Investor Presentation • Aug 21, 2020
Investor Presentation
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20 August 2020

a
Growth in operating revenue of 16.6%
Net profit of €32.2 million, including €6.8 million positive effect of difference between fair value of net assets acquired and the cost of Vita
ROE of 14.3%
v Emergency situation due to Covid-19 pandemic with large impacts on lives and global capital markets and subsequent publication of revised plan for the period 2020–2022 in August 2020
Completed acquisition of NLB Vita in May 2020, later renamed Vita
Standard & Poor's "A" rating, stable outlook, affirmed in August




v
| € million | 1–6/2019 1–6/2020** |
Original 2020 | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| plan | 2020/2019 | ||||
| Group | |||||
| Operating revenue | 269.6 | 314.2 | > 610 | 16.6% | |
| Gross premiums written, (re)insurance part | 334.9 | 372.3 | > 620 | 11.2% | |
| Net expense ratio, including operating revenue* | 31.0% | 30.0% | 33 ̶34% |
-1.0 p.p. | |
| Return on the investment portfolio* | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | -0.8 p.p. | |
| Profit, net of tax | 22.6 | 32.2 | > 45 | 42.5% | |
| Return on equity | 12.5% | 14.3% | > 11% | +1.8 p.p. | |
| v Reinsurance and non-life insurance |
|||||
| Net combined ratio, excl. FX | 94.6% | 91.7% | < 94% | -2.8 p.p. | |
| 31/12/2019 | 30/6/2020 | P 31/12/2020 | |||
| Shareholders' equity | 384.8 | 414.5 | 7.7% | ||
| Total assets of the investment portfolio | 1,157.8 | 1,495.1 | 29.1% | ||
| Funds for the benefit of policyholders who bear the invest.risk | 231.3 | 371.1 | 60.4% | ||
| Assets in pension company savings funds | 743.0 | 765.7 | 3.0% | ||
| Sava Infond AUM | 376.6 | 358.7 | -4.7% |
* Impact of exchange rate differences excluded. The return on the investment portfolio does not include subordinated debt expenses. The net expense ratio for the Group 1–6/2020 does not include the positive difference between the fair value of net assets acquired and the purchase price of the investment in Vita. ** Figures for the Group 1–6/2020 without Vita:









• Deterioration in underwriting result due to increased claims burden from more larger claims (explosion at a facility in South Korea, claims from Covid-19 pandemic €1.6 million alltogether, sunk Korean vessel in Brazil)





• Stronger technical result mainly due to favorable claims burden and also higher premiums











• Net expense ratio down due to the inclusion of Vita which operates at a lower expense ratio

• Higher return influenced by the inclusion of Vita (higher interest income and higher gains on disposal of investments)


13 Group results • Segment reporting • Financial investments • POSR share and dividend policy • Solvency position • 2020 plan



• Increase mainly due to other investment income of Croatian branch (positive FX)




• Growth in other technical and other income of the North Macedonian pension company (higher assets in pension savings funds)

• Reduction of operating expenses in the Slovenian pension company, while they were higher in the North Macedonian pension company due to amortisation of a list of customers, which was formed as an intangible asset of the Group after Sava Penzisko joined the Group





v


| 31/12/2019 | 30/6/2020 | |
|---|---|---|
| Investment portfolio (€ million) | 1,157.8 | 1,495.1 |
| Corporate bonds | 34.1% | 42.2% |
| Government bonds | 46.6% | 40.9% |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Shares | 1.5% | 2.5% |
| Mutual funds | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Infrastructure funds | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Deposits & CDs | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| v Investment property |
1.4% | 1.1% |
| Real estate funds | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Other | 0.8% | 1.5% |
| Total investment portfolio | 100.0% | 100.0% |


| € million | 1–6/2019 | 1–6/2020 | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net investment income relating to the investment portfolio | 12.9 | 6.3 | -6.5 |
| Net inv. income of the investment portfolio, excl. FX | 12.2 | 8.1 | -4.1 |
| Return on investment portfolio, excl. FX and SD cost | 2.3% | 1.5% | -0.8 p.p. |
FX = Foreign exchange
SD = Subordinated debt

Return on the investment portfolio, excluding FX differences, amounted to €8.1 million in 1–6/2020, down €4.1 million compared to the same period last year, and represents a 1.5% return on the investment portfolio, excluding FX and subordinated debt expenses.

| 30 Jun | 20 / 31 Dec 19: +7.7% | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -------- | -- | ----------------------- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 30/6/2020 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Share capital (€ million) | 71.9 | ||
| Market capitalisation (€ million) | 273.8 | ||
| Trading symbol | POSR | ||
| Number of shares | 17,219,662 | ||
| Number of own shares | 1,721,966 | ||
| Number of shareholders | 4,218 |
Sava Re share price performance vs SBI TOP benchmark



Sava Re has set itself the goal of increasing its dividend by an average of 10% per year over the period 2020−2022, thus distributing from 35% to 45% of the net profit of the Sava Insurance Group each year.
On 31 March 2020, Sava Re received a letter from the Slovenian Insurance Supervision Agency calling on insurance, reinsurance and pension companies to temporarily suspend dividend payments and refrain from making any irrevocable commitments to pay dividends.


| € million |
31 Dec 2018 (audited) |
|---|---|
| Eligible own funds | 471.9 |
| Solvency capital requirement (SCR) | 216.7 |
| Solvency ratio |
218% |
| v € million |
31 Dec 2019 (audited) |
|---|---|
| Eligible own funds | 522.0 |
| Solvency capital requirement (SCR) | 237.7 |
| Solvency ratio |
220% |
The Sava Insurance Groupʾs Solvency and financial condition report 2019 (Group SFCR) was posted on the Sava Re website and that of the Ljubljana stock exchange (Seonet) on 19 May 2020.


| Actual 2018 |
Actual 2019 |
Original 2020 plan |
Revised 2020 plan |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | ||||
| Operating revenue |
€536.8 million | €584.2 million | > €610 million | > €640 million |
| Profit or loss, net of tax |
€43.0 million | €50.2 million | > €45 million | > €50 million |
| Return on equity (ROE) |
13.1% | 13.8% | > 11% | > 12% |
| v Investment return* |
1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| (Re)insurance part | ||||
| Gross premiums written | €544.1 million | €596.2 million |
> €620 million | > €640 million |
| Net incurred loss ratio (reins. + non-life)* |
57.0% | 61.7% | 59‒60% | 59‒60% |
| Net combined ratio (reins. + non-life)* |
92.9% | 93.8% | < 94% | < 94% |
* Impact of exchange rate differences excluded. The return on financial portfolio does not include the cost of subordinated debt.
Thank you for your attention.
This document may contain forward-looking statements relating to Sava Reʾs expectations, plans or goals, which are based on assumptions made by Sava Re management. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. As a result, actual developments, in particular performance, may differ materially from expectations, plans and goals set out in this document; therefore, persons should not rely on forward-looking statements.
Sava Re assumes no obligation to adjust any forward-looking statements or other information contained in this document to future events or developments.
Higher exposure to Slovenia in 1–6/2020 due to the acquisition of Vita (portfolio), however still in line with investment policy. Lower exposure to EU member states as a result of Brexit. On the other hand, larger exposure to non-EU members. Higher exposure to Other countries resulting from financial investments of Vita (mainly higher exposure to USA).




v
| € million | 31/12/2019 | 30/6/2020 | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type of investment | Amount | Structure | Amount | Structure | in p.p. |
| Deposits | 28.9 | 2.3% | 4.0 | 0.3% | -2.0 |
| Government bonds | 95.9 | 7.6% | 159.0 | 10.2% | 2.6 |
| Corporate bonds | 32.1 | 2.5% | 22.1 | 1.4% | -1.1 |
| Shares | 16.9 | 1.3% | 17.6 | 1.1% | -0.2 |
| Mutal funds | 2.8 | 0.2% | 1.9 | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 52.0 | 4.1% | 90.5 | 5.8% | 1.7 |
| v Infrastructural funds |
0.2 | 0.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Total | 241.5 | 19.1% | 308.5 | 19.7% | 0.6 |
Exposure to Slovenia increased by 0.6 p.p. in 1–6/2020.
The largest contribution to increased exposure to Slovenia was inclusion of the investment portfolio of Vita into the Group.

Lower exposure to government securities resulting from maturity of government securities.
Lower exposure to banking sector resulting from change in portfolio structure due to the acquisition of Vita (short-term invested cash, cash equivalents and deposits decreased).

*Includes direct investments in real-estate and property funds. Also included are corporate bonds with GICS classification real-estate industry

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Investment grade assets represent 82.9% of fixed income investments which is 4.6 p.p. higher than at the end of 2019.
The share of AAA and AA-rated categories declined reflecting maturities of government bonds and the downgrading of ratings due to the situation with Covid-19. As a result, the share of A and BBB rated categories increased.
Decreased share of Not rated category as a result of decrease of cash and deposits, short-term invested for strategic investments.



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