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Pozavarovalnica Sava

Investor Presentation May 21, 2021

1987_rns_2021-05-21_6f0ecbf7-a531-4874-8649-2ba00c7f4a33.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Sava Insurance Group

–3/2021 results

May 2021

Contents

  • Group results
  • Segment reporting
  • Financial investments
  • POSR share and dividend policy
  • Solvency position
  • 2021 plan

Highlights 1–3/2021

Growth in operating revenue of 18.2%

Net profit of €23.5 million, which represents 44.3% of planned net profit for the whole year 2021

Net combined ratio (excluding FX differences) of 83.3%

Improved results in most segments, especially in non-life Slovenia and reinsurance due to favourable claims developments; no material negative effects of Covid-19 on operations, either on the technical or on the financial part

Key Figures - Sava Insurance Group

€ million, except % 1–3/2020 1–3/2021 2021 plan Change
2021/2020
Group
Operating revenue 150.5 177.9 > 685 18.2%
Gross premiums written, (re)insurance part 196.5 214.2 > 685 9.0%
Net expense ratio, including operating revenue* 30.4% 27.4% 32
̶33%
-3.0 p.p.
Return on the investment portfolio* 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% -0.0 p.p.
Profit, net of tax 10.3 23.5 > 53 127.9%
Return on equity 10.6% 18.9% >= 11,5% +8.3 p.p.
Reinsurance and non-life insurance
Net combined ratio, excl. FX** 93.3% 83.3% < 94% -10.0 p.p.
31/12/2020 31/3/2021
Shareholders' equity 460.2 476.9 3.6%
Total assets of the investment portfolio 1,535.3 1,557.4 1.4%
Assets for the benefit of policyholders who bear the inv. risk 420.7 459.2 9.1%
Assets in pension company savings funds 831.8 867.8 4.3%
Sava Infond AUM 409.2 447.9 9.5%

* Impact of exchange rate differences excluded. The return on the investment portfolio does not include subordinated debt expenses. Net expense ratio does not include amortisation of client list.

** Net combined ratio calculated for the non-life and reinsurance segments.

Growth in consolidated GPW of 9.0%

Breakdown of consolidated GPW

Consolidated gross premiums written by class of insurance

Growth in profit before tax of 121.6%

Consolidated profit before tax by segment

Contents

  • Group results
  • Segment reporting
  • Financial investments
  • POSR share and dividend policy
  • Solvency position
  • 2021 plan

Segment reporting – reinsurance

  • GPW on same level, with larger share of nonproportional business
  • 2021 UWY premiums down 5.9% (€2.0 million), whereas premiums for 2020 up €2.4 million

  • Improvement in UW result mainly due to favourable development of older UWYs
  • No major impacts of Covid-19 claims in Q1 2021; increase in claims provisions due to Covid-19 of €0.4 million had no material negative effect on segment (or Group) result

  • Investment result, excl. FX differences, somewhat lower, chiefly due to lower interest income and gains on sale of investments
  • Higher net expense ratio due to higher growth in acquisition costs, whereas other operating expenses fell

Segment reporting – non-life Slovenia

  • FoS business down €5.6 million
  • Non-FoS business up €0.9 million, excl. Vita decline of €0.1 million; growth in motor vehicle business, especially personal lines, as the result of more policies sold and higher average premium; decline in property business due to changed timing of premiums of major policyholders

  • Stronger underwriting result of Slovenian part thanks to lower claims frequency due to pandemic
  • Improved underwriting result of FoS business due to measures taken: cancelled business of partners with poor technical results

Better investment result because of lower investment expenses; Q1 increase in expenses affected by negative FX differences and expenses from change in fair value of FVTPL assets due to onset of pandemic

Segment reporting – non-life international

Decline in GPW, especially in motor liability in Croatia and Serbia

Due to seasonal trends, negative underwriting result in early 2021; although claims dropped in line with premium income, there is no substantial improvement in uderwriting result

Lower investment result due to lower interest income

Segment reporting – life Slovenia

  • Vita, which was not part of the Group in Q1 2020, generated €25.9 million in GPW in Q1 2021. If Vita is excluded, GPW are down 5.6%.
  • If Vita is excluded, 27.7% decline in new annual premiums due to Covid-19 pandemic

Net expense ratio down due to inclusion of Vita, which operates at a lower expense ratio

Higher return thanks to inclusion of Vita

Segment reporting – life international

  • High decline in GPW at Croatian part of Zavarovalnica Sava due to portfolio optimisation
  • 19% decline in new annual premiums because of lower sales in Croatia

  • Lower expense ratio due to costs savings, both on acquisition costs due to lower sales in Croatia and savings on other operating expenses
  • Decrease in profit before tax reflecting slightly weaker results in most companies – more claims (especially in Serbian company increased mortality due to Covid-19) and lower investment result

Investment result declined because of lower net income from FX differences of Zavarovalnica Sava in Croatia

Segment reporting – pensions and asset management

  • Slightly more policyholders opting for pension annuities upon retirement
  • Poor Q1 2020 result due to unfavourable developments in financial markets related to Covid-19 and Slovenian pension company's setting of provisions for not achieving guaranteed returns

Growth due to increase in assets under management, especially at Sava Infond

Increase in operating expenses, chiefly due to depreciation of client list at Sava Infond depreciation not yet accounted for in Q1 2020

Contents

  • Group results
  • Segment reporting
  • Financial investments
  • POSR share and dividend policy
  • Solvency position
  • 2021 plan

Investment portfolio and AuM

Structure of the investment portfolio

31/12/2020 31/3/2021
Investment portfolio (€ million) 1,535.3 1,557.4
Government bonds 43.0% 43.3%
Corporate bonds 40.3% 38.8%
Cash and cash equivalents 4.8% 5.8%
Investment property 2.5% 2.6%
Mutual funds 2.5% 2.3%
Infrastructure funds 1.8% 2.0%
Shares 1.5% 1.4%
Deposits & CDs 1.1% 1.0%
Real estate funds 0.9% 0.9%
Other 1.6% 1.8%
Total investment portfolio 100.0% 100.0%

The share of investments in business bonds dropped by 1.5 p.p. due to maturities and sales, which led to an increase in the share of cash and cash equivalents. The increase in the share of other investments is due to financial investments in associates.

Net inv. income of and return on the investment portfolio

€ million 1–3/2020 1–3/2021 Absolute change
2021 - 2020
Net investment income relating to the investment portfolio 2.2 7.6 5.5
Net investment income of the investment portfolio, excluding FX
differences
3.2 4.7 1.6
Return on the investment portfolio, excluding FX differences and
subordinated debt expense
1.4% 1.4% 0.0 p.p.

Net investment income relating to the investment portfolio consists of net investment income relating to financial investments, investments in associates and investment property.

Contents

  • Group results
  • Segment reporting
  • Financial investments
  • POSR share and dividend policy
  • Solvency position
  • 2021 plan

Shareholders and share trading

Book value per share €30.77 31 Mar 21 / 31 Dec 20: +3.6%

31/3/2021
Share capital (€ million) 71.9
Market capitalisation (€ million) 389.2
Trading symbol POSR
Number of shares 17,219,662
Number of own shares 1,721,966
Number of shareholders 4,229

* Custody account.

Dividend policy

  • Dividend policy: 10% average increase in dividend per year; distribution of between 35% and 45% of the net profit of the Sava Insurance Group.
  • Sava Re did not pay any dividends in 2020 because of increased Covid-19-related risks identified and due to special caution in response to recommendations by the Insurance Supervision Agency.
  • The draft resolution for the General meeting of shareholders scheduled for 25 May 2021 has been prepared based on criteria set by the Insurance Supervision Agency (posted via SEONet on 8 March and 2 April 2021). Based on the criterion of the ISA recommendation, the dividend must not exceed the average dividend paid in the period 2017–2019, which is EUR 0.85 per share.
  • Sava Re has submitted to the Insurance Supervision Agency a report demonstrating its ability to pay dividends, which in addition to all other criteria (solvency, liquidity and financial strength) takes into consideration the special business model of the Company (as reinsurer and parent). The Sava Re management board believes that a dividend of EUR 0.85 per share will not compromise the Company's solvency, liquidity or financial stability.

Contents

  • Group results
  • Segment reporting
  • Financial investments
  • POSR share and dividend policy
  • Solvency position
  • 2021 plan

Capital adequacy


million
31/12/2020
Eligible own funds 567.8
Solvency capital requirement 287.4
Solvency
ratio
198%

million
31/12/2019
Eligible own funds 522.0
Solvency capital requirement 237.7
Solvency
ratio
220%

The Sava Insurance Group's Solvency and financial condition report 2020 was posted on the Sava Re website and that of the Ljubljana stock exchange (SEONet) on 20 May 2021.

Contents

  • Group results
  • Segment reporting
  • Financial investments
  • POSR share and dividend policy
  • Solvency position
  • 2021 plan

Key group performance metrics

2019
actual
2020
actual
2021
plan
Group
Operating revenue €588.5
m
€680.8
m
> €685 m
Profit or loss, net of tax €50.2 m €56.4 m >
€53 m
Return on equity 13.8% 13.3% >= 11.5%
Net expense ratio* 31.6% 29.5% 32‒33%
Investment return* 1.9% 1.6% 1.5%
(Re)insurance part
Gross premiums written €596.2 m €676.5 m > €685 m
Net incurred loss ratio* (reins. + non-life) 61.7% 61.6% 59‒60%
Net combined ratio* (reins. + non-life) 93.8% 93.9% < 94%

* Excluded effect of exchange differences. The investment return does not include subordinated debt expenses. The net expense ratio does not include any gains on acquisitions (2019: ERGO, 2020: Vita) or amortisation of customer lists.

Consolidated GPW / operating revenue by segment

Thank you for your attention.

Disclaimer

Forward-looking statements

This document may contain forward-looking statements relating to Sava Reʾs expectations, plans or goals, which are based on assumptions made by Sava Re management. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. As a result, actual developments, in particular performance, may differ materially from expectations, plans and goals set out in this document; therefore, persons should not rely on forward-looking statements.

Duty to update

Sava Re assumes no obligation to adjust any forward-looking statements or other information contained in this document to future events or developments.

Appendix

Group exposure by region

Exposure to individual regions did not change significantly in the period under review compared to year-end 2020.

Group exposure to Slovenia

€ million 31/12/2020 31/3/2021 Change
Type of investment Amount Structure Amount Structure in p.p.
Government bonds 148.5 9.2% 133.7 8.2% -1.0
Cash and cash equivalents 69.2 4.3% 88.5 5.4% 1.1
Corporate bonds 20.5 1.3% 20.8 1.3% 0.0
Shares 18.4 1.1% 19.2 1.2% 0.0
Investment property 11.8 0.7% 11.6 0.7% 0.0
Deposits 4.0 0.2% 2.0 0.1% -0.1
Loans given 1.7 0.1% 1.6 0.1% 0.0
Mutal funds 2.2 0.1% 2.5 0.2% 0.0
Infrastructural funds 0.5 0.0% 0.6 0.0% 0.0
Total 276.7 17.1% 280.5 17.2% 0.1

Exposure to Slovenia increased minimally compared to the end of 2020.

Compared to the year end, the share of government bonds maturing in the period under review decreased, while the share of cash and cash equivalents increased.

Group exposure by industry

The decrease in exposure to the finance and insurance industry is due to the maturity of ordinary corporate bonds.

* Includes direct investments in real estate and property funds. Also included are corporate bonds classified as real estate under GICS.

Solid rating profile maintained despite Covid-19

Investment grade assets account for 85.3% of fixed-rate investments and increased by 2.4 p.p. compared to the year end.

The decline in A-grades is due to the maturity of government bonds and the downgrading of credit ratings due to the Covid-19 situation; the decrease in the BB rating class is due to the improvement in the credit ratings of some Slovenian banks to BBB; as a result, the BBB rating class increased.

The unrated class increased by 1.5 p.p. compared to the end of the year due to the higher share of cash in the structure of the investment portfolio and is of a short-term nature.

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