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Royal Helium Ltd. Management Reports 2024

Nov 28, 2024

47169_rns_2024-11-28_f8494473-ce33-41d3-8ed3-4d0a5bcf8059.pdf

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED September 30, 2024


ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Introduction

The following management's discussion and analysis ("MD&A") of the financial condition and results of the operations of Royal Helium Ltd. (the "Company" or "RHC") constitutes management's review of the factors that affected the Company's financial and operating performance for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024. This MD&A has been prepared in compliance with the requirements of National Instrument 51-102 – Continuous Disclosure Obligations. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements ("the financial statements") and the notes thereto as at and for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto as at and for the year ended December 31, 2023. together with the notes thereto available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.com and the Company's website at www.royalheliumltd.com.

Results are reported in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise noted. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (which consist only of normal recurring adjustments) considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for any future period. Information contained herein is presented as at November 28, 2024 unless otherwise indicated.

The financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 have been prepared using accounting policies consistent with IFRS.

The MD&A was approved by the board of directors on November 28, 2024.

RHC's Strategic Objectives

During fiscal 2023, RHC completed the construction of its flagship helium purification facility and commenced initial production from two production wells on its Steveville helium property in Alberta. The Steveville facility is one of the largest helium purification facilities in Canada, and the first facility with the ability to capture and utilize all of the associated gases produced along with helium, including both CO2 and methane. As a cryogenic facility, as opposed to a more standard membrane helium separation facility, the Steveville Plant allows for this secondary and tertiary gas capture and allows the Steveville facility to not only be one of the most power efficient helium plants in operation, but also one able to generate incremental cash flow streams through the sale of by-products.

During the first nine months of 2024, Royal continued to ramp-up production through the Steveville helium purification facility with a view to achieving capacity production of 15 Mmcf per day of raw gas throughput. During the ramp-up, conditions remain variable as the operating ranges of the various plant components are altered at every new production level to ensure that consistent operations can be maintained without issue. To date, 18 trailer loads have been delivered.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Helium is a critical mineral and a non-substitutable and non-renewable commodity that is essential in the high-tech manufacturing, aerospace and defense, data storage, artificial intelligence, semi-conductor fabrication, quantum computing and health care industries. These sectors are universally experiencing exponential growth and represent some of the highest need and most focused sectors of the global economy, which continues to drive demand at a global level. From a North American perspective, the move to onshore material components of the high-tech manufacturing sector has served to further escalate the demand for helium in this region. Royal Helium is uniquely positioned to respond and deliver into this burgeoning market..

Saskatchewan and Alberta are both known helium producing regions and represent a core geologic focus for helium producers in Canada. These provinces already have multiple wells producing, and continue to be an epicenter for ongoing exploration and development of helium. Helium is created through the breakdown of uranium and thorium and Saskatchewan is well known for having some of the highest uranium concentrations in the world.

RHC is a helium production, infrastructure and exploration company focused on helium and associated industrial gas production from its flagship Steveville helium purification facility in central Alberta and exploration on its helium permits and leases in Saskatchewan and Alberta. RHC is one of the largest helium lease and permit holders in North America, with land that was acquired both from the Crown and via freehold lease agreements. All of the land acquired was subject to thorough analysis of existing well data, seismic and geological data and is associated with some of the highest known helium concentrations in Saskatchewan. The Company's properties are all in close vicinity to highways, roads, cities and oil & gas infrastructure.

The consolidated financial statements include the accounts of RHC together with its wholly owned subsidiary, Royal Helium Exploration Limited ("RHEL"), and Imperial Helium Corp ("IHC") and are expressed in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated.

Highlights

During the period ended September 30, 2024:

  • Royal entered into a letter of intent with Sparrow Hawk Developments, the economic development arm of the Peepeekisis Cree Nation for the development of the Val Marie helium project in southern Saskatchewan by way of a $25,000,000 joint venture investment.
  • Received $3,000,000 repayable contribution from Western Economic Diversification Canada under the Aerospace Regional Recovery Initiative.
  • $2,500,000 principal amount of the June 12% series convertible debentures were converted into common shares
  • Closed a bought deal financing for gross proceeds of $6,000,030

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Helium Prospects

Helium Market

The global helium market continues to exhibit signs of secular undersupply. Globally, uncertainty continues in the helium market tied to both geopolitical and logistical complexities in meeting the growing global demand. In North America, there has been no significant new source of supply impacting the market in several years, and regional players with geologic prospects face long lead times to advance to a position where they have the necessary infrastructure to deliver. As such, Royal Helium is uniquely positioned to be among the few capable suppliers able to fulfill a supply void felt from the removal of the United States Strategic Helium reserve in 2018. The ongoing mismatch of supply and demand has caused dramatic price movement since 2018, with prices rising by over 100% for this vital and irreplaceable inert gas. In addition, global sanctions on Russia have reduced the global helium supply further exacerbating the need for new supply sources.

Helium is valuable due to its unique elemental qualities; notably, helium is a completely inert gas. It is the only element that will not bind or react with any other element. Helium's properties also allow it to have the lowest boiling point of any element, and it can remain as a liquid until near absolute zero. These properties allow helium to act as the most effective super coolant on the market as well as a superconductor and purification gas that has no rivals. Helium acts as a cooling medium for superconducting magnets in MRI scanners, NMR spectrometers and other areas of scientific research. Helium has also been used to keep satellite instruments cool and is essential for space travel and rocketry. Helium is essential in the manufacturing, operations, cooling and maintenance of many of the high-tech electronics and supporting network infrastructure that society uses every day. Helium is often used to provide lift for weather balloons and airships because of its low density. Due to its unreactive nature, helium is used to provide an inert protective atmosphere essential for making fiber optics and semiconductors and for arc - welding various metals. Helium has applications in leak detection in multiple media, including HVAC systems and gas pipelines. Some gaseous helium mixtures are used to treat respiratory ailments in healthcare applications, and helium is also used in various laser applications and as a cooling medium in small modular nuclear reactors.

Off-Balance-Sheet Arrangements

As of the date of this filing, the Company does not have any material off-balance-sheet arrangements that have, or are reasonably likely to have, a current or future effect on the results of operations or financial condition of the Company, including, and without limitation, such considerations as liquidity and capital resources.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Subsequent Events

Prior to and after the reporting period, Royal has completed a substantive change in management and the board in support of an operational realignment initiative, supported by key shareholders, creditors and other stakeholders. The previous CEO agreed to step down, as have various legacy board members. New leadership, which includes Daivd Young, have significantly reduced general and administrative expenses through elimination of non-core business expenditures. In addition, Management and its active Board have immediately put to action a plan to re-commission the Steveville Facility allowing for higher volumes to be processed by the facility in an increasingly efficiency, stable, and cost effective manner, as designed.

Environmental Contingency

The Company's exploration activities are subject to various government laws and regulations relating to the protection of the environment. These environmental regulations are continually changing and are generally becoming more restrictive. As of the date of this MD&A, the Company believes that there are no significant environmental obligations requiring material capital outlays in the next 12 months.

Selected Financial Information

All amounts rounded to thousands of dollars, except for per share amounts.

(000's) Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 ($) Year Ended December 31, 2023 ($) Year Ended December 31, 2022 ($)
Revenue for the period 2,277 98 -
Net loss for the period 11,422 11,044 4,389
Basic and diluted loss per share 0.04 0.04 0.02
Total assets 87,563 91,815 59,750
Total long-term liabilities 24,705 31,295 376

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Selected Quarterly Financial Information

Summary quarterly information is presented in the table below. All amounts rounded to thousands of dollars, except for the per share amounts.

Three Months Ended Total Revenue ($) Loss
Total ($) Basic and diluted Per Share ($)
September 30, 2024 675 (3,443) (0.01)
June 30, 2024 783 (3,556) (0.01)
March 31, 2024 819 (4,423) (0.02)
December 31, 2023 98 (5,331) (0.02)
September 30, 2023 - (1,836) (0.01)
June 30, 2023 - (2,731) (0.01)
March 31, 2023 - (1,146) (0.00)
December 31, 2022 - (2,643) (0.01)

Results of Operations

Nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023

RHC's net loss totaled $11,422,030 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, with basic and diluted loss per share of $0.04 compared to a net loss of $5,712,543 with basic and diluted loss per share of $0.02 for the nine months ended September 30, 2023. The increase of $5,709,487 in net loss was principally because:

  • For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the Steveville helium processing facility operated for the whole period whereas in the nine month period ended September 30, 2023 the facility was not operational. As a result of the facility operating in 2024, the facility incurred a net loss of $8,506,128. $4,721,048 relates to facility operating costs, $2,444,295 depreciation of facility and related equipment and $3,487,731 increase in financing expense offset slightly by an increase in net revenue of $2,146,946.
  • In addition, General and administrative costs decreased $828,670. The decrease is attributable higher costs incurred in 2023 related to fees paid to consultants associated with the Company's approach to the carbon credit strategy development and execution and advisory consulting related to the term debt and operating line of credit secured and Alberta property costs.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023

RHC's net loss totaled $3,443,104 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, with basic and diluted loss per share of $0.01 compared to a net loss of $1,835,527 with basic and diluted loss per share of $0.01 for the three months ended September 30, 2023. The increase of $1,607,577 in net loss was principally because:

  • For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the Steveville helium processing facility was operational whereas in the three month period ended September 30, 2023 the facility was not operational. During the three months ended September 30, 2024, the facility incurred a net loss of $2,062,504. $1,238,920 relates to operating costs, $455,390 increase in depreciation of facility and related equipment and $394,021 increase in financing expense offset slightly by an increase in net revenue of $636,360.
  • In addition, General and administrative costs increased $236,107. The increase is attributable higher general office costs, and investor relations and marketing costs.

Liquidity and Financial Position

At September 30, 2024, RHC had $(452,122) in cash and cash equivalents (December 31, 2023 - $2,611,794) and working capital deficiency of $12,933,111 (December 31, 2023 – working capital deficiency of $6,408,533).

Cash used in operating activities was $5,716,930 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared to cash used of $3,202,066 in the nine months ended September 30, 2023.

Cash used by investing activities was $2,647,336 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared to $22,536,187 used for the nine months ended September 30, 2023. The decrease in net cash used is the result of the Steveville helium processing facility and associated equipment being completed and operational at the end of fiscal 2023.

Cash provided by financing activities was $5,300,350 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 compared to $26,417,047 for the nine months ended September 30, 2023. The decrease in net cash provided from financing activities is the result of receiving proceeds from term debt, convertible debt and vendor financed equipment in fiscal 2023.

Financial risk management

Financial risks factors

The Company's activities expose it to a variety of financial risks: market risk (including currency risk), credit risk and liquidity risk. Risk management is carried out by management under policies approved by the Board of Directors. The Company's overall risk management program seeks to minimize potential adverse effects on the Company's financial performance.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

(a) Market risk

Foreign exchange risk

Foreign exchange risk arises when assets or liabilities are denominated in a currency that is not the entity's functional currency. The Company does not hedge foreign currency exposures. All of the operating assets were located in Canada and majority of the Company's liabilities were also settled in Canada, therefore the Company does not have any significant foreign currency risk.

(b) Credit risk

The maximum exposure to credit risk for deposits approximates the amount recognized as cash, accounts receivable, and environmental deposit in the consolidated statements of financial position. Bank deposits are held with reputable Banks, therefore credit risk is low. The Company does not hold any collateral as security. Accounts receivable are all considered current and primarily relate to GST.

(c) Liquidity risk

Liquidity risk is the risk that the Company will encounter difficulty in meeting obligations associated with financial liabilities. The Company's financial liabilities comprise accounts payable and accrued liabilities which are due within 30 days.

The Company mitigates liquidity risk by planning its project expenditures in advance of undertaking significant commitments.

(d) Commodity price risk

The Company is exposed to price risk with respect to commodity prices. Commodity price risk is defined as the potential adverse impact on earnings and economic value due to commodity price movements and volatilities. The Company closely monitors commodity prices, as it relates to helium to determine the appropriate course of action to be taken by the Company.

Capital management

The Company defines the capital that it manages as its working capital. The Company's objectives when managing capital are to manage its business in an effective manner with the goal of increasing the value of its assets. The Company regularly monitors its available capital and, as necessary, adjusts to changing economic circumstances and the risk characteristics of the underlying assets. In order to maintain or adjust capital requirements, the Company may consider the issuance of new shares, the entry into joint venture arrangements or farm-out agreements, or engage in debt financing.

There were no changes in the Company's approach to capital management during the period ended September 30, 2024.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

The Company is not subject to any capital requirements imposed by a lending institution or regulatory body, other than Policy 2.5 of the TSX-V which requires adequate working capital or financial resources of the greater of (i) $50,000 and (ii) an amount required in order to maintain operations and cover general and administrative expenses for a period of 6 months. As of September 30, 2024, the Company was not in compliance with Policy 2.5. Capital requirements imposed by lending institutions will begin December 31, 2024.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the Company used cash in operating activities of $5,716,930 (December 31, 2023 - $5,385,737) and had a working capital deficit of $12,933,111 as at September 30, 2024 (December 31, 2023 - $6,408,533). Although, management has available $2,500,000 of undrawn demand operating loan for working capital purposes, the Company will need additional cash resources to meet liquidity requirements while the Steveville helium plant is brought up to capacity in efforts to generate positive cash flow from operations. To address its liquidity requirements, the Company continues to seek and assess financing options.

The Company has also historically received support from various lenders and will require this ongoing support. To that end, the Company is required under its current lending arrangements to maintain a cash flow coverage ratio of not less than 1.10:1, a tangible net working capital ratio of not greater than 1.25:1 and a fixed charge coverage ratio of not less than 1.10:1 beginning December 31, 2024. Based on current forecasts management is projecting potential non-compliance with the above noted covenants as at December 31, 2024. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to obtain a waiver for the potential covenant default or an amendment to the covenants, if necessary, prior to December 31, 2024. This potential covenant default may result in the term debt being due on demand and would trigger other cross-covenant defaults.

The continuance of the Company remains dependent upon the discovery of economically recoverable resources in the underlying helium claims and the ability of the Company to increase the current output of the Steveville helium plant to planned capacity in efforts to generate positive cash flows from operations, in addition to obtaining waivers for potential covenant defaults or amendments to the covenant. Although, there remains considerable risk around the Company's ability to address these substantial uncertainties the Company believes future financing options and facility operations will generate sufficient cash to address current projected liquidity requirements and that the continued support of the lenders will be available to manage lending covenant requirements before December 31, 2024.

Related Party Transactions

The following table summarizes transactions with key management personnel:

Nine months ended September 30, 2024 ($) 2023 ($)
Consulting fees – management 186,689 -
Wages 410,000 552,750
Director fees 202,800 223,000
Total 799,489 775,750

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Compensation of key management personnel of the Company

The remuneration of directors and other members of key management personnel during the periods presented were as follows:

Nine months ended September 30, 2024 ($) 2023 ($)
Short-term benefits 799,489 775,750
Share-based payments 73,600 340,000
Total 873,089 1,115,750

The remuneration of directors and key executives is determined by the remuneration committee having regard to the performance of individuals and market trends.

In accordance with IAS 24, key management personnel are those persons having authority and responsibility for planning, directing and controlling the activities of the Company directly or indirectly, including any directors (executive and non-executive) of the Company.

As at September 30, 2024, the Company had $641,021 (December 31, 2023 – $239,014), included in accounts payable and accrued liabilities, owing to its key management personnel and directors for salary and wages.

The Company has an agreement for office space and related services for a monthly fixed fee of $4,000 (2023 - $4,000), with another company that has common management and directors. The Company incurred $36,000 in 2024 (2023 - $36,000) in respect of this agreement and had $25,200 (December 31, 2023 - $26,750), included in accounts payable and accrued liabilities as at September 30, 2024.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Share Capital

As of the date of this MD&A, the Company had 357,833,958 issued and outstanding common shares.

As of the date of this MD&A, the Company had 15,250,000 stock options as follows:

Expiry Date Exercise Price (CDN) Total Options Vested Options
July 17, 2025 $0.23 1,200,000 1,200,000
January 10, 2026 $0.44 2,300,000 2,300,000
July 2, 2026 $0.60 1,600,000 1,600,000
December 1, 2027 $0.26 2,900,000 2,900,000
March 28, 2028 $0.38 200,000 200,000
April 26, 2028 $0.38 500,000 500,000
May 3, 2028 $0.38 250,000 250,000
May 28, 2028 $0.40 500,000 500,000
January 19, 2029 $0.35 800,000 -
June 19, 2027 $0.085 5,000,000 4,916,666

As of the date of this MD&A, the Company had 909,070 deferred share units and 3,259,090 performance share units outstanding, the units do not vest until January 19, 2025.

As of the date of this MD&A, the Company had 156,760,650 warrants as follows:

Expiry Date Exercise Price (CDN) Total Warrants
October 13, 2024 $0.32 27,646,250
January 10, 2026 $0.32 21,153,000
June 9, 2026 $0.40 19,731,900
November 14, 2026 $0.31 18,750,000
December 14, 2026 $0.31 2,812,500
May 8, 2027 $0.12 66,667,000

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

As of the date of this MD&A, the Company had 5,118,208 broker warrant units as follows:

Expiry Date Exercise Price (CDN) Total Warrants
November 14, 2024 $0.24 1,050,000
December 14, 2024 $0.24 168,750
May 8, 2027 $0.09 3,899,458

As of the date of this MD&A, the Company had $9,020,000 convertible debentures that convert to common shares as follows:

Maturity Date Face value (CDN) Conversion Price (CDN) Total Common shares on conversion
December 31, 2025 $4,220,000 $0.26 16,230,120
June 30, 2025 $4,800,000 $0.37 12,974,400

Additional Disclosure for Venture Issuers Without Significant Revenue

General and administrative Three months ended September 30 Nine months ended September 30
2024 2023 2024 2023
Audit and accounting $ 33,568 $ 26,517 $ 87,691 $ 57,104
General office and other 490,298 368,419 1,593,242 2,414,783
Investor relations and marketing 216,196 131,800 701,084 561,483
Legal and professional 44,998 22,217 237,419 414,736
$ 785,060 $ 548,953 $ 2,619,436 $ 3,448,106
Finance expense Three months ended September 30 Nine months ended September 30
--- --- --- --- ---
2024 2023 2024 2023
Accretion – debt obligations $ 156,282 $ 143,284 $ 536,845 $ 166,068
Accretion – decommissioning 4,743 3,360 16,391 9,040
Accretion – convertible debentures 224,805 191,409 687,954 340,190
Interest – convertible debentures 294,098 414,882 950,692 757,644
Interest – term debt 471,268 4,240 1,295,849 4,240
Interest income - - - (21,412)
$ 1,151,196 $ 757,175 $ 3,487,731 $ 1,255,770

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Exploration and Evaluation

Balance as at January 1, 2023 Acquisition / Renewals Consultants and Geophysics Drilling Expiry and transfers Other Exploration Balance as at December 31, 2023
Bengough/ Ogema $ 7,030,519 $ 30,405 $ 866 $ 17,784 $ - $ (4,673) $ 7,074,901
Cadillac 312,553 81,691 131,564 - - - 525,808
Climax 11,327,876 (43,499) - - - (6,956) 11,277,421
Coronach 25,952 - - - - 10,352 36,304
Creelman 38,203 6,763 - - (38,527) 651 7,090
Francis 41,808 6,818 - - (73,821) 33,491 8,296
Midale 31,124 4,360 - - - - 35,484
Minton 7,214 - - - - - 7,214
Steveville 23,520,013 352,615 23,212 - (501,746) (3,165) 23,390,929
Swift current 42,665 - 39,269 - - - 81,934
Val Marie 2,983,400 3,798 21,116 - - (2,271) 3,006,043
Weyburn 165,411 9,876 - - (177,433) 31,565 29,419
40 Mile 99,875 401,735 40,440 - - - 542,050
$ 45,626,613 $ 854,562 $ 256,467 $ 17,784 $ (791,527) $ 58,994 $ 46,022,893
Balance as at January 1, 2024 Acquisition / Renewals Consultants and Geophysics Drilling Expiry and transfers Other Exploration Balance as at September 30, 2024
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Bengough/ Ogema $ 7,074,901 $ 35,134 $ - $ - $ - $ 4,240 $ 7,114,275
Cadillac 525,808 28,503 - - - - 554,311
Climax 11,277,421 73,861 - - - 4,935 11,356,217
Coronach 36,304 844 - - - - 37,148
Creelman 7,090 2,611 - - - - 9,701
Francis 8,296 6,818 - - - - 15,114
Midale 35,484 4,295 - - - - 39,779
Minton 7,214 6,022 - - - - 13,236
Steveville 23,390,929 - - - - 12,452 23,403,381
Swift current 81,934 2,650 - - - - 84,584
Val Marie 3,006,043 4,323 - - - 1,645 3,012,011
Weyburn 29,419 9,980 - - - - 39,399
40 Mile 542,050 - - 9,600 - 2,242 553,892
$ 46,022,893 $ 175,041 $ - $ 9,600 $ - $ 25,514 $ 46,233,048

Included in other exploration costs for the Climax project is an increase of $4,935 (December 31, 2023 – reduction of $6,956) and for the Ogema project is an increase of $4,240 (December 31, 2023 – reduction of $5,976) and for the Val Marie project is an increase of $1,645 (December 31, 2023 – reduction of $2,319) and for the Steveville project is an increase of $12,452 (December 31, 2023 – reduction of $8,313) which is related to the estimated decommissioning liability.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

The Company holds helium exploration permits and helium leases over land in Saskatchewan and Alberta. The Company has annual lease expenditure commitments of approximately $228,878 and annual permit expenditure commitments as follows 2024 - $85,000, 2025 - $65,000, 2026 - $75,000 and 2027 - $nil.

In the year ended December 31, 2023, the Company allowed certain claims to expire as it was determined that future work would be focused on other properties.

In the year ended December 31, 2023, the Company completed its helium processing facility and determined that $501,746 should be transferred from exploration and evaluation assets to helium producing properties included in property, plant and equipment. There were no impairment on the transfer of exploration and evaluation to helium producing properties.

There were no impairment indicators for the exploration and evaluation assets as of September 30, 2024 and December 31, 2023.

Right of use asset

Right of use asset
Value of ROU as at December 31, 2022 $ -
Initial recognition of ROU 5,037,548
Depreciation (534,525)
Value of ROU as at December 31, 2023 4,503,123
Depreciation (819,564)
Value of ROU as at September 30, 2024 $ 3,683,559
Lease liability
Lease liability as at December 31, 2022 $ -
Initial recognition of lease liability 5,037,548
Lease payments (677,057)
Lease accretion 280,014
Lease liability as at December 31, 2023 4,640,505
Lease payments (1,075,389)
Lease accretion 390,712
Lease liability as at September 30, 2024 $ 3,955,828
Current portion $ 1,013,705
Long-term portion 2,942,123
$ 3,955,828

The Company's total undiscounted amount of cash flow required to settle its lease obligation is approximately $4,910,285 at September 30, 2024 (December 31, 2023 - $5,800,000) and is expected to settle in 2027. The Company applied a discount rate of 12% to calculate the discounted value of the lease obligation at initial recognition.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Decommissioning liabilities

September 30, 2024 December 31, 2023
Balance, beginning of period $ 663,563 $ 375,994
Additions - 302,093
Change in inflation and discount rate 23,273 (23,564)
Accretion 16,391 9,040
Balance, end of period $ 703,227 $ 663,563

The total of the decommissioning liabilities are estimated based on the Company's net ownership interest in all the wells, the estimated costs to reclaim and abandon the wells and facilities and the estimated timing of the costs to be incurred in future periods. Management of the Company has estimated that based on their net ownership interest, the total undiscounted cash flows required to settle the obligations will be $852,586. The obligations have been discounted using a risk free rate of 3.13% (December 31, 2023 - 3.02%) and an inflation rate of 1.49% (December 31, 2023 - 1.62%) per year. Most of these obligations are not expected to be paid until approximately 10 years in the future and will be funded from general Company resources at that time.

As September 30, 2024, the Company has a $101,550 (December 31, 2023 - $101,550) deposit held by the Saskatchewan government for future site reclamation.

Rent to own debt obligation

Rent to own liability
Rent to own liability as at December 31, 2022 $ -
Initial recognition of debt 2,775,390
Payments (873,862)
Rent to own accretion 134,107
Rent to own liability as at December 31, 2023 2,035,635
Payments (631,016)
Rent to own accretion 146,133
Rent to own liability as at September 30, 2024 $ 1,550,752
Current portion $ 875,090
Long-term portion 675,662
$ 1,550,752

The Company's total undiscounted amount of cash flow required to settle its rent to own obligation is approximately $1,498,663 at September 30, 2024 (December 31, 2023 - $2,366,310) and is expected to settle in 2026. The Company applied a discount rate of 12% to calculate the discounted value of the rent to own obligation at initial recognition and the asset is held as collateral on the debt obligation.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Convertible debentures

Liability Component Equity Component Carrying Value
Face Value Carrying Value
Balance, December 31, 2022 $ - $ - $ -
Issuance - Initial recognition 12,800,000 10,886,000 854,310
Less: Issuance costs (1,145,899) -
Interest 848,521 -
Accretion - Interest 652,032
Conversion (1,280,000) (1,003,594) (122,025)
Balance, December 31, 2023 11,520,000 10,237,060 732,285
Accrued interest - 950,692
Interest - (1,443,269) -
Accretion - interest - 687,954 -
Conversion (2,500,000) (2,138,891) (129,723)
Balance, September 30, 2024 $ 9,020,000 $ 8,293,546 $ 602,562
Current portion 4,800,000 4,502,420
Long-term 4,220,000 3,791,126
$ 9,020,000 $ 8,293,546

On June 30, 2023, the Company paid accrued debenture interest by issuing 822,044 common shares, valued at $283,605. The interest accrued at the time of the issuance was $299,562, and the $8,246 difference was recorded against interest expense.

On January 2, 2024, the Company paid accrued debenture interest by issuing 3,788,660 common shares, valued at $784,253.

On July 2, 2024, the Company paid accrued debenture interest by issuing 8,448,929 common shares, valued at $659,016.

Term debt

On April 24, 2023, the Company closed a term debt financing, and received its first draw, with Canadian Western bank ("CWB") and Business Development Bank of Canada ("BDC"), acting pari passu, for $7,500,000 each, $15,000,000 in total.

On December 21, 2023, Canadian Western bank ("CWB") and Business Development bank of Canada, acting pari passu, increased the term loans for $1,800,000 each, and extended the first principal repayment date to February 1, 2024.

As of December 31, 2023, the Company has drawn the full debt facility. During the year ended December 31, 2023 the Company has paid $697,210 interest related to the term debt, $352,695 has been capitalized to property, plant and equipment and $344,515 has been expensed.

On February 23, 2024, the Company received a $3,000,000 repayable contribution from Western Economic Diversification Canada ("WEDC") under the Aerospace Regional Recovery Initiative. The loan is unsecured, non-interest bearing with repayment commencing April 1, 2025 and repayable in 60 monthly payments.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

On June 26, 2024, the Company received a 90 day principal repayment deferral from CWB and BDC. Effective July 1, 2024 to the end of September 30, 2024, the Company is only required to pay monthly interest. The amortization period is unchanged.

CWB BDC WEDC Total
Balance as at December 31, 2022 $ - $ - $ - $ -
Debt advances 9,300,000 9,300,000 - 18,600,000
Balance as at December 31, 2023 9,300,000 9,300,000 - 18,600,000
Debt advances - - 3,000,000 3,000,000
Repayments (673,913) (664,750) - (1,338,663)
Balance as at September 30, 2024 $ 8,626,087 $ 8,635,250 $ 3,000,000 $ 20,261,337
Current portion 1,696,935 1,671,336 300,000 3,668,271
Long term portion 6,929,152 6,963,914 2,700,000 16,593,066
$ 8,626,087 $ 8,635,250 $ 3,000,000 $ 20,261,337

CWB

Prime rate plus 3%, secured by all present and future assets, repayable in monthly blended payments of $134,783 principal plus accrued interest, maturing on February 1, 2030. Repayable at any time without penalty.

Under the terms of the debt, the Company is required to maintain a cash flow coverage ratio of not less than 1.10 and a debt to tangible net work ratio not greater than 1.25, beginning December 31, 2024.

BDC

BDC floating rate, secured by all present and future assets, repayable in monthly blended payments of $132,850 principal plus accrued interest, maturing on February 1, 2030. Once in any 12 month period, the Company can prepay up to 15% of the outstanding principal without penalty.

Under the terms of the debt, the Company is required to maintain a fixed charge coverage ratio of 1.10, beginning December 31, 2024.

In addition, CWB has provided the Company with a $2,500,000 demand operating loan for working capital purposes. At September 30, 2024, $474,051 has been drawn from the demand operating loan. The Company's access to the operating loan is limited to 75% of Canadian trade accounts and 90% of good earned United States trade accounts that are Economic Development Canada insured and do not exceed 90 days aging.

Risk Factors

Helium development

No reserves have been assigned in connection with RHC's property interests to date, given their early stage of development. The future value of RHC is therefore dependent on the success or otherwise of RHC's activities, which are principally directed toward the further exploration, appraisal and development of its assets in Saskatchewan and Alberta, and potential acquisition of additional property interests in the future. Exploration, appraisal and development of helium reserves are speculative and involve a significant degree of risk. There is no guarantee that exploration or appraisal of the property interests of RHC will lead to a commercial discovery or, if there is a commercial discovery, that RHC will be able to realize the value of

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

such reserves as intended. Few properties that are explored are ultimately developed into new reserves. If at any stage RHC is precluded from pursuing its exploration or development programs, or such programs are otherwise not continued, RHC's business, financial condition and / or results of operations and, accordingly, the trading price of RHC shares, is likely to be materially adversely affected. Helium exploration involves a high degree of risk and there is no assurance that expenditures made for future exploration or development activities by RHC will result in discoveries reserves that are commercially or economically viable.

No history of production

RHC's properties are exploration stage only. RHC has never had any material interest in helium producing properties. There is no assurance that commercial quantities of helium will be discovered at any of the properties of RHC or any future properties, nor is there any assurance that the exploration or development programs of RHC thereon will yield any positive results. Even if commercial quantities of helium are discovered, there can be no assurance that any property of RHC will ever be brought to a stage where helium can profitably be produced thereon. Factors which may limit the ability of RHC to produce helium from its properties include, but are not limited to, commodity prices, availability of additional capital and financing and the nature of any helium deposits.

Environmental regulation and risks

All phases of RHC's operations are subject to environmental regulation. These regulations mandate, among other things, the maintenance of air and water quality standards and land reclamation. They also set forth limitations on the generation, transportation, storage and disposal of solid and hazardous waste. Environmental legislation is evolving in a manner which will require stricter standards and enforcement, increased fines and penalties for non-compliance, more stringent environmental assessments of proposed projects and a heightened degree of responsibility for companies and their officers, directors and employees. There is no assurance that future changes in environmental regulation, if any, will not adversely affect RHC's operations. Environmental hazards may exist on the properties in which RHC holds interests that are unknown to RHC at present and which have been caused by previous or existing owners or operators of the properties.

Government approvals, approval of aboriginal people and permits are currently and may in the future be required in connection with RHC's direct and indirect operations. To the extent such approvals are required and not obtained, RHC may be curtailed or prohibited from continuing its helium exploration operations or from proceeding with planned exploration or development of its properties.

Failure to comply with applicable laws, regulations and permitting requirements may result in enforcement actions thereunder, including orders issued by regulatory or judicial authorities causing operations to cease or be curtailed, and may include corrective measures requiring capital expenditures, installation of additional equipment, or remedial actions. Parties engaged in the exploration or development of natural resource properties may be required to compensate those suffering loss or damage by reason of the exploration and development activities and may have civil or criminal fines or penalties imposed for violations of applicable laws or regulations.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Amendments to current laws, regulations and permits governing operations and activities of helium companies, or more stringent implementation thereof, could have a material adverse impact on RHC and cause increases in exploration expenses, capital expenditures or production costs or reduction in levels of production at producing properties or require abandonment or delays in development of new properties.

Requirement for permits and licenses

The operations of RHC require it to obtain licenses for operating, permits, and in some cases, renewals of existing licenses and permits from authorities in Saskatchewan. RHC believes that it currently holds or has applied for all necessary licenses and permits to carry on the activities it is currently conducting under applicable laws and regulations in respect of its properties, and also believes that it is complying in all material respects with the terms of such licenses and permits. However, the ability of RHC to obtain, sustain or renew any such licenses and permits on acceptable terms is subject to changes in regulations and policies and to the discretion of the applicable authorities or other governmental agencies.

Insurance and uninsured risks

RHC's business is subject to a number of risks and hazards generally, including adverse environmental conditions, industrial accidents, mechanical failures, labour disputes, unusual or unexpected geological conditions, ground or slope failures, cave-ins, changes in the regulatory environment and natural phenomena such as inclement weather conditions, floods and earthquakes. Such occurrences could result in damage to helium properties and / or production facilities, personal injury or death, environmental damage to the properties of RHC, or the properties of others, delays in exploration, development and production activities, monetary losses and possible legal liability.

Although RHC maintains insurance to protect against certain risks in such amounts as it considers reasonable, its insurance will not cover all the potential risks associated with helium operations. RHC may also be unable to maintain insurance to cover these risks at economically feasible premiums. Insurance coverage may not continue to be available or may not be adequate to cover any resulting liability. Moreover, insurance against risks such as environmental pollution or other hazards as a result of exploration, development and production activities is not generally available to RHC or to other companies in the helium industry on acceptable terms. RHC might also become subject to liability for pollution or other hazards that may not be insured against or which RHC may elect not to insure against because of premium costs or other reasons. Losses from these events may cause RHC to incur significant costs that could have a material adverse effect upon its financial performance and results of operations.

Management

The success of the Company is currently largely dependent on the performance of its directors and officers. There is no assurance that the Company can maintain the services of its directors and officers or other qualified personnel required to operate its business. The loss of the services of these persons could have a material adverse effect on the Company and its prospects.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Price volatility of publicly traded securities

In recent years, the securities markets throughout the world, including in the United States and Canada, have experienced a high level of price and volume volatility, and the market prices of securities of many companies have experienced wide fluctuations in price that have not necessarily been related to the operating performance, underlying asset values or prospects of such companies. There can be no assurance that continual fluctuations in price will not occur. It may be anticipated that any quoted market for the common shares will be subject to market trends and conditions generally, notwithstanding any potential success of the Company in creating revenues, cash flows or earnings.

The value of securities qualified hereunder will be affected by market volatility. An active public market for the common shares might not be sustained. If an active public market for the common shares is not sustained, the liquidity of a shareholder's investment may be limited and the share price may decline.

Conflicts of interest

Some of the directors and officers are engaged and will continue to be engaged in the search for additional business opportunities on behalf of other corporations and situations may arise where these directors and officers will be in direct competition with the Company. Conflicts, if any, will be dealt with in accordance with the relevant provisions of applicable corporate law.

Caution Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements contained in this report constitute forward-looking statements. The use of any of the words "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "may", "will", "project", "should", "believe" and similar expressions and statements relating to matters that are not historical facts constitute "forward looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated. Such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions but no assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be correct and the forward-looking statements included in this report should not be unduly relied upon. These statements are made only as of the date of this report.

This MD&A contains certain forward-looking information and forward-looking statements, as defined in applicable securities laws (collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements"). These statements relate to future events or the Company's future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as "plans", "expects", "is expected", "budget", "scheduled", "estimates", "continues", "forecasts", "projects", "predicts", "intends", "anticipates" or "believes", or variations of, or the negatives of, such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "should", "might" or "will" be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this MD&A speak only as of the date of this MD&A or as of the date specified in such statement. The following table outlines certain significant forward-looking statements contained in this

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

MD&A and provides the material assumptions used to develop such forward-looking statements and material risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements Assumptions Risk factors
The Company's ability to meet its working capital needs at the current level for the period ending September 30, 2024, subject to the Company identifying suitable assets or businesses to acquire or merge with requiring additional financing. The operating activities of the Company for the period ending September 30, 2024, and the costs associated therewith, will be consistent with the Company's current expectations; debt and equity markets, exchange and interest rates and other applicable economic conditions are favourable to the Company. Changes in debt and equity markets; timing and availability of external financing on acceptable terms; increases in costs; environmental compliance and changes in environmental and other local legislation and regulation; interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations; changes in economic conditions.
The potential of RHC's permits and leases to contain economic helium reserves. See “Helium Prospects” below. Financing will be available for future exploration and development of RHC's leases; the actual results of RHC's exploration and development activities will be favourable; operating, exploration, development and production costs will not exceed RHC's expectations; the Company will be able to retain and attract skilled staff; all requisite regulatory and governmental approvals for exploration projects and other operations will be received on a timely basis upon terms acceptable to RHC; applicable political and economic conditions will be favourable to RHC; the market prices for helium and applicable interest and exchange rates will be favourable to RHC. Helium market prices volatility; uncertainties involved in interpreting geological and geophysical data; the possibility that future exploration results will not be consistent with RHC's expectations; availability of financing for and actual results of RHC's exploration and development activities; increases in costs; environmental compliance and changes in environmental and other local legislation and regulation; interest and exchange rates fluctuations; changes in economic and political conditions; the Company's ability to retain and attract skilled staff and obtain all required permits in a timely manner on acceptable terms.
Management's outlook regarding future trends. Financing will be available for the Company's operating activities. Changes in debt and equity markets; interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations; changes in economic and political conditions.

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ROYAL HELIUM LTD.
Management's Discussion & Analysis
Three and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024

Inherent in forward-looking statements are risks, uncertainties and other factors beyond the Company's ability to predict or control. Please also make reference to those risk factors referenced in the "Risk Factors" section below. Readers are cautioned that the above chart does not contain an exhaustive list of the factors or assumptions that may affect the forward-looking statements, and that the assumptions underlying such statements may prove to be incorrect. Actual results and developments are likely to differ, and may differ materially, from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A.

Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the Company's actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any of its future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements herein are qualified by this cautionary statement. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

Additional Information:

Additional information relating to the Company can be found on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and the Company's website at www.royalheliumltd.com.

David Young, CEO

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