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Repsol S.A. — Investor Presentation 2021
Oct 5, 2021
1881_rns_2021-10-05_4d871bec-b9b9-4126-9556-593180bc8f11.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Low Carbon Day Boosting the Transition
Josu Jon Imaz CEO
Disclaimer
ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED © REPSOL, S.A. 2021
This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the "Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores" in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
Some of the figures included in this document are considered Alternative Performance Measures (APM) in accordance with the guidelines of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Further information on APMs (definition, purpose, reconciliation with financial statement figures) may be found on Repsol's corporate website.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.
The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the External Auditors of Repsol.
01.
Repsol Strategy recapitulation
Low carbon strategy progress 02.
03.
Ambition and targets review
01. Repsol Strategy recapitulation
01. Repsol Strategy recapitulation
Decarbonizing the portfolio
Repsol Strategic Plan 21-25 is a transformation story, based on decarbonization, and will be done in a way that benefits Repsol as a whole
Leveraging on our businesses vertical and horizontal integration
New operating model
De-carbonize the portfolio
- Profitable business platforms with leading advantaged positions
- An achievable ambition and multi energy company growth
- Distinctive ambition for transformation
01. Repsol Strategy recapitulation
Repsol with the right ambition and more feasible
Repsol's transformation story has a distinctive approach and differentiated starting point, with a right ambition and scale to afford decarbonization
the right ambition
a credible size
a well-suited play
- De-carbonization as a business opportunity creating profitable Transition growth platforms
- More credible and feasible ambition, right aligned with allocated Capex
- Legacy business providing cash-flow to enable the transition
- Large enough to build a leading player in the Energy Transition
- Small enough in the O&G universe to feasibly transform the portfolio with attractive opportunities
- Customer leadership in Iberia with differential brand over competitors
- Tier#1 industrial sites provide unmatched platforms for emerging de-carb business
- Iberian peninsula with local advantages on project economics (green H2, e-fuels, circularity), provided by a large renewable resource base
01. Repsol Strategy recapitulation
Decarbonizing through a hybrid platform
Fit for 55 package reinforces Repsol's vision in which a combination of electrification and low carbon products is the best solution to decarbonize the economy
Repsol is present in all decarbonization value chain as a multi-energy provider
- LULUCF: "Land use, Land-use change and forestry"
Building on our commitment since Net Zero announcement
Repsol today has a relevant low carbon portfolio, moving forward in 2021
| Industrial | Renewables | Customer Centric | Carbon sinks | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transition from a strong position 2020 |
700 total bios produced kt/y 250 advanced bios kt/y First 7kt biojet batch Circular polyolefins CCU demo plant Project |
1.1GW Operational1 in Spain and in Chile 11.7GW Strong pipeline |
24 M customers Leader in multi-energy low carbon products2 >1,300 Total Points of Recharge |
Natural Climate Solutions investments via Repsol Foundation Carbon offsetting program in Waylet app |
| 2021 Progress |
Ecoplanta Signed agreement with Agbar and Enerkem Cartagena C43 Start of works H business plan & team 2 in place Engineering phase three units >100MW FID 2.5 MW electrolyzer in Petronor |
Hecate Acquisition of 40% stake Advancing projects Started production in Valdesolar and Kappa Delta 2, Pi, Cabo Leonés III F2 and Jicarilla 2 under construction PPAs Signed PPAs with Microsoft and in Chile |
1.26 M P&G customers3 +12% growth in 1H21 Gana Energía Acquired a majority stake in Gana Energía Distributed Generation Launched B2B & B2G solar communities |
Sakakemang CCS Engineering phase E-fuels demo plant Engineering phase Green Engine Launch of high scale forestation plan with Sylvestris |
+€300 M Capex in Low Carbon Businesses vs Previous 2021 guidance, accounting for >30% of 2021 Capex
-
- Operating capacity of Delta I (335 MW), Cabo Leonés III phase I (78 MW 50% WI) and hydro assets (699 MW)
-
- Spain Market share in volume; value for 2019
-
- Including customers from Gana Energía
Low carbon business platforms:
Industrial Transformation: Low Carbon Products
1.9 GWeq
Increased renewable H2 ambition by 2030
- +40% increased 2025 ambition to 0.55 GWeq
- +60% increased 2030 ambition to 1.9 GWeq
- Three-way route: electrolysis, biomethane and photo electrocatalysis (long-term)
- E-fuels demo plant underway
- 2.5 MW electrolyzer in Petronor by 2022
2 Mton
Low carbon fuels1 by 2030
- 1.3 Mton of low carbon fuels to 2025
- Advanced HVO, the best option to comply with the legislation and grow in biofuels generating value
- First biofuels marketer in Spain
- Multi-technology and raw material approach
Recycled polyolefins by 2030
- 10% recycled polyolefins by 2025
- Chemical and mechanical recycling
Energy parks that fit into a more sustainable future
Maximizing Value through partnerships
10
Low carbon business platforms:
Renewable Generation: increasing our ambitions
- +15% RES ambition to 6 GW (2025)
- +60% RES ambition to 20 GW (2030)
- Hecate optionality: RoFos and takeover
- Balanced technology mix: solar, wind & hydro
- Hybrid projects and storage 4.3 GW pipeline
- Relevant presence in OECD markets Asset rotation of operational assets
Best-in-class Equity IRR
- Capturing full yield of every project phase:
- Top development and operational capabilities
- Optimal Structuring and financing
- Differentiated Energy & risk management
Accelerating our ambitions from a sizeable, tangible and technologically and geographically diversified pipeline of renewable projects
Selectively investing to create value
Notes: Assuming Hydro is entirely in Spain and considering 100% in Spain and International (excl. Chile) and 50% JV stake in Chile; US Solar includes Solar PV plus Battery Storage.
Low carbon business platforms:
Customer Centric Business: building on our advantages
8 Million
Digital clients by 2025
- Unique position to serve the multi-energy needs of our customers
- 3M Waylet by end 2021 (+50% vs 2020)
- Vivit and Energy Origin launched in 2021
- Launching transversal loyalty program
+1,000
Public PoR by 2022 in Iberia
- Quick chargers every 50 km in Spain by 2022
- Capex €50 M in Spain
- Ultra / fast charging terminals in premium locations
+180
Solar communities expected by 2021 YE
- Innovative solutions for energy generation and optimization, reinforcing a multi-energy offer
- Solify: self-consumption
- Solmatch and Ekiluz: communities oriented
A differentiated multi-energy customer centric view
Simplifying the net-zero journeys of our customers
To drive 1.4x EBITDA by 2025 (vs. 2019)
Low carbon business platforms:
Carbon Sinks: committed with climate neutrality
Carbon, capture, utilization & storage
CCUS projects
Sakakemang world-scale CCS project by 2027
Natural Climate Solutions
Green Engine
Forestry program through Repsol Foundation
Sakakemang – storage capacity of 2 Mtpa of CO2 and €247 M total investment
Actively involved in OGCI's CCUS hubs initiative
- 70,000 Ha of forests
- Voluntary Carbon Market advocacy
- A €100 M Carbon Fund
03. Ambition and targets review
03. Ambitions and targets review
Increasing our ambition
Repsol increased its renewable and hydrogen ambition and sets new CCB targets, encouraged by new opportunities, technology and favorable climate policy momentum
-
- Gross renewable generation capacity
-
- Original SP 7.5GW and 15GW Low Carbon Generation. (5.2GW and 12.7GW Renewable Generation)
03. Ambitions and targets review
Repsol 2030 targets
Repsol increases its Capex in low carbon 21-25, due to value accretive identified opportunities, accelerating our transformation to 2030
-
Includes new low carbon platforms, low carbon generation investments, decarbonization efficiency investments, e-mobility, and value-added services.
-
Increase in low carbon CE through investments in low carbon generation, new industrial low carbon platforms (circularity, H2 & e-fuels, etc.), decarbonization through efficiency initiatives, emobility, and value-added services, among others
Note: CE of RES considering consolidation by the proportional method. Capital employed figures not including Corporation (€2 B in 2019)
03. Ambitions and targets review
Repsol reviewed Net Zero pledge
A favorable regulatory environment and technological breakthrough encouraged Repsol to even further its CII intermediate targets
First O&G to claim Net Zero emissions
Committed in 2019, Increased in 2020, Reinforced in 2021
Carbon Intensity Indicator1 reduction targets [gCO2/MJ]
New Ambition to accelerate the path to Net zero emissions in scopes 1, 2 and 32
Leading the energy transition in line with the objective of climate neutrality in 2050
Low Carbon Day
Investor Relations [email protected]
RepsolLowCarbonDay www.repsol.com
Low Carbon Day
Driving the Refining transformation
Juan Carlos Ramírez Dir. Planning, Logistics & Refining Sales Berta Cabello Head of Refining Transformation
Disclaimer
ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED © REPSOL, S.A. 2021
This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the "Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores" in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
Some of the figures included in this document are considered Alternative Performance Measures (APM) in accordance with the guidelines of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Further information on APMs (definition, purpose, reconciliation with financial statement figures) may be found on Repsol's corporate website.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.
The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the External Auditors of Repsol.
01.
Low Carbon Fuels Framework
Providing Short Term Value with LCF 02.
What is next? Our Pathway to 2030 03.
Low Carbon Fuels Framework 01.
Raw Materials Scope 3
Energy Scope 1 - 2
&
01. Low Carbon Fuels Frameworkz
Transforming our business model
01. Low Carbon Fuels Framework
Transforming our business model
1 Regulation Anticipation + advocacy + local dialogue 2 Technology Development and Integration in the Value Chain 3 Products Portfolio Low Carbon Liquid Fuels and renewable 4 Supply management and ecosystem development Agriculture and livestock + forestry + agri-food + municipal and industrial waste
New Business Model
Circular Economy
01. Low Carbon Fuels Framework
Regulation increases demand and promotes the
The regulatory framework in EU and Spain is promoting low carbon fuels and renewable gases as a decarbonization alternative for transport and other industries.
Regulation can significantly boost the development of low carbon products market
Providing Short Term Value 02.
02. Providing Short-Term value
Low Carbon Fuels. A reality
Already a leading HVO and bio-ETBE producer in Iberia, and first biofuels marketer in Spain
Producing bio ETBE since 1998 and HVO since 2011
Boosting production of Bio Jet
- Puertollano: 1st co-processed biojet batch produced in Spain. 7,000 Tn in July 2020
- Tarragona: Co-processed biojet batch production. 10,000 Tn in January 2021
- Petronor: 1st advanced co-processed biojet batch produced in Spain. 5,300 Tn in July 2021
Testing more than 40 wastes and technologies for advanced biofuels and circular plastics
H2 Leaders in renewable hydrogen: First production from biomethane in Cartagena steam reforming in October 2021
12
02. Providing Short-Term value
HVO, the best short-term route to grow in biofuels generating value
- Greater flexibility in raw materials for advanced BIOS production
- Technical barriers to manufacturing allow higher margins
- Technologies compatible with Biojet production
Production of advanced HVO is the best option to comply with the legislation and grow in biofuels generating value
From 2025 additional drop-in biodiesel and biojet production is needed to comply with biofuels mandates
HVO and SAF demand 02. Providing Short-Term value
Source: Argus Consulting. REDII Based. June 2021
| 03. | Our Pathway to 2030 HVO+SAF |
2030 2025 Commercial |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| +275 kta +300 kta |
Initiatives | ||
| Regulation | Raw Material | ||
| Renewable Energy Directive (RED) ReFuel Aviation FuelEU Maritime |
Sustainable Vegetable Oils UCO + animal fats Other lipidic residues included in Annex IX Part A RED Directive |
21 | |
| Technology | Final Uses | ||
| Hydrogenation - Commercial |
Transport (Road, Aviation and Marine) |
Current Margin 250-750€/tep |
|
| New units or retrofitting | By-Products for: Renewable Hydrogen Chemical Industry |
Forecasted Margin 950-1,550€/tep |
|
02. Providing Short-Term value
New Advanced Biofuels Plant in Cartagena
02. Providing Short-Term value
Wastes availability. Lipidic Route
0 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 12.000 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 Thousand tons per year Advanced lipids and greases European Availability
Source: Argus Consulting. June 2021
To go further in this route, raw material availability is key.
Already closing raw material agreements locally and internationally
The demand for these raw materials will stimulate its availability.
Before exhausting this route we are exploring others.
Our Pathway to 2030 03.
Additional potential from solid wastes and CO2 03. Our Pathway to 2030
There is enough sustainable biomass (organic waste from any kind) in Europe for obtaining the expected advanced biofuel demand in 2050*.
To realise this potential, additional R&D would be required as well as the implementation of improvement management strategies. The supply chain would need to be developed to mobilise all these resources.
* Fuels Europe Clean Fuels for All Scenarios.
Source: Sustainable biomass availability in the EU to 2050. Imperial Collage 2021
| Waste availability for energy uses (Mty) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type of Waste | 2030 | 2050 | |||
| Municipal & Industrial Bio-waste | 44 – 80 |
33 – 61 |
|||
| Forestry Waste | 204 – 370 |
215 – 408 |
|||
| Agriculture Waste | 272 – 410 |
291 – 447 |
+ CO2
03. Our Pathway to 2030
Integration with the refineries
03. Our Pathway to 2030
Integration with the refineries
We are ready 03. Our Pathway to 2030
The development of a wide pipeline of projects allows us to be ready to achieve our ambition adapting in the way to regulation, raw materials and technology.
Making use of the organization know-how and capabilities
| Our Pathway to 2030 03. E-Fuels |
2025 2030 Demo Scale-up +2.5 kta |
|---|---|
| Regulation | Raw Material |
| Renewable Energy Directive (RED) ReFuel Aviation FuelEU Maritime |
CO 2 Renewable Hydrogen |
| Technology | Final Uses |
| Reverse Water Gas Shift – Under dev + FT + Upgrading - Commercial |
Transport (Road, Aviation, Marine) Feedstock for chemical industry |
| 03. | Our Pathway to 2030 Advanced Ethanol |
2025 Demo +8 kta |
2030 Roll out +16 kta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regulation | Raw Material | ||
| Renewable energy Directive (RED) Waste Directive Farm to Fork Strategy |
Organic MSW Agriculture residues |
||
| Technology | Final Uses | ||
| Fermentation – Scaling up |
Transport (Road) Intermediate Product for: Renewable Hydrogen Jet production |
| Our Pathway to 2030 03. Biomethane |
2030 Commercial |
|
|---|---|---|
| 400+ GWh/a | ||
| Regulation | Raw Material | |
| Renewable Energy Directive (RED) FuelEU Maritime Guarantees of Origin Waste Directive Farm to Fork Strategy ETS |
Organic MSW Agriculture + Livestock residues |
|
| Technology | Final Uses | |
| Anaerobic Digestion + Upgrading – Commercial |
Transport (Road and Marine) Hydrogen production Industry – Heat, Power Residential |
Renewable Hydrogen 03. Our Pathway to 2030
| Regulation | Raw Material | |
|---|---|---|
| Renewable Hydrogen EU Strategy Renewable Energy Directive (RED) ETS |
Renewable power and water Biomethane Biogas Bionaphtha |
|
| Technology | Final Uses | |
| Electrolysis - Scaling - up Steam Reforming - Commercial |
Intermediate for fuels production Transport Industry Residential |
Maximizing Value through partnerships 03. Our Pathway to 2030
We have over 45 partnerships in the whole value chain to develop decarbonization projects.
The partnership model is flexible including co- investing, long term contracts, etc.
Raw material sourcing and pretreatment Technology & Operation Final Use Waste management and pretreatment Biomass sourcing Agriculture and livestock producers Technologist and licensors Technology Centers Biomass plants operators Airlines Shippers Fleet Operators OEMs
Demo plants
Public Funding
Summary 03. Our Pathway to 2030
Repsol is the leading HVO and bio-ETBE producer in Iberia, and first biofuels marketer in Spain.
We incorporate biofuels in our products since 1998.
Clear pipeline to 2025 with Cartagena advanced biofuels plant as main project ready in 1Q23.
Wide pipeline of initiatives to achieve our 2030 goals:
- Application of different technologies
- Flexibility in raw materials
- Strategic partnerships
Applying strengths and know how of the traditional business to new developments: Competitiveness, integration and flexibility.
Low Carbon Day
Investor Relations [email protected]
RepsolLowCarbonDay www.repsol.com
Low Carbon Day Chemicals - Circularity
Rafael Jiménez Director of Polyolefins
Disclaimer
ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED © REPSOL, S.A. 2021
This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the "Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores" in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
Some of the figures included in this document are considered Alternative Performance Measures (APM) in accordance with the guidelines of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Further information on APMs (definition, purpose, reconciliation with financial statement figures) may be found on Repsol's corporate website.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.
The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the External Auditors of Repsol.
01.
Repsol Chemical Business Overview
Repsol Chemical Business Strategy 02.
03.
Chemicals Transformation - Circularity
- Targets
- Roadmap
- Projects and value chain
Executive summary 04.
Repsol Chemical Business Overview 01.
3 Main highly integrated & flexible petrochemical sites in Iberia
2,800 kt/y Sales
>1,000 Relevant customers ~550 M€/y Average EBITDA 2015-2020
~20% Average ROACE 2015-2020
~2,000 Staff
High complexity production & logistics ~350 different grades / lean
>85 countries Sales
~100 M\$/y Average EBITDA 2016-2020
~15th World producer high value products (PO/ Polyols, EVA)
310 kt/y
Sales 2020
~900 M€/y Projected EBITDA
Projected ROACE
~1,700 M€
Capital employed
2021
2021
~35 %
JV Dynasol
50/50 strategic Alliance between Repsol and KUO (Mexico) in synthetic rubber business plants in Europe, LATAM and China
production / multi-modal delivery
Diversified Portfolio committed with improving Life Standards and with Energy Transition
Many low-carbon technologies rely on innovations in chemistry to become more efficient, affordable and scalable
Chemicals are key
| Efficient building envelopers | 11% |
|---|---|
| Lightweight material | 4% |
| Fuel efficient tires | 2% |
Chemicals relevant
| Wind & Solar Power | 50% |
|---|---|
| Electric cars | 21% |
Little influence
Efficient lighting 12%
CO2 emissions reduction in each area due to the use of chemicals; weight on total Study "The essential role of chemicals", ICCA
Repsol Chemical Business Strategy 02.
Repsol Chemicals Strategy: Opportunity for profitable growth through 3 levers
02. Repsol Chemical Business Strategy
Repsol Chemicals Strategic Plan targets growth in EBITDA by 2025 in a stable medium-low margin scenario
0.6 BAU1
0.6 Alba
-0.1 Adj / Eff
1.5
0.4 Transform
0.1 Integrate (Rest)2
Total Repsol
Cum. CAPEX 2021-25 (B€)
- Business as usual; 2. Including Dynasol and Repsol Química initiatives; 3. ROACE is calculated after taxes
Optional Opportunities to invest with high return and double capital employed, improving ROACE from 8% to more than 13%
Transform and integrate the current business to increase Repsol Química EBITDA by ~2x in 2025 in a stable medium-low margin scenario
Boost Business Value due to a more solid business
- Integration and flexibility building resilience
- Robustness and efficiency of the operation
- Diversified footprint with differentiated products and geographies
License to Operate and Business Opportunity
Target: Recycling equivalent to 20% of our polyolefins production by 2030
Recycled Polyolefins (Kt/yr)
Mt/y
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Polyolefin Market in Europe will be growing at healthy rates (both Virgin and Recycled) over next decade 03. Chemicals Transformation - Circularity
Roadmap to reach our targets
TOTAL CAPEX: ≈€1,400 M (Repsol Equity €665 M - unlevered)
Projects and value chain
| WASTE | TECHNOLOGY | PRODUCTION | MARKET | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e n e yr |
RECICLEX® Mechanical |
High quality post-consumer waste |
Mechanical Recycling |
Repsol Compounds Plants: Monzón PP & Puertollano PE Reciclex compounds production in ACTECO |
Polyolefins that incorporates recycled material Usual polyolefin market (packaging, auto, etc.). Currently sales to 20 customers |
| st y ol P & s n efi |
RECICLEX® Circular |
Plastic mix High quality CSR |
Chemical Recycling PYROLYSIS |
Crude processing in Puertollano and free allocation to products by mass balance. In project: Pyroplast; FCC Puertollano; Tarragona's crude; Direct Styrene. |
Circular polyolefins with ISCC PLUS certification (3 certified complexes) Currently sales to 10 customers |
| ol y ol P |
ECOPLANTA® | Urban solid waste | Chemical Recycling GASIFICATION |
Ecoplanta integrated in Tarragona site The extension of the model to other sites is in the conceptualization phase |
Methanol: RED II fuels; Chemical Industry, Marine fuels Methanol-to-Olefins under evaluation |
| s ol y ol P |
RECPUR | Industrial/ Clients residues Mattress foam waste |
Chemical Recycling ACIDOLYSIS |
New plant at Puertollano for production of polyols |
Polyols incorporating recycled material for the foam market in the comfort sector in Europe. Agreement with 6 key customers for product homologation and formulation adjustment. |
Repsol RECICLEX® Mechanical Recycling
Description
Develop a new range of polyolefin-based products that incorporate a variable percentage of recycled plastics in their formulation, without losing the properties of the virgin material in the application.
TARGET
Achieve sales of 100 kt/year (50% average recycled content) of Reciclex Compounds by 2030
New product properties
Up to 70% recycled content More than 20 grades
Many applications (non food contact): film, packaging, injection, blow, moulding, and others.
Constant quality and homogeneity, similar properties to virgin grades
Traceability Certificate UNE-15343
100% recyclable
Carbon footprint reduction Up to -40%
Partnerships
Project to increase the capacity of the recycled materials produced by Acteco in Alicante.
Repsol RECICLEX® Circular: Chemical Recycling - Pyrolysis
Description
To develop a new range of circular plastics from plastic waste, not mechanically recyclable, with the same properties as products made from fossil raw materials.
TARGET
Recycle 225 kta of plastic waste into pyrolysis oil for the development of circular polyolefin by 2030.
New product properties
- Complete Repsol range in all applications, with same properties
- Suitable for food, hygiene and medical use
- 3 sites ISSC Plus certified with mass balance
100% recyclable
Low carbon footprint
Pyrolysis oil approach & partnerships
1. Production
Since 2015 supplying pyrolysis oil into Puertollano site. Now we are in the process of developing pyrolysis oil suppliers.
2. Purification I Pyroplast Project
Repsol, Axens and IFP developed and patented process to enhance the chemical recycling of plastic waste - RewindTM Mix
3. Marketing
Repsol signs agreements to supply main European food packaging producers with ISCC Plus Certified Circular Polyolefins. We are able to supply premium Polyethylene or Polypropylene grade as well as styrene to our customers
Resins
Polyurethane Recycling RECPUR
Description
Developing a new range of RECYCLED POLYOLS. RECPUR closes the cycle of the Circular Economy of Polyurethane:
Processing the waste
Our customers can incorporate recycled product in their process
"Plastic-to-plastic" process
Polyol with lower CII (Carbon Intensity Indicator)
TARGET
Achieve 15% of polyols for the Comfort Market with recycled origin by 2028.
Being a "First Mover"
Concept
The foam residue (2 kt/y) is fed to a chemical recycling plant to produce "polyol of recycled origin" (5 kt/y) which is then incorporated into the customer's formulation to produce foam again to manufacture new mattresses or furniture.
Partnerships
RAMPF Eco Solutions based in Pirmasens, Germany, is an expert in chemical solutions for the manufacture of high-quality recycled polyols
RECPUR locations
Waste-to-Chemicals ECOPLANTA®
Description
Repsol will join the Ecoplanta® project, together with the technology leader Montreal-based firm Enerkem and Agbar, a global expert in water and waste management, to build a waste to chemicals plant in Tarragona.
The plant will process municipal solid waste to produce methanol, that will be used as raw material to produce circular materials or advanced biofuels, contributing to avoid 200 kty of CO2 and reducing the waste that ends up in the landfill.
The proposed location is Tarragona where various synergies will leverage the proposal
Circularity– waste to chemicals
- Reduction of landfill of 390kt of MMW (Mixed Municipal Waste)
- No competition with food supply
- No land use impact
Strengthen Tarragona Complex
- Tarragona has a high rate of landfill
- Synergies with Repsol Quimica
- Potential valorisation of Repsol's land
Suitable for EU funding
- The project can ask for funding in the European Union subsidy package
- Innovation Fund (up to €90 M)
- Recovery Fund
TIER 1 Partners
- Technology leader
- Waste management leader
Innovative and proven technology
- Gasification technology
- Most developed technology in waste to chemicals
Circular and Bio products
- Interesting premium for Biomethanol
- Possible chemicals route via ethanol production
Option of Green H2
- Requirement of 2.7 t/h H2
- Opportunity for green H2 project
- Low carbon footprint
PLASTIC WASTE
Repsol Reciclex® Circular Advanced Fuel 390 kt/y mixed municipal waste 220 kt/y Methanol
Repsol Roadmap includes the extension of the project, with feasibility studies for Sines and Puertollano
Executive summary
Circularity is going to be a must for the chemical industry:
- Chemical products contribute to reduce GHG emissions
- The European virgin polyolefins market grows at 0.8% and the recycled at 9.9% CAGR
- There will be new business opportunities in circularity
- Repsol is well positioned for recycling as our petrochemical sites are well integrated
- We have been one of the first European chemical producers feeding pyrolysis oil into our system and marketing circular polyolefins
- Repsol has the target of recycling 20% of our polyolefins production by 2030
- To do that, we have a clear roadmap with four main projects to invest €1,400 M (Repsol Equity €665 M - unlevered) with different technologies and partners, and we continue developing new projects to reach our recycling goals in 2030
Low Carbon Day
Investor Relations [email protected]
RepsolLowCarbonDay www.repsol.com
Low Carbon Day
Hydrogen business strategy
Tomás Malango Director of Hydrogen
Disclaimer
ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED © REPSOL, S.A. 2021
This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the "Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores" in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
Some of the figures included in this document are considered Alternative Performance Measures (APM) in accordance with the guidelines of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Further information on APMs (definition, purpose, reconciliation with financial statement figures) may be found on Repsol's corporate website.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.
The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the External Auditors of Repsol.
Hydrogen market vision
Repsol position 02.
Ambition 03.
Business roadmap 04.
Hydrogen market vision 01.
Strong hydrogen market growth
1 Demand growth driven by low carbon H2
EU hydrogen demand – Market forecasts (M tons/yr)
Ambitious H2 development targets in the EU and Spain, supported by public and private funding
Recently launched "Fit for 55" regulatory package with ambitious targets supporting H2 development
- Strong 2030 penetration targets
- Min. 50% share of renewable H2 consumption in industry
- 2.6% minimum quota of RFNBO3 in transport
- 0.7% e-fuels share in the aviation fuel mix (5% in 2035)
- Discount tax rates for the use of renewable and low-carbon hydrogen for end-consumers (based on energy content)
3
4 Further regulatory support still in progress
- Economic incentives to ensure low carbon H2 competitiveness
- Secondary regulation for H2 and the 3rd Gas Package review including the contribution of H2 to decarbonization of gas markets to be launched in December.
-
Technical requirements for production of H2 and derivatives (e.g. renewable energy feed criteria, requirements on CO2 for e-fuel production, etc.)
-
Renewable Fuel of Non Biological Origin – H2 and H2 derivatives (e.g. e-fuels)
1. EU-FCHJU forecast (Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Join Undertaking)
2. Market size estimated with 1.3 €/kg full grey (incl. capex) H2 production cost (assuming natural gas cost of 20 €MWh and excluding CO2 price)
Industry & transport lead market for renewable H2
Industrial processes and heavy vehicles are the most promising short-term applications
Market development driven by low carbon H2 competitiveness and lack of alternatives – 2030 view Aviation Marine H2 in Heavy Vehicles (Incl. RED II) H2 in Light / commercial vehicles (Incl. RED II) Chemicals - process Ammonia process Power storage Residential/ commercial Industrial heat Power generation H2 more competitive H2 less competitive Long-term H2 penetration to be driven by regulation and technology Minimum H Marginal use 2 presence Grid blending Steel Lead H2 development in the short term supported by regulation Refining (Incl. RED II) Competitiveness of H2 vs decarb alternatives (2030)
Large cost gap vs. incumbent
Competitiveness vs incumbent (2030) Cost parity vs incumbent
Regulatory support & Refining competitiveness
EU regulation (RED II&III) can bring competitiveness to renewable H2 produced for refineries
Industrial processes: competitiveness achieved in refining due to H2 for fuel production being included as part of renewable targets in transport
-
Natural gas price 20 €/MWh; range corresponds to CO2 price (from 0 to 60€/ton)
-
100 MW electrolyser, 1200€/kW of CapEx (full project costs incl. electrical connection, civil, intermediate storage, project costs), 65% electrolyser efficiency,
~70% load factor, range corresponds to power price between 32 and 50€/MWh; additionally considers 6.4€/MWh grid toll.
- H2 capex subsidies 25% : effective capex 900 €/kw (Total capex 1200 €/kw)
Hydrogen competitiveness
Low-carbon H2 expected to become competitive vs incumbent by 2030-35
-
20 €/MWh natural gas price
-
Considers carbon capture of 90% of total CO2 produced
-
100 MW electrolyser, 1200€/kW of CapEx (full project costs incl. electrical connection, civil, H2 intermediate storage, project costs), 65% electrolyser
efficiency, ~70% load factor, electricity price 32€/MWh, 6.4€/MWh grid toll.
- Low range: 100 MW electrolyser, 579€//kW CapEx, 68% efficiency, ~70% LF, electricity price 25 €/MWh, 6.4€/MWh toll; high range: 100 MW electrolyser,
760€//kW CapEx, 68% efficiency, 70% LF, electricity price 30€/MWh, 6.4€/MWh toll.
- CapEx 400 €/kw, 68% efficiency, LF ~70%; electricity price 20 €/MWh, 6.4€/MWh toll, OpEx 24 €/kW
Repsol position 02.
Repsol competitive advantages 02. Repsol Position
Leveraging sources of competitive advantage…
02. Repsol Position
Hydrogen consumption in Europe & Spain
-
- Capacity factor; Electrolyzer efficiency ~65%
-
- Market size estimated with 1.3 €/kg full grey (incl. capex) H2 production cost (assuming natural gas cost of 20 €MWh and excluding CO2 price) Source: IEA; Nexant
Ambition 03.
03. Ambition
Current ambition aligned with "Fit for 55" targets
2025 objective 2030 ambition
- Deployment of electrolyzer capacity in own refineries to develop experience and scale
- Developing H2 hubs around own sites
-
Participation in pilots with 3rd-parties to develop positioning and know-how in new applications
-
- SBR: Steam biomethane Reforming, renewable hydrogen production from biomethane
-
- Renewable Fuel of Non Biological Origin H2 and H2 derivatives (e.g. e-fuels)
-
Fit for 55 proposal strongly support renewable H2 development in Europe:
- Transport: 2.6% minimum quota of RFNBO3 for all transport modes and minimum quota of 0.7% of e-fuels used in aviation by 2030 (5% by 2035)
- Industry: 50% minimum share of renewable H2 used for final energy and non-energy purposes in industry
- Current H2 ambition in own-assets achieves minimum regulatory targets
- E-fuels plant to strengthen Repsol H2 position and increase market share in a highly synergetic long-term business line
- Third party volumes to cover additional industrial needs
1. Including the e-fuel pilot plant in Petronor
Business roadmap 04.
Key financial metrics
Note: Considers 20 years lifetime for each project since commissioning, and no terminal value; does not include overhead costs; H2 price estimated as cost of grey H2 production alternative (steam reforming) + CO2 cost + RED II green premium; e-fuel price estimated as diesel price alternative (including hydrocarbon taxes) + RED II green premium; amortization for projects with commissioning date before 2027 of 5 years, for other projects of 20 years; PPAs established before 2027 with high cost (+22€/MWh compared to the base cost of the PPAs signed afterwards) 16
-
Assumes sizing of 3.25 MW renewable generation capacity per MW of electrolyzer (70% of Renewables power generation is dedicated H2 production, with the rest fed to the grid); Gross capacity assumes 100% of renewables development in projects in which Repsol's stake is >=50%.
-
Renewables Capex assumptions: 2022-2025-> Solar: 595 €/kW Wind: 920€/kw.
Note 1: Capacities assume a 95% capacity factor;
Note 2: Equity share between 50% and 100% in projects deployed in Repsol refineries before 2025. Equity share for projects deployed in third-party assets in Spain of 50%. Equity share for international projects of 30%; 17
Production of e-fuels in Petronor
Development of worldwide reference plant to achieve commercial level and leading position in production of synthetic fuels
Investments:
Wind generation, electrolysis, e-fuels plant: €74 M
Production: 50 bbl/d
Partners
SUNRGYZE – Renewable H2 production technology
Repsol - Enagas partnership: technological development of disruptive and photoelectrocatalytic process for production of cost-competitive renewable hydrogen 100% renewable
- 100% CO2 reduction vs conventional hydrogen.
- Based on the direct conversion of solar energy into chemical energy
- Collaboration with different public and private entities
Co-funded by European Regional Development Funds (FEDER) and EU Innovation Fund
Spanish Hydrogen Network (SHYNE) Project
Repsol with great strengths to be the backbone of the Renewable Hydrogen roadmap and its sectoral integration, together with growing demand for H2 in the coming years, and the role played by the European Funds, will lead Spanish national project.
* Total CAPEX. Repsol's CAPEX is approximately 2,250 M€
Low Carbon Day
Investor Relations [email protected]
RepsolLowCarbonDay www.repsol.com
José Barreiro Executive Director of Mobility Iberia Siridia Berenguer Director of New Businesses BD
Low Carbon Day Customer Centric
Disclaimer
ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED © REPSOL, S.A. 2021
This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the "Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores" in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
Some of the figures included in this document are considered Alternative Performance Measures (APM) in accordance with the guidelines of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Further information on APMs (definition, purpose, reconciliation with financial statement figures) may be found on Repsol's corporate website.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.
The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the External Auditors of Repsol.
2
#RepsolLowCarbonDay
Building on a leadership position with a successful transformation track-record
Fuels
Lubes
Note: Market shares in volume except for P&G Spain, in customers. Values provided correspond to 2019 (Italy excluded). Operating and financial leases are included as expenses within Financials. (Graph) Growth presented as net growth from 2015 to 2019. Overhead costs not included
CCB EBITDA evolution (M€)
2015 2019
x1.4
Energy commercial business environment rapidly evolving underpinned by secular trends
01. Customer-centric: Introduction and Business overview
Global Trends
Decarbonization
Regulatory changes
Alternative (non-exclusive) mobility technologies
Consumption Trends
Digitalization
Increasing renewables sources & electrification
Fast technology evolution Requiring a global vision of their needs
New services and business models
Energy is in
More environmental & safety concern
Demanding more personalized treatment
The future is multi-energy, low carbon and customer oriented
Changes in consumer patterns post COVID
4
Multienergy
World-class digital
Customer centricity
Mobility leader in continuous transformation
Customer-Centric Business Strategy 2021-25 02. Customer-centric: Strategy and pillars
High-growth power customer business
5
2 M Repsol digital customers
Digital solutions to orchestrate customer-centric multi-energy approach across customer base 02. Customer-centric: Strategy and pillars
>8 M digital customers by 2025
Cross-sell multi-energy
7
Repsol is prepared to deliver differentiation and a more holistic offering
e-Mobility
Repsol e-Mobility holistic offering as a key competitive advantage vs competitors
Keeping our current status as the mobility service provider of choice
e-Mob @public areas
e-Mob @home
electricity @home
e-Mobility
Repsol is committed to develop a widespread, smart, convenientlylocated charging network in Iberia focused in fast and ultrafast chargers in main transport corridors
Ultra / Fast
public
2022
e-Mobility
A very synergistic business with attractive economics for Repsol
The economics of E-Mobility & home power consumption are even more attractive for Repsol than those of traditional mobility
More than double growth in enhancing contribution margin per customer
| 41 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Pago realizado 0/01/2020 |
||
| Tu pago en Repsol C/Méndez Álvaro 73 |
||
| Total de la compra | 35,00€ | |
| Saldo aplicado | $-10,00$ € | |
| Pagado | 25,00€ | |
Distributed Energy
Developing New Energy Services that allow to deliver customer's changing needs regarding distributed energy and energy management.
Distributed Energy
Solar selfconsumption solution
Solar communities product
Citizens' solar cooperatives
RECENT AWARDS:
Green Generation category
Innovation & Customer Experience category
Renewable Energy Category
Bringing local and renewable energy
producers and consumers together
+2,100 CO2 tons/year avoided by Solmatch's 2021 solar communities
Distributed Energy
+300
Solar installations in Repsol Service Stations
+180 Solmatch active solar communities
50 Solar cooperatives under negotiation
4Q21
Unique and integrated digital experience to facilitate the customer's relationship with energy
22
23
Payment and loyalty app for mobility management
Leading market share transport service Apps
Users in December 2021 Transactions per month
3 M
2.1x
Volume sales per customer HIT RATE CHURN
+7 p.p. Additional sales uplift in campaigns
Waylet
24
+1 .6 M
Waylet
Payment and discounts in strategic partners
Pre-order Convenience stores
Parkings
E-Mobility charging management
Pre-order Convenience stores
Way&Go buy in-store without cash
26
27
Pre-order Convenience stores
Way&Go buy in-store without cash
28
CO2 Offset
Way&Go buy in-store without cash
29
Payment and discounts in strategic partners
Pre-order Convenience stores Pick up - Delivery Loyalty program
Parkings
30
E-Mobility charging management
Waylet
Payment and discounts in strategic partners
Pre-order Convenience stores Pick up - Delivery Loyalty program
Parkings
Way&Go buy in-store without cash
31
E-Mobility charging management
Pre-order Convenience stores
Way&Go buy in-store without cash
CO2 Offset
Vivit
Home energy transition management
Customized functions to improve household consumption efficiency
Disaggregated information on appliance expenditure
Consumption comparisons of households with similar characteristics
Vivit
Decide the source of the energy you consume from renewable plants of your choice
Real -time information to adjust consumption habits accordingly
© Repsol, S.A.
NEW FEATURE
New Repsol.es Ecommerce
New Release Q4 '21
Repsol successfully leveraging digital to build customer-centric approach and create value
36
Customized solutions with a customer-centric approach
38
Customized multi-energy solutions for our clients
New Energy Services – Distributed generation
| Teléfono | Te decimos cómo conseguirlo | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 900 222 333 | ¿Te llamamos? | ||
39
New Energy Services – Distributed generation
Customized multi-energy solutions for our clients
Customized multi-energy solutions for our clients
41
New Energy Services – Distributed generation
Customized multi-energy solutions for our clients: Food Service Solution
42
Repsol +
Spain's first energy community
Launch date: 4Q21
Repsol +
Global loyalty program for Repsol clients
- Transversal vision of your energy
- Value -added services
- Customized offers according to customer needs
Digital. Multi-energy. Customer-centric.
Now.
45
46
"Satisfy any energy need in people's daily lives in the easiest and most agile way possible and in any area of their lives."
48
Unique opportunity to create value in the energy transition…
Leading energy customer business with sustainable competitive position
Advantaged and committed play on energy transition
Multi-energy & customer centricity approach
Strong track-record of customer management and digital capabilities
x1.4
… while increasing customer-centric businesses' EBITDA through energy transition
Including Traditional Mobility (Mobility Spain, Mobility Portugal. Mobility Italy, Mobility Mexico and Central Mobility); E-Mobility; LPG; Lubricants, Asphalts, International Aviation and Specialties; Power & Gas Retail. Energy Services businesses and P&G Central Costs and Customer-centric Business Overheads
EBITDA
Investor Relations [email protected]
RepsolLowCarbonDay www.repsol.com
Low Carbon Day
Low Carbon Day
Renewable Generation
João Paulo Costeira Executive Director of Low Carbon Generation
Disclaimer
ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED © REPSOL, S.A. 2021
This document, in addition to historical information, contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expect", "anticipate", "forecast", "believe", estimate" "target", "potential", "growth plan", "pipeline", "project", "will", "may", "should" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
The information in this document, including but not limited to forward-looking statements, applies only as of the date of this document and is not intended to give any assurances as to future results. Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements or any other information contained in this document even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realised.
Certain of the figures included in this document are considered Alternative Performance Measures (APM) in accordance with the guidelines of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Further information on APMs (definition, purpose, reconciliation with financial statement figures) may be found on Repsol's corporate website.
The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the external auditors of Repsol or any other third party. Repsol does not accept any responsibility whatsoever and makes no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, for the fairness, accuracy, completeness or verification of the information contained in this document. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on this information.
This document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any jurisdiction. In particular, this document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for shares in accordance with the provisions of Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23 of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations.
#RepsolLowCarbonDay
.
Introduction: Track record 01.
02.
Strategy: Fast-growth sustainable business model
- Strategic Guidelines
- Pipeline Characterisation
- Updated Targets
- Value addition & Targeted Returns
- Asset Rotation Rationale
03.
Deep dive in Delta I Project
Introduction Track record 01.
01. Introduction Track record
What we have achieved so far: over delivering on our targets
- Launch organic growth
- Build-up of a material portfolio of c.11 GW of wind and solar projects in Spain
- Build and put in operation pipeline
- 1.7 GW operational by YE 2021 with a clearly defined operating model
Create international platforms
- Developed platforms in US and Chile with over 30 GW of projects in different stages of development
- Develop capabilities
- Top talent hired from leading Renewables players and in-house top resources
1.7 GW Operating Capacity, 2021YE
4.7 GW Under construction, secured & high visibility projects
2501 Employees In renewables
20+ years experience
Management team
+20 GW
Development pipeline with potential COD2 <2025YE
+15,000 MW Developed Management team
(1) As of July 2021
(2) Commercial Operation Date
01. Introduction Track record
De-risking the ambition
Hecate acquisition
Differential element to achieve Repsol's long term objectives of generation capacity and internationalization of this business in one of the largest, fastest growing and most attractive markets at a relatively modest upfront capital commitment with significant option value and upside potential allowing Repsol to create a high growth renewable platform with strong development capabilities in the US
Step into the USA Renewable Energy Market to become an integrated developer and operating player
Represents the first step of Repsol into the US renewable market, complementing our Renewables' strategy and paving the way the construct a Repsol OpCo in the U.S.
Disciplined Acquisition of a minority stake (40%) of Hecate Energy, leading independent developer with a portfolio of more than 40 GW of utility-scale PV solar and battery storage projects in the U.S.
- Experienced and proven management team
- One of the largest, and regionally diversified, solar PV portfolios in the U.S.
- 16.8 GW pipeline (Early and mid term projects) and 4.3 GW Storage Capacity through Hecate Grid
Participation in the development (being able to influence and decide EPC and PPA before the transfer) phase while maintaining preferential position to build the Renewable position in the USA
- Access to Hecate pipeline (at Repsol sole discretion)
- Parallel incorporation of Repsol OpCo to develop, construct and operate new GW in USA
- Potential full acquisition in year 3 at Fair Market Value
Strategy: Fast growth sustainable business model 02.
02. Strategy: Fast-growth sustainable business model
Vision: To become a global leading integrated player in the renewable business targeting a size of 6 GW in 2025 and 20 GW by 2030 from a modest starting position
Integrated Model based on top capabilities
In line with the nature as an industrial company and supported by leading management team with robust track-record, the renewables business will be based on an integrated approach through the value chain based on top capabilities in operations and management
"Off-taker oriented" Growth with differentiated Energy Management
Based on forecast of consumption patterns we are defining our portfolio with an adequate energy mix and short development cycles to provide flexibility and different contracting solutions to our clients underpinned by Repsol's brand
Relevant Presence in OECD Targeted Markets
We target sizable presence in a few well-defined OECD countries to achieve low risk and operational efficiency
Asset Rotation
We will seek to capture the yield compression between the development stage and fully commercial and operational projects by selling down stakes to low cost of capital investors
Fast-growth sustainable business model
In line with our nature as an industrial company and supported by leading management team with robust track-record, the renewables business will be based on an integrated approach through the value chain based on top capabilities in operations and management
02. Strategy: Fast-growth sustainable business model
Supported by a sizeable and diversified pipeline of renewable projects …
1,7 0,6 4,1 6,0 36,5 48,9 2021YE Secured portfolio Renewables operating + pipeline capacity (GW) September 2021 Operating Projects 2021YE Under Construction & Secured Projects Highly Visible Projects Advanced Development Projects Early Stage Pipeline TOTAL PIPELINE
02. Strategy: Fast-growth sustainable business model
... Repsol was able to update the strategic growth targets
02. Strategy: Fast-growth sustainable business model
Value addition & Targeted returns: Strong capabilities through the value chain driving operational excellence resulting in superior value creation
| Double digit IRR |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De-risked Original Project IRR |
Development Project development |
Construction Energy & risk management |
Operations Engineering, procurement & construction |
Energy Management Structuring and financing |
Financing Operations |
Portfolio ManagementBest-in-class IRR Portfolio management |
Best-in-class IRR |
| De-risked unlevered IRR Unique access to early stage projects Internal energy assessment to de-risk projects |
Land and interconnection fees management Development of greenfield projects |
Ability to sign long term PPAs with utilities and C&I Strategy focused on customer needs Strong management of merchant risk and ancillary services Centralised market team with presence |
Economies of scale in the negotiation with EPC contractors |
Access to different debt and equity products at any point in time Optimized economic terms benefitting from Repsol banking relationships |
Predictive maintenance Repowering Asset life extension |
Rotation of stakes in selected projects to lower cost of capital investors, crystallizing value |
Repsol Renovables target return |
| in physical and financial markets |
Notes: EPC - Engineering, Procurement and Construction; HSE - Health, Safety and Environment; C&I – Corporates and Industrials
Asset Rotation
02. Strategy: Fast-growth sustainable business model
Rationale
Repsol will capture the yield compression between the development stage and fully commercial and operational projects by selling down stakes to low-cost-of-capital investors
Substantial value creation over small period of time in the asset life-cycle
Deep Dive in Delta I Project 03.
03. Deep dive in Delta I Project
Location & Main Highlights
Delta I Project
Young operating wind portfolio in Spain with 335 MW of installed capacity.
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Montetorrero | Aguasvivas | |
| Number of projects | 2 | 6 |
| COD1 | Feb-21 | Dec-20 – Mar-21 |
| Installed Capacity (MW) | 99 | 236 |
| Energy Production P50 (MWh) |
322,981 | 651,463 |
| Availability (%) | 97% | 97% |
| PPA2 | | |
Main highlights
- The wind portfolio includes 8 farms, with an installed capacity of 335 MW and fully operational since Mar-21. The portfolio is located in the Aragon region, a strategic area with abundant wind resources
- Cash flows are secured through PPAs with highly competitive and attractive terms and conditions, with Repsol as the main off-taker
- Wind farms in the Portfolio are in optimal conditions for hybridization with solar PV technology, estimated to be implemented by 2023
- Top-tier suppliers and service providers such as General Electric, Elecnor or Eiffage, among others
(2) Power Purchase Agreement
03. Deep Dive in Delta I Project
Safety & Environment: Working to protect the safety of the People and the Environment in every phase of each and all projects
Safety Measures examples
- Health and Safety Coordinator always on site to guarantee compliance with the Safety Plan and that the work is carried out with high safety standards
- Procedures for operational and risk control
- Control of protective equipment
- Emergency drills to be prepared for possible scenarios
Environment Measures examples
- Implementation of bird detection and deterrence systems to avoid collisions with aero-generators
- Biodiversity protection measure: reintroduction of Bonelli's eagle (a species in danger of extinction since 2005), in collaboration with the Biodiversity General Direction of the Government of Aragon and conservation associations
- Weekly monitoring of mortality and use of the birdlife space
- Restoration plan minimizing impact on flora
- Efficient control and management of waste, erosive processes and water regime
03. Deep Dive in Delta I Project
Project Characterization
Resource information
Project is located in a favourable resource area with higher equivalent hours than market average.
Net equivalent hours
Technical description
| 1 Montetorrero |
Cluster | 2 Aguasvivas Cluster |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COD | Dec-20 to Feb-21 | COD | Oct-20 to Jan-21 | ||||
| Number of plants |
2 | Number of plants | 6 | ||||
| Peak capacity (MW) | 98.8 | Peak capacity (MW) | 236.6 | ||||
| Substation | SET Montetorrero | Substation | SET Las Majas VII | ||||
| P50 Gross production | 322.5 GWh | P50 Gross production | 669.1 GWh | ||||
| Turbine type |
GE 130 | Turbine type |
GE130 | ||||
| Number of Turbines |
26 | Number of Turbines |
63 | ||||
| Turbine Manufacturer and O&M |
Turbine Manufacturer and O&M |
||||||
| EPC and BoP O&M |
EPC and BoP O&M |
||||||
| Asset Management and Market Access |
Asset Management and Market Access |
Strategy & Profitability 03. Deep Dive in Delta I Project
Strategy progress
To date, it has been fully funded with equity and shareholder loans granted by Repsol
Will be the first asset to fully implement this strategy
| Core decisions | Status | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA Origination | | |||||
| Project finance | In progress | |||||
| LCOE Opt. | | |||||
| Asset Rotation | In progress |
18
Low Carbon Day
Investor Relations [email protected]
RepsolLowCarbonDay www.repsol.com
LOW CARBON DAY
01. Introduction Track record
Repsol has, in a short time, grown to a substantial business supporting energy transition ambitions
Geographical footprint of Repsol Renewables
Source: Company information
Notes: (1) Greenfield projects with interconnection rights, including solar hybridization projects in wind portfolio
01. Introduction Track record
De-risking the ambition
Hecate acquisition
… allowing Repsol to create a high growth renewable platform with strong development capabilities in the US
Well-diversified footprint across the most attractive US energy markets…
Early and mid term projects Batteries 3.0 GWdc Solar PV 13.8 GWdc 16.8 GWdc
… and a strong track record developing and selling projects
Cumulative MW under negotiation PPA
Cumulative MW projects sold 1
4.834
Low Carbon Day
Low Carbon initiatives in Exploration: CCS
Mikel Erquiaga Director of Regional Exploration Eastern Hemisphere
Disclaimer
ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED © REPSOL, S.A. 2021
This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the "Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores" in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
Some of the figures included in this document are considered Alternative Performance Measures (APM) in accordance with the guidelines of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Further information on APMs (definition, purpose, reconciliation with financial statement figures) may be found on Repsol's corporate website.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.
The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the External Auditors of Repsol.
Our Starting Point
The Upstream Business in the Energy Transition context
02.
Sakakemang Project:
- Discovery & Appraisal
- CCS
- CCS (Carbon Pricing)
- CCS worldwide benchmark
- CCS Technical Assessment
01. Our Starting Point
01. Our Starting Point
The Upstream Business in the Energy Transition context
Repsol: First O&G Company to announce Net Zero commitment by 2050
Decreasing capital employed in conventional O&G exploration activities and geographically concentrated (2021-2025 Strategic Plan)
Exploration personnel skill sets in conventional O&G exploration activities is being re-converted to Low Carbon Exploration initiatives aligned with our Net Zero ambitions:
- Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) in the subsurface to abate CO2 emissions
- Exploration for Geothermal Resources to boost low CO2 energy generation (similar activity to (O&G Exploration)
- Hydrogen Storage to provide solution to buffer H2 production through storage in saline cavities in the subsurface
The expertise of our G&G workforce will be source of Competitive Advantage in the Energy Transition
02. Sakakemang Project
02. Sakakemang Project
Discovery & Appraisal
Sakakemang PSC: Kaliberau Dalam-2X Discovery (KBD-2X)
- Kaliberau Dalam-2X discovery well: February 2019
- Largest Gas discovery in Indonesia in the last decade (>2 TCF)
- Gas with high CO2 content (26%)
- New Greenfield Projects need to be Net Zero
- Appraisal campaign following the KBD-2X discovery:
- KBD-3X appraisal well (2020-2021) Completed
- Long Duration Test (LDT) on KBD-2X discovery Pressure monitoring in KBD-3X (2021) – Ongoing
- Objectives of appraisal program: confirm the volumes associated to the discovery and confirm connectivity between KBD-2X & 3X
- Volumes of CO2 directly related to discovered volumes of gas
02. Sakakemang Project:
CCS
- Development of a 2TCF gas discovery & simultaneous CCS
- First CCS project deployed by Repsol and First in Indonesia.
- Among largest CCS projects worldwide today (only 6 CCS projects operating).
- Storage will commence in 2027 and will be done in two depleted gas fields of Corridor PSC contract (Gelam & Dayun).
- Main Challenges:
- Regulatory Framework, but the MEMR in Indonesia has already created a Task Force with the objective to have CCS regulation in place by the end of 2021.
- Financial: cost carried by partners, but captured & stored CO2 could be subject of further trading.
CCS (Carbon Pricing) 02. Sakakemang Project:
02. Sakakemang Project:
CCS worldwide benchmark
Today only 6 true CCS projects worldwide
10
02. Sakakemang Project:
CCS Technical Assesment
Low Carbon Day
Investor Relations [email protected]
RepsolLowCarbonDay www.repsol.com
Low Carbon Day
Repsol decarbonization pathway: metrics & targets
Luis Cabra
EMD Energy Transition, Sustainability & Technology Deputy CEO
Disclaimer
ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED © REPSOL, S.A. 2021
This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the "Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores" in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.
Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.
Some of the figures included in this document are considered Alternative Performance Measures (APM) in accordance with the guidelines of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). Further information on APMs (definition, purpose, reconciliation with financial statement figures) may be found on Repsol's corporate website.
This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.
The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the External Auditors of Repsol.
| Decarbonization is in Repsol's DNA | ZRF by 2030 World Bank |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Repsol's 1st Climate Position |
1st Carbon Strategy |
1st GHG emissions verification under ISO 14064-1 standard |
1st 'employees' variable remuneration linked to GHG reduction |
OGMP 1st Global Sustainability Plan |
CII reduction targets (w/ Scope 3) 2020: 3% 2040: 40% |
SP2021-2025 (w/ reinforced decarb pathway) 3rd GHG emissions reduction plan 2021-2025 |
||||||||||
| 2002 | 2003 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | Dec 2019 |
Nov 2020 |
|
| 1st O&G to support the Kyoto Protocol |
1st GHG Emissions Reduction Plan 2006-2013 |
Repsol Clean Energy Ventures created |
1st Capital Market Sustainability Day 2nd GHG Emissions Reduction Plan |
Support Paris Agreement. Paris Pledge for Action Board Sustainability Committee OGCI |
Methane Guiding Principles Internal carbon pricing 1st O&G company issuing a green bond |
1st O&G company to 2050 |
commit to NZE Decarbonization pathway with interim targets |
Credibility and engagement with ESG Stakeholders
Leading ESG company
(1) More than 400 companies included in the average
(2) Non-financial information in annual Integrated Management Report to Repsol's AGM
Global Oil and Gas average (1)
36.2%
Repsol's institutional shares managed by ESG investors…
16%
vs
Top grade (2020)
Top grade (2020)
ESG rating - 1st quintile (2021)
(Integrated O&G 2021)
2/47- ESG Risk Rating Ranking
(3) Mandatory reporting in IMR 2021 for taxonomy eligible activities, in IMR 2022 for taxonomy aligned activities
(4) Mandatory reporting in 2022 for financial entities
A science-based decarbonization pathway and methodology: a package of KPI's with CII and more…
Carbon Intensity Indicator (CII) as key KPI
- Scope 3 based on primary energy
- In-house "substitution method" for renewables to account just for actual emissions avoided
-
Interim CII targets, including short term (2020-2025-2030-2040)
-
Other specific KPIs and targets: CO2/barrel E&P, hydrogen & bio volumes, renewable GW, …
- Transparent additional reporting as requested to allow homogeneous benchmarking vs. peers
Carbon Intensity indicator reduction target [gCO2/MJ]
What more do our ESG stakeholders request?
Push (profitable) decarbonization to the limits
Metrics and targets
- Absolute emissions
- More detailed long-term scenario analysis
- Scope 3 methodology
- "Avoided" emissions
Capital allocation to low-carbon
Reinforced climate governance
What may our ESG stakeholders expect from us? (I)
Metrics & Targets
A further reinforced decarbonisation pathway (CII), supported by business ambition
- Renewable H2
- Renewable power generation
New absolute emissions targets 2030 and methane
- Scope 1+2 operated
- Scope 1+2+3 (net, equity)
- Methane emissions intensity E&P
More, better reporting
- Scenario analysis details
- Continue delivering on our reporting roadmap milestones
- Proactive participation: SBTi, Net Zero Standard for O&G (IIGCC), benchmarks (CA100+, …)
- CII based on sales
What may our ESG stakeholders expect from us? (II)
Metrics & targets: scenario analysis
What may our ESG stakeholders expect from us? (III)
Metrics & targets: further reinforced decarbonization path (CII)
What may our ESG stakeholders expect from us? (IV)
New metrics & targets: absolute emissions New metrics & targets:
New target: 55% reduction operated emissions (scope 1+2) by 2030 New target: 30% reduction net emissions (scope 1+2+3) by 2030
methane intensity*
Reduction 2025 vs 2017 (%)
* Operated methane emissions / marketed gas (% v/v)
What may our ESG stakeholders expect from us? (V)
Climate governance & Capital allocation
Further reinforced climate governance
- The Board to submit climate strategy and targets to an advisory vote in the 2022 AGM
- Updated Association evaluation and report (July 2021)
Capital allocation
- In-house methodology for capex alignment guidance
- In place since 2021 (as committed Dec.2019)
- Internal carbon price (Carbon incentive for new investments )
* Based on EU ETS projections. For other regulated markets that may evolve, a similar methodology would be applied
Summary: Renewed decarbonization ambition
Carbon Intensity Indicator reduction targets [gCO2/MJ] Absolute emissions reduction (%)
Methane intensity reduction 2025 vs 2017 (%) Reporting, Governance, Capital allocation
- Scenario analysis, benchmarkable metrics
- Advisory vote on climate strategy in the 2022 AGM
- Higher internal carbon price for new investments
* Operated methane emissions / marketed gas (% v/v)
Low Carbon Day
Investor Relations [email protected]