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Rana Gruber ASA

Earnings Release Feb 11, 2022

3724_rns_2022-02-11_d5680db9-7e27-448a-938f-dad3d1382668.pdf

Earnings Release

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Fourth quarter results 2021 11 February 2022

CEO Gunnar Moe & CFO Erlend Høyen

Disclaimer and important information

This presentation has been prepared by Rana Gruber AS (the "Company") solely for information purposes.

The presentation does not constitute an invitation or offer to acquire, purchase or subscribe for securities. Certain statements included in this presentation contain various forward-looking statements that reflect management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance.

The words "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "intend," "may," "plan," "estimate," "should," "could," "aim," "target," "might," or, in each case, their negative, or similar expressions identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can be identified from the context in which the statements are made. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realised. The information and opinions contained in this document are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. Past performance information included in this Presentation or in such other written or oral material is not an indication of future performance and the actual returns on investments may differ materially from the returns indicated herein.

No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, neither the Company nor its subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees accepts any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.

Leading the way for decarbonisation of the global steel industry

2021 highlights

All time high revenues and EBITDA

Attractive dividend yield

Listed on Euronext Growth, preparing for main list
NOK 1.6bn
Revenues 20211
444 million mt
Resources available

Six per cent production increase
resulted in total
production of 1 653' metric tons (mt) in 2021

Estimated iron ore resources of 444 million mt, of
which 94 million mt
classified as a reserve

Ambitious decarbonisation strategy launched
NOK 885m
EBITDA 20211
70%
Target dividend pay-out of

Offtake agreement with Cargill extended until 2030
supporting strategy of decarbonisation
net income2
Key figures
are
presented
based
on
NGAAP (Norwegian General Accepted
Accounting Principles). All further
financial
accounting
and reports, including
the
annual
report for
2021, will
be based
IFRS.
1 2021 numbers are actuals 2 Dividend policy 50%-70%

Attractive dividend yield: NOK 413 million distributed to Rana Gruber's shareholders in 2021

NOK 413 million distributed to shareholders in 2021

Adjusted dividend policy following IFRS transition

11.05 "The company will target to distribute 50-70 per cent of the adjusted net profit as quarterly dividends. The board can decide that up to 30 per cent of the allocated dividend amount can be applied for acquisition of own shares. Adjusted net profit shall for the purpose of the dividend policy constitute is the IFRS based net profit after tax, adjusted for unrealised gains and losses from the company's portfolio of hedging positions related to iron ore, USD, and freight, which does not impact the shipments concluded in the quarter. The board can also adjust for larger specific events that the board does not consider to be of relevance for normal business."

Buy-back program initiated in line with dividend policy

NOK 413 million distributed to shareholders in 2021 Share buyback program starting 14 February

  • For Q4-21 the board of directors has resolved to distribute a dividend of NOK 1.51/share
  • The dividend will be paid out in Q1-22
  • Dividend and share buybacks imply a pay-out ratio of 70 per cent, in line with the adjusted dividend policy

  • A program has been initiated to repurchase shares in the market for a total value of up to NOK 14 million

  • The shares purchased under the program will be cancelled, subject to approval by the company's general meeting
  • The share buyback program will be completed by 25 February 2022
  • The buyback program will be carried out by way of repurchases in the market
  • Repurchases of shares under the buyback program will be based on the board authorisation to acquire own shares granted by the company's extraordinary general meeting on 8 December 2021

Highlights Q4-21: Continued increase in production, extraordinary dividends distributed iron ore prices stabilised at levels around USD 120/mt. Solid foundation for 2022 o Cash cost per mt reduced despite higher energy costs and continued increased

Highlights Q4 2021

  • o Revenues came in at NOK 253.5 million (Q4-20 at NOK 469.8 million)
  • o Market prices for iron ore trended somewhat down in Q4-21. At the end of 2021,
  • o Production of iron ore concentrate increased to 435' metric tons (mt), which is ten per cent higher in Q4-20
  • activity in the open pit mine
  • o The board of directors decided to distribute an extraordinary cash dividend of NOK 2.50/share to the company's shareholders in Q4-21
  • o The company paid down all long-term debt to financial institutions
  • o For Q4-21 the board of directors proposes a quarterly dividend of NOK 1.51/share to be paid out in Q1-22, implying a pay-out ratio of 70 percent (inc. share buybacks amounting to NOK 14 million by Q1-22)

FY21 financial highlights: Revenues 21 per cent higher in 2021

Q4-21 financial highlights: Increased production and lower prices

Continued operational improvement lifted production with 10%

10 per cent increase in concentrate production in Q4-21

  • Production totalled 434.6' mt of iron ore concentrate, +10 per cent vs Q4-20, due to continued operational improvements
  • Sales volumes somewhat below production due to timing of shipments
  • Total production of ore was 4 per cent higher in Q4-21 vs Q4-20. Production shifted from underground to open pit due to:
  • Favorable weather conditions for open pit production
  • The shift to a new mining level
  • Planned build-up of inventory to mitigate risk
  • No injuries
  • Increased sick leave due to Covid-19 measures

Key figures

Key figures
Amounts
in NOK million
Q4-21 Q4-20 Change (%) FY-21 FY-20 Change
(%)
Revenue 253.5 469.8 (46%) 1 618.7 1 333.6 21%
COGS (97.3) (95.4) 2% (364.8) (347.3) 5%
Amortization of development drifts 10.9 10.3 6% 37.2 40.0 (7%)
Other costs (121.0) (111.3) 9% (450.1) (368.1) 22%
Change in inventories 26.8 (17.1) (257%) 44.2 8.0 455%
EBITDA 72.9 256.2 (72%) 885.2 666.2 33%
Depreciation (34.0) (28.5 ) 19% (131.3 ) (107.1 ) 23%
Amortisation
of development drifts
(10.9) (10.3) 6% (37.2) (40.0) (7%)
EBIT 28.0 217.5 (87%) 716.7 519.0 38%
Hedging iron ore gain/(loss) 103.3 (40.5) (355%) (62.5) (134.0) (53%)
Other net financials (2.5 ) 5.2 (149%) (35.4) (214.2 ) (83%)
Pre-tax-profit 128.8 182.2 (29%) 618.9 170.8 262%
Tax (28.3) (40.1 ) (29%) 146.3 77.0 90%
Net profit 100.4 142.1 (29%) 516.9 273.0 89%
EPS (NOK) 2.69 3.80 (29%) 13.85 7.30 90%
DPS (NOK) 1.51 - - 11.05 - -
Share
buy-back
14.00 - - - - -
Payout ratio (%) 70% - - 80% - -
Note: Amounts in NOK million, except where indicated otherwise. Quarterly figures are unaudited.
* EBITDA defined as EBIT + depreciation + amortisation
of operational development

Hedging provides increased visibility in volatile markets

1/3 of hematite production for FY22 secured at an average of USD 136/mt

  • USD 157/mt.
  • Following quarter-end, the company has secured forward and Q4-22 at an average price of 130.3 USD/mt. Furthermore,
Forward contracts Amount Monthly
maturity
Average
price
Unrealised
gain/(loss)
Amounts in NOK thousand
Forward contracts for hedging future sales
240 000 metric tons $Q2 - 22$ 136 USD 4 1 9 8
Forward contracts for hedging future sales 30 000 metric tons $Q3 - 22$ 157 USD 1 2 5 5
Forward contracts for hedging future sales 30 000 metric tons $Q4 - 22$ 157 USD 1348

Historic hematite prices Platts, IODEX 62% Fe CFR North China

Satisfactory liquidity in volatile market conditions

Satisfactory liquidity in volatile market conditions
Dividends driving cash flows Strong cash flows from operations

Note: Amounts in NOK million, except where
Q4-21 Q4-20 FY-21 2021
indicated otherwise. Quarterly figures are
Net cash flow from operations
unaudited.
30.4 79.5 830.2 FY21 (vs NOK 402 million)
Net cash flow used in
investing activities
(15.0) 19.7 (110.5) 2021 (NOK 116m)
Net cash flows used in
financing activities
(178.2) (80.7) (480.4) Q4-21
Total cash flow (162.9) 18.4 239.4
Cash holdings 264.4 427.2 264.4 and buildings

Dividends driving cash flows Strong cash flows from operations

2021

  • Operational cash flows amounted to NOK 830 million in FY21 (vs NOK 402 million)
  • NOK 413 million distributed as dividends throughout 2021 (NOK 116m)
  • Repayment of NOK 273.6 million in non-current liabilities during 2021 (NOK 99 million)

Q4-21

  • Capex for the fourth quarter totalled NOK 15 million, related to maintenance of mining equipment, vehicles and buildings Note: Amounts in NOK million, except where indicated otherwise. Quarterly figures are unaudited.
  • Dividends of NOK 132 million distributed in Q4-21

Solid financial position

Solid financial position
Equity ratio of 50.0 per cent Further reduction in long-term debt
31.12.21 30.09.21 Change
(%)
31.12.20 credit facility of NOK 100 million.
Total assets 1 128.0 1 168.2 (3%) 1 033.0
Total equity 563.9 613.6 (8%) 491.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2021.
Equity ratio (%) 50.0% 52.5% (2 pp) 47.6%
Cash and cash
equivalents
264.4 427.2 (38%) 25.0
72 116 (38%) 269

Equity ratio of 50.0 per cent Further reduction in long-term debt

  • Except for leasing obligations, the company's debt towards financial institutions consists of an unused credit facility of NOK 100 million. (%) 31.12.20
  • Due to the strong financial position of Rana Gruber, the company has repaid the entire USD loan of NOK 50 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. Note: Amounts in NOK million, except where indicated otherwise. Quarterly figures are unaudited.

Transition to IFRS – key topics for changes

Revenue and trade receivables Leases
------------------------------- -- --------

NGAAP principle:

Revenue booked based on last known monthly average

IFRS principle:

Revenue booked based on last known forward prices for the corresponding month when shipments will be finally settled

Derivative financial assets and liabilities Other changes

NGAAP principle:

Value of derivative positions included in the accounting corresponding to the shipments with the same final settlement month as the derivatives

IFRS principle:

Derivative portfolios will be measured at fair value, changes in the portfolio value will be included in the P&L under financials

NGAAP principle:

Operational leases accounted under OPEX, not affecting depreciations. This mainly consists of mining equipment, vehicles, office premises and other equipment

IFRS principle:

Leasing will be in total be accounted as financial leasing, affecting depreciations in the P&L

Other changes will apply for depreciation principles of mining property, pensions and the opening balance for the transition from NGAAP to IFRS

Key takeaways and outlook

Continued increase in production, extraordinary dividends distributed Strong market fundamentals on a global level

  • o Market prices for iron ore trended somewhat lower in Q4-21. At the end of 2021, iron ore prices stabilised at levels around USD 120/mt. Solid foundation for 2022. o Cash cost per mt was reduced from Q4-20. Reduction achieved despite
  • o Production of iron ore concentrate increased to 435' metric tons (mt), which is ten per cent higher compared to Q4-20.
  • higher energy costs and continued increased activity in the open pit mine.
  • o An extraordinary cash dividend of NOK 2.50/share distributed to the company's shareholders in Q4-21.
  • o The company paid down all long-term debt to financial institutions.
  • o For Q4-21 the board of directors has resolved a quarterly dividend of NOK 1.51/share to be paid out in Q1-22, implying a pay-out ratio of 70 per cent (inc. share buy-backs amounting to NOK 14 million by Q1-22).

  • o Market fundamentals remain strong on a global level

  • o Increased governmental spending on infrastructure projects globally continues to be a positive demand driver for Rana Gruber products
  • o Stable iron ore prices at the current levels provide a solid foundation for our performance in 2022
  • o Production is expected to continue at the same level as in 2021
  • o Strategic projects will increase product margins and reduce carbon emissions
  • o Increased activity will involve increased cash costs for some time

Questions and answers Next report: Q1 2022 – 12 May 2022

Contact: [email protected]

Appendix: IFRS accounting: Revenues will be based on forward prices

Illustration of booking of hematite revenues at Rana Gruber under the IFRS accounting principles

Appendix: IFRS accounting: Revenues will be based on forward prices
Q4-21 Q1-22 Illustration of booking of hematite revenues at Rana Gruber under the IFRS accounting principles
October November December January February March Q4-21
Reporting
Q4-21 report 11 February
Shipment 1 New: Booked on forward prices for January at December 31
(Platts)
Settled on January average (Impact Q1-22)
Shipment 2 New: Booked on forward prices for January at December 31
(Platts)
Settled on January average (Impact Q1-22)
Shipment 3 New: Booked at February forward prices (at end of December)
Settled on February average (Impact Q1-22)
Shipment 4 New: Booked at February forward prices (at end of December)
Settled on February average (Impact Q1-22)
settlement), while booking of non
Shipment 5 New: Booked at March forward prices (at end December)
Settled on March average (Impact Q1)

The Q4 2021 report and presentation is based on the Norwegian accounting standard (NGAAP), while the annual report for 2021 and all future reporting will be based on the IFRS accounting principles.

Booking of revenues differ between the two accounting standards. The lag effect remains (three months settlement), while booking of nonsettled shipments under IFRS will be based on forward prices. In sum, the accounting will be similar, with a transition from the average of the last month in the quarter to forward prices for specific shipments.

For illustration purposes. The illustration assumes evenly distribution of shipments throughout the quarter

Safe – Responsible – Proud – Brave

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