Earnings Release • Feb 25, 2019
Earnings Release
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Dividend of €0.24 per share proposed
(note: Nexive and Postcon are classified as discontinued operations, resulting in adjusted segment reporting. All financials are based on continuing operations except where noted.)
• Proposed dividend 2018 of €0.24 per share (2017: €0.23), subject to approval by AGM on 16 April 2019
Herna Verhagen, CEO of PostNL: "Step by step we are realising our strategy of becoming the postal and e-commerce logistics company of choice for customers. In 2018, 48% of our revenue came from activities related to e-commerce, evidencing our transition. We achieved an underlying cash operating income in the upper-part of our guidance, with a strong performance in Q4, our peak season.
In Parcels, we reported record-high volumes during our peak season and operational performance improved on the back of increasing volumes. At the same time, we faced additional capacity costs, partly explained by a tight labour and transport market and increasing IT costs related to further development of our digital services. In Spring, the competitive environment remained fierce, especially in Asia, putting pressure on volume and on margin. Performance at Mail in the Netherlands was characterised by volume decline, price increases and cost savings. The run-rate of cost savings improved in the second half of 2018.
In line with our strategy to focus on the Benelux, we decided in August to divest Postcon in Germany and Nexive in Italy. We are making good progress with the divestment process and expect to make further announcements before the summer.
In 2019, we will continue to build on a strong platform for further growth. For Parcels, we are improving the balance between volume growth, profitability and cash flow. In Mail in the Netherlands, we will further adapt our organisation to volume decline and stay focused on achieving cost savings. We will make a next step in our business model by the introduction of the New mail route. The switch to an equal flow model enables us to adapt our organisation to future volume decline. On 7 May 2019 we will host a Capital Markets Day where we will discuss our strategy for Parcels in the years to come that will result in improved value creation and will announce mid-term guidance for PostNL.
We believe that we can continue to prove that our long term strategy is right for all stakeholders. It offers value to our clients and customers, and jobs and development opportunities for our people. It will create sustainable value for shareholders. Our dividend policy remains unchanged."
| Key figures | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in € millions, except where noted | Q4 2017 | Q4 2018 % Change | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | % Change | |
| Revenue | 782 | 794 | 2 % |
2,725 | 2,772 | 2 % |
| Operating income | 114 | 93 | -18% | 284 | 185 | -35% |
| Underlying operating income | 114 | 99 | -13% | 297 | 209 | -30% |
| Underlying operating income margin | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | ||
| Changes in pension liabilities | (4) | 2 | 150% | (13) | 11 | 185% |
| Changes in provisions | (6) | (1) | 83% | (43) | (32) | 26% |
| Underlying cash operating income | 104 | 100 | -4% | 241 | 188 | -22% |
| Underlying cash operating income margin | 13.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | ||
| Profit for the period | 5 9 |
50 | -15% | 148 | 33 | -78% |
| Profit from continuing operations | 7 2 |
7 6 |
6 % |
179 | 127 | -29% |
| Net cash from/(used in) operating and investing activities | 7 4 |
57 | -23% | 1 1 |
(19) | -273% |
Note: underlying figures exclude one-offs in Q4 2018 (€3 million for restructuring, €4 million project costs and €(1) million consolidation effect with discontinued operations) and in Q4 2017 (€8 million for restructuring, €(3) million consolidation effect with discontinued operations and €(5) million project costs and other)
| 0 | Revenue | Underlying operating income |
Underlying cash operating income |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in € million | Q4 2017 | Q4 2018 | Q4 2017 | Q4 2018 | Q4 2017 | Q4 2018 |
| Parcels | 393 | 439 | 39 | 36 | 39 | 36 |
| Mail in the Netherlands | 504 | 483 | 84 | 79 | 73 | 71 |
| PostNL Other | 21 | 20 | (9) | (16) | (8) | (7) |
| Intercompany | (136) | (148) | - | - | - | - |
| PostNL | 782 | 794 | 114 | 99 | 104 | 100 |
Note: underlying figures exclude one-offs
Volume growth in Parcels (excluding Spring) continued to be strong at 20% for the quarter(FY2018: 22%). Our domestic 2B and 2C volumes showed strong growth, following the trend of increasing e-commerce. This resulted again in record high volumes during our peak season.
Parcels revenue (excluding Spring) increased by 18% to €378 million (Q4 2017: €321 million). The main driver for this growth was the increase in volumes, slightly offset by a negative price/mix effect. We continue to report strong growth in our Belgian activities, strengthening our position as the logistics service provider in the Benelux. Overall demand for additional services such as evening delivery and new markets such as food and health, further increased.
Operational efficiency continues to improve, evidenced for example by an increase in drop duplication. At the same time, performance was impacted by the tight labour and transport market, and capacity costs required to absorb swings in daily volumes. The extreme spike in volumes towards Black Friday and continuing till 5 December made this peak season more expensive. IT costs related to the further development of our digital services increased. Performance in our logistic solutions activities improved.
At Spring, revenue declined by 5% to €70 million. Adjusted for FX effects, the decline was 7%. The competitive environment remains fierce, especially in Asia. This puts pressure on margin and resulted in decline of €6 million in underlying cash operating income compared to last year.
Total revenue in Parcels, including Spring, increased by 12% to €439 million (Q4 2017: €393 million). Underlying cash operating income was €36 million (Q4 2017: €39 million).
Addressed mail volumes at Mail in the Netherlands declined by 10.2% in the quarter (10.8% adjusted for one working day). This decline was driven by high substitution, particularly in single mail, and loss to competition.
Revenue declined by 4% to €483 million (Q4 2017: €504 million). Underlying cash operating income decreased to €71 million (Q4 2017: €73 million). Cost savings (€5 million), lower cash out related to pensions and provisions (€8 million) and incidentals (€5 million) were offset by the negative volume/price/mix effect (€9 million), autonomous cost increases (€4 million) and other business effects (€7 million, mainly related to export).
In 2018, we achieved total cost savings of €48 million, in line with our expectations. As expected, we saw the run-rate in savings improve in the second half of the year, with achieved savings of €30 million in HY2. Our cost savings plans include several initiatives, such as adjusting our sorting and delivery process, the optimisation of our retail network, the streamlining of staff and centralisation of locations.
The regulator published a new draft market analysis decision on Significant Market Power. We strongly disagree with the approach of the regulator, as it creates new uncertainty and does not reflect the reality of the rapidly declining mail volumes. If the regulator does not change its initial approach after the consultation, our guidance of the negative impact of regulation will be adjusted to between €50 million and €70 million on an annualised basis, fully visible in 2021. The adjusted impact is included in our Outlook 2019.
Revenue at PostNL Other was €20 million (Q4 2017: €21 million). Underlying cash operating income improved slightly to €(7) million (Q4 2017: €(8) million). Cost savings were partly offset by an increase in other costs.
Pension expense amounted to €31 million (Q4 2017: €26 million) and total cash contributions were €29 million (Q4 2017: €30 million). The increase in pension expense is mainly explained by a higher rate of expected benefit increases, reflecting the development of the coverage ratio of the pension fund. As the net liability related to the pension fund is limited at the outstanding unconditional funding obligation, the increase in expense is compensated by an actuarial gain recorded in other comprehensive income. In Q4 2018, the net actuarial gain on pensions was €13 million. At the end of 2018, the main pension fund's 12 month average coverage ratio was 116.0%, well above the minimum required funding level of 104.0%. On 31 December 2018, the actual coverage ratio was 112.1%.
Following the decision to divest Nexive and Postcon, these activities are classified as discontinued operations. The result from discontinued operations was €(26) million (Q4 2017: €(13) million) and includes a fair value adjustment, a consolidation effect with continuing operations and a negative business result. The latter, however, improved compared to last year's result.
Total equity attributable to equity holders of the parent improved to €46 million per 31 December 2018, compared to €(26) million per end of Q3. The main drivers for this improvement were net profit of €50 million and a net actuarial gain on pensions of €13 million. Net cash from operating and investing activities was lower at €57 million (Q4 2017: €74 million), mainly explained by the decline in underlying cash operating income and a negative contribution from working capital. At the end of 2018, the net debt position was €149 million, compared to €183 million at the end of Q3 2018. The leverage ratio (adjusted net debt/EBITDA) was 1.9.
The e-commerce market is expected to continue its strong growth and will remain the main driver of the performance in Parcels. We will focus on growth potential of our business by improving the balance between volume, profitability and cash flow. We expect improving operational efficiency, partly offset by the impact from the tight labour and transport market. We will continue to expand our network by opening new sorting depots. To solidify our position as the leading e-commerce logistics company in the Benelux, we will also further develop our service propositions, for example in growth areas such as food and health.
In Mail in the Netherlands we expect our addressed mail volumes to decline by 8% to 10% in 2019 which will be partly offset by price increase. An important project is the switch to an equal flow model, a step change in business model that enables us to adapt the organisation to future volume decline. We expect cost savings of between €45 million and €65 million. Based on the new draft decision on Significant Market Power we adjust the expected impact from ACM measures to between €50 million and €70 million on an annualised basis, fully visible in 2021.
For 2019, the outlook for underlying cash operating income is between €170 million and €200 million.
| Revenue | Underlying cash operating income / margin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in € millions | 2018 | Outlook 2019 | 2018 | Outlook 2019 | |
| Parcels | 1,555 | + low teens | 117 | (7.5%) | 7.5%-9.5% |
| Mail in the Netherlands | 1,678 | - mid single digit | 93 | (5.5%) | 3%-5% |
| PostNL Other / eliminations | (461) | (22) | |||
| Total | 2,772 | + low single digit | 188 | 170-200 |
Following today's announcement 'PostNL and Sandd to form one strong national postal network for the Netherlands', the financial outlook and dividend perspective for 2019 might change. The financial consequences are explained in the separate press release and presentation.
We will host a Capital Markets Day on 7 May 2019 to explain how we will further improve the balance between continuing volume growth, profitability and cash flow in Parcels, resulting in improving sustainable value creation. Our Board of Management and the management team of our parcels business will provide insights and future perspectives. We will also announcement mid-term financial outlook for Parcels and PostNL.
PostNL will recommend to the Annual General Meeting of Shareholders the payment of an election dividend of €0.24 per ordinary share over FY 2018. This represents a pay-out ratio of 80% of the underlying net cash income, which amounted to €138 million. The pay-out ratio exceeds the 75% as set in our dividend policy, as indicated before. €0.07 per share was paid as interim dividend in August 2018. After approval by the AGM, the final dividend of €0.17 will be paid, at the shareholder's election, either in ordinary PostNL shares or in cash (default). The dividend in shares will be paid out of additional paid in capital as part of the distributable reserves, free of withholding tax in the Netherlands.
The ex-dividend date will be 18 April 2019, the record date is 23 April 2019 and the election period will start on 24 April 2019 and will end on 8 May 2019 at 3PM CET. The conversion ratio will be based on the volume-weighted average share price for all PostNL shares traded on Euronext Amsterdam over the three trading day period from 6 May up to and including 8 May 2019. The value of the stock dividend, based on this VWAP, will, subject to rounding, be targeted at but not be lower than the cash dividend. There will be no trading in stock dividend rights. The dividend will be payable as of 10 May 2019.
The Supervisory Board of PostNL will propose to reappoint Ernst & Young Accountants LLP as the auditor for PostNL N.V. and to engage the firm for a following two year term that covers the years 2019 and 2020. The appointment will be subject to approval of the shareholders at the 2019 AGM.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 64 | 61 | 65 | 64 | 254 |
| 2019 | 63 | 62 | 65 | 65 | 255 |
| 16 April | Annual General Meeting of Shareholders |
|---|---|
| 7 May | Publication of Q1 2019 results |
| Capital Markets Day | |
| 5 August | Publication of Q2 & HY 2019 results |
| 4 November | Publication of Q3 2019 results |
| Final dividend 2018 | |
|---|---|
| 18 April | Ex-dividend date |
| 23 April | Record date |
| 24 April – 8 May, 3.00 pm CET | Election period |
| 10 May | Payment date |
| Interim dividend 2019 | |
| 7 August | Ex-dividend date |
| 8 August | Record date |
| 9 August – 23 August, 3.00 pm CET | Election period |
| 27 August | Payment date |
| Published by | PostNL N.V. Prinses Beatrixlaan 23 2595 AK The Hague The Netherlands T: +31 88 86 86 161 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Investor Relations | Jochem van de Laarschot Director Communications & Investor Relations M: +31 613 86 53 58 E: [email protected] |
Inge Laudy Manager Investor Relations M: +31 610 51 96 70 E: [email protected] |
| Media Relations | Tahira Limon Spokesperson M: +31 610 22 82 81 E: [email protected] |
On 25 February 2019, at 13.00 CET, the conference call for analysts and investors will start. The conference call can be followed live via an audio webcast on www.postnl.nl.
Additional information is available at www.postnl.nl. This press release contains inside information within the meaning of article 7(1) of the EU Market Abuse Regulation.
Some statements in this press release are 'forward-looking statements'. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may occur in the future. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are outside of our control and impossible to predict and may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, analyses and projections about the industries in which we operate and management's beliefs and assumptions about possible future events. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which only speak as of the date of this press release and are neither predictions nor guarantees of possible future events or circumstances. We do not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this press release or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities law.
In presenting and discussing the PostNL Group operating results, management uses certain non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be viewed in isolation as alternatives to the equivalent IFRS measures and should be used in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Non-GAAP financial measures do not have standardized meaning under IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. The main non-GAAP key financial performance indicator is underlying cash operating income. The underlying cash operating performance focuses on the underlying cash earnings performance, which is the basis for the dividend policy. In the analysis of the underlying cash operating performance, adjustments are made for non-recurring and exceptional items as well as adjustments for non-cash costs for pensions and provisions. For pensions, the IFRS-based defined benefit plan pension expenses are replaced by the non-IFRS measure of the actual cash contributions for such plans. For the other provisions, the IFRS-based net charges are replaced by the related cash outflows.
Please refer to our Annual Report 2018 for more information on our financial statements, including disclosure notes and explanation of restatement.
Consolidated income statement
| Represented | Represented | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in € millions | Q4 2017 | Q4 2018 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 |
| Revenue from contracts with customers | 778 | 790 | 2,709 | 2,758 |
| Other operating revenue | 4 | 4 | 1 6 |
1 4 |
| Total operating revenue | 782 | 794 | 2,725 | 2,772 |
| Other income | 1 1 |
9 | 2 4 |
2 1 |
| Cost of materials | (16) | (18) | (56) | (63) |
| Work contracted out and other external expenses | (355) | (369) | (1,222) | (1,308) |
| Salaries, pensions and social security contributions | (257) | (262) | (1,001) | (1,003) |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | (19) | (22) | (70) | (83) |
| Other operating expenses | (32) | (39) | (116) | (151) |
| Total operating expenses | (679) | (710) | (2,465) | (2,608) |
| Operating income | 114 | 93 | 284 | 185 |
| Interest and similar income | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Interest and similar expenses | (12) | (4) | (46) | (27) |
| Net financial expenses | (11) | (3) | (42) | (24) |
| Results from investments in jv's/associates | (5) | 0 | (10) | 0 |
| Profit/(loss) before income taxes | 98 | 90 | 232 | 161 |
| Income taxes | (26) | (14) | (53) | (34) |
| Profit/(loss) from continuing operations | 72 | 76 | 179 | 127 |
| Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations | (13) | (26) | (31) | (94) |
| Profit for the period | 59 | 50 | 148 | 33 |
| Attributable to: | ||||
| Non-controlling interests | - | - | - | - |
| Equity holders of the parent | 5 9 |
5 0 |
148 | 3 3 |
| Earnings per ordinary share (in € cents) 1 | 13.1 | 10.8 | 33.0 | 7.1 |
| Earnings per diluted ordinary share (in € cents) 2 | 13.1 | 10.8 | 33.0 | 7.1 |
| Earnings from continuing operations per ordinary share (in € cents) 1 | 16.0 | 16.4 | 39.9 | 27.5 |
| Earnings from continuing operations per diluted ordinary share (in € cents) 2 | 16.0 | 16.3 | 39.9 | 27.4 |
| Earnings from discontinued operations per ordinary share (in € cents) 1 | (2.9) | (5.6) | (6.9) | (20.4) |
| Earnings from discontinued operations per diluted ordinary share (in € cents) 2 | (2.9) | (5.5) | (6.9) | (20.3) |
| 1 Based on an average of 462,015,866 outstanding ordinary shares (2017: 448,645,255). 2 Based on an average of 463,179,101 outstanding diluted ordinary shares (2017: 449,124,010). |
| Represented | Represented | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in € millions | Q4 2017 | Q4 2018 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 |
| Profit for the period | 59 | 50 | 148 | 33 |
| Other comprehensive income that will not be reclassified | ||||
| to the income statement | ||||
| Impact pensions, net of tax | (7) | 1 3 |
3 | 3 0 |
| Impact tax rate change related to OCI pensions | (3) | (3) | ||
| Change in value of financial assets at fair value through OCI | 0 | 1 1 |
1 1 |
|
| Other comprehensive income that may be reclassified | ||||
| to the income statement | ||||
| Currency translation adjustment, net of tax | 0 | 0 | (3) | 0 |
| Gains/(losses) on cashflow hedges, net of tax | (1) | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Total other comprehensive income for the period | (8) | 21 | 3 | 39 |
| Total comprehensive income for the period | 51 | 71 | 151 | 72 |
| Attributable to: | ||||
| Non-controlling interests | - | - | 0 | 0 |
| Equity holders of the parent | 5 1 |
7 1 |
151 | 7 2 |
| Total comprehensive income attributable to the | ||||
| equity holders of the parent arising from: | ||||
| Continuing operations | 6 4 |
9 7 |
182 | 166 |
| Discontinued operations | (13) | (26) | (31) | (94) |
| Represented | Represented | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in € millions | Q4 2017 | Q4 2018 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 |
| Profit/(loss) before income taxes | 98 | 90 | 232 | 161 |
| Adjustments for: | ||||
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 1 9 |
2 2 |
7 0 |
8 3 |
| Share-based payments | - | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| (Profit)/loss on disposal of assets | (11) | (9) | (22) | (19) |
| Interest and similar income | (1) | (1) | (4) | (3) |
| Interest and similar expenses | 1 2 |
4 | 4 6 |
2 7 |
| Results from investments in jv's/associates | 5 | 0 | 1 0 |
0 |
| Investment income | 5 | (6) | 30 | 5 |
| Pension liabilities | (46) | (31) | (55) | (22) |
| Other provisions | (6) | 4 | (24) | (14) |
| Changes in provisions | (52) | (27) | (79) | (36) |
| Inventory | - | 1 | (1) | - |
| Trade accounts receivable | (62) | (81) | (22) | (40) |
| Other accounts receivable | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 5 |
| Other current assets | 1 3 |
8 | (25) | 2 |
| Trade accounts payable | 3 8 |
(10) | 2 4 |
(24) |
| Other current liabilities excluding short-term financing and taxes | 5 4 |
6 1 |
(17) | (75) |
| Changes in working capital | 46 | (17) | (39) | (122) |
| Cash generated from operations | 116 | 63 | 216 | 94 |
| Interest paid | (19) | (5) | (39) | (26) |
| Income taxes received/(paid) | 1 0 |
(5) | (55) | (39) |
| Net cash (used in)/from operating activities | 107 | 53 | 122 | 29 |
| Interest received | - | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Acquisition of subsidiairies (net of cash) | (9) | - | (33) | - |
| Disposal of subsidiaires | 1 | - | 1 | - |
| Investments in jv's/associates | - | - | - | (2) |
| Capital expenditure on intangible assets | (10) | (20) | (35) | (40) |
| Capital expenditure on property, plant and equipment | (18) | - | (66) | (55) |
| Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment | 1 7 |
2 2 |
3 2 |
4 6 |
| Changes in other loans receivable | (6) | 1 | (6) | 1 |
| Other changes in (financial) fixed assets | (8) | - | (8) | (1) |
| Net cash (used in)/from investing activities | (33) | 4 | (111) | (48) |
| Dividends paid | - | - | (40) | (63) |
| Proceeds from long-term borrowings | 398 | 3 | 398 | 3 |
| Repayments of long-term borrowings | - | - | (2) | - |
| Proceeds from short-term borrowings | - | (1) | - | - |
| Repayments of short-term borrowings | (328) | - | (328) | (223) |
| Repayments of finance leases | - | (1) | (1) | (2) |
| Net cash (used in)/from financing activities | 70 | 1 | 27 | (285) |
| Total change in cash from continuing operations | 144 | 58 | 38 | (304) |
| Cash at the beginning of the period | 491 | 222 | 640 | 645 |
| Cash transfers to discontinued operations | - | (11) | - | (72) |
| Total change in cash from continuing operations | 144 | 5 8 |
3 8 |
(304) |
| Total change in cash from discontinued operations | 1 0 |
(33) | ||
| Cash at the end of the period | 645 | 269 | 645 | 269 |
| Total change in cash from discontinued operations | 10 | (1) | (33) | (52) |
| Consolidated statement of financial position | ||
|---|---|---|
| in € millions | 31 December 2017 | 31 December 2018 |
| ASSETS | ||
| Non-current assets | ||
| Intangible fixed assets | ||
| Goodwill | 141 | 9 7 |
| Other intangible assets | 116 | 115 |
| Total | 257 | 212 |
| Property, plant and equipment | ||
| Land and buildings | 318 | 322 |
| Plant and equipment | 154 | 155 |
| Other | 2 1 |
1 2 |
| Construction in progress | 1 7 |
5 |
| Total | 510 | 494 |
| Financial fixed assets | ||
| Investments in joint ventures/associates | 9 | 3 |
| Other loans receivable | 7 | 6 |
| Deferred tax assets | 2 9 |
6 6 |
| Financial assets at fair value through OCI | 5 | 1 7 |
| Total | 50 | 92 |
| Total non-current assets | 817 | 798 |
| Current assets | ||
| Inventory | 6 | 5 |
| Trade accounts receivable | 386 | 313 |
| Accounts receivable | 5 0 |
1 2 |
| Income tax receivable | 9 | 2 |
| Prepayments and accrued income | 157 | 9 9 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 645 | 269 |
| Total current assets | 1,253 | 700 |
| Assets classified as held for sale | 1 0 |
200 |
| Total assets | 2,080 | 1,698 |
| LIABILITIES AND EQUITY | ||
| Equity | ||
| Equity attributable to the equity holders of the parent | 3 4 |
4 6 |
| Non-controlling interests | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 37 | 49 |
| Non-current liabilities | ||
| Deferred tax liabilities | 4 3 |
3 1 |
| Provisions for pension liabilities | 359 | 296 |
| Other provisions | 2 3 |
1 9 |
| Long-term debt | 400 | 420 |
| Accrued liabilities | 2 | 4 |
| Total | 827 | 770 |
| Current liabilities | ||
| Trade accounts payable | 220 | 146 |
| Other provisions | 4 0 |
2 1 |
| Short-term debt | 225 | 4 |
| Other current liabilities | 150 | 126 |
| Income tax payable | 4 | 3 |
| Contract liabilities | 9 3 |
8 0 |
| Accrued current liabilities | 484 | 378 |
| Total | 1,216 | 758 |
| Liabilities related to assets classified as held for sale | 121 | |
| Total equity and liabilities | 2,080 | 1,698 |
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