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Pozavarovalnica Sava

Investor Presentation May 17, 2019

1987_rns_2019-05-17_c43b5c28-e6de-4beb-928d-f134d1546ec4.pdf

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a 1Q 2019 results Sava Insurance Group

16 May 2019

  • Sava Insurance Group Performance
  • Sava Insurance Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Insurance Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Insurance Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Insurance Group Solvency position
  • Sava Insurance Group Plan 2019

v

Growth in GPW of 2.8%; growth in total income of 7.2%.

Net profit of €10.9 m (25.4% of the lower limit planned for 2019), and ROE of 12.2%.

Net combined ratio (excluding FX differences) of 93.0% is in line with planned.

On 27 February 2019, Zavarovalnica Sava fulfilled all the conditions and became 100% owner of companies ERGO Osiguranje d.d. and ERGO Životno Osiguranje d.d., Croatia.

Sava Insurance Group - Results

million
1-3/2018
1-3/2019
Plan
2019
Change
2019/2018
Gross
premiums
written
167
0
171
6
555
>
2
8%
*
Net
ratio
expense
34
1%
32
4%
32
4-33
0%
-1
7
p.p.
combined
**
(excluding
differences)
ratio
Net
FX
98
9%
93
0%
93
6-94
1%
9
-5
p.p.
(excluding
differences)
financial
portfolio
Return
FX
on
9%
1
8%
1
7%
1
-0
1
p.p.
profit/loss
Net
4
6
10
9
least
43
at
135
7%
Annualized
ROE
v
7
3%
12
2%
12%
>
+4
9
p.p.
31/12/2018 31/3/2019 31/12/2019
P
Shareholders'
equity
340
2
357
7
1%
5
Total
of
the
investment
portfolio
assets
1
082
8
1
120
8
5%
3
Funds
for
the
benefit
of
policyholders
who
bear
the
. risk
inv
215
9
218
9
1
4%
funds
Assets
in
pension
savings
company
638
2
644
0
0
9%

* The expense ratio includes data for the reinsurance, non-life and life operating segments.

**The combined ratio covers only the reinsurance and non-life insurance segments.

Consolidated profit before tax by segment

6

  • Sava Insurance Group Performance
  • Sava Insurance Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Insurance Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Insurance Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Insurance Group Solvency position
  • Sava Insurance Group Plan 2019

Results by operating segment – reinsurance

Growth in non-proportional reinsurance premiums mainly in Asian markets (organic growth of the business and new contracts)

v

8

  • Lower other operating costs
  • Lower claims incurred - without FX differences (1Q 2019 without major exceptional claims)
  • Unfavourable loss events in 1Q 2018

  • Higher income from investment property
  • Income from partial repayment of business bonds impaired in the past

Group performance • Segment reporting • Investment structure and return • POSR share • Solvency position • Plan 2019

Results by operating segment – non-life Slovenia

Larger volume of motor business (increased number of policies and higher average premium with individuals) and decline in core property insurance and general liability insurance business

v

Higher net premium income

Lower interest income due to lower interest rates in capital markets

Results by operating segment – non-life international

  • Increase in most non-Slovenian non-life insurers
  • v • Largest growth seen in Croatian branch (change in insurance terms of motor business), Serbian insurer (inclusion of Energoprojekt Garant) and Montenegro insurer (airline insurance premium from new major client)

  • Large fire damage in Kosovo
  • Higher net claims incurred by Croatian and Serbian non-life insurance companies due to larger loss burden and some larger claims in motor vehicle liability insurance

Results by operating segment – life Slovenia

More single-premium payments in unitlinked business

Lower expense ratio as a result of premium growth and decrease in other operating expenses (by 2.4 %)

Lower interest income due to lower interest rates in capital markets and lower capital gains

Results by operating segment – life international

life insurers (increased productivity of sales

Improved expense ratio as a result of high premium growth and decline in other operating costs (by more than 10%)

In 1Q 2019 lower expenses from negative exchange rate differences in Croatia

Decrease in gross premiums of the Croatian branch due to lost premiums relating toHigh growth in the Kosovan and Serbian

12

v

maturing life policies

Gross premiums written by class of insurance

Results by operating segment – pension business

v • More policyholders opting for pension annuities upon retirement

  • Inclusion of company based in North Macedonia into the consolidated accounts from 31 March 2018
  • Other (technical) income increased due to growth of assets under management

  • Inclusion of company based in North Macedonia into the consolidated accounts
  • Other operating expenses of the Slovenian pension company increased by 7.9%

  • Sava Insurance Group Performance
  • Sava Insurance Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Insurance Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Insurance Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Insurance Group Solvency position
  • Sava Insurance Group Plan 2019

Structure of the investment portfolio

31/12/2018 31/3/2019
portfolio
(€
million)
Investment
1
082
8
1
120
8
bonds
Government
50
9%
47
0%
bonds
Corporate
34
1%
33
0%
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
9%
4
9
5%
Deposits
&
CDs
6%
2
0%
3
Mutal
Funds
3
0%
2
9%
Investment
property
1
9%
1
8%
v
Shares
1
4%
1
5%
Infrastructural
funds
0
5%
0
6%
Other 7%
0
7%
0
Total
investment
portfolio
100
0%
100
0%

Decrease in the percentage of government bonds of 3.9 p. p.: decrease as a result of maturing of A-rated government bonds. Decrease in the percentage of corporate bonds of 1.0 p. p.: decrease as a result of maturities and sales of regular and covered bonds. Increased allocation to cash and cash equivalents of 4.5 p. p.: increase (short-term) mainly in Sava Re and Zavarovalnica Sava due to expected payments for acquisition of the asset manager Infond and payment of dividends to shareholders in 2Q 2019.

Net inv. income of and return on the investment portfolio

(€ million) 1Q 2018 1Q 2019 Absolute change
2019 -
2018
Net
investment income relating to the investment portfolio
3.5 6.4 2.9
Net
investment income of the investment portfolio, excluding FX differences
5.0 5.0 0.0
Return
on the investment portfolio, excluding FX differences
(%)
1.9% 1.8% -0.1 p.
p.

Return on the investment portfolio, excluding FX differences

  • The Group's net investment income from its investment portfolio in 1Q 2019, excluding exchange differences, totalled €5.0 million, which is approx. the same level as in the same period of last year.
  • Net investment income relating to investment property increased by €0.14 million.

v

• The realised investment return, excluding the effect of exchange differences, decreased by 0.1 p. p. to 1.8%.

  • Sava Insurance Group Performance
  • Sava Insurance Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Insurance Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Insurance Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Insurance Group Solvency position
  • Sava Insurance Group Plan 2019

Shareholders and share performance

Book value per share €23.08 1Q 2019 / 1Q 2018: up 12.2%

Sava Re share price performance vs SBI TOP benchmark Shareholders as at 31 March 2019

31/3/2019
Share capital (€ million) 71.9
Market capitalisation (€ million) 296.2
Trading symbol POSR
Number of shares 17,219,662
Number of own shares 1,721,966
Number of shareholders 4,042

* Custody account.

** On 2 June 2016, Sava Re received a notice from Adris Grupa, d.d., Vladimira Nazora 1, 52210 Rovinj, Croatia via its legal representative Rojs, Peljhan, Prelesnik & partnerji, o.p., d.o.o., advising the Company of a change in major holding in Sava Re. Adris grupa, including its subsidiaries with fiduciary accounts, held 3,278,049 POSR shares, representing 19.04 % of issued and 21.15 % of outstanding shares.

Dividend policy

Sava Re aims to ensure that its shareholders see a 10% growth in dividends but that the dividend distribution does not exceed 40% of the Group's net profit in the period 2017–2019.

When designing any dividend proposal, the company will take into account:

    1. the estimated excess of eligible own funds over solvency capital requirement under Solvency II
  • v 2. the Group's own risk and solvency assessment
    1. capital models of rating agencies Standard & Poor's and AM Best
    1. approved annual and strategic plans of the Group and the company
    1. new development projects that would engage additional capital
    1. other relevant factors affecting the financial condition of the company

  • 13 June 2019: Record date
  • 14 June 2019: Payment date

  • Sava Insurance Group Performance
  • Sava Insurance Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Insurance Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Insurance Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Insurance Group Solvency position
  • Sava Insurance Group Plan 2019

Capital adequacy

v

(€
million)
31 Dec
2017
(audited)
Eligible own funds 451.4
Solvency capital requirement (SCR) 205.0
Solvency
ratio
220%
(€
million)
30 Sep
2018 (unaudited)
Eligible own funds –
30 Sep
2018
458.8
Solvency capital requirement (SCR) –
31 Dec 2017
205.0
Solvency
ratio
218%
The Sava Re Group's Solvency and financial condition report 2018 (Group SFCR) will be posted
on the Sava Re website and that of the Ljubljana stock exchange (Seonet) on 3 June 2019.

  • Sava Insurance Group Performance
  • Sava Insurance Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Insurance Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Insurance Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Insurance Group Solvency position
  • Sava Insurance Group Plan 2019

Plan 2019 – main targets (consolidated)

€ million 2017 2018 2019 plan
Group
Operating revenues 492.4 540.5 > 4.5% growth
Profit or loss, net of tax 31.1 43.0 at least €43 m; > 10% growth
based on 2018 estimate
Return on equity 10.1% 13.1% > 12%
v
Return on investments*
2.0% 1.7% 1.7%
Re/insurance part (+ annuities)
Gross premiums written 517.2 546.3 > €555 m
Net premiums earned 470.9 504.7 > €515 m
Net expense ratio (reins. + non-life + life) 32.6% 33.1% 32.4–33.0%
Net incurred loss ratio* (reins. + non-life) 60.5% 57.0% 59.2–59.7%
Net combined ratio* (reins. + non-life) 95.6% 92.9% 93.6–94.1%

* Excluding the effect of FX differences.

Consolidated gross premiums written and revenues of non-insurance companies

* Total revenues excl. investment income

Thank you for your attention.

Disclaimer

Forward-looking statements

This document may contain forward-looking statements relating to Sava Re's expectations, plans or goals, which are based on assumptions made by Sava Re management. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. As a result, actual developments, in particular performance, may differ materially from the expectations, plans and goals set out in this document; therefore, persons should not rely on forward-looking statements.

Duty to update

Sava Re assumes no obligation to adjust any forward-looking statements or other information contained in this document to future events or developments.

Group exposure by region

Lower exposure to Slovenia in 1Q 2019 is in line with investment policy; larger exposure to EU member states.

Structural shift in 1Q 2019 in p. p.

-0,1

0,5

5,2

v

Group exposure to Slovenia

(€ million) 31/12/2018 31/3/2019 Change
Type of investment Amount Structure Amount Structure
Deposits 0.9 0.1% 8.8 0.7% 0.7%
Government bonds 155.3 13.3% 92.7 7.8% -5.5%
Corporate bonds 23.4 2.0% 23.5 2.0% 0.0%
Shares 15.1 1.3% 15.7 1.3% 0.0%
Mutual funds 0.7 0.1% 0.8 0.1% 0.0%
Cash
and cash equivalents
40.6 3.5% 32.9 2.8% -0.7%
Other 16.5 1.4% 16.4 1.4% 0.0%
v
Sum total
252.5 21.7% 190.8 16.0% -5.7%

Exposure to Slovenia decreased by 5.7 p. p. in 1Q 2019.

The largest contribution to reduced exposure to Slovenia was a decline in the value of government bonds owing to maturities in the reporting period.

Group exposure by industry

Lower exposure to government securities resulting from maturities of government securities.

Larger exposure to banking sector is short-term based on increased allocation to cash and cash equivalents.

v

Group rating profile

Maintaining good rating profile in 1Q 2019

Investment grade represents 75.3 % of fixed income investments and is slightly lower compared to the end of 2018.

Decrease in the percentage of A-rated category is due to maturity of government bonds.

Increase in the percentage of less than BBB-rated category is due to inclusion of ERGO in the portfolio.

Increase in the percentage of not rated category reflects increased allocation to cash and cash equivalents (short-term).

v

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