in 2025 |
Agenda
Q&A Closing remarks Group financial highlights Group strategic guidelines 9M 2021 results

Saipem strategic plan delivered through a new operating model

Unlocking value


Appendix

9M 2021 main awards
A diversified set of awards, book to bill of c. 1x in 9M 2021


Offshore Drilling Fleet Vessel utilization

Asset Light strategy to play the expected cyclical recovery
9M 2021 Backlog Well-diversified and Sizeable Backlog

Current E&C backlog including non-consolidated

9M 2021 Backlog Distribution by Year
Backlog Provides Solid Support for The Mid-term
(M€)

Non-consolidated Backlog By Year Of Execution
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023+ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 345 | 861 | 1,092 | M€ |

Onshore Drilling Fleet

-
Excluding 17 rigs stacked in Venezuela and currently not marketable
-
Simple average: # days sold / # days available for sale

E&C Opportunities c. 23 B€ Well-diversified tendering pipeline ahead


9M 2021 Results – D&A, Financial Expenses and Taxes (M€)

-
Floaters business included in E&C Onshore
-
Including 8 M€ of IFRS16 impact

Balance sheet and liquidity Strong liquidity and well-balanced debt structure
| Billion € | 9M 21 |
|---|---|
| Gross Debt1 | 3.4 |
| (Total liquidity) | (2.0) |
| Net Debt (pre IFRS 16) | 1.4 |
| IFRS 16 | 0.3 |
| Net Debt (post IFRS 16) | 1.7 |
| Key debt metrics | 9M 21 |
|---|---|
| Average actual tenor | c. 3Y |
| Average debt cash cost 2 | c. 3% |
DEBT Maturity Profile (M€)


-
Including c. 0.05 B€ of accruals and other minor financial liabilities
-
Average cost of debt c.4% including treasury hedging
-
Restricted liquidity mainly related to projects and local currencies

9M 2021 Results QoQ Trend (M€)


9M 2021 Results - Divisions QoQ Trend (M€)




- E&C Onshore including floaters business and XSIGHT