Investor Presentation • Apr 30, 2020
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Oslo, April 30th 2020
«Olemme erilaisia»
«Vi är annorlunda»
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decision-making and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership Profitable growth
Top 3
«Vi er annerledes»
«Vi er anderledes»
Values
Credible
Open
Bold
Committed
«We are different»

1 Investment return post allocated costs, pre-tax and inclusive of return on investments linked to COI 2 Solvency capital requirement ratio based on standard formula incl. volatility adjustment
| in MNOK | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | Q1 '20 | Q1 '19 | Growth | NOK % Growth |
LCY % Growth |
|||
| Norway | 820 | 804 | 16 | 2 % | 2 % | |||
| Sweden | 789 | 786 | 3 | 0 % | -4 % | |||
| Denmark | 813 | 761 | 52 | 7 % | 0 % | |||
| UK3 | 192 | 175 | 17 | 10 % | 1 % | |||
| Finland | 213 | 187 | 26 | 14 % | 6 % | |||
| Protector | 2.828 | 2.713 | 115 | 4 % | 0 % |
3 Include approx. MNOK 50 reduction in volume due to substantial deductible increase with our biggest client.
| Q1 '20 | Q1 '19 | Q1 '20 | Q1 '19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | Gross | Gross | Net | Net |
| Norway | 94.3 % | 88.5 % | 96.1 % | 95.1 % |
| Sweden | 80.3 % | 94.3 % | 78.8 % | 93.0 % |
| Denmark | 105.0 % | 107.2 % | 112.7 % | 112.4 % |
| UK | 65.7 % | 81.9 % | 80.1 % | 107.1 % |
| Finland | 67.6 % | 100.7 % | 69.0 % | 100.2 % |
| Protector | 85.5 % | 93.4 % | 89.7 % | 99.3 % |
Gross large loss definition changed; > MNOK 10 (MNOK 7.5)
Net run-off at 0.3% vs. run-off gain 6.9% Q1 2019


1 Gross large losses defined as losses or loss adjustments > MNOK 10

Significant improvement
| Norway | Sweden | Denmark | UK | Finland | Protector | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | |
| Gross premium written | 820 | 804 | 789 | 786 | 813 | 761 | 192 | 175 | 213 | 187 | 2.828 | 2.713 |
| Gross premium earned | 367 | 376 | 397 | 346 | 234 | 208 | 227 | 153 | 68 | 65 | 1.293 | 1.147 |
| Net premium earned | 328 | 315 | 349 | 262 | 204 | 174 | 181 | 84 | 61 | 57 | 1.122 | 891 |
| Gross claims ratio | 94.3 % | 88.5 % | 80.3 % | 94.3 % | 105.0 % | 107.2 % | 65.7 % | 81.9 % | 67.6 % | 100.7 % | 85.5 % | 93.4 % |
| Gross cost ratio | 7.6 % | 6.2 % | 12.1 % | 10.3 % | 5.7 % | 6.5 % | 12.4 % | 7.2 % | 3.9 % | 5.7 % | 9.3 % | 7.6 % |
| Gross combined ratio | 101.9 % | 94.7 % | 92.3 % | 104.6 % | 110.8 % | 113.7 % | 78.1 % | 89.1 % | 71.5 % | 106.4 % | 94.8 % | 101.0 % |
| Net claims ratio | 96.1 % | 95.1 % | 78.8 % | 93.0 % | 112.7 % | 112.4 % | 80.1 % | 107.1 % | 69.0 % | 100.2 % | 89.7 % | 99.3 % |
| Net cost ratio | 4.8 % | 6.9 % | 11.3 % | 6.5 % | 8.3 % | 4.3 % | 13.5 % | 11.9 % | 1.0 % | 4.9 % | 8.6 % | 6.6 % |
| Net combined ratio | 100.8 % | 101.9 % | 90.1 % | 99.5 % | 121.0 % | 116.8 % | 93.5 % | 119.0 % | 70.0 % | 105.1 % | 98.3 % | 105.9 % |
• Norway: Good start; significant underlying improvement (> 10%-points)
• Sweden: Very good start; significant improvement Q1/Q1 and underlying
• Denmark: Poor start; run-off losses of MNOK 31, underlying profitability unclear
• UK: Good start; gross CR 78.1% – no 'large losses', underlying profitability looks good
• Finland: Good, but uncertain start; run-off gain of MNOK 28
| 2019 | Q1 2020 | |
|---|---|---|
| Significant price increases driving growth. Other Illness, Group Life and Motor – general uplift |
≈ 11.4% | ≈ 13.6% |
| Most significant price increases on Property. | ≈ 8.1% | ≈ 12.4% |
| Most significant price increases on Workmen's Compensation and Motor. | ≈ 13.1% | ≈ 12.5% |
| Most significant price increases on Motor and Property, especially in the Commercial segment | ≈ 7.4% | ≈ 21.1% |
| Strong increases continued in Q1. However, client churn too high April and Q2 price increases expected higher than Q1 Double digit price increases in H2 |
≈ 10.5% | ≈ 13.5% |



• Minimize effect of the Covid-19 disease for employees and society

Involve Communicate
Project Corona Momentum
Keep calm and carry on Do less, then obsess

• 4-zero; zero loss surprises, zero new unwanted Covid-19 exposure, zero reinsurance uncertainty, and zero stakeholder uncertainty

12
Goal:

Neutral expected impact on Combined Ratio longer term
| Line of business | Potential directly related Claims | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Descending premium | NO | SE (incl. FI) | DK | UK | Total | Indirect impact | |
| Motor | |||||||
| Property | |||||||
| WC / EL | |||||||
| Other products | |||||||
| Liability | |||||||
| Group life (NO) | |||||||
| Other Illness (NO) | |||||||
| Total |
Illustration of our internal summarized follow-up structure on COVID-19 exposure per country and line of business.
19 areas of potential exposure identified – Preventive guidance issued to Brokers & Customers, where applicable


Significant losses and opportunities

Bond portfolio yielding ≈ 4.3% as of March 31st – significantly improved earnings base going forward




• YTD return on investment portfolio as of April 29th at ≈ -1.3%, or MNOK -128, including hedging instruments

Cumulative TWR in % – Equity portfolio vs. benchmarks (08.10.2014 – 31.03.2020)
Yield at 4.3% and avg. IG-rated portfolio – Added BNOK 1.7 to HY in quarter
| Portfolio data | 31.12.19 | 31.03.2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Size bond & cash eq. (MNOK)1 |
9 757 | 11 091 |
| Avg. ref. rate (NIBOR, STIBOR, etc.) |
1.2% | 0.6% |
| Avg. spread/risk premium (bps) |
89 | 366 |
| Yield | 2.1% | 4.3% |
| Duration | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Credit duration2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Avg. rating3 |
A+ | A |
1 Size excludes forward foreign currency contracts
2Avg. excludes bank deposits
3Avg. based on official rating (>60%) and Protector rating (<40%) & is based on linear rating (as usual). WARF methodology would give a lower rating.
>50% covered and bank deposit. Low real estate and oil & oil service HY exposure



Wait for distressed markets

• Increased AAA portfolio, with shorter credit duration (4yrs in 2017 to 2.2yrs today)
• Bank deposit used frequently as alternative to AAA-rated bonds for liquidity portfolio
• Removed all long BBB risk (ex. subord. financials) – very poor return vs. capital consumption (SII+ Stress).
3
2
1
• Decreased overall HY allocation from 30% in 2016 to 16% year-end 2019. Duration down from ≈ 3yrs to 1.9yrs.
• High discipline on credit quality at historically low compensation for risk-taking.


1 Crossover fund benchmark consist of: Storebrand Rente +, Arctic Return Class I, Carnegie Corp. Bond, Handelsbanken Høyrente, Holberg Kreditt, Pareto Høyrente, Alfred Berg Income, Eika Kreditt, Landkreditt Høyrente 2 BBB+ rating benchmark consist of: Storebrand Rente +, Arctic Return Class I, Carnegie Corp. Bond, Handelsbanken Høyrente, Pareto Høyrente, Alfred Berg Income, Nordea OMF likviditet


1 Crossover fund benchmark consist of: Storebrand Rente +, Arctic Return Class I, Carnegie Corp. Bond, Handelsbanken Høyrente, Holberg Kreditt, Pareto Høyrente, Alfred Berg Income, Eika Kreditt, Landkreditt Høyrente 2 BBB+ rating benchmark consist of: Storebrand Rente +, Arctic Return Class I, Carnegie Corp. Bond, Handelsbanken Høyrente, Pareto Høyrente, Alfred Berg Income, Nordea OMF likviditet
Daily meeting structure established – monitor risk and act on opportunities

Bond portfolio yielding ≈ 4.3% as of March 31st – significantly improved earnings base going forward


«Olemme erilaisia»
«Vi är annorlunda»
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decision-making and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership Profitable growth
Top 3
«Vi er annerledes»
«Vi er anderledes»
Values
Credible
Open
Bold
Committed
«We are different»
| in MNOK | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | FY 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 2828 | 2713 | 5100 | |
| Gross premiums earned | 1293 | 1147 | 4996 | |
| Gross claims incurred | (1106) | (1072) | (4724) | |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 1122 | 891 | 4148 | |
| Other insurance related income | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (1006) | (884) | (3949) | |
| Sales cost | (72) | (49) | (234) | |
| Administration cost | (48) | (38) | (180) | |
| Commission from reinsurer | 23 | 28 | 57 | |
| Other insurance related expenses | (4) | (5) | (16) | |
| Technical result | 19 | (55) | (163) | |
| Other income/costs | (16) | (14) | (50) | |
| Net financial income | (323) | 81 | 141 | |
| Profit before tax | (320) | 13 | (72) | |
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | (1) | 89.7 % | 99.3 % | 95.2 % |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | (2) | 8.6 % | 6.6 % | 8.6 % |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | (3) | 98.3 % | 105.9 % | 103.8 % |
| Gross claims ratio | (4) | 85.5 % | 93.4 % | 94.6 % |
| Gross expense ratio | (5) | 9.3 % | 7.6 % | 8.3 % |
| Gross combined ratio | (6) | 94.8 % | 101.0 % | 102.8 % |
| Retention rate | (7) | 86.8 % | 77.7 % | 83.0 % |
| Earnings per share | (8) | (4.8) | 0.8 | (3.5) |
Higher broker commission going forward due to growth coming from UK Increased office capacity in Manchester and London relative to Q1 '19
Loss on investments excl. return on invested capital allocated to COI (based on reserve volume)
Underlying reality better due to differences in run-offs
Significant profitability improvement
New reinsurance structure
| In millions | 31.03.2020 | 31.03.2019 | 31.12.2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Owner-occupied property | 12.7 | 13.3 | 12.8 |
| Financial assets | 10,337.6 | 8,816.4 | 9,219.8 |
| Derivatives | 300.9 | 14.6 | 32.6 |
| Bank deposits | 182.9 | 152.1 | 343.3 |
| Other assets | 3,480.4 | 3,322.0 | 2,705.2 |
| Discontinued operations |
2,301.9 | 2,134.2 | 2,428.5 |
| Total assets | 16,616.4 | 14,452.6 | 14,742.2 |
| Total equity | 1,630.4 | 2,114.5 | 2,019.3 |
| Subordinated loan capital | 1,243.3 | 1,243.3 | 1,243.3 |
| Total reserves | 10,662.0 | 8,734.2 | 8,339.2 |
| Derivatives | 150.6 | 9.4 | 45.5 |
| Other liabilities | 1,414.4 | 1,214.8 | 1,542.6 |
| Discontinued operations | 1,515.7 | 1,136.5 | 1,552.2 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 16,616.4 | 14,452.6 | 14,742.2 |



SCR composition


29
| SHAREHOLDER NAME | # SHARES | % |
|---|---|---|
| AWILHELMSEN CAPITAL HOLDINGS AS | 7.435.437 | 8.63 % |
| STENSHAGEN INVEST AS | 7.126.353 | 8.27 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFOND ODIN NORDEN | 5.637.817 | 6.54 % |
| CITIBANK EUROPE PLC | 4.616.123 | 5.36 % |
| HVALER INVEST AS* | 3.186.809 | 3.70 % |
| CLEARSTREAM BANKING S.A. | 2.273.712 | 2.64 % |
| OJADA AS | 2.156.842 | 2.50 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 2.014.534 | 2.34 % |
| ARTEL AS | 1.800.000 | 2.09 % |
| UBS AG | 1.677.675 | 1.95 % |
| PERSHING LLC | 1.529.667 | 1.78 % |
| UTMOST PANEUROPE DAC | 1.360.405 | 1.58 % |
| AS TANJA | 1.228.942 | 1.43 % |
| JOHAN VINJE AS | 1.187.841 | 1.38 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG NORGE | 1.145.787 | 1.33 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1.047.000 | 1.22 % |
| DEUTSCHE BANK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT | 1.041.596 | 1.21 % |
| DYVI INVEST AS | 1.040.933 | 1.21 % |
| ALSØY INVEST AS** | 1.002.751 | 1.16 % |
| AVANZA BANK AB | 861.329 | 1.00 % |
| 20 LARGEST | 49.378.266 | 57.30 % |
| TREASURY SHARES | 4.370.538 | 5.07 % |
| OTHER | 32.406.801 | 37.63 % |
| TOTAL SHARES | 86.155.605 | 100.00 % |
*CEO Sverre Bjerkeli
** COB Jostein Sørvoll
• Management's direct and indirect shareholding totals 3.7m shares or 4 % of current outstanding shares
Protector share (PROTCT)
• Board members directly own a total of 1.6m shares or 2 % of current outstanding shares.

1 Share price adjusted for dividends, no reinvestment of dividends. Data pr. 31.03.2020

| Old | As of February 6th 2020 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Net Combined Ratio | 94 % | 94 % |
| Solvency Capital Ratio | >150 % | >150 % |
| Return of Equity (excl. COI) | > 20 % | > 20 % |
| GWP Growth Rate | 10 – 15 % |
5 % |




«Olemme erilaisia»
«Vi är annorlunda»
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decision-making and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership Profitable growth
Top 3
«Vi er annerledes»
«Vi er anderledes»
Values
Credible
Open
Bold
Committed
«We are different»






| COI1 | Protector incl. COI | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | |
| Gross premium written | 63 | 89 | 2.891 | 2.802 |
| Gross premium earned | 63 | 89 | 1.356 | 1.236 |
| Net premium earned | 34 | 80 | 1.156 | 971 |
| Gross claims ratio | 92.5 % | 1.4 % | 85.8 % | 86.8 % |
| Gross cost ratio | 0.0 % | 4.6 % | 8.8 % | 7.4 % |
| Gross combined ratio | 92.5 % | 6.0 % | 94.6 % | 94.2 % |
| Net claims ratio | 93.3 % | 1.4 % | 89.8 % | 91.2 % |
| Net cost ratio | -0.5 % | -4.9 % | 8.4 % | 5.7 % |
| Net combined ratio | 92.9 % |
-3.5 % | 98.2 % | 96.9 % |

| in MNOK | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | FY 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 2891 | 2802 | 5457 | |
| Gross premiums earned | 1356 | 1236 | 5352 | |
| Gross claims incurred | (1164) | (1073) | (4994) | |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 1156 | 971 | 4372 | |
| Other insurance related income | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (1038) | (885) | (4079) | |
| Sales cost | (72) | (50) | (239) | |
| Administration cost | (48) | (41) | (180) | |
| Commission from reinsurer | 23 | 36 | 66 | |
| Other insurance related expenses | (6) | (5) | (22) | |
| Technical result | 19 | 28 | (72) | |
| Other income/costs | (18) | (17) | (62) | |
| Net financial income | (452) | 111 | 157 | |
| Profit before tax | (451) | 122 | 23 | |
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | (1) | 89.8 % | 91.2 % | 93.3 % |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | (2) | 8.4 % | 5.7 % | 8.1 % |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | (3) | 98.2 % | 96.9 % | 101.4 % |
| Gross claims ratio | (4) | 85.8 % | 86.8 % | 93.3 % |
| Gross expense ratio | (5) | 8.8 % | 7.4 % | 7.8 % |
| Gross combined ratio | (6) | 94.7 % | 94.2 % | 101.1 % |
| Retention rate | (7) | 85.3 % | 78.5 % | 81.7 % |
| Earnings per share | (8) | (4.8) | (0.8) | (3.5) |
This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligations to update or correct any of the information set out herein.
These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.
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