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REC Silicon — Investor Presentation 2017
Jul 20, 2017
3726_rns_2017-07-20_72de7622-1486-4da3-acce-76ab70b7f3c6.pdf
Investor Presentation
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SECOND QUARTER
2017
PRESENTATION
Disclaimer
SECOND QUARTER 2017
This presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for REC Silicon ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for REC Silicon ASA's businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the presentation. Although REC Silicon ASA believes that its expectations and the presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the presentation. REC Silicon ASA makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the presentation, and neither REC Silicon ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared for the second quarter 2017 results on July 20, 2017. Information contained herein will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
REC Silicon ASA shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
No portion of the IHS Materials may be reproduced, reused, or otherwise distributed in any form without the prior written consent of IHS Markit. Content reproduced or redistributed with IHS' permission must display IHS Markit's legal notices and attributions of authorship. IHS Markit and the IHS Markit globe design are trademarks of IHS Markit. Other trademarks appearing in the IHS Materials are the property of IHS Markit or their respective owners."
The IHS Markit report and information referenced herein (the "IHS Materials") are the copyrighted property of IHS Markit ("IHS") and represent data, research, opinions or viewpoints published by IHS, and are not representations of fact. The IHS Materials speak as of the original publication date thereof (and not as of the date of this offering document).The information and opinions expressed in the IHS Materials are subject to change without notice and IHS has no duty or responsibility to update the IHS Materials. Moreover, while the IHS Materials reproduced herein are from sources considered reliable, the accuracy and completeness thereof are not warranted, nor are the opinions and analyses which are based upon it. To the extent permitted by law, IHS Markit shall not be liable for any errors or omissions or any loss, damage or expense incurred by reliance on the IHS Materials or any statement contained herein, or resulting from any omission.
| REC Silicon Q2 Financial Results | T. Torvund, CEO |
|---|---|
| Financial Overview | J.A. May II, CFO |
| PV Market Outlook | T. Torvund |
| U.S. / China Trade Dispute Update | T. Torvund |
| Yulin JV Update |
T. Torvund |
| Guidance | T. Torvund |
| Q & A |
| Revenues: | \$61.4M |
|---|---|
| EBITDA: | \$ 1.3M |
FBR Cash Cost of \$11.0/kg
- FBR Facility Continues Operation at ~50% Capacity Utilization
- Demonstrates Low Cost Capability at Reduced Production Rates
Strong Silicon Gas Sales Volumes
- Sales Volume of 808MT (1.5% Decrease)
- 1.6% Silane Gas Price Increase
June 30, 2017 Cash Balance of \$71.4M
- Cash Decrease of (\$9.4M)
- Increase in Working Capital Investment
- No Debt Maturities in 2017
- Draft Income Tax Ruling Could Impact Liquidity
Yulin JV Start-up Scheduled for Q4 2017
| Polysilicon Sales Volume ** |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 2,960MT | ||
| Inventory Increase | 81MT |
| FBR Production | |
|---|---|
| Actual | 2,380MT |
| Guidance* | 2,350MT |
| Deviation | 1.3% |
| Total Polysilicon Production | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3,057MT | |||
| Guidance* | 3,040MT | |||
| Deviation | 0.6% |
| Semiconductor Production | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 253MT | |||
| Guidance* | 280MT | |||
| Deviation | -9.5% |
| Silicon Gases Sales Vol. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 808MT | ||||
| Guidance* | 800MT | ||||
| Deviation | 0.9% |
** Guidance Presented May 3, 2017
** Excludes Fines and Powders
5 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential July 20, 2017
Polysilicon Production and FBR Cost 2017
SECOND QUARTER
4,410 2,863 2,321 1,175 1,026 3,354 2,308 2,416 2,380 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017 Silicon Production (MT) Polysilicon Production FBR Cost (\$/kg) FBR Cost
6 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential July 20, 2017
Continued Strong Silicon Gas Sales 2017
›Silicon Gas Sales Volumes 808MT
- Decreased 1.5% Compared to Q1'17
- Increased 32.5% Compared to Q2'16
- Stable Silane Gas Prices
›Q3 2017 Sales Volumes Expected to Increase to 840MT
Silicon Gases
FINANCIAL REVIEW
Revenues - \$61.4M
- › 6.8% Increase vs. Q1'17
- › Polysilicon Sales Volumes 2,960MT (Excluding Fines & Powders)
- 18.0% Sales Volume Increase vs. Q1'17
- (6.9%) Solar Grade Price Decrease vs. Q1'17
- › Silicon Gas Sales Volumes 808MT
- Continued Strong Sales Volumes
- 1.6% Silane Price Increase vs. Q1'17
EBITDA of \$1.3M
- › Reflects:
- \$2.5M Collection of Reserved Trade Receivables
- Solar Grade Price Decrease
- FBR Cash Cost of \$11.0/kg
- Butte Unplanned Partial Production Interruption
Cash Flows 2017
Cash Outflows From Operating Activities (\$9.4M)
- › EBITDA of \$1.3M
- › Working Capital Increase (\$4.1M)
- Decreased Accounts Payable (\$2.3M)
- Increased Accounts Receivable (\$1.7M)
- Increased Inventories (\$0.1M)
- › Interest payments (\$7.0M)
- › US Tax Refund \$0.6
- › Other (\$0.3M)
Cash Outflows From Investing Activities (\$1.5M)
- › CapEx (\$1.2M)
- › Restricted Cash (\$0.3M)
Currency Gain of \$1.4M
Liquidity at June 30, 2017 2017
Nominal Debt - \$188M
- › Increased by \$2M in Q2'17
- Due to Weaker USD Relative to NOK
Nominal Net Debt - \$117M
- › Increased by \$11M in Q2'17
- Decrease in Cash of \$9M
- Increase in Nominal Debt of \$2M
Reassessment of Tax
- › Draft Ruling from Norwegian Central Tax Office
- › Potential \$30M Payable with Final Ruling
- › Uncertain Timing and Outcome
Indemnity Loan (Included in Net Debt)
- › Callable Beginning in February 2016
- › Has not Been Called
- › Due Date is Uncertain
JV Equity Contribution
- › Negotiations Continue to Defer Remaining Contribution
- › Agreements Allow REC to Forego Remaining Contribution if Unable to Pay
PV MARKET OUTLOOK
SECOND QUARTER
2017
Strong Global PV Demand Through 2021 2017
- › Strong Chinese Demand During H1'17
- › Uncertainty Remains for H2'17 and Following Years
- › Demand in India and Americas Expanding
- › India Dependent Upon Incentives
- › US Dependent Upon Trade Policy
- › Increasing Importance of
2016-2021F PV Installations by Region
Source: IHS Markit, Technology Group, PV Demand Market Tracker, July 2017
2017 Quarterly Module Installations by Region
25.0
- › China Installed ~14.3GW During 1st Half
- Forecast ~12.4GW During 2nd Half
- › India Installed ~4.4GW During 1st Half
- Forecast ~5.6GW During 2nd Half
- › Americas Installed ~6.6GW During 1st Half
- Forecast ~9.5GW During 2nd Half
- US Acceleration Due to Suniva 201 Petition
IHS 2017F Quarterly Installations
Europe Middle East and Africa Americas China Japan India Rest of Asia
Source: IHS Markit, Technology Group, PV Demand Market Tracker, July 2017
Polysilicon Spot Price 2017
- › Inside China Prices Increased at the End of 2nd Quarter
- › REC FBR Prime Prices Remained Stable Through 2nd Quarter
- › Expect Stable Prices During 3rd Quarter
| JUN | JUL | AUG | SEP | OCT | NOV | DEC | JAN | FEB | MAR | APR | MAY | JUN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 2016 |
2017 |
Copyright © 2017 PVinsights.com All rights reserved
2017 REC Silicon Remains Cost Leader (Despite Capacity Curtailment)
© REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential July 20, 2017
SECOND QUARTER
FBR Production Aligned with Demand 2017
Note: Excludes Fines & Powder
U.S./ CHINA TRADE DISPUTE UPDATE
US / China Solar Trade Dispute Continues 2017
AD/CVD
- › US Government and MOFCOM are Working Towards a Resolution
- US Polysilicon Companies Work Together with SolarWorld and CCCME
- › SolarWorld AG (Europe) Filed for Insolvency
- SolarWorld Americas Inc. Not Included
Section 201
- › Suniva Petition Could Delay Trade War Resolution
- Industry Analyst Predict Acceleration of PV Installations in the US
- SEIA is Actively Seeking a Resolution
- Final Decision Expected in 2018
- Withdrawal/Settlement is Possible
YULIN JV UPDATE
Yulin JV - Start-Up Status 2017
- › First Silane Unit and FBR Reactors Startup in Q4 2017
- › Second Silane Unit and Remaining FBR Reactors Startup in Q1 2018
- › Total Investment Within Budget of \$1.25 Billion
- › Negotiations Continue to Defer Remaining Contribution
- › Agreements Allow REC to Forego Remaining Contribution if Unable to Pay
GUIDANCE
| FBR Production | FBR Cash Cost |
Total Polysilicon Production | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | 2,290MT | Q3 | \$11.5/kg | Q3 | 3,070MT |
| 2017 | 9,450MT | 2017 | \$11.0/kg | 2017 | 12,500MT |
| Semiconductor Production | Silicon Gas Sales | CapEx * |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | 230MT | Q3 | 840MT | Maintenance | \$5M |
| 2017 | 1,040MT | 2017 | 3,320MT | Expansion | \$0M |
** Additions to Property Plant and Equipment
2017 Total \$5M
Liquidity Resolution Options 2017
Nominal Net Debt - \$117M USD Million
- › Several Sources will be Evaluated in H2 2017 for the 2018 Bonds and Indemnification Loan
- I. Cash from Operation
- II. Refinancing
- III. Divestment of Non-core Assets
- IV. New Equity
JV Equity Contribution
- › Negotiations Continue to Defer Remaining Contribution
- › Agreements Allow REC to Forego Remaining Contribution if Unable to Pay