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Rheinmetall AG Call Transcript 2016

Mar 17, 2016

356_ip_2016-03-17_47c9cc4a-2815-4008-a63e-81c05fdee18d.pdf

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TECHNOLOGIES FOR SECURITY AND MOBILITY

Conference Call Fiscal Year 2015

Düsseldorf | 17 March 2016

© RHEINMETALL AG 2016

New headquarter: "Rheinmetall Wings" Düsseldorf

Review 2015 Strong sales and earnings growth

  • Rheinmetall Group: targets achieved, Sales for the first time above EUR 5 billion
  • Automotive: Record sales and earnings
  • Defence: Turnaround accomplished, order flow underpins strong market position
  • Restructuring phase 2013 2015 successfully completed
  • Capital increase strengthening the balance sheet
  • Dividend bouncing up to EUR 1,10 (proposal)

Fiscal year 2015 in detail Strong incremental sales, moderate increase of headcount

Fiscal year 2015 in detail Earnings boosted by turnaround in Defence

Fiscal year 2015 in detail Increased dividend proposal of EUR 1.10

* Proposal to the Annual General Meeting

Fiscal year 2015 in detail Net financial debt lowered by capital increase and improved earnings

Fiscal year 2015 in detail Positive free cash flow by improved earnings and working capital

2014 in EUR million 2015 in EUR million

Net Depr./ Capex Working Free cash
income ∆Pensions (Cash-out) capital/ flow from
others operations

Review 2015 A strong year for Automotive

  • Dynamic sales growth by 6%, clearly above market growth of 1%
  • EBIT margin of 8.3% representing an all-time high
  • Main contribution to sales growth by Mechatronics division (+10%)
  • China: Solid sales growth, despite a less dynamic development of LV-production

Top- and bottom line growth Strong sales and earnings contribution from Mechatronics

Sales Automotive in EUR million Operational earnings Automotive in EUR million

Organic growth Main strategic drivers

AUTOMOTIVE

ORGANIC GROWTH

Market growth Light Vehicles (LV) Globally rising production

and

Expanding Non-LV business of Rheinmetall Automotive

More content

Increasing number of Rheinmetall products per car due to tightening environmental standards

and

Trend of Electrification esp. Hybridization

Higher value of products

Innovative solutions with higher price level, driven by rising demand for components which offer improved energy-efficiency and/or lower fuel consumption

Growth driver "Market growth" Ongoing increase of global demand for light vehicles

Forecast global light vehicle (LV) production in million units

Source: IHS Automotive (February 2016)

Growth driver "Market growth" China: Continuing growth, but with lower rates

− Expected recovery of the Chinese car market: Growth expectation 5.6% in 2016 after 4.3% in 2015

  • − Growth rate expected to normalize but remains above global average growth
  • Double-digit sales increase of 100%-subsidiaries (WFOE) expected

JV: 100% figures shown of Joint Ventures, Rheinmetall Automotive owns 50% of JV; consolidated at-equity WFOE: Wholly Foreign-Owned Enterprise, 100% subsidiaries, fully consolidated Source: IHS Automotive (February 2016)

Growth driver "Market growth" India: Well prepared to take advantage of increasing demand for mobility

− Expected market growth 2016 of 9% with a meaningful share of Diesel engines (~35%)

Automotive subsidiaries leaving start-up phase and moving into growth phase

Growth driver "Non-LV business" Truck engine production heading towards a growth phase

Forecast truck engine production in million units

Rheinmetall Automotive sales of non-LV and truck business in EUR million

16

Growth driver "More content per car/hybridization" Trend to hybrid vehicles expected to accelerate

Forecast production of hybrid vehicles* in million units

  • Stricter emission regulations increase attractiveness of alternative energy concepts
  • Hybrid powertrains will raise significantly and become a major market
  • − Estimated market share of hybrid vehicles:
  • 2015: 2%
  • 2025: 19%

*Mild hybrid, full hybrid, plug-in hybrid

© RHEINMETALL AG 2016 | FY 2015 REPORT | 17 March 2016

17

Mechanical coolant pumps

Oil pumps

Growth driver "More content per car"

Trend of hybridization opens potential for more Rheinmetall products

The traditional product portfolio for combustion engines …

Growth driver "More content per car" Trend of hybridization opens potential for more Rheinmetall products

… will be enlarged by products for hybrid engines.

Growth driver "Higher value of products" Electrification and downsizing require more sophisticated products

Product
Portfolio
Divisions
Gasoline Diesel Hybrid E-drive
Mechatronics

Technological developments in line with customer requirements (e.g., electric and/or variable pumps, "E-Booster")

Hardparts

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Extension of the existing product portfolio for vehicle engines (e.g. steel pistons) and for products independent on engines (e.g. structural casting parts) for light vehicles; E-Drive-specific products (e.g. battery case)

  • Further extension of the non-LV-business (e.g. large-bore pistons)
  • Flexible R&D and production capacities, adjusted to the need of the customers: Gasoline-, Diesel,- hybrid-engines, electro-mobility
  • Reducing dependency on specific LV-engine types

Review on 2015 Turnaround of Rheinmetall Defence successful

  • Encouraging order flow leads to a stable book-to-bill ratio above one
  • Sales pushed by 16% to €2.6 billion
  • Strong turnaround due to growing organic sales, successfully finalized restructuring program and improving product mix; no further impact on earnings by one-offs
  • Shaping profile in the global military vehicle business by the new division Vehicle Systems

Rheinmetall Defence

The new Vehicle Systems Division – a competitive international supplier

  • Leading European supplier of military vehicle systems with expected sales of €1.4 billion (in 2016) and a strong order backlog of €4.0 billion (end of 2015)
  • Sole provider of the complete product portfolio of military vehicles (tracked, wheeled, tactical, logistical) and turrets in the Western world
  • New vehicles are ready for market launch: amphibious wheeled vehicle, infantry fighting vehicle
  • Strong market position setting a solid basis in the further consolidation process of the industry

Turnaround of the operational performance Return to profitability by operational improvements and no further one-offs

Sales Defence in EUR million Operational earnings Defence in EUR million

Organic growth Main strategic drivers

DEFENCE ORGANIC GROWTH

High order potential in German home market

Global market growth

Increase of Defense budgets due to changing security situation

High order backlog

Secures solid future growth of Rheinmetall Defence in mid-term perspective

New markets Approaching new markets with local partners and with

Innovative products and developments (e.g. laser technology)

Growth driver "High order potential Germany" A number of projects targeted by Rheinmetall

Fox Upgrade order (2016) Potential ~€200 mill. Additional 6x6-vehicles Mid term potential €1 billion

Leopard 2 Upgrade order for 104 tanks Potential up to €200 mill.

Marder Lifetime extension Potential ~€75 million

Boxer Order for 131 vehicles, Volume €130 million

Gladius soldier system Order expected for 2016/17 Potential ~€250 million Further Soldier systems Mid term potential ~€500 mill.

Puma Additional equipment Potential €600 million Demand for additional IFVs Long term potential €900 mill.

2019 2020

2016 2017 BEYOND

Ammunition Restocking expected Short and mid term potential ~€500 mill.

Combat Training Center Additional equipment Potential > €50 million Service contract Potential €50-100 mill.

Military trucks Step-by-step replacement of 2,500 vehicles Potential until 2025 > €1 billion Additional demand for further vehicles

Growth driver: Global markets The Defence macro picture is changing

USA

  • Trend of budget reduction stopped
  • Defence spending expected of USD >600 billion p.a. EUROPE

NATO

Common target confirmed: Moving defence budgets to 2% of GDP until 2025

GERMANY

  • Intention to return to fully equipped forces
  • Necessity to spend EUR 130 billion for armament up to 2030

Return to increase defence spending especially in Eastern Europe (+4% annually until 2020) and Baltic states (+2%)

RUSSIA

Huge armed forces modernization program launched in spite of lower growth rates of defence budgets

CHINA

Mid-term budget growth of 7- 8 % p.a. expected

AUSTRALIA

EUR 127 billion until 2026 to modernize armed forces

Growth driver "High order backlog"

Increased order backlog leads to improved visibility of mid-term sales

Growth driver "New markets" Expanding local footprint by individual industrial partnerships

Cooperation with the Polish defence industry for a major Leopard modernization program, Order volume about EUR 220 million

TURKEY

― Rheinmetall Turk as a local entity is a designated partner of joint ventures with Turkish defence companies (Ammunition and vehicle systems)

AUSTRALIA: LAND 400 PROGRAM

  • ̶ Tender submitted in 2015, offering Boxer with Lance turret
  • ̶ Teamed up with Northrop Grumman
  • ̶ Down-selection in 2016, final decision not before 2018
  • ̶ Total volume: appr. EUR 2.5 billion
  • ̶ Strong international competition

Growth driver "New products" New technologies and products ready for market launch

— New cannon with a larger caliber, performance increase: 50%

HIGH ENERGY LASER

    • Laser technology developed, ready for operations in 3-5 years

currently common project of Germany and France

*Main Ground Combat System

  • Domestic R&D orders of EUR ~40 million received
  • Qualification phase ongoing: Successfully tested by German Navy

Short-term perspective Outlook fiscal year 2016

Sales in €
billion
Operational margin
2015 2016 2015 2016
Group 5.2 ~ 5.5 5.5% ~ 6%
Defence 2.6 ~ 2.8 3.5% 4.5-5%
Automotive 2.6 ~ 2.7 8.3% ~ 8%

Assumptions

  • ― Key large-scale projects in Defence to be realized as scheduled, no significant one-offs
  • ― Global automotive industry growing as forecast

Mid-term perspective Looking ahead: Markets and Rheinmetall

Markets with good mid-term perspectives: Global growth in Defence and Automotive

MARKET SALES OPERATIONAL
CAGR 2015-2018e
AUTOMOTIVE 2.8% ~ 4-5% ~ 8%
DEFENCE 1.1% ~ 8% ~ 6-7%

Changing markets

  • Sustainable growth of global car production
  • Gradually rising importance of hybridization
  • R&D efforts in order to create higher independency from engine concepts

  • Increasing number of global tensions and conflicts lead to enhanced efforts to modernize ground forces

  • Broad existing product portfolio covers increasing demand of land forces

Key figures: Group

in
EUR million
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Balance sheet Total assets 4,832 4,899 4,866 5,271 5,730
Shareholder's equity 1,546 1,465 1,339 1,197 1,562
Equity ratio (in %) 32.0 29.9 27.5 22.7 27.3
Pension
liabilities
729 919 891 1,121 1,128
Net financial debt 130 98 147 330 81
Net gearing (in %) 8.4 6.7 11.0 27.6 5.2
Income statement Sales 4,454 4,704 4,417 4,688 5,183
Operating result 342 268 211 160 287
Operating margin (in %) 7.7 5.7 4.8 3.4 5.5
EBITDA 538 490 315 299 490
EBIT 354 296 121 102 287
EBIT margin (in %) 7.9 6.3 2.7 2.2 5.5
EBT 295 216 45 22 221
Net income after minorities 213 173 29 18 151
Earnings per share (in EUR) 5.55 4.55 0.75 0.47 3.88
Dividend per share (in EUR); 2015: proposal 1.80 1.80 0.40 0.30 1.10
ROCE (in %) 14.9 11.5 4.7 3.9 10.1
Cash flow statement Free cash flow from operations 93 125 20 -182 29
Headcount Employees (Dec 31) according to capacity 21,516 21,767 20,264 20,166 20,676

2013 figures adjusted according to IFRS 5 (Discontinued Operations) with regard to the formation of the ATAG JV and according to IFRS 11 (Joint Arrangements)

Key figures: Segments 2011 – 2015

AUTOMOTIVE
2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
2,621 2,466 2,270 2,378 2,357
445 416 392 418 409
2,592 2,448 2,262 2,369 2,313
216 184 158 139 151
8.3 7.5 7.0 5.9 6.5
332 295 225 243 254
216 184 124 139 151
8.3 7.5 5.5 5.9 6.5
167 158 142 148 104
10,934 10,830 10,927 12,003 11,548
1,540 1,322 1,171 1,091 1,025
118 96 66 69 69
8.1 7.3 5.6 6.3 6.7
952 934 889 1,087 1,092
73 72 27 57 65
7.7 7.7 3.0 5.2 6.0
285 269 268 265 258
27 26 27 25 24
9.5 9.7 10.1 9.4 9.3
in EUR million
Order intake
Order backlog (Dec. 31)
Sales
Operating result
Operating margin (in %)
EBITDA
EBIT
EBIT margin (in %)
Capex
Employees (Dec 31) according to capacity
Mechatronics Sales Combat
EBIT Systems
EBIT margin
Hardparts Sales Electronic
EBIT Solutions
EBIT margin
Aftermarket Sales Wheeled
EBIT Vehicles
EBIT margin
DEFENCE
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1,831 2,933 3,339 2,812 2,693
4,541 4,987 6,050 6,516 6,422
2,141 2,335 2,155 2,240 2,591
212 146 60 -9 90
9.9 6.3 2.8 -0.4 3.5
303 262 96 17 175
223 173 4 -67 90
10.4 7.4 0.2 -3.0 3.5
102 90 62 76 96
9,833 9,623 9,193 9,184 9,581
1,198 1,136 1,027 977 1,382
146 102 31 -4 88
12.2 9.0 3.0 -0.4 6.4
799 748 710 705 759
86 97 11 -53 26
10.8 13.0 1.5 -7.5 3.4
255 567 539 667 600
-12 -25 -35 -9 -11
-4.7 -4.4 -6.5 -1.4 -1.8

2013 figures adjusted according to IFRS 5 (Discontinued Operations) with regard to the formation of the ATAG JV and according to IFRS 11 (Joint Arrangements)

Cash credit facilities and net financial debt

* Net debt in % of equity

Fiscal year 2015: survey

in
EUR million
2014 2015
2015/2014
Sales 4,688 5,183 + 495 + 11%
Operational earnings 160 287 +
127
+ 79%
Special items: one-offs, restructuring costs -
58
0 + 58
EBIT (reported) 102 287 +
185
+ 181%
EBT 22 221 +
199
+ 905%
Group
net income*
21 21 +
0
±
0%
Earnings per share* in EUR 0.47 3.88 +
3.41
+ 726%
in EUR
Dividend
0.30 1.10** +
0,80
+ 267%
in%
Payout ratio
64 28 -
36
pp
-
56%
Employees (Dec 31) 20,166 20,676 + 510 + 3%

* Continuing and discontinued operations

** Dividend proposal to the Annual General Meeting

Quarterly development

Sales in EUR million Operational earnings in EUR million

Research & development, capex, depreciation & amortization

R&D in EUR million Capex in EUR million D&A in EUR million

* Subsidies for tooling costs

Cash flow statement

Continuing operations
in
EUR million
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Q4 2015/
Q4 2014
Group net income 41 5 29 30 96 +55
Amortization / depreciation 59 49 50 49 55 -4
Change in pension accruals -
2
0 1 0 2 +4
Cash flow 98 54 80 79 153 +55
Changes in working capital and
other items
337 -202 -100 8 267 -70
Net cash used in operating
activities
435 -148 -20 87 420 -15
Cash outflow for additions to
tangible and intangible assets
-
120
-56 -55 -78 -121 -1
Free cash flow from operations 315 -204 -75 9 299 -16
RHEINMETALL AUTOMOTIVE EUR 2.6 billion
Hardparts Mechatronics Aftermarket
Pistons Emission Systems International
Large-bore pistons Solenoid Valves National
Bearings Commercial Diesel Systems
Actuators
Pumps

Sales figure FY 2015

Fiscal year 2015: survey

Continuing operations
in
EUR million
2014 2015 2015/2014
Sales 2,448 2,592 + 144 + 6%
Operational earnings 184 216 + 32 + 17%
Special items: one-offs, restructuring costs 0 0 ±
0
±
0%
EBIT (reported) 184 216 + 32 + 17%
Employees (Dec 31) 10,830 10,934 +
104
+ 1%

Key figures by division

Figures before intra-segmental consolidation

Quarterly development

Sales Automotive in EUR million Operational earnings Automotive in EUR million

Figures adjusted according to IFRS 5 (Discontinued Operations) with regard to the formation of the ATAG JV and according to IFRS 11 (Joint Arrangements)

Cash flow statement

Continuing operations
in
EUR million
2014 2015
2015/2014
Group net income 131 161 +30
Amortization / depreciation 121 116 -5
Change in pension accruals -1 -2 -1
Cash flow 251 275 + 24
Changes in working capital and other items -
21
+7 +28
Net cash used in operating activities 230 282 +52
Cash outflow for additions to tangible and
intangible assets
-
196
-186 +10
Free cash flow from operations 34 96 + 62

Research & development, capex, depreciation & amortization

R&D in EUR million Capex in EUR million D&A in EUR million

* Subsidies for tooling costs

Sales by customers and by regions

Sales by customer in %

Sales by region in EUR million Sales growth in % 493 520 241 307 523 528 1,191 1,238 2014 2,448 2,592 2015 Europe (excl. Germany) Rest of the World Germany Asia (w/o China JVs) +1% +4% +27% +6% Market Growth** in % +4% +2% -1% +2%

* MIR: Marine, Industrial , Recreational

** Source: IHS Automotive (February 2016)

Automotive in China

Automotive in India

Source: Shriram, annual reports

New divisional structure of Defence Transfer of Combat Platforms

Sales figure FY 2015

Fiscal year 2015: survey

in
EUR million
2014 2015
2015/ 2014
Order intake 2,812 2,693 -
119
-
4%
Order backlog (Dec 31) 6,516 6,422 -
94
-
1%
Sales 2,240 2,591 + 351 + 16%
Operational earnings -
9
90 + 99
Special items: one-offs, restructuring costs -
58
0 + 58
EBIT (reported) -
67
90 + 157
Employees (Dec 31) 9,184 9,581 + 397 + 4%

Key figures Defence by division

Figures before intra-segmental consolidation

Quarterly development

Sales Defence in EUR million Operational earnings Defence in EUR million

Cash flow statement

Continuing operations
in
EUR million
2014 2015
2015/2014
Group net income -
72
32 +104
Amortization / depreciation 85 85 0
Change in pension accruals 0 8 +8
Cash flow 13 125 + 112
Changes in working capital and other items -
69
-
67
+2
Net cash used in operating activities -
56
58 +114
Cash outflow for additions to tangible and
intangible assets
-
76
-
96
-20
Free cash flow from operations -
132
-
38
+ 94

Research & development, capex, depreciation & amortization

R&D in EUR million Capex in EUR million D&A in EUR million

* Subsidies for tooling costs

Disclaimer

This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 with respect to Rheinmetall's financial condition, results of operations and businesses and certain of Rheinmetall's plans and objectives. These forward-looking statements reflect the current views of Rheinmetall's management with respect to future events. In particular, such forward-looking statements include the financial guidance contained in the outlook for 2016.

Forward-looking statements are sometimes, but not always, identified by their use of a date in the future or such words as "will", "anticipates", "aims", "could", "may", "should", "expects", "believes", "intends", "plans" or "targets". By their nature, forward-looking statements are inherently predictive, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. In particular, such factors may have a material adverse effect on the costs and revenue development of Rheinmetall. Further, the economic downturn in Rheinmetall's markets, and changes in interest and currency exchange rates, may also have an impact on Rheinmetall's business development and the availability of financing on favorable conditions. The factors that could affect Rheinmetall's future financial results are discussed more fully in Rheinmetall's most recent annual and quarterly reports which can be found on its website at www.rheinmetall.com.

All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Rheinmetall or any group company of Rheinmetall or any persons acting on their behalf contained in or made in connection with this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by factors of the kind referred to above. No assurances can be given that the forward-looking statements in this presentation will be realized. Except as otherwise stated herein and as may be required to comply with applicable law and regulations, Rheinmetall does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and does not undertake any obligation to do so.

This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or dispose of securities in Rheinmetall AG or any of its direct or indirect subsidiaries.

160317 Analysts conference FY2015