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PROSPECT RESOURCES LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2021
Mar 1, 2021
65617_rns_2021-03-01_ee5fa19e-f036-4b51-a0de-ecae2caae8b9.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Corporate Presentation March 2021
African lithium developer, Prospect Resources Limited (ASX: PSC, FRA:5EB) is presenting at an investor conference in Sydney on Tuesday 2 March 20201. Please find attached a copy of the presentation.
This release was authorised by Mr Sam Hosack, Managing Director of Prospect Resources Ltd.
ENDS
For further information, please contact:
Nicholas Rathjen Head of Corporate Development [email protected]
About Prospect Resources Limited (ASX:PSC, FRA:5E8)
Prospect Resources Limited (ASX:PSC, FRA:5E8) is an ASX listed lithium company based in Perth with operations in Zimbabwe. Prospect’s flagship project is the Arcadia Lithium Project located on the outskirts of Harare in Zimbabwe. The Arcadia Lithium Project represents a globally significant hard rock lithium resource and is being rapidly developed by Prospect’s experienced team, focusing on near term production of high purity petalite and spodumene concentrates. Arcadia is one of the most advanced lithium projects globally, with a Definitive Feasibility Study, Offtake Partners secured and a clear pathway to production.
About Lithium
Lithium is a soft silvery-white metal which is highly reactive and does not occur in nature in its elemental form. In nature it occurs as compounds within hard rock deposits (such as Arcadia) and salt brines. Lithium and its chemical compounds have a wide range of industrial applications resulting in numerous chemical and technical uses. Lithium has the highest electrochemical potential of all metals, a key property in its role in lithium-ion batteries.
Prospect Resources Limited | ACN 124 354 329 | W: prospectresources.com.au | Phone: +61 8 9217 3300 Suite 6, 245 Churchill Ave. Subiaco WA 6008 | Email: [email protected]
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Low cost, high purity lithium March 2021
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Disclaimer
Caution Regarding Forward Looking Information
The information contained in this presentation or subsequently provided to any recipient of this presentation whether orally or in writing by or on behalf of Prospect Resources Ltd (“Prospect Resources or the Company”) or its respective employees, agents or consultants (Information) is provided to the recipients on the terms and conditions set out in this notice. The purpose of this presentation is to provide recipients with information relating to Prospect Resources. This presentation has been prepared by Prospect Resources and each recipient must make his/her own independent assessment and investigation of Prospect Resources and its business and assets and should not rely on any statement or the adequacy and accuracy of any information.
Prospect Resources makes no representation or warranty (either expressed or implied) as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information. Prospect Resources and its directors, employees, agents and consultants shall have no liability (including liability to any person by reason of negligence or negligent misstatement)for any statements, opinions, information or matters (express or implied) arising out of, contained in or derived from, or for any omissions from the presentation, except liability under statute that can not be excluded.
This presentation contains references to certain intentions, expectations and plans of Prospect Resources. These intentions, expectations and plans may or may not be achieved. They are based on certain assumptions which may not be met or on which views may differ. The performance and operation of Prospect Resources may be influenced by a number of factors, many of which are outside the control of Prospect Resources. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Prospect Resources or its respective directors, employees, officers, agents, consultants or advisers that intentions, expectations or plans will be achieved either totally or partially or that any particular rate of return will be achieved.
This presentation does not constitute in any way an offer or invitation to subscribe for securities in Prospect Resources pursuant to the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth).
Prospect confirms that for the purposes of Listing Rule 5.19.2, all material assumptions underpinning the information continue to apply and have not materially changed
Competent Person’s Statements
The Company confirms it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the Arcadia Mineral Resource Estimate and that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimate continue to apply and have not materially changed when referring to its resource announcement made on 25 October 2017.
The Company confirms it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the Arcadia Ore Reserve Estimate and that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimate continue to apply and have not materially changed when referring to its reserve announcement made on 20 November 2019.
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Lithium Market
EV Adoption accelerating
-
China and Europe leading the way. Europe set to become the largest EV market for 2021
-
UK sales have accelerated following emissions policy and EV subsidy. In order for the UK to meet their 2035 EV target of 3m EV’s sold per annum, it needs:
-
Half of the worlds lithium produced in 2020 (49% of 315,000 tonnes LCE in 2020)[1]
-
More than the entire world’s supply of anode material in 2020[1]
-
Strong growth in EV sales in H2 CY2020 are expected to continue in CY2021
-
Supply chain feedback suggesting higher prices in 2021 across both the chemical and glass & ceramics markets
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1 Source: Benchmark’s Lithium Forecast Q3 2020
16%
16%
16%
Lithium Market
Without further investment, the market is in deficit in 2021
Shortage of long-term supply
-
Existing operational supply only in place to meet demand to 2021
-
For additional producers to meet the demands of the market in 2022, development would have had to commence in 2019[1]
-
Therefore, without further investment in new projects there will be a supply shortage by 2022 where EV growth will accelerate as they reach cost parity with ICE vehicles
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Million LCE tonnes
4.0
EV achieves ICE cost parity [2]
3.5 Arcadia’s targeted commencement of operation
Demand
Necessary unplanned supply
3.0
Identified potential supply [3]
Secondary supply
2.5 Brownfield
Operational supply
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
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LCE = Lithium Carbonate Equivalent
- 1 Assuming development and ramp up phase of 24 months
2 Bernstein
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52%
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3 Identified potential supply is a collection of Benchmark Minerals Intelligence's highly probable, probable and possible supply categories
Corporate Overview Low cost, high quality lithium development
Top 10 largest hard rock lithium asset globally – with 1 DFS and fully permitted Offtake agreements secured with tier one partners 2 across Europe and Asia. Pilot plant to produce high purity petalite in H1 CY2021, 3 with a clear pathway to production
4 Management is invested. Owning 6% of shares on issue
| Corporate Summary | Corporate Summary |
|---|---|
| Equity Listings | ASX: PSC FRA: 5E8 |
| Shares Outstanding(1/3/2021) Shares (F/D) |
332m 344m |
| Share Price(1/3/2021) | A$0.175 |
| Market Capitalisation(1/3/2021) | A$58m |
| Cash(31/12/20) | A$5.5m |
| Top Shareholders % |
|
| Lord of the Seven Hills Holding FZE 9.75 |
|
| Citicorp Nominees Pty Ltd 8.56 |
|
| Sinomine International Exploration 6.27 |
|
| J P Morgan Nominees Australia Pty Ltd 5.21 |
|
| HSBC Custody Nominees 4.95 |
|
| MBM Capital Partners 4.25 |
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6%
6% Board & Management
Sinomine Resources
(Offtake Partner)
20%
Instiutions & Family
Offices
68%
HNW & Retail
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Board of Directors and Executives
Lithium, project development and African mining experience
The team comprises a matrix of expertise across technical, corporate, project development, offtake and mine operations Experience across major miners operations both in Africa and globally
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Mark Dev Shetty Zed Rusike Gerry
Wheatley Non-Executive Director Non-Executive Director Fahey
Non-Executive Non-Executive
Chairman Director
Sam Hosack Harry Henian Ian
Managing Director Greaves Chen Goldberg
Executive Director Non-Executive Chief Financial
Director Officer
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Arcadia Lithium Project
Direct access to all essential services and infrastructure
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Operating in an established mining jurisdiction with over 100 years of mining history
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Zimbabwe has the 2nd largest platinum and chrome deposits in the world and is the 5th largest producer of lithium in the world:
-
-
Caledonia Mining (NYSE: CMCL)
-
Implats (JSE: IMP)
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Zimplats (ASX: ZIM)
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Sibanye Stillwater (JSE: SSW)
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Anglo American (LSE: ALL)
-
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Close proximity to a skilled labour force and established infrastructure.
-
Logistics assessment completed with positive outcomes:
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Preferencing road transportation
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Bulk shipping preliminary tendered
-
Assessment of Beira port and border crossing
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Sufficient bonded capacity at Beira port
-
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Secured a Special Economic Zone, providing financial and logistical advantages:
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Ability to bank offshore and in foreign currency
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• Exemptions of withholding tax for dividends, remittances and royalties
-
Customs clearance at mine site
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Fully permitted to commence production
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Arcadia - Mining
Strong project economics validating a transition to development
Ore Reserve
| Category | Tonnes (Mt) | Li2O (%) | Ta2O5 (ppm) |
Li2O (kt) | Contained Ta2O5 (Mlbs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Proved | 11.3 | 1.28% | 114 | 144 | 2.8 |
| Probable | 26.1 | 1.20% | 124 | 314 | 7.2 |
| TOTAL | 37.4 | 1.22% | 121 | 457 | 10.0 |
-
Open pit, near surface mining
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Low strip ratio of 3.2:1 (waste:ore)
-
Reduced risks associated with grade control and orebody knowledge, with 30% of Reserve in the proved category
Mineral Resource
| Category | Tonnes (Mt) | Li2O (%) | Ta2O5 (ppm) |
Li2O (kt) | Contained Ta2O5 (Mlbs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measured | 15.9 | 1.17% | 121 | 184.9 | 4.2 |
| Indicated | 45.4 | 1.10% | 121 | 501.5 | 12.1 |
| Inferred | 11.4 | 1.06% | 111 | 121.4 | 2.8 |
| TOTAL | 72.7 | 1.11% | 119 | 807.8 | 19.1 |
-
High grade vs peers
-
Long life of mine 15.5 years
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Extensive metallurgical testwork completed providing viability testing
-
Using conventional mining methods (Dense Media Separation & Flotation)
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Producing high purity petalite and spodumene lithium concentrate
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1 Minerals Resource Statement as described in ASX announcement dated 25 October 2017 2 Ore Reserve Statement as described in ASX announcement dated
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Arcadia - Definitive Feasibility Study Strong project economics validating a transition to development
| Operating Parameters | Units | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Life of Mine Modelled (All Open Pit) | Years | 15.5 |
| Plant Throughput | Mtpa | 2.4 |
| Average Lithia Head Grade | % | 1.22 |
| Average Lithia Recovery | % | 55.2 |
| Average Life of Mine Spodumene Production | ktpa | 173 |
| Average Life of Mine Petalite Production | ktpa | 122 |
| -Average Life of Mine Chemical Grade Low Iron Petalite Production | ktpa | 24 |
| -Average Life of Mine Technical Grade Ultra-Low Iron Petalite Production | ktpa | 98 |
| Capital and Operating Costs | Units | Value |
| Life of Mine Cash Operating Cost (FOB)1 | US$/t | 344 |
| Capital Costs (Pre-production) | US$M | 162 |
| Sustaining Capital | US$M | 35 |
| Life of Mine Low Iron Spodumene Concentrate Price | US$/t | 701 |
| Life of Mine Low Iron Petalite Chemical Concentrate Price | US$/t | 483 |
| Life of Mine Ultra-Low Iron Petalite Concentrate Price | US$/t | 894 |
| Financial Summary | Units | Value |
| Average first 5 years Annual Free Cash Flow from operations (post-tax) | US$M | 145 |
| Average first 10 years Annual Free Cash Flow from operations (post-tax) | US$M | 116 |
| Average Annual Free Cash Flow from Operations (post-tax) | US$M | 101 |
| Average Annual EBITDA | US$M | 114 |
| Pre-Tax NPV10 | US$M | 710 |
| Pre-Tax IRR | % | 71 |
| Post Tax NPV10 | US$M | 645 |
| Post Tax IRR | % | 70 |
| Operating Margin | % | 43 |
| Payback Period (From commencement of production) | Years | 1.5 |
The financial outcomes of the DFS position Arcadia to become the first listed lithium producer in Africa:
▪ 15.5 year [email protected]
-
LOM cash operating cost US$344/t
-
LOM revenue US$3.42 billion
▪ Average annual EBITDA US$114 million ▪ Pre-Tax NPV of US$710 million
- Pre-Tax IRR of 71%
▪ Project payback of ~1.5 years
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1 Total cash operating costs FOB (before tantalum credit, before royalties and government marketing costs)
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2 Net Present Value (NPV) is presented on a nominal basis and with a discount rate of 10%
3 Definitive Feasibility Study conducted at Project Level. Prospect Resources owns 70%, with the right to increase to 87% subject to shareholder approval and completion.
Competitive Advantage Arcadia Project Economics Competitive cost of production throughout lithium cycle
Spodumene hard rock total cost curve
Arcadia is positioned to be the lowest quartile spodumene producer:
-
Upper quartile ore head grade
-
Lowest quartile strip ratio, open cut
-
Lowest quartile capital intensity
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$800
$686
$700
$600
$505
$500
$450
$412
$400 $369 $371
$344
$300
$200
$100
$14
$-
PSC DFS incl PSC DFS AJM AVZ GXY PLS MER EUR
petalite credit
USD dmt
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Source: Company announcements
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Arcadia DFS cash operating costs FOB - real and net of tantalum credit. https://www.prospectresources.com.au/sites/default/files/asx-announcements/6959486.pdf Arcadia DFS cash operating costs FOB including petalite credit – real, net of tantalum and petalite credit.
Tier one partners secured Offtake agreements in place across Europe & Asia
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Offtake Agreements in place:
- 7 year offtake agreement for:
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40,000tpa of 6% spodumene concentrate;
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112,000tpa of 4% petalite concentrate; and
-
US$10m pre-payment
-
A$10m equity investment in Prospect Resources[1]
-
7 year term for up to 100,000tpa of 4% petalite concentrate[2]
-
World’s largest known high purity petalite offtake agreement
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- +40 years experience with petalite in Europe
In discussions with strategic corporates and potential offtake partners for project finance
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ASX announcement titled “Completion of Placement and Sinomine Transaction” on 4 April 2018 ASX announcement titled “Prospect signs Petalite Offtake Agreement with Sibelco” on 17 August 2020
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Attractive Upside Valuation compared to Peers Peer group comprises advanced greenfield hard rock lithium projects
EV / Att. Reserve[1]
EV / % of Att. NPV (after-tax)[1]
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1,600
1,413
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400 320
235
200
67
-
Prospect Resources AVZ Minerals Core Lithium Liontown
A$ / LCE
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300%
250% 239%
200%
150%
114%
100%
70%
61%
50%
8%
0%
Prospect Resources AVZ Minerals Core Lithium Piedmont Lithium Liontown
% of Att. NPV (after-tax)
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1 Further detail provided in Appendix 3
Clear pathway to production and updated Feasibility Staged development, producing of high purity products
✓ Production of high purity petalite samples for customers H1 CY2021 DMS PILOT PLANT ✓ Optimise flowsheet and design for FEED ✓ Revised Feasibility Study for staged growth ✓ Supplying samples to strategic corporates and potential offtake partners for their continuing due diligence ✓ Low capex 1.2Mtpa Stage 1: SINGLE TRAIN PLANT ✓ Produces sizeable volumes of high purity petalite and spodumene ✓ Opportunity to rapidly commence production and scale up plant ✓ Capex expansion as brownfield operation 2.4Mtpa Stage 2: DUAL TRAIN PLANT ✓ Increasing production further strengthening cashflow Further potential through optimisation
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Summary
- DFS completed
Africa’s most advanced lithium project
-
Fully permitted
-
Offtake Partners
-
Pathway to ramping up production
-
• Top 10 Largest Global Hard Rock Lithium Asset
Tier 1, low cost deposit with a Long Life of Mine
-
Mineral Resource 72.7Mt @1.11% Li2O and 119ppm Ta2O5
-
Ore Reserve 37.4Mt @ 1.22% Li2O and 121ppm Ta2O5
-
Operating cost in the lowest quartile at US$344/t
-
15.5 Year Life of Mine
-
• Average Annual EBITDA (First 5 years) US$168M
Strong project economics
-
CAPEX US$162M, including EPCM cost provision & 14% contingency[1]
-
• Pre-tax IRR of 71% • Pre-tax NPV10 US$710M[2]
-
The global demand for lithium is driven by EV growth
-
Exposure to both high growth EV market & stable glass • Supply into the stable glass & ceramics and the ceramic market growing EV / battery market
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1 Contingency includes EAA (Estimate Accuracy Allowance) 2 Net Present Value (NPV) is presented on a nominal basis and with a discount rate of 10%.
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CONTACT US
Nick Rathjen General Manager, Corporate Development Mobile: +61 405 730 041 Email: [email protected]
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www.prospectresources.com.au
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APPENDIX
Appendix 1
Project parameters and assumptions
| Mining and Production | Mining and Production |
|---|---|
| Processing Plant Size | 2.4Mtpa |
| Ore Reserve - Li2O grade (diluted) - Ta2O5grade (diluted) |
37.4Mt 1.22% 121ppm |
| Life of Mine (years) | 15.5 |
| Average life of Mine strip ratio | 3.2:1 |
| Average Lithia Recovery | 55.2% |
| Ta2O5recoveries | 27% |
| Average Life of Mine Production -Spodumene (t per annum) -Petalite Chemical (t per annum) - Petalite Technical (t per annum) -Tantalum (lbs per annum) |
173,000 24,000 98,000 174,000 |
| Spodumene concentrate grade | 6% |
| Petalite concentrate grade | 4% |
| Tantalite concentrate grade | 25% |
| Cost Assumptions(US$/t) | Cost Assumptions(US$/t) |
|---|---|
| Mining | 97 |
| Processing (inclusive crushing) | 136 |
| ~~* X % h~~ General administration and selling costs |
32 |
| ~~x sorter~~ Transport and loading |
70 |
| Cash operating costs (before tantalite credit and royalties and government marketing costs) |
335 |
| * Xx% increase Less tantalum credit |
(36) |
| Total cash operating costs FOB (after tantalum credit, before royalties and government marketing costs) |
299 |
| Add royalties and government marketing costs | 45 |
| Total cash operating costs FOB | 344 |
| General and Economic | |
| Discount rate (%, real) | 10 |
| LOM Low Iron Spodumene (6%) conc price (US$/t) | 701 |
| LOM Low Iron Petalite (4%) conc price (US$/t) | 483 |
| LOM Ultra- Low Iron Petalite (4%) conc price (US$/t) | 894 |
| LOM Tantalum conc price (US$/lb) | 75 |
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Appendix 2
LoM Financials and Capital Expenditure
| Life of Mine Financials | Life of Mine Financials |
|---|---|
| Average Annual Free Cash Flow from Operations (post-tax) | US$101M |
| Average first 5 years Annual Free Cashflow from operations (post-tax) |
US$145M |
| Average first 10 years Annual Free Cashflow from operations (post tax) |
US$116M |
| Life of Mine Revenue (excl. Ta Credits) | US$3.42B |
| Average Annual EBITDA | US$114M |
| Pre-Tax NPV10 | US$710M |
| Pre-Tax IRR | 71% |
| Post Tax NPV10 | US$645M |
| Post Tax IRR | 70% |
| Operating Margin | 43% |
| Payback Period (From Commencement of Production) | 18 Months |
| Capital Cost Summary(US$ Thousands) | Capital Cost Summary(US$ Thousands) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mine Development Cost (Sub Total) | 4 816 | ||
| Process Plan (Sub Total) | 117 715 | ||
| Earthworks | 5 047 | ||
| Civil Works | *Xx % shorter | 8 269 | |
| Mechanical Equipment incl. Modular plant | 50 332 | ||
| Structural Steel | 4 098 | ||
| Plate Work | 3 382 | ||
| Piping | * Xx% increase | 3 862 | |
| Electrical, C&I | 15 115 | ||
| Spares & Consumables | 1 411 | ||
| Transport | 3 016 | ||
| Process Plant Installation | 23 183 | ||
| Tantalum Recovery | Incl. Above | ||
| Non-process Plant Costs | 39 902 | ||
| Mining & General Infrastructure | 18 772 | ||
| Engineering and Services | 11 090 | ||
| Mining Inventories on Hand at Commissioning | 2 543 | ||
| First Fill Spaces & Consumables | 4 783 | ||
| Non-Plant CAPEX | 2 714 | ||
| TOTAL (Direct and Indirect Costs incl. Contingency) | 162 433 |
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Appendix 3 Valuation peer group
| Company | Prospect Resources | AVZ Minerals | Core Lithium | Piedmont Lithium | Liontown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | PSC | AVZ | CXO | PLL | LTR |
| Exchange | ASX | ASX | ASX | ASX | ASX |
| Market Capitalisation(01/03/2021) | 58 | 520 | 263 | 1,200 | 798 |
| Cash (A$m) | 5.5 | 8.3 | 4.5 | 95.9 | 16.4 |
| EV(A$m) | 50.5 | 526.7 | 341.5 | 878.1 | 688.6 |
| Project Name | Arcadia | Manono | Finniss | Piedmont | Kathleen Valley |
| Country | Zimbabwe | DRC | Australia | USA | Australia |
| Ownership | 70% | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Reserve - Total (Mt LCE) | 1.13 | 3.63 | 0.18 | NA | 2.45 |
| EV/Att. Reserve (A$/LCE) | 67 | 235 | 1,413 | NA | 320 |
| Project NPV (US$ & after-tax)1 | 645 | 1,028 | 80 | 714 | 829 |
| EV/% of Att. NPV | 8% | 61% | 239% | 114% | 70% |
| DFS | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | No |
| Binding Offtake | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | No |
| Mining | Open Pit | Open Pit | Open Pit and U/G | Open Pit | Open Pit and U/G |
| Source: | ArcadiaDFS12 December 2019 | ManonoDFS21 April 2020 | FinnissDFS17 April 2019 | PiedmontPFS26May2020 | Kathleen ValleyPFS 9 October 2020 |
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Information sourced from ASX announcements lodged by ASX: AVZ, ASX: CXO, ASX:PLL and ASX:LTR, 1 Core Lithium NPV is on a pre-tax basis. All other NPV’s are post-tax. Piedmont Lithium NPV based on “merchant project” scenario Exchange rate of AUDUSD $0.74
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