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Rai Way

Investor Presentation Nov 14, 2023

4506_rns_2023-11-14_6a9d5b81-e5ad-46e4-9819-740b01a513e0.pdf

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9M2023 Results Presentation

14 November 2023

Disclaimer

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Rai Way that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Rai Way operates, as well as the beliefs and assumptions of Rai Way's management. In particular, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results, margins, costs, rate of return and competition tend to be forward-looking in nature. Words such as "expects", "anticipates", "targets", "goals", "projects", "intends", "plans", "believes", "seeks" and "estimates", variations of such words and similar expressions, are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Rai Way's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. They are neither statements of historical fact nor guarantees of future performance. Rai Way therefore cautions against relying on any of these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, economic conditions globally, the impact of competition, political, economic and regulatory developments in Italy. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Rai Way speak only as of the date they are made. Rai Way undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Rai Way's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Rai Way participants

  • Roberto Cecatto, Chief Executive Officer
  • Adalberto Pellegrino, Chief Financial Officer
  • Giancarlo Benucci, Chief Corporate Development Officer

Key messages

  • Strong 9M23 performance:
  • o Revenues up 10.7% (or ca. +12% excluding non-recurring effects) benefitting from CPI-link and rising contribution of regional refarming
  • o Adjusted EBITDA up 19.6%, supported by top-line growth, material reduction in electricity prices in 3Q23 vs 3Q22 and cost control on other opex; 3Q23 profitability at the record level of 70%
  • o Development capex at € 19.7m, with lower component related to refarming vs 9M22 (€ 7.7m vs 30.2m, including both RAI and regional networks); investment in diversification initiatives expected to accelerate following support from new Board
  • o Recurring FCFE above € 90m, almost reaching the level generated in the entire 2022
  • Assessment of diversification initiatives completed: support from the new Board to execution
  • Debt refinancing finalized in October
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2023 raised
  • New Industrial Plan under development, release expected in 1H24

OPERATING UPDATE

OUTLOOK

9M2023 Financial highlights

Mln Eur; % % YoY growth

  • 1) Capex excluding component related to IFRS-16 leasing. Development capex figure include € 2,8 million related to fiber IRU, reported under IFRS-16 financial liabilities in the financial statements
  • 2) Cash conversion = (Adj. EBITDA after Leases Maintenance Capex) / Adj. EBITDA after Leases. Leases estimated as sum of leasing right of use depreciation (excl. dismantling) + financial charges on leasing contracts

9M2023 Results Presentation 6

Core Revenues

Mln Eur; % % YoY growth

  • Excluding non-recurring impacts (e.g. termination of a minor radio service in 3Q22), RAI fixed consideration up in line with CPI
  • New services to RAI up 11,8% driven by inflation and a number of small-size projects (e.g. DAB coverage extension, signals transport, …)
  • New regional MUXes business boosting Third-party revenues up 23.3%
  • o As for other customers, growth confirmed above 9% supported by contract escalator and good performance of FWAPs and radio broadcasters

Opex (excluding non-recurring)

Mln Eur; % % YoY growth

  • Excluding non-core components, Personnel cost up approx. 4%
  • Approx 14% reduction of Other Operating costs:

o 9M energy bill down 42% vs. 2022 as a result of sharp price decline (especially compared to 3Q22) and consumption efficiency (-12%) o underlying trend of other cost items up 6,6% (or approx. 4% net of the expenses related to a government-sponsored project to be covered by funds reported under other income) 1H22 1H23 Δ 3Q22 3Q23 Δ 9M22 9M23 Δ

Tax credit impact (€/MWh) 1H22
-
1H23
-37
Δ 3Q22
-74
3Q23
-
Δ 9M22
-24
9M23
-24
Δ
Raw energy(1) price (€/MWh)
Other tariff components
153(2)
43
142
83
476
57
121
68
260
47
135
78
(equivalent per MWh)
Total price
Tax credit impact (€/MWh)
(equivalent per MWh)
-
196
-37
188
-4% -74
459
-
189
-59% -24
283
-24
188
-33%
Consumption (GWh)
Other tariff components
38,6
43
33,4
83
-14% 19,0
57
17,2
68
-10% 57,7
47
50,6
78
-12%
(equivalent per MWh)
Energy bill (€ mln)
Total price
7,6 6,3 -17% 8,7 3,3 -63% 16,3 9,5 -42%
(equivalent per MWh) 196 188 -4% 459 189 -59% 283 188 -33%
Eur Mln, %
Eur Mln, %
3Q2022 3Q2023
3Q2022
% YoY
3Q2023
% YoY
9M2022 9M2023
9M2022
% YoY
9M2023
% YoY
Core Revenues
Core Revenues
63,2 68,2
63,2
7,9%
68,2
7,9%
184,4 204,1
184,4
10,7%
204,1
10,7%
Other Revenues & income
1)
Other Revenues & income
0,1 0,1
0,1
0,1 0,4 0,4
0,4
0,4
Adj. EBITDA
Adj. EBITDA
% margin
% margin
37,5
59,4%
47,6
37,5
69,9%
59,4%
27,0%
47,6
27,0%
69,9%
115,7
62,7%
138,4
115,7
67,8%
62,7%
19,6%
138,4
19,6%
67,8%
Non recurring costs
Non recurring costs
0,0 0,0
0,0
0,0 0,0 -3,6
0,0
-3,6
EBITDA
EBITDA
% margin
% margin
37,5
59,4%
47,6
37,5
69,9%
59,4%
27,0%
47,6
27,0%
69,9%
115,7
62,7%
134,8
115,7
66,0%
62,7%
16,5%
134,8
16,5%
66,0%
2)
D&A
-10,2 -11,6
-10,2
14,3%
-11,6
14,3%
-35,8 -34,3
-35,8
-4,4%
-34,3
-4,4%
Operating Profit (EBIT)
Operating Profit (EBIT)
27,3 36,0
27,3
31,7%
36,0
31,7%
79,8 100,5
79,8
25,9%
100,5
25,9%
Net financial income (expenses)
Net financial income (expenses)
-0,5 -1,2
-0,5
144,2%
-1,2
144,2%
-1,3 -2,9
-1,3
118,1%
-2,9
118,1%
Profit before Income taxes
Profit before Income taxes
26,9 34,8
26,9
29,7%
34,8
29,7%
78,5 97,6
78,5
24,3%
97,6
24,3%
Income Taxes
Income Taxes
% tax rate
% tax rate
-7,6
28,3%
-9,9
-7,6
28,4%
28,3%
30,2%
-9,9
30,2%
28,4%
-22,2
28,3%
-27,8
-22,2
28,5%
28,3%
24,8%
-27,8
24,8%
28,5%
Net Income
Net Income
19,3 24,9
19,3
29,5%
24,9
29,5%
56,3 69,8
56,3
24,1%
69,8
24,1%

despite €3,6m non-recurring costs:

  • o Significantly higher EBITDA and profitability (ca 70% in the 3Q23)
  • o Lower D&A as net effect of the termination of the useful life of DVB-T equipment (in 3Q22) and investment activity
  • o Financial charges up reflecting higher net debt and rising interest rates
  • o Stable tax rate

9M2023 recurring FCFE(6) at ca. € 91m

1) Excluding component related to IFRS-16 leasing; development capex include € 2,8 million related to fiber IRU, reported under IFRS-16 financial liabilities in the financial statements

2) P&L taxes

3) P&L financial charges excluding interests on employee benefit liability and interests on leasing contracts;

4) including renewal of leasing contracts and interests on leasing contracts;

5) Including current financial assets

6) Recurring FCFE = Adj. EBITDA – Leases – Net Financial Charges (excl. IFRS-16 component) – P&L Taxes (adjusted to exclude benefits from non-recurring opex) – Recurring Maintenance Capex. Leases estimated as sum of leasing right of use depreciation (excl. dismantling) + financial charges on leasing contracts

9M2023 Results Presentation 10

Debt refinancing

  • Amount: € 185m (vs previous € 170m), of which € 143m Term loan (with bullet repayment at maturity) + € 42m Revolving
  • Term Loan to be drawn as needed upon borrower's request (€ 101m drawn as of today)
  • Tenor: 3 years
  • Interest: Euribor (0 floor) + 1,10%
  • Commitment fee: 35% of the spread
  • One-off fees: 27,5bps upfront fee; 7,5bps coordination fee
  • Covenant: Net Debt / EBITDA ≤ 3,0x
  • Lenders: BPER Banca S.p.A., Cassa Depositi e Prestiti S.p.A., Mediobanca S.p.A., UniCredit S.p.A.

Cash generation and available debt to finance development initiatives

2023 Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised

● Outlook based on recent levels of power futures for the rest of 2023(1)

Adjusted
EBITDA
Growth
rate now
expected
in the «high-teens
area»
-
CPI-link
-
Rising
contribution
from
regional
refarming
-
Lower
energy
prices(1)
and
lower
consumption
-
Start-up
costs
related
to
new
infrastructure/services
Capex Maintenance
capex broadly

stable
vs 2022

Development capex below
vs
rd
2022, with different
RAI-3
Parties mix
-
New
infra
roll-out
(mainly
edge
&
CDN)
-
Backbone
upgrade
completion
-
Residual
refarming
investments
(both
RAI
&
regional)
Following support from the Board,
investments in diversification
to accelerate in coming quarters
initiatives

Q&A session

Contacts

Appendix

Balance sheet

Mln Eur

Detailed summary of Income Statement

(€m; %) 3Q22 3Q23 9M22 9M23
Core revenues 63,2 68,2 184,4 204,1
1
Other revenues and income
1,5 0,1 1,8 1,6
Purchase of consumables (0,4) (0,3) (1,0) (0,9)
Cost of services (16,5) (9,6) (35,7) (30,4)
Personnel costs (9,5) (10,0) (31,8) (37,5)
Other costs (0,6) (0,7) (1,9) (2,1)
Opex (27,1) (20,6) (70,5) (71,0)
Depreciation, amortization and write-downs (10,2) (11,6) (35,9) (34,3)
Provisions - - 0,0 -
Operating profit (EBIT) 27,3 36,0 79,8 100,5
Net financial income (expenses) (0,5) (1,2) (1,3) (2,9)
Profit before income taxes 26,9 34,8 78,5 97,6
Income taxes (7,6) (9,9) (22,2) (27,8)
Net Income 19,3 24,9 56,3 69,8
EBITDA 37,5 47,6 115,7 134,8
EBITDA margin 59,4% 69,9% 62,7% 66,0%
Non recurring costs - - - (3,6)
Adjusted EBITDA 37,5 47,6 115,7 138,4
Adjusted EBITDA margin 59,4% 69,9% 62,7% 67,8%

1) Other Revenues and income include tax credits related to electricity expenses

Summary of Balance Sheet

(€m) 2022FY 9M2023
Non current assets
Tangible assets 280,8 278,5
Rights of use for leasing 33,4 32,3
Intangible assets 19,5 20,6
Financial assets, holdings and other non-current assets 0,9 0,9
Deferred tax assets 1,8 2,1
Total non-current assets 336,4 334,5
Current assets
Inventories 0,8 0,8
Trade receivables 66,2 80,2
Other current receivables and assets 2,5 3,8
Current financial assets 1,5 0,8
Cash and cash equivalents 35,2 10,7
Current tax receivables 0,1 0,1
Total current assets 106,2 96,4
TOTAL ASSETS 442,6 430,9
(€m) 2022FY 9M2023
Shareholders' Equity
Share capital 70,2 70,2
Legal reserves 14,0 14,0
Other reserves 38,2 37,8
Retained earnings 73,7 69,9
Treasury shares (20,0) (20,0)
Total shareholders' equity 176,2 171,9
Non-current liabilities
Non-current leasing liabilities 22,6 21,0
Employee benefits 10,0 10,0
Provisions for risks and charges 15,1 14,1
Other non-current liabilities 0,3 0,3
Total non-current liabilities 48,0 45,4
Current liabilities
Trade payables 60,5 36,8
Other debt and current liabilities 38,5 49,9
Current financial liabilities 101,5 106,7
Current leasing liabilities 17,6 17,4
Current tax payables 0,4 2,8
Total current liabilities 218,4 213,6
TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 442,6 430,9

Summary of Cash Flow Statement

(€m) 3Q2022 3Q2023 9M2022 9M2023
Profit before income taxes 26,9 34,8 78,5 97,6
Depreciation, amortization and write-downs 10,2 11,6 35,9 34,3
Provisions and (releases of) personnel and other funds 0,9 (0,8) 0,3 1,1
Net financial (income)/expenses 0,4 1,1 1,2 2,8
Other non-cash items 0,1 0,1 0,2 0,4
Net operating CF before change in WC 38,4 47,0 116,1 136,1
Change in inventories 0,0 - 0,0 0,0
Change in trade receivables (9,1) (5,0) (9,6) (14,3)
Change in trade payables 4,1 (8,1) (8,1) (23,7)
Change in other assets (1,4) (0,1) 0,4 (1,3)
Change in other liabilities 4,8 (15,8) 8,2 (11,9)
Use of funds (0,1) (0,3) (0,9) (0,6)
Payment of employee benefits (0,6) (0,4) (2,3) (1,7)
Change in tax receivables and payables (0,1) (0,0) (0,1) (2,2)
Taxes paid (21,3) - (22,9) -
Net cash flow generated by operating activities 14,9 17,3 80,7 80,3
Investment in tangible assets (15,2) (7,9) (40,7) (20,3)
Disposals of tangible assets (0,0) - 0,0 -
Investment in intangible assets (0,5) (1,6) (1,2) (4,3)
Disposals of intangible assets (0,0) - (0,0) -
Change in other non-current assets 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0
Change in non-current financial assets 0,0 - 0,1 -
Net cash flow generated by investment activities (15,6) (9,5) (41,7) (24,7)
(Decrease)/increase in medium/long-term loans - - 32,0 -
(Decrease)/increase in current financial liabilities 0,1 (1,0) 0,3 3,7
(Decrease)/increase in IFRS 16 financial liabilities (1,1) (1,0) (6,9) (8,8)
Change in current financial assets (0,1) (0,4) (0,3) (0,4)
Net Interest paid (0,2) (0,1) (0,7) (1,0)
Dividends paid (0,0) - (65,1) (73,7)
Net cash flow generated by financing activities (1,3) (2,4) (40,7) (80,1)
Change in cash and cash equivalent (2,1) 5,4 (1,6) (24,5)
Cash and cash equivalent (beginning of period) 17,7 5,4 17,2 35,2
Cash and cash equivalent (end of period) 15,6 10,7 15,6 10,7

9M2023 Results Presentation 19

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