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Pozavarovalnica Sava

Earnings Release Apr 6, 2018

1987_rns_2018-04-06_9f3fdf23-0f3f-4ef7-8a0e-c5a1a5dda1bd.pdf

Earnings Release

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SAVA RE GROUP AUDITED 2017 RESULTS

5 APRIL 2018

a

CONTENTS

1. Sava Re Group 2017 Results

  1. 2018 Plan

  2. Strategic Guidelines 2017-2019

2017 HIGHLIGHTS

Gross premiums written for the first time exceed €500 million.

Net profit and ROE on target (at €31,1 million and 10,1%).

Larger claims: storms in Slovenia, and storms in USA, flooded mine in Russia, etc. (international reinsurance portfolio).

Sava Re repays early its entire subordinated debt (€24 million).

Contracts are signed for the acquisition of 3 companies: NLB NPF (Macedonian pension fund), TBS Team 24 (Slovenian assistance provider with international presence), and Energoprojekt Garant (Serbian insurer).

Sava Re becomes 100% owner of Zavarovalnica Sava (squeeze-out of minority shareholders).

Credit rating affirmed, medium-term outlook raised to positive by S&P: Standard & Poor's A− (positive outlook); July 2017 AM Best A− (stable outlook); October 2017

2017 RESULT – DESPITE LARGE CLAIMS, ABOVE 5-YEAR AVERAGE

Gross result
€39,9 million
17/16: -1,9%
Net result
€31,1 million
17/16: -5,5%
Net result structure
50,0 30,5 +9,3% 33,4 -1,3% 32,9 -5,5% 31,1 31,0–33,0
40,0 11,2 12,4 10,3 12,4
30,0
20,0
14,2 14,0 13,1 12,1
10,0 16,9 18,8 21,3 17,9
0,0 -3,5 -4,9 -3,6 -1,8
-10,0 -8,4 -6,7 -7,8 -8,8
-20,0 2014 2015 2016 2017 Plan 2017

million
Underwriting result (reins. + non-life) Investment result (reins. + non-life) Life result
Other (segment Other, goodwill impairment) Exchange differences Tax

Underwriting result comprises net premiums earned, net claims incurred, operating expenses, change in other technical provisions, other underwriting income and expenses, and other income and expenses of non-life and reinsurance segments. Investment result comprises income and expenses from investments of non-life and reinsurance segments.

4 AUDITED 2017 RESULTS 5 April 2018

2017 – STRONG GROWTH IN GPW IN ALL MARKETS

Insurance and pension companies Reinsurance company

Global markets (Sava Re reinsurance premiums in global markets) €96,2 million extra-Group GPW 17/16: +3,8%

5 AUDITED 2017 RESULTS 5 April 2018

2017 – €500 MILLION GPW MARK REACHED

Consolidated gross premiums written €517,2 million 17/16: +5,5%

2017 – COMBINED RATIO AFFECTED BY LARGE CLAIMS

** Excluding exchange differences.

Net combined ratio: all expenses (other than from investments) as percentage of total income (other than from investments). The ratio is calculated for non-life and reinsurance segments.

2017 – FINANCIAL STRENGTH AND STABILITY

2017 GROWTH IN ASSETS

Assets €1.708,3 million 17/16: +2,2%

2017 – INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO STRUCTURE

Investment portfolio €1.084,2 million

17/16: +2,3%

95,6 53,1 24,7 21,6 486,9 502,3 595,1 566,5 21,0 18,9 17,0 17,5 359,0 421,3 5,7 368,4 394,2 12,8 6,5 16,5 31,9 6,8 8,5 6,4 3,1 5,1 8,0 7,9 5,6 15,4 4,7 21,5 30,7 988,5 1.027,7 1.059,7 1.084,2 0,0 200,0 400,0 600,0 800,0 1.000,0 1.200,0 2014 2015 2016 2017 Plan 2017 € million Investment portfolio structure Deposits and CDs Government bonds Shares Corporate bonds Mutual funds Other Investment property Cash and cash equivalents +4,0% +3,1% +2,3%

2017 – INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO INCOME AND RETURN

Investment portfolio return** 2,0% 17/16: -0,2 p.p.

** Excluding exchange differences.

11 AUDITED 2017 RESULTS 5 April 2018

2017 – TECHNICAL PROVISIONS

Technical provisions €1.157,9 million

17/16: +1,7%

Structure of technical provisions

2017 – MOVEMENTS IN EQUITY

13 AUDITED 2017 RESULTS 5 April 2018

2017 – BOOK VALUE OF SHARE €20,4

0,0 2,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 10,0 12,0 0,0 2,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 10,0 12,0 14,0 16,0 18,0 20,0 31.12.2013 31.12.2014 31.12.2015 31.12.2016 31.12.2017 POSR transactionsin €POSR share price (€) & SBITOP (changed basis) POSR SBITOP (rebased) POSR transactions Movement in POSR book value €15,80 €13,22 €12,95 €15,98 -19,0% +2,1% +19,5% €8,14 +96,3% = share price at year end = share book price at year end €14,23 €17,38 €16,46 €18,81 €20,40 +15,7% +5,6% +8,2% +8,5%

2017 – OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE

** Sava Re was informed on 2 Jun 2016 that Adris grupa, together with its subsidiaries, holds 19.04% of shares of Sava Re's share capital (21.15% of all shares with voting rights) in fiduciary accounts.

(€
million)
31/12/2017
Share capital 71,9
Market capitalisation 272,1
Trading
symbol
POSR
No. of shares 17.219.662
No. of treasury shares 1.721.966
No. of shareholders 4.061
Investor
type
Local investor Foreign investor
Other financial institutions 17,9% 0,2%
Insurance undertakings and pension
companies
19,2% 0,0%
Individuals 9,0% 0,1%
Banks 4,0% 28,8%
Investment companies and mutual
funds
3,1% 4,4%
Other non-financial corporations 2,1% 1,2%
Government 10,1% 0,0%
Total 65,3% 34,7%

2017 – DIVIDEND POLICY

The objective of Sava Re is to ensure that its shareholders see a 10% growth in dividends, not to exceed 40% of the Group's net profit in the period 2017–2019.

When designing any dividend proposal, the Company will take into account:

    1. the estimated excess of eligible own funds over the solvency capital requirement under Solvency II;
    1. the Group's own risk and solvency assessment;
    1. capital models of rating agencies Standard & Poor's and A.M. Best;
    1. approved annual and strategic plans of the Group and the Company;
    1. new development projects that would engage additional capital;
    1. other relevant factors affecting the financial condition of the Company.

2017 – PREPAYMENT OF SUBORDINATED DEBT

In 2006 and 2007, Sava Re raised a subordinated debt in the nominal amount of €32 million maturing in 2027. In January 2008, Sava Re repaid €8 million of its subordinated debt and a further €12 million in March 2017 upon obtaining relevant ISA approval. In June 2017, Sava Re repaid the remaining subordinated liabilities of €12 million.

In addition, in 2016 Sava Re, d.d. returned generated profits to its shareholders in the form of own share repurchases, in total for an amount of €14.619.362. As at 31 December 2017, the total value of own shares was €24.938.709. Through dividend payments and own share repurchases in the years 2014 to 2017, Sava Re, d.d. returned a total of €63,9 million to its shareholders, which exceeds the amount of the capital injection of 2013 and attests to the strong financial position of the Company.

SEGMENT REPORTING

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SEGMENT REPORTING – REINSURANCE

The premium growth is driven by the growth in XL business with the highest absolute growth achieved in marine reinsurance business.

The result, excluding FX differences, was lower in 2017 mainly due to an increase in claims incurred. Claims incurred increased because of the strengthening of claims provisions following large loss events in 2017.

€ million

The investment return increased compared to the previous year primarily as a result of realised capital gains.

5 April 2018

SEGMENT REPORTING – NON-LIFE SLOVENIA

Increase in premiums mainly because of more premium volume in motor, assistance and property business. Motor business increased as a result of a larger number of policies and higher coverages of commercial clients.

The technical result improved primarily due to higher premiums earned and lower operating expenses. The result was impacted by the mid-year storms and some large property claims, along with releases from prior-year claims provisions.

The net investment income was lower largely because of lower interest income.

SEGMENT REPORTING – NON-LIFE INTERNATIONAL

Increase in gross premiums written in all non-life insurers abroad. The largest growth, 21%, was achieved by the Croatian branch of Zavarovalnica Sava.

The decline in the result in 2017 is primarily due to a large claim in Kosovo reinsured with Sava Re, which had a negative effect on Group performance.

The decrease is attributable to lower interest income and slightly higher investment expenses due to the effect of FX differences on Sava neživotno osiguranje (SRB).

Ratios

5 April 2018

SEGMENT REPORTING – LIFE SLOVENIA

Premium growth was affected by the transfer of assets from the wound-up DWS fund to the internal fund (€2.2 million) and by a large number of maturities of unitlinked policies where many policyholders opted for taking out new policies.

The drop in the net expense ratio is the result of premium growth.

The investment result deteriorated in 2017 primarily because of lower interest income.

Gross premiums written by class of insurance

50,7%

SEGMENT REPORTING – LIFE INTERNATIONAL

Premium growth in all life insurance companies.

The net expense ratio improved as a result of premium growth.

The investment result was about the same in 2017 as the previous year, but in 2016 there were €0.2 million of losses that were not incurred in 2017 but the result deteriorated because of exchange differences from the Serbian insurer.

Gross premiums written by class of insurance

5 April 2018

CONTENTS

  1. Sava Re Group 2017 Results

  2. 2018 Plan

  3. Strategic Guidelines 2017-2019

2018 PLAN – MAIN TARGETS (CONSOLIDATED)

2016 2017 plan 2017 2018 plan
Gross written premiums €490,2 million €494 million €517,2 million > €520 million
Net combined ratio*
(reinsurance + non-life)
94,6% 94,6% 95,5% 94,0%–94,5%
Net incurred loss ratio*
(reinsurance + non-life)
58,2% 59,4% 60,5% 59,4%–59,9%
Net expense ratio 34,0% 32,6% 32,7% 31,4%–31,7%
Return on the investment
portfolio*
2,2% 1,8% 2,0% 1,7%
Profit/loss, net of tax €32,9 million between €31 and €33
million
€31,1 million between €37 and €39
million
Return on equity 11,3% 10,3% 10,1% > 11%

*Excl. exchange differences

PLANNED GROWTH OF GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN

Gross premiums written by operating segment (€ million)

2016 Estimate 2017 Plan 2018

CONTENTS

  1. Sava Re Group 2017 Results

  2. 2018 Plan

  3. Strategic Guidelines 2017-2019

# NEVER ALONE

WE ARE CREATING A MODERN, DIGITAL, SOCIALLY- AND SUSTAINABLE-ORIENTED INSURANCE GROUP.

CHIEF DIRECTIONS FOR THE PERIOD 2017–2019

  • 1. Digitalisation and technological modernisation of operations to place the client at the centre
  • 2. Growth through acquisitions
  • 3. Seeking opportunities in environmental/sustainable-oriented investment projects
  • 4. Closing the gap between intrinsic value and market price of shares

KEY TARGETS AS PER RISK STRATEGY

  • Return on equity: 10,4% (+/-0,5 p.p.)
  • Solvency ratio: between 170% and 230% (between the lower limit of the optimal range and the upper limit of the adequate range of capital)
  • Combined ratio, non-life: < 95% Combined ratio, reinsurance < 93%
  • Profitability of new life policies: > 5% Slovenia > 2,5% other markets

GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY OPERATING SEGMENT

*The "other" item includes health, assistance and pension business

5 April 2018

APPENDICES

PRESENTATION OF UNCONSOLIDATED DATA

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BUSINESS SEGMENTS - BALANCE BETWEEN VALUE & GROWTH

Sava Re Group has diversification benefits coming from three segments: Non-Life, Reinsurance, Life and from the geographical spread: Slovenia, W Balkans, global reinsurance market

SLOVENIAN INSURANCE BUSINESS

- NON-LIFE (UNCONSOLIDATED)

Split of GPW 2017 by class of insurance

Land vehicles casco

Motor liability

Fire and natural forces

  • Personal accident
  • Other damage to property
  • Other

Split of GPW 2017 by sales channel

1. VALUE BUSINESS

Banks

Internet

Other

Combined ratio Net profit and ROE

SLOVENIAN INSURANCE BUSINESS

- LIFE (UNCONSOLIDATED)

Split of GPW 2017 by class of insurance

Unit-linked insurance

Gross premiums written by year Net profit and ROE

Split of GPW 2017 by sales channel

SAVA REINSURANCE COMPANY

(UNCONSOLIDATED)

Gross premium written and ROE

2. VALUE BUSINESS

Geographical split of non-group GPW 2017

Split of GPW 2017 by sales channel Split of GPW 2017 by line and type

WESTERN BALKAN INSURANCE BUSINESS

3. GROWTH POTENTIAL

- NON-LIFE (UNCONSOLIDATED)

Split of GPW 2017 by class of insurance Split of GPW 2017 by sales channel

Combined ratio Net profit and ROE

WESTERN BALKAN INSURANCE BUSINESS

3. GROWTH POTENTIAL

- LIFE (UNCONSOLIDATED)

Split of GPW 2017 by class of insurance Split of GPW 2017 by sales channel

Endowment

Unit-linked insurance

Gross premiums written by year Net profit and ROE

FINANCIAL INVESTMENTS

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STRUCTURE OF THE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO

  • Increase in the percentage of mutual fund investments by 1.3 p.p.: The increase is entirely due to the purchases of ETF money market funds of €24,3 million in 1–12/2017.
  • Increased allocations to corporate bonds, and cash and cash equivalents for the purpose of reinvestment (surplus funds were temporarily invested in demand deposits).
  • Increased allocation to investment property (Sava Re (+€5,2 million) and Zavarovalnica Sava Slovenia +€2,4 million).
  • Decrease in the percentage of government bonds by 3,9 percentage points compared to year-end 2016 following disposals and maturities (primarily of Slovenian government bonds). The decline in the share of government bonds reflects the Company's tactical decision to take advantage of rising debt securities prices.

SAVA RE GROUP EXPOSURE BY REGION

The reduced exposure to Slovenia in 2017 is in line with the investment policy (target exposure of Sava Re Group by 2020: 25%); exposure to EU Member States and other countries increased.

Structural shift Dec 17 / Dec 16 (p.p.)

SAVA RE GROUP EXPOSURE TO SLOVENIA

(in €) 31.12.2016
31.12.2017
Change
Type
of
investment
Amount Structure Amount Structure
Deposits 3.102.766 0,3% 858.059 0,1% -0,2%
Government bonds 256.793.600 24,2% 188.505.257 17,4% -6,8%
Corporate
bonds
34.225.105 3,2% 23.758.217 2,2% -1,0%
Shares 16.269.334 1,5% 16.992.679 1,6% 0,0%
Mutual funds 3.483.276 0,3% 1.286.438 0,1% -0,2%
Cash
and
cash
equivalents
11.378.637 1,1% 18.015.252 1,7% 0,6%
Other 3.869.391 0,4% 11.701.257 1,1% 0,7%
Sum total 329.122.108 31,1% 261.117.159 24,1% -7,0%
  • Exposure to Slovenia decreased by 7,0 percentage points compared to the end of 2016.
  • The largest contribution to reduced exposure to Slovenia was a decline in government bonds owing to maturities and disposals in the reporting period.

SAVA RE GROUP EXPOSURE BY INDUSTRY

  • The reduced exposure to government securities is largely due to disposals and maturities of government securities, and the Company's tactical decision to sell part of the bond investments owing to the favourable market conditions.
  • Increased exposure to the financial and insurance industry investments in ETF money market funds.

45 APPENDICES

SAVA RE GROUP RATING PROFILE

Maintaining a good rating profile in 2017

  • Investment grade assets account for 85,0% of fixed-income investments.
  • The share of 'A'-rated investments declined because of maturities and disposals; reinvestments have been mostly in 'AAA' and 'AA'-rated assets.

INVESTMENT INCOME BY TYPE

(€
million)
2016 2017 Absolute change
2017-2016
Income
Interest income 21,2 18,6 -2,6
Change in fair value and losses on disposal of FVPL assets 0,7 0,2 -0,5
Gains on disposal of other IFRS asset categories 2,3 3,1 0,8
Income from associate companies 1,3 1,1 -0,1
Income from dividends and shares –
other investments
7,3 4,2 -3,1
Exchange gains 0,6 0,7 0,1
Diverse other income 33,5 28,0 -5,6
Total income 26,2 23,8 -2,4

Interest income

Interest income declined by €2,6 million year on year because of the low-interest-rate environment, while gains on the disposal of investments increased by €0,8 million.

Exchange gains

The foreign exchange rates that Sava Re liabilities and investments are denominated in moved in the other direction than one year earlier, resulting in a €3,1 million decline in income; nevertheless, there was only a minor effect on profits owing to the asset and liability matching mechanism.

The income relating to the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences, fell by €2,4 million year on year.

INVESTMENT EXPENSES BY TYPE

(€
million)
2016 2017 Absolute change
2017-2016
Expense
Interest expenses 0,8 0,7 -0,1
Change in fair value and losses on disposal of FVPL assets 0,6 0,1 -0,6
Losses on disposal of other IFRS asset categories 0,5 0,6 0,1
Expenses for associate companies 0,0 0,0 0,0
Impairment losses on investments 0,6 0,3 -0,3
Exchange losses 5,8 10,1 4,3
Other 0,5 0,4 -0,1
Total expenses 8,9 12,2 3,3
Total expenses, excluding exchange differences 3,1 2,1 -1,0

Interest expense

Compared to the same period last year, interest expenses decreased by €0,1 million. There was also a €0,3 million decline in impairment losses on investments.

Exchange losses

The foreign exchange rates that the liabilities and investments of Sava Re are denominated in moved in the other direction than one year earlier, resulting in a €4,3 million increase in expenses; still there was only a minor effect on profit for the year owing to asset and liability matching measures.

In the reporting period, the Group's expenses for the investment portfolio declined by €1,0 million year on year..

NET INV. INCOME OF AND RETURN ON THE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO

2016 2017 Absolute change
2017 -
2016
Net investment income relating to the investment portfolio 24,61 15,73 -8,88
Net inv. income of the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences 23,12 21,66 -1,46
Return on the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences 2,1% 2,0%
  • In 2017 the net investment income of the investment portfolio, excluding the impact of exchange differences, totalled €21,7 million, down €1,5 million year on year and €1,0 million better than planned.
  • The net investment income relating to investment property increased modestly year on year.
  • The realised investment return, excluding the effect of exchange differences, was 2,0% (2016: 2.1%).

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

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CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(€) 31 Dec 2016 31
Dec 2017
ASSETS 1.671.189.179 1.708.348.067
Intangible assets 25.508.583 22.712.944
Property and equipment 51.887.127 45.438.014
Deferred tax assets 2.326.063 2.107.564
Investment property 7.933.786 15.364.184
Financial investments: 1.030.235.239 1.038.125.019
Funds for the benefit of policyholders who bear the investment risk 224.175.076 227.228.053
Reinsurers' share of technical provisions 28.444.628 30.787.241
Assets under investment contracts 121.366.122 129.622.131
Receivables 127.408.527 138.455.525
Deferred acquisition costs 16.510.536 18.507.194
Other assets 1.366.844 2.043.395
Cash
and cash
equivalents
33.939.160 37.956.119
Non-current assets held for sale 87.488 684
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 1.671.189.179 1.708.348.067
Equity 297.038.327 316.116.895
Subordinated liabilities 23.570.771 0
Technical provisions 911.221.323 931.398.362
Technical provision for the benefit of life insurance policyholders who bear the investment risk 226.994.200 226.527.893
Other provisions 8.080.877 7.600.613
Deferred tax liabilities 6.038.631 5.781.494
Liabilities under investment contracts 121.229.675 129.483.034
Other financial liabilities 393.996 245.205
Liabilities from operating activities 48.790.646 60.598.188
Other liabilities 27.830.733 30.596.383

CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT

(€) 2016 2017
Net earned premiums 458.101.526 470.865.993
Income from investments in associates 0 0
Investment income 33.136.242 27.446.915
Net unrealised gains on investments of life insurance policyholders who bear the investment
risk
17.958.678 16.849.384
Other technical income 18.237.409 15.429.720
Other income 6.489.633 6.058.000
Net claims incurred -268.393.776 -296.103.320
Change in other technical provisions -5.254.856 -2.179.849
Change in technical provisions for policyholders who bear the investment risk -17.442.161 -1.121.327
Expenses for bonuses and rebates -1.263.545 5.848
Operating expenses -159.563.486 -156.962.328
Expenses for investments in associates and impairment losses on goodwill -1.693.699 0
Expenses for financial assets and liabilities -8.556.415 -11.891.544
Net unrealised losses on investments of life insurance policyholders who bear the investment
risk
-11.256.348 -8.256.416
Other technical expenses -17.310.937 -17.486.080
Other expenses -2.518.278 -2.774.013
Profit/loss before tax 40.669.987 39.880.983
Income tax expense -7.751.774 -8.786.075
Net profit/loss for the period 32.918.213 31.094.908

STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION – SAVA RE, D.D.

(€) 31 Dec 2016 31
Dec 2017
ASSETS 568.147.764 580.886.180
Intangible assets 832.567 807.011
Property and equipment 7.753.202 2.485.645
Deferred tax assets 1.373.436 1.238.826
Investment property 3.122.076 8.230.878
Financial investments in subsidiaries and associates 191.640.382 193.409.578
Financial investments: 249.948.775 250.781.685
Reinsurers' share of technical provisions 18.203.912 20.073.571
Receivables 79.836.627 88.602.395
Deferred acquisition costs 6.897.710 7.778.499
Other assets 549.258 799.634
Cash
and cash
equivalents
7.989.819 6.678.458
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 568.147.764 580.886.180
Equity 270.355.622 290.966.155
Subordinated liabilities 23.570.771 0
Technical provisions 226.207.479 232.639.163
Other provisions 331.802 351.250
Other financial liabilities 104.280 91.182
Liabilities from operating activities 43.797.970 54.404.921
Other liabilities 3.779.840 2.433.509

INCOME STATEMENT – SAVA RE, D.D.

(€) 2016 2017
Net earned premiums 133.428.875 130.864.620
Income from investments in subsidiaries and associates 26.308.516 26.136.830
Investment income 12.880.066 9.652.630
Other technical income 9.263.194 6.098.385
Other income 33.974 444.136
Net claims incurred -81.781.565 -78.583.967
Change in other technical provisions -88.760 -158.608
Expenses for bonuses and rebates -162.545 85.678
Operating expenses -47.288.975 -43.113.125
Expenses for investments in subsidiaries and associates -4.330.782 0
Expenses for financial assets and liabilities -7.132.879 -10.551.329
Other technical expenses -6.033.695 -5.876.562
Other expenses -118.284 -234.824
Profit/loss before tax 34.977.140 34.763.864
Income tax expense -2.103.323 -1.789.672
Net profit/loss for the period 32.873.817 32.974.192

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION.

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