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Protector Forsikring

Investor Presentation Jan 29, 2025

3719_rns_2025-01-29_5ec7ffaf-9464-4827-9f45-4ee8ce4dd7c5.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Disclaimer

This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligationsto update or correct any of the information set out herein.

These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.

This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.

This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.

Investor Presentation

Henrik Høye Chief Executive Officer

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

This presentation contains restated figures as defined within IFRS from 2021 onwards. Restated IFRS-figures are not audited.

Premium growth and composition

Disciplined underwriting and risk management

5

t C

*Includes Finland

  • FY growth at 15% (LCY)
    • Renewal rate at 99%, supported by price increases to counter claims inflation
  • Q4 growth at 30% Renewal rate at 104%

    • UK makes up 82% of total growth in GWP this quarter
  • 1 January 2025 growth in GWP at 19% in LCY

    • Driven by high renewal rate and entry to French market
    • New sales in France account for 8%-points (EUR 25m)
Segment FY 24 FY 23 Growth NOK % LCY%
Norway 2 355 1 941 414 21% 21%
Sweden* 2 895 2 754 141 5% 3%
Denmark 1 627 1 407 219 16% 14%
UK 5 457 4 321 1 136 26% 21%
Protector 12 333 10 423 1 910 18% 15%
NOKm, Gross written premiums
Segment Q4 24 24 Q4 23 Growth NOK % ···· CY%
Norway 269 213 56 26% 26%
Sweden* 523 480 43 9% 9%
Denmark 250 235 15 6% 6%
UK 1 646 1 132 514 45% 39%
Protector 2 688 2 060 628 30% 27%

France – Copying a winning formula

One Team; existing and new people contributing cross-border and function

7

  • Recruit, develop and retain the right people
    • French personnel undergoing training in Copenhagen and Manchester
    • Core team already on site in Paris
    • Key personnel will move from existing markets to Paris
  • France will develop Protector
    • Underwriting & Claims handling, cross border resources
    • Risk Management integrated with UK
    • HQ & IT, similar operation as other markets
  • Profitable growth comes first, as always
    • Collecting data and defining our competitive edge
    • Building relations with brokers and clients
    • T am, c t an ot cto 's A s t y to s cc ss
  • Lon t m am t on of 'Top ' n o s m nts

France – New sales January 2025

Our selected brokers and clients are welcoming The Challenger

  • Current in scope market size estimated to be EUR 1.5BN
    • 2/3 within the motor fleet market
    • 1/3 within municipalities and social housing
  • Market conditions are manageable
    • We are getting access to the market through brokers
    • At this point we perceive competitors are rational
  • Total new sales 1 January EUR 25m
    • W of p op ty ≈ m an moto f t ≈ m
  • Volatility should be expected
    • Underwritten in line with company targets
    • Critical mass cost ratios within 3-4 years
    • High share of volume on 1 January inceptions

Targeting France from our Paris office

Quarterly net loss ratio development

Volatility must be expected, even on a company level

9

Net loss ratio Net loss (ex large loss1 and run-off) Run-off Large loss1

Large losses and run-off

10

* Lines in figures indicate large loss and run-off accumulations within outlined periods

Claims update

  • FY large losses1 NOK 851m or 7.2% (550 or 5.9%)
    • 26 large loss events
    • Majority property DK and UK
  • FY run-off gains at 0.9% (losses at 0.3%)

    • Driven by property and liability
    • Run-off gains in SE, NO and DK, loss in UK
  • Q4 large loss NOK 101.5m or 3.2% (269 or 10.2%)

    • Three large loss events, both property and liability
    • Events in DK, SE and UK
  • Q4 run-off gains at 0.4% (gains at 0.4%)
    • Run-off gains in SE and DK, losses in NO and UK.
Loss ratios
FY 24 FY 23 FY 24 FY 23
Segment Gross Gross Net Net
Norway 78% 89% 79% 90%
Sweden* 69% 74% 71% 78%
Denmark 106% 79% 110% 79%
UK 62% 70% 70% 70%
Protector 73.0% 76.5% 77.5% 77.7%
Whereof large loss % 7.2 % 5.9 %
Whereof run-off % -0.9 % 0.3 %
Loss ratios
04 24 04 23 04 24 04 23
Segment Gross Gross Net Net
Norway 79% 92% 80% 91%
Sweden* 65% 70% 68% 73%
Denmark 77% 52% 84% 63%
UK 61% 77% 69% 75%
Protector 67.4% 74.2% 72.6% 75.7%
Whereof large loss % 3.2 % 10.2 %
Whereof run-off % -0.4% -0.4 %

Quarterly cost ratio development

Cost ratio improvement driven by volume growth

Cost a o comm ss ons Comm ss ons to o s an a nts n

Cost update

  • FY cost ratio at 10.6% (10.8%), 6.4% exclusive of commissions
    • 4.2 % (4.4%) in commissions
  • Quality- and development investments > volume growth
  • Cost allocated towards establishing a new branch is incorporated in ' t ncom / p ns s'

  • Q4 cost ratio at 11.6% (10.7%), 7.5% exclusive of commissions

    • 4.1% (4.7%) in commissions
  • Accounting technicalities affecting Q4 cost ratio

    • Adjusted for one-offs, cost ratio is flat relative to Q4 2023
*Includes Finland
**Commissions to brokers and agents
FY 24 FY 23 FY 24 FY 23
Segment Cost % Cost % Comm% ** Comm% **
Norway 7% 7% 3% 2%
Sweden* 14% 13% 8% 7%
Denmark 8% 7% 0% 0%
UK 11% 12% 4% 5%
Protector 10.6% 10.8% 4.2% 4.4%
04 24 04 23 Q4 24 04 23
Segment Cost %* Cost % * Comm% ** Comm% **
Norway 8% 9% 2% 4%
Sweden* 16% 14% 8% 7%
Denmark 9% 8% 0% 0%
UK 11% 10% 4% 5%
Protector 11.6% 10.7% 4.1% 4.7%

Quality Leadership Easy to do business with, commercially attractive and trustworthy

Broker satisfaction index Why measure quality perceived by brokers? 1

  • The brokers are our only distribution channel
    • The relative ranking gives a competitive edge
  • Learning from surveys and following dialogue is key
    • Understanding and improving our common value chain

Key metrics per segment Quarterly volatility must be expected, especially by segment

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Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Investments AUM: NOK 22 033m at year-end | Float increasing

* Protector Forsikring ASA in-sourced investments during 2014

Investment performance

FY: 4.9% return | Q4: -0.4% return

  • FY: NOK 1 059m, or 4.9% gain
    • Equities: NOK 155m, or 4.8%
    • Put options: NOK -39m
    • Bonds: NOK 944m, or 5.1%
      • Interest rate swaps: NOK -180m
  • Strong year for Nordic HY bonds
    • DNB Nordic HY index up 12.1% in 2024 and 2.1% in Q4
  • Q4: NOK -96m, or -0.4% loss
    • Equities: NOK -152m, or -4.4%
    • Put options: NOK -7m
    • Bonds: NOK 63m, or 0.3%
      • Interest rate swaps: -142 MNOK

2024 investment results

Investment portfolio statistics

Bond portfolio yield at 5.2%, before cost of risk

  • Bond portfolio yielding 5.2% (5.8%), before cost of risk

    • Spread -37bps, and underlying ref rate -16bps
    • Slightly reduced bond risk
      • Y po tfo o tota n ≈ ( )
    • Duration at 2.4 (2.2)
      • Steering interest rate risk from a solvency capital perspective
  • Equity share at 16.2% (16.3%)

    • Upside to estimated intrinsic value at 69%
Investment portfolio statistics 31.12.24 31.12.23 30.09.24
Size bond & cash eq. (NOKm)2 18 365 15 650 19 087
Avg. ref. rate (NIBOR, STIBOR, etc.) 3.8% 3.9% 3.9 %
Avg. spread/risk premium (bps) 149 186 131
Bonds
1
Yield3 5.2% 5.8% 5.2 %
Duration3 2.4 2.2 2.3
Credit duration 1.9 1.9 1.7
Avg. rating4 A+ A- A+
Equities Portfolio
size (NOKm)2
3 553 2 983 3 413
Share of total 16.2 % 16.3 % 15.1 %
Estimated
intrinsic value discount
41 % 35 % 38 %
No. of companies 35 32 36

1 Bank deposits included

2Size includes currency swaps

3 Interest rate swap effect included

4 A n a at n as on off c a at n (> ) an ' ot cto at n ' (<55%)

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

NOKm Q4 24 Q4 23 FY 24 FY 23
Gross written premium 2 688 2 060 12 333 10 423
Insurance revenue 3 181 2 646 11 783 9 386
Insurance claims expenses (2 146) (1 963) (8 606) (7 182)
Insurance operating expenses (370) (282) (1 253) (1 011)
Insurance service result before reinsurance contracts held 666 401 1 924 1 193
Net result from reinsurance contracts held (164) (40) (520) (113)
Insurance service result 502 361 1 404 1 080
Net income from investments (96) 860 1 0559 1 328
Net insurance finance income or expenses 29 (356) (213) (384)
Other income/expenses (60) (26) (198) (91)
Profit/(loss) before tax 375 840 2 052 1 933
Tax (127) (182) (513) (439)
Discontinued operations 18 15
Profit/(loss) for the period 248 676 1 539 1 509
Loss ratio 67.4% 74.2% 73.0% 76.5%
Net reinsurance ratio 5.1% 1.5% 4.4% 1.2%
Loss ratio, net of reinsurance 72.6% 75.7% 77.5% 77.7%
Cost ratio 11.6% 10.7% 10.6% 10.8%
Combined ratio 84.2% 86.4% 88.1% 88.5%
Large losses, net of reinsurance 3.3% 10.2% 7.2% 5.9%
Run-off gains/losses, net of reinsurance -0.4% -0.4% -0.9% 0.3%
Change in risk adjustment, net of reinsurance 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5%
Discounting effect, net of reinsurance -3.1% -4.4% -3.8% -4.2%

Balance sheet SCR ratio1 at 193%

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  • Profit for the quarter
  • Dividend NOK 4 per share, NOK 329.7m in total
  • Solvency capital requirement driven by growth

66 %; Insurance 26 %; Market 6 %; Operational 2 %; CD Tier 1 Tier 1 R Tier 2 SCR OF SCR ratio: 193%

SCR ratio composition

22

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

9.000

Solvency II SCR ratio at 193%

Composition of SCR:

  • Net insurance risk 66%
  • Net market risk 26%
  • Other risks 8%

Eligible solvency capital:

• Guarantee provision and proposed dividend subtracted from own funds

23

Vision

The Challenger

Business Idea

This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions

Main targets

Cost and quality leadership

Profitable growth

Top 3

Values

Credible

Innovative/Open

Bold

Committed

Long term (3 years) financial targets Disciplined growth

Flexible shareholder distribution policy Quarterly assessment of capital position vs. capital need

• Build solvency capital

  • Following Q4 2024 the Board has decided to distribute a dividend of NOK 329.7m, corresponding to NOK 4.00 per share.
    • To be paid 13 February (ex. date 6 February)

26

Solvency ratio zone assessment:

  • o to a s 'Green' f s e.g. profitable insurance growth, risk-taking in investment portfolio, other attractive allocation opportunities and/or market/macro turbulence.
  • o to a s 'Pink' f s e.g. limited growth opportunities, very low risk, no near-term allocation opportunities and have good future visibility

Combined Ratio Combined Ratio Earnings per share Earnings per share Amounts in NOKm, Earnings per share NOK Other highlights • 1 January 2025, growth in GWP at 19% in LCY • New sales in France accounted for 8%-points (EUR 25m) • The Board has decided to distribute a dividend of NOK 329.7m, corresponding to NOK 4.00 per share • The payment will take place 13 February 2025 Total investment return Profit for the period Gross premiums written LCY GWP growth Total investment return Profit for the period Gross premiums written LCY GWP growth

This presentation contains restated figures as defined within IFRS from 2021 onwards. Restated IFRS-figures are not audited.

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