Investor Presentation • Jul 10, 2020
Investor Presentation
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Investor presentation Oslo, July 10th 2020
Vision
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative
Bold
Committed
| in MNOK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | Q2 '20 | Q2 '19 | H1 '20 | H1 '19 |
| Norway | 266 | 334 | 1 087 | 1 138 |
| Sweden | 362 | 403 | 1 151 | 1 189 |
| Denmark | 41 | 40 | 855 | 802 |
| UK | 621 | 311 | 813 | 487 |
| Finland* | -3 | 18 | 210 | 205 |
| Protector | 1 288 | 1 106 | 4 116 | 3 819 |
* Technical changes
| Q2 '20 | Q2 '20 | Q2 '19 | Q2 '19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | Gross | Net | Gross | Net |
| Norway | 80 % | 80 % | 85 % | 89 % |
| Sweden | 90 % | 90 % | 100 % | 85 % |
| Denmark | 98 % | 98 % | 103 % | 103 % |
| UK | 57 % | 61 % | 69 % | 140 % |
| Finland | 49 % | 51 % | 135 % | 137 % |
| Protector | 80,7 % | 81,9 % | 92,6 % | 98,8 % |
| H1 '20 | H1 '20 | H1 '19 | H1 '19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business unit | Gross | Net | Gross | Net |
| Norway | 87 % | 88 % | 87 % | 92 % |
| Sweden | 85 % | 84 % | 97 % | 89 % |
| Denmark | 102 % | 105 % | 105 % | 107 % |
| UK | 61 % | 70 % | 75 % | 126 % |
| Finland | 60 % | 62 % | 116 % | 117 % |
| Protector | 83,1 % | 85,7 % | 93,0 % | 99,0 % |
| Quarter 2 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNOK | Norway | Sweden | Denmark | UK | Finland | Protector | ||||||
| Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | |
| Gross premium written | 266 | 334 | 362 | 403 | 41 | 40 | 621 | 311 | - 3 |
18 | 1 288 | 1 106 |
| Gross premium earned | 373 | 406 | 397 | 375 | 251 | 228 | 280 | 179 | 41 | 55 | 1 342 | 1 242 |
| Net premium earned | 331 | 347 | 347 | 308 | 220 | 192 | 220 | 116 | 37 | 49 | 1 155 | 1 012 |
| Gross combined ratio | 87,9 % | 88,2 % | 102,5 % | 112,8 % | 105,7 % | 109,3 % | 70,0 % | 84,9 % | 55,8 % | 140,8 % | 90,8 % | 101,3 % |
| Net claims ratio | 80,2 % | 89,4 % | 89,6 % | 85,5 % | 98,1 % | 102,9 % | 61,5 % | 139,5 % | 50,8 % | 137,1 % | 81,9 % | 98,8 % |
| Net cost ratio | 7,1 % | 2,2 % | 13,0 % | 13,6 % | 8,8 % | 6,6 % | 12,7 % | 15,6 % | 2,5 % | 10,7 % | 10,1 % | 8,4 % |
| Net combined ratio | 87,3 % | 91,6 % | 102,7 % | 99,1 % | 106,8 % | 109,5 % | 74,2 % | 155,1 % | 53,3 % | 147,7 % | 92,1 % | 107,2 % |
| MNOK | Norway | Sweden | Denmark | UK | Finland | Protector | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 2020 | H1 2019 | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | H1 2020 | H1 2019 | |
| Gross premium written | 1 087 | 1 138 | 1 151 | 1 189 | 855 | 802 | 813 | 487 | 210 | 205 | 4 116 | 3 819 |
| Gross premium earned | 740 | 781 | 794 | 721 | 485 | 435 | 507 | 332 | 109 | 120 | 2 636 | 2 389 |
| Net premium earned | 659 | 662 | 696 | 570 | 424 | 366 | 401 | 200 | 97 | 106 | 2 277 | 1 903 |
| Gross combined ratio | 94,9 % | 91,3 % | 97,4 % | 108,9 % | 108,1 % | 111,4 % | 73,6 % | 86,8 % | 65,5 % | 122,3 % | 92,8 % | 101,2 % |
| Net claims ratio | 88,1 % | 92,1 % | 84,2 % | 88,9 % | 105,1 % | 107,4 % | 69,9 % | 125,9 % | 62,1 % | 117,2 % | 85,7 % | 99,0 % |
| Net cost ratio | 5,9 % | 4,4 % | 12,2 % | 10,3 % | 8,5 % | 5,5 % | 13,0 % | 14,0 % | 1,6 % | 7,6 % | 9,4 % | 7,6 % |
| Net combined ratio | 94,0 % | 96,5 % | 96,4 % | 99,2 % | 113,7 % | 112,9 % | 82,9 % | 140,0 % | 63,7 % | 124,8 % | 95,1 % | 106,6 % |
| Line of business | Potential directly related Claims | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Descending premium | NO | SE (incl. FI) | DK | UK | Total | Indirect impact | ||
| Motor | ||||||||
| Property | ||||||||
| WC / EL | ||||||||
| Other products | ||||||||
| Liability | ||||||||
| Group life (NO) | ||||||||
| Other Illness (NO) | ||||||||
| Total |
Illustration of our internal summarized follow-up structure on COVID-19 exposure per country and line of business.
90 % of new business on property, one very large win (> £5m GWP)
HY Bond Funds returning 10.2%, or MNOK 93
H1 return on investment portfolio at 1.5%, or MNOK 187
Net reduction of MNOK 580 in quarter
Primary market opened for HY in period, easing refinancing challenges
| Portfolio data | 31.03.20 | 30.06.20 |
|---|---|---|
| Size bond & cash eq. (MNOK)1 |
11 091 | 11 857 |
| Avg. ref. rate (NIBOR, STIBOR, etc.) |
0.6% | 0.2% |
| Avg. spread/risk premium (bps) |
366 | 235 |
| Yield | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Duration | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Credit duration2 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| rating3 Avg. |
A | A |
1 Size excludes forward foreign currency contracts
2Avg. includes bank deposits
3Avg. based on official rating (>60%) and 'Protector rating' (<40%) & is based on linear rating (as usual). WARF methodology would give a somewhat lower rating.
14
1
2
3
1 Crossover fund benchmark consist of: Storebrand Rente +, Arctic Return Class I, Carnegie Corp. Bond, Handelsbanken Høyrente, Holberg Kreditt, Pareto Høyrente, Alfred Berg Income, Eika Kreditt, Landkreditt Høyrente 2 BBB+ rating benchmark consist of: Storebrand Rente +, Arctic Return Class I, Carnegie Corp. Bond, Handelsbanken Høyrente, Pareto Høyrente, Alfred Berg Income, Nordea OMF likviditet
1 Spread line is Spb1 Markets 'Norsk Xover Replika'
Spread line is Spb1 Markets' 'Norsk Xover Replika'
Vision
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative
Bold
Committed
| in MNOK | Q2 '20 | Q2 '19 | H1 '20 | H1 '19 | FY '19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 1 352,2 | 1 215,7 | 4 243,1 | 4 017,8 | 5 456,6 |
| Gross premiums earned | 1 406,5 | 1 351,8 | 2 762,6 | 2 587,5 | 5 351,9 |
| Gross claims incurred | (1 133,0) | (1 227,0) | (2 297,0) | (2 300,0) | (4 993,7) |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 1 189,5 | 1 071,2 | 2 345,7 | 2 041,7 | 4 371,6 |
| Other insurance related income | 3,9 | 3,2 | 8,2 | 6,4 | 10,5 |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (969,9) | (1 031,5) | (2 007,9) | (1 917,0) | (4 079,1) |
| Sales cost | (79,8) | (66,3) | (151,5) | (54,6) | (79,1) |
| Administration cost | (56,0) | (42,7) | (104,3) | - | (93,8) |
| Commission from reinsurer | 20,0 | 25,9 | 43,2 | (83,5) | (179,9) |
| Other insurance related expenses Update table |
(4,4) | (1,9) | (10,8) | (7,1) | (22,3) |
| Technical result | 103,4 | (42,0) | 122,5 | (14,0) | (72,1) |
| Add H1 columns Other income/costs |
(19,8) | (16,4) | (38,0) | (33,7) | (61,6) |
| Net financial income | 638,8 | (69,3) | 186,7 | 41,9 | 157,2 |
| Profit before tax | 722,4 | (127,8) | 271,2 | (5,8) | 23,5 |
| Tax | (137,7) | (0,1) | (81,8) | (29,7) | (28,0) |
| Profit before components of comprehensive | |||||
| income | 584,6 | (127,9) | 189,3 | (35,6) | (4,5) |
| Components of comprehensive income | (4,2) | 2,1 | 6,2 | 1,8 | (0,3) |
| Profit for the period | 580,4 | (125,8) | 195,5 | (33,8) | (4,9) |
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business (1) |
81,5 % | 96,3 % | 85,6 % | 93,9 % | 93,3 % |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business (2) |
9,7 % | 7,8 % | 9,1 % | 6,8 % | 8,1 % |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business (3) |
91,3 % | 104,0 % | 94,7 % | 100,7 % | 101,4 % |
| Gross claims ratio (4) |
80,6 % | 90,8 % | 83,1 % | 88,9 % | 93,3 % |
| Gross expense ratio (5) |
9,7 % | 8,1 % | 9,3 % | 2,1 % | 3,2 % |
| Gross combined ratio (6) |
90,2 % | 98,8 % | 92,4 % | 91,0 % | 96,5 % |
| Retention rate (7) |
84,6 % | 79,2 % | 84,9 % | 78,9 % | 81,7 % |
| Earnings per share (8) |
7,1 | (1,6) | 2,3 | (0,4) | (0,1) |
21
| in MNOK | Q2 '20 | Q2 '19 | H1 '20 | H1 '19 | FY '19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 1 288,0 | 1 105,9 | 4 116,0 | 3 819,2 | 5 100,5 | |
| Gross premiums earned | 1 342,3 | 1 241,9 | 2 635,6 | 2 388,8 | 4 995,8 | |
| Gross claims incurred | (1 083,3) | (1 150,0) | (2 189,1) | (2 221,7) | (4 723,9) | |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 1 154,9 | 1 011,9 | 2 277,3 | 1 902,5 | 4 147,5 | |
| Other insurance related income | 3,9 | 3,2 | 8,2 | 6,4 | 10,5 | |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (946,3) | (999,8) | (1 952,7) | (1 884,2) | (3 949,1) | |
| Sales cost | (79,8) | (65,6) | (151,5) | (114,6) | (233,5) | |
| Administration cost | (56,0) | (42,9) | (104,3) | (80,9) | (179,9) | |
| Commission from reinsurer | 18,9 | 23,1 | 41,9 | 51,1 | 57,2 | |
| Other insurance related expenses Update table |
(2,3) | (1,9) | (6,6) | (7,1) | (15,7) | |
| Technical result | 93,4 | (72,0) | 112,1 | (126,6) | (163,0) | |
| Add H1 columns Other income/costs |
(17,7) | (13,2) | (33,4) | (27,4) | (50,3) | |
| Net financial income | 509,8 | (31,7) | 187,0 | 49,5 | 141,4 | |
| Profit before tax | 585,4 | (116,9) | 265,7 | (104,6) | (71,9) | |
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | (1) | 81,9 % | 98,8 % | 85,7 % | 99,0 % | 95,2 % |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | (2) | 10,1 % | 8,4 % | 9,4 % | 7,6 % | 8,6 % |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | (3) | 92,1 % | 107,2 % | 95,1 % | 106,6 % | 103,8 % |
| Gross claims ratio | (4) | 80,7 % | 92,6 % | 83,1 % | 93,0 % | 94,6 % |
| Gross expense ratio | (5) | 10,1 % | 8,7 % | 9,7 % | 8,2 % | 8,3 % |
| Gross combined ratio | (6) | 90,8 % | 101,3 % | 92,8 % | 101,2 % | 102,8 % |
| Retention rate | (7) | 86,0 % | 81,5 % | 86,4 % | 77,7 % | 83,0 % |
| Earnings per share | (8) | 7,1 | (1,6) | 2,3 | (0,4) | (0,1) |
| In millions | 30.06.2020 | 30.06.2019 | 31.12.2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Owner-occupied property | 12.6 | 13.1 | 12.8 |
| Financial assets | 11,168.1 | 8,899.5 | 9,219.8 |
| Derivatives | 25.9 | 16.7 | 32.6 |
| Bank deposits | 274.2 | 151.4 | 343.3 |
| Other assets | 3,296.1 | 3,101.0 | 2,705.2 |
| Discontinued operations |
2,401.8 | 2,828.8 | 2,428.5 |
| Total assets | 17,178.6 | 15,010.7 | 14,742.2 |
| Total equity | 2,231.9 | 1,988.0 | 2,019.3 |
| Subordinated loan capital | 1,243.3 | 1,243.3 | 1,243.3 |
| Total reserves | 10,410.1 | 8,825.8 | 8,339.2 |
| Derivatives | 51.2 | 22.1 | 45.5 |
| Other liabilities | 1,903.9 | 1,303.3 | 1,542.6 |
| Discontinued operations | 1,338.3 | 1,628.1 | 1,552.2 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 17,178.6 | 15,010.7 | 14,742.2 |
23
Composition of SCR:
| SHAREHOLDER NAME | # SHARES | % |
|---|---|---|
| AWILHELMSEN CAPITAL HOLDINGS AS | 7 435 437 | 8.63% |
| STENSHAGEN INVEST AS | 7 126 353 | 8.27% |
| VERDIPAPIRFOND ODIN NORDEN | 6 747 599 | 7.83% |
| CITIBANK EUROPE PLC | 4 616 123 | 5.36% |
| HVALER INVEST AS* | 3 186 809 | 3.70% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 3 016 034 | 3.50% |
| CLEARSTREAM BANKING S.A. | 2 273 615 | 2.64% |
| ARTEL AS | 1 800 000 | 2.09% |
| PERSHING LLC | 1 546 280 | 1.79% |
| UTMOST PANEUROPE DAC - GP11940006 |
1 500 405 | 1.74% |
| UBS AG | 1 391 208 | 1.61% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG NORGE | 1 345 787 | 1.56% |
| AS TANJA | 1 228 942 | 1.43% |
| JOHAN VINJE AS | 1 187 841 | 1.38% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 047 000 | 1.22% |
| DEUTSCHE BANK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT | 1 041 596 | 1.21% |
| DYVI INVEST AS | 1 040 933 | 1.21% |
| ALSØY INVEST AS** | 1 002 751 | 1.16% |
| AVANZA BANK AB | 869 815 | 1.01% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG AKTIV | 860 573 | 1.00% |
| 20 LARGEST | 50 265 101 | 58.34% |
| TREASURY SHARES | 4 269 376 | 4.96% |
| OTHER | 31 621 128 | 36.70% |
| TOTAL SHARES | 86 155 605 | 100.00% |
*CEO Sverre Bjerkeli
** COB Jostein Sørvoll
1 Share price adjusted for dividends, no reinvestment of dividends. Data pr. 30.06.2020
Vision
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decisionmaking and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership
Profitable growth
Top 3
Credible
Innovative
Bold
Committed
| COI | Protector incl. COI | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 Q2 2019 | |||
| Gross premium written | 64 | 110 | 1 352 | 1 216 | |
| Gross premium earned | 64 | 110 | 1 407 | 1 352 | |
| Net premium earned | 35 | 59 | 1 189 | 1 071 | |
| Gross combined ratio | 77,5 % | 70,5 % | 90,2 % | 98,8 % | |
| Net claims ratio | 68,1 % | 53,4 % | 81,5 % | 96,3 % | |
| Net cost ratio | -3,3 % | -3,9 % | 9,7 % | 7,8 % | |
| Net combined ratio | 64,8 % | 49,5 % | 91,3 % | 104,0 % |
| COI | Protector incl. COI | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 2020 | H1 2019 | H1 2020 H1 2019 | ||||
| Gross premium written | 127 | 198 | 4 243 | 4 018 | ||
| Gross premium earned | 127 | 199 | 2 763 | 2 587 | ||
| Net premium earned | 68 | 139 | 2 346 | 2 042 | ||
| Gross combined ratio | 84,9 % | 41,7 % | 92,4 % | 91,0 % | ||
| Net claims ratio | 80,6 % | 23,6 % | 85,6 % | 93,9 % | ||
| Net cost ratio | -1,9 % | -4,5 % | 9,1 % | 6,8 % | ||
| Net combined ratio | 78,7 % | 19,1 % | 94,7 % | 100,7 % |
(1)Claims ratio, net of ceded business (2)Expense ratio, net of ceded business (3)Combined ratio, net of ceded business (4)Gross claims ratio (5)Gross expense ratio (6)Gross combined ratio (7)Retention rate
This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligationsto update or correct any of the information set out herein.
These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forward-looking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
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