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QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED — M&A Activity 2016
Jan 27, 2016
65652_rns_2016-01-27_3948e4ca-90fd-427a-bf5d-bfc8deaf58e0.pdf
M&A Activity
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28 January 2016
ASX Announcement
Media and Analysts conference call alert
Qube Consortium submits binding proposal to acquire Asciano
All Participants will be asked to provide the Conference ID, their name and organisation when joining the Call.
10.00am-10.30am – AEDT (NSW, VIC, TAS, ACT) – Media Conference Call
Media Conference call with Qube Managing Director Maurice James
Dial-in details
Australia Toll Free: 1 800 558 698 OR 1 800 809 971
Australia Local: 02 9007 3187
International: +61 2 9007 3187
Conference ID No: 511582
11.00am-11.30am – AEDT (NSW, VIC, TAS, ACT) – Analyst Briefing Conference Call
Analyst call with Qube Managing Director Maurice James and CFO Paul Lewis
Dial-in details
Australia Toll Free: 1 800 558 698 OR 1 800 809 971
Australia Local: 02 9007 3187
International: +61 2 9007 3187
Conference ID No: 827338
Media are invited to join on a listen-only basis.
Further Enquiries:
Media Paul Lewis +61 417 224 920 +61 2 9080 1903 Tim Duncan +61 408 441 122
Paul White Chief Financial Officer / Company Secretary


Qube Holdings Limited
Consortium submits binding proposal to acquire Asciano
28 January 2016
Disclaimer
This presentation is provided for information purposes only. The information in this presentation is in a summary form, does not purport to be complete and is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or other persons. The information contained in this presentation was prepared as of its date, and remains subject to change without notice. This presentation has been provided to you solely for the purpose of giving you background information about Qube Holdings Limited (Qube)
This presentation is intended only for those persons to whom it is delivered personally by or on behalf of Qube. By attending this presentation, you represent and warrant that (i) if you are in Australia, you are a person to whom an offer of securities may be made without a disclosure document (as defined in the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) "Corporations Act")) on the basis that you are exempt from the disclosure requirements of Part 6D.2 in accordance with Section 708(8) or 708(11) of the Corporations Act; (ii) if you are outside Australia, you are a person to whom an offer and issue of securities can be made outside Australia without registration, lodgement or approval of a formal disclosure document or other filing in accordance with the laws of that foreign jurisdiction. If you are not such a person, you are not entitled to attend this presentation. Please return this document and any copies and do not provide this document to any other person.
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Certain statements in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements or statements about future matters that are based upon information known and assumptions made as of the date of this presentation. Forward looking statements can generally be identified by the use of forward looking words such as, "expect", "anticipate", "likely", "intend", "should", "could", "may", "predict", "plan", "propose", "will", "believe", "forecast", "estimate", "target" and other similar expressions within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance or outlook on, future earnings or financial position or performance are also forward looking statements. These statements are subject to internal and external risks and uncertainties that may have a material effect on future business. Actual results may differ materially from any future results or performance expressed, predicted or implied by the statements contained in this presentation. As such, undue reliance should not be placed on any forward looking statement. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Nothing contained in this presentation nor any information made available to you is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise, representation, warranty or guarantee, whether as to the past, present or future.
The provision of this presentation is not a representation to you or any other person that an offer of securities will be made. Any prospective transaction would be undertaken solely on the basis of disclosure documentation prepared in accordance with applicable securities laws and regulations. The information presented in this presentation may differ materially in both content and presentation from that presented in any disclosure document prepared in connection with any prospective transaction. Qube reserves the right to alter the information contained in this presentation in any disclosure document prepared in respect of any prospective transaction from the form of this presentation accordingly.
This presentation is not, and does not constitute, an offer to sell or the solicitation, invitation or recommendation to purchase any securities in Qube and neither this presentation nor any of the information contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment. In particular, this presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities in the United States.
This presentation may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This is a private communication and was not intended for public circulation or publication or for the use of any third party without the approval of Qube.
All references to dollars, cents or $ in this presentation are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated.
In receiving this presentation, each recipient agrees to the foregoing terms and conditions.
Transaction summary
- • Qube, GIP, CPPIB and CIC Capital (the "Consortium") has submitted a binding proposal to acquire all the issued share capital in Asciano that it does not already own
- • Offer of A$6.97 cash plus 1 Qube share for every Asciano share held for an implied value of:
- A$9.17 per Asciano share based on Qube's 30 day1 VWAP of A$2.20; and
- A$9.08 based on Qube's last closing price on 25 January 2016 of A$2.11, the trading day prior to the date of submission of the proposal
- Asciano able to pay fully-franked permitted dividends of up to a maximum of A$0.90 per share, in aggregate, to enable franking benefits of up to A$0.386 per share to be distributed to shareholders (with the cash component of the consideration to be reduced by an equivalent amount)
- • The Proposed Transaction represents superior value to Brookfield Infrastructure Partners' ("Brookfield") uncertain, conditional scheme of arrangement and conditional takeover offer, which has a value of A$8.77 per share as at 25 January 20162
- relative to Brookfield's proposed offering of CDIs, provides Asciano shareholders with a better legal and governance framework and no external management fees will be payable
- provides Asciano shareholders with participation in future upside of the combination of Qube with Asciano's Ports businesses and direct exposure to benefits of Qube strategy and management
- •Clear, achievable regulatory path to completion

-
30 trading days to 25 January 2016.
-
Based on Brookfield's last closing price of US$32.82 on 25 January 2016, and exchange rate of 0.6956 US dollars per Australian dollar.
Transaction summary – Qube participation
- • If the proposed transaction is successful, Qube will acquire 100% of Asciano's Patrick terminals business and its 50% interest in Australian Amalgamated Terminals ("AAT") (together "Ports")
- transaction structured to enable Qube to acquire 100% of Ports without the support of Brookfield
- • Cost to Qube for the acquisition of Ports will be A$2.65bn (before transaction costs), of which at least A$1.80bn will be equity funded (including scrip issued to Asciano shareholders), with the balance funded through new debt facilities
- funding structure is consistent with Qube's prudent approach to leverage and ensures that post completion of the transaction, Qube will remain well positioned to fund the continued growth in its business, including the transformational Moorebank project
- • In addition to the funding for Ports, Qube will also contribute an additional A$129m (at 50.1% relevant interest) – A$258m (at 100% relevant interest) towards the takeover consideration, proportional to the level of acceptances under the offer
- • Qube will also provide an A$850m debt bridge to fund the acquisition by BAPS HoldCo (an entity owned by GIP, CPPIB and CIC Capital) of Asciano's Bulk & Automotive Port Services ("BAPS") assets (excluding the AAT interest, but including the ACFS interest), which will be held for sale if not sold prior to completion. Qube will also have the right to acquire any of the BAPS assets from BAPS Holdco (subject to any necessary regulatory approvals)
- • Qube expects to be able to achieve an estimated A$30–50m p.a. of benefits in synergies and business improvement projects over 2–3 years from the acquisition of Ports, resulting in double digit EPS accretion1 to Qube on a pro forma basis
- • Highly complementary acquisition, representing a continuation of Qube's strategy to be Australia's leading provider of logistics solutions, providing significant opportunities to create substantial shareholder value
Note:
1. Pro forma EPS accretion calculated before the impact of amortisation of identifiable intangibles, based on FY2015 underlying earnings for Qube and the Ports businesses, includes the full run rate impact of synergies based on Qube management's estimates, assumes funding comprising A$1.8 billion of Qube equity with the remainder funded through debt, A$100 million of one off transaction costs, and assumes the BAPS assets are divested for A$850 million (i.e. no gain or loss on divestment to Qube).
Benefits of the transaction for Asciano shareholders


Strategic rationale and alignment with Qube's strategy Section 1

Qube's vision and strategy
Qube's vision
"To be Australia's leading provider of integrated logistics solutions focussed on import and export supply chains"

Qube's strategy in action
- Qube's strategy is to deliver shareholder value over the medium to long term by developing logistics solutions to address inefficiencies in import and export logistics chains
- In addition to its core activities, Qube has recently been diversifying its operations and investing into services for the oil & gas markets, grain exports through its Quattro joint venture and petrochemical imports through its TQ Holdings fuel storage joint venture with TonenGeneral
- The acquisition of the Ports businesses is a continuation of this strategy and will provide significant opportunities to create substantial shareholder value
- The intermodal terminal at Moorebank Sydney is the largest and most significant new port related infrastructure project currently being undertaken in Australia and will deliver long term earnings growth for Qube
- Qube's management team has a deep knowledge of and experience in managing the Patrick terminals businesses

Management experience and capability
Qube is the natural owner of the Asciano Patrick terminals business with an unmatched track record in maximising shareholder value within the Australian ports industry
Qube's Australian management team has extensive experience and knowledge in:
- building and maintaining the Patrick terminals businesses
- delivering innovative solutions for customers
- delivering cost efficiencies at the Patrick terminals businesses
- the Australian waterfront industrial relations environment
- terminal automation and associated operating systems
- improvement in road/rail interface performance
- the strategies to retain customers and increase volumes across terminals and logistics activities

Overview of the Patrick assets to be acquired by Qube
Australia's leading container terminals business
Patrick Container Terminals
- • Australia's leading container terminals business
- holds lease concessions for and operates shipping container terminals in the four largest container ports in Australia:
- Port Botany in Sydney
- East Swanson in Melbourne
- Fisherman Islands in Brisbane
- Fremantle in Perth
- holds lease concessions for and operates shipping container terminals in the four largest container ports in Australia:
Australian Amalgamated Terminals ("AAT")
FY15 EBITDA: A$200m1,2 FY15 EBITDA: A$32m (100%)
- • Operates port terminals for importing and exporting motor vehicles and general cargo
- • All major Australian ports except Fremantle
- • Currently held in 50/50 JV with Qube
- • Currently held within Asciano's BAPS division




Notes:
-
- Reflects Terminals and the pro forma continuing Logistics unit to be acquired, excluding earnings from the ACFS JV and businesses transferred from Terminals and Logistics to BAPS under the Logistics restructure conducted by Asciano.
-
- Excluding associates.
Highlights of Qube post transaction
The proposed transaction would create a market leading ports and logistics company
Highly complementary portfolios
- Combines Asciano's national container terminal assets with Qube's third party logistics operations
- Combination of high quality asset bases
Substantial synergies expected from transaction
- Synergies expected from rationalisation of facilities and corporate structure
- Value creation from specific business improvement projects
- Major opportunities for longer term value creation, including through enhancing the Moorebank project
Highly respected management team with significant strategic and operational expertise and knowledge of the Patrick assets
Qube's management team responsible for building and managing the Patrick terminals business prior to the acquisition by Toll in 2006
Significantly enhanced scale and market relevance
Indicative pro-forma market capitalisation of ~A$4.0bn1—expected to rank well within the ASX100 index
Substantial growth opportunities within combined portfolio
- Base business leveraged to a recovery in economic growth
- Significant additional upside from portfolio of growth projects, including Moorebank, the Quattro grain export joint venture and TQ Holdings fuel storage joint venture with TonenGeneral

Synergies and long term value creation
Significant benefits are expected to accrue from combining Patrick with Qube under a single ownership and management structure, with an estimated A$30–50m+ p.a. of near term synergies, and the potential for substantial additional longer term value creation
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Note:
111. Pro forma EPS accretion calculated before the impact of amortisation of identifiable intangibles, based on FY2015 underlying earnings for Qube and the Ports businesses, includes the full run rate impact of synergies based on Qube management's estimates, assumes funding comprising A$1.8 billion of Qube equity with the remainder funded through debt, A$100 million of one off transaction costs, and assumes the BAPS assets are divested for A$850 million (i.e. no gain or loss on divestment to Qube).
Transaction structure and funding Section 2

Transaction overview
Binding offer for the acquisition of all of the issued share capital of Asciano not already owned by the Consortium by way of an off-market takeover offer
Offer Consideration
- • A$6.97 per Asciano share in cash plus 1 Qube share for every Asciano share, implying a value of:
- A$9.17 per Asciano share based on Qube's 30 day1 VWAP of A$2.20; and
- A$9.08 per Asciano share based on Qube's last closing price of A$2.112
- • Asciano able to pay fully-franked permitted dividends of up to a maximum of A$0.90 per share, in aggregate, to enable franking benefits of up to A$0.386 per share to be distributed to shareholders (with the cash component of the consideration to be reduced by an equivalent amount)
Key Conditions
- 50.1% minimum relevant interest (including the Consortium's existing interest)
- •ACCC, FIRB, OIO, ASIC and ASX approvals
- Asciano shareholder approval (by way of votes with 50.1% thresholds) for:
- sale of the Ports businesses to Qube for A$2.65bn
- sale of BAPS to BAPS HoldCo for A$850m
- equal return of capital to Asciano shareholders (of an amount not exceeding the proceeds from the sale of Ports and BAPS)
- • Other customary conditions including no regulatory restraints, no Asciano material adverse change, no Asciano prescribed occurrence and third party consents

- 30 trading days to 25 January 2016.
Transaction structure
Transaction structure enables Qube to acquire 100% of the Patrick Container Terminals business
Assuming satisfaction of all conditions, including the 50.1% minimum relevant interest condition and Asciano shareholder approval for the sale of Ports and BAPS and the equal return of capital:
- •GIP, CPPIB and CIC Capital to acquire the rail business of Asciano by acquiring shares in Asciano through a jointly-owned bid vehicle ("BidCo")
- •Qube to subsequently acquire Asciano's Patrick container terminals business (excluding ACFS) and its 50% interest in the AAT JV for A$2.65bn
- • The remaining BAPS businesses and Asciano's 50% interest in the ACFS JV to be sold to an entity to be established and owned by GIP, CPPIB and CIC Capital initially ("BAPS HoldCo"), with the intention that the BAPS assets be ultimately sold to a third party:
- funding for the acquisition of BAPS to be provided by a bridge loan from Qube
- assets to be held for subsequent sale to third parties following completion of the offer
- Qube may subsequently seek to acquire certain of the BAPS assets as part of this sale process (subject to regulatory approval)
- •Proceeds from the sale of Ports and BAPS (net of the amount of the permitted dividends) to be returned to non-accepting Asciano shareholders

Proposed ownership structure post transaction
Key transaction steps
Proposed transaction steps (subject to agreement with Asciano and timing of regulatory approvals)
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Qube funding
- • Cost to Qube for the acquisition of Ports will be A$2.65bn (before transaction costs), of which at least A$1.80bn will be equity funded (including up to A$1.651bn of Qube scrip issued to Asciano shareholders), with the balance funded through new debt facilities
- • In addition to the funding for Ports, Qube will also contribute an additional A$129m (at 50.1% relevant interest) – A$258m (at 100% relevant interest) towards the takeover consideration, proportional to the level of acceptances
- • To the extent that the total relevant interest in Asciano following the close of the takeover offer is between 50.1–90%:
- Qube's ability to acquire 100% of Ports will be unaffected
- Qube will have issued less scrip to Asciano shareholders, and so will conduct an equity raising, such that its total equity funding under the transaction remains at least A$1.80bn
- • Qube has underwriting commitments in place for any such incremental equity funding. In addition, CPPIB has provided Qube a letter of commitment in relation to investing an amount equivalent to 9.9% of Qube's expanded issued share capital (subject to any necessary regulatory approvals), with the price of the investment to be agreed prior to lodgment of the bidder's statement. Any further required equity funding is expected to be raised on a pro rata basis
- • Qube will also provide an A$850m debt bridge to fund the acquisition of the BAPS assets by BAPS Holdco
- to be repaid from proceeds of subsequent sale to third parties following completion of the Offer (if not sold prior to completion)
- Qube will also have the right to acquire any of the BAPS assets from BAPS Holdco (subject to any necessary regulatory approvals)
- Qube maintains exposure to any upside or downside risk in relation to the price of any subsequent sale
- • Qube's existing stake in Asciano will be divested to BidCo within the transaction, with the cost of the stake incorporated within the transaction funding requirements above
Funding structure is consistent with Qube's prudent approach to leverage and ensures that post completion of the transaction, Qube will remain well positioned to fund the continued growth in its business, including the transformational Moorebank project
Regulatory approvals
The Consortium has had constructive engagement with all regulatory bodies and no material issues are anticipated with Qube's acquisition of the Ports businesses
- • The Consortium has submitted its applications for FIRB and OIO approvals
- the Consortium has maintained constructive engagement with both FIRB and OIO and is confident of these approvals being obtained within the timeframes of the offer
- • The Consortium does not anticipate there will be any material adverse ACCC issues
- constructive engagement with ACCC since early November 2015
- proposal is structured to minimise potential for perceived competition issues, with approval of:
- BidCo's acquisition of shares in Asciano
- Qube's acquisition of the Ports businesses
- BAPS HoldCo's acquisition of the remaining BAPS businesses

Benefits to Asciano shareholdersSection 3

Attractive valuation for Asciano shareholders
Highly attractive valuation, which is demonstrably superior to the Brookfield transaction across all relevant periods
Fully-franked permitted dividends of up to a maximum of A$0.90 per share, in aggregate, will enable franking benefits of up to A$0.386 per share to be distributed to shareholders

Source: IRESS, company filings.
Note: IER refers to Independent Expert's Report.
Based on last close on 25 January 2016 for Qube, and 25 January 2016 for Brookfield. Qube VWAPs based on ASX and Chi-X trading for trading days across the relevant periods. Brookfield VWAPs based on NYSE trading and average AUD/USD exchange rates for trading days across the relevant periods.
Demonstrably superior value to the Brookfield proposal

Relative value of offers since submission of Consortium's non-binding indicative offer
Source: IRESS.
Note: Market data as at 25 January 2016. Based on Consortium offer of A$6.97 cash + 1 Qube share per Asciano share, and Brookfield offer of A$6.9439 cash + 0.0387 Brookfield shares per Asciano share. Value of Brookfield scrip converted into AUD at daily spot AUDUSD rate.
Comparison of Qube scrip relative to Brookfield CDIs
Qube shares are likely to be significantly more attractive to Asciano shareholders than Brookfield CDIs
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Delivery of earnings growth

Underlying earnings per share (A$, cents) Dividends per share (A$, cents)

Source: Company filings.
Due to Qube restructure, EPS in 2011 is not comparable.

Key transaction benefits
- Highly attractive proposal to Asciano shareholders, demonstrably superior to the Brookfield proposal
- If completed, transaction enables Qube to acquire 100% of Asciano's Patrick container terminals business
- Highly complementary acquisition, representing a continuation of Qube's strategy to be Australia's leading provider of logistics solutions, providing significant opportunities to create substantial shareholder value
- Funding structure consistent with Qube's prudent approach to leverage and ensures that post completion of the transaction, Qube will remain well positioned to fund the continued growth in its business, including the transformational Moorebank project
- Qube expects to be able to achieve A$30–50m p.a. of benefits from synergies and business improvement projects over 2-3 years from the acquisition of Ports, resulting in double digit EPS accretion1 to Qube on a pro forma basis
- An investment in Qube is an investment in a new national logistics champion and moderniser of Australian infrastructure
- Market leading board and management team with unmatched industry expertise and focus on shareholder value
Note:
