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REC Silicon — Investor Presentation 2017
May 3, 2017
3726_rns_2017-05-03_16b84c56-bee9-4389-b8e3-835b0fc7be16.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Disclaimer
FIRST QUARTER 2017
This presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for REC Silicon ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for REC Silicon ASA's businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the presentation. Although REC Silicon ASA believes that its expectations and the presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the presentation. REC Silicon ASA makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the presentation, and neither REC Silicon ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared for the first quarter 2017 results on May 3, 2017. Information contained herein will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
REC Silicon ASA shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
No portion of the IHS Materials may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without the prior written consent of IHS Markit. Content reproduced or redistributed with IHS' permission must display IHS Markit's legal notices and attributions of authorship. IHS Markit and the IHS Markit globe design are trademarks of IHS Markit. Other trademarks appearing in the IHS Materials are the property of IHS Markit or their respective owners."
The IHS Markit report and information referenced herein (the "IHS Materials") are the copyrighted property of IHS Markit ("IHS") and represent data, research, opinions or viewpoints published by IHS, and are not representations of fact. The IHS Materials speak as of the original publication date thereof (and not as of the date of this offering document).The information and opinions expressed in the IHS Materials are subject to change without notice and IHS has no duty or responsibility to update the IHS Materials. Moreover, while the IHS Materials reproduced herein are from sources considered reliable, the accuracy and completeness thereof are not warranted, nor are the opinions and analyses which are based upon it. To the extent permitted by law, IHS Markit shall not be liable for any errors or omissions or any loss, damage or expense incurred by reliance on the IHS Materials or any statement contained herein, or resulting from any omission.
| REC Silicon Q1 Financial Results | T. Torvund, CEO |
|---|---|
| Financial Overview | J.A. May II, CFO |
| PV Market Outlook | T. Torvund |
| Silicon Gas And Semiconductor Market Outlook | T. Torvund |
| U.S. / China Trade Dispute Update | T. Torvund |
| Yulin JV Update |
T. Torvund |
| Guidance | T. Torvund |
Q & A
| Revenues: | \$57.5M | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA: | \$ 4.6M |
FBR Cash Cost of \$10.7/kg
- FBR Facility Continues Operation at ~50% Capacity Utilization
- Demonstrates Low Cost Capability at Reduced Production Rates
Strong Silicon Gas Sales Volumes
- Exceeded Guidance by 70 MT
- 8.8% Silane Gas Price Decrease Due to Different Sales Mix
March 31, 2017 Cash Balance of \$80.9M
- Cash Increase of \$15.2M
- Decrease in Working Capital Investment
- Expect to Remain Near Cash Neutral Throughout 2017
- No Debt Maturities in 2017
Yulin JV on Track for Start-up in Second Half of 2017
| Polysilicon Sales Volume ** |
||
|---|---|---|
| Total | 2,509MT | |
| Inventory Increase | 618MT |
| FBR Production | |
|---|---|
| Actual | 2,416MT |
| Guidance* | 2,320MT |
| Deviation | 4.1% |
| Total Polysilicon Production | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3,127MT | |||
| Guidance* | 3,080MT | |||
| Deviation | 1.5% |
| Semiconductor Production | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 271MT | ||
| Guidance* | 350MT | ||
| Deviation | -22.6% |
| Silicon Gases Sales Vol. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 820MT | |||
| Guidance* | 750MT | |||
| Deviation | 9.4% |
** Guidance Presented February 16, 2016
** Excludes Fines and Powders
5 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential May 3, 2017
2017
Revenues - \$57.5M
- › 28.5% Decrease vs. Q4 2016
- › Polysilicon Sales Volumes 2,509 MT (Excluding Fines & Powders)
- 34.0% Sales Volume Decrease vs. Q4 2016
- 9.5% Solar Grade Price Increase vs. Q4 2016
- › Silicon Gas Sales Volumes 820 MT
- Continued Strong Sales Volumes
- 8.8% Silane Price Decrease vs. Q4 2016
EBITDA of \$4.6M
- › Reflects:
- FBR Cash Cost of \$10.7/kg
- Other Income of \$1.2M
- \$1.8M Collection of Reserved Accounts Receivable
- Continued Strong Silicon Gas Sales Volumes
Cash Flows 2017
Cash Flows From Operating Activities \$15.7M
- › EBITDA of \$4.6M
- › Working Capital Decrease \$13.1M
- Decreased Accounts Receivable \$15.0M
- Increased Accounts Payable \$0.9M
- Increased Inventories (\$2.8M)
- › Interest payments (\$1.8M)
Cash Outflows From Investing Activities (\$0.8M)
› (\$0.8M) CapEx
Liquidity at March 31, 2017 2017
Nominal Debt - \$186M
› Unchanged Compared to Q4 2016
Nominal Net Debt - \$106M
- › Decreased by \$15M in Q1 2017
- Increase in Cash of \$15.2M
Indemnity Loan (Included in Net Debt)
- › Callable Beginning in February 2016
- › Has not Been Called
- › Due Date is Uncertain
JV Equity Contribution
- › Continued Negotiations to Defer Remaining Contributions Until After 2018
- › Agreements Permit Company to Forego Making Remaining Contribution if Unable to Pay
PV MARKET OUTLOOK
Strong Global PV Demand Through 2021 2017
- › 70% of 2017 PV Market Demand will Come from Top Four Markets: China, U.S., India, and Japan
- › Lower System Costs Support Demand Growth in New Regions and Emerging Markets
- › 64 GW of Capacity from 2017- 2021 Expected from Emerging Markets, Including: GW
- Brazil
- Mexico
- South Africa
Source: IHS Markit, Technology Group, PV Demand Market Tracker – March 31, 2017
FIRST QUARTER
Increased Annual Analyst Installation Forecasts 2017
GW
- › Despite Variability, Market Forecasts Show Increased Demand
- › Record Low Price Levels in India and Emerging Markets Driving Greater Demand
- › Drivers in Many Markets:
- − Increasing Demand for Electricity
- − Greater Electrification
- − Lower LCOE than Conventional Energy
Source: IHS Markit, Technology Group, PV Demand Market Tracker – March 31, 2017
2017 Quarterly Module Installations by Region 2017
25
- › I.H.S. Continues to Expect Higher Installations in Q2 Than Q1
- China Accounts for Roughly 40% of H1 2017 Demand
- China 2016 FIT Grace Period Expires June 30, 2017, but Rumors of Further Extension
- H2 2017 Installations in China Also Dependent on Timing of 2017 FIT Expiration
- › More Balanced Demand Profile in H2 2017 Predicted Compared to H2 2016
- Strong Demand in India, Americas and Europe Offsets Slowdown in China
Source: IHS Markit, Technology Group, PV Demand Market Tracker – March 31, 2017
IHS 2017F Quarterly Installations
Europe Middle East and Africa Americas China Japan India Rest of Asia
FIRST QUARTER
Polysilicon Spot Price Rebounds in H1 2017 2017
Copyright © 2017 PVinsights.com All rights reserved
FIRST QUARTER
FIRST QUARTER REC Silicon Remains Cost Leader of Outside China Polysilicon Manufacturers at Half Capacity
Continued Alignment of FBR Production with Market Demand 2017
Note: Excludes Fines & Powder
SILICON GAS AND SEMICONDUCTOR MARKET OUTLOOK
2017
Lowest Cash Cost and Highest Production Capacity
- › REC Silicon Maintains Lowest Silane Cash Cost and High Production Capacity
-
› Leader in Value Added Services, Consistency, Safety, Redundancy, and Responsibility
-
›Strong Silicon Gas Sales Volumes Despite Historically Weak First Quarter
- -820 MT Compared to Guidance of 750 MT
- -35% Increase Compared to Q1 2016 Sales Volumes
- ›Q2 2017 Sales Volumes Expected to Remain at Comparable Level
- ›8.2% Lower Silane Sales Prices on Account of Different Sales Mix
2017 Stable Growth in Semiconductor Silicon Wafer Demand
- › Wafer Demand is a Driver of Semiconductor Grade Polysilicon and Silane Gas Demand
- › Consistent, Stable Growth Expected in Semiconductor Market
- › Wafer Suppliers Seeking Long Term Contracts Amid Tight Supply
Sources: Semi Spreadsheet: 3rd Qtr, Sage 2016 Polysilicon Report, Table 8-1,, Linx-Consulting, April. 25, 2017
U.S./ CHINA TRADE DISPUTE UPDATE
US / China Solar Trade Dispute Continues 2017
- › Higher Prices Inside China Continue
- › China Investigation of Korean Polysilicon On-going
- › Following Recent Xi Jinping Meeting with Trump in Florida, US and China Focus on Trade Wins and Cooperation
- › New USG Rhetoric Suggests It Values US Polysilicon Manufacturing Capacity – Material Potential Contributor to Reduction in Trade Deficit
YULIN JV UPDATE
Yulin JV – On Track for H2 2017 Start-up 2017
Construction Progressing
- › Over 6.3 Million Man-hours Worked To Date - No Reported Safety or Environmental Incidents
- › Majority of Project Equipment and Supplies On-site, Quality Testing of Welded Pipe, Electrical and Instrumentation Systems Underway
- › REC Silicon Commissioning Team and Start-up Support Personnel Already On-site in Yulin
Capital Contributions
- › Continued Negotiations to Defer Remaining Contributions Until After 2018
- › Agreements Permit Company to Forego Making Remaining Contribution if Unable to Pay
GUIDANCE
| FBR Production | FBR | Cash Cost | Total Polysilicon Production | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 2,350MT | Q2 | \$11.0/kg | Q2 | 3,040MT |
| 2017 | 9,510MT | 2017 | \$11.0/kg | 2017 | 12,320MT |
| Semiconductor Production | CapEx Silicon Gas Sales |
* | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 280MT | Q2 | 800MT | Maintenance | \$10M | |
| 2017 | 1,060MT | 2017 | 3,300MT | Expansion | \$ 0M |
** Additions to Property Plant and Equipment
2017 Total \$10M
Financial Options: 2018 Bonds and the Yulin JV Contribution
Nominal Net Debt - \$120M
- › Several Sources will be Evaluated in H2 2017 for the 2018 Bonds and Indemnification Loan
- I. Cash from Operation
- II. Refinancing
- III. Divestment of Non-core Assets
- IV. New Equity
JV Equity Contribution
- › Continued Negotiations to Defer Remaining Contributions Until After 2018
- › Agreements permit company to forego making remaining contribution if unable to pay
FIRST QUARTER
2017