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Royal KPN N.V. — Earnings Release 2014
Feb 4, 2015
3858_10-q_2015-02-04_028d9976-2612-448e-9d8e-85d2c05864c2.pdf
Earnings Release
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KPN Analyst consensus Q4 2014
For further information please contact KPN Investor Relations Phone +31 70 44 60986
[email protected] www.kpn.com/ir
Please note that this analyst consensus is subject to the disclaimer below:
The analyst consensus provided is based on forecasts provided by various leading equity analysts covering the KPN share. The analyst consensusfor the Q4 2014 period and the full fiscal years 2014‐2016 is based on the non‐weighted average of 20 analyst forecasts (vs. 19 in Q3 2014), whilst the full fiscal year 2017 consensusis based on the non‐weighted average of 14 analyst forecasts. The analyst forecasts were submitted to KPN in the period of 15 December 2014 to 6 January 2015.
The analyst consensus does not in any way represent KPN's financial expectations nor can this be considered to be a forward looking statement by KPN. The analyst consensusis provided for information purposes only, for the convenience of our investors. KPN is not responsible and cannot be held liable in any way for the accuracy, completeness or validity of the analyst consensus, nor for the figures, calculations or assumptionsthat have led thereto.
| KPN divisional breakdown (EUR m) | Q4 '14 | Q4 '14 | Q4 '14 | Q4 '14 | FY '14 | FY '14 | FY '14 | FY '14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted revenues1 | Average Median | High | Low | Average Median | High | Low | ||
| Belgium | 177 | 177 | 186 | 170 | 708 | 708 | 717 | 699 |
| Other (incl. eliminations) | 11 | 9 | 39 | 6 | 53 | 35 | 114 | 31 |
| Mobile International | 188 | 187 | 212 | 178 | 762 | 747 | 823 | 734 |
| Consumer Mobile | 344 | 343 | 354 | 337 | 1,399 | 1,398 | 1,409 | 1,392 |
| Consumer Residential | 484 | 483 | 494 | 476 | 1,920 | 1,919 | 1,937 | 1,912 |
| Business | 719 | 719 | 734 | 708 | 2,884 | 2,884 | 2,897 | 2,861 |
| NetCo | 559 | 553 | 605 | 533 | 2,246 | 2,243 | 2,284 | 2,218 |
| Other (incl. eliminations) | -531 | -530 | -500 | -552 | -2,119 | -2,119 | -2,073 | -2,141 |
| The Netherlands | 1,575 | 1,571 | 1,607 | 1,557 | 6,330 | 6,328 | 6,355 | 6,301 |
| iBasis | 230 | 229 | 250 | 209 | 930 | 929 | 950 | 909 |
| Other activities | 19 | 19 | 23 | 15 | 84 | 77 | 150 | 72 |
| -52 | -55 | -24 | -64 | -214 | -229 | -125 | -238 | |
| Total adjusted revenues from continuing operations1 | 1,962 | 1,966 | 1,993 | 1,924 | 7,898 | 7,903 | 7,951 | 7,825 |
| Incidentals from continuing operations | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
| Total reported revenues from continuing operations | 1,966 | 1,967 | 1,993 | 1,942 | 7,930 | 7,937 | 7,971 | 7,847 |
| Intercompany revenues |
1) Defined as revenues and other income adjusted for incidentals
| KPN divisional breakdown (EUR m) | Q4 '14 | Q4 '14 | Q4 '14 | Q4 '14 | FY '14 | FY '14 | FY '14 | FY '14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA2 | Average Median | High | Low | Average Median | High | Low | ||
| Belgium | 39 | 40 | 45 | 34 | 156 | 156 | 162 | 152 |
| Other (incl. eliminations) | -1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | -6 | -5 | 0 | -23 |
| Mobile International | 39 | 39 | 43 | 34 | 150 | 151 | 154 | 134 |
| Consumer Mobile | 43 | 42 | 54 | 34 | 195 | 195 | 207 | 187 |
| Consumer Residential | 101 | 101 | 106 | 91 | 414 | 415 | 421 | 406 |
| Business | 144 | 144 | 153 | 131 | 598 | 600 | 609 | 585 |
| NetCo | 314 | 315 | 329 | 296 | 1,222 | 1,223 | 1,241 | 1,202 |
| Other (incl. eliminations) | -5 | -6 | 3 | -12 | -34 | -34 | -28 | -40 |
| The Netherlands | 595 | 599 | 623 | 552 | 2,396 | 2,398 | 2,426 | 2,355 |
| iBasis | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 29 | 20 |
| Other activities | -9 | -8 | 8 | -26 | -39 | -38 | -15 | -64 |
| Total adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations2 | 630 | 633 | 658 | 598 | 2,533 | 2,541 | 2,561 | 2,502 |
| Incidentals and (restructuring costs) from continuing operations | -4 | 0 | 10 | -25 | 391 | 409 | 430 | 171 |
| Total reported EBITDA from continuing operations | 625 | 626 | 653 | 598 | 2,924 | 2,936 | 2,972 | 2,732 |
2) Defined as EBITDA adjusted for restructuring costs and incidentals
| KPN consolidated figures (EUR m) P&L items from continuing operations |
Q4 '14 Average Median |
Q4 '14 | Q4 '14 High |
Q4 '14 Low |
FY '14 Average Median |
FY '14 | FY '14 High |
FY '14 Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating profit | 177 | 177 | 244 | 102 | 1,151 | 1,151 | 1,221 | 1,076 |
| Total D&A | 433 | 442 | 520 | 211 | 1,778 | 1,789 | 1,869 | 1,558 |
| Depreciation | 290 | 296 | 338 | 136 | 1,208 | 1,215 | 1,257 | 1,055 |
| Amortization | 135 | 140 | 148 | 74 | 562 | 567 | 576 | 502 |
| Profit for the period | -43 | -39 | 111 | -212 | 248 | 267 | 387 | 64 |
| Earnings per share from continuing operations (non-diluted) (in €) | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.04 | -0.05 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.09 | -0.13 |
| Dividend per share (in €) | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| KPN consolidated figures (EUR m) Free cash flow from continuing operations |
Q4 '14 Average Median |
Q4 '14 | Q4 '14 High |
Q4 '14 Low |
FY '14 Average Median |
FY '14 | FY '14 High |
FY '14 Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from continuing operating activities3 | 289 | 272 | 557 | 58 | 1,247 | 1,250 | 1,516 | 1,017 |
| Proceeds from real estate from continuing operations | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Capex from continuing operations | -411 | -403 | -536 | -335 | -1,346 | -1,337 | -1,468 | -1,265 |
| Of which Belgium | -49 | -47 | -75 | -24 | -153 | -151 | -179 | -128 |
| Of which The Netherlands and other | -365 | -375 | -445 | -306 | -1,189 | -1,191 | -1,271 | -1,132 |
| Free cash flow from continuing operations4 , excl. TEFD dividend |
-149 | -131 | 9 | -361 | -116 | -105 | 38 | -331 |
| Dividends received from Telefónica Deutschland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Free cash flow from continuing operations4 , incl. TEFD dividend |
-149 | -131 | 9 | -361 | -116 | -105 | 38 | -331 |
| Net debt (in bn) | 6.70 | 6.85 | 7.28 | 5.63 | 6.73 | 6.87 | 7.28 | 5.63 |
3) Net cash flow from operating activities is before deduction of Capex spent and proceeds from real estate
4) Free cash flow is defined as cash flow from operating activities, plus proceeds from real estate, minus Capex and excluding E-Plus tax recapture
| KPN divisional breakdown (EUR m) | FY '15 | FY '15 | FY '15 | FY '15 | FY '16 | FY '16 | FY '16 | FY '16 | FY '17 | FY '17 | FY '17 | FY '17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted revenues1 | Average Median | High | Low | Average Median | High | Low | Average Median | High | Low | |||
| Belgium | 704 | 703 | 730 | 678 | 709 | 711 | 742 | 664 | 709 | 715 | 750 | 658 |
| Other (incl. eliminations) | 37 | 35 | 72 | 30 | 37 | 35 | 72 | 29 | 37 | 36 | 44 | 30 |
| Mobile International | 741 | 737 | 800 | 713 | 746 | 747 | 800 | 705 | 746 | 746 | 785 | 699 |
| Consumer Mobile | 1,338 | 1,331 | 1,451 | 1,244 | 1,313 | 1,308 | 1,484 | 1,179 | 1,289 | 1,275 | 1,517 | 1,147 |
| Consumer Residential | 1,926 | 1,917 | 2,004 | 1,867 | 1,946 | 1,942 | 2,056 | 1,864 | 1,976 | 1,959 | 2,101 | 1,887 |
| Business | 2,745 | 2,748 | 2,800 | 2,644 | 2,691 | 2,704 | 2,788 | 2,471 | 2,657 | 2,667 | 2,802 | 2,460 |
| NetCo | 2,203 | 2,201 | 2,272 | 2,117 | 2,165 | 2,175 | 2,243 | 2,039 | 2,122 | 2,146 | 2,216 | 1,982 |
| Other (incl. eliminations) | -2,077 | -2,087 | -1,966 | -2,140 | -2,061 | -2,065 | -1,945 | -2,140 | -2,037 | -2,038 | -1,918 | -2,140 |
| The Netherlands | 6,135 | 6,134 | 6,275 | 6,053 | 6,054 | 6,041 | 6,290 | 5,874 | 6,007 | 5,983 | 6,327 | 5,828 |
| iBasis | 914 | 919 | 951 | 818 | 908 | 920 | 954 | 736 | 919 | 918 | 963 | 874 |
| Other activities | 79 | 77 | 144 | 64 | 79 | 76 | 142 | 64 | 78 | 77 | 141 | 60 |
| Intercompany revenues | -207 | -222 | -115 | -270 | -206 | -220 | -114 | -275 | -193 | -214 | -113 | -278 |
| Total adjusted revenues from continuing operations1 | 7,669 | 7,663 | 7,800 | 7,534 | 7,587 | 7,617 | 7,838 | 7,276 | 7,557 | 7,550 | 7,900 | 7,298 |
| Incidentals from continuing operations | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total reported revenues from continuing operations | 7,669 | 7,663 | 7,800 | 7,534 | 7,587 | 7,617 | 7,838 | 7,276 | 7,557 | 7,550 | 7,900 | 7,298 |
1) Defined as revenues and other income adjusted for incidentals
| KPN divisional breakdown (EUR m) | FY '15 | FY '15 | FY '15 | FY '15 | FY '16 | FY '16 | FY '16 | FY '16 | FY '17 | FY '17 | FY '17 | FY '17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA2 | Average Median | High | Low | Average Median | High | Low | Average Median | High | Low | |||
| Belgium | 162 | 162 | 173 | 146 | 167 | 168 | 182 | 138 | 170 | 174 | 190 | 131 |
| Other (incl. eliminations) | -3 | -4 | 0 | -8 | -3 | -3 | 1 | -8 | -1 | 0 | 2 | -8 |
| Mobile International | 159 | 160 | 171 | 146 | 164 | 165 | 181 | 138 | 168 | 172 | 190 | 131 |
| Consumer Mobile | 193 | 190 | 241 | 165 | 193 | 189 | 245 | 145 | 194 | 183 | 237 | 146 |
| Consumer Residential | 419 | 417 | 441 | 399 | 428 | 422 | 468 | 399 | 442 | 438 | 473 | 397 |
| Business | 549 | 556 | 616 | 434 | 551 | 557 | 641 | 425 | 557 | 559 | 659 | 504 |
| NetCo | 1,275 | 1,279 | 1,308 | 1,194 | 1,264 | 1,264 | 1,348 | 1,170 | 1,232 | 1,241 | 1,291 | 1,158 |
| Other (incl. eliminations) | -27 | -27 | -11 | -48 | -26 | -24 | -12 | -48 | -27 | -25 | -20 | -48 |
| The Netherlands | 2,406 | 2,418 | 2,484 | 2,337 | 2,409 | 2,400 | 2,505 | 2,311 | 2,401 | 2,397 | 2,545 | 2,291 |
| iBasis | 24 | 23 | 32 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 37 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 39 | 17 |
| Other activities | -44 | -40 | -19 | -95 | -44 | -40 | -20 | -90 | -44 | -42 | -20 | -90 |
| Total adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations2 | 2,547 | 2,564 | 2,601 | 2,392 | 2,552 | 2,556 | 2,658 | 2,443 | 2,550 | 2,560 | 2,663 | 2,438 |
| Incidentals and (restructuring costs) from continuing operations | -26 | 0 | 70 | -100 | -11 | 0 | 8 | -90 | -14 | 0 | 0 | -90 |
| Total reported EBITDA from continuing operations | 2,518 | 2,515 | 2,602 | 2,392 | 2,535 | 2,517 | 2,623 | 2,443 | 2,536 | 2,534 | 2,663 | 2,438 |
2) Defined as EBITDA adjusted for restructuring costs and incidentals
| KPN consolidated figures (EUR m) P&L items from continuing operations |
FY '15 Average Median |
FY '15 | FY '15 High |
FY '15 Low |
FY '16 Average Median |
FY '16 | FY '16 High |
FY '16 Low |
FY '17 Average Median |
FY '17 | FY '17 High |
FY '17 Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating profit | 754 | 753 | 918 | 593 | 810 | 812 | 933 | 669 | 863 | 862 | 994 | 674 |
| Total D&A | 1,758 | 1,757 | 1,910 | 1,660 | 1,734 | 1,735 | 1,829 | 1,606 | 1,689 | 1,702 | 1,798 | 1,538 |
| Depreciation | 1,215 | 1,205 | 1,493 | 1,084 | 1,213 | 1,198 | 1,477 | 1,095 | 1,195 | 1,191 | 1,442 | 1,083 |
| Amortization | 550 | 555 | 589 | 417 | 531 | 547 | 589 | 345 | 510 | 535 | 591 | 348 |
| Profit for the period | 171 | 184 | 317 | -11 | 280 | 280 | 478 | 47 | 365 | 360 | 550 | 226 |
| Earnings per share from continuing operations (non-diluted) (in €) | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| Dividend per share (in €) | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| KPN consolidated figures (EUR m) Free cash flow from continuing operations |
FY '15 Average Median |
FY '15 | FY '15 High |
FY '15 Low |
FY '16 Average Median |
FY '16 | FY '16 High |
FY '16 Low |
FY '17 Average Median |
FY '17 | FY '17 High |
FY '17 Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from continuing operating activities3 | 1,920 | 1,909 | 2,089 | 1,675 | 2,046 | 2,031 | 2,271 | 1,835 | 2,124 | 2,100 | 2,437 | 1,925 |
| Proceeds from real estate from continuing operations | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Capex from continuing operations | -1,388 | -1,406 | -1,486 | -1,209 | -1,351 | -1,343 | -1,476 | -1,178 | -1,317 | -1,326 | -1,440 | -1,193 |
| Of which Belgium | -127 | -134 | -150 | -90 | -120 | -128 | -140 | -91 | -111 | -113 | -134 | -96 |
| Of which The Netherlands and other | -1,274 | -1,279 | -1,365 | -1,200 | -1,248 | -1,220 | -1,371 | -1,173 | -1,221 | -1,217 | -1,325 | -1,094 |
| Free cash flow from continuing operations4 , excl. TEFD dividend |
512 | 531 | 696 | 339 | 670 | 667 | 926 | 431 | 773 | 767 | 1,116 | 527 |
| Dividends received from Telefónica Deutschland | 148 | 144 | 180 | 143 | 150 | 144 | 180 | 143 | 158 | 158 | 183 | 144 |
| Free cash flow from continuing operations4 , incl. TEFD dividend |
655 | 676 | 839 | 483 | 830 | 826 | 1,084 | 582 | 924 | 909 | 1,290 | 685 |
| Net debt (in bn) | 6.44 | 6.56 | 7.01 | 5.17 | 6.11 | 6.13 | 6.94 | 4.59 | 5.82 | 5.76 | 7.36 | 4.45 |
3) Net cash flow from operating activities is before deduction of Capex spent and proceeds from real estate
4) Free cash flow is defined as cash flow from operating activities, plus proceeds from real estate, minus Capex and excluding E-Plus tax recapture