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Prosafe SE

Investor Presentation Aug 17, 2023

3718_rns_2023-08-17_0d4ef4a5-e02a-4f23-b016-eace091e1e98.pdf

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Q2 2023 Results

17 August 2023

Disclaimer

All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. Certain such forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "believe", "may", "will", "should", "would be", "expect" or "anticipate" or similar expressions, or the negative thereof, or other variations thereof, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward -looking statements are reasonable, these forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forward-looking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation as anticipated, believed or expected. To the extent this information includes information sourced from third parties, such as concerning the industry in which Prosafe operates, has not prepared such information and assumes no responsibility for it. Prosafe does not intend and does not assume any obligation to update any industry information or forward-looking statements set forth in this presentation to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

Key events Q2 2023

Operations, HSSE and backlog

  • Utilisation of 33.1%, three out of seven vessels operating during the quarter
  • Safe Zephyrus on hire in Brazil from 30 April
  • Safe Concordia on hire in U.S. Gulf of Mexico from 9 August
  • Safe Notos back on hire from 14 June
  • Good operating performance on all vessels
  • Order backlog at 30 June USD 299 million

Financials

  • Revenue of USD 21.0 million and EBITDA of negative USD 9.8 million
  • Cash flow from operations of negative USD 7.5 million
  • Capex for Concordia, Zephyrus, Eurus and Notos of USD 12.4 million
  • Raised USD 28.1 million in proceeds from private placement of new shares
  • Liquidity of USD 75.2 million at quarter end

Market and outlook

  • Favourable medium- and long-term demand outlook
  • Significant increase in tender activity and awards for 2024 and beyond with four Petrobras tenders in Brazil and recent contract awards further tightening supply
  • Additional tenders expected in the UK North Sea and Brazil for 2024 and 2025, however low 2023 activity in the North Sea
  • Liquidity impacted capital expenditure plus mobilisation spend for new contracts in Brazil and U.S.

Operations

4

Good operating performance

  • Safe Zephyrus successfully mobilised to Brazil. Started contract with Petrobras on 30 April 2023
  • Safe Eurus and Safe Notos continued to work for Petrobras in Brazil
  • Safe Notos completed hull cleaning and compliance work without additional off-hire
  • Safe Concordia on hire in U.S. Gulf of Mexico from 9 August
  • Safe Boreas and Safe Caledonia laid up in Norway and UK, respectively, pending future work

1) Expected utilisation rate based on firm contracts

Stable backlog since Q2 2022

  • Backlog of USD 298.7 million at end Q2
    • ‒ Mainly reflecting Safe Eurus, Safe Notos and Safe Zephyrus contracts with Petrobras
  • No additions to backlog in Q2

Order backlog (USD million)

Expected phasing of order backlog (USD million)

Utilisation improving with Zephyrus and Concordia on hire

Contract overview 2023 operational items

Safe Eurus:
Actively marketed
modifications and SPS
Cold-stacked
previous estimates
Optional newbuilds at yard
Safe Concordia:
  • Work for Safe Boreas and Safe Caledonia for 2024 and beyond a key focus
  • Expecting additional tenders in North Sea and Brazil for 2024 and beyond
  • Sale of old Regalia gangway agreed for USD 1.7 million with closing expected in Q3

Safe Eurus:

  • ‒ ~35 days off-hire moved to Nov/Dec 2023 for hull cleaning, Petrobras contract modifications and SPS
  • ‒ 2023: Expected capex1 of USD ~6-7 million and all-in opex of ~3-4 million
  • ‒ Expected total costs are in line with previous estimates

Safe Concordia:

  • ‒ Total combined opex and capex cost of USD 30–32 million expected
  • ‒ This is an estimated increase of USD 1-2 million from previous estimated range of USD 25-30 million
  • ‒ 330-day firm contract with 6 monthly options
  • ‒ Successfully on-hire from 09 August 2023

Financials

Operating revenues

  • Charter income of USD 19.2 million in Q2, reflecting lower utilisation
    • ‒ USD 1.8 million standby fee for Safe Boreas included as other revenue
  • Good operational performance
    • ‒ 100% commercial uptime for Safe Eurus, Safe Notos (excluding planned off-hire) and for Safe Zephyrus since contract commencement

Operating revenues and EBITDA (USD million)

Income statement

  • Operating result before depreciation (EBITDA) of negative USD 9.8 million
    • ‒ OPEX impacted by planned compliance works and contract preparations
  • Higher interest expense due to rising interest rates
    • ‒ No hedging facilities available under current lending agreements
(Unaudited figures in USD million) Q2 2023 Q2 2022 6M 2023 6M 2022 12M2022
Operating revenues 21.0 60.9 35.3 96.4 198.9
Operating expenses
Operating results before
(30.8) (38.1) (51.5) (68.8) (137.5)
depreciation (9.8) 22.8 (16.2) 27.6 61.4
Depreciation (7.0) (7.0) (14.5) (14.3) (29.5)
Operating (loss)/profit (16.8) 15.8 (30.7) 13.3 31.9
Interest income 0.7 0.0 1.2 0.1 0.7
Interest expenses (7.6) (4.0) (14.8) (7.4) (18.7)
Other financial items (1.4) 1.1 (2.0) (2.9) (4.1)
Net financial items (8.3) (2.9) (15.6) (10.2) (22.1)
(Loss)/Profit before taxes (25.1) 12.9 (46.3) 3.1 9.8
Taxes (0.6) (2.3) (1.1) (4.4) (8.3)
Net (loss)/profit (25.7) 10.6 (47.4) (1.3) 1.5
EPS (2.59) 1.20 (5.07) (0.15) 0.17
Diluted EPS (2.59) 1.20 (5.07) (0.15) 0.17

Balance sheet

  • Total assets of USD 490.8 million at end Q2 2023
  • Cash position decreased to USD 75.2 million from USD 91.6 million at end 2022
    • ‒ Mainly driven by investments in and costs related to Zephyrus, Concordia, Eurus and Notos
    • ‒ Partly offset by the Q2 2023 private placement
  • Equity ratio of 3.9%
  • Q2 NIBD1of USD 345.0 million whereof USD 2.8 million is short-term debt
(Unaudited figures in USD million) 30.06.23 30.06.22 31.12.22
Vessels 389.7 389.3 376.8
New builds 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other non-current
assets 1.3 1.6 1.2
Total non-current assets 391.0 390.9 378.0
Accounts and other receivables 17.5 43.2 24.1
Other current assets 7.1 3.0 6.3
Cash and deposits 75.2 57.6 91.6
Total current
assets 99.8 103.8 122.0
Total assets 490.8 494.7 500.0
Share capital 16.0 12.4 12.4
Other equity 3.3 22.0 24.9
Total equity 19.3 34.4 37.3
Interest-free long-term liabilities 1.6 1.9 1.9
Interest-bearing long-term debt 417.4 421.1 418.5
Total long-term liabilities 419.0 423.0 420.4
Accounts and other payables 32.8 18.3 20.6
Tax payable 16.9 16.0 18.0
Current portion of long-term debt 2.8 3.0 3.7
Total current
liabilities 52.5 37.3 42.3
Total equity and liabilities 490.8 494.7 500.0

Operating cash flow in Q2 2023

  • Negative operating cash flow of USD 7.5 million
  • Proceeds of USD 28.1 million from the private placement in May
  • Strong support from existing and new shareholders demonstrated by oversubscribed May private placement
  • Capex of USD 12.4 million in quarter
  • USD 2.0 million in capitalised mobilisation costs negatively impacting NWC offset by increased accounts payable
  • Higher interest expenses due to increased interest rates
  • Cash position of USD 75.2 million at quarter end

Cash flow in the quarter (USD million)

Debt profile with first major maturity end-2025

  • Favourable terms on debt facilities with limited fixed amortization and low interest rate
    • ‒ Main-tranche: 2.5%+ Credit Adjustment Spread + SOFR, maturing 31 December 2025*
    • ‒ COSCO (Safe Eurus): 0% (increasing to 2% in 2026)
    • ‒ COSCO minimum amortization of USD 6 million
    • ‒ Quarterly liquidity covenant in 2023 of USD 23 million
    • ‒ Year-end cash sweep if 12 month forward looking liquidity balance >USD 67 million
  • Major corporate actions including M&A, new indebtedness, waivers and delivery of new vessels require 2/3 approval by the lenders

NIBD development (USDm)

Debt maturity profile (USDm)

Market and outlook

Significant tightening of market balance for high end vessels

  • Older less competitive vessels were recycled during market downturn in 2016-2020. Deliveries since 2020:
    • ‒ 1 new DP3 monohull in 2023
  • Limited orderbook, Prosafe controlling the high specification vessels:
    • ‒ 2x DP3 semis (Safe Nova and Safe Vega)
    • ‒ Non-DP3 vessels in orderbook: 1 jack-up

Increasing demand (# of vessel years)1

  • High activity in 2022
  • Slower 2023 market materializing as expected
  • Overall increased oil and gas activity reflecting the early phase of a likely new long-term investment cycle

Stable fleet1 Global accommodation vessel utilisation2

  • Market utilisation of high specification accommodation vessels increasing to over 70% in 2022
  • COVID19 left the market in standstill with utilisation of high-spec DP3 units below 30% and the remaining market bottomed out at approx. 10% utilisation
  • Peak total utilisation in 2011-14 period of ~70%

Dayrates are picking up as the market is tightening

Brazil day rate development (USD/d) North Sea day rate development (USD/d)

Strong development in North Sea demand drivers

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

  • M & M/Tie-in HUC TSV
  • Activity returned to the North Sea during 2022
    • ‒ Catch-up in maintenance works, increased regulatory scrutiny of maintenance as well as increased oil and gas activity reflecting the early phase of a likely new longterm investment cycle
  • Positive medium- and long-term outlook
    • ‒ Slower 2023 materialising before expected ramp up activity from 2024 and onwards

North Sea activity (# of vessel years) Historical PDO's1) delivered and well-count on the NCS

  • Number of PDO's1) delivered is reaching all-time highs after a temporary tax incentive schemes for PDO's delivered before YE'22
    • ‒ A significant number of PDO's were approved in Q2 2023
  • Positive demand outlook
    • ‒ Higher maintenance and tie-back activity in the UK and Norway, particularly from 2024 and 2025 onwards

Note: 1) Plan for Development and Operation Source: Prosafe, Pareto Securities Equity Research, Clarksons,, Petrobras, IEA

Increasing flotel demand in Brazil

Contracted Forecast

  • High activity level in Brazil continued. Activity increased to the second highest level ever and close to 2015 peak
  • Increased activity by large independents (SBM, Equinor, Modec) further driving demand
  • New FPSOs in 2016/17 driving demand today

Brazil activity (# of vessel years) Number of FPSOs working in Brazil

  • Brazil's oil production has increased steadily for three years and is expected to keep increasing
  • Petrobras' most important asset, the Búzios field, will be allocated 7 new FPSOs into operation in order to lift current capacity of 600k bpd1) to target >2m bpd
  • FPSOs require maintenance after ~2-5 years
  • Expect a minimum of additional 2 high specification tenders to be released in 2023 for operations commencing in 2024

High contract activity driving improved utilisation

  • Limited North Sea activity for 2023, new tenders expected in Q3/Q4 for 2024 and 2025 requirements
  • Safe Boreas is the only DP3 semi-submersible vessel currently located in the North Sea and available for charter over the 2024 summer season
  • High tender activity in Brazil with 4 major Petrobras tenders ongoing and more tenders expected from both Petrobras and other operators for long-term charter requirements
  • If sufficiently attractive, other rigs may be mobilised to Brazil
  • Prosafe is optimistic on the market outlook in both the North Sea and Brazil and maintains its strategy of seeking sustainable day rates in a tightening market
Year Firm
Duration
Option(s) Region Expected
award
timing
Expected vessel / type
2024 0.6 -
1.2
years
2 months Brazil -
Independent
Q4 2024 Multiple vessel demand
Semi-submersible/monohull
2024 1.5 months 0.5 month UK Q4-2024 Walk to work
2024 1.5 years 4 months Brazil
independent
Q3-2024 Semi-submersible/monohull
2024 4 years 5 months Brazil -
Petrobras
Q3 2023 Aquarius Brasil
-
USD 110k
2024 4 years 5 months Brazil -
Petrobras
Q3 2023 POSH -
USD 115k
2024 4 years 5 months Brazil -
Petrobras
Q3 2023 Unknown
2024 2 years 5 months Brazil -
Petrobras
Q3 2023 Venus -
USD 117k
2024 4 months 2 months UK Awarded Floatel International
2024 3 months - UK Awarded Floatel International
2025 6 months 6 months Australia Awarded Floatel Triumph

Indicative earnings potential in an improving market

USD million Average1
2011-22
Average1
2011-16
Peak1
2014-15
Implied day-rate –
365 days contract Brazil
Implied day-rate –
North Sea (UK) 180 days
~110K
~175K
~145K
~245K
~160K
~280K
EBITDA/vessel 22 35 41
# of vessels on long-term charter in Brazil 2 2 2
# remaining fleet2 5 5 5
EBITDA ex. long term charters 110 175 205
EBITDA Safe Eurus & Safe Notos 24 24 24
Selling, General & Administrative (SG&A)3 (17) (17) (17)
Illustrative EBITDA 117 183 212
Illustrative NIBD/EBITDA 2.9x 1.9x 1.6x

Historical EBITDA/vessel1 Fleet EBITDA potential for Prosafe vessels per region

20

Summary

Summary

  • Positive development in mid-and long-term demand drivers in Brazil and North Sea (UK and Norway)
  • Increased tender activity for 2024 and beyond
  • Slow 2023 North Sea market with low visibility
  • H1 2023 was a transition period, preparing vessels for contract start-up, with utilisation expected to increase from 33% in Q2 to 52% in Q4
  • Intensified focus on market opportunities following completion of significant mobilisation and upgrade projects for contracted vessels
  • Closely monitoring liquidity position into 2024 and potential impact of contract awards in the North Sea vs Brazil and other regions

Appendix

Option to take delivery of two newbuilds available at yard

  • Prosafe has option to take delivery of the only two DP3 newbuild semis available at yard
    • ‒ 500 POB and suited for Petrobras requirements
    • ‒ Long-term contracts at higher than prevailing day rates required to justify delivery
    • ‒ Ongoing dialogue with the yard on how to facilitate delivery in expected future Petrobras tenders
  • Typhoon in late September 2022 caused material damage that must be repaired prior to delivery
    • ‒ The yard is in the process of undertaking repairs

Agreed delivery terms with COSCO (under discussion):

  • Remaining purchase price for vessels:
    • ‒ \$210m (Nova), \$212m (Vega), total \$422m, includes mobilisation costs of ~\$20m each
  • Funding at favourable credit terms:
    • ‒ Sellers Credit: \$165m (Nova), \$167m (Vega)
    • ‒ Cash/equity requirement: \$45m (Nova), \$45m (Vega), total for both vessels of \$90m

Fixed interest rate mechanism

Average dayrate Year 1-2 Year 3-5 Year 6 to maturity
< USD
99k
- - 2 %
USD 100k -
124k
- 2 %-3% 3 %-5%
USD 125k -
149k
- 3 %-4% 5 %-8%
> USD150k - 4 % 8 %

Analytical information

Item 2023 (USDm) Comment
SG&A ~17-181 In a tightening market SG&A is likely to increase somewhat
Depreciation ~30-33 Straight line depreciation
Interest expense ~26-30 Exposed to rising interest rates
Tax ~2 Norwegian deferred tax assets of USD 1.9 bn, local and contract specific taxes
Net working capital build ~10-20 Unwind of sales and increasing payables in H1 2023 , followed by sales ramp up and
payables unwind in H2 2023
Maintenance / contract specific
capex
~35-37 Capex in 2023 mainly for Eurus, Notos, Concordia, Zephyrus. Increase from Q1
estimate of USD 28 to 30 million mainly tied to Concordia and timing of Eurus SPS
and compliance works moving from 2024 to 2023

Prosafe recent firm period fixtures

Vessel Client Award date Start Finish # months Region Positioning Work type Day rate Total Award
Safe Zephyrus Petrobas Des-22 May-23 Feb-25 21 Brasil DP H & M \$112 500 \$73 125 000
Safe Concordia Confidential Oct-22 Jul/Oct-23 Jun/Sep-24 11 US GoM DP HUC \$93 500 \$33 364 900
Safe Eurus Petrobras Jun-22 Mar-23 Mar-27 48 Brasil DP M & M \$86 000 \$125 560 000
Safe Boreas RepsolSinopec Jun-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 1 UKCS DP M & M \$139 500 \$3 729 500
Safe Notos Petrobras May-22 Oct-22 Sep-26 48 Brasil DP M & M \$75 000 \$109 500 000
Safe Concordia bp Feb-22 Mar-22 Aug-22 5 Trinidad DP HUC \$121 500 \$19 440 000
Safe Notos Petrobras Nov-21 Nov-21 Jul-22 8 Brasil DP M & M \$67 500 \$16 200 000
Safe Caledonia TotalEnergies Oct-21 Mar-22 Dec-22 9 UKCS Moored M & M \$95 000 \$26 340 000
Safe Zephyrus bp Sep-21 Jan-22 Nov-22 10 UKCS DP M & M \$115 000 \$35 960 000
Safe Boreas CNOOC Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 3 UKCS DP HUC \$75 000 \$8 500 000
Safe Concordia McDermott Dec-20 Jul-21 Oct-21 4 Trinidad DP HUC \$84 000 \$10 828 000
Safe Notos Petrobras Nov-20 Nov-20 Nov-21 12 Brasil DP M & M \$68 000 \$25 363 000
Safe Boreas ConocoPhillips Oct-20 May-22 Jul-22 3 NCS DP Tie-in \$140 000 \$13 600 000
Safe Caledonia TotalEnergies Jul-19 Mar-21 Aug-21 5 UKCS Moored M & M \$90 000 \$15 580 000
Safe Eurus Petrobras May-19 Nov-19 Nov-22 36 Brasil DP M & M \$73 100 \$80 044 500
Safe Zephyrus Shell Dec-18 Feb-21 Aug-21 4 UKCS DP M & M \$138 000 \$17 770 000

SG&A and Opex increasing driven by inflationary pressure

SG&A1 cost development (USDm) Opex per day (USDk/day)

UK (DP – \$35 –
Boreas/Zephyrus) 45k
UK (Moored - \$25 –
Caledonia) 30k
Brazil*** \$50 –
54k (incl. fuel)
Norway (DP – \$60 –
Boreas/Zephyrus) 65k
RoW \$35 –
(Concordia) 45k
US GoM \$45 –
(Concordia) 55k
Scandinavia \$2.5 –
(cold) 3k
Stacking (warm)** \$10-20k
  • Adapting cost base and structure to be more flexible
  • Reduction in number of active vessels (from 14 to 7)
  • Reduced onshore headcount (from ~150 to 60)
  • Efficiency improvements

27

Historic SPS and maintenance capex

  • Maintenance capex of ~USD 1-2 million per vessel per year. Higher in Brazil than North Sea and increasing over time
  • 5-year SPS cost of USD 5 to 7 million per vessel, excluding life extension works
  • SPS usually takes 1-2 months to complete and is targeted to be completed in off hire season in North Sea or between contracts in Brazil
  • Reactivation of Safe Scandinavia is estimated to require USD ~20 million. Cost is highly dependent on whether for accommodation, TSV and contract location

SPS and maintenance capex (USDm) 1

SPS Schedule

Outstanding debt

Two tranches
Main tranche COSCO Sellers Credit Debt maturity profile
Outstanding debt \$343m (250m + 93m Notos) \$93m
Pledged vessels Boreas, Zephyrus, Caledonia, Concordia,
Scandinavia, Notos
Eurus
Interest rate SOFR + Credit Adjustment Spread* +
2.5%. Unhedged
0% (increase to 2% from 2026)
50-50 EBITDA split. Minimum \$6m/year,
343 COSCO
Amortizations Cash sweep above \$67m forecasted
liquidity on 12-month forward basis
\$7m/year from Q3 2026 Main Tranche
56
Maturity 2025 ~Q3 2028 or when debt reaches ~\$50m 6 6 6 7 7
PCG PSE fully liable \$60m 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Financial Covenant 2022 cash > \$18 million
2023 cash > \$23 million
2024 cash > \$28 million
Ringfenced
structure
with
annual
upstreaming
to
main
Cash
flow
on
COSCO
tranche
coming
from
Safe
Eurus
tranche.
which
Cash held in the COSCO tranche shall be
deducted when calculating compliance with
the cash covenant. At
30 June,
Newbuilds (Nova and Vega) could be
added to the COSCO silo
is
contracted
with
Petrobras
to
2027
approximately USD ~5.1m was held in the
COSCO tranche
Delivery of newbuilds requires 2/3 approval
of lenders in main tranche
Major corporate actions including M&A,
new indebtedness and delivery of new
vessels require 2/3 approval by the lenders

  • Prosafe SE is a permanent tax resident in Norway. As at end 2022, the company has deferred tax assets of approximately USD 1.9 billion, which can be utilized as tax deduction in the future and is not recognized in the accounts
  • The company will from time to time operate in countries where local taxes will apply. These taxes are included in the opex assumptions in this presentation where applicable. In relation to the historical Concordia contract in Trinidad and Tobago, a tax provision of USD 6 million is provided for in the 2022 accounts
  • Prosafe and OSM Thome have jointly received a Tax Assessment from the Brazilian Tax Authorities imposing import taxes and customs penalties related to the challenging of the special customs regimes used to import the Safe Concordia for the Modec contract in the period from October 2018 to July 2019. Prosafe presented an administrative defense on 11 August 2023, challenging the view of the Brazilian Tax Authorities. Based on external advice, Prosafe is of the view that the enquiry has no merit, hence it has not made any provisions in the financial statements

We are headquartered in Norway and have offices in the UK, Brazil and Singapore

Head office:

Forusparken 2 N-4031 Stavanger Norway

prosafe.com

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