Investor Presentation • Jul 7, 2022
Investor Presentation
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This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligationsto update or correct any of the information set out herein.
These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.
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Investor Presentation
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative/Open
Bold
Committed
| PROTECTOR | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance |
| Business unit | Q2 22 Gross |
Q2 22 Net |
Q2 21 Gross |
Q2 21 Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 73 % | 75 % | 72 % | 82 % |
| Sweden | 65 % | 67 % | 59 % | 63 % |
| Denmark | 81 % | 77 % | 119 % | 84 % |
| UK | 79 % | 80 % | 82 % | 85 % |
| Finland | 91 % | 90 % | 60 % | 65 % |
| Protector | 73.7 % | 74.2 % | 77.3 % | 76.3 % |
| Business unit | H1 22 Gross |
H1 22 Net |
H1 21 Gross |
H1 21 Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 81% | 83 % | 70 % | 83 % |
| Sweden | 75 % | 76 % | 60 % | 64 % |
| Denmark | 89 % | 88 % | 111 % | 84 % |
| UK | 73 % | 77 % | 79 % | 84 % |
| Finland | 85 % | 84 % | 80 % | 81% |
| Protector | 78.3 % | 80.2% | 76.0% | 77.4 % |
• Net large losses of MNOK 44, or 3.1 % (3.9 %-points lower than normalized)
6
• H1: Net large losses of MNOK 188, or 6.8 % (1.5 % H1 21)
• H1: Net run off gains at 3.5 % (-0.9 % in H1 21)
• Net run-off gains at 3.4 % (-1.9 % in Q2 21)
Increased activity with brokers from medio Q2
Renewal rate at 98 % (93% in H1)
| MNOK | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | Q2 22 | Q2 21 | Growth | $\overline{\ldots}$ NOK % $^{\prime}$ | $$ LCY $%$ |
| Norway | 338 | 262 | 76 | 29% | 29% |
| Sweden | 515 | 402 | 114 | 28% | 31% |
| Denmark | 63 | 39 | 24 | 61% | 34% |
| UK | 863 | 721 | 142 | 20% | 18% |
| Finland | 8 | 4 | 4 | 112% | 37% |
| Protector | 1788 | 1429 | 359 | 25% | 24% |
| MNOK | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | H1 22 | H1 21 | Growth | $$ NOK $%$ | $$ LCY $%$ |
| Norway | 1 2 9 4 | 1 1 1 9 | 175 | 16% | 16% |
| Sweden | 1459 | 1 2 9 7 | 161 | 12% | 19% |
| Denmark | 875 | 766 | 109 | 14% | 17% |
| UK | 1059 | 959 | 100 | 10% | 9% |
| Finland | 212 | 168 | 44 | 26% | 29% |
| Protector | 4899 | 4 3 0 9 | 590 | 14% | 16% |
| Norway | Sweden | Denmark | UK | Finland | Protector | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNOK | Q2 22 | Q2 21 | Q2 22 | Q2 21 | Q2 22 | Q2 21 | Q2 22 | Q2 21 | Q2 22 | Q2 21 | Q2 22 | Q2 21 |
| Gross premium written | 338 | 262 | 515 | 402 | 63 | 39 | 863 | 721 | 8 | 1788 | 1 429 | |
| Gross premium earned | 397 | 350 | 508 | 422 | 257 | 216 | 423 | 352 | 41 | 75 | 1627 | 1 415 |
| Net premium earned | 360 | 311 | 461 | 366 | 230 | 187 | 340 | 289 | 37 | 67 | 1428 | 1 219 |
| Gross claims ratio | 73.4 % | 72.2 % | 64.6 % | 59.4% | 81.1% | 119.0% | 78.6% | 82.1% | 91.4 % | 59.8% | 73.7 % | 77.3 % |
| Gross cost ratio | 5.4 % | 5.0% | 11.3 % | 10.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 12.6 % | 5.7% | 3.1 % | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| $\mid$ Gross combined ratio | 78.8% | 77.2 % | 75.8% | 70.1% | 87.2 % | 125.8 % | 91.4% | 94.7% | 97.2% | 62.9% | 82.9% | 86.1% |
| Net claims ratio | 75.0% | 82.0% | 66.8% | 63.1% | 77.3 % | 83.9% | 79.7 % | 84.8% | 89.8% | 64.9% | 74.2 % | 76.3% |
| Net cost ratio | 3.9% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 8.4 % | 4.8% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 13.2 % | 5.6 % | $-0.2%$ | 8.3% | 7.6 % |
| $\mid$ Net combined ratio | 78.8 % | 85.8% | 76.4 % | 71.5 % | 82.1% | 90.1% | 93.5 % | 98.0% | 95.4% | 64.7 % | 82.5 % | 83.9% |
| Norway | Sweden | Denmark | UK | Finland | Protector | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNOK | H 1 22 | H1 21 | H 1 22 | H 1 21 | H 1 22 | H 1 21 | H1 22 | H1 21 | H 1 22 | H 1 21 | H 1 22 | H1 21 |
| Gross premium written | 1 294 | 1 1 1 9 | 1459 | 1 2 9 7 | 875 | 766 | 1059 | 959 | 212 | 168 | 4899 | 4 3 0 9 |
| Gross premium earned | 769 | 693 | 957 | 857 | 501 | 423 | 811 | 686 | 113 | 145 | 3 1 5 2 | 2 8 0 3 |
| Net premium earned | 698 | 616 | 872 | 739 | 448 | 367 | 643 | 543 | 104 | 129 | 2764 | 2 3 9 5 |
| Gross claims ratio | 80.9% | 70.2% | 74.9 % | 60.3% | 88.6% | 111.4 % | 72.7 % | 78.7% | 84.8% | 79.9% | 78.3 % | 76.0% |
| Gross cost ratio | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 12.7 % | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 15.5 % | 4.3 % | 5.6 % | 9.6% | 11.0 % |
| Gross combined ratio | 87.0% | 77.1 % | 86.7% | 72.9% | 95.3% | 120.0% | 85.6% | 94.2 % | 89.2 % | 85.5 % | 88.0% | 86.9% |
| Net claims ratio | 83.2 % | 82.8% | 75.7% | 64.1% | 88.0% | 84.0% | 76.9% | 84.0% | 84.4 % | 81.0% | 80.2 % | 77.4 % |
| Net cost ratio | 5.3 % | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 14.3 % | 15.9% | 3.6 % | 4.4 % | 9.3% | 10.0% |
| Net combined ratio | 88.5 % | 90.0% | 86.6% | 75.0% | 94.6 % | 90.3% | 91.2 % | 100.0% | 88.0% | 85.4 % | 89.5 % | 87.4 % |
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative/Open
Bold
Committed
Investment is core
Return on put options MNOK 2
H1 return on investment portfolio at -1.2%, or MNOK -185
• DNB Markets Nordic HY index return at -2.5% in Q2
1 Equity return excludes results from put options, total return includes results from put options and B3 Consulting valued at SEK 70,7 (Equity method). We hold 2.158.022 shares in B3.
3yr interest rate swaps in relevant countries, +50bps to +100bps in Q2 '22 Euro vs Nordic: iTraxx crossover index and Nordic spread development LTM
Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg and Carnegie
Significantly increased interest rates implying increased duration and more "fixed yield"
• Solvency effect of MNOK 200 from higher interest rates in Q2
No. of companies 30 21 32
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative/Open
Bold
Committed
| In millions | 30.06.2022 | 30.06.2021 | 31.12.2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial assets | 13 708 | 13 379 | 13 067 |
| Derivatives | 142 | 63 | 94 |
| Bank deposits | 105 | 109 | 300 |
| Other assets | 4 913 | 4 796 | 4 338 |
| Discontinued operations |
1 090 | 1 712 | 1 448 |
| Total assets | 19 958 | 20 059 | 19 246 |
| Total equity | 2 659 | 3 483 | 3 582 |
| Subordinated loan capital | 1 245 | 1 244 | 1 385 |
| Total reserves | 12 175 | 10 853 | 9 980 |
| Derivatives | 100 | 38 | 26 |
| Other liabilities | 3 140 | 3 490 | 3 440 |
| Discontinued operations | 638 | 951 | 834 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 19 958 | 20 059 | 19 246 |
Numbers may not add up due to rounding
16
18 %; Health
SCR OF
0
17
• Guarantee provision subtracted from own funds
| MNOK | Q2 22 | Q2 21 | H1 22 | H1 21 | FY 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 1788 | 1429 | 4899 | 4 3 0 9 | 5951 |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 1428 | 1 2 1 9 | 2 7 6 4 | 2 3 9 5 | 4921 |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (1060) | (931) | (2 218) | (1854) | (3 810) |
| Sales cost | (86) | (77) | (179) | (178) | (362) |
| Administration cost | (65) | (47) | (124) | (129) | (257) |
| Commission from reinsurer | 33 | 31 | 46 | 67 | 131 |
| Other insurance related income/expenses | (2) | (6) | (10) | (19) | (29) |
| Technical result | 249 | 190 | 280 | 282 | 594 |
| Other income/costs | (13) | (13) | (28) | (30) | (56) |
| Net financial income | (165) | 136 | (174) | 659 | 878 |
| Profit before tax | 70 | 313 | 78 | 910 | 1416 |
| Tax | (5) | (70) | (30) | (141) | (252) |
| Discontinued operations | (14) | 20 | (17) | 70 | 67 |
| Net comprehensive income | 14 | 5 | (10) | $\mathbf 0$ | (28) |
| Profit for the period | 66 | 267 | 21 | 840 | 1 2 0 4 |
| Claims ratio, net of reinsurance | 74.2 % | 76.3% | 80.2% | 77.4 % | 77.4 % |
| Expense ratio, net of reinsurance | 8.3 % | 7.6% | 9.3 % | 10.0% | 9.9% |
| Combined ratio, net of reinsurance | 82.5 % | 83.9% | 89.5% | 87.4 % | 87.3% |
| Gross claims ratio | 73.7% | 77.3 % | 78.3 % | 76.0% | 77.8% |
| Gross expense ratio | 9.3 % | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Gross combined ratio | 82.9% | 86.1% | 88.0% | 86.9% | 88.5% |
| Retention rate | 87.8% | 86.2% | 87.7% | 85.4% | 85.6% |
| Earnings per share | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 10.2 | 15.0 |
ILLUSTRATIVE
3 How much capital should be kept for enabling to act when opportunities arrive?
4 An attractive alternative if meeting hurdle; will normally have to bid with significant premium
5 Capital base discipline; flexible distribution of excess capital if allocation cannot be made elsewhere
| Capital allocation |
|---|
| approach |
• Determine minimum hurdle rate (ROE > 20 %)
Capital allocation – maximize shareholder return
| Q2 | H1 | |
|---|---|---|
| • Net combined ratio | 82.5 % | 89.5 % |
| • Gross written premium | MNOK 1788 $(+25%)$ |
MNOK 4899 $(+14%)$ |
| • Investment return | MNOK - 175 $(-1.2 %)$ |
MNOK - 185 $(-1.2 %)$ |
| • Profit for the period | MNOK 66 | MNOK 21 |
| • Earnings per share | NOK 0.6 | NOK 0.4 |
| • Solvency Capital Ratio | 206% | 206% |
$\Delta$
$\bigcup$
• Responsible business behaviour in our
We have responsible business behaviour at the heart of our operations
• Responsible business behaviour in our
own operations
external relationships • Responsible investments
• EU Corporate Due Diligence
• Investors and banks are requesting standardized information and disclosures on risk management and
business ethics compliance
Accelerating our business through leveraging sustainability
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