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REC Silicon — Investor Presentation 2016
May 3, 2016
3726_rns_2016-05-03_dce29c92-43a8-4c8f-bfa7-c3a2c59e3d58.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FIRST QUARTER 2016
PRESENTATION
Disclaimer
This presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for REC Silicon ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for REC Silicon ASA's businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the presentation. Although REC Silicon ASA believes that its expectations and the presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the presentation. REC Silicon ASA makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the presentation, and neither REC Silicon ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared for the first quarter 2016 results on May 3, 2016. Information contained herein will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
REC Silicon ASA shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
| REC Silicon Q1 Financial Results | T. Torvund, CEO |
|---|---|
| U.S. / China Trade Dispute Update | T. Torvund |
| Yulin JV Update |
T. Torvund |
| Financial Overview | J.A. May II, CFO |
| Market Outlook | T. Torvund |
| Guidance | T. Torvund |
| Q & A |
REC Silicon ASA First Quarter 2016 Highlights
Revenues: \$68.8 M
EBITDA: (\$13.4 M) Loss
March 31, 2016 Cash Balance of \$101.5 M
- Improved Liquidity Due to Working Capital Reductions
- Capable of Meeting 2016 Debt Maturities
- Indemnification Loan Not Called in Q1
Restart of FBR Production in Moses Lake
- Restart Silane III in May 2016 and Silane IV in June 2016
- Capable of Running for Two Years Without Extended Maintenance Outage
Polysilicon Production Lower Due to FBR Capacity Curtailments
- High FBR Cash Cost Due to Reduced Volume
Yulin JV on Track for Start-up in H2 2017
REC Silicon ASA Q1 2016 Key Metrics
| Polysilicon Sales Volume |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total** | 3,857 MT | ||||
| Inventory Reduction | 1,925 MT |
| FBR Production | |
|---|---|
| Actual | 1,175 MT |
| Guidance* | 820 MT |
| Deviation | 43.2% |
| FBR Cash Cost |
|
|---|---|
| Actual | \$24.8/kg |
| Guidance* | N/A |
| Total Polysilicon Production | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1,937 MT | |||
| Guidance* | 1,540 MT | |||
| Deviation | 25.8% |
| * Guidance presented February 12, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ---------------------------------------- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
5 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential May 3, 2016
| Semiconductor Production | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 351 MT |
||||
| Guidance* | 450 MT | ||||
| Deviation | -22.1% |
** Excludes Powders and Fines
| Silicon Gases Sales Volume | |
|---|---|
| Actual | 531 MT |
| Guidance* | 600 MT |
| Deviation | -11.5% |
FBR Cost
Solar Grade Polysilicon Spot Market Pricing
- › REC Silicon Average Solar Grade Sales Price Increased 6% vs. Q4 2015
- › Average Solar Spot Market Price Increased 4% vs. Q4 2015
- › Spot Price Increase Due to Industry Inventory Depletion and High Wafer Production
U.S./ China Trade Dispute Update
U.S. / China Trade Dispute Update
- › Continued Negotiations Between MOFCOM and USTR
- Momentum on Both Sides to Resolve Solar Trade Disputes in Short Term
- Resolution Must Deal with Legal and Political Constraints in the US and China
- › Changing Dynamics
- US Panel Market More Important Than Ever with ITC Extension
- Chinese Polysilicon Makers at Full Capacity
- › Increasing Pressure on SolarWorld:
- Hemlock Litigation/Motion for Summary Judgment Will Play Out in Next 3-4 Months
- Lower Panel Prices in US
Yulin JV Update
Yulin Plant Production Capacity:
- › 19,000 MT Granular Polysilicon
- FBR-B: Next Generation Technology
- › 300 MT Siemens Polysilicon
- Chunk, Teardrop and Float Zone
- › 500 MT Silane Gas Loading
- › Project Schedule and Spending Within Budget
- › JV Financing Guaranteed by JV Partner
-
› REC's 2016 \$15 M Capital Contribution Deferred and 2017 \$154 M Capital Contribution Deferral Under Discussion
-
› Zero Project Safety Incidents
- › Detailed Design Engineering: 74% Complete
- › Procurement: 82% Complete
- Critical and Long Lead Equipment Fabrication Underway
- › Structural Steel Installation Underway
- › Equipment Installation Contracts Awarded
- Mobilization in Q2 2016
- › Training underway in Moses Lake and Butte
- 50 JV Employees from China Trained by REC Experienced Personnel
Financial Review
Revenues - \$68.8 M
- › Increased Polysilicon Sales Volumes (Excluding Fines & Powders)
- 41% Sales Volume Increase from Q4 2015
- 6% Solar Grade Price Increase from Q4 2015
- › Silicon Gas Sales Volumes 531 MT
- 25% Sales Volume Decrease from Q4 2015
- Silane Price Decrease of (1%) From Q4 2015
EBITDA – Loss of (\$13.4 M)
› Inefficiency due to Capacity Curtailment in Moses Lake
Q1 2016 Cash Flows
Cash Flows From Operating Activities \$2.4 M
- › EBITDA Loss of (\$13.4 M)
- › Working Capital Decrease \$19.0 M
- Decreased Inventories \$16.0 M
- Decreased Accounts Receivable \$13.5 M
- Decreased Accounts Payable (\$10.5 M)
- › Interest Payments (\$2.2 M)
Cash Outflows From Investing Activities – CapEx (\$1.6 M)
Currency Gain of \$5.2M
Nominal Net Debt - \$109 M
- › Unchanged from December 31, 2015
- Increase in Cash of \$6.1 M
- Increase in Nominal Debt of \$6.2 M
Nominal Debt - \$211 M
› Increased by \$6.2 M in Q1 2016 due to Weaker US Dollar
Indemnification Loan Remains Outstanding
USD million
- Indemnification Loan (NOK)
- 2016 NOK Bond (May 2016)
- 2018 NOK Bond (May 2018)
- 2018 USD Convertible Bond (Aug 2018)
Market Outlook
Strong Market Expected to Continue into H2 2016
I.H.S PV Demand Market Tracker Q1 2016 GTM Research: Global Solar Demand Monitor Q2 2016 Photon Consulting February 10, 2016
19 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential May 3, 2016 I.H.S PV Demand Market Tracker Q1 2016
PV Market Balanced in 2016
- › Solar Polysilicon Production will Increase from 330kMt in 2015 to 365kMt in 2016
- Equivalent to ~66 GW* Supply
- › Balanced Market
- ~66-68 GW Installed Panels
*Based on 5.5g/W Supply Chain Effects and Thin Film Installations Included
I.H.S PV Demand Market Tracker Q1 2016 GTM Research: PV Pulse April 2016 Photon Consulting February 10, 2016
20 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential May 3, 2016
Continued Decreasing Reliance on Chinese Markets
- › Increased Penetration of Markets Outside China
- Discounts to Maximize Sales Volume
- Increased Wafer Capacity Utilization
* Includes Powders and Fines
REC Takes Advantage of Increasing Demand Outside of China
Source I.H.S Integrated Market Tracker Q1 2016, GTM Research PV Pulse April 2016, REC Internal
REC to Resume Full Production in Q3 with Cash Cost ~\$10/kg
4,503 4,410 2,863 2,321 1,175 1,365 4,590 4,637 324 300 282 288 351163 234 244 382 361 435 413 412 495 485581 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 Silicon Production (MT) FBR Electronic Grade Siemens Solar
Polysilicon Production
FBR Cost
Low Cash Cost Makes REC Competitive at Discounted Prices
Values based upon maximum capacity in 2nd half of 2016
Increased Sales Volume and Stable Inventory in H2 2016
25 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential May 3, 2016 Gases
REC Silicon Q1 Summary
- › March 31, 2016 Cash Balance of \$101.5 M
- › Will Meet 2016 Debt Maturities
- › Return to Full FBR Capacity in Q3 With Industry Leading Cash Costs
- › Improving Market Conditions Allow Greater Penetration to Customers Outside China
- › Low Cash Costs Make REC Silicon Competitive at Discounted Prices
- › Continued Momentum to Reach Resolution on Trade Dispute
- › Yulin JV on Track for Start-up H2 2017
| FBR Production | FBR Cash Cost |
Total Polysilicon Production | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 1,370 MT | Q2 | \$24.0/kg | Q2 | 2,020 MT |
| 2016 | 11,770 MT | 2016 | \$13.2/kg | 2016 | 14,730 MT |
| Semiconductor Production | Silicon Gas Sales | CapEx | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 190 MT | Q2 | 800 MT | Maintenance | \$ 8 M |
| 2016 | 1,650 MT |
2016 | 3,360 MT |
Expansion | \$ 3 M |
| 2016 Total | \$11 M |
Q2 2016 Reporting July 21, 2016