Earnings Release • May 25, 2018
Earnings Release
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23 MAY 2018

a
Growth in consolidated gross premiums written of 4,4%.
Profit impacted by two significant claims in the reinsurance segment (Shanghai – collision of two ships, Africa – brick melting plant) and changed timing of expenses.
First consolidation of three acquired companies – TBS Team 24 (first consolidated on 31/01/2018), NLB NPF and Energoprojekt Garant (both first consolidated on 31/03/2018, as a result of which both companies are only included in the statement of financial position, while income and expenses are not included in 1–3/2018 accounts).
Signing of contract for the acquisition of two Croatian-based insurance companies (ERGO osiguranje and ERGO životno osiguranje) by Zavarovalnica Sava.

| € million | 1-3/2017 | 1-3/2018 | Plan 2018 | Change 2018/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross premiums written | 159,9 | 167,0 | > 520 | 4,4% |
| Net expense ratio | 31,0% | 35,0% | 31,4%-31,7% | +4,0 p.p. |
| Net combined ratio* | 95,7% | 97,3% | 94,0%-94,5% | +1,6 p.p. |
| Net combined ratio (excluding foreign exchange differences) |
94,6% | 98,8% | 94,0%-94,5% | +4,2 p.p. |
| Return on financial portfolio | 2,5% | 1,3% | 1,7% | -1,2 p.p. |
| Return on financial portfolio (excluding foreign exchange differences) |
2,3% | 1,9% | 1,7% | -0,4 p.p. |
| Net profit or loss |
9,2 | 4,6 | between €37m and €39m |
-49,6% |
| Annualised ROE | 11,6% | 7,3% | >11% | -4,3 p.p. |
| 31.12.2017 | 31.3.2018 | Plan 31.12.2018 | ||
| Shareholders' equity |
316,1 | 318,8 | 0,8% | |
| Structure of the investment portfolio |
1.084,2 | 1.078,0 | -0,6% | |
| Balance of funds for the benefit of policyholders who bear the investment risk |
227,2 | 208,3 | -8,3% | |
| Balance of assets in pension company savings funds |
129,6 | 583,0 | 349,8% |
*The combined ratio does not include life business


1-3/2017 1-3/2018



Breakdown of consolidated profit before tax by quarter (non-cumulative)



Proportional reinsurance business grew, while non-proportional reinsurance business shrank compared to the prior year.

The underwriting result, excluding exchange differences, was lower chiefly because of larger claims provisions (collision of tankers near Shanghai and facultative claim from Congo), while last year claims provisions declined. Increased acquisition costs due to more proportional business with higher commission payments than non-proportional business).

€ million
In the period 1–3/2018, the investment result (excluding the effect of exchange differences) remained on approximately the same level year on year.


Increased premiums as the result of primarily more motor premiums (more policies sold, broader coverage and higher average premiums) and a somewhat different timing of underwriting commercial business than year on year.

The underwriting result dropped as the result of higher net claims incurred, higher commissions and increased other operating expenses due to a changed timing of expenses year on year (marketing expenses, IT expenses, bonuses and termination benefits). These effects are estimated to be offset in the second quarter of 2018.

Net investment income was lower largely because of lower interest income.




Increase in gross premiums written in all nonlife insurers abroad, except in the Macedonian insurer. The largest growth, 64%, was achieved in Sava neživotno osiguranje (SRB) because of the growth of individual personal accident and health insurance.
Profit or loss before tax

This year's result is better primarily due to last year's increase in claims provisions following a large fire claim in Illyria of €0,9 million. All other companies, except the Serbian insurer, improved their underwriting results.




The drop in premiums was due to increased maturity benefit payments with premiums of new business insufficient to fully offset lost premiums.

The rise in the expense ratio is the result of the decline in premiums while expenses remained flat as they are relatively fixed. In addition, policy sales are up year on year, but the premiums of new policies were insufficient to cover the premiums lost due to policy maturities (maturities on UL life policies: €16,6 m, traditional life €6,5 m).

The investment result deteriorated primarily because of lower interest income.




Premium growth in all the Group's non-Slovenian life insurers. All achieved doubledigit growth rates, with Sava životno osiguranje (SRB) growing at a rate of 37%. This growth was achieved as the result of carrying out a number of activities for boosting sales.

The reasons for the deterioration in the expense ratio are increased costs for the sale of new insurance products and a significant increase in unearned premiums on the first setting of unearned premiums at the Croatian insurer (transition to accrual accounting of premiums).

The investment result improved because of increased interest income of Illyria Life (increased allocation to government bonds on account of deposits) and lower investment expenses of the branch of Zavarovalnica Sava (lower exchange losses).

Gross premiums written by class of insurance




The annuity fund's gross premiums written increased as more policyholders opted for an additional pension annuities.
There was a decline in personnel costs (reimbursement of 80% of personnel costs for ZZZS employee and outsourcing of internal audit at Sava pokojninska), acquisition costs and advertising costs.

Other technical income depends on the movement in managed assets as shown below.
The negative net investment income in 1–3/2018 is a result of adverse developments in capital markets.

| (in € million) |
2017 | 2018 | Index |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening balance of mathematical provisions of funds (1 January) |
119,9 | 128,9 | 107,5 |
| Gross fund contributions |
2,4 | 2,6 | 106,2 |
| Gross fund pay-outs |
2,3 | 1,9 | 86,5 |
| Asset transfers |
0,3 | 0,8 | 317,9 |
| Net investment income of the fund |
1,5 | -0,6 | -39,0 |
| Entry and exit charges |
0,05 | 0,05 | 102,4 |
| Closing balance of mathematical provisions of funds (31 March) |
121,8 | 129,7 | 106,5 |


In 1-3/2018, three new companies were included in the consolidated accounts - TBS Team 24 (first consolidated on 31/01/2018), NLB NPF and Energoprojekt Garant (both first consolidated on 31/03/2018, as a result of which both companies are only included in the statement of financial position, while income and expenses are not included in 1–3/2018 accounts).
| NLB NPF | 2017 |
|---|---|
| Shareholder's equity | 7,4 |
| Net assets of pension funds |
443,0 |
| Income from fund management | 3,2 |
| Net profit | 1,3 |
NLB NPF is a Macedonian-based pension company managing two pension funds – a compulsory and a voluntary pension fund. Through this acquisition, the Sava Re Group expanded its pension business outside Slovenia.
| Energoprojekt Garant |
2017 |
|---|---|
| Shareholder's equity | 6,9 |
| Gross premiums written | 1,2 |
| Net profit |
0,2 |
| TBS Team 24 | 2017 |
|---|---|
| Shareholder's equity | 0,4 |
| Net revenue | 9,4 |
| Net profit | 0,4 |
Energoprojekt Garant is a Serbian-based non-life insurer carrying on non-motor non-life insurance. With this acquisition, the Sava Re Group further diversified its non-life insurance portfolio in Serbia.
TBS Team 24 is a Slovenian-based assistance company providing assistance services relating to motor, health and homeowners insurance. Through this acquistion, the Sava Re Group gained an efficient and high-quality call centre of international repute.



17 SAVA RE GROUP – INVESTMENT STRUCTURE AND RETURN 23. maj 2018

| 1-3/2017 | 1-3/2018 | Absolute change 1-3/2018 – 1-3/2017 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net investment income relating to the investment portfolio | 6,33 | 3,50 | -2,83 |
| Net inv. income of the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences | 5,83 | 5,01 | -0,82 |
| Return on the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences (%) |
2,3% | 1,9% |



| 31 March 2018 |
|---|
| 71,9 |
| 306,5 |
| POSR |
| 17.219.662 |
| 1.721.966 |
| 4.034 |

**On 2 June 2016, Sava Re received a notice from Adris groupa, d.d., Vladimira Nazora 1, 52210 Rovinj, Croatia via its legal representative Rojs, Peljhan, Prelesnik & partnerji, o.p., d.o.o., advising the Company of a change in major holding in Sava Re. Adris grupa, including its subsidiaries with fiduciary accounts, held 3,278,049 POSR shares, representing 19.04 % of issued and 21.15 % of outstanding shares
*The SBITOP has a changed basis so that the graph starts at the same value as the POSR share price. Growth rates are the same as for the original index.
20 SAVA RE GROUP – POSR SHARE AND DIVIDEND POLICY 23. maj 2018

When designing any dividend proposal, the company will take into account:




The Sava Re Group's Solvency and financial condition report 2016 (Group SFCR) has been posted on the Sava Re website and that of the Ljubljana stock exchange (Seonet). The 2017 report will be published on 18 June 2018.

| 2016 | 2017 plan | 2017 | 2018 plan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premiums | €490,2 million | €494 million | €517,2 million | > €520 million |
| Net combined ratio* (reinsurance + non-life) |
94,6% | 94,6% | 95,5% | 94,0%–94,5% |
| Net incurred loss ratio* (reinsurance + non-life) |
58,2% | 59,4% | 60,5% | 59,4%–59,9% |
| Net expense ratio | 34,0% | 32,6% | 32,7% | 31,4%–31,7% |
| Return on the investment portfolio* |
2,2% | 1,8% | 2,0% | 1,7% |
| Profit or loss, net of tax |
€32,9 million | between €31 million and €33 million |
€31,1 million | between €37 million and €39 million |
| Return on equity | 11,3% | 10,3% | 10,1% | > 11% |
*Excl. exchange differences

Gross premiums written by operating segment (€ million)

2016 Estimate 2017 Plan 2018

a
The reduced exposure to Slovenia in 1-3/2018 is in line with the investment policy (target exposure of Sava Re Group by 2020: 25%); exposure to EU and non-EU Member States increased.


| (€) | 31.12.2017 | 31.3.2018 | Change | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type of investment | Amount | Structure | Amount | Structure | Structural shift |
| Deposits | 858.059 | 0,1% | 825.652 | 0,1% | 0,0 p.p. |
| Government bonds | 188.505.257 | 17,4% | 176.990.646 | 16,4% | -1,0 p.p. |
| Corporate bonds | 23.758.217 | 2,2% | 23.877.973 | 2,2% | 0,0 p.p. |
| Shares | 16.992.679 | 1,6% | 17.358.338 | 1,6% | 0,0 p.p. |
| Mutual funds | 1.286.438 | 0,1% | 1.255.366 | 0,1% | 0,0 p.p. |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 18.015.252 | 1,7% | 10.306.260 | 1,0% | -0,7 p.p. |
| Other | 11.701.257 | 1,1% | 11.748.132 | 1,1% | 0,0 p.p. |
| Sum total |
261.117.159 | 24,1% | 242.362.367 | 22,5% | -1,6 p.p. |






| (€ million) | 1-3/2017 | 1-3/2018 | Absolute change 2018-2017 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prihodki | |||||
| Interest income |
4,9 | 4,2 | -0,7 | ||
| Change in fair value and losses on disposal of FVPL assets |
0,1 | 0,0 | -0,1 | ||
| Gains on disposal of other IFRS asset categories |
1,1 | 0,9 | -0,2 | ||
| Exchange gains | 1,7 | 0,8 | -0,9 | ||
| Other income |
0,2 | 0,2 | 0,0 | ||
| Total income | 8,1 | 6,2 | -1,9 | ||
| Total income, excluding exchange differences | 6,4 | 5,4 | -1,0 |
Interest income declined by €0,7 million year on year because of the low-interest-rate environment and maturing debt securities with higher yields.
The foreign exchange rates that Sava Re liabilities and investments are denominated in moved in the other direction than one year earlier, resulting in a €0,9 million decline in income; nevertheless, there was only a minor effect on profits owing to asset and liability matching mechanism.
The income relating to the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences, fell by €1,0 million year on year.

| (€ million) | 1-3/2017 | 1-3/2018 | Absolute change 2018-2017 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses | |||||
| Interest expenses | 0,4 | 0,0 | -0,4 | ||
| Change in fair value and losses on disposal of FVPL assets | 0,0 | 0,1 | 0,1 | ||
| Losses on disposal of other IFRS asset categories | 0,0 | 0,1 | 0,1 | ||
| Exchange losses | 1,2 | 2,3 | 1,1 | ||
| Other | 0,1 | 0,2 | 0,1 | ||
| Total expenses | 1,8 | 2,7 | 0,9 | ||
| Total expenses, excluding exchange differences | 0,6 | 0,3 | -0,3 |
The foreign exchange rates that the liabilities and investments of Sava Re are denominated in moved in the other direction than one year earlier, resulting in a €1,1 million increase in expenses; still there was only a minor effect on profit for the year owing to asset and liability matching measures.
In the reporting period, the Group's expenses relating to the investment portfolio declined by €0,3 million year on year.

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