Investor Presentation • Feb 13, 2015
Investor Presentation
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for REC Silicon ASA (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for REC Silicon ASA's businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the presentation. Although REC Silicon ASA believes that its expectations and the presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the presentation. REC Silicon ASA makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the presentation, and neither REC Silicon ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared for the Fourth quarter 2014 results presentation on February 13, 2015. Information contained herein will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
REC Silicon ASA shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
| R E C Q 4 d 2 0 1 4 R l t a n e s s u |
T T d C E O o r n v u , |
|---|---|
| O M k t t l k a r e u o o |
C K L V P i l e v e n s o m m e r c a , |
| F i i l O i n a n c a e r e v v w |
J M C F O a y , |
| G i d 2 0 1 5 u a n c e |
C O T T d E o r v u n , |
| Q & A |
Revenues: \$126.2 M
EBITDA: \$38.0 M
| T t l l i l i d t i o a p o s c o n p r o c o n y u - |
5 3 3 M T 7 , |
|---|---|
| P l i l i l l o s c o n s a e s o m e y v u - |
4 5 9 5 M T , |
| F B R h t c a s c o s - |
\$ / 1 0 8 k g |
| i F n a n |
i l c a s |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R e v e |
n u e |
\$ 1 2 |
6 2 M |
||||
| E B I T |
D A |
\$ 3 |
8 0 M |
||||
| E B I T |
D A M i a r g n |
3 0 % |
|||||
| F B R P d i t r o u c o n |
C F B R |
C h t a s o s |
|||||
| A l t c a u |
4 4 9 , |
1 M T |
A t c a u |
l | \$ 1 0 8 / k g |
||
| G * i d a n c e u |
4 4 0 , |
0 M T |
G i d u |
* a n c e |
\$ / 1 1 0 k g |
||
| C h a n g e |
% 2 + |
C h a n |
g e |
% 1 9 - |
| T l P l i l i P d i t t o a o s c o n r o c o n y u |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| A l t c u a |
3 3 M T 5 7 , |
||
| G i d * u a n c e |
2 8 0 M T 5 , |
||
| C h a n g e |
1 % + |
* Guidance presented November 4, 2014
5 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential February 13, 2015
| S i i d P d t t e m c o n u c o r r o u c o n |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| A t l c a u |
2 5 3 M T |
||
| G i d * u a n c e |
2 4 0 M T |
||
| C h a n g e |
% 1 + |
| S i l i G S l V l. c o n a s e s a e s o |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| A t l c u a |
8 8 4 M T |
||
| G * i d u a n c e |
8 0 0 M T |
||
| C h a n g e |
6 % 5 + |
FBR Cost
Tier 1 Shipment Estimates Total Available Capacity
Tier 1: Daqo, GCL, Hemlock, Mitsubishi, OCI, Osaka Titanium, REC, SunEdison, Tokuyama, Wacker
Productive Capacity figures include non Tier-1 additional capacity of 47kMT in 2014 and 63kMT in 2015-2016
Source: Financial reports, press releases, construction/production calculations
Industry analyst view:
"This is a big loss for SolarWorld, and a big win for the Chinese manufacturers"
"The likelihood is that cash deposits…are going to go down from ~31% to 15% for most Chinese manufacturers beginning in either May or June of this year…."
- GTM ResearchJanuary 22, 2015
Polysilicon & Silicon Gases Market Outlook
2014 supply and demand relatively balanced until late Q3/Q4, when China enddemand weakened, which may lead to excess channel inventory in early 2015.
Overall supply for 2015 should be sufficient for potential demand scenarios
Long-term contracts will continue to expire through 2015 driving more spot transactions and greater equilibrium between spot and contract price
Market growth in all segments for second consecutive year in 2014
Continued market growth is predicted for Integrated Circuit, Flat Panel and PV segments
Advanced silicon gases have higher growth potential associated with new technology adoption
Potential for further production retirement this year due to re-started capacity and limited market share opportunity
GW
Note: Excludes Semiconductor grade and excessive polysilicon inventory in value chain Source: REC internal database
16 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential February 13, 2015
57% Tariff does not apply to: Siemens EG, PV Tolling, PV China Free Trade Zone (FTZ), PV China Process in Trade (PIT), ROW PV, Silicon Gases
› Internal China market price sets benchmark
› Lower than China Market Price due to Process In Trade customers extracting some value for bonded book access scarcity and other applicable importrelated taxes/costs
› Lower than China Market and Process in Trade Prices because customers outside China extract value for access to nontariffed markets and increased choice
› Lowest price due to discount for 57% tariff
AD / CVD Impact on Market ASPs
Note: REC internal model built with industry demand side information from: I.H.S. DisplaySearch, SEMI, IC Insights, LINX Consulting, Sage Concepts, BNEF, Greentech Media, Energytrend
| ( U S D i l l i ) m o n |
Q 4 2 0 1 4 |
Q 3 2 0 1 4 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R e v e n u e s |
E B I T D A |
E B I T |
R e v e n u e s |
E B I T D A |
E B I T |
|
| R E C S i l i c o n |
1 2 6 2 |
3 8 2 |
( 0 9 ) |
1 2 6 2 |
4 5 5 |
1 2 6 |
| C S i i S R E l T h l l c o n e c n o o g y a e * |
- | - | - | - | 1 0 1 0 |
1 0 1 0 |
| O h & l i i i t t e r e m n a o n s |
( 0 0 ) |
( 0 2 ) |
) ( 0 2 |
- | ) ( 0 6 |
( 0 7 ) |
| C S R E i l i & O h t c o n e r |
1 2 6 2 |
3 8 0 |
( 1 2 ) |
1 2 6 2 |
1 4 5 9 |
1 1 2 9 |
| R E C S l o a r |
- | - | - | - | - | - |
| i / L d i l f d i G a n o s s o n s p o s a o s c o p e r. |
- | 1 0 |
1 0 |
- | ( ) 0 4 |
( ) 0 4 |
| i i i E l t m n a o n s |
- | - | - | - | - | - |
| T l O i t t o a p e r a o n s |
1 2 6 2 |
3 9 0 |
( 0 2 ) |
1 2 6 2 |
1 4 5 4 |
1 1 2 5 |
| D i i d i t t s c o n n e o p e r a o n s u |
- | ( 1 0 ) |
) ( 1 0 |
- | 4 0 |
0 4 |
| C i i O i t t o n n u n g p e r a o n s |
1 2 6 2 |
3 8 0 |
) ( 1 2 |
2 1 2 6 |
9 1 4 5 |
1 1 2 9 |
Revenues - \$126.2 M
~15% Decrease from Q3 2014
* Excludes Special Items of USD 101 million Gain on Sale of Technology to the Yulin JV
Operations - \$30.5 M
› Working capital increase due to Increased Inventories and Accounts Receivable
Yulin JV Equity Contribution \$75 M paid in October, 2014
Nominal Net Debt - \$112 M
| F B R P d i t r o u c o n |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 0 1 4 A t l c a u |
1 5 9 2 9 M T , |
||
| G i d a n c e u |
1 8 4 0 M T 5 , |
||
| C h a n g e |
% 0 5 + |
| F B R C h C t a s o s |
|
|---|---|
| 2 0 1 4 A l t c u a |
\$ 1 2 1 k g |
| G i d u a n c e |
\$ 1 2 2 / k g |
| C h a n g e |
% 0 8 - |
| S S i l i G l c o n a s a e s |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 0 1 4 A l t c u a |
3 4 2 8 M T , |
|||
| G i d a n c e u |
3 3 8 0 M T , |
|||
| C h a n g e |
1 % 5 + |
| S i i d P d t t e m c o n u c o r r o u c o n |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 0 1 4 A l t c u a |
1 3 1 3 M T , |
||
| G i d u a n c e |
1 3 0 0 M T , |
||
| C h a n g e |
1 % + |
| i i i T l P l l P d t t o a o y s c o n r o u c o n |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 0 1 4 A t l c a u |
1 8 7 9 4 M T , |
|||
| G i d a n c e u |
1 8 4 0 M T 7 , |
|||
| C h a n g e |
% 0 3 + |
| C E a p x |
|
|---|---|
| M i t a n e n a n c e |
\$ 2 2 M |
| E i p a n s o n x |
\$ 1 4 M |
| T l t o a |
\$ 3 8 M |
* Guidance presented November 4, 2014
| F B R P d r o c u |
i t o n |
F B R C h a s |
C t o s |
S i l i c o n |
S l G a s a e s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q 1 |
4 4 0 0 M T , |
Q 1 |
\$ 1 1 / k 5 g |
Q 1 |
7 3 0 M T |
| 2 0 1 5 |
1 6 3 0 0 M T , |
2 0 1 5 |
\$ 1 2 / 5 k g |
2 0 1 5 |
3 7 0 0 M T , |
| S i d P d i t t e m c o n c o r r o c o n u u |
T l P l t o a o y |
i l i P d i t s c o n r o u c o n |
C E a p x |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q 1 |
3 8 0 M T |
Q 1 |
5 3 0 0 M T , |
M i t a n e n a n c e |
\$ 2 5 M |
|
| 2 0 1 5 |
1 3 0 0 M T , |
2 0 1 5 |
1 9 3 0 0 M T , |
E i x p a n s o n |
\$ 6 0 M |
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.