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REN-Redes Energeticas Nacionais

Investor Presentation Mar 24, 2022

1903_iss_2022-03-24_6c6aa7c0-e142-4f65-af33-94a8e652a02f.pdf

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Results Presentation

th March 2021

AGENDA

1. Overview of the period

2021-2024 Strategic Plan execution & 3. Outlook

1. Overview of the period

KEY MESSAGES 2021

EBITDA achieved €460.8M, a decline of 2.0% YoY. This result was driven by: (1) the reduction in both RAB and remuneration rates(-€3.4M); (2) a decline in IREI (Incentive for Economic Efficiency of Investment) of -€5.1M and (3) a negative contribution from OPEX, due to higher electricity costs.

International business performance improved by +€0.1M, due to the strong performance of Transemel (+€1.4M).

Net Profit reached €97.2M (a decline of 11.1% versus 2020), mostly due to a lower EBITDA and an increase in Income Tax, partially compensated by higher financial results (gain of €4.2M to -€42.6M).

Capex increased by €73.8M (vs €173.3M in 2020), while transfers to RAB soared to €309.1M, an increase of €229.5M, as a result of the electricity transmission business (+€208.6M). Strong consolidation of transfers as 2020 had several projects delayed due to the pandemic.

Definition of renewed and ambitious ESG targets, with a commitment to achieve carbon neutrality by 2040. Issuance of REN's first green bond.

Renewable energy sources (RES) reached 59.2% of total supply (approx.+0.7pp than in 2020). Electricity consumption increased by 1.4% whilst natural gas consumption fell by 4.6% due to a decrease in natural gas use for electricity generation (-9.7%).

The levels of service quality remained high. The level of energy transmission losses stayed in accordance with the figure for the previous year and in line with other TSOs best practices, while the gas transmission combined availability rate reached almost 100%.

SECTOR OVERVIEW

New Regulatory Model for the Electricity Sector

ERSE published the final "Tariffs and Prices for Electricity in 2022 and parameters for 2022-2025 regulatory period", on the 15th December.

A new regulatory model is defined with a revenue cap methodology applied to the controllable TOTEX of electricity transmission. However, assets pre-2022 are still eligible under the previous reference cost mechanism methodology

New regulatory period for the electricity sector

  • (keeping the 0.75% premium over Base RoR and still recording the corresponding asset D&A recovery and the gain on RAB as revenue). The regulator defined the Rate of Return applicable to the next regulatory period 2022-2025 with a base rate of 4.4%, considering 0.302% for the Portuguese 10Y Treasury bonds. Under the indexation mechanism a variation of 1 pp of the Portuguese
  • For the years 2023 to 2025, the efficiency factor for both TEE and GGS activities are set to 1.5%.

10YTB implies a variation of 0.3 pp in the RoR. The minimum is set at 3.7% and the maximum at 7%.

  • ERSE introduced two new incentive mechanisms:
    • Incentive to Improve Technical Performance (IMDT) Promotion of an adequate network performance, based on performance metrics and ranging between -€20M to +€20M. Not to be included in the Efficiency Sharing Mechanism
    • Efficiency Sharing Mechanism a mechanism under which the positive or negative spread from the defined reference return is shared / recovered at the end of the regulatory period (cumulative sharing ratios 0%; 50% and 100% as the spread grows).

New National Electricity System Law

Following the government's public consultation which ended in November 2021, the new Law-Decree n.º 15/2022 was published on the 14th of January 2022, regarding the organization and functioning rules of the National Electricity System (SEN). The new law acts on five axes: i) production licensing; ii) network planning; iii) competitive mechanisms to access SEN activities; iv) giving consumers an active role in the system; and v) allowance to innovative technologies.

Energy Transition

REN applied to the Portuguese Recovery and Resilience Plan (PRR) and had two projects selected for the final phase: (i) the H2 Green Valley project, for the development of a Green H2 ecosystem in Sines, and (ii) the High Power Mobility project, for implementation of 8 pilot projects using the solution for electric charging through the Transmission Grid patented by REN.

REN projects have an estimated total investment of €52M (of which €37.5M to be made by REN) and €23M (of which €13.5M to be made by REN), respectively. Final Proposals will be submitted at the beginning of April 2022.

Following the impacts of the pandemic, the European Commission created the Next Generation EU, a recovery instrument, from which the Recovery and Resilience Facility is developed, which includes the PRR.

2. Business performance

BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS

High quality of service in Portugal, in a context of increasing electricity consumption and greater share of renewables supply

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Solid contribution from Financial Results and strong improvement in CAPEX and Net Debt, nonetheless EBITDA and Net Profit decreased

Decline in EBITDA mostly due to lower RAB remuneration and decrease in IREI incentive

EBITDA evolution breakdown €M

recovery, subsidies amortization, REN Trading incentives, telecommunication sales and services rendered, interest on tariff deviation, consultancy revenues and other services provided, OMIP and Nester results | 3 Excludes the segment "Other", which includes REN SGPS,

REN Serviços, REN Telecom, REN Trading, REN PRO and REN Finance B.V. | 4 Refers to Portgás

EBITDA contribution by business segment3 %

DOMESTIC BUSINESS

Slight reduction of Base Return on RAB, driven by the descendent trend in the Portuguese bond yields

Portuguese 10Y Treasury Bond Yields % Base Return on RAB (RoR)* %

DOMESTIC BUSINESS

Electricity Gas Transportation

Strong consolidation of Transfers to RAB and Capex YoY

Gas Distribution

Capex €M

Key highlights

Electricity

Main investment projects

  • New 400 kV Fundão Falagueira axis through the extension of the current Falagueira - Castelo Branco line to Fundão and construction of a new 400/200kV substation;
  • Passage at 400 kV of the Falagueira Estremoz Divor Pegões axis, allowing, among others, the supply of electricity to the railway line between Évora and Elvas / Caia;
  • 400 kV axis between Vieira do Minho Ribeira de Pena-Feira: new axis will allow the connection and reception of capacity of Alto Tâmega hydroelectric power plant;

Gas Transmission

Main investment projects

  • Carriço Storage: Water Firefighting System upgrade;
  • Pipeline Network and Sines Terminal: replacement and upgrade of equipment and systems at the end-of-life;

Gas Distribution

  • Investments in network expansion and densification, mostly for B2C, with new prospects for B2B investments continuing to be monitored, counting with 60 more clients connected in 2021;
  • Licensing of one big project with Capex execution in 2022 (Paredes de Coura).

DOMESTIC BUSINESS Slight decrease in RAB, partially offset by the improvement in Electricity

Average RAB evolution €M

2. Business performance

Return on RAB evolution breakdown €M

DOMESTIC BUSINESS

  • Electricity Change in asset mix 43.85 43.27 -0.28 With premium 54.65 Asset base evolution 0.73 99.85 Without premium RoR evolution -1.80 98.50 Return on RAB 2020 56.58 Return on RAB 2021 -€1.36M (-1.4%)
    • Return on RAB drop caused by a lower rate of return on assets with and without premium1 despite a higher asset base (increased by €13.0M to €2,013.0M)
  • Decline in Return on RAB justified by a smaller asset base (by €34.7M to a total of €910.8M) and a lower RoR of 4.52% (-4bps)
  • Return on RAB reduction attributed to a lower rate of return (from 4.76% to 4.72%) despite a higher asset base (+€1.8M to a total of €473.4M)

RAB remuneration decreased across all businesses driven by a lower RoR

DOMESTIC BUSINESS

OPEX increased by 10.4% YoY, with core OPEX rising 5.2%

Core OPEX1 evolution €M

Key highlights

Core external costs

  • Electricity costs in LNG terminal (+€5.0M)
  • Insurance costs (+€1.8M)

Non-core costs

Pass-through costs (costs accepted in the tariff) increased by €9.0M, of which €5.8M correspond to the acquisition of necessary gas attached to the launch of the organized gas market in Iberia (Mibgás), and €2.3M in costs with cross-border and system services costs

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

Contribution to EBITDA 2021 €M

Improvement in Transemel's contribution to EBITDA off-setting Electrogas slight decline

9.2 International Transemel (100%) 9.2 3.7 3.7 12.1 12.1

0.0

N/A

N/A

Electrogas (42.5%)

Transemel, Chile

Key highlights

Revenues increased YoY reflecting the conclusion of expansion projects in 2020 and 2021

2020: €6.8M €8.2M €1.4M

EBITDA

(19.8%)

Electrogas, Chile

EBITDA decreased YoY, due to lower revenues (lower tariff and lower transported volume)

Solid Financial Results, reflecting the downward trend in cost of debt

(8.9%)

Effective tax rate reached 44.9%, a 4.9 p.p. increment relatively to 2020 (including the levy).

which grew by €7.2M to €52.1M.

Increase in the effective tax rate vs 2020 reflecting the different recovery of previous years taxes (€5.6M) versus 2021 (€2.4M).

Net Profit Δ Depreciation

2020

Net Profit declined mostly due to a lower EBITDA and an increase in Income Tax, partially compensated by higher financial results and lower CESE

Δ Income tax (excl. CESE)

Net Profit 2021

-0.8 -7.2 1.1 109.2 4.2 -9.3 97.2 -€12.1M (-11.1%) Net profit evolution breakdown €M Key highlights

Δ EBITDA Δ Financial Δ CESE

results

  • The Positive effect of €4.2M from Financial Results as a consequence of better financial conditions and higher dividends from associates (Δ€1.2M)
  • Lower charge by CESE (Δ€- 1.1M), reflecting the asset base reduction
  • Decrease in tax recovery from previous years (Δ€-3.2M)

Net Debt improvement due to a higher operating cash flow and tariff deviations overtaking the outflows of investment and financing activities

1 Calculated as Net Debt plus Cash, bank deposits and derivative financial instruments (€404M), excluding effects of hedging on yen denominated debt, accrued interest and bank overdrafts | 2 Includes loans (5.2%) and leasing (0.2%)

SHARE PRICE & SHAREHOLDER RETURN

REN's share close the year with a TSR of 15.5% remarkably above the sector

Analyst recommendations1

Average
Price
target
€2.55 €0.23
(8.3%)
2020: €2.78

3. 2021 -24 Strategic Plan execution & Outlook

STRATEGIC PLAN EXECUTION

In 2021, REN was able to deliver according to the 2021-24 strategic guidelines

Strategic guidelines
2021-24
Key achievements during 2021
Investment growth
story, delivering

Presentation
of
the
Development
and
Investment
Plans
for
the
Portuguese
electricity
and
gas
for
the
2022-2031
period
transmission
infrastructure
network
superior service quality (from
€173M
to
€247M),
mostly
driven
by
the
domestic

Increase
of
REN's
capex
by
c.
43%
Vs.
2020
electricity
transmission
segment
Maintenance
of
levels,
with
an
average
of
0.05
min
of
electricity
interruption
time

high
service
quality
and
99.9%
of
combined
availability
rate
in
the
natural
gas
infrastructure
ESG highest standard
Definition
of
renewed
and
ambitious
ESG
targets,
with
a
commitment
to
achieve
carbon
neutrality
by
2040
Issuance
of

REN's
first
green
bond

Establishment
of
a
Sustainability
Committee
within
the
Board
of
Directors
Solid financials
and sustainable
shareholder returns

Improvement
of
REN's
credit
rating
outlook
from
to
by
Fitch
and
from
to
Negative
Stable
Stable
by
Moody's
Positive
  • Maintenance of credit metrics consistent with an investment grade credit rating in all three major rating agencies – Moody's, Fitch and S&P
  • Delivery on all business plan targets, surpassing net debt and capex targets

STRATEGIC PLAN TARGETS

During 2021, REN has successfully met its 2021-24 Business Plan targets

  1. Capex at total costs (including capitalized own works); Includes Transemel's organic capex A: Actuals; BP: Business Plan

4. Shaping a sustainable future

HIGHEST ESG STANDARDS

REN is strongly committed with Sustainability and has set ambitious targets

Environmental

-50% CO2 emissions

Carbon neutral by 2040

Targets Achievements

by 2030 vs. 2019 Climate | REN received a Gold Standard for the implementation of a program to quantify and reduce methane emissions from the OGMP 2.0

Reforestation | In 2021, reforestation of 723 ha of right of way passages with native species

Mobility | 28% of REN's fleet is electrified

Disclosing on CDP Climate Change since 2010

>1/3 of women in 1st line management positions by 2030

Increasing ESG weight in managers' performance metrics already by 2022

100% of new bond emissions to be green

Gender Equality | 28% of women in management positions

Social initiatives | REN promotes the oldest scientific award in Portugal, Prémio REN, and has carried this work to the African countries with Portuguese as the Official Language

Performance | New ambitious ESG metrics established Green financing | In 2021, REN issued its first green bond

Recognized commitment for 2 years in a row

Green bond framework certified by ISS

HIGHEST ESG STANDARDS

Good performance in international ESG scores but with ambition to do more

MSCI ESG Rating ISS ESG

Assessment of resilience to long-term ESG risks, REN demonstrated strong efforts on Biodiversity & Land use relative to peers, and on average scoring on Corporate Governance relative to global peers

Rating CSA Score Sustainalytics ESG Rating

  • Measurement of a company's exposure to industry-specific material ESG risks and how well a company is managing those risks
  • REN demonstrated low risk, which is aligned with the ratings received by peers and above sector average

Assessment of sustainability performance, based on specific criteria for each industry. REN ranked very high on transparency level

  • Evaluation of sustainability practices, incl. management of ESG risks and future performance potential
  • REN overall rating in line with industry peers, but higher in selected dimensions such as Social reporting, Climate strategy and Environmental reporting

5. Closing remarks

CLOSING REMARKS

Fully committed to deliver solid results and sustainable returns

EBITDA of €460.8M a decrease of 2% YoY, mostly due to a lower RAB remuneration, decrease in IREI incentive and a negative contribution from OPEX, due to higher electricity costs.

Net Profit amounted to €97.2M (-11.1%) driven by the decrease in EBITDA and a higher income tax, partially offset by the increase in financial results.

Significant Net Debt improvement due to a higher operating cash flow and tariff deviations. Solid Financial Results, reflecting the downward trend in cost of debt.

Strong consolidation of Transfers to RAB and Capex versus 2020 as a result of the reduction in pandemic hurdles, focusing on the energy transition process.

The Board of Directors will propose, at the General Shareholders' Meeting on April 28, the payment of a dividend of 15.4 cents per share, in line with the revised dividend policy for the 2021-24 cycle.

On 15th of December, ERSE released the Tariffs and Prices for Electricity for 2022, as well as the parameters for the regulatory period of 2022-2025. The Electricity framework moved to a TOTEX model and specific incentives rationale, it was extended to 4 years from 3 years, base RoR set at 4.4% (implied 10y PGB yields of 0.302%). REN believes these regulatory changes do not compromise the targets presented at the 2021-24 Strategic Plan.

Appendix 1 - Regulation

REGULATION

The electricity segment is now mainly TOTEX based and benefits from specific incentives

REN's domestic allowed revenues breakdown

  1. €/ km of network and €/ MVA connected by producer; 2. Equivalent interruption time (TIE: Tempo de Interrupção Equivalente), Network and equipment availability (TCD: Taxa combinada de disponibilidade) and Interconnection capacity 3. Underlying RAB evolution for the period was forecasted by the regulator (ERSE) based on the approved investment plan

REGULATION

Transparent and stable return mechanism

REGULATION - ELECTRICITY

Revenue Cap for TOTEX and additional revenues coming from incentives

Transmission
Regulatory
Model
2018-21
2022-251
Transmission
Regulatory
Model
(next
slide)
Recovery of IREI Incentive Other CAPEX3
(RoR, D&A)
IMDT incentive
Efficiency sharing
mechanism
Return on Assets
and D&A
Recovey
Opex Total
Revenues
Revenue Cap for
TOTEX
The
incentive
may take
positive
IMDT
or
negative
values
Total
Revenues
Promotion of

Capex efficiency
through the
Reference Costs
mechanism and
the RoR
with
premium
Opex
Revenue

Cap subject to
RPI evolution
and efficiency
target
Promotion of an

adequate
network
performance
and an efficient
management of
fully
depreciated
assets
Amount to cover

return on assets
(RAB x RoR),
D&A recovery
and Opex
recovery

Based on volume
drivers with a
global efficiency
Mechanism under
Promotion of an


which positive or
adequate
negative spread
network
from the defined
performance
reference return is
shared / recovered
from consumers
(only applies to the
Revenue Cap for
TOTEX)

yields)
Allowed revenue evolving w/ Capex execution (indexed to 10y PGB Fixed allowed revenue (indexed to 10y PGB yields and volume drivers)

o Allowed revenue evolving annually in line with the investments performed by REN and approved by ERSE

o The yearly allowed revenues were converted into an annual equivalent value

o Allowed revenues, estimated for the whole regulatory period, considering ERSE's assumptions regarding REN's capex2

  1. Only applicable to activities concerning the management and operation of the transmission network. The regulatory framework applicable to system management activities remains in line with the Regulatory Model 2018-21 (with updated parameters: eg, RoR, Revenue cap for Opex, etc). | 2. REN's yearly allowed revenues were estimated considering REN's historical asset base (for assets pre-2022) with RoR premium and REN's future investments with a favorable opinion from ERSE (for assets post-2021); 3. There is room for additional exceptional investments not included in the base TOTEX if accepted by ERSE.

REGULATION - ELECTRICITY

Allowed revenue evolution and drivers

The revised regulatory model comprises three major building blocks: i) Revenue cap for TOTEX; ii) Incentives; and iii) Efficiency sharing mechanism

New Regulatory Model1

Return on Assets
pre-2022
(RAB x RoR)
Assets without premium: Base RoR set at 4.4%
RoR indexed to 10Y PGB yields
X
Assets with premium: 0.75bp premium over RoR

Asset base evolution used by the
regulator to estimate REN's returns
E
T
O
Return on Assets
post-2021
(RAB x RoR)

Assets without premium: Base RoR set at 4.4%
T
or
f
p
Premium over RoR and RAB no longer applicable to new investments.

However, due to TOTEX model, potential upside on capex optimization
a
C
e
u
n
e
v
e
R
D&A Recovery
pre-2022
D&A from the exercise and gain on D&A of RAB at reference costs

recorded as revenue
Fixed amount over 2022-25
D&A recovery
post-2021

Annual D&A for assets post-2021 and Opex recovered as a sole
component (concept of "Revenue cap" for Opex no longer exists)
75% is fixed and 25% is variable2
Opex recovery
RPI –X type evolution with -
1.5% X factor
+
Incentives The IMDT incentive ranges from -
€20 M to + €20 M, depending on the value achieved by REN in each of the 3

performance indicators: (i) Network and equipment availability, (ii) Equivalent interruption time, and (iii) Achievement of
European interconnection capacity target
+

Efficiency sharing
mechanism
(detailed
Sharing mechanism through which, at the end of the regulatory cycle, deviations from the defined reference return are
shared with consumers
next slide)
The sharing mechanism is applicable to the Revenue Cap base for TOTEX and excludes IMDT
  1. Only applicable to activities concerning the management and operation of the transmission network. The regulatory framework applicable to system management activities remains in line with the Regulatory Model 2018-21 (with updated parameters: eg, RoR, Revenue cap for Opex, etc).| 2. The variable component depends on €/ km of network and €/ MVA connected by producer

REGULATION - ELECTRICITY

Spread between efficiency performance and reference return is progressively shared with consumers

Description Calculation Efficiency sharing mechanism

  • At the end of the regulatory cycle, REN's actual outperformance or underperformance under TOTEX is measured against a reference rate of return. The sum of the differences of the period is shared with consumers, under certain conditions
    • o Reference return: Set as the related asset weighted average of the yearly RoR with and without premium. Evolves with 10Y PGB yields
    • o REN's TOTEX yearly outperformance or underperformance: Actual TOTEX yearly margin of the period divided by the actual RAB value
  • Efficiencies are calculated after the end of the regulatory period and shared during the next one (recovered or paid back gradually over 2027-2029)
  • Efficiencies are shared progressively depending on the efficiencies level band, which establishes the sharing of 0%, 50% or 100%

Sharing mechanism band, % shared with consumers

  • IMDT incentive
  • Reference cost mechanism incentive (2009-21) allowances
  • Additional exceptional investments which are not included in the base TOTEX
  • Non-controllable costs and other costs not subject to efficiency

This presentation and all materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation do not constitute, or form part of, a public offer, private placement or solicitation of any kind by REN, or by any of REN's shareholders, to sell or purchase any securities issued by REN and its purpose is merely of informative nature and this presentation and all materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation may not be used in the future in connection with any offer in relation to securities issued by REN without REN's prior consent.

Visit our web site at : www.ren.pt

or contact us:

Madalena Garrido – Head of IR Alexandra Martins Telma Mendes José Farinha

Av. EUA, 55 1749-061 Lisboa Telephone: +351 210 013 546 [email protected]

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