Investor Presentation • Nov 5, 2019
Investor Presentation
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Santangel's Investor Forum, New York 6 th November 2019


Last 15 years in Protector
2
…and my roots are from "up north"

Vision
The Challenger
This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decision-making and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership Profitable growth
Top 3
Values
Credible
Open
Bold
Committed
«Vi er forskellige»
«Vi är annorlunda»
«Vi er annerledes»
«Olemme erilaisia»
«We are different»
Protector delivering very good results HTD… Will it continue?




*Gross Cost incl. Claims handling ex. Broker commission
| Gross expense ratio | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Protector | 7,5 % | 6,4 % | 7,3 % | 6,6 % | 8,0 % | 8,4 % |
| KLP | 26,2 % | 23,1 % | 21,1 % | 22,8 % | 21,8 % | 24,6 % |
| Tryg | 15,6 % | 14,6 % | 15,3 % | 15,7 % | 14,0 % | 14,4 % |
| Codan/Trygg Hansa | 19,5 % | 21,2 % | 16,4 % | 14,8 % | 14,5 % | 13,7 % |
| If | 16,8 % | 16,7 % | 13,0 % | 16,6 % | 16,3 % | 16,4 % |
| Gjensidige | 15,3 % | 15,0 % | 15,1 % | 14,2 % | 15,3 % | 15,2 % |
| Länsforsäkringar | 19,0 % | 19,0 % | 19,0 % | 19,0 % | 18,0 % | 19,0 % |
| Topdanmark | 16,2 % | 15,7 % | 15,9 % | 16,4 % | 16,1 % | 16,1 % |
| Avg. ex. PF | 18,4 % | 17,9 % | 16,5 % | 17,1 % | 16,6 % | 17,1 % |





Will improve profitability 5-6% in 2020 (full year effect)
| Q3 | YTD | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Continued high renewal rates following acceptance of price increases. |
≈12,1% | ≈ 10,8% | Higher than YTD |
| Q3 price increases heavily influenced by significant price increases on unprofitable clients. |
≈15,7% | ≈ 8,0% | Higher than YTD |
| Q3 volume on a low level. Small volumes remaining in 2019. |
≈9,3% | ≈ 13,5% | Lower |
| Building a new portfolio | Individual | Individual | Individual |
•Other profitability improvements also influencing 2020 profitability
• But remember some surprise on the negative side will also occur
•Average claims inflation (all products) 4 % in the Nordics, significant higher in Motor
2009


| Return on investments | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | H1 2019 | Avg. 08-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Protector | -2,1 % | 16,1 % | 9,7 % | -2,3 % | 8,9 % | 7,0 % | 5,3 % | 5,2 % | 7,0 % | 4,8 % | -0,6 % | 0,4 % | 5,4 % |
| KLP skadeforsikring | 0,4 % | 8,3 % | 7,2 % | 4,5 % | 6,5 % | 6,5 % | 6,5 % | 4,4 % | 6,1 % | 5,6 % | 1,8 % | 3,9 % | 5,3 % |
| Gjensidige | -0,6 % | 5,5 % | 5,2 % | 4,4 % | 5,4 % | 4,3 % | 4,3 % | 2,6 % | 3,9 % | 3,7 % | 1,5 % | 2,1 % | 3,7 % |
| If | -3,1 % | 12,4 % | 7,4 % | 1,8 % | 6,1 % | 5,0 % | 4,1 % | 1,5 % | 2,9 % | 2,6 % | -0,8 % | 3,5 % | 3,6 % |
| Länsforsäkringar | -13,3 % | 6,4 % | 4,3 % | 6,4 % | 3,7 % | -1,2 % | 5,6 % | 7,7 % | 5,7 % | 5,6 % | 5,6 % | 7,4 % | 3,3 % |
| RSA | 5,6 % | 5,9 % | 3,5 % | 3,0 % | 3,9 % | -0,4 % | 3,9 % | 3,0 % | 2,8 % | 2,5 % | 2,5 % | 1,2 % | 3,3 % |
| Tryg | 3,5 % | 6,6 % | 4,3 % | 4,8 % | 5,1 % | 2,0 % | 1,6 % | 0,3 % | 2,7 % | 1,8 % | -0,3 % | 1,8 % | 2,9 % |
| Topdanmark | -6,9 % | 7,3 % | 4,8 % | 3,1 % | 6,9 % | 4,1 % | 3,4 % | 1,0 % | 4,4 % | 2,1 % | 0,0 % | 2,5 % | 2,7 % |
| Avg. Ex Protector | -2,1 % | 7,5 % | 5,2 % | 4,0 % | 5,4 % | 2,9 % | 4,2 % | 2,9 % | 4,1 % | 3,4 % | 1,5 % | 3,2 % | 3,5 % |
• Protector Return on Investments YTD 2019: 0 %





Nr. 1 Motor fleet Nordic Oil service Norway








• GFT arbitration settled, focus on profitable growth



Ensure correct settlements to BSRs and Clients on valid claims
projects Minimize the expenditure on legal costs
Learn for the future – Use Risk Management to mitigate future events

World leading reinsurance partners




Far ahead of #2 two years in a row



| Capital allocation approach |
• Determine minimum hurdle rate |
|
|---|---|---|
| • Calculate returns for all internal and external investment alternatives available, by return and risk |
||
| • Deploy capital in the most attractive alternatives above hurdle. |
||
| • Release underperforming capital |
||


3
• Historical buy backs – in all 26,2m shares
| Buy backs | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # shares | 2 718 645 | 14 762 900 | 3 348 920 | 955 782 | 4 404 622 |
| Average price | 10,91 | 7,22 | 6,00 | 9,67 | 57,50 |

40 x invested return in 15 years





This will happen through unique relationships, best in class decision-making and cost effective solutions
Cost and quality leadership Profitable growth
Top 3
Values
Credible
Open
Bold
Committed
Many tools and programs to develop our employees


Qx 1x
Qx 1x
Introduced in Protector in 2009 – now required reading material for all employees
"Good is the enemy of great"

Defining most important competencies for each role

| Competency | Level 1 | Level 3 | Level 5 | Level 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COMMUNICATION | Basic communication skills with some understanding of customers needs. Shows little signs of displaying confidence and empathy with the client |
Adequate communication skills Emerging confidence in dealing with customers. Development still required |
· Good communication skills evidenced with trusted relationships. Consistently accurate and maintains good working relationships with all |
· Exceptional communication skills, · Demonstrates mastery and confidence which clearly excel what is needed. Unrivalled level of accuracy · Effectively articulate the DNA. |


• Next step: Further develop understanding of what we mean by «On-job training» and implement learning loop– to release our full potential



•Three main objectives (in addition to basic leadership skills)


•As every management program in Protector it lasts for 18 months w. 6 months intermission
• Enables us to enroll and educate leaders on a bi-annual basis





Santangel's Investor Forum, New York 6 th November 2019
Q&A







| Old | New | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| • | Net Combined Ratio | 92 % |
94 % |
| • | Solvency II Capital ratio | > 150 % |
> 150 % |
| • | Return on Equity (excl. COI) | > 20 % |
> 20 % |
| • | GWP growth rate | 15 % | 10-15 % |

*Return on Solvency Capital until 2016 when reflecting changes in accounting principles from Jan. 1st 2016 where Shareholder's Equity includes security provisions **Annualized



Exit COI 2021 (2026)








But increased CR volatility due to change of Property reinsurance structure




•Protector does not expect run-off gains nor losses in our reserving
| •Property & Motor | Large gains | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| •COI | Large losses | ||||
| •Long tail (Nor) | Some gains |






| SHAREHOLDER NAME | # SHARES | % |
|---|---|---|
| STENSHAGEN INVEST AS | 7 126 353 | 8,27 % |
| AWILHELMSEN CAPITAL HOLDINGS AS | 6 535 816 | 7,59 % |
| CITIBANK EUROPE PLC | 4 616 123 | 5,36 % |
| ODIN NORDEN | 4 433 850 | 5,15 % |
| PROTECTOR FORSIKRING ASA | 4 393 679 | 5,10 % |
| HVALER INVEST AS* | 3 186 809 | 3,70 % |
| OJADA AS | 2 060 842 | 2,39 % |
| SWEDBANK ROBUR SMABOLAGSFOND | 2 020 266 | 2,34 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 2 000 000 | 2,32 % |
| ARTEL AS | 1 800 000 | 2,09 % |
| PERSHING LLC | 1 557 085 | 1,81 % |
| UBS AG | 1 469 900 | 1,71 % |
| UTMOST PANEUROPE DAC - GP11940006 |
1 410 000 | 1,64 % |
| SWEDBANK ROBUR NORDENFON | 1 350 000 | 1,57 % |
| JOHAN VINJE AS | 1 187 841 | 1,38 % |
| HANDELSBANKEN NORDISKA SMABOLAG | 1 142 868 | 1,33 % |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 096 000 | 1,27 % |
| CLEARSTREAM BANKING S.A. | 1 045 417 | 1,21 % |
| ALSØY INVEST AS** | 1 040 933 | 1,21 % |
| NORE-INVEST AS | 1 030 637 | 1,20 % |
| 20 LARGEST | 50 504 419 | 58,62 % |
| OTHER | 35 651 186 | 41,38 % |
| TOTAL SHARES | 86 155 605 | 100,00 % |

*CEO Sverre Bjerkeli

Data pr. 30.09.2019




| 1. | Determine minimum hurdle rate |
|
|---|---|---|
| Capital allocation | 2. | Calculate returns for all internal and external investment alternatives available, by return and risk |
| approach | 3. | Deploy capital in the most attractive alternatives above hurdle. |
| 4. | Release underperforming capital |

Return on equity target of >20% per year on average

Due to T1/T2 loans RoE of 20% equals a RoSC of 15,1%

Somewhat higher ROE vs. RoSC due to subordinate loans
Insurance with high RoE's even at high combined ratios


Allocate capital to the alternatives yielding highest return on that capital (above high hurdle rates) to generate best possible risk adjusted return for shareholders

Applies also to different insurance products
| Product | |
|---|---|
| Float to Premium | 1,07 |
| SCR to Premium | 0,17 |

| CR | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 86% | 88% | 90% | 92% | 04% | 96% | 98% | 100% | 102% | 104% | 106% | 108% | ||
| 0,0% | 56% | 49% | 42% | 35% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 0% | -7% | -14% | -21% | -28% | |
| 0,3% | 57% | 50% | 43% | 36% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 1% | -6% | -13% | -20% | -27% | |
| 0,5% | 58% | 51% | 44% | 37% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 2% | -5% | -12% | -19% | -26% | |
| 0,8% | 59% | 52% | 45% | 38% | 31% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 3% | -4% | -11% | -18% | -25% | |
| Risk Free | 1,0% | 60% | 53% | 46% | 39% | 32% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 4% | -3% | -10% | -17% | -24% |
| Interest Rate | 1,5% | 63% | 56% | 49% | 42% | 35% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 7% | -1% | -8% | -15% | -22% |
| 2,0% | 65% | 58% | 51% | 44% | 37% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 2% | -5% | -12% | -19% | |
| Return on | 2,3% | 66% | 59% | 52% | 45% | 38% | 31% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 3% | -4% | -11% | -18% |
| Float | 2,5% | 67% | 60% | 53% | 46% | 39% | 32% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 4% | -3% | -10% | -17% |
| 2,8% | 68% | 61% | 54% | 47% | 40% | 33% | 26% | 19% | 12% | 5% | -2% | -9% | -16% | |
| 3,0% | 69% | 62% | 55% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 6% | -1% | -8% | -15% | |
| 3,3% | 70% | 63% | 56% | 49% | 42% | 35% | 28% | 21% | বীর্থ | 7% | 0% | -7% | -14% | |
| 3,5% | 71% | 64% | 57% | 50% | 43% | 36% | 29% | 22% | 8% | 1% | -6% | -13% |
• Pre-tax return on Solvency Capital
• 15% after tax implies ~18% pre-tax



Allocate capital to the alternatives yielding highest return on that capital (above high hurdle rates) to generate best possible risk adjusted return for shareholders

Today we need a return of above 11% + safety margin to reach RoE target




Clearly an attractive capital allocation alternative if meeting hurdle



Opportunistic – below intrinsic value
• Excess capital due to: • lower growth • lack of equity ideas meeting hurdle rates • lack of fixed income ideas meeting hurdle rates • Sharp share price drop creating a buying opportunity at perceived attractive levels long term • Bought back 4.4 million shares at 57,50 totaling 254 mnok 24. July 2018 Buy back process: • Safe harbour and auction considered. • Safe harbour would have taken 6-18 mnths • Largest shareholders presounded on Monday 23. July. • No interest on prices below 55,- • Low volume on 55,- • Some volume on 57,50 • Just above 300 mnok in volume at 60,- • When we set the price at 57,50 almost all volume at 60,- was lowered to 57,50.


Excess capital a headwind for returns


Excess (and poorly performing) capital provides available capital allocation frame





| Category | Spread (bp) Dec 18 |
stress level | Rating Avg. RoRC June 18 |
Avg. RoRC Dec 18 |
Avg. RoRC June 19 |
RoRC Range |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sr. bank Norway (bank 2) | 37-42 | A to AA- | 6 % | 9 % | 8 % | 7-9% | |
| Sr. bank Norway (bank 4) | 42-49 | BBB to BBB+ | 2 % | 5 % | 4 % | 4-6% | |
| Icelandic Banks | 120-160 | BBB- to BBB+ | 4 % | 7 % | 7 % | 6-8% | |
| European banks | 35-60 | BBB- to A | 1 % | 7 % | 3 % | 2-4% | |
| Prime corporates (NorgesGruppen, Orkla) | 55-60 | BBB to A- | 1 % | 7 % | 4 % | 3-5% | |
| IG | European IG | 40-85 | BBB- to A | 1 % | 5 % | 4 % | 3-6% |
| Prime utilities (Statkraft, Lyse AS, Agder Energi) | 50-76 | BBB to BBB+ | 2 % | 5 % | 4 % | 2-5% | |
| Real estate IG (Olav Thon, Entra, Steen & Strøm) | 60-90 | BBB- to BBB+ | 2 % | 4 % | 3 % | 3-5% | |
| Tier 2 bank Norway (category bank 1 to bank 4) | 115-145 | BBB- to BBB+ | 5 % | 8 % | 6 % | 5-8% | |
| Tier 2 bank Europe | 100-130 | BBB- | 4 % | 9 % | 5 % | 4-7% | |
| Tier 2 insurance (GJF, IF, Tryg) | 150-250 | BBB- to BBB+ | 7 % | 7 % | 8 % | 5-12% | |
| Tier 1 savings bank Norway | 300-320 | BB to BB+ | 4 % | 8 % | 7 % | 3-14% | |
| Tier 1 NOK savings bank Global | 200-250 | BB- to BB+ | 3 % | 6 % | 5 % | 2-10% | |
| Tier 1 insurance (Topdanmark, GJF, RSA) | 280-450 | BB- to BB+ | 4 % | 8 % | 7 % | 4-18% | |
| HY | HY Norway | 200-900 | B- to BB+ | 3 % | 5 % | 5 % | 2-25% |
| HY US | 200-900 | B- to BB+ | 1 % | 7 % | 2 % | 2-25% | |
| HY Europe | 125-800 | B- to BB+ | 1 % | 8 % | 4 % | 1-20% | |
| 1st lien shipping | 400-700 | B- to BB+ | 10 % | 15 % | 17 % | 12-25% | |
| Nordea Global HY USA | 400 | B+ | 3 % | 7 % | 3 % | 3 % |

| Bottom-up analysis |
FUW | Quarterly update | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

| Quarterly update | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parkt | IN Peter/Veterano (3657) HT Santa ) Fee: Receine Thanks river Charl (Chet . FUNK Remoders . Easting Reicos Resorten | ||||||||||
| P | のお気になる | ||||||||||
| 3 | |||||||||||
| n 100 |
Diff at teste | 165 | File | Lose | 4.04 | ||||||
| FART (37 BY | Turnesian Crains Tulling MI | Toron's land Profitions | Coloneria Volum | Drawn's Callend | |||||||
| 3 | 1 | Che T . 800140 | Refeague Frans Addria 400 | Tot make Bach Recomplied | Senate Trans | Drapola Calassi | |||||
| Load | BART CALLERY |
Revelop Franch Autorig Kin | Childring of the mail populate - Callino | Callery Tota | Stature Callian | ||||||
| proport | the T . ICRIAL | forwain-cast, judini 404 | Forumb - pi al Municipal | Longrix fight | Drigoria Calear | ||||||
| Section of | STATE LECTION | Researches Andre Ka | REPORTER CON | Compris Note | Dramelai Calinar | ||||||
| Clair Raile | Subscription Crains, Aniling ACA | MPS and Grant | Compris Nati | inistan Basiness | |||||||
| Apr | (8.8mg // . Bolsettly Co. | 11 88 47 118 11 15 44 11. | Ct 17 Julias village | Card Book School | Chance Callean | ||||||
| 14 | PART 17 . ROGING | Relation Frint during also | angreaman and in I I link N.F. | Demants Schwarts School | Dramontal Callend | ||||||
| Back | Distant T. BORUM | Renadel Frank links CA | DC Ritis Benefire | Sungary Sizes | Draily Criese | ||||||
| 04 Ray T : NOFFAL | The separt Frans Yolling AD- | 27 lynn-art header | Trans tow | Drigoto Lalear | |||||||
| Adris | 04 7 : 3054 | Retearlan Frank Acally 404 | Revise Mealing Kene | Company Role | imal Tarbrier | ||||||
| Caller Prairie | De Apr 10 NORALD |
Annation Frans Addring alle | Frientisyon nad ballebring | Cargoria Schw | Shapping Calend | ||||||
| 04-49 117 1000 |
Research Frank Rolling ASK | Fotols for specified | Compris fick | Draphi Calear | |||||||
| Ack 2019 | 1 - |
2 84 17 100000 | forcept Tree Rolly 404 | Jun Tityms / Simming Kleyter | Company Note | Jean Deliver | |||||
| Commercede | The 17 3054 | RunseparyTrans: Kathy KDA | Bark Honogiller un II Jr. | Separa Mak | Dramfar Caless | ||||||
| 24 = 10040 | Novement varia 400 | Sar Lass | ారా కూడా కార్యక | Cranfo Crien | |||||||
| OBBET 3900 | Arisepton Prairy 431 | *byle it househour joil kartrastadolery . Compey forming forming forming forming forming forming forming forming for | Division Callege | ||||||||
| Color | Nineklin Trans humir 454 | 24-ft liptone-fark forespon | Sungary Trans | Orlaturer Calesia |



| Protector | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horizon | • Long term ownership returns |
"Do not buy a farm just because you expect a lot of rain this summer" |
|||||
| Type of investments | • Good long term ownership returns • Easy/predictable businesses |
"There are no extra points for level of difficulty in investments" |
|||||
| Hurdle rate and margin of safety |
• High • Low liquidity shares with added hurdle |
||||||
| Analysis | • Fewer companies, deep analysis and contrarian variant perception |
||||||
| Intensity of competition | • Low, preference for good companies but • Overlooked/ignored • Unpopular/poor sentiment |
"How to win – pick easy competition" |
|||||
| Focus | • Continous learnings and improvement of process • Long term results |









difficulty/expertise

| Peers | Protector | |
|---|---|---|
| • Top down approach with limited bottom-up analysis and follow up |
Analysis | • Bottom-up analysis (underwriting) and deep quarterly follow up • Bond market often slow to react to deterioring fundamentals |
| • Relative price attractiveness • Macro & sector trends • Always fully invested • Unselective – «50% hit ratio» |
Focus | • Absolute attractiveness of individual risk • Terms • Redundancy • Loss given default • Always willing to replace bond risk with equity risk • Willingness to sit on the sidelines – must always outweigh risk • Structurally advantaged to take opportunity of periods of fund outflows • Selective – «5% hit ratio» |
| Protector focus areas | • Permanent loss of capital and its avoidance • Continuous development of process • Capital consumption & return on risk capital • Liquidity / ability to change our mind |

| Portfolio data | 30.06.19 | 30.09.19 |
|---|---|---|
| Size bond & cash eq. (NOK m) |
9 694 | 10 045 |
| Avg. ref. rate (NIBOR, STIBOR etc.) |
1,0% | 1,1% |
| Avg. spread/risk premium (bp) |
97 | 95 |
| Yield | 2,0% | 2,0% |
| Duration | 0,4 | 0,4 |
| Credit duration | 2,3 | 2,0 |
| Avg. rating |
AA- | A+ |
1Average based on official rating (>65%) and Protector rating (<35%) & is based on linear rating (as usual). WARF methodology would give a lower rating.

1,6bn lower capital consumption on slightly lower expected return


1¨Carnegie Corp. Bond Fund as proxy for crossover bond fund
2¨Capital consumed in stress = after tax loss + capital consumption under SII



Good company and/or especially strong terms, but too pricy Meeting hurdle rate, high level of analysis predictability & okay owning equity in bond default
Low forecastability & confidence in estimated cost of risk

No oil service, low oil (E&P) and very limited real estate





| Guiding 2019 – unchanged from Q2 19 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net combined ratio | 100 % | |||
| Volume growth | 18 % |

9% growth, combined ratio 92,1%


| Q3 2019 | Q3 2018 | YTD 2019 | YTD 2018 | FY 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 732,4 | 624,3 | 4 551,6 | 3 811,0 | 4 286,1 16 % LCY growth, Price incr. YTD 10,3 % |
|
| Gross premiums earned | 1 291,3 | 1 042,4 | 3 680,2 | 3 016,4 | 4 139,6 | |
| Gross claims incurred | (1 139,0) | (937,1) | (3 360,8) | (2 697,6) | (3 859,3) | |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 1 112,0 | 689,7 | 3 014,6 | 2 058,8 | 2 817,8 | |
| Other insurance related income | 2,2 | 9,5 | 8,6 | 13,6 | 25,5 | |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (935,2) | (613,2) | (2 819,4) | (1 919,1) | (2 658,3) | |
| Sales cost | (53,7) | (55,4) | (168,2) | (156,2) | (205,6) | |
| Administration cost | (38,0) | (28,9) | (118,9) | (97,0) | (143,1) | |
| Commission from reinsurer | 8,4 | 37,7 | 59,5 | 198,1 | 229,2 Solvency Reinsurance contract (SRI) | |
| Other insurance related expenses | (11,6) | (10,8) | (18,6) | (18,1) | (20,2) | |
| Technical result | 84,2 | 28,6 | (42,5) | 80,0 | 45,3 | |
| Other income/costs | (14,7) | (12,5) | (42,1) | (37,0) | (49,4) | |
| Net financial income | (15,3) | 35,5 | 34,1 | 122,1 | (19,8) | -0,2 % return |
| Profit before tax | 54,1 | 51,7 | (50,4) | 165,2 | (23,9) | |
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | 84,1 % | 88,9 % | 93,5 % | 93,2 % | 94,3 % | |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | 7,5 % | 6,7 % | 7,5 % | 2,7 % | 4,2 % | |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | 91,6 % | 95,7 % | 101,1 % | 95,9 % | 98,6 % | Arbitration settled; 97,0% excl. GFT |
| Gross claims ratio | 88,2 % | 89,9 % | 91,3 % | 89,4 % | 93,2 % | |
| Gross expense ratio | 7,1 % | 8,1 % | 7,8 % | 8,4 % | 8,4 % | |
| Gross combined ratio | 95,3 % | 98,0 % | 99,1 % | 97,8 % | 101,7 % | |
| Retention rate (premiums not ceded to Reinsurers) |
86,1 % | 66,2 % | 81,9 % | 68,3 % | 68,1 % | Around 85 % going forward due to SRI |


| Guiding 2019 – changed |
|
|---|---|
| Net combined ratio | 100 % |
| Volume growth | 18 % |
19% growth, combined ratio 104,0% - 97,0% excl. Grenfell Tower

| in millions | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | H1 2019 | H1 2018 | FY 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 1 105,9 | 838,3 | 3 819,2 | 3 186,7 | 4 286,1 33 % LCY, Sweden, UK & price increases |
|
| Gross premiums earned | 1 241,9 | 1 015,7 | 2 388,8 | 1 974,0 | 4 139,6 | |
| Gross claims incurred | (1 150,0) | (889,3) | (2 221,7) | (1 760,5) | (3 859,3) | |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 1 011,9 | 699,8 | 1 902,5 | 1 369,1 | 2 817,8 | |
| Other insurance related income | 3,2 | 2,9 | 6,4 | 4,1 | 25,5 | |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (999,8) | (670,5) | (1 884,2) | (1 305,8) | (2 658,3) | |
| Sales cost | (65,6) | (49,3) | (114,6) | (100,9) | (205,6) | |
| Administration cost | (42,9) | (35,0) | (80,9) | (68,2) | (143,1) | |
| Commission from reinsurer | 23,1 | 61,0 | 51,1 | 160,3 | 229,2 ~0 going forward | |
| Other insurance related expenses | (1,9) | (6,0) | (7,1) | (7,3) | (20,2) | |
| Technical result | (72,0) | 2,8 | (126,6) | 51,4 | 45,3 | |
| Other income/costs | (13,2) | (12,6) | (27,4) | (24,5) | (49,4) | |
| Net financial income | (31,7) | 78,7 | 49,5 | 86,6 | (19,8) | -0,4 % return |
| Profit before tax | (116,9) | 68,9 | (104,5) | 113,5 | (23,9) | |
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | 98,8 % | 95,8 % | 99,0 % | 95,4 % | 94,3 % | |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | 8,4 % | 3,3 % | 7,6 % | 0,6 % | 4,2 % | |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | 107,2 % | 99,2 % | 106,6 % | 96,0 % | 98,6 % | 99,8% excl. GFT |
| Gross claims ratio | 92,6 % | 87,5 % | 93,0 % | 89,2 % | 93,2 % | More price increases to come |
| Gross expense ratio | 8,7 % | 8,3 % | 8,2 % | 8,6 % | 8,4 % | |
| Gross combined ratio | 101,3 % | 95,8 % | 101,2 % | 97,7 % | 101,7 % | |
| Retention rate (premiums not ceded to Reinsurers) | 81,5 % | 68,9 % | 68,9 % | 79,6 % | 68,1 % | Will increase |
16% growth, combined ratio 105,9% and…
... The Court of Appeal concluded in our favor
73

| Guiding 2019 – maintained |
|
|---|---|
| Net combined ratio | 96 % |
| Volume growth | 14 % |

14% growth, combined ratio 96,9% and…
... The Court of Appeal concluded in our favor

16% growth, Combined Ratio 105,9%
| in millions | Q1 2019 | Q1 2018 | FY 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 2 713,4 | 2 348,4 | 4 286,1 | Sweden & UK |
| Gross premiums earned | 1 146,9 | 958,3 | 4 139,6 | |
| Gross claims incurred | (1 071,7) | (871,2) | (3 859,3) | Poor motor quarter |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 890,6 | 669,4 | 2 817,8 | |
| Other insurance related income | 3,1 | 1,2 | 25,5 | |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (884,4) | (635,3) | (2 658,3) | |
| Sales cost | (48,9) | (51,6) | (205,6) | |
| Administration cost | (38,0) | (33,2) | (143,1) | |
| Commission from reinsurer | 28,0 | 99,4 | 229,2 | Primarily profit sharing previous year |
| Other insurance related expenses | (5,2) | (1,3) | (20,2) | |
| Technical result | (54,7) | 48,5 | 45,3 | |
| Other income/costs | (14,0) | (12,0) | (49,4) | |
| Net financial income | 81,2 | 8,0 | (19,8) | 0,9% return |
| Profit before tax | 12,5 | 44,6 | (23,9) | |
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | 99,3 % | 94,9 % | 94,3 % | |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | 6,6 % | -2,2 % | 4,2 % | |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | 105,9 % | 92,7 % | 98,6 % | |
| Gross claims ratio | 93,4 % | 90,9 % | 93,2 % | |
| Gross expense ratio | 7,6 % | 8,8 % | 8,4 % | |
| Gross combined ratio | 101,0 % | 99,8 % | 101,7 % | |
| Retention rate (premiums not ceded to Reinsurers) | 77,7 % | 69,9 % | 68,1 % | Will continue to increase |

19% growth – combined ratio 98,6%, and…
...strong competitive position maintained

| Guiding 2019 | |
|---|---|
| Net combined ratio | 96 % |
| Volume growth | 14 % |

15% growth – combined ratio 106,9%, and…


| in millions | Q4 2018 | Q4 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 475,1 | 424,5 | 4 286,1 | 3 612,7 |
| Gross premiums earned | 1 123,2 | 881,7 | 4 139,6 | 3 255,0 |
| Gross claims incurred | (1 161,7) | (799,6) | (3 859,3) | (3 573,9) |
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 759,0 | 604,1 | 2 817,8 | 2 402,8 |
| Other insurance related income | 12,0 | 0,8 | 25,5 | 5,1 |
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (739,3) | (575,9) | (2 658,3) | (2 193,8) |
| Sales cost | (49,4) | (97,5) | (205,6) | (151,5) |
| Administration cost | (46,1) | 31,0 | (143,1) | (108,8) |
| Commission from reinsurer | 31,1 | 22,7 | 229,2 | 204,4 |
| Other insurance related expenses | (2,1) | (1,3) | (20,2) | (8,2) |
| Technical result | (34,8) | (16,2) | 45,3 | 150,0 |
| Other income/costs | (12,3) | (12,0) | (49,4) | (46,9) |
| Net financial income | (141,9) | 124,9 | (19,8) | 337,8 |
| Profit before tax | (189,1) | 96,7 | (23,9) | 441,0 |
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | 97,4 % | 95,3 % | 94,3 % | 91,3 % |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | 8,5 % | 7,3 % | 4,2 % | 2,3 % |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | 105,9 % | 102,6 % | 98,6 % | 93,6 % |
| Gross claims ratio | 103,4 % | 90,7 % | 93,2 % | 109,8 % |
| Gross expense ratio | 8,5 % | 7,5 % | 8,4 % | 8,0 % |
| Gross combined ratio | 111,9 % | 98,2 % | 101,7 % | 117,8 % |
| Guiding 2018 – unchanged |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net combined ratio | significant higher than 94 % |
|||
| Volume growth | 16 % | |||
| Cost ratio | ≈7,5 % |


Incl. COI
| in millions | Q3 2018 | Q3 2017 | YTD 2018 | YTD 2017 | FY 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 754,6 | 645,1 | 4 233,1 | 3 623,0 | 4 163,2 | 16,8 % growth YTD | |
| Gross premiums earned | 1 172,7 | 1 022,2 | 3 438,5 | 2 808,1 | 3 805,5 | ||
| Gross claims incurred | -1 257,2 | -1 106,6 | -3 312,5 | -3 152,9 | -4 054,2 | ||
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 806,9 | 749,6 | 2 438,7 | 2 217,6 | 2 925,9 | ||
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | -901,4 | -646,0 | -2 472,5 | -1 980,0 | -2 647,5 | ||
| Net commission income | 1,9 | 20,2 | 100,2 | 140,5 | 117,0 | ||
| Internal sales cost | -20,8 | -17,9 | -65,3 | -18,4 | -71,0 | ||
| Operating expenses | -28,9 | -55,7 | -102,0 | -146,9 | -122,5 | ||
| Other insurance-related income/expenses | -1,3 | 0,4 | -4,6 | -2,8 | -3,3 | ||
| Technical result | -143,6 | 50,6 | -105,5 | 210,0 | 198,6 | ||
| Other income/costs | -15,6 | -16,3 | -46,5 | -41,5 | -55,9 | ||
| Net financial income | 46,4 | 114,9 | 161,2 | 257,5 | 419,5 | ||
| Profit before tax | -112,8 | 149,1 | 9,2 | 426,0 | 562,2 | ||
| Tax | 44,2 | -23,1 | -3,5 | -83,6 | -85,5 | ||
| Profit before components of comprehensive income | -68,6 | 126,0 | 5,7 | 342,4 | 476,7 | ||
| Components of comprehensive income | 3,4 | -13,4 | -19,4 | 16,2 | 39,8 | ||
| Profit for the period | -65,1 | 112,6 | -13,7 | 358,6 | 516,5 | ||
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | (1) | 111,7 % | 86,2 % | 101,4 % | 89,3 % | 90,5 % | |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | (2) | 5,9 % | 7,1 % | 2,8 % | 1,1 % | 2,6 % | |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | (3) | 117,6 % | 93,3 % | 104,1 % | 90,4 % | 93,1 % | Poor profitability 2018 |
| Gross claims ratio | (4) | 107,2 % | 108,3 % | 96,3 % | 112,3 % | 106,5 % | |
| Gross expense ratio | (5) | 7,3 % | 7,3 % | 7,6 % | 7,3 % | 7,4 % | |
| Gross combined ratio | (6) | 114,5 % | 115,5 % | 104,0 % | 119,6 % | 113,9 % |
Profit before tax of NOK 97,4m down from NOK 169,4m
Investment return 1,1 %, NOK 112,3m

| Guiding 2018 – old |
|
|---|---|
| Net combined ratio | >94 % |
| Volume growth | 20 % |
| Cost ratio | ≈7,5 % |
| Guiding 2018 – changed |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net combined ratio | significantly higher than 94 % |
|||
| Volume growth | 16 % | |||
| Cost ratio | ≈7,5 % |

Incl. COI
| [1.000.000 NOK] | Q2 2018 | Q2 2017 | H1 2018 | H1 2017 | FY 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 1 017,5 | 890,5 | 3 478,5 | 2 977,9 | 4 163,2 | Growth of 14,3% (16,4% LCY) | |
| Gross premiums earned | 1 195,0 | 927,3 | 2 265,8 | 1 785,9 | 3 805,5 | ||
| Gross claims incurred | (1 064,7) | (1 262,0) | (2 055,3) | (2 046,3) | (4 054,2) | ||
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 861,1 | 757,8 | 1 631,8 | 1 468,0 | 2 925,9 | ||
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (828,4) | (675,7) | (1 571,1) | (1 334,0) | (2 647,5) | ||
| Net commission income | 30,4 | 51,1 | 98,3 | 137,6 | 100,2 | ||
| Internal sales cost | (21,8) | (17,9) | (44,5) | (34,6) | (70,9) | ||
| Operating expenses | (37,4) | (44,9) | (73,1) | (74,4) | (105,7) | ||
| Other income/costs | (15,7) | (16,2) | (30,6) | (25,2) | (55,9) | ||
| Net financial income | 112,3 | 116,1 | 114,8 | 142,6 | 419,5 | ROI 1,1% | |
| Profit before tax | 97,4 | 169,5 | 122,3 | 276,8 | 562,2 | ||
| Tax | (25,0) | (22,9) | (2,5) | (60,5) | (85,5) | ||
| Profit before components of comp.income | 72,4 | 146,6 | 119,8 | 216,4 | 476,7 | ||
| Components of comprehensive income | (24,7) | 24,5 | (30,1) | 39,5 | 53,1 | ||
| Profit for the period | 53,8 | 165,0 | 89,7 | 246,0 | 516,5 | ||
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | (1) | 96,2 % | 89,2 % | 96,3 % | 90,9 % | 90,5 % | |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | (2) | 3,3 % | 1,5 % | 1,2 % | -2,0 % | 2,6 % | |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | (3) | 99,5 % | 90,7 % | 97,5 % | 88,9 % | 93,1 % | |
| Gross claims ratio | (4) | 89,1 % | 136,1 % | 90,7 % | 114,6 % | 106,5 % | |
| Gross expense ratio | (5) | 7,4 % | 7,5 % | 7,8 % | 7,4 % | 7,4 % | |
| Gross combined ratio | (6) | 96,5 % | 143,6 % | 98,5 % | 121,9 % | 113,9 % |

| New Guiding 2018 | |
|---|---|
| Net combined ratio | >94 % (92-94 %) |
| Volume growth | 20 % |
| Cost ratio | ≈7,5 % |

| [1.000.000 NOK] | Q1 2018 | Q1 2017 | FY 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 2 461,0 | 2 087,4 | 4 163,2 | Growth 17,9 % (15,2 % LCY) | |
| Gross premiums earned | 1 070,9 | 858,6 | 3 805,5 | ||
| Gross claims incurred | (990,6) | (784,4) | (4 054,2) | ||
| Earned premiums, net of reinsurance | 770,7 | 710,2 | 2 925,9 | ||
| Claims incurred, net of reinsurance | (742,7) | (658,3) | (2 647,5) | ||
| Net commission income | 67,9 | 86,6 | 116,9 | ||
| Operating expenses | (35,8) | (29,5) | (122,5) | ||
| Other income/costs | (15,3) | (11,4) | (59,2) | ||
| Net financial income | 2,5 | 26,6 | 419,5 | ||
| Profit before tax | 24,6 | 107,3 | 562,2 | Poor result | |
| Tax | (22,8) | (37,5) | (85,5) | ||
| Profit before components of comprehensive income | 1,8 | 69,8 | 476,7 | ||
| Comprehensive income incl. tax | (4,2) | 11,2 | 39,8 | ||
| Profit for the period | (2,4) | 81,0 | 516,5 | ||
| Claims ratio, net of ceded business | (1) | 96,4% | 92,7 % | 90,5 % | Poor claims ratio |
| Expense ratio, net of ceded business | (2) | -1,2% | -5,7 % | 2,6 % | |
| Combined ratio, net of ceded business | (3) | 95,1% | 87,0 % | 93,1 % | |
| Gross claims ratio | (4) | 92,5% | 91,4 % | 106,5 % | |
| Gross expense ratio | (5) | 8,3% | 7,1 % | 7,4 % | |
| Gross combined ratio | (6) | 100,8% | 98,5 % | 113,9 % | |
| Retention rate | (7) | 72,0% | 82,7 % | 76,9 % | |
| Earnings per share | (8) | 0,02 | 0,81 | 5,53 |


This presentation and the information contained herein have been prepared by and is the sole responsibility of Protector Forsikring ASA (the "Company"). Such information is being provided to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, retransmitted, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. The information and opinions presented herein are based on general information gathered at the time of writing and are therefore subject to change without notice. The Company assumes no obligations to update or correct any of the information set out herein.
These materials may contain statements about future events and expectations that are forward-looking statements. Any statement in these materials that is not a statement of historical fact including, without limitation, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations is a forwardlooking statement that involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. The Company assumes no obligations to update the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results,changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and is not prepared or made in connection with, an offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. The contents of this presentation have not been independently verified. While the Company relies on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, it does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its owners, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of the Company, its affiliates or any of their respective advisors or representatives or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the presentation. The Company's securities have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "US Securities Act"), and are offered and sold only outside the United States in accordance with an exemption from registration provided by Regulation S of the US Securities Act.
This presentation should not form the basis of any investment decision. Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent investigation and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in any offering documents published in relation to such an offering. For further information about the Company, reference is made public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange, periodic reports and other materials available on the Company's web pages.
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