Investor Presentation • Mar 24, 2022
Investor Presentation
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th March 2021
1. Overview of the period

2021-2024 Strategic Plan execution & 3. Outlook





EBITDA achieved €460.8M, a decline of 2.0% YoY. This result was driven by: (1) the reduction in both RAB and remuneration rates(-€3.4M); (2) a decline in IREI (Incentive for Economic Efficiency of Investment) of -€5.1M and (3) a negative contribution from OPEX, due to higher electricity costs.
International business performance improved by +€0.1M, due to the strong performance of Transemel (+€1.4M).

Net Profit reached €97.2M (a decline of 11.1% versus 2020), mostly due to a lower EBITDA and an increase in Income Tax, partially compensated by higher financial results (gain of €4.2M to -€42.6M).

Capex increased by €73.8M (vs €173.3M in 2020), while transfers to RAB soared to €309.1M, an increase of €229.5M, as a result of the electricity transmission business (+€208.6M). Strong consolidation of transfers as 2020 had several projects delayed due to the pandemic.

Definition of renewed and ambitious ESG targets, with a commitment to achieve carbon neutrality by 2040. Issuance of REN's first green bond.

Renewable energy sources (RES) reached 59.2% of total supply (approx.+0.7pp than in 2020). Electricity consumption increased by 1.4% whilst natural gas consumption fell by 4.6% due to a decrease in natural gas use for electricity generation (-9.7%).

The levels of service quality remained high. The level of energy transmission losses stayed in accordance with the figure for the previous year and in line with other TSOs best practices, while the gas transmission combined availability rate reached almost 100%.

ERSE published the final "Tariffs and Prices for Electricity in 2022 and parameters for 2022-2025 regulatory period", on the 15th December.
A new regulatory model is defined with a revenue cap methodology applied to the controllable TOTEX of electricity transmission. However, assets pre-2022 are still eligible under the previous reference cost mechanism methodology

New regulatory period for the electricity sector
10YTB implies a variation of 0.3 pp in the RoR. The minimum is set at 3.7% and the maximum at 7%.

New National Electricity System Law
Following the government's public consultation which ended in November 2021, the new Law-Decree n.º 15/2022 was published on the 14th of January 2022, regarding the organization and functioning rules of the National Electricity System (SEN). The new law acts on five axes: i) production licensing; ii) network planning; iii) competitive mechanisms to access SEN activities; iv) giving consumers an active role in the system; and v) allowance to innovative technologies.

Energy Transition
REN applied to the Portuguese Recovery and Resilience Plan (PRR) and had two projects selected for the final phase: (i) the H2 Green Valley project, for the development of a Green H2 ecosystem in Sines, and (ii) the High Power Mobility project, for implementation of 8 pilot projects using the solution for electric charging through the Transmission Grid patented by REN.
REN projects have an estimated total investment of €52M (of which €37.5M to be made by REN) and €23M (of which €13.5M to be made by REN), respectively. Final Proposals will be submitted at the beginning of April 2022.
Following the impacts of the pandemic, the European Commission created the Next Generation EU, a recovery instrument, from which the Recovery and Resilience Facility is developed, which includes the PRR.



Solid contribution from Financial Results and strong improvement in CAPEX and Net Debt, nonetheless EBITDA and Net Profit decreased



recovery, subsidies amortization, REN Trading incentives, telecommunication sales and services rendered, interest on tariff deviation, consultancy revenues and other services provided, OMIP and Nester results | 3 Excludes the segment "Other", which includes REN SGPS,
REN Serviços, REN Telecom, REN Trading, REN PRO and REN Finance B.V. | 4 Refers to Portgás




Electricity Gas Transportation

Gas Distribution



DOMESTIC BUSINESS

RAB remuneration decreased across all businesses driven by a lower RoR






Pass-through costs (costs accepted in the tariff) increased by €9.0M, of which €5.8M correspond to the acquisition of necessary gas attached to the launch of the organized gas market in Iberia (Mibgás), and €2.3M in costs with cross-border and system services costs
Contribution to EBITDA 2021 €M

0.0
N/A
N/A
Electrogas (42.5%)
Key highlights
Revenues increased YoY reflecting the conclusion of expansion projects in 2020 and 2021

2020: €6.8M €8.2M €1.4M
EBITDA

(19.8%)
EBITDA decreased YoY, due to lower revenues (lower tariff and lower transported volume)




(8.9%)


Effective tax rate reached 44.9%, a 4.9 p.p. increment relatively to 2020 (including the levy).
which grew by €7.2M to €52.1M.
Increase in the effective tax rate vs 2020 reflecting the different recovery of previous years taxes (€5.6M) versus 2021 (€2.4M).
Net Profit Δ Depreciation
2020
Net Profit declined mostly due to a lower EBITDA and an increase in Income Tax, partially compensated by higher financial results and lower CESE
Δ Income tax (excl. CESE)
Net Profit 2021
Δ EBITDA Δ Financial Δ CESE
results

1 Calculated as Net Debt plus Cash, bank deposits and derivative financial instruments (€404M), excluding effects of hedging on yen denominated debt, accrued interest and bank overdrafts | 2 Includes loans (5.2%) and leasing (0.2%)

REN's share close the year with a TSR of 15.5% remarkably above the sector

| Average Price target |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €2.55 | €0.23 (8.3%) |
|||
| 2020: €2.78 |




In 2021, REN was able to deliver according to the 2021-24 strategic guidelines
| Strategic guidelines 2021-24 |
Key achievements during 2021 |
|---|---|
| Investment growth story, delivering |
Presentation of the Development and Investment Plans for the Portuguese electricity and gas for the 2022-2031 period transmission infrastructure network |
| superior service quality | (from €173M to €247M), mostly driven by the domestic Increase of REN's capex by c. 43% Vs. 2020 electricity transmission segment |
| Maintenance of levels, with an average of 0.05 min of electricity interruption time high service quality and 99.9% of combined availability rate in the natural gas infrastructure |
|
| ESG highest standard | Definition of renewed and ambitious ESG targets, with a commitment to achieve carbon neutrality by 2040 |
| Issuance of REN's first green bond |
|
| Establishment of a Sustainability Committee within the Board of Directors |
|
| Solid financials and sustainable shareholder returns |
Improvement of REN's credit rating outlook from to by Fitch and from to Negative Stable Stable by Moody's Positive |


REN is strongly committed with Sustainability and has set ambitious targets

Environmental
Carbon neutral by 2040

by 2030 vs. 2019 Climate | REN received a Gold Standard for the implementation of a program to quantify and reduce methane emissions from the OGMP 2.0
Reforestation | In 2021, reforestation of 723 ha of right of way passages with native species
Mobility | 28% of REN's fleet is electrified

Disclosing on CDP Climate Change since 2010

>1/3 of women in 1st line management positions by 2030


Increasing ESG weight in managers' performance metrics already by 2022
100% of new bond emissions to be green

Gender Equality | 28% of women in management positions
Social initiatives | REN promotes the oldest scientific award in Portugal, Prémio REN, and has carried this work to the African countries with Portuguese as the Official Language

Performance | New ambitious ESG metrics established Green financing | In 2021, REN issued its first green bond

Recognized commitment for 2 years in a row

Green bond framework certified by ISS
Good performance in international ESG scores but with ambition to do more
Assessment of resilience to long-term ESG risks, REN demonstrated strong efforts on Biodiversity & Land use relative to peers, and on average scoring on Corporate Governance relative to global peers

Assessment of sustainability performance, based on specific criteria for each industry. REN ranked very high on transparency level




EBITDA of €460.8M a decrease of 2% YoY, mostly due to a lower RAB remuneration, decrease in IREI incentive and a negative contribution from OPEX, due to higher electricity costs.

Net Profit amounted to €97.2M (-11.1%) driven by the decrease in EBITDA and a higher income tax, partially offset by the increase in financial results.

Significant Net Debt improvement due to a higher operating cash flow and tariff deviations. Solid Financial Results, reflecting the downward trend in cost of debt.

Strong consolidation of Transfers to RAB and Capex versus 2020 as a result of the reduction in pandemic hurdles, focusing on the energy transition process.

The Board of Directors will propose, at the General Shareholders' Meeting on April 28, the payment of a dividend of 15.4 cents per share, in line with the revised dividend policy for the 2021-24 cycle.

On 15th of December, ERSE released the Tariffs and Prices for Electricity for 2022, as well as the parameters for the regulatory period of 2022-2025. The Electricity framework moved to a TOTEX model and specific incentives rationale, it was extended to 4 years from 3 years, base RoR set at 4.4% (implied 10y PGB yields of 0.302%). REN believes these regulatory changes do not compromise the targets presented at the 2021-24 Strategic Plan.


REN's domestic allowed revenues breakdown


| Transmission Regulatory Model 2018-21 |
2022-251 Transmission Regulatory Model (next slide) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recovery of | IREI Incentive | Other CAPEX3 (RoR, D&A) |
IMDT incentive Efficiency sharing mechanism |
|||
| Return on Assets and D&A Recovey |
Opex | Total Revenues |
Revenue Cap for TOTEX |
The incentive may take positive IMDT or negative values |
Total Revenues |
|
| Promotion of Capex efficiency through the Reference Costs mechanism and the RoR with premium |
Opex Revenue Cap subject to RPI evolution and efficiency target |
Promotion of an adequate network performance and an efficient management of fully depreciated assets |
Amount to cover return on assets (RAB x RoR), D&A recovery and Opex recovery Based on volume drivers with a global efficiency |
Mechanism under Promotion of an which positive or adequate negative spread network from the defined performance reference return is shared / recovered from consumers (only applies to the Revenue Cap for TOTEX) |
||
| yields) |
Allowed revenue evolving w/ Capex execution (indexed to 10y PGB | | Fixed allowed revenue (indexed to 10y PGB yields and volume drivers) |
o Allowed revenue evolving annually in line with the investments performed by REN and approved by ERSE
o The yearly allowed revenues were converted into an annual equivalent value
o Allowed revenues, estimated for the whole regulatory period, considering ERSE's assumptions regarding REN's capex2
Allowed revenue evolution and drivers
| Return on Assets pre-2022 (RAB x RoR) |
Assets without premium: Base RoR set at 4.4% |
RoR indexed to 10Y PGB yields |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X | Assets with premium: 0.75bp premium over RoR |
Asset base evolution used by the regulator to estimate REN's returns |
|||
| E T O |
Return on Assets post-2021 (RAB x RoR) |
Assets without premium: Base RoR set at 4.4% |
|||
| T or f p |
Premium over RoR and RAB no longer applicable to new investments. However, due to TOTEX model, potential upside on capex optimization |
||||
| a C e u n e v e R |
D&A Recovery pre-2022 |
D&A from the exercise and gain on D&A of RAB at reference costs recorded as revenue |
Fixed amount over 2022-25 |
||
| D&A recovery post-2021 |
Annual D&A for assets post-2021 and Opex recovered as a sole component (concept of "Revenue cap" for Opex no longer exists) |
75% is fixed and 25% is variable2 |
|||
| Opex recovery | RPI –X type evolution with - 1.5% X factor |
||||
| + | |||||
| Incentives | The IMDT incentive ranges from - €20 M to + €20 M, depending on the value achieved by REN in each of the 3 performance indicators: (i) Network and equipment availability, (ii) Equivalent interruption time, and (iii) Achievement of European interconnection capacity target |
||||
| + | |||||
| Efficiency sharing mechanism (detailed |
Sharing mechanism through which, at the end of the regulatory cycle, deviations from the defined reference return are shared with consumers |
||||
| next slide) | The sharing mechanism is applicable to the Revenue Cap base for TOTEX and excludes IMDT |


This presentation and all materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation do not constitute, or form part of, a public offer, private placement or solicitation of any kind by REN, or by any of REN's shareholders, to sell or purchase any securities issued by REN and its purpose is merely of informative nature and this presentation and all materials, documents and information used therein or distributed to investors in the context of this presentation may not be used in the future in connection with any offer in relation to securities issued by REN without REN's prior consent.
Madalena Garrido – Head of IR Alexandra Martins Telma Mendes José Farinha
Av. EUA, 55 1749-061 Lisboa Telephone: +351 210 013 546 [email protected]








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