Earnings Release • Oct 24, 2016
Earnings Release
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All revenue figures in this press release refer to Adjusted[Note 1] revenue and continuing operations[Note 2]. Please refer to definitions contained in the Notes on page 9 of this press release.
Organic variations exclude notably the effects of significant changes in scope: the classification of Safran I&S as discontinued operations and the adoption of equity accounting for Airbus Safran Launchers.
On September 29, 2016, Safran entered into exclusive negotiations with Advent International, for the sale of its identity and security activities valued at Euro 2,425 million, or 12.6x EBITDA 2015. The transaction is expected to close in 2017as is the case for the sale of the detection activities to Smiths Group following the April 21 agreement.
1 Excludes notably Safran Identity & Security from 9M2015 and 9M2016, businesses contributed to ASL from 3Q 2015.
2 Excludes notably Safran Identity & Security from 3Q2015 and 3Q2016, businesses contributed to ASL from 3Q 2015.
Paris, 17:40 October 24, 2016
CEO Philippe Petitcolin commented:
"Safran accomplished four crucial steps this quarter.
On our strategic roadmap a very important milestone was achieved as we entered into exclusive negotiations for our Identity & Security business in very satisfactory financial conditions.
On the operational front the LEAP programme continues to progress as planned with 2 airlines operating the engine commercially on a daily basis and further entries into service are imminent. I am particularly proud that customers are expressing their satisfaction with the engine's performance. The production ramp-up is proceeding to plan and we are fully confident in our capacity to meet our commitments.
Our backlog continues to grow with the finalisation of an order for 36 Rafale aircraft for India in which Safran is one of the major partners. This new contract paves the way for further export success. Lastly, Safran continues on track to meet our annual targets for adjusted revenue, adjusted recurring operating income and free cash flow."
Over the first nine months, revenue grew in line with annual guidance. Growth in revenue from continuing activities includes an increase in aerospace activities partially offset by a decline in Defence.
| Euros millions | Propulsion | Aircraft Equipment |
Defence | Holding & Others |
Safran continuing operations |
Safran Identity & Security (discontinued) |
Safran continuing & discontinued |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M2015 | 6,706 | 3,594 | 882 | 3 | 11,185 | 1,359 | 12,544 |
| 9M2016 | 6,913 | 3,750 | 837 | 4 | 11,504 | 1,419 | 12,923 |
| Reported growth | 3.1% | 4.3% | (5.1)% | n/s | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Impact of changes in scope |
(1.6)% | n/s | 0 | 0 | (0.9)% | 0 | (0.8)% |
| Currency impact | n/s | n/s | (0.1)% | 0 | n/s | (2.3)% | (0.3)% |
| Organic growth | 4.7% | 4.3% | (5.0)% | n/s | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
Organic revenue was determined by excluding the effect of changes in scope of consolidation (Euro 106 million, of which Euro 110 million in Q3 2015 for the space launcher activities since contributed to ASL). Net currency variations were negligible (Euro 1 million) reflecting a negative translation effect on non-Euro revenues, principally GBP. The average USD/EUR spot rate was 1.12 to the Euro in the first nine months of 2016, compared to 1.11 in the year-ago period. The Group's hedge rate improved to USD 1.24 to the Euro in the third-quarter 2016 from USD 1.25 in the year-ago period.
Third quarter 2016 revenue is consistent with annual guidance. As expected, from July 1, space launcher business no longer contributes to revenues whereas it had done so in 2015 (Euro 110 million in Q3 2015).
On an organic basis, revenue from continuing activities declined slightly (0.8)% compared to the same period a year ago. As planned, no M88 deliveries were recognised in Q3 2016, whereas 8 engines had been delivered in the year-ago quarter. Civil MRO and helicopter turbine support also put pressure on the top line.
| Euros millions | Propulsion | Aircraft Equipment |
Defence | Holding & Others |
Safran continuing operations |
Safran Identity & Security (discontinued) |
Safran continuing & discontinued |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Q2015 | 2,220 | 1,180 | 266 | 1 | 3,667 | 474 | 4,141 |
| 3Q2016 | 2,056 | 1,208 | 253 | 0 | 3,517 | 470 | 3,987 |
| Reported growth | (7.4)% | 2.4% | (4.9)% | n/s | (4.1)% | (0.8)% | (3.7)% |
| Impact of changes in scope |
(5.0)% | 0.2% | 0 | 0 | (2.9)% | 0 | (2.6)% |
| Currency impact | (0.1)% | (0.8)% | (0.4)% | 0 | (0.4)% | (0.6)% | (0.4)% |
| Organic growth | (2.3)% | 3.0% | (4.5)% | n/s | (0.8)% | (0.2)% | (0.7)% |
The currency impact (Euro 16 million) reflects a negative translation effect on non-Euro revenues, particularly GBP. The average USD/EUR spot rate was 1.12 to the Euro in the third-quarter 2016, compared to 1.11 in the year-ago period. The Group's hedge rate improved to USD 1.24 to the Euro in the third-quarter 2016 from USD 1.25 in the year-ago period.
During the third quarter, steps were taken to improve the coverage of Safran's future currency exposure. Safran's hedging portfolio totalled USD 19.5 billion on October 24, 2016.
2017: Optimisation of the hedge portfolio ensured an improvement of the target rate by 1 cent to 1.21 USD/EUR (previously 1.22 USD/EUR)
2018: Coverage of net USD/EUR exposure increased to USD 6.1 billion (previously USD 5.7 billion). This coverage was built in order to improve the upper limit of the target hedge rate range by 1 cent to 1.19 USD/EUR (previously 1.20 USD/EUR). Knock-out barriers are set at various levels between USD 1.24 and USD 1.45 with maturities up to 1 year.
2019: The upper limit of the target hedge rate range improved by 1 cent to 1.19 USD/EUR (previously 1.20 USD/EUR). Knock-out barriers are set at various levels between USD 1.19 and USD 1.45 with maturities up to 2 years.
No other significant changes to the Group's foreign exchange coverage are to be noted since the publication of first half 2016 results on July 29, 2016.
All the businesses comprising Safran Identity & Security, including Detection, have been classified as "discontinued operations" at the end of September 2016. As a result, 2016 guidance and the 2015 comparison are based on continuing operations3 : Propulsion, Aircraft Equipment, Defence, Holding & Others.
In addition, starting on July 1, 2016, Safran accounts for its share in Airbus Safran Launchers using the equity method and no longer records revenue from space activities. In 2016 the change is expected to reduce revenue by approximately Euro 400 million compared to 2015, including Euro 110 million in Q3
Safran expects for 2016 on a full-year basis,
This guidance also confirms the outlook issued in February 2016 and reiterated in July 2016, applicable to the Group structure as of December 31, 2015.
Safran updates certain assumptions on which the guidance is based as a result of the classification of Safran I&S as discontinued activities. Comparisons are made to 2015 metrics on the basis of continuing operations.
3 Key Figures, page 8
In the third quarter 2016, Aerospace Propulsion recorded revenue of Euro 2,056 million impacted in particular by the delivery programme of military engines for the Rafale fighter aircraft.
Services revenue fell slightly (1.2)% as declines in civil aftermarket and helicopter turbine support offset strong growth in military services. The civil aftermarket (measured in USD) declined (1.6)% compared to the third quarter 2015. Sales of spare parts for narrowbody and widebody engines continue to increase. This growth was, however, offset by a drop in MRO revenue. Helicopter turbines support declined in the mid teens, impacted by a fall in flight hours particularly at Oil and Gas customers and the grounding of the H225 Super Puma fleet.
OE Propulsion revenue was impacted by the change in scope related to ASL. Space launchers had contributed Euro 110 million to Propulsion revenue in Q3 2015. On an organic basis, OE revenue fell (4.6)%, notably due to unfavourable phasing of deliveries as no M88 sales were recognised in Q3, compared with 8 engines delivered for Egypt in Q3 2015, offsetting higher TP400 deliveries. In civil, CFM56 deliveries continue at a strong pace with 407 shipments compared with 398 in the year-ago period. LEAP deliveries amounted to 22 in the quarter. Sales from helicopter turbines rose slightly.
Year-to-date, revenue growth of the Propulsion activities was 3.1%, or 4.7% on an organic basis. Civil aftermarket grew 5% in USD. The momentum is driven notably by services and recent CFM56, GE90 engine overhauls.
In the first 9 months, deliveries of CFM56 engines amount to 1,293 engines, up 6.5% from last year. Deliveries of LEAP amount to 33 engines as of September 30, and over 40 at the date of this statement.
The Aircraft Equipment segment reported third-quarter 2016 revenue of Euro 1,208 million, up 3.0% on an organic basis, compared to Euro 1,180 million in the year-ago period. Service revenue grew by 8.6% and accounts for 32.4% of sales.
Equipment OE sales were flat at (0.4)% as higher deliveries of A350 wiring and landing gear shipsets, A380 and LEAP nacelles, A320ceo thrust reversers offset lower A330 volumes. Shipments to Boeing on the 787 programme were broadly stable compared to the year-ago quarter.
Services growth of 8.6% was driven primarily by landing gear and carbon brakes aftermarket. Safran is the world leader in carbon brakes for commercial aircraft over 100 seats. Nacelle aftermarket activity grew as initial provisioning commenced with A320neo-LEAP airline customers.
Year-to-date growth of the Aircraft Equipment activities was 4.3%, driven by growth in landing gear, carbon brakes and nacelles aftermarket, as well as higher shipments of A380 nacelles and equipment for A320neo, A320ceo and A350 programmes offsetting notably lower A330 volumes. On an organic basis, revenue is up 4.3%.
Third-quarter 2016 revenue of Euro 253 million was down (4.9)%, or (4.5)% on an organic basis, compared to revenue of Euro 266 million in the year-ago period. The decline in revenue was primarily driven by the optronics activity, particularly the end of the FELIN programme. Sales in Avionics slightly declined compared to the year-ago period.
Revenue in the Defence activities declined (5.1)% in the first 9 months of 2016. On an organic basis, revenue declined (5.0)% driven by a drop in optronics sales.
The Security activities reported third-quarter 2016 revenue of Euro 470 million, slightly down (0.8)% compared to revenue in the year-ago period of Euro 474 million. On an organic basis, revenue declined (0.2)%.
Revenue in the Security activities grew 4.4% in the first 9 months of 2016, or 6.7% on an organic basis.
Safran's Board of Directors will consider the distribution of an interim 2016 dividend. If such a dividend were decided its ex-date would be December 19, 2016 and its payment date December 21, 2016.
2016 annual results February 24, 2017
Annual shareholders meeting June 15, 2017
* * * * *
Safran will host today a conference call open to analysts, investors and media at 18:30 CET which can be accessed at +33 (0)1 70 77 09 44 (France), +44 (0) 203 367 9457 (UK) and +1 866 907 5925 (US). A replay will be available at +33 (0)1 72 00 15 00, +44 (0) 203 367 9460 and +1 877 642 3018 (access code 303579#).
The press release, presentation and consolidated financial statements are available on the website at www.safran-group.com.
| Segment breakdown of revenue (In Euro million) |
Q3 2015 | Q3 2016 | % change reported |
% change organic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerospace Propulsion | 2,220 | 2,056 | (7.4)% | (2.3)% |
| Aircraft Equipment | 1,180 | 1,208 | 2.4% | 3.0% |
| Defence | 266 | 253 | (4.9)% | (4.5)% |
| Others | 1 | - | Na | Na |
| Safran (continuing operations) | 3,667 | 3,517 | (4.1)% | (0.8)% |
| Security (discontinued) | 474 | 470 | (0.8)% | (0.2)% |
| Safran continuing & discontinued | 4,141 | 3,987 | (3.7)% | (0.7)% |
| Segment breakdown of revenue (In Euro million) |
9m 2015 | 9m 2016 | % change reported |
% change Organic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerospace Propulsion | 6,706 | 6,913 | 3.1% | 4.7% |
| Aircraft Equipment | 3,594 | 3,750 | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Defence | 882 | 837 | (5.1)% | (5.0)% |
| Others | 3 | 4 | Na | Na |
| Safran (continuing operations) | 11,185 | 11,504 | 2.9% | 3.8% |
| Security (discontinued) | 1,359 | 1,419 | 4.4% | 6.7% |
| Safran continuing & discontinued | 12,544 | 12,923 | 3.0% | 4.1% |
| 2016 revenue by quarter (In Euro million) |
Q1 2016 | Q2 2016 | Q3 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aerospace Propulsion | 2,301 | 2,556 | 2,056 |
| Aircraft Equipment | 1,219 | 1,323 | 1,208 |
| Defence | 269 | 315 | 253 |
| Others | 2 | 2 | - |
| Safran (continuing operations) | 3,791 | 4,196 | 3,517 |
| Security (discontinued) | 449 | 500 | 470 |
| Safran continuing & discontinued | 4,240 | 4,696 | 3,987 |
| 2015 adjusted revenue by quarter (In Euro million) |
Q1 2015 | Q2 2015 | Q3 2015 | Q4 2015 | FY 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerospace Propulsion | 2,070 | 2,416 | 2,220 | 2,613 | 9,319 |
| Aircraft Equipment | 1,172 | 1,242 | 1,180 | 1,349 | 4,943 |
| Defence | 278 | 338 | 266 | 384 | 1,266 |
| Others | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 |
| Safran (continuing operations) | 3,521 | 3,997 | 3,667 | 4,351 | 15,536 |
| Security (discontinued) | 414 | 471 | 474 | 519 | 1,878 |
| Safran continuing & discontinued | 3,935 | 4,468 | 4,141 | 4,870 | 17,414 |
| Segment breakdown of recurring operating income (In Euro million) |
H1 2015 | FY 2015 | H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aerospace Propulsion | 944 | 1,833 | 942 |
| Aircraft Equipment | 199 | 466 | 271 |
| Defence | 15 | 64 | 22 |
| Others | (53) | (82) | (5) |
| Safran (continuing operations) | 1,105 | 2,281 | 1,230 |
| Security (discontinued) | 66 | 151 | 79 |
| Safran continuing & discontinued | 1,171 | 2,432 | 1,309 |
| Euro/USD rate | Third quarter 2015 |
Third quarter 2016 |
9 months 2015 |
9 months 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average spot rate | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Spot rate (end of period) | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| Hedge rate | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.24 |
To reflect the Group's actual economic performance and enable it to be monitored and benchmarked against competitors, Safran prepares an adjusted revenue.
Safran's consolidated revenue has been adjusted for the impact of:
Third-quarter 2016 and 9m 2016 reconciliation between consolidated revenue and adjusted revenue:
| Q3 2016 | Hedge accounting | Business combinations | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consolidated revenue |
Remeasurement of revenue |
Deferred hedging gain (loss) |
Amortization intangible assets - Sagem |
PPA impacts - other business combinations |
Adjusted revenue |
|
| (In Euro million) | Snecma | |||||
| Revenue | 3,671 | (154) | n/a | n/a | n/a | 3,517 |
| 9m 2016 | Hedge accounting | Business combinations | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (In Euro million) | Consolidated revenue |
Remeasurement of revenue |
Deferred hedging gain (loss) |
Amortization intangible assets - Sagem Snecma |
PPA impacts - other business combinations |
Adjusted revenue |
| Revenue | 11,977 | (473) | na | na | na | 11,504 |
Safran entered into exclusive negotiations with Advent International/Oberthur Technologies to sell Safran's identity and security activities (announced September 29, 2016). Following this decision, all the businesses comprising Safran Identity & Security activities have been classified as "discontinued operations" at the end of September 2016, including Detection activities which had been classified as assets and liabilities held for sale since the announcement on April 21, 2016 of the signing of an agreement for their sale to Smiths Group. The contribution of the I&S activities to Safran's financial statements is therefore presented separately from Safran's continuing operations: Propulsion, Aircraft Equipment, Defence and Holding & Others.
This non-accounting indicator (non-audited) comprises spares and MRO (Maintenance, Repair & Overhaul) revenue for all civil aircraft engines for Safran Aircraft Engines and its subsidiaries and reflects the Group's performance in civil aircraft engines aftermarket compared to the market.
Safran is a leading international high-technology group with three core businesses: Aerospace (propulsion and equipment), Defence and Security. Operating worldwide, the Group has 70,000 employees and generated sales of 17.4 billion euros in 2015. Working independently or in partnership, Safran holds world or European leadership positions in its core markets. The Group invests heavily in Research & Development to meet the requirements of changing markets, including expenditures of more than 2 billion euros in 2015. Safran is listed on Euronext Paris and is part of the CAC40 index, as well as the Euro Stoxx 50 European index.
For more information : www.safran-group.com / Follow @Safran on Twitter
Catherine MALEK : [email protected] / T +33 (0)1 40 60 80 28
Peter CAMPBELL : [email protected] / T +33 (0)1 40 60 35 96 Frédéric LUCAND : [email protected] / T +33 (0)1 40 60 82 19
The forecasts and forward-looking statements described in this press release are based on the data, assumptions and estimates considered as reasonable by the Group as at the date of this press release. These data, assumptions and estimates may evolve or change as a result of uncertainties related in particular to the economic, financial, competitive, tax or regulatory environment. The occurrence of one or more of the risks described in the registration document (document de référence) may also have an impact on the business, financial position, results and prospects of the Group and thus affect its ability to achieve such forecasts and forward-looking statements. The Group therefore neither makes any commitment, nor provides any assurance as to the achievement of the forecasts and forward-looking statements described in this press release.
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