Investor Presentation • Sep 29, 2015
Investor Presentation
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Milan, 29 September 2015
This presentation contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Rai Way that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Rai Way operates, as well as the beliefs and assumptions of Rai Way's management. In particular, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results, margins, costs, rate of return and competition tend to be forward-looking in nature. Words such as "expects," "anticipates," "targets," "goals," "projects," "intends," "plans," "believes," "seeks," and "estimates," variations of such words, and similar expressions, are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are only predictions and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Rai Way's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. They are neither statements of historical fact nor guarantees of future performance. Rai Way therefore cautions against relying on any of these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, economic conditions globally, the impact of competition, political, economic and regulatory developments in Italy. Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Rai Way speak only as of the date they are made. Rai Way undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Rai Way's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
TV and RadiobroadcastingTransmission Tower hosting Network services
• Turnkey solutions for transmission and broadcasting networks
Interconnects major event venues with Clients' newsrooms and offices
•
Italian National Football League
• Provides availability of tower infrastructures for radio transmitters
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Rai Way: the Smarter Tower Company
Audience share (1H2015)FTA offer (100% of RAI channels) dominates the TV audience, with a share stable at ca. 91-92%
| M U X |
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f i i i N b t l l d t M U X u m e r o n s a e e q u p m e n o n m a n |
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| 5 | i io fre ies 4 S ha ls M U X Ra 1: D T V va r us q ue nc ; c nn e M U X Ra i 2: 5 4 6 M Hz 4 S D T V ha ls ; c nn e i 3: 4 S ha ls M U X Ra 5 1 M Hz 5 D T V ; c nn e i M U X Ra 4: 6 2 6 M Hz 2 S D 1 H D T V ha ls + ; c nn e M U X Ra i 5: 2 1 9, 5 M Hz ; |
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| 5 | d ia t 2 2 8 ha ls M U X M 1: 7 M Hz e se ; c nn e ia M U X M d t 2: 5 9 4 M Hz 7 S D 1 H D T V ha ls + e se ; c nn e M U X M d ia t 3: 6 1 0 M Hz 4 S D 2 H D T V ha ls + e se ; c nn e d ia t 4: 6 9 8 6 S ha ls M U X M M Hz D T V e se ; c nn e ia M U X M d t 5: 7 5 4 M Hz 9 S D ha ls e se ; c nn e |
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| 5 | 6 8 2 S ha ls M U X T I M B 1: M Hz 7 D T V ; c nn e M U X T I M B 2: 7 8 6 M Hz 1 1 S D T V ha ls ; c nn e M U X T I M B 3: 6 9 0 M Hz 1 1 S D T V ha ls ; c nn e te 6 8 S ha ls M U X Re A 1: 5 M Hz 7 D T V ; c nn e M U X Re te A 2: 5 7 0 M Hz 1 6 S D T V ha ls ; c nn e |
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| 1 | M U X D- F R E E: 7 0 6 M Hz 5 S D T V ha ls ; c nn e |
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| 1 | 3: 6 0 2 S 4 ha ls M U X L A M Hz 1 D H D T V + ; c nn e |
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| 1 | M U X Eu 7: 1 9 8. 5 M Hz 5 S D T V ha ls ro p a ; c nn e |
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| 1 | i: M U X Re te Ca 7 6 2 M Hz 9 S D T V ha ls p r ; c nn e |
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MUX L3: 506 Mhz;
1
17 29 September 2015 2015-2019 Industrial Plan
2015-2019 Industrial Plan
• In 1H2015 the Radio market reached a total audience of 34.9m listeners (stable vs. 2013) with a penetration rate of about 67% of the population
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Within the reorganization process, frequencies interfering with neighbouring countries(1) (76 on a regional basis) excluded from planning and to be compulsorily released by network operators
Interfering frequencies (1,2)
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2015-2019 Industrial Plan
Roadmap to DVB-T2 transition approved by TDF:
30
According to the Lamy report to the EU Commission (Sept 2014):
| d i h A t t L c c o r n g o e - |
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| 7 0 0 M Hz ba d to be n l loc te d to re a a i b le br d ba d m o oa n i by 2 0 2 0, t h 2 w a f lex i b i l i ty ( y ea rs no la te t ha 2 0 2 2 ) r n |
By 2 0 2 5 he k f c c o te hn log ic l c o a ( W i F i, 5 G p ro g re ss , tc ) d e an co ns um er ha b i ts |
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t i i t 0 0 7 M H a n c p a e z y |
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| i t h l i i t d R A I M U X 5 w m e c o v e r a g e - 29 Se tem be r 2 015 p |
2015-2019 Industrial Plan
| S t tu a s |
C l t d i 2 0 J 1 5 o m p e e n u n e : f i ( ) T l 2 1 0 M Hz e e o n c a • x T l k e e o m • t h l d ( 2 0 ) D 1 M H e u s c a n x d f 2x V 1 M Hz • |
O 9 ly 2 0 C J 1 5 A R E P n u i i t d t t t h nv e o p e r a o r s o e i t a u c o n |
I N b 2 0 1 4 n o e m e r v O F C O M d i d d, f t e c e a e r a b l i l t t i t p u c c o n s u a o n, o l l t 0 0 b d 7 M Hz a o c a e a n b i l b d b d t o m o e r o a a n A t i t t t 2 c o n o s a r e a r s u y |
7 0 0 M Hz b d t ly a n c u r r e n d b D T T u s e y N b l T V o c a e - f ( D T T l t 2 0 p a o r m - i i t l M U X 6 n a o n a s. n v |
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d t e |
The Future of Free to View TV – A discussion document (28 May 2014)
«Our base case remains that DTT will continue to be an important delivery technology for free to view TV over the next decade. We do not currently expect a full switch-off of DTT until post 2030, unless there was significant policy intervention to support a more aggressive timetable for change»
«Current free to view television platforms will only remain popular in the long term if they evolve in terms of the range of content and functionality on offer, in line with wider market developments»
«We believe that industry needs to give further consideration to how it wants the platform to develop moving forward»
Expand non-DTT traffic (e.g. long distance carrier services), leveraging on enhanced broadband capacity of Rai Way contribution network
• Intensify implementation of systems to manage multiplatform systems, in particular DAB services
• Extend customer base targeting both:
Advanced negotiations (A)To be negotiated (B)Future initiatives• MUX "Francofono" for Valle d'Aosta region• Tidying up of frequencies for MUX1 (channel 25 only) • MUX 2/3/4 extension of coverage• DAB+ roll-out to cover Milan-Trieste and Milan-Naples highways • Satellite contribution network• SDH radio link spectrum redefinition• Completion of DAB+ roll-out • Full tidying up of frequencies for MUX1• Full HD• Transition to DVB-T2Not included in 2015-2019 Industrial PlanFinalized contracts• Contribution network upgrade• RAI Sport HD• Transmission services for Expo•International distribution for RAI Com
44 29 September 2015 2015-2019 Industrial Plan
Diffusion of bandwidth-intensive services driving the development of networks able to bear increasing traffic…
•Take-up of new broadband services
• Pressure on MNOs' profitability, with increasing focus on hosting cost reduction
Upgraded contribution network +Fiber to the Tower
| t d t h d d t i b t i t k i t h i l b i l i t f h i h i t t t h i t / t E e n e p g r a e c o n r o n n e o r a a a o g c a p a c a e s e o e r • x u u w w v y y w |
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|
| H o w |
f i i i i i i f f i i ( B t 2 0 1 5 d 2 0 1 6 b t t b t t k l l t t e w e e n a n n e w e r o p c c o n r u o n n e w o r w n c r e a s e r a c c a p a c y v s. • d i l i k d / t l l i t b d t k ), l l i i t f f t d t h t R W R A I r a o n a n o r s a e e- a s e n e w o r a o w n g a a y o o e r o a n o e r c u s o m e r s t t i i l l d l t f h i l f f i F H D U H D r a n s p o r s e r c e s n a n r a r o m e a c r e g o n a o c e v u |
| T h i l b i l i t f t h t i b t i t k ( R i W 's h i h i t b k b ) f i l i t t e a a a o e n e c o n r o n n e o r a a g c a p a c a c o n e a c a e s • v y w u w y y f t h d l t t h F t t T d l e e e o p m e n o e m o e v |
Backhauling services for TLC customers
Smart metering
| PO TIO N C OV GE PU LA ERA |
RG TA ET |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 14 |
20 18 |
202 0 |
|
| ITA LY |
|||
| Po lat ion ith at lea st 3 0 M bp pu co ve rag e w s |
21% | 75% | 100 % |
| Po lat ion ith at lea st 100 M bp pu co ve rag e w s |
40% | to 85 % up |
|
| EU RO PE |
|||
| lat ion ith lea st 3 0 M bp Po at pu co ve rag e w s |
62% | 100 % |
|
| lat ion ith at lea st 100 bp Po M pu co ve rag e w s |
50% |
| CLUSTER A | CLUSTER B | CLUSTER C | CLUSTER D |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le 15 città più popolose e le aree industriali |
Ca 1130 comuni | Ca 2650 comuni | Ca 4300 Comuni (di cui circa 300 già oggetto dell'intervento pubblico in corso) |
| 15% | 45% | 24% | 13% |
| della popolazione | della popolazione | della popolazione | della popolazione |
| Upgrade | Upgrade | Upgrade | Upgrade |
| da 30 a 100 mbps | da 30 a 100 mbps | da 2 a 100 mbps | da 2 a 30 mbps |
| Defiscalizzazione | Defiscalizzazione | Defiscalizzazione | Defiscalizzazione |
| e accesso al credito | e accesso al credito | e accesso al credito | e accesso al credito |
| agevolato | agevolato | agevolato | agevolato |
| No fondo perduto. Intervento realizzato esclusivamente dal mercato |
Minimo impiego di risorse pubbliche a fondo perduto |
Risorse pubbliche a fondo perduto proporzionalmente maggiore rispetto al cluster B |
Il pubblico interviene realizzando direttamente l'infrastruttura di sua proprietà |
Size and target for each cluster depending on the magnitude of private investments (public investments targeted at 7 Bln €)
"Today, businesses, particularly in sparsely populated regions, must work with digital so as to improve competitiveness. With the deployment of its network, TDF becomes part of the very highspeed broadband technology panel in France thereby fostering the emergence of new services such as e-health, e-education, egovernment and e-training etc"(1)
TE Connectivity
Crown Castle owns or has rights to ca. 16,000 miles of fiber to strengthen its position in small cell networks deployment and to expand presence in many of the top U.S. metropolitan markets
HOUSTON, April 30, 2015 -- Crown Castle announced today that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Quanta Fiber Networks, Inc. ("Sunesys") for approximately \$1.0 billion in cash. Sunesys, a wholly owned subsidiary of Quanta Services, is a fiber services provider that owns or has rights to nearly 10,000 miles of fiber in major metropolitan markets across the United States, including Los Angeles, Philadelphia, Chicago, Atlanta, Silicon Valley, and northern New Jersey, with approximately 60% of Sunesys' fiber miles located in the top 10 basic trading areas ("BTAs").
62 29 September 2015 2015-2019 Industrial Plan
Financials
Reduction of investments on active equipment
Change Management initiatives focused on core competence, leadership, innovation and digital awareness
• Reporting & Analysis management systems
2015-2019 Industrial Plan
69 29 September 2015 2015-2019 Industrial Plan
Impact not included in 2015-2019 Industrial Plan
−Roma - Santa Palomba, located in Rome and Pomezia, with an extension of 24,5 hectares
-To recap: Rai Way strategy
• Technology driven demand/opportunities (HD, DVB-T2, DAB+)
•MNOs and FWAPs coverage extension
•Take-up of new wireless broadband services
•
•Increasing appeal of alternative platform
•MNOs consolidation and site sharing agreements
•Potential for short to medium term market consolidation
•Rents: technical and civil rents optimization
•
75
| i M a n a |
i t s s u m p |
o n s |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | C P I |
|||||
| 2 0 1 5 |
2 0 6 1 |
2 0 1 7 |
2 0 8 1 |
2 0 9 1 |
||
| C P I |
0, 2 0 % |
0 0 % 1, |
2 % 1, 5 |
2 % 1, 5 |
2 % 1, 5 |
Mln Eur; %
(1) EBITDA pre-non recurring costs in 2014 and 2015. 2019 not including any non recurring cost
(2) Normalized Equity Free Cash Flow (FCFE) defined as Adjusted EBITDA - Net financial charges - P&L Taxes (2015 adjusted by impact of restructuring cost) – Maintenance Capex
78
CAGR 2015-19
% margin on revenues
Mln Eur; %
• Optimization of maintenance capex / revenues ratio to ca. 8,5% in 2019, mainly driven by rationalization of investments on active equipment
Mln Eur
2015-19 cumulated Development Capex
(1) Normalized Equity Free Cash Flaw (FCFE) defined as Adjusted EBITDA - Net financial charges - P&L Taxes (adjusted by impact of restructuring cost) – Maintenance Capex
(2) Yield based on closing share price of 24/09/2015 of 4,524 €/share
88 29 September 2015 2015-2019 Industrial Plan
• In the medium-long term, dividend yield asymptotic to normalized FCFE yield (D&A converging to maintenance capex Net Income converging to normalized FCFE)
•Also including cash-out for development capex and dividends, leverage is expected to decrease in the period
| i S t t t t r a e g c a r g e s |
i R W t t a a y s r a e g y |
i i P t t l t t o e n a n o n o r g a n c a r g e s |
|---|---|---|
| Ex te d br dc t ing to ba d n oa as c us m er se a n • be f m d M U X nu m r o an ag e Co le te in du tr ia l fo tp in t in i f ic m p s o r sp ec • ar ea s i io ing S tre t he ke t p t • ng n m ar os n i f fe ia f fe ing D t te b l br d ba d • re n o r e na oa n ic se rv es t ing f f ic ie ( ies ) Inc re as e op er a e nc sy ne rg • y i ta l s tru tu Im p ro ve c ap c re • |
S i l ( i ly i h t t t t n g e a s s e s e. g. s e s c u r r e n w • iv h t i t ) p a s s e o s n g a g r e e m e n s f i S l l t l t t l m a o a r g e o e r p o r o o s • w ( i ) fu A t t / t l l + s s e s o w e r s e q u p m e n • i t t s e rv c e c o n a c T i i i ty ( r a n s m s s o n c a p a c e. g. • i i f i ) t t b nv e s m e n s n e r |
• Target: Eur 15 Mln included in the Industrial Plan, with full financial flexibility to scale up in case of additional market opportunities
----Customer base extension Infrastructure optimization (synergies) Economies of scale Value creation for shareholders
--Differentiate offer enabling broadband services Strengthen market positioning TRANSMISSION CAPACITY
Integration with MNOs' network
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