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REC Silicon — Investor Presentation 2014
Nov 4, 2014
3726_rns_2014-11-04_8a699920-6966-43e9-a098-c2ad98dc5143.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Disclaimer
This Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for REC Silicon ASA (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for REC Silicon ASA's businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the presentation. Although REC Silicon ASA believes that its expectations and the presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the presentation. REC Silicon ASA makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the presentation, and neither REC Silicon ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared for the Third quarter 2014 results presentation on November 4, 2014. Information contained herein will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
REC Silicon ASA shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
| C Q R E R l 3 t e s u s |
C O T T d E o r v u n , |
|---|---|
| M k O i t a r e e r e v v w P l i l i M k L d t o s c o n a r e a n s c a p e y - U S / C h i S l T d I n a o a r r a e s s e s u - E i O i i t t p a n s o n p p o r n e s x u - |
T T d o r n v u F S l l i C L O a n u v , |
| O F i i l i n a n c a v e r v e w |
C O J M F a y , |
| G i d a n c e u |
T T d o r n v u |
| Q & A |
Revenues of \$126.5 million
~3% polysilicon price increase over Q2
EBITDA Excluding Special Items of \$44.9 million
- Special items of \$101 million gain on sale of technology
- EBITDA from continuing operations was \$145.9 million
Strong Stable Operations
- Total polysilicon production 5,103 MT
- FBR cash cost \$10.5/kg
Record Silicon Gas Sales
- 952 MT Sales
- ~4% Silane gas price increase
Expansion Initiatives
- Rx 25/26 Investment of \$115M approved
- Yulin JV \$99 million technology payment received
- Proposed expansion in Saudi Arabia
REC Silicon ASA Q3 2014 Key Metrics
| i F n a n c |
i l a s |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R e e v |
n e u |
\$ 1 2 6 |
M 5 |
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| E B I T |
D A |
\$ 4 4 |
9 M ** |
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| E B I T |
D A M i a r g n |
3 5 % |
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| F B R P d i t r o u c o n |
C F B R |
C h t a s o s |
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| A l t c a u |
4 4 2 , |
M T 8 |
A t c u |
l a |
\$ / k 1 0 5 g |
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| G i d * a n c e u |
4 2 0 5 , |
M T |
G i d u |
* a n c e |
\$ / 1 1 2 k g |
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| C h a n g e |
4 % + |
C h a |
n g e |
6 % - |
| T l P l i l i P d i t t o a o y s c o n r o u c o n |
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| A l t c a u |
1 0 3 M T 5 , |
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| G i d * a n c e u |
0 0 0 M T 5 , |
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| C h a n g e |
2 % + |
| S i d P d i t t e m c o n u c o r r o u c o n |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A l t c u a |
M T 2 6 7 |
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| G i d * a n c e u |
3 0 M T 5 |
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| C h a n g e |
2 4 % - |
| S S i l i G l V l. c o n a s e s a e s o |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A l t c a u |
M T 9 5 2 |
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| G i d * a n c e u |
M T 8 0 0 |
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| C h a n g e |
1 9 % + |
* Guidance presented July 18, 2014
** Excludes special items of USD 101 million
5 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential November 4, 2014
Polysilicon Production and FBR Cost
Polysilicon Production
FBR Cost
Q3 2014 Silicon Gas Sales: Record sales volume
- › Record sales volumes
- -13% increase over Q2
- ›Display and PV demand up
- › Competitive capacity expected to ramp and qualify material in Q4
Silicon Gases (MT)
Polysilicon Market Landscape
Q3 2014 Shipments and FBR ASPs inline with Spot Prices
FBR ASPs vs. PV Spot Indices Tier 1 Shipment Estimates
› Q3 Polysilicon shipments slightly below expectations
Note: REC FBR ASP's benchmarked against spot indices from BNEF, EnergyTrend & PV Insights.
- › Delays in near-term anticipated start-ups
- › Changes in planned capacity expansions
- › Capacity expansions subject to market conditions
Capacity Outlook Highlights Capacity Outlook (2014 to 2016)
Shaded figures indicate Q2 release figures
Q3 2014 Market Update
- › Solar Grade Polysilicon
- Average spot price indices have been relatively flat after declining in Q3
- Cell manufacturer utilization is increasing, signaling a stronger Q4 or Q1 2015.
-
- China has not exhibited robust seasonal polysilicon demand, however there are limited inventories of polysilicon
- -Trade dispute remains a concern and might impact sales volumes
- › Semiconductor Grade Polysilicon
- Industry analysts observe increases in revenues and unit volumes in end-use markets
- -Excess inventories and long term agreements continue to stagnate demand
- › Silicon Gases
- Demand continues to be robust due to strong demand in display and PV
- -Competitive capacity being re-introduced to market in Q4
US / China Trade Issues
- › REC is continuing to sell its solar grade polysilicon into China by working with customers to utilize available options under existing laws, namely the "Process in Trade," under China Customs laws
- › New US trade cases filed at the end of 2013 against China and Taiwan resulted in preliminary CVD duties against Chinese panel producers on June 2, 2014, and preliminary AD orders on July 24, 2014 against combinations of solar panels, wafers and cells produced/assembled in both China and Taiwan. Final AD/CVD determinations in the new US trade cases are scheduled to be announced by the US Department of Commerce on December 17, 2014.
- › On August 14, 2014, the China Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) announced a suspension of the process for renewing bonded books necessary to permit Process in Trade imports of US polysilicon into China under China Customs law effective on September 1, 2014. This permitted Chinese wafer companies the opportunity to renew their bonded books for imports of US and Korean polysilicon prior to September 1, 2014.
- › On August 15, 2014, MOFCOM applied to the US DOC for a Suspension Agreement under the new US trade case against China. The Suspension Agreement process under US law opens the opportunity for a political resolution of the Second US Trade Case between the US and China.
Q3 2014 US / China Trade Update (Cont'd)
- › The Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) has advised REC that it has held recent discussions with MOFCOM in relation to a resolution of the dispute and these discussions have recently picked up pace.
- › Additionally, REC Silicon has attended meetings with USTR and is engaged in an on-going dialogue to discuss issues related to a resolution of the dispute.
- › The US Government has advised REC that it is currently making diplomatic efforts and engaged with the Chinese government with the intention of resolving the dispute. REC is monitoring these discussions and developments closely, however the outcome and timing of these discussions is uncertain. This matter and the resolution efforts are currently developing on a continuous basis.
Growth Initiatives
Expansion in Moses Lake: Rx 25 & 26 and Silane I
- › Additional 3,000 MT granular polysilicon capacity
- › Next Generation Fluid Bed Reactors (FBR-B )
- Semiconductor grade
- › Restart Silane I 3,000 MT of Silane
- › Silane loading, Butte
- -1,200 MT additional
- › Estimated cost \$115M USD
- -CapEx ~ \$40/kg
- -OpEx < \$10/kg
- › Start-up
- -Rx 25 & 26: Q3 2016
- -Silane I: Q1 2016
Yulin Joint Venture Overview in Shaanxi Province
- › Anticipated total investment \$1.4 billion (including technology transfer)
- To be updated upon completion of detailed engineering in Q2 2015
- › 35% Fixed registered capital
- REC \$244 million
- SNF \$254 million
- ›Next generation (FBR-B) technology
- › Technology transfer limited to China and Taiwan only
Yulin Joint Venture
Q3 2014 Yulin JV Update
- Established Yulin JV company
- ›Delivered FEED, Project moved to China
- ›Received 2nd \$99M Technology Payment
- ›SNF made capital contribution of ~\$80M
- ›Staff key JV positions in China
Q4 Activities
- ›Detailed Engineering
- ›REC capital contribution
Potential Expansion in Saudi Arabia
- › Agreement to investigate the development of a polysilicon manufacturing facility in Saudi Arabia
- › IDEA Polysilicon is an experienced project developer and is pursuing business opportunities in solar energy
- › 20,000 MT capacity, using REC's silane based FBR-B technology
- › Project development is expected to take 18 months and culminate in an investment decision in 2016
- › The agreement contains provisions to compensate REC for the transfer of FBR technology
- › REC expects to hold a 25% equity interest in the proposed manufacturing facility
- › The project is expected to be funded through a combination of equity and loans through the Saudi Industrial Development Fund (SIDF) and commercial banks
Financial Review
REC Silicon Group Financial Results – Total and Continuing Operations
| ( U S D i l l i ) m o n |
Q 3 2 0 1 4 |
Q 2 2 0 1 4 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R e v e n u e s |
E B I T D A |
E B I T |
R e v e n u e s |
E B I T D A |
E B I T |
|
| C S i i R E l c o n |
1 2 6 5 |
4 5 5 |
1 2 6 |
1 2 6 8 |
3 3 1 |
( ) 0 2 |
| C S i i S R E l T h l l c o n e c n o o g y a e * |
- | 1 0 1 0 |
1 0 1 0 |
- | - | - |
| O h & l i i i t t e r e m n a o n s |
- | ( ) 0 6 |
) ( 0 7 |
0 0 |
) ( 1 5 |
( ) 1 5 |
| C S R E i l i & O h t c o n e r |
1 2 6 5 |
1 4 9 5 |
1 1 2 9 |
1 2 6 9 |
3 1 6 |
( 1 ) 7 |
| R E C S l o a r |
- | - | - | - | - | - |
| G i / L d i l f d i a n o s s o n s p o s a o s c o p e r. |
- | ( ) 0 4 |
( ) 0 4 |
- | 0 3 |
0 3 |
| i i i E l t m n a o n s |
- | - | - | - | - | - |
| i T l O t t o a p e r a o n s |
1 2 6 5 |
1 4 4 5 |
1 1 2 5 |
1 2 6 9 |
3 1 9 |
( ) 1 4 |
| D i i d i t t s c o n n e o p e r a o n s u |
- | 0 4 |
4 0 |
- | ) ( 0 3 |
( ) 0 3 |
| C i i O i t t o n n n g p e r a o n s u |
1 2 6 5 |
1 4 5 9 |
9 1 1 2 |
9 1 2 6 |
6 3 1 |
( ) 1 7 |
›REC Silicon & Other
- The continuing operations
- REC Silicon Includes Special Items of USD 101 million for Transfer of Technology to the Yulin JV (*)
›Comparable EBITDA of USD 44.9 million
- REC Silicon Segment EBITDA of USD 45.5 million
- Excludes Special Items USD 101 million gain
- Parent Company Expenditures of USD 0.6 million
REC Silicon & OtherKey Financial Results
Revenues - USD 126.5 million
- › Decreased polysilicon revenues
- ~3% Average price increase from Q2'14
- ~7.5% Sales volume decrease from Q2'14 (Excluding Fines & Powders)
- › Record silicon gas volumes
- ~13% Sales volume increase from Q2'14
- ~ 4% Sales price increase from Q2'14
- High spot market sales due to offline competitive capacity
Comparable EBITDA USD 44.9 million
- Excludes Special Items of \$101M (Transfer of Technology to the Yulin JV)
- ~42% increase from Q2'14
- High Silicon Gas Sales Volumes
- High Production Volumes at Low Cost
RevenuesEBITDA
* Excludes Special Items of USD 101 million
22 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential November 4, 2014
Q3 2014 Cash Flows
Operations - USD 20.6 million
- › Working capital increase due primarily to Increased Inventory
- Repayment of Debt
- › NOK 195.5 million bond on September 16, 2014
Joint Venture – USD 99.0 million
- › Received second upfront payment in August
- › USD 101 million gain reflected in income (Special Items)
* Excludes Special Items of USD 101 million
23 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential November 4, 2014 Nominal Net Debt - USD 64 million
› Reduced by USD 313 million from Q4'13
Nominal Debt - USD 224 million
- ›Reduced by USD 153 million in 2014
- › Repayment of NOK 196 million bond in Q3'14
Equity Contribution Commitment
- ›Required contribution to Yulin JV
-
›\$75M on October 14, 2014
-
2016 NOK Bond
- Indemnification Loan (NOK)
- 2018 NOK Bond
- 2018 USD Convertible Bond
Q4 and 2014 Outlook
| F B R P d i t r o u c o n |
C C F B R h a s |
t o s |
l a e s |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q 3 A l t c u a |
M T 4 4 2 8 , |
Q 3 A l t c a u |
\$ / 1 0 k 5 g |
Q 3 A l t c u a |
M T 9 5 2 |
|
| Q 4 |
M T 4 4 0 0 , |
Q 4 |
\$ / k 1 1 0 g |
Q 4 |
M T 8 0 0 |
|
| 2 0 1 4 |
1 8 4 0 M T 5 , |
2 0 1 4 |
\$ / k 1 2 2 g |
2 0 1 4 |
M T 3 3 8 0 , |
| S i d t e m c o n u c o |
P d i t r r o u c o n |
T l P l t o a o y |
i i i l P d t s c o n r o u c o n |
C E a p x |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q 3 A l t c u a |
M T 2 6 7 |
Q 3 A t c u |
1 0 3 M T 5 l a , |
2 0 1 4 |
\$ M 2 5 |
| Q 4 |
2 4 0 M T |
Q 4 |
M T 5 2 8 0 , |
E i p a n s o n x |
\$ M 1 5 |
| 2 0 1 4 |
M T 1 3 0 0 , |
2 0 1 4 |
1 8 4 0 M T 7 , |
T l t o a |
\$ M 4 0 |