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Pozavarovalnica Sava

Earnings Release May 25, 2018

1987_rns_2018-05-25_9cdbc5fd-3735-4f8f-bef1-d3af89e6e71b.pdf

Earnings Release

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SAVA RE GROUP 1-3/2018 RESULTS

23 MAY 2018

a

CONTENTS

  • Sava Re Group – Performance
  • Sava Re Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Re Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Re Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Re Group Solvency position
  • Sava Re Group Plan 2018

HIGHLIGHTS

Growth in consolidated gross premiums written of 4,4%.

Profit impacted by two significant claims in the reinsurance segment (Shanghai – collision of two ships, Africa – brick melting plant) and changed timing of expenses.

First consolidation of three acquired companies – TBS Team 24 (first consolidated on 31/01/2018), NLB NPF and Energoprojekt Garant (both first consolidated on 31/03/2018, as a result of which both companies are only included in the statement of financial position, while income and expenses are not included in 1–3/2018 accounts).

Signing of contract for the acquisition of two Croatian-based insurance companies (ERGO osiguranje and ERGO životno osiguranje) by Zavarovalnica Sava.

RESULTS SAVA RE GROUP

€ million 1-3/2017 1-3/2018 Plan 2018 Change
2018/2017
Gross premiums written 159,9 167,0 > 520 4,4%
Net expense ratio 31,0% 35,0% 31,4%-31,7% +4,0 p.p.
Net combined ratio* 95,7% 97,3% 94,0%-94,5% +1,6 p.p.
Net combined ratio
(excluding foreign exchange
differences)
94,6% 98,8% 94,0%-94,5% +4,2 p.p.
Return on financial portfolio 2,5% 1,3% 1,7% -1,2 p.p.
Return on financial portfolio (excluding foreign
exchange differences)
2,3% 1,9% 1,7% -0,4 p.p.
Net profit
or loss
9,2 4,6 between €37m
and
€39m
-49,6%
Annualised ROE 11,6% 7,3% >11% -4,3 p.p.
31.12.2017 31.3.2018 Plan 31.12.2018
Shareholders'
equity
316,1 318,8 0,8%
Structure
of
the
investment
portfolio
1.084,2 1.078,0 -0,6%
Balance of funds for the benefit of policyholders who
bear the investment risk
227,2 208,3 -8,3%
Balance
of
assets
in
pension
company
savings
funds
129,6 583,0 349,8%

*The combined ratio does not include life business

CONSOLIDATED PROFIT BEFORE TAX BY SEGMENT

1-3/2017 1-3/2018

BREAKDOWN OF CONSOLIDATED GPW

BREAKDOWN OF PROFIT BEFORE TAX

Breakdown of consolidated profit before tax by quarter (non-cumulative)

CONTENTS

  • Sava Re Group Performance
  • Sava Re Group – Segment reporting
  • Sava Re Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Re Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Re Group Solvency position
  • Sava Re Group Plan 2018

RESULTS BY OPERATING SEGMENT – REINSURANCE

Proportional reinsurance business grew, while non-proportional reinsurance business shrank compared to the prior year.

The underwriting result, excluding exchange differences, was lower chiefly because of larger claims provisions (collision of tankers near Shanghai and facultative claim from Congo), while last year claims provisions declined. Increased acquisition costs due to more proportional business with higher commission payments than non-proportional business).

€ million

In the period 1–3/2018, the investment result (excluding the effect of exchange differences) remained on approximately the same level year on year.

RESULTS BY OPERATING SEGMENT – NON-LIFE SLOVENIA

Increased premiums as the result of primarily more motor premiums (more policies sold, broader coverage and higher average premiums) and a somewhat different timing of underwriting commercial business than year on year.

The underwriting result dropped as the result of higher net claims incurred, higher commissions and increased other operating expenses due to a changed timing of expenses year on year (marketing expenses, IT expenses, bonuses and termination benefits). These effects are estimated to be offset in the second quarter of 2018.

Net investment income was lower largely because of lower interest income.

RESULTS BY OPERATING SEGMENT – NON-LIFE INTERNATIONAL

Increase in gross premiums written in all nonlife insurers abroad, except in the Macedonian insurer. The largest growth, 64%, was achieved in Sava neživotno osiguranje (SRB) because of the growth of individual personal accident and health insurance.

Profit or loss before tax

This year's result is better primarily due to last year's increase in claims provisions following a large fire claim in Illyria of €0,9 million. All other companies, except the Serbian insurer, improved their underwriting results.

The 1–3/2018 investment result remained at about the same level.

RESULTS BY OPERATING SEGMENT – LIFE SLOVENIA

The drop in premiums was due to increased maturity benefit payments with premiums of new business insufficient to fully offset lost premiums.

The rise in the expense ratio is the result of the decline in premiums while expenses remained flat as they are relatively fixed. In addition, policy sales are up year on year, but the premiums of new policies were insufficient to cover the premiums lost due to policy maturities (maturities on UL life policies: €16,6 m, traditional life €6,5 m).

The investment result deteriorated primarily because of lower interest income.

Gross premiums written by class of insurance

RESULTS BY OPERATING SEGMENT – LIFE INTERNATIONAL

Premium growth in all the Group's non-Slovenian life insurers. All achieved doubledigit growth rates, with Sava životno osiguranje (SRB) growing at a rate of 37%. This growth was achieved as the result of carrying out a number of activities for boosting sales.

The reasons for the deterioration in the expense ratio are increased costs for the sale of new insurance products and a significant increase in unearned premiums on the first setting of unearned premiums at the Croatian insurer (transition to accrual accounting of premiums).

The investment result improved because of increased interest income of Illyria Life (increased allocation to government bonds on account of deposits) and lower investment expenses of the branch of Zavarovalnica Sava (lower exchange losses).

Gross premiums written by class of insurance

RESULTS BY OPERATING SEGMENT – PENSION BUSINESS SLOVENIA

The annuity fund's gross premiums written increased as more policyholders opted for an additional pension annuities.

There was a decline in personnel costs (reimbursement of 80% of personnel costs for ZZZS employee and outsourcing of internal audit at Sava pokojninska), acquisition costs and advertising costs.

Other technical income depends on the movement in managed assets as shown below.

The negative net investment income in 1–3/2018 is a result of adverse developments in capital markets.

(in

million)
2017 2018 Index
Opening
balance
of
mathematical
provisions
of
funds
(1
January)
119,9 128,9 107,5
Gross
fund
contributions
2,4 2,6 106,2
Gross
fund
pay-outs
2,3 1,9 86,5
Asset
transfers
0,3 0,8 317,9
Net
investment
income
of
the
fund
1,5 -0,6 -39,0
Entry
and
exit
charges
0,05 0,05 102,4
Closing
balance
of
mathematical
provisions
of
funds
(31
March)
121,8 129,7 106,5

PRESENTATION OF NEW COMPANIES

In 1-3/2018, three new companies were included in the consolidated accounts - TBS Team 24 (first consolidated on 31/01/2018), NLB NPF and Energoprojekt Garant (both first consolidated on 31/03/2018, as a result of which both companies are only included in the statement of financial position, while income and expenses are not included in 1–3/2018 accounts).

Important data on the performance of new companies for 2017:

NLB NPF 2017
Shareholder's equity 7,4
Net assets of pension
funds
443,0
Income from fund management 3,2
Net profit 1,3

NLB NPF is a Macedonian-based pension company managing two pension funds – a compulsory and a voluntary pension fund. Through this acquisition, the Sava Re Group expanded its pension business outside Slovenia.

Energoprojekt
Garant
2017
Shareholder's equity 6,9
Gross premiums written 1,2
Net
profit
0,2
TBS Team 24 2017
Shareholder's equity 0,4
Net revenue 9,4
Net profit 0,4

Energoprojekt Garant is a Serbian-based non-life insurer carrying on non-motor non-life insurance. With this acquisition, the Sava Re Group further diversified its non-life insurance portfolio in Serbia.

TBS Team 24 is a Slovenian-based assistance company providing assistance services relating to motor, health and homeowners insurance. Through this acquistion, the Sava Re Group gained an efficient and high-quality call centre of international repute.

CONTENTS

  • Sava Re Group Performance
  • Sava Re Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Re Group – Investment structure and return
  • Sava Re Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Re Group Solvency position
  • Sava Re Group Plan 2018

STRUCTURE OF THE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO

17 SAVA RE GROUP – INVESTMENT STRUCTURE AND RETURN 23. maj 2018

NET INV. INCOME OF AND RETURN ON THE INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO

1-3/2017 1-3/2018 Absolute change
1-3/2018 –
1-3/2017
Net investment income relating to the investment portfolio 6,33 3,50 -2,83
Net inv. income of the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences 5,83 5,01 -0,82
Return on the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences
(%)
2,3% 1,9%

  • In 1–3/2018, net investment income of the investment portfolio, excluding the impact of exchange differences, totalled €5,0 million, down €0,8 million year on year, which is close to the planned net investment income.
  • Net investment income relating to investment property decreased modestly year on year.
  • The realised investment return, excluding the effect of exchange differences, was 1,9% (1-3/2017: 2,3%).

CONTENTS

  • Sava Re Group Performance
  • Sava Re Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Re Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Re Group – POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Re Group Solvency position
  • Sava Re Group Plan 2018

SHAREHOLDERS AND SHARE TRADING

Book value per share €20,57 1Q 2018/1Q 2017: up 4,8%

Sava Re price performance vs SBI TOP benchmark

31 March
2018
71,9
306,5
POSR
17.219.662
1.721.966
4.034

Shareholders as at 31 March 2018

**On 2 June 2016, Sava Re received a notice from Adris groupa, d.d., Vladimira Nazora 1, 52210 Rovinj, Croatia via its legal representative Rojs, Peljhan, Prelesnik & partnerji, o.p., d.o.o., advising the Company of a change in major holding in Sava Re. Adris grupa, including its subsidiaries with fiduciary accounts, held 3,278,049 POSR shares, representing 19.04 % of issued and 21.15 % of outstanding shares

*The SBITOP has a changed basis so that the graph starts at the same value as the POSR share price. Growth rates are the same as for the original index.

20 SAVA RE GROUP – POSR SHARE AND DIVIDEND POLICY 23. maj 2018

DIVIDEND POLICY

Sava Re aims to ensure that its shareholders see a 10% growth in dividends but that the dividend distribution does not exceed 40% of the Group's net profit in the period 2017–2019.

When designing any dividend proposal, the company will take into account:

    1. the estimated excess of eligible own funds over solvency capital requirement under Solvency II;
    1. the Group's own risk and solvency assessment;
    1. capital models of rating agencies Standard & Poor's and A.M. Best;
    1. approved annual and strategic plans of the Group and the company;
    1. new development projects that would engage additional capital;
    1. other relevant factors affecting the financial condition of the company.

DIVIDEND POLICY

Important dates for dividend payment

  • 29 May 2018: General Meeting of Shareholders of Sava Re
  • 12 June 2018: Ex dividend date
  • 13 June 2018: Record date
  • 14 June 2018: Payment date

CONTENTS

  • Sava Re Group Performance
  • Sava Re Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Re Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Re Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Re Group – Solvency position
  • Sava Re Group Plan 2018

CAPITAL ADEQUACY

The Sava Re Group's Solvency and financial condition report 2016 (Group SFCR) has been posted on the Sava Re website and that of the Ljubljana stock exchange (Seonet). The 2017 report will be published on 18 June 2018.

CONTENTS

  • Sava Re Group Performance
  • Sava Re Group Segment reporting
  • Sava Re Group Investment structure and return
  • Sava Re Group POSR share and dividend policy
  • Sava Re Group Solvency position
  • Sava Re Group – Plan 2018

2018 PLAN – MAIN TARGETS (CONSOLIDATED)

2016 2017 plan 2017 2018 plan
Gross written premiums €490,2 million €494 million €517,2 million > €520 million
Net combined ratio*
(reinsurance + non-life)
94,6% 94,6% 95,5% 94,0%–94,5%
Net incurred loss ratio*
(reinsurance + non-life)
58,2% 59,4% 60,5% 59,4%–59,9%
Net expense ratio 34,0% 32,6% 32,7% 31,4%–31,7%
Return on the investment
portfolio*
2,2% 1,8% 2,0% 1,7%
Profit
or loss, net of tax
€32,9 million between €31
million
and €33
million
€31,1 million between €37
million
and €39
million
Return on equity 11,3% 10,3% 10,1% > 11%

*Excl. exchange differences

PLANNED GROWTH OF GROSS PREMIUMS WRITTEN

Gross premiums written by operating segment (€ million)

2016 Estimate 2017 Plan 2018

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

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SAVA RE GROUP EXPOSURE BY REGION

The reduced exposure to Slovenia in 1-3/2018 is in line with the investment policy (target exposure of Sava Re Group by 2020: 25%); exposure to EU and non-EU Member States increased.

SAVA RE GROUP EXPOSURE TO SLOVENIA

(€) 31.12.2017 31.3.2018 Change
Type of investment Amount Structure Amount Structure Structural shift
Deposits 858.059 0,1% 825.652 0,1% 0,0 p.p.
Government bonds 188.505.257 17,4% 176.990.646 16,4% -1,0 p.p.
Corporate bonds 23.758.217 2,2% 23.877.973 2,2% 0,0 p.p.
Shares 16.992.679 1,6% 17.358.338 1,6% 0,0 p.p.
Mutual funds 1.286.438 0,1% 1.255.366 0,1% 0,0 p.p.
Cash and cash equivalents 18.015.252 1,7% 10.306.260 1,0% -0,7 p.p.
Other 11.701.257 1,1% 11.748.132 1,1% 0,0 p.p.
Sum
total
261.117.159 24,1% 242.362.367 22,5% -1,6 p.p.
  • Exposure to Slovenia decreased by 1,6 percentage points compared to the end of 2017.
  • The largest contribution to reduced exposure to Slovenia was a decline in government bonds owing to maturities and disposals in the reporting period.

SAVA RE GROUP EXPOSURE BY INDUSTRY

  • Decreased exposure to government securities is largely due to their sale and maturing.
  • Increased exposure to the financial and insurance industry investments in ETF money market funds.

SAVA RE GROUP RATING PROFILE

Maintaining a good rating profile in 1-3/2018

  • Investment-grade assets account for 82,2% of fixed-income investments.
  • The drop in the proportion of investment-grade securities is the result of maturities, disposals, and the portfolio assumption of the recently acquired companies.

INVESTMENT INCOME BY TYPE

(€ million) 1-3/2017 1-3/2018 Absolute change
2018-2017
Prihodki
Interest
income
4,9 4,2 -0,7
Change
in fair value
and
losses
on disposal
of
FVPL assets
0,1 0,0 -0,1
Gains
on disposal
of
other
IFRS asset
categories
1,1 0,9 -0,2
Exchange gains 1,7 0,8 -0,9
Other
income
0,2 0,2 0,0
Total income 8,1 6,2 -1,9
Total income, excluding exchange differences 6,4 5,4 -1,0

Interest income

Interest income declined by €0,7 million year on year because of the low-interest-rate environment and maturing debt securities with higher yields.

Exchange gains

The foreign exchange rates that Sava Re liabilities and investments are denominated in moved in the other direction than one year earlier, resulting in a €0,9 million decline in income; nevertheless, there was only a minor effect on profits owing to asset and liability matching mechanism.

The income relating to the investment portfolio, excluding exchange differences, fell by €1,0 million year on year.

INVESTMENT EXPENSES BY TYPE

(€ million) 1-3/2017 1-3/2018 Absolute change
2018-2017
Expenses
Interest expenses 0,4 0,0 -0,4
Change in fair value and losses on disposal of FVPL assets 0,0 0,1 0,1
Losses on disposal of other IFRS asset categories 0,0 0,1 0,1
Exchange losses 1,2 2,3 1,1
Other 0,1 0,2 0,1
Total expenses 1,8 2,7 0,9
Total expenses, excluding exchange differences 0,6 0,3 -0,3

Exchange losses

The foreign exchange rates that the liabilities and investments of Sava Re are denominated in moved in the other direction than one year earlier, resulting in a €1,1 million increase in expenses; still there was only a minor effect on profit for the year owing to asset and liability matching measures.

In the reporting period, the Group's expenses relating to the investment portfolio declined by €0,3 million year on year.

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