AI assistant
Refuels N.V. — Investor Presentation 2023
Nov 30, 2023
6193_rns_2023-11-30_55fb576c-87d4-4f0b-93d0-e63f4c104057.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer

Q2 and first half of 2024
For the period July to September 2023
30 November 2023
Disclaimer
THIS DOCUMENT IS NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN OR INTO OR FROM THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, ITS TERRITORIES OR POSSESSIONS, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR SOUTH AFRICA OR TO ANY RESIDENT THEREOF, OR ANY JURISDICTION WHERE SUCH DISTRIBUTION IS UNLAWFUL. THIS DOCUMENT IS NOT AN OFFER OR AN INVITATION TO BUY OR SELL SECURITIES
This presentation (the "Company Presentation") has been prepared by ReFuels N.V. (the "Company", and together with its consolidated subsidiaries, the "Group").
This Company Presentation has been prepared for information purposes only, and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer, invitation or recommendation to purchase, sell or subscribe for any securities in any jurisdiction, and neither the issue of the information nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into, any investment activity. This Company Presentation does not purport to contain all of the information that may be required to evaluate any investment in the Company or any of its securities and should not be relied upon to form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. This presentation is intended to present background information on the Company, its business and the industry in which it operates and is not intended to provide complete disclosure upon which an investment decision could be made.
This Company Presentation is furnished by the Company, and it is expressly noted that no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of any information included herein is given by the Company. The contents of this Company Presentation are not to be construed as financial, legal, business, investment, tax or other professional advice. Each recipient should consult with its own professional advisors for any such matter and advice. Generally, any investment in the Company should be considered as a high-risk investment.
This Company Presentation is current as of the date of presentation. Neither the delivery of this Company Presentation nor any further discussions of the Company with any of the recipients shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since such date. This Company Presentation may contain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", "expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. Any forward-looking statements contained in this Company Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. The Company provides no assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors and does not accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Company Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments.

Decarbonising Europe's truck fleet
An integrated supplier of alternative fuels with a growing network of refuelling stations, supported by a blue-chip customer base
Offering biomethane (Bio-CNG), the fast-track option for net-zero trucks with up to 90% lower emissions and reduced costs compared to diesel
Targeting 30-40 stations in the UK by end-2026, longer-term ambition to expand into other European markets
Stations can be adapted to a low-carbon multi-fuel future with hydrogen and electricity in addition to biomethane
refuelling stations across the UK
13 >120k >1450
vehicles using CNG Fuels' infrastructure
GHG emissions saved (tonnes)1
100% Bio-CNG station


ReFuels is a vertically integrated supplier of Bio-CNG


A typical Bio-CNG station
Fuel dispensers
Gas inlet
Bio-CNG compressor
8 minutes to fill a tank with 400+ miles (650 km) range
5
High pressure storage
80 trucks per hour in capacity
Business update
Q2 2024

Key highlights
Continued strong growth with dispensed volumes of Bio-CNG up 75% compared to same period last year
High order backlog of trucks, expected to exceed 1,000 heavy goods vehicles on order by the end of 2023
Record number of trials and demand from local to nationwide fleets, confirming that Bio-CNG is moving towards mass adoption
Expanding station network with two new stations in July and November and further two under construction
Preparing for a multi-fuel future as partner on hydrogen project awarded GBP 31.7 million in funding





Strong growth in volume continues as station network and customer base expands

Surpassed 4,000 tonnes in monthly dispensed volume in October
48,206 tonnes
dispensed volume annualized run-rate1 per October
6,500 heavy goods vehicles (HGVs) can use our station network daily
~300,000 tonnes
of biomethane dispensing capacity annually

Significant growth opportunities within current 143 customer fleets
>30,000 HGVs
Total fleet size of current customers
2,500 HGVs Est. CNG fleet in 12 months
1,450 HGVs Today's CNG fleet

Our intention is to move our entire trucking fleet to bio-CNG over the next five years

John Lewis Partnership is committed to all of its 520 heavy-duty trucks running on biomethane by 2028

We use a biomethane compressed natural gas (CNG) powered fleet as an alternative to diesel

DHL to convert their entire UK core fleet in the JLR operation to alternative fuels by April 2024

Switching our fleets over to renewable biomethane instead of diesel is a crucial step

We are upgrading our HGVs to the newest specifications, trialling alternative fuels such as CNG

Record-high number of trials demonstrating demand

Demo period
Fleet operators typically run a two to three weeks trial of before committing to ordering CNG trucks. Currently six- to nine-month backlog for some demo vehicles
Initial contact
~80% of demo customers identified directly by the company
Demo period analysis
End-of-trial report which includes volumes, GHG savings and total cost of ownership analysis over diesel
Purchase of HGVs
~3-6 months after first contact. Trends towards larger initial orders of >10 or >30 vehicles
Our proprietary mobile refuelling units bring fleets on board before a nearby station is opened
Mobile refuelling units (MRUs) designed to dispense Bio-CNG at customers' facilities:
- A cost-effective mobile solution until a CNG Fuels station opens in the area
- The 7 MRUs in operation can be commissioned within hours and relocated effortlessly
- Each unit can refuel ~100 trucks per day; currently 500 HGVs/day are fuelled through our MRUs


Two new stations opened in July and November
Corby (Northamptonshire) Bangor (North Wales)


fuel pump islands

million kg of Bio-CNG annually in total capacity

12
fuel pump islands
25
million kg of Bio-CNG annually in total capacity

Currently two stations under construction

12
fuel pump islands
19
million kg of Bio-CNG annually in total capacity

Aylesford (Southeast England) Doncaster (Northcentral England)
fuel pump islands 10
19
million kg of Bio-CNG annually in total capacity

Confirmed pipeline with visibility in near-and long-term growth

Preparing for a multi-fuel future: ReFuels' part of UK green hydrogen project awarded GBP >30m

- In October, the HyHAUL project was awarded GBP 31.7m from Department for Transport and Innovate UK to initiate the roll-out of hydrogen fuel cell trucks
- An important step towards establishing viable solutions for hydrogen, including testing of the vehicle lifecycle
- HyHAUL will initially roll out 30 hydrogen fuel cell HGVs primarily operating along the M4 corridor by 2026, with further ambition to deploy 300 vehicles by 2030
- 4 mobile refuelling units (MRUS) for hydrogen are planned to be built and operated by CNG Fuels as part of the project

Robust market-based certificate system

Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTFO) obligation level and RTFC price (GBPp)


Source: Element Energy, Department for Transport
17 Note: 1.9 RTFCs per kg biomethane from a crop feedstock, 3.8 RTFCs per kg biomethane from waste feedstock, 1.75 RTFCs per kg of biopropane. RTFCs are awarded at the duty point, which can be at the point of sale or at the point that fuel is designated for transport use. Qualifying feedstock as observed in 2020 (Renewable Fuel Statistics 2020; Fifth Provisional Report)
Reduced flow of biodiesel from China to EU expected to over time re-balance RTFC prices

- In the first half of 2023 half a million tons of biodiesel was imported to EU from China, according to the German oilseeds industry association UFOP
- The price of biodiesel and RTFCs declined to a three-year low and more than 2/3 of European biodiesel production halted
- On 17 August 2023, the European Commission announced an investigation into the flow of biodiesel from China based on the suspicion that fraudulent trading activity
- Recent trade data indicates that the investigation has had an impact and is reducing the flow of biodiesel from China to Europe, thereby helping to over time re-balance the market
- ReFuels is optimistic that the measures taken by the European Commission will positively impact biodiesel prices and consequently support higher RTFC prices during 2024

Financial update
Q2 2024

Financial highlights
- Revenue was GBP 29.2m compared to 17.1m in the first quarter
- Gross profit of GBP 3.1m, primarily driven by Engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) sales in the period and the sale of a new shovel ready site
- Overhead costs are expected to stay stable as ReFuels continue its expansion. An increase of 15% is estimated to sustain operations of 35 stations, underlining the operational scalability of the business model
- Process to secure additional station development funding beyond the GBP 100m facility provided to date by the Foresight Group
| (Figures in GBP million) | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 29.2 | 17.1 |
| Gross profit | 3.1 | (2.1) |
| EBITDA | (1.7) | (5.9) |
| Adjusted EBITDA1 | (3.1) | (4.6) |
| Profit/loss before taxes | (1.6) | (10.2) |
| Cash flow from operating activities | 0.1 | (6.2) |
| Cash flow from investment activities | (0.02) | 9.4 |
| Cash flow from financing activities | (0.2) | 3.6 |
| Net cash flow | (0.1) | 6.7 |
| Available cash | 6.6 | 6.7 |
| Total assets | 206 | 201 |
| Equity | 128 | 129 |
| Equity ratio | 62% | 64% |
- Adjusted for equity settled share-based payment expense and one-off transaction costs

Equity issue to support execution of strategy
- Total assets were GBP 206m, of which GBP 24m was goodwill and GBP 149 million were intangible assets and property, plant and equipment
- Current liabilities amounted to GBP 40m, of which GBP 35m in trade and other payables
- Total equity was GBP 128m, corresponding to an equity ratio of 62%
- On May 12, ReFuels completed a private placement to strengthen the working capital and support the company's operational strategy (gross proceeds of approximately EUR 4.6m)
- In July 2023, the CNG Foresight joint venture acquired a shovel-ready CNG Fuels-operated refuelling station in Aylesford from CNG Fuels


Stable cash position during the quarter
- Net cash flow generated from operating activities was GBP 0.1m in the second quarter. Net cash flow used from investment activities was GBP 0.02m in the period
- Net cash flow used from financing activities was GBP 0.2m. Net change in cash and cash equivalents was GBP 0.1m in the quarter
- The group held GBP 6.6m in cash and cash equivalent at the end period
- Subsequent to the end of the period, the operating subsidiary CNG Fuels agreed a working capital loan with the existing funder Foresight Group which can be drawn up to GBP 10m as required.
Cash flow development GBP million


Normalization adjustments to EBITDA


Market and outlook
Q2 2024

Shift to CNG implies a need for ~170 stations by 2030 in the UK


- Based on confirmed order book 2. Assuming same annual absolute growth of gas HGVs larger than 18t in the UK towards 2030, number of HGVs in 2030 expected to reach ~303,000





Key investment highlights
Biomethane is the fast-track option for net-zero trucks
Leading position and roll-out plan supported by blue-chip clients
Highly attractive and scalable economics
End-to-end control unlocking value from certificates
Green station infrastructure for a low-carbon multi-fuel future
- Heavy goods vehicles account for 1% of UK road transport, but 18% of sector GHG emissions1
- Through renewable biomethane (Bio-CNG), emissions can be reduced by more than 90%2
- Market leader today and target of 30-40 stations in operation in the UK towards end-2026
- Customers with supportive biomethane ambitions, including Amazon, DHL and Royal Mail
- Estimated ~2.7m in EBITDA per station at steady-state excl. certificates (RTFCs)
- CAPEX of GBP ~6m per station, implying a cash payback of ~5 years
- Fully integrated across the value chain, including sourcing and trading of biomethane
- Additional revenue stream from market-based certificates
- Longer-term target of 100 stations in the UK and to expansion into other European markets
- Network of stations is adaptable to hydrogen and electricity

For further information please visit refuels.com
Appendix
Q2 2024
Income statement
| (Figures in GBP 1000) | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | H1 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 29,582 | 17,110 | 46,692 |
| Gross profit | 3.089 | (2,117) | 972 |
| EBITDA | (1,684) | (5,870) | (7,554) |
| Adjusted EBITDA1 | (3,056) | (4,625) | (7,681) |
| Amortisation and depreciation | 134 | (4,381) | (4,247) |
| Administrative expenses | (4,773) | (3,781) | (8,554) |
| Operating profit (EBIT) | (1,549) | (10,280) | (11,829) |
| Finance revenue | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Finance costs | (78) | (50.5) | (128.5) |
| Other gains and losses | 0 | 79,0 | 79 |
| Profit/loss before tax | (1,628) | (10,249) | (11877) |
| Income tax expense | (199) | 1.011 | 812 |
| Profit/loss for the period | (1,827) | (9,239) | (11,066) |

Balance sheet
| (Figures in GBP 1000) | Notes | 30 Sep 2023 | 30 June 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | |||
| Goodwill | 1 | 23,955 | 23,955 |
| Intangible assets | 1 | 146.029 | 145,724 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 2,882 | 2,810 | |
| Investments | 2 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Deferred tax asset | 27 | 27 | |
| Non-current assets | 172,893 | 172,516 | |
| Inventories | 1,145 | 630 | |
| Trade and other receivables | 14.286 | 9.814 | |
| Contact assets | 11,318 | 11,419 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 6,609 | 6,711 | |
| Current assets | 33,358 | 28,574 | |
| Trade and other payables | 35,099 | 27,308 | |
| Current tax liabilities | 1,718 | 2,110 | |
| Borrowings | 2.260 | 2,252 | |
| Lease liabilities | 441 | 488 | |
| Derivative financial instruments | 372 | 870 | |
| Contract liabilities | 154 | 545 | |
| Current liabilities | 40,045 | 33,571 | |
| Net current assets | (6,687) | (4,997) | |
| Lease liabilities | 1,224 | 1,147 | |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 3 | 36,507 | 36,431 |
| Long-term provisions | 367 | 491 | |
| Non-current liabilities | 38,098 | 38,069 | |
| Net assets | 128,107 | 129,450 | |
| Equity | |||
| Share capital of Refuels | 529 | 529 | |
| Share premium of Refuels | 4.080 | 4.080 | |
| Share-based payment reserve | 577 | 0 | |
| Merger reserve | র্বা | 119,489 | 119,490 |
| Treasury shares | (133) | (133) | |
| Non-controlling interest | 14,889 | 15,135 | |
| Retained deficit - owners of parent | (11,324) | (9,651) | |
| Total equity | 128,107 | 129,450 |

Cash flow statement
| (Figures in GBP 1000) | Q2 2024 | 01 2024 | 1H 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | |||
| Profit before income taxes | (1,826) | (9,239) | (11,065) |
| Adjustments for: | |||
| Taxation charged | 199 | (1,011) | (812) |
| Investment income | (20) | (2.3) | (22.3) |
| Depreciation | 171 | 105 | 276 |
| Amortisation | (305) | 4,276 | 3,971 |
| Share based payment expenses | 473 | 109 | 582 |
| Other gains & losses | (499) | (79) | (578) |
| Finance cost | 97 | 50.1 | (147.1) |
| Changes in working capital: | |||
| Inventories movement | (515) | 14 | (501) |
| Change in other current receivables | (4,372) | 24,812 | 20,440 |
| Change in trade payables | 7,299 | (24,736) | (17,437) |
| Change in social security and other taxes | (476) | (38) | (515) |
| Change in other current liabilities and provisions | (123) | (486) | (609) |
| Cash generated from operations | 102 | (6,224) | (6,122) |
| Cash flow from investment activities | |||
| Business acquisitions | 0 | 9.360 | 9,360 |
| Payments for tangible assets | (41) | (0.9) | (41.9) |
| Interest received | 19 | 2.2 | 21.2 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (22) | 9,361 | 9,339 |
| Cash flow from financing activities | |||
| Proceeds from issue of equity | 0 | 3.884 | 3,884 |
| Purchase of treasury shares | 0 | (133) | (133) |
| Repayment of borrowings | (45) | (62) | (107) |
| Repayment of lease liabilities | (132) | (81) | (213) |
| Interest paid - lease liabilities | (2.6) | (17) | (19.6) |
| Interest paid - borrowings | (19) | 1.8 | (17.2) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (199) | 3,590 | 3,391 |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | (118) | 6,726 | 6,608 |
| FX on translation OCI | 16 | (20) | (34) |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period | 6,711 | 35 | 35 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period | 6,609 | 6,711 | 6,609 |

Heavy goods vehicles are a large contributor to the growing global emissions problem


Renewable biomethane is a fast-track solution to decarbonise long haul trucking
Government decarbonization mandate Bio-CNG emissions benefits (gCO2
- The UK has committed to a legally binding target of net-zero emissions by 2050
- Transport was the largest greenhouse gas emitting sector in the UK in 2020, responsible for almost a quarter of emissions
- HGVs are the hardest road vehicles to decarbonise due to their long driving range, high pay load and low production volume
- Using biomethane to decarbonise HGVs has strong policy support through the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTFO) policy and reduced fuel duty
/ km)


Clear cost advantages for customers
- Historical annual fuel cost savings of £15k+ compared to diesel
- Typical vehicle upfront CAPEX premium of £20k to 25k, with OEM pricing becoming more competitive over time
- Futures prices for natural gas vs diesel indicate continued strong economics going forward
- Fuel and AdBlue savings greatly outweigh capex and maintenance premiums related to bio-CNG
- Customer pay-back period estimated to 1-2 years
Illustrative Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) over a 5-year period


All the largest truck manufacturers are offering CNG-fueled trucks













Blue-chip customer base supporting roll-out of new stations across the UK
Sample customers Amazon CNG HGV roll-out Amazon fleet at CNG
- CNG Fuels introduced Amazon's first 4 'pilot' CNG-fuelled vehicles in early 2021
- Amazon run these vehicles with Amazon Freight Partners (AFP), smaller haulage companies that take between 1-10 vehicles to run on behalf of Amazon
- Amazon have now taken delivery of close to 200 vehicles in the UK and have introduced them to multiple AFP's
Fuels site


CNG Fuels' infrastructure is ready for a multi-fuel future


Robust market-based certificate system
- suppliers of road transport fuels to use a certain percentage of sustainable biofuels annually
- Demonstrated through Renewable Transport Fuel Certificates (RTFCs) either by supplying renewable fuel or purchasing RTFCs from producers
- RTFO targets set based on volume of fuel supplied; fuel suppliers that do not obtain sufficient RTFCs must pay
• Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTFO) obligates Qualifying biomethane feedstock under the RTFO

Renewable Transport Fuel Certificates (RTFC) generation and trading process in the UK

Cash payback for new stations of ~5 years
CAPEX for new stations
Illustrative build-up of dispensed volumes P&L at steady-state

19.8m kg Bio-CNG per year
GBP 2-3m
in EBITDA per station at steady-state, excl. RTFCs