Earnings Release • Apr 6, 2018
Earnings Release
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5 APRIL 2018

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2018 Plan
Strategic Guidelines 2017-2019
Gross premiums written for the first time exceed €500 million.
Net profit and ROE on target (at €31,1 million and 10,1%).
Larger claims: storms in Slovenia, and storms in USA, flooded mine in Russia, etc. (international reinsurance portfolio).
Sava Re repays early its entire subordinated debt (€24 million).
Contracts are signed for the acquisition of 3 companies: NLB NPF (Macedonian pension fund), TBS Team 24 (Slovenian assistance provider with international presence), and Energoprojekt Garant (Serbian insurer).
Sava Re becomes 100% owner of Zavarovalnica Sava (squeeze-out of minority shareholders).
Credit rating affirmed, medium-term outlook raised to positive by S&P: Standard & Poor's A− (positive outlook); July 2017 AM Best A− (stable outlook); October 2017
| Gross result €39,9 million 17/16: -1,9% |
Net result €31,1 million 17/16: -5,5% |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net result structure | |||||||||
| 50,0 | 30,5 | +9,3% | 33,4 | -1,3% | 32,9 | -5,5% | 31,1 | 31,0–33,0 | |
| 40,0 | 11,2 | 12,4 | 10,3 | 12,4 | |||||
| 30,0 20,0 |
14,2 | 14,0 | 13,1 | 12,1 | |||||
| 10,0 | 16,9 | 18,8 | 21,3 | 17,9 | |||||
| 0,0 | -3,5 | -4,9 | -3,6 | -1,8 | |||||
| -10,0 | -8,4 | -6,7 | -7,8 | -8,8 | |||||
| -20,0 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | Plan 2017 | ||||
| € million |
Underwriting result (reins. + non-life) | Investment result (reins. + non-life) | Life result | ||||||
| Other (segment Other, goodwill impairment) | Exchange differences | Tax |
Underwriting result comprises net premiums earned, net claims incurred, operating expenses, change in other technical provisions, other underwriting income and expenses, and other income and expenses of non-life and reinsurance segments. Investment result comprises income and expenses from investments of non-life and reinsurance segments.
4 AUDITED 2017 RESULTS 5 April 2018



Global markets (Sava Re reinsurance premiums in global markets) €96,2 million extra-Group GPW 17/16: +3,8%


5 AUDITED 2017 RESULTS 5 April 2018



** Excluding exchange differences.
Net combined ratio: all expenses (other than from investments) as percentage of total income (other than from investments). The ratio is calculated for non-life and reinsurance segments.





95,6 53,1 24,7 21,6 486,9 502,3 595,1 566,5 21,0 18,9 17,0 17,5 359,0 421,3 5,7 368,4 394,2 12,8 6,5 16,5 31,9 6,8 8,5 6,4 3,1 5,1 8,0 7,9 5,6 15,4 4,7 21,5 30,7 988,5 1.027,7 1.059,7 1.084,2 0,0 200,0 400,0 600,0 800,0 1.000,0 1.200,0 2014 2015 2016 2017 Plan 2017 € million Investment portfolio structure Deposits and CDs Government bonds Shares Corporate bonds Mutual funds Other Investment property Cash and cash equivalents +4,0% +3,1% +2,3%


** Excluding exchange differences.

11 AUDITED 2017 RESULTS 5 April 2018
Structure of technical provisions




13 AUDITED 2017 RESULTS 5 April 2018


** Sava Re was informed on 2 Jun 2016 that Adris grupa, together with its subsidiaries, holds 19.04% of shares of Sava Re's share capital (21.15% of all shares with voting rights) in fiduciary accounts.
| (€ million) |
31/12/2017 |
|---|---|
| Share capital | 71,9 |
| Market capitalisation | 272,1 |
| Trading symbol |
POSR |
| No. of shares | 17.219.662 |
| No. of treasury shares | 1.721.966 |
| No. of shareholders | 4.061 |
| Investor type |
Local investor | Foreign investor |
|---|---|---|
| Other financial institutions | 17,9% | 0,2% |
| Insurance undertakings and pension companies |
19,2% | 0,0% |
| Individuals | 9,0% | 0,1% |
| Banks | 4,0% | 28,8% |
| Investment companies and mutual funds |
3,1% | 4,4% |
| Other non-financial corporations | 2,1% | 1,2% |
| Government | 10,1% | 0,0% |
| Total | 65,3% | 34,7% |

When designing any dividend proposal, the Company will take into account:




In 2006 and 2007, Sava Re raised a subordinated debt in the nominal amount of €32 million maturing in 2027. In January 2008, Sava Re repaid €8 million of its subordinated debt and a further €12 million in March 2017 upon obtaining relevant ISA approval. In June 2017, Sava Re repaid the remaining subordinated liabilities of €12 million.
In addition, in 2016 Sava Re, d.d. returned generated profits to its shareholders in the form of own share repurchases, in total for an amount of €14.619.362. As at 31 December 2017, the total value of own shares was €24.938.709. Through dividend payments and own share repurchases in the years 2014 to 2017, Sava Re, d.d. returned a total of €63,9 million to its shareholders, which exceeds the amount of the capital injection of 2013 and attests to the strong financial position of the Company.

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The premium growth is driven by the growth in XL business with the highest absolute growth achieved in marine reinsurance business.

The result, excluding FX differences, was lower in 2017 mainly due to an increase in claims incurred. Claims incurred increased because of the strengthening of claims provisions following large loss events in 2017.


€ million
The investment return increased compared to the previous year primarily as a result of realised capital gains.


5 April 2018

Increase in premiums mainly because of more premium volume in motor, assistance and property business. Motor business increased as a result of a larger number of policies and higher coverages of commercial clients.

The technical result improved primarily due to higher premiums earned and lower operating expenses. The result was impacted by the mid-year storms and some large property claims, along with releases from prior-year claims provisions.

The net investment income was lower largely because of lower interest income.



Increase in gross premiums written in all non-life insurers abroad. The largest growth, 21%, was achieved by the Croatian branch of Zavarovalnica Sava.

The decline in the result in 2017 is primarily due to a large claim in Kosovo reinsured with Sava Re, which had a negative effect on Group performance.

The decrease is attributable to lower interest income and slightly higher investment expenses due to the effect of FX differences on Sava neživotno osiguranje (SRB).


Ratios

5 April 2018


Premium growth was affected by the transfer of assets from the wound-up DWS fund to the internal fund (€2.2 million) and by a large number of maturities of unitlinked policies where many policyholders opted for taking out new policies.

The drop in the net expense ratio is the result of premium growth.

The investment result deteriorated in 2017 primarily because of lower interest income.

50,7%



Premium growth in all life insurance companies.

The net expense ratio improved as a result of premium growth.

The investment result was about the same in 2017 as the previous year, but in 2016 there were €0.2 million of losses that were not incurred in 2017 but the result deteriorated because of exchange differences from the Serbian insurer.

Gross premiums written by class of insurance


5 April 2018

Sava Re Group 2017 Results
2018 Plan
Strategic Guidelines 2017-2019
| 2016 | 2017 plan | 2017 | 2018 plan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premiums | €490,2 million | €494 million | €517,2 million | > €520 million |
| Net combined ratio* (reinsurance + non-life) |
94,6% | 94,6% | 95,5% | 94,0%–94,5% |
| Net incurred loss ratio* (reinsurance + non-life) |
58,2% | 59,4% | 60,5% | 59,4%–59,9% |
| Net expense ratio | 34,0% | 32,6% | 32,7% | 31,4%–31,7% |
| Return on the investment portfolio* |
2,2% | 1,8% | 2,0% | 1,7% |
| Profit/loss, net of tax | €32,9 million | between €31 and €33 million |
€31,1 million | between €37 and €39 million |
| Return on equity | 11,3% | 10,3% | 10,1% | > 11% |
*Excl. exchange differences

Gross premiums written by operating segment (€ million)

2016 Estimate 2017 Plan 2018

Sava Re Group 2017 Results
2018 Plan
Strategic Guidelines 2017-2019








*The "other" item includes health, assistance and pension business
5 April 2018

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Sava Re Group has diversification benefits coming from three segments: Non-Life, Reinsurance, Life and from the geographical spread: Slovenia, W Balkans, global reinsurance market


Land vehicles casco
Motor liability
Fire and natural forces
1. VALUE BUSINESS



Banks
Internet
Other
Combined ratio Net profit and ROE



- LIFE (UNCONSOLIDATED)

Unit-linked insurance








2. VALUE BUSINESS










Combined ratio Net profit and ROE






Endowment
Unit-linked insurance



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The reduced exposure to Slovenia in 2017 is in line with the investment policy (target exposure of Sava Re Group by 2020: 25%); exposure to EU Member States and other countries increased.

Structural shift Dec 17 / Dec 16 (p.p.)

| (in €) | 31.12.2016 31.12.2017 |
Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type of investment |
Amount | Structure | Amount | Structure | |
| Deposits | 3.102.766 | 0,3% | 858.059 | 0,1% | -0,2% |
| Government bonds | 256.793.600 | 24,2% | 188.505.257 | 17,4% | -6,8% |
| Corporate bonds |
34.225.105 | 3,2% | 23.758.217 | 2,2% | -1,0% |
| Shares | 16.269.334 | 1,5% | 16.992.679 | 1,6% | 0,0% |
| Mutual funds | 3.483.276 | 0,3% | 1.286.438 | 0,1% | -0,2% |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
11.378.637 | 1,1% | 18.015.252 | 1,7% | 0,6% |
| Other | 3.869.391 | 0,4% | 11.701.257 | 1,1% | 0,7% |
| Sum total | 329.122.108 | 31,1% | 261.117.159 | 24,1% | -7,0% |


45 APPENDICES




| (€ million) |
2016 | 2017 | Absolute change 2017-2016 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | |||||||
| Interest income | 21,2 | 18,6 | -2,6 | ||||
| Change in fair value and losses on disposal of FVPL assets | 0,7 | 0,2 | -0,5 | ||||
| Gains on disposal of other IFRS asset categories | 2,3 | 3,1 | 0,8 | ||||
| Income from associate companies | 1,3 | 1,1 | -0,1 | ||||
| Income from dividends and shares – other investments |
7,3 | 4,2 | -3,1 | ||||
| Exchange gains | 0,6 | 0,7 | 0,1 | ||||
| Diverse other income | 33,5 | 28,0 | -5,6 | ||||
| Total income | 26,2 | 23,8 | -2,4 |
Interest income declined by €2,6 million year on year because of the low-interest-rate environment, while gains on the disposal of investments increased by €0,8 million.
The foreign exchange rates that Sava Re liabilities and investments are denominated in moved in the other direction than one year earlier, resulting in a €3,1 million decline in income; nevertheless, there was only a minor effect on profits owing to the asset and liability matching mechanism.
The income relating to the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences, fell by €2,4 million year on year.

| (€ million) |
2016 | 2017 | Absolute change 2017-2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expense | |||
| Interest expenses | 0,8 | 0,7 | -0,1 |
| Change in fair value and losses on disposal of FVPL assets | 0,6 | 0,1 | -0,6 |
| Losses on disposal of other IFRS asset categories | 0,5 | 0,6 | 0,1 |
| Expenses for associate companies | 0,0 | 0,0 | 0,0 |
| Impairment losses on investments | 0,6 | 0,3 | -0,3 |
| Exchange losses | 5,8 | 10,1 | 4,3 |
| Other | 0,5 | 0,4 | -0,1 |
| Total expenses | 8,9 | 12,2 | 3,3 |
| Total expenses, excluding exchange differences | 3,1 | 2,1 | -1,0 |
Compared to the same period last year, interest expenses decreased by €0,1 million. There was also a €0,3 million decline in impairment losses on investments.
The foreign exchange rates that the liabilities and investments of Sava Re are denominated in moved in the other direction than one year earlier, resulting in a €4,3 million increase in expenses; still there was only a minor effect on profit for the year owing to asset and liability matching measures.
In the reporting period, the Group's expenses for the investment portfolio declined by €1,0 million year on year..



| 2016 | 2017 | Absolute change 2017 - 2016 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net investment income relating to the investment portfolio | 24,61 | 15,73 | -8,88 |
| Net inv. income of the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences | 23,12 | 21,66 | -1,46 |
| Return on the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences | 2,1% | 2,0% |

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| (€) | 31 Dec 2016 | 31 Dec 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | 1.671.189.179 | 1.708.348.067 |
| Intangible assets | 25.508.583 | 22.712.944 |
| Property and equipment | 51.887.127 | 45.438.014 |
| Deferred tax assets | 2.326.063 | 2.107.564 |
| Investment property | 7.933.786 | 15.364.184 |
| Financial investments: | 1.030.235.239 | 1.038.125.019 |
| Funds for the benefit of policyholders who bear the investment risk | 224.175.076 | 227.228.053 |
| Reinsurers' share of technical provisions | 28.444.628 | 30.787.241 |
| Assets under investment contracts | 121.366.122 | 129.622.131 |
| Receivables | 127.408.527 | 138.455.525 |
| Deferred acquisition costs | 16.510.536 | 18.507.194 |
| Other assets | 1.366.844 | 2.043.395 |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
33.939.160 | 37.956.119 |
| Non-current assets held for sale | 87.488 | 684 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 1.671.189.179 | 1.708.348.067 |
| Equity | 297.038.327 | 316.116.895 |
| Subordinated liabilities | 23.570.771 | 0 |
| Technical provisions | 911.221.323 | 931.398.362 |
| Technical provision for the benefit of life insurance policyholders who bear the investment risk | 226.994.200 | 226.527.893 |
| Other provisions | 8.080.877 | 7.600.613 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 6.038.631 | 5.781.494 |
| Liabilities under investment contracts | 121.229.675 | 129.483.034 |
| Other financial liabilities | 393.996 | 245.205 |
| Liabilities from operating activities | 48.790.646 | 60.598.188 |
| Other liabilities | 27.830.733 | 30.596.383 |

| (€) | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | 458.101.526 | 470.865.993 |
| Income from investments in associates | 0 | 0 |
| Investment income | 33.136.242 | 27.446.915 |
| Net unrealised gains on investments of life insurance policyholders who bear the investment risk |
17.958.678 | 16.849.384 |
| Other technical income | 18.237.409 | 15.429.720 |
| Other income | 6.489.633 | 6.058.000 |
| Net claims incurred | -268.393.776 | -296.103.320 |
| Change in other technical provisions | -5.254.856 | -2.179.849 |
| Change in technical provisions for policyholders who bear the investment risk | -17.442.161 | -1.121.327 |
| Expenses for bonuses and rebates | -1.263.545 | 5.848 |
| Operating expenses | -159.563.486 | -156.962.328 |
| Expenses for investments in associates and impairment losses on goodwill | -1.693.699 | 0 |
| Expenses for financial assets and liabilities | -8.556.415 | -11.891.544 |
| Net unrealised losses on investments of life insurance policyholders who bear the investment risk |
-11.256.348 | -8.256.416 |
| Other technical expenses | -17.310.937 | -17.486.080 |
| Other expenses | -2.518.278 | -2.774.013 |
| Profit/loss before tax | 40.669.987 | 39.880.983 |
| Income tax expense | -7.751.774 | -8.786.075 |
| Net profit/loss for the period | 32.918.213 | 31.094.908 |

| (€) | 31 Dec 2016 | 31 Dec 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | 568.147.764 | 580.886.180 |
| Intangible assets | 832.567 | 807.011 |
| Property and equipment | 7.753.202 | 2.485.645 |
| Deferred tax assets | 1.373.436 | 1.238.826 |
| Investment property | 3.122.076 | 8.230.878 |
| Financial investments in subsidiaries and associates | 191.640.382 | 193.409.578 |
| Financial investments: | 249.948.775 | 250.781.685 |
| Reinsurers' share of technical provisions | 18.203.912 | 20.073.571 |
| Receivables | 79.836.627 | 88.602.395 |
| Deferred acquisition costs | 6.897.710 | 7.778.499 |
| Other assets | 549.258 | 799.634 |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
7.989.819 | 6.678.458 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 568.147.764 | 580.886.180 |
| Equity | 270.355.622 | 290.966.155 |
| Subordinated liabilities | 23.570.771 | 0 |
| Technical provisions | 226.207.479 | 232.639.163 |
| Other provisions | 331.802 | 351.250 |
| Other financial liabilities | 104.280 | 91.182 |
| Liabilities from operating activities | 43.797.970 | 54.404.921 |
| Other liabilities | 3.779.840 | 2.433.509 |

| (€) | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Net earned premiums | 133.428.875 | 130.864.620 |
| Income from investments in subsidiaries and associates | 26.308.516 | 26.136.830 |
| Investment income | 12.880.066 | 9.652.630 |
| Other technical income | 9.263.194 | 6.098.385 |
| Other income | 33.974 | 444.136 |
| Net claims incurred | -81.781.565 | -78.583.967 |
| Change in other technical provisions | -88.760 | -158.608 |
| Expenses for bonuses and rebates | -162.545 | 85.678 |
| Operating expenses | -47.288.975 | -43.113.125 |
| Expenses for investments in subsidiaries and associates | -4.330.782 | 0 |
| Expenses for financial assets and liabilities | -7.132.879 | -10.551.329 |
| Other technical expenses | -6.033.695 | -5.876.562 |
| Other expenses | -118.284 | -234.824 |
| Profit/loss before tax | 34.977.140 | 34.763.864 |
| Income tax expense | -2.103.323 | -1.789.672 |
| Net profit/loss for the period | 32.873.817 | 32.974.192 |


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