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PostNL N.V.

Earnings Release May 10, 2021

3878_iss_2021-05-10_ebab1d92-729b-4f29-93c8-e17031452ea9.pdf

Earnings Release

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Strong earnings performance continues with normalised EBIT at €130 million and free cash flow of €159 million in Q1 2021

Outlook FY 2021 normalised EBIT at least €250 million, free cash flow above €225 million

Financial highlights

in € million Q1 2020 Q1 2021
Revenue 701 962
Normalised EBIT 15 130
assumed to be non-recurring and related to Covid-19 42*
Free cash flow 5 159
Normalised comprehensive income 30 112

Highlights Q1 2021

  • Strong operational performance at Parcels continued with 108 million parcels delivered (+61.6%), partly nonrecurring due to lockdown
  • Strong result at Mail in the Netherlands partly based on non-recurring mail items relating to Covid-19 and favourable development in price/mix

CEO statement

Herna Verhagen, CEO of PostNL, said: "We had a very good start of the year and continued the momentum that we've seen since the second quarter of last year. These results have been achieved thanks to strong teamwork and good cooperation between the businesses. The health and safety of our people, customers and consumers remains our key priority.

"Once again, we proved our collective resilience and flexibility during ongoing unprecedented circumstances. We delivered a record 108 million parcels in one quarter. Performance at Mail in the Netherlands was strong, although the underlying volume decline due to substitution continued. Normalised EBIT came in at €130 million. Taking into account the lockdown situation, and other Covid-19 effects, we assume around €42 million of this result is nonrecurring. The acceleration of our digital transformation, aimed at strengthening our competitive position by building on our platform, is progressing well, and we intend to further speed up our investments.

"Based on the strong performance in the first quarter, we raised our outlook for 2021 on 26 April, with normalised EBIT now forecast to be at least €250 million and free cash flow to come in above €225 million. Going forward, visibility remains limited. The exact consequences of changes in the lockdown, such as the reopening of non-essential stores in the Netherlands as of 28 April, are difficult to predict."

Q1 2021 business performance

0 Revenue Normalised EBIT
in € million Q1 2020 Q1 2021 Q1 2020 Q1 2021
Parcels 414 662 26 92
Mail in the Netherlands 395 466 5 59
PostNL Other 26 48 (15) (21)
Intercompany (133) (214)
PostNL 701 962 15 130

Note: Normalised figures exclude one-offs in Q1 2021 (€(18) million) and in Q1 2020 (€17 million)

* €42 million of the normalised EBIT is assumed to be non-recurring:

  • €35 million related to Covid-19 driven by volumes and additional costs (€17 million at Parcels and €18 million at Mail in the Netherlands)
  • €7 million extra impact related to Covid-19 at Spring and Logistics

Segment information Q1 2021

Parcels: strong performance continued, normalised EBIT up €67m

E-commerce growth has picked up significantly on the back of the step-up in the transition from offline to online since the outbreak of Covid-19 in mid-March 2020. The underlying strong growth trend in e-commerce is here to stay. Part of this growth also related to specific, non-recurring, consumer spending as a result of the pandemic.

PostNL delivered 108 million parcels in Q1 2021 (Q1 2020: 67 million) of which approximately 26 million are assumed to be non-recurring and related to Covid-19. At 61.6%, volume growth was extremely strong and visible across all segments and products. Excluding the non-recurring impact, volume growth was around 23%.

Revenue grew to €662 million (Q1 2020: €414 million), mainly driven by volume development. Spring, both in Asia and Europe, and Logistics saw rising revenues. Revenue growth was partially related to increasing internal revenue. Currently, around 70% of revenue at Spring is e-commerce related. At Logistics, revenue rose across all business lines.

Normalised EBIT was up very substantially to €92 million (Q1 2020: €26 million), of which around €17 million is assumed to be non-recurring and driven by volumes and additional costs. Another €7 million, from Spring and Logistics, is also assumed to be non-recurring and related to Covid-19.

The increase in normalised EBIT was mainly driven by the impact of €176 million from volume growth, partly offset by an expected negative price/mix effect of €4 million and volume-dependent costs that only increased by €106 million. Organic costs rose by €3 million. Other costs were up €21 million as improved efficiency was more than offset by the additional fees paid to retailers as an incentive to keep their stores open for parcel pickup. Finally, other results, which include Spring and Logistics, were up €26 million with ongoing strong performance driven by revenue growth and efficiency.

Mail in the Netherlands: positive volume/price/mix development

Addressed mail volumes increased by 5.6% in the quarter, mainly due to the impact from non-recurring items, for example voting by mail and invites for the vaccination programme, which account for a positive impact of 4.5%. Moreover, regular election mail contributed 3.8% and three additional working days had a positive impact of 3.4%. The underlying trend of volume decline continued with a substitution rate at around 6%.

Revenue was up 18% to €466 million (Q1 2020: €395 million) on the back of the volume impact of €12 million. Price/mix effects accounted for a rise of €32 million, supported by a shift towards more single mail and e-commerce items, partly related to Covid-19. PostNL continued its moderate pricing policy. And finally, a small contribution from other revenue was visible.

Performance was strong with normalised EBIT increasing to €59 million (Q1 2020: €5 million), of which around €18 million is assumed to be non-recurring and related to Covid-19.

The increase reflected the price/mix and total volume impact(a combined €44 million) partly offset by a €9 million rise in volume-related costs. Organic costs rose by €4 million. Other costs improved by €22 million, mainly driven by integration costs related to Sandd of €17 million in Q1 2020, cost savings and other, partly incidental, effects. Other results were up by €1 million.

Acceleration of digital transformation

PostNL is accelerating its digital transformation to support business performance and create value for stakeholders. We aim to strengthen our competitive position by further building on our platform and connecting customers, consumers and solutions through simple and smart digital journeys.

PostNL expects to spend around €80 million in the acceleration of its digital transformation in the 2021-24 period, approximately 50% of this in capex and 50% in operating costs. Due to its current strong financial position, PostNL has decided to further speed up this process and now intends to spend around €25 million in 2021 (previous indication for 2021: around €15 million).

PostNL Other

Revenue at PostNL Other amounted to €48 million (Q1 2020: €26 million). Normalised EBIT declined to €(21) million (Q1 2020: €(15) million), mainly as a result of higher pension expenses (an accounting impact only).

Pensions

Pension expense amounted to €40 million (Q1 2020: €36 million) and total cash contributions were €21 million (Q1 2020: €29 million). On 31 March 2021, the pension fund's actual coverage ratio was 119.7%. The fund's 12-month average coverage ratio worked out at 107.3%, above the minimum required funding level of 104.0%.

Discontinued operations

Result from discontinued operations came in at €24 million (Q1 2020: €(7) million). The sale of Nexive, owned by Mutares and PostNL, to Poste Italiane was completed on 29 January 2021. Combined with the termination of the joint venture agreement with Mutares, this resulted in a net result of €24 million and a related cash impact of €29 million, recognised in Q1 2021. As the financial impact relates to discontinued activities, the financial consequences of this transaction are outside the scope of normalised EBIT, normalised comprehensive income and free cash flow projections and performance.

Key figures

in € million Q1 2020 Q1 2021
Revenue 701 962
Operating income (2) 148
Profit for the period (12) 136
Profit from continuing operations (5) 112
Total comprehensive income 10 149
Free cash flow 5 159
31 December 2020 3 April 2021
Adjusted net debt 407 224

Development of financial and equity position

Total equity attributable to equity holders of the parent company increased to €369 million as at 3 April 2021. This reflected a net profit of €136 million and a €14 million positive impact from pensions, net of tax. Total comprehensive income amounted to €149 million (Q1 2020: €10 million).

Free cash flow amounted to €159 million (Q1 2020: €5 million). Working capital continues to develop favourably thanks to strict working capital management and higher export volumes, but also includes some timing effects. The proceeds of €44 million from the sale of Cendris are included in the free cash flow.

At the end of Q1 2021, the adjusted net debt position was €224 million, compared with €407 million at the end of 2020.

Good progress on non-financial key performance indicators

PostNL ambition is to be the favourite deliverer in, to and from the Benelux region. It focuses on a number of nonfinancial metrics regarding client satisfaction, employee engagement, operational performance and impact on the environment and society at large.

During Q1 2021, PostNL continued to implement its strategy to combat climate change. It is working towards the longterm objective of emission-free last-mile delivery in the Benelux region by 2030, for example through greater use of renewable fuels and further electrification of light freight vehicles. This resulted in an improvement of 7% in the CO2 efficiency of PostNL's own fleet, when compared to full year 2020. The progress made was partly offset by higher than expected parcel volumes.

Outlook FY 2021

As announced on 26 April 2021, PostNL now expects FY 2021 normalised EBIT to amount to at least €250 million with free cash flow for FY 2021 expected to come in at a minimum of €225 million. The improved outlook is based on the strong performance in Q1, which was around €50 million better than expected. This overperformance is mainly explained by a better result due to lockdown lasting longer than expected as well as by better results at Spring and Logistics. Also, we have seen some incidentals in the quarter. Normal business performance is expected to increase in 2021.

Due to the continuing unprecedented circumstances, visibility going forward remains limited. The exact consequences of changes in the lockdown remain uncertain. We assume that around €60 million to €70 million of the expected

normalised EBIT of at least €250 million will be non-recurring and related to Covid-19. This non-recurring part of the result will mainly be visible in Q1 (€42 million) and Q2 2021.

The additional normalised EBIT does not fully translate into free cash flow due to tax effects and an adjustment in the trade-off between capex and leases resulting in higher capex in 2021. Capex will also increase slightly following the decision to further speed up the digitalisation process.

Normalised comprehensive income will develop in line with normalised EBIT and is expected to be at least €225 million in 2021.

in € million 2020 2020 corrected for assumed non
recurring impact Covid-19
2021 outlook 2021 revised outlook
(26 April 2021)
remarks
Outlook
Normalised EBIT 245 190 205 - 225 >250 including ~(30)-(35) for Digital NEXT and
increase in non-cash pension expenses
Free cash flow* 186 200 - 230 >225 including ~(20)-(25) for Digital NEXT
Other main financial indicators 2021 indicative
Capex (78) (140) - (160)
Changes in pension liabilities** (166) ~55 ∆ pension expense and pension cash
contribution
Normalised comprehensive income 197 ~200 >225 developing in line with normalised EBIT

* Cash flow before dividend, acquisitions, redemption of bonds/other financing activities; after payment of leases

** Including settlement payment for transitional plans of €200 million in 2020 and €16 million in 2021

Working days by quarter

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
2020 62 60 65 68 255
2021 65 61 65 65 256

Financial calendar

9 August 2021 Publication of Q2 & HY 2021 results
8 November 2021 Publication of Q3 2021 results

Dividend calendar

Final dividend over 2020
11 May 2021 End of election period and determination conversion rate
14 May 2021 Payment date
Interim dividend 2021
11 August Ex-dividend date
12 August Record date
13 August Start election period
27 August End of election period and determination conversion rate
31 August Payment date

Contact information

Published by PostNL N.V.
Prinses Beatrixlaan 23
2595 AK The Hague
The Netherlands
T: +31 88 86 86 161
Investor Relations Jochem van de Laarschot
Director Communications & Investor Relations
M: +31 613 86 53 58
E: [email protected]
Inge Laudy
Manager Investor Relations
M: +31 610 51 96 70
E: [email protected]
Media Relations Dagna Hoogkamer
Spokesperson
M: +31 622 05 36 29
E: [email protected]

Audio webcast and conference call on Q1 2021 results

On 10 May 2021, at 11.00 am CET, the conference call for analysts and investors will start. It can be followed live via an audio webcast at www.postnl.nl/en/about-postnl/investors/results-reports-presentations/.

Additional information

Additional information is available at www.postnl.nl. Elements of this press release contain or may contain inside information within the meaning of article 7(1) of the EU Market Abuse Regulation.

Note that the numbers presented in this press release (tables and explanations of results) may not sum precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures due to rounding.

Caution on forward-looking statements

Some statements in this press release are 'forward-looking statements'. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may occur in the future. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are outside of our control and impossible to predict, and that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, analyses and projections about the industries in which we operate and management's beliefs and assumptions about possible future events. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which only apply as of the date of this press release and are neither predictions nor guarantees of possible future events or circumstances. We do not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this press release or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities law.

Use of non-GAAP information

In presenting and discussing the PostNL Group operating results, management uses certain non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed in isolation as alternatives to the equivalent IFRS measures and should be used in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Non-GAAP financial measures do not have a standardised meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. The main non-GAAP key financial performance indicator is normalised EBIT. Normalised EBIT is derived from the IFRS-based performance measure operating income adjusted for the impact of project costs and incidentals.

Basis of preparation

The interim financial statements are reported on a year-to-date basis ending 3 April 2021. The information should be read in conjunction with the consolidated 2020 Annual Report of PostNL N.V. as published on 1 March 2021.

The measurement of profit and loss and assets and liabilities is based on the Group Accounting Policies, which are compliant with IFRS as endorsed by the European Union. All significant accounting policies applied in these consolidated interim financial statements are consistent with those applied in PostNL's consolidated 2020 Annual Report for the year ended 31 December 2020.

There are no IFRS standards, amended standards or IFRIC interpretations taking effect for the first time for the financial year beginning 1 January 2021 that would be expected to have a material impact on the 2021 accounts of the Group.

Note that the numbers presented in the financial statements and disclosures thereto may not sum precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures due to rounding.

Sale of Nexive

On 1 July 2020, PostNL completed the sale of 80% of the activities of Nexive to Mutares. On 29 January 2021, PostNL and Mutares closed the sale of Nexive to Poste Italiane, whereby PostNL divested its retained minority interest of 20% in the entity acquiring the Nexive business. PostNL also terminated the joint venture agreement with Mutares, which resulted in the release of the remaining part of the related committed cash contributions. The transaction resulted in a net result of around €24 million (including final settlement) and cash proceeds of €29 million in Q1 2021.

Sale of Cendris

On 23 February 2021, PostNL completed the sale of Cendris, a specialist in customer contact services in the Netherlands and part of the segment Mail in the Netherlands, to Yource, market leader in customer contact within the Benelux region. The transaction resulted in a book profit of €16 million and net cash proceeds of €44 million.

Covid-19 impact assessment

In Q1 2021, management updated its assessment of the impact of Covid-19 on all material assets and liabilities. The assessment did not reveal any need for significant negative adjustments to the accounts mentioned per Q1 2021. Given the current uncertainties, management will reperform its assessment in Q2 2021.

Acquisition of Sandd

On 27 September 2019, the State Secretary of Economic Affairs cleared the merger between PostNL and Sandd. Legal appeals have been filed by a number of parties against the approval. On 11 June 2020 the court (Rechtbank Rotterdam) annulled the approval for consolidation in the Dutch postal market. The government has appealed against the court decision. PostNL has also decided to appeal. On 9 April 2021, the earlier approval of the merger was confirmed by a new decision taken by the State Secretary. This new decision, which has retroactive effect, will be included in the appeal procedure. Awaiting next steps, PostNL will continue to adhere to the conditions imposed in relation to the acquisition. As we have obtained control as of the acquisition date of 22 October 2019, we have fully consolidated Sandd in our financial statements as of that date going forward.

Auditor's involvement

The content of this interim financial report has not been audited or reviewed by an external auditor.

PostNL Consolidated income statement in € million

Q1 2020 Q1 2021
Revenue from contracts with customers 697 957
Other operating revenue 4 5
Total operating revenue 701 962
Other income 1 21
Cost of materials (15) (16)
Work contracted out and other external expenses (318) (466)
Salaries, pensions and social security contributions (293) (289)
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments (48) (35)
Other operating expenses (29) (29)
Total operating expenses (703) (835)
Operating income (2) 148
Interest and similar income 1 0
Interest and similar expenses (4) (5)
Net financial expenses (4) (5)
Results from investments in JVs/associates (0) 0
Profit/(loss) before income taxes (5) 143
Income taxes 0 (31)
Profit/(loss) from continuing operations (5) 112
Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations (7) 24

Profit for the period (12) 136

Attributable to:
Non-controlling interests (0) 0
Equity holders of the parent (12) 136
Earnings per ordinary share (in € cents) 1 (2.5) 27.5
Earnings per diluted ordinary share (in € cents) 2 (2.5) 27.4
Earnings from continuing operations per ordinary share (in € cents) 1 (1.1) 22.7
Earnings from continuing operations per diluted ordinary share (in € cents) 2 (1.1) 22.7
Earnings from discontinued operations per ordinary share (in € cents) 1 (1.5) 4.8
Earnings from discontinued operations per diluted ordinary share (in € cents) 2 (1.5) 4.8

1 Based on an average of 494,991,389 outstanding ordinary shares (2020: 493,952,586).

2 Based on an average of 495,805,178 outstanding diluted ordinary shares (2020: 495,469,728).

PostNL Consolidated statement of comprehensive income in € million

Q1 2020 Q1 2021
Profit for the period (12) 136
Impact pensions, net of tax 23 14
Other comprehensive income that will not be reclassified
to the income statement
23 14
Currency translation adjustment, net of tax (0) 0
Gains/(losses) on cashflow hedges, net of tax (1) (1)
Other comprehensive income that may be reclassified
to the income statement
(1) (1)
Total other comprehensive income for the period 23 13
Total comprehensive income for the period 10 149
Attributable to:
Non-controlling interests (0) 0
Equity holders of the parent 10 149
Total comprehensive income attributable to the
equity holders of the parent arising from:
Continuing operations 18 126
Discontinued operations (7) 24

PostNL Consolidated statement of cash flows in € million
Q1 2020 Q1 2021
Profit/(loss) before income taxes (5) 143
Adjustments for:
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments
48 35
Share-based payments 1 1
(Profit)/loss on disposal of assets (1) (1)
(Profit)/loss on sale of Group companies - (16)
Interest and similar income (1) (0)
Interest and similar expenses 4 5
Results from investments in JVs/associates 0 (0)
Investment income 3 (12)
Pension liabilities 7 19
Other provisions (24) (1)
Changes in provisions (17) 17
Inventory (0) 0
Trade accounts receivable (3) (59)
Other accounts receivable 8 3
Other current assets excluding taxes 1 21
Trade accounts payable (56) (3)
Other current liabilities excluding short-term financing and taxes 43 31
Changes in working capital (6) (7)
Cash generated from operations 23 177
Interest paid (2) (3)
Income taxes received/(paid) 1 (20)
Net cash (used in)/from operating activities 22 154
Interest received 1 0
Disposal of subsidiaires 7 44
Investments in JVs/associates 0 (1)
Capital expenditure on intangible assets (5) (12)
Capital expenditure on property, plant and equipment (3) (12)
Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment 1 3
Other changes in (financial) fixed assets 1 0
Net cash (used in)/from investing activities 1 23
Proceeds from short-term borrowings (0) 4
Repayments of short-term borrowings (1) (0)
Repayments of lease liabilities (18) (18)
Net cash (used in)/from financing activities (18) (14)
Total change in cash from continuing operations 4 163
Cash at the beginning of the period 480 651
Cash transfers related to discontinued operations 1 29
Total change in cash from continuing operations 4 163
Cash at the end of the period 485 843
Total change in cash from discontinued operations (6) 0

31 December 2020 3 April 2021

Assets
Goodwill 208 208
Other intangible assets 132 134
Intangible fixed assets 339 342
Land and buildings 210 209
Plant and equipment 106 103
Other 10 11
Construction in progress 44 48
Property, plant and equipment 370 370
Right-of-use assets 243 237
Investments in joint ventures/associates
Loans receivable
3
27
4
16
Deferred tax assets 10 9
Financial assets at fair value through OCI 15 15
Financial fixed assets 54 44
Total non-current assets 1,007 993
Inventory 3 3
Trade accounts receivable 336 387
Accounts receivable 18 13
Income tax receivable 28 13
Prepayments and accrued income 111 91
Cash and cash equivalents 651 843
Total current assets 1,148 1,350
Assets classified as held for sale 55 12
Total assets 2,210 2,355
Equity and Liabilities
Equity attributable to the equity holders of the parent 219
Non-controlling interests 2
Total equity 222 372
Deferred tax liabilities 23
Provisions for pension liabilities 86 369
2
30
86
Other provisions 30 30
Long-term debt 696
Long-term lease liabilities 231
Total non-current liabilities 1,065 696
224
1,066
Trade accounts payable 141 134
Other provisions 21 20
Short-term debt 12 18
Short-term lease liabilities 63
Other current liabilities 145
Income tax payable 2
Contract liabilities
Accrued current liabilities
69
445
Total current liabilities 898 917
Liabilities related to assets classified as held for sale 25 61
147
3
58
477
0

Total equity and liabilities 2,210 2,355

PostNL Consolidated statement of financial position in € million

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