Earnings Release • Dec 3, 2009
Earnings Release
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Amsterdam, 3 December 2009 - At its annual Analysts' Meeting today TNT presents its new "Vision 2015" strategy. Furthermore a business update is given for 2009.
The "Focus on Networks" strategy, as established in 2005, has been successfully implemented and delivered its objectives.
• TNT developed a strong and agile Express platform in Europe for "time and day definite delivery services" for Parcels and Freight, which rapidly reacted in a flexible way to significant changes in economic patterns. At the same time potentially leading platforms in the emerging economies of Asia and South America were established.
The Mail business has been successfully managed in the context of a substantially declining business environment, due to liberalisation and substitution in the core market in the Netherlands. Although revenue outside the Netherlands developed well, this business could not yet bring a sustainable contribution. Overall Mail profits and cash flow therefore decreased largely in line with the volume decline in the core market in the Netherlands.
• TNT delivered a strong track record in satisfying its stakeholders' requirements. In the period of 2005 – 2009 almost € 4.5 billion (75% of net cash generated), in the form of dividend and share buybacks, has been returned to our shareholders. Our employees and former employees were paid € 17.5 billion in the form of wages, contributions and pensions. Employee engagement scores are at high levels and in the case of restructurings TNT has been able to assist many departing colleagues in finding alternative jobs.
Customer ratings are strong, service quality levels have continued to improve even during the downturn and a successful model of subcontracting binds many suppliers to our company. Finally TNT was awarded several top recognitions from leading indicators on sustainability, corporate governance, financial reporting, leadership development and investor relations.
The "Vision 2015" strategy presented today will encompass the period 2010 – 2015 and aims for well balanced and ambitious business and financial objectives tailored to the different building blocks of TNT's portfolio. The strategy sets out to capture all TNT's business opportunities in a way that requirements for healthy shareholder returns and other stakeholder benefits are being optimally met.
In reviewing the business context and competitive position of its Express and Mail businesses, TNT has drawn the following conclusions:
On the basis of these opportunities and challenges, the Vision 2015 sees TNT aim for a further business transformation towards a more coherent high growth portfolio, with a strong focus on specific parts of the day definite deliveries markets, combined with actively maintaining a sustainable Dutch Mail business.
TNT aims to position itself for accelerated growth in its Day Definite Delivery Services. To allow for such acceleration TNT will concentrate its business on four focus areas, European Parcels, Freight, Emerging Platforms and Special Delivery Solutions. The businesses will continue to operate one strong network and common sales platforms, focused on achieving Customer satisfaction and Cost leadership.
On the basis of TNT's strong European road network as well as high growth inbound intercontinental volumes, the Freight activities will aim to extend TNT's lead in the day definite freight transport within Europe and add global extensions through partnerships like the one with Conway in the USA and our owned networks in all emerging markets. In Europe, TNT expects that over time Freight will grow into partial separate networks to underline cost leadership and customer requirements.
Emerging Platforms will aim to capitalise on its first mover advantage towards leadership positions in the day definite markets of South America and China. Next to that TNT will continue to expand and connect its road networks in "greater ASPAC" (Asia Pacific incl. India and Australia), Middle East / Africa and South America, where TNT has established an excellent competitive basis.
In the period 2010 – 2015 TNT will focus its mail activities on the business in the Netherlands, which will also include Cendris data and document management, VSP and EMN Belgium.
TNT aims to realise its business objectives as outlined primarily through organic growth complemented by selected acquisitions and strategic partnerships, whilst maintaining a solid BBB+ investment grade credit rating. The following chart presents the resulting financial objectives in more detail.
| € million | Revenues Q4 08 - Q3 09 |
Annual average revenue growth 2010-2015 |
EBITDA as % of revenue Q4 08 - Q3 09 |
Vision 2015 targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parcels & Freight | ~4,350 | 7 - 9% | ~9% | 13 - 16% |
| Emerging Platforms Australia, Asia, South America and MEA (incl. International flows) |
~1,600 | 10 - 15% | ~3% | 7 - 10% |
| SDS Innight, Fashion, Delivery+, Storapart, VAS UK and E-commerce |
~650 | 14 - 18% | ~12% | 10 - 14% |
| Mail NL Mail NL, Data and Document Mgt and Dutch / Belgian activities of EMN |
~2,750 | (4) – (6)% | Cash EBITDA* ~16% |
Cash EBITDA* ~16% |
| EMN Rest of Europe activities of EMN and Spring |
~1,050 | Realisation value opportunities |
Note: All figures are rounded and regrouped for indication purposes only; Cash EBITDA is based on reported EBITDA adjusted for provision charges for restructuring and including cash payments on restructuring and pensions.
The current dividend policy will be maintained. Focus on costs and cash will continue to be a key component in financial management going forward.
TNT's organisation will over time reflect the 5 strategic focus areas European Parcels, Freight, Emerging Platforms, Special Delivery Solutions and Mail Netherlands.
For this, a further study on the organisational model and required changes will be executed, which will include the opportunity to significantly optimise overhead cost whilst maintaining high governance quality.
The successful focus on cost and cash leading to cost savings YTD Q3 2009 of a total of € 434 million has helped TNT to weather the severe economic conditions.
In line with global economic development TNT saw a sharp decline in volumes against 2008 in the first nine months of 2009 in its Express division. From October 2009 onwards, TNT has seen a positive development of its air volumes against 2008, with road volumes steadily improving as well. Overall Express volumes and revenue in October and November 2009 were still below the comparable 2008 period, but underlying margins have further restored due to continued successful cost savings. Operating margin in Express over the last 2 months was close to last year's level. Mail performance will be in line with expectations for the year 2009, assuming no further CLA impact.
In September, the trade unions in the Netherlands received the outcome of a study into the necessity of measures to address cost levels. The necessity was confirmed and two possible scenarios were provided: lower wage costs without forced redundancies and forced redundancies whilst maintaining the current labour conditions. The trade union members have voted in favour of the second option, and the unions have made their demands known. TNT expects an outcome of the negotiations in the first quarter of 2010.
It is still uncertain how the current further stabilisation of the global economy will shape up over the next year. The development of the Express volumes in the fourth quarter of 2009 and the first quarter of 2010 will be important to determine TNT's view on the underlying strength of the economic recovery.
Mail expects a volume decline in the Netherlands in 2010 of 7-9% due to the first full year effect of liberalisation combined with normal substitution. This does however not change the around 6% per year volume decline average for the period up to 2015.
In this context, TNT will continue to focus on costs and cash and announces a target for 2010 of € 200 million structural savings.
TNT also announces an updated scope for provisions and impairments for 2009/2011 to restructure its operations further. Provisions might be formed up to € 150 million before tax and excluding the possible impact of a new CLA for Mail Netherlands. These provisions are not related to the € 200 million savings targets in 2010, but relate to possible additional steps to be taken in the various lines of business. Impairments (non-cash) are expected at around €100 million in Mail, with the final figure to be communicated at the publication of our annual report 2009.
TNT is confident about its ability to improve its performance further as the global economic recovery continues to take shape.
TNT provides businesses and consumers worldwide with an extensive range of services for their mail and express delivery needs. Headquartered in the Netherlands, TNT offers efficient network infrastructures in Europe and Asia and keeps optimising its global network performance. TNT serves more than 200 countries and employs more than 152,000 people. Over 2008, TNT reported €11.1 billion in revenues and an operating income of €982 million. TNT is officially quoted on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange. TNT recognises its social responsibility and has formed partnerships with the United Nations World Food Programme and the United Nations Environment Programme to fight hunger and pollution in the world. Our efforts are being recognised; In 2009 TNT again reached the highest score of all companies included in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index. More information about TNT can be found on its website http://group.tnt.com.
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Ernst Moeksis Director Media Relations Phone: +31 20 500 6171 Mobile: +31 651 189 384 Email: [email protected]
Cees Visser Director Investor Relations Phone: +31 20 500 6241 Mobile: +31 651 313 645 Email: [email protected] Daphne Andriesse Senior Press Officer Phone: +31 20 500 6224 Mobile: +31 610 918 790 Email: [email protected]
Andrew Beh Deputy Director Investor Relations Phone: +31 20 500 8717 Mobile: +31 623 703 493 Email: [email protected]
Cyrille Gibot Senior Press Officer Phone: +31 20 500 6223 Mobile: +31 651 133 104 Email: [email protected]
Yolanda Bolleurs Manager Investor Relations Phone: +31 20 500 8514 Mobile: +31 612 779 323 Email: [email protected]
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