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Repsol S.A. Investor Presentation 2020

Oct 29, 2020

1881_rns_2020-10-29_ce47127f-3f65-4321-889e-85d74eb9f537.pdf

Investor Presentation

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REPSOL CONFERENCE CALL

Third Quarter 2020 Results

Josu Jon Imaz, CEO

29 October 2020

Disclaimer

ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED

© REPSOL, S.A. 2020

This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward-looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol's financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words "expects", "anticipates", "forecasts", "believes", estimates", "notices" and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol's control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the "Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores" in Spain and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.

Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.

This document mentions resources which do not constitute proved reserves and will be recognized as such when they comply with the formal conditions required by the system "SPE/WPC/AAPG/SPEE/SEG/SPWLA/EAGE Petroleum Resources Management System"(SPE-PRMS) (SPE – Society of Petroleum Engineers).

In October 2015, the European Securities Markets Authority (ESMA) published its Guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures (APMs). The guidelines apply to regulated information published on or after 3 July 2016. The information and breakdowns relative to the APMs used in this presentation are updated quarterly on Repsol´swebsite.

This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, pursuant to the provisions of the Royal Legislative Decree 4/2015 of the 23rd of October approving the recast text of the Spanish Securities Market Law and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer to purchase, sell, or exchange, neither a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction.

The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the External Auditors of Repsol.

Index

01. Market environment

02. Key messages

03. Operational highlights

04. Financial results

05. Resilience Plan 2020 delivery and outlook

Market environment

Higher oil and gas prices, challenging refining environment

Strong cash performance demonstrates strength of Resilience Plan

Strong CFFO in very challenging scenario

Resilience Plan delivering ahead of targets

Delivered shareholder remuneration commitments

COVID-19 impacting business performance

  • CFFO 3Q20: €1.3 Bn (vs. €0.9 Bn in 1H20)
  • Organic FCF 3Q20: €0.8 Bn (€0.5 Bn in Upstream division)
  • On track to surpass the €2.2 Bn of targeted savings in 2020
  • Net Debt: €3.3 Bn (-€649 M vs. June). On track to achieve main financial objective of Resilience Plan
  • Canceled shares issued with 2020 scrips
  • Share capital reduction executed in October (99 M shares]
  • Upstream: operations adapted to market environment
  • Refining: negative margin indicator but positive premium
  • Commercial and Renewables: increased contribution to cash and results
  • Continue progress in Energy Transition
  • First biojet producer in Spain
  • Approval for new advanced fuels plant in Cartagena

Operational highlights

Upstream: adapting operations to current environment

Upstream production

(kboed)

Libya restarted production on October 11th after the force majeure was lifted in El Sharara. Currently producing ~160,000 bpd (gross).

Industrial: challenging Refining, resilient Chemicals

Refining

Repsol assets remain among most competitive in Europe

  • Middle-distillate spreads at narrowest level in more than 20 years
  • All refineries under operation. Runrates in line with 2Q20
  • 1.8 \$/bbl premium over refining margin indicator

Chemicals

Resilient through COVID-19 crisis

  • International margins impacted in 3Q20 by recovery of naphtha price
  • Feedstock advantage for flexible crackers (wider naphtha-propane spread in 3Q20)
  • Increased demand for packaging and healthcare compensating impact to other sectors and applications

Further progress in the decarbonization of industrial operations

1 st batch of biojet

Repsol produces in Puertollano airplane biofuel for the first time in Spain:

  • First 7,000 tons of aviation fuel made from biomass (save 440 tons of CO2 emissions)
  • Production to be extended to other Repsol facilities in Spain
  • Low-Carbon fuels for industries where alternatives like electrification are not viable today

FID for advanced biofuels plant

Repsol to build Spain's first low emissions advanced biofuels plant in Cartagena:

  • Capacity of 250,000 tons/y of hydrobiodiesel, biojet, bionaphtha, and biopropane
  • Will produce advanced biofuels from recycled raw materials
  • Enables the reduction of 900,000 tons/y of CO2 emissions
  • Start-up in 1H 2023. €188 M investment

Commercial and Renewables: higher contribution despite investing phase

  • Mobility Sales in Service Stations -13% 3Q20 vs. 3Q19
  • Gasoline and diesel demand recovery: ~10% below 2019 level in September
  • Kerosene demand remains weak: ~74% below 2019 level in September

• International expansion supports solid performance

Electricity and Gas

  • Retail growth continues in competitive environment
  • Delta wind farm: supplies first MWh
  • 335 MW installed capacity
  • 1 TWh/y production
  • 300 M€ CAPEX
  • Chile JV: agreement with Ibereolica closed in October

Source: CLH

Financial results

3Q20 and 9M20 Results

Results (€ Million) Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2019 9M 2020 9M 2019
Upstream 51 (141) 218 0 864
Industrial (67) 8 223 229 671
Commercial and Renewables 169 4
2
153 332 418
Corporate and Others (146) (167) (72) (365) (316)
Adjusted Net Income 7 (258) 522 196 1,637
Net Income (94) (1,997) 333 (2,578) 1,466
Financial data (€ Million) Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2019 9M 2020 9M 2019
EBITDA 882 240 1,597 1,471 5,309
EBITDA CCS 828 641 1,764 2,924 5,386
Operating Cash Flow 1,258 268 1,544 2,122 4,074
Net Debt 3,338 3,987 3,836

Resilience Plan delivering above original targets

Self-financed Resilience Plan 2020 expected to exceed the €2.2 Bn of initially targeted cash savings

Net debt as of September already in line with the end of 2019

Reinforced liquidity position in 3Q20

Original target 9M20 captured New 2020 estimate
Opex
savings
€350 M > €350 M €500 M
Capex savings €1,000 M ~ €1,000 M €1,200 M
WC optimization €800 M > €400 M €700 M
  • €3.3 Bn Net Debt (in line with €4.2 Bn at the end of 2019, excluding €0.9 Bn impact of hybrid bonds transactions)
  • €850 M Eurobond issuance (settled in October) achieved Repsol's lowest interest rate
  • Liquidity covers debt maturities until 2036 and 3.3x short-term gross debt maturities

Outlook Updated FY2020 outlook

Production 640-645 kboed
Libya producing from 4Q20
Refining Margin
Indicator
2.2-2.5 \$/bbl
Uncertain demand recovery
Net debt ≤ €3.3 Bn
In line with 2019 with the positive effect
of hybrid bonds transactions of 2Q20
Energy
Transition
-3% Carbon
Intensity Indicator

vs. 2016 baseline
-2.1 Mton
CO2

from 2014

Outlook

New Strategic Plan 2021-2025

Repsol's Capital Markets Day

(Thursday 26 November)

Strategic progress despite negative impact of COVID-19

Delivering on the objectives of Resilience Plan 2020

Strong cash performance and net debt reduction in 3Q20

  • Prioritizing health, safety and continuity of operations
  • On track to surpass the €2.2 Bn cash savings objective in 2020
  • CFFO in 3Q20 > 1H20 despite challenging scenario
  • Net Debt at €3.3 Bn in-line with year-end objective
  • Leveraged on portfolio flexibility and financial strength
  • New 5-year Strategic Plan to transform Repsol
  • More profitable and competitive
  • Repsol's Capital Markets Day on November 26th
    • Electricity + low carbon fuels
  • Dual future of energy
  • Projects in industrial complexes Bilbao, Puertollano and Cartagena
  • Contribution from all forms of decarbonization to accelerate Energy Transition

REPSOL CONFERENCE CALL

Third Quarter 2020 Results

Repsol Investor Relations [email protected]