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Royal KPN N.V. — Earnings Release 2015
Oct 27, 2015
3858_10-q_2015-10-27_cdbd6914-e5b1-4f09-877d-5b6b8302d250.pdf
Earnings Release
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KPN Analyst consensus Q3 2015
For further information please contact KPN Investor Relations Phone +31 70 44 60986 [email protected] www.kpn.com/ir
Please note that this analyst consensus is subject to the disclaimer below:
The analyst consensus provided is based on forecasts provided by various leading equity analysts covering the KPN share. The analyst consensusfor the Q3 2015 period and the full fiscal years 2015‐2017 is based on the non‐weighted average of 23 analyst forecasts (vs. 22 in Q2 2015). The analyst forecasts were submitted to KPN in the period of 21 to 30 September 2015.
The analyst consensus does not in any way represent KPN's financial expectations nor can this be considered to be a forward looking statement by KPN. The analyst consensusis provided for information purposes only, for the convenience of our investors. KPN is not responsible and cannot be held liable in any way for the accuracy, completeness or validity of the analyst consensus, nor for the figures, calculations or assumptionsthat have led thereto.
| div isio nal brea kdo (EU ) KPN R m wn |
Q3 '15 |
Q3 '15 |
Q3 '15 |
Q3 '15 |
FY ' 15 |
FY ' 15 |
FY ' 15 |
FY ' 15 |
FY ' 16 |
FY ' 16 |
FY ' 16 |
FY ' 16 |
FY ' 17 |
FY ' 17 |
FY ' 17 |
FY ' 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ues1 | ||||||||||||||||
| Adj d re uste ven |
Ave rage |
ian Med |
Hig h |
Low | Ave rage |
ian Med |
Hig h |
Low | Ave rage |
ian Med |
Hig h |
Low | Ave rage |
ian Med |
Hig h |
Low |
| bile Cons r Mo ume |
370 | 372 | 382 | 354 | 1,447 | 1,448 | 1,470 | 1,416 | 1,446 | 1,443 | 1,534 | 1,362 | 1,454 | 1,456 | 1,526 | 1,343 |
| Cons ident ial r Res ume |
483 | 483 | 496 | 477 | 1,931 | 1,929 | 1,955 | 1,915 | 1,971 | 1,967 | 2,047 | 1,926 | 2,004 | 1,994 | 2,147 | 1,930 |
| Busin ess |
648 | 648 | 675 | 624 | 2,676 | 2,676 | 2,722 | 2,629 | 2,553 | 2,542 | 2,639 | 2,487 | 2,498 | 2,490 | 2,647 | 2,367 |
| NetC o |
544 | 544 | 557 | 534 | 2,192 | 2,186 | 2,262 | 2,167 | 2,159 | 2,154 | 2,262 | 2,104 | 2,144 | 2,152 | 2,262 | 2,067 |
| Othe r (inc l. elim inati ons) |
-514 | -515 | -501 | -525 | -2,05 3 |
-2,06 0 |
-2,00 6 |
-2,11 3 |
-2,02 4 |
-2,03 3 |
-1,84 7 |
-2,09 2 |
-2,01 4 |
-2,02 0 |
-1,82 5 |
-2,07 8 |
| The Neth erla nds |
1,53 2 |
1,53 1 |
1,56 4 |
1,50 4 |
6,19 3 |
6,18 8 |
6,26 1 |
6,13 6 |
6,10 6 |
6,10 3 |
6,22 3 |
5,96 4 |
6,08 7 |
6,07 9 |
6,21 2 |
5,94 3 |
| iBas is |
240 | 243 | 249 | 211 | 944 | 948 | 973 | 893 | 943 | 948 | 976 | 885 | 942 | 948 | 996 | 885 |
| Belg ium (dis inue d op ions ) cont erat |
170 | 170 | 181 | 162 | 683 | 682 | 707 | 664 | 682 | 683 | 711 | 639 | 685 | 687 | 716 | 620 |
| Oth ctivi ties er a |
19 | 20 | 37 | 5 | 76 | 75 | 120 | 43 | 78 | 80 | 120 | 40 | 78 | 79 | 120 | 40 |
| Inte rcom pany rev enu es |
-42 | -40 | -30 | -60 | -162 | -160 | -130 | -217 | -159 | -160 | -128 | -217 | -160 | -160 | -127 | -217 |
| 1 ues ( ons) Tota l adju sted incl. disco ntinu ed op erati reven |
1,919 | 1,922 | 1,940 | 1,879 | 7,723 | 7,729 | 7,813 | 7,637 | 7,626 | 7,620 | 7,754 | 7,530 | 7,605 | 7,597 | 7,728 | 7,505 |
| Of w hich disco ntinu ed op erati ons |
165 | 164 | 175 | 156 | 658 | 656 | 705 | 636 | 661 | 662 | 709 | 608 | 665 | 673 | 716 | 591 |
| ns1 | ||||||||||||||||
| l adj d re from tinu ing ratio Tota uste ven ues con ope |
1,75 4 |
1,75 3 |
1,78 2 |
1,71 1 |
7,06 6 |
7,07 1 |
7,15 3 |
6,97 3 |
6,97 6 |
6,96 4 |
7,11 8 |
6,87 2 |
6,95 7 |
6,95 5 |
7,08 7 |
6,80 7 |
| Incid ls fro ntinu ing o ions from inuin erati enta perat cont m co g op ons |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 0 | 0 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| l rep d re from tinu ing ratio Tota orte ven ues con ope ns |
1,75 4 |
1,75 2 |
1,78 2 |
1,71 1 |
7,06 5 |
7,06 1 |
7,15 3 |
6,97 0 |
6,97 8 |
6,96 4 |
7,11 8 |
6,87 2 |
6,96 0 |
6,95 7 |
7,08 7 |
6,80 7 |
1) Defined as revenues and other income adjusted for incidentals
| div isio (EU ) KPN nal brea kdo R m wn |
Q3 '15 |
Q3 '15 |
Q3 '15 |
Q3 '15 |
FY ' 15 |
FY ' 15 |
FY ' 15 |
FY ' 15 |
FY ' 16 |
FY ' 16 |
FY ' 16 |
FY ' 16 |
FY ' 17 |
FY ' 17 |
FY ' 17 |
FY ' 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Adj d EB ITDA uste |
Ave rage |
Med ian |
Hig h |
Low | Ave rage |
Med ian |
Hig h |
Low | Ave rage |
Med ian |
Hig h |
Low | Ave rage |
Med ian |
Hig h |
Low |
| bile Cons r Mo ume |
76 | 80 | 86 | 57 | 280 | 280 | 306 | 250 | 281 | 279 | 329 | 244 | 290 | 294 | 339 | 232 |
| ident ial Cons r Res ume |
109 | 108 | 118 | 103 | 418 | 416 | 430 | 409 | 436 | 431 | 488 | 419 | 453 | 445 | 528 | 424 |
| Busin ess |
128 | 129 | 138 | 119 | 503 | 505 | 534 | 444 | 497 | 491 | 564 | 432 | 498 | 506 | 612 | 408 |
| NetC o |
315 | 315 | 324 | 307 | 1,263 | 1,266 | 1,277 | 1,236 | 1,254 | 1,252 | 1,306 | 1,189 | 1,252 | 1,255 | 1,318 | 1,135 |
| Othe r (inc l. elim inati ons) |
-5 | -5 | 0 | -8 | -23 | -21 | -13 | -34 | -19 | -20 | 0 | -45 | -19 | -20 | 0 | -52 |
| The Neth erla nds |
624 | 626 | 653 | 595 | 2,44 3 |
2,44 2 |
2,48 4 |
2,34 1 |
2,45 3 |
2,45 9 |
2,53 3 |
2,34 1 |
2,48 3 |
2,47 6 |
2,61 8 |
2,33 2 |
| iBas is |
6 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 30 | 20 |
| ium (dis ) Belg inue d op ions cont erat |
40 | 40 | 49 | 30 | 152 | 151 | 177 | 133 | 157 | 157 | 192 | 118 | 165 | 167 | 195 | 128 |
| Oth ctivi ties er a |
-10 | -10 | -5 | -20 | -47 | -48 | -27 | -68 | -41 | -40 | -5 | -58 | -41 | -40 | -5 | -59 |
| 2 l adju sted A (in cl. di tinue d op erati ons) Tota EBITD scon |
659 | 663 | 682 | 634 | ||||||||||||
| 2,568 | 2,575 | 2,614 | 2,460 | 2,592 | 2,586 | 2,666 | 2,526 | 2,630 | 2,620 | 2,781 | 2,515 | |||||
| Of w hich disco ntinu ed op erati ons |
40 | 40 | 49 | 26 | 151 | 151 | 177 | 118 | 158 | 157 | 192 | 118 | 165 | 164 | 195 | 128 |
| 2 just A fr tinu ing rati l ad ed E Tota BITD om con ope ons |
621 | 622 | 640 | 592 | 2,41 9 |
2,42 0 |
2,45 0 |
2,31 0 |
2,43 6 |
2,43 2 |
2,50 8 |
2,35 1 |
2,46 4 |
2,45 4 |
2,60 9 |
2,31 6 |
| Incid ls an d (re ts) fr turin ontin uing ation enta struc g cos om c oper s |
-17 | -14 | 0 | -45 | -83 | -71 | -30 | -148 | -35 | -45 | 0 | -80 | -21 | -15 | 0 | -80 |
| from tinu ing ratio Tota l rep d EB ITDA orte con ope ns |
605 | 611 | 629 | 571 | 2,34 4 |
2,35 3 |
2,39 5 |
2,27 0 |
2,41 0 |
2,41 8 |
2,50 5 |
2,32 0 |
2,46 1 |
2,44 9 |
2,60 9 |
2,30 1 |
2) Defined as EBITDA adjusted for restructuring costs and incidentals
| soli date d fig (EU ) KPN R m con ures ite ms f tinu ing rati P&L rom con ope ons |
Q3 '15 Ave rage |
Q3 '15 Med ian |
Q3 '15 Hig h |
Q3 '15 Low |
FY ' 15 Ave rage |
FY ' 15 Med ian |
FY ' 15 Hig h |
FY ' 15 Low |
FY ' 16 Ave rage |
FY ' 16 Med ian |
FY ' 16 Hig h |
FY ' 16 Low |
FY ' 17 Ave rage |
FY ' 17 Med ian |
FY ' 17 Hig h |
FY ' 17 Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| l op ing prof it Tota erat |
213 | 222 | 243 | 165 | 754 | 761 | 837 | 648 | 857 | 827 | 1,00 7 |
711 | 927 | 900 | 1,24 5 |
770 |
| Tota l D& A Depr eciat ion |
398 272 |
400 275 |
423 280 |
379 259 |
1,60 0 1,095 |
1,60 1 1,099 |
1,63 6 1,117 |
1,56 3 1,068 |
1,55 6 1,071 |
1,57 1 1,077 |
1,64 6 1,142 |
1,35 1 978 |
1,53 0 1,064 |
1,53 8 1,070 |
1,68 1 1,179 |
1,20 2 900 |
| rtizat ion Amo |
127 | 127 | 150 | 104 | 505 | 505 | 525 | 458 | 487 | 499 | 549 | 351 | 473 | 496 | 534 | 302 |
| Prof it fo r the iod per |
72 | 74 | 185 | 2 | 290 | 291 | 453 | 93 | 429 | 388 | 758 | 172 | 491 | 464 | 808 | 248 |
| ings sha re (n on-d ilute d) (i n €) Earn per |
0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| Divi re (i n €) den d pe r sha |
0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| soli date d fig (EU ) KPN R m con ures h flo w fr tinu ing rati Free cas om con ope ons |
Q3 '15 Ave rage |
Q3 '15 Med ian |
Q3 '15 Hig h |
Q3 '15 Low |
FY ' 15 Ave rage |
FY ' 15 Med ian |
FY ' 15 Hig h |
FY ' 15 Low |
FY ' 16 Ave rage |
FY ' 16 Med ian |
FY ' 16 Hig h |
FY ' 16 Low |
FY ' 17 Ave rage |
FY ' 17 Med ian |
FY ' 17 Hig h |
FY ' 17 Low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| es3 Net c ash f low f conti nuin erati tiviti rom g op ng ac |
488 | 487 | 578 | 411 | 1,801 | 1,796 | 1,876 | 1,766 | 1,916 | 1,915 | 2,111 | 1,750 | 2,014 | 1,992 | 2,189 | 1,794 |
| x fro ntinu ing o ions Cape perat m co |
-297 | -300 | -342 | -247 | -1,25 8 |
-1,26 2 |
-1,32 5 |
-1,21 5 |
-1,20 4 |
-1,22 0 |
-1,26 8 |
-1,05 9 |
-1,15 5 |
-1,16 0 |
-1,26 8 |
-930 |
| Proce eds f real e from inuin erati state cont rom g op ons |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| s4, e h flo w fr inui tion xcl. div iden d Free TEFD cont cas om ng o pera |
191 | 184 | 278 | 108 | 544 | 536 | 601 | 500 | 712 | 698 | 966 | 526 | 857 | 837 | 1,25 9 |
644 |
| Divid ends ived from Tele fónic utsch land a De rece |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 146 | 149 | 144 | 131 | 150 | 185 | 0 | 140 | 157 | 205 | 0 |
| s4, in h flo w fr inui tion cl. T divi den d Free cont EFD cas om ng o pera |
191 | 184 | 278 | 108 | 676 | 679 | 747 | 570 | 836 | 820 | 1,11 9 |
677 | 990 | 961 | 1,42 0 |
730 |
| t inc l. dis inue ions (in bn) Net deb d op EUR cont erat |
7.27 | 7.20 | 7.67 | 7.09 | 6.84 | 7.00 | 7.35 | 5.71 | 6.16 | 6.34 | 7.34 | 4.89 | 5.75 | 5.94 | 7.41 | 4.00 |
3) Net cash flow from operating activities is before deduction of Capex spent and proceeds from real estate
4) Free cash flow is defined as cash flow from operating activities, plus proceeds from real estate and minus Capex