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Poste Italiane

Earnings Release May 10, 2018

4431_10-q_2018-05-10_c7660a80-dc95-401f-ac63-98ae220d72b8.pdf

Earnings Release

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POSTE ITALIANE 1Q 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS

Rome, May 10, 2018

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

BUSINESS REVIEW

CLOSING REMARKS

APPENDIX

Net profit at 485m, +38% YoY

Deliver 2022 key initiatives already under way

Increased focus on commercial distribution across our network

Cost control under way delivering base in line with five year target

1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Var. Var. %
REVENUE 2,833 2,884 +51 +1.8%
EBIT
EBIT Margin %
526
18.6%
703
24.4%
+177
+5.8pp
+33.7%
EBIT
Net of Capital Gains
129 325
NET PROFIT
EPS (€/share)
351
0.27
485
0.37
+134
+0.10
+38.2%

REVENUES INCREASING Group revenues up, mix in line with Deliver 2022 projections

OPERATING PROFITABILITY SUPPORTED BY COST CONTROL

EBIT up, mainly supported by Mail, Parcel & Distribution

DELIVER 2022 – PROGRESS UPDATE

All business units focusing on Deliver 2022 implementation

MAIL, PARCEL AND DISTRIBUTION KEY INITIATIVES

Deliver 2022 execution update

  • Execution started April 16th
  • 71 delivery centres implemented the new model (around 300 to be reorganized in 2018)
  • More than 500 municipalities already reorganized
  • Efficiency and flexibility improved in line with targets
  • Execution on track with plan, no significant issues

Reduced labour cost - Increased flexibility - Improved service level

Large Metro areas
(8% of pop., 600 daily items/
km2)
Urban areas
(68% of pop., 80 daily items/
km2)
Rural/ regulated areas
(24% of pop., 10 daily items/
km2)
Daily morning delivery
(standard mail)
Alternate day morning •
delivery (standard mail)
Alternate day delivery
Daily
additional
afternoon delivery
(parcels and registered)
Daily
additional
afternoon delivery
(parcels and registered)
delivery
Weekend
delivery
Weekend

JOINT DELIVERY MODEL REDUCED NUMBER OF REGIONS

Rationalization of territorial areas

Branch optimization to reduce overlap in medium and large cities

No changes to small cities1 coverage

1 Cities with < 5,000 inhabitants

FOCUS ON DISTRIBUTION AGREEMENT WITH INTESA SANPAOLO

New agreement signed, as part of Deliver 2022 execution

  1. Proximity bank 100% owned by ISP; 2. Asset Manager 100% owned by ISP

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

BUSINESS REVIEW

CLOSING REMARKS

APPENDIX

MAIL, PARCEL & DISTRIBUTION ONGOING REFOCUS

Segment revenues slightly down, EBIT up thanks to lower costs

€ m unless otherwise stated

  • Reduced decrease of Mail revenues to -2% YoY
  • Parcel revenues up YoY, gradual improvement expected going forward
  • Operating profitability strongly progressing, underpinned by lower costs
  • Parcel Revenues +4% YoY including international packets accounted in Mail business

  • Includes Philately, Patenti Via Poste, Poste Motori, Mistral Airlines and other revenues; 2. Includes income received from Other Segments in return for use of the distribution network and Corporate Services; 3. Excludes net capital gains on investment portfolio for 321 €/m in 1Q 2017 and 306 €/m in 1Q 2018

MAIL, PARCEL & DISTRIBUTION ONGOING REFOCUS

Gradual shift from mail to parcels, with mix effects on prices

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Mail volumes decrease mainly related to lower margins products (e.g. direct marketing), while average prices increase thanks to positive volume mix
  • Parcel volumes up 11.3% including e-commerce international packets accounted in Mail; mail volumes -3.4% excluding international packets
  • Parcel volumes boosted by positive trends of e-commerce, average prices down reflecting the changing volume mix from C2C/B2B to B2C

  • Includes: Multichannel services, Editorial services and Postel volumes

  • Includes: International parcels and partnership with other logistic operators

FINANCIAL SERVICES IMPROVING IN LINE WITH PLAN

Revenues and operating profitability up benefitting from new postal saving agreement

€ m unless otherwise stated

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Highly resilient interest income
  • Robust growth of postal saving revenues (+27% YoY)
  • Loan & mortgage distribution revenues up, considering both the change in accounting rules and the MCC-BdM disposal
  • Continuous growth in Asset under Management with less reliance on upfront fees

  • Includes revenues from electronic money services, fees for collection and payment services; 2. Includes also revenues from custody accounts, credit cards, MCC-BdM (25 €/m in 1Q 2017) and other revenues from distribution of third parties products; 3. Gross capital gains netted by minus 24 €/m in 1Q 2018. Reported total segment revenues in 1Q 2018 equal to 1,519 €/m

GROUP TOTAL FINANCIAL ASSETS CONTINUED INCREASE

Strong net inflows driven by life insurance, deposits and mutual funds

€ bn unless otherwise stated

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Total financial assets increased by 17bn YoY thanks to all products
  • Strong positive net inflows of 4.4bn in 1Q 2018:
  • Postal savings negative net inflows significantly improving to -2.6bn, thanks to new commercial initiatives, while maintaining positive inflows for all other products
  • Insurance products 3.1bn of which 0.2bn unit linked and multiasset Class III
  • Deposits 3.7bn
  • Mutual funds 0.1bn

  • Deposits do not include Repo and Poste Italiane liquidity

STRONG WEALTH MANAGEMENT PLATFORM

Increasing TFA from affluent & private customers

€ bn unless otherwise stated

  1. Private: TFA>500 €/K; Affluent: TFA between 75 €/K and 500 €/K or selected prospects with TFA <75 €/K; Lower Mass: monoproduct clients with less than 2.5 €/K, excluding current account holders; Mass: remaining retail clients;

  2. Includes TFA from non retail Clients and non-Client-driven TFA

POSTAL SAVINGS IMPROVING, IN LINE WITH PLAN

Successful new products based on new remuneration scheme

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Average postal savings reported according to the remuneration scheme agreed with CDP, which excludes interests accrued year-to-date and based on a maturity of postal saving books adjusted for an estimate of potential early redemptions;

  2. Yearly target agreed with CDP until 2020

CURRENT ACCOUNTS AVERAGE VOLUMES AT A SOUND 57.8BN

Strong deposits growth stabilizing interest income despite lower yields

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Including current accounts, time deposits and repurchase agreements; 2. Entirely invested in floating rate deposits c/o MEF; 3. Average yield calculated as interest income and realized capital gains on average total financial assets;

  2. Figures refers to last trading day of the quarter

ASSET MANAGEMENT AND LOAN & MORTGAGE DISTRIBUTION

Ongoing set up of new capabilities

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes also revenues from custody accounts, credit cards and other revenues from distribution of third parties products, for a total of 5 €/m; 2. Adjusted revenues refers to the restatement of 1Q 2017 revenues according to the accounting principle IFRS 15 (adopted from 1Q 2018) and netted from MCC-BdM revenues for 25 €/m; 3. Include net inflows from unit linked and multiasset Class III insurance products

GROWTH IN PAYMENTS, MOBILE & DIGITAL

Improving trends across all business lines

€ m unless otherwise stated

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Strong growth in card payments, up 20% YoY, supported by increased stock of PostePay and higher transactions
  • Other payments1 up 3% YoY thanks to mix effect
  • Telecom revenues up 4% YoY, supported by increasing new products sales

  • Includes payment slips 'bollettino', tax payments slips and money transfer

GROWTH IN PAYMENTS, MOBILE & DIGITAL

Positive trends of commercial KPIs across all business lines

  1. An innovative electronic tool associated to a single customer, which is enabled through a mobile app to authorize payment transactions

POSTE ITALIANE DIGITAL PROPERTIES

Robust growth in digital use

REGISTERED ONLINE USERS STOCK

  1. Source: App stores (iOS and Android); 2. Electronic identification refers to number of ID outstanding; 3. Digital system to monitor parcels' delivery

GROWTH IN CONSUMER FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS

GROWTH IN TRACK&TRACE SEARCHES3

INSURANCE SERVICES RESILIENT OPERATING RESULTS

EBIT & net income on track with 2018 targets

€ m unless otherwise stated

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Resilient revenues despite lower gross written premiums, with P&C and private pension plan mitigating lower contributions from life insurance
  • EBIT & net profit on track with 2018 targets

INSURANCE GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUMS CHANGING MIX

Strong focus on unit linked, pension plan and P&C, while maintaining leadership in segregated fund products

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes Life Protection

SOLID GROWTH IN INSURANCE TECHNICAL RESERVES

Technical reserves increasing driven by positive net inflows on segregated fund products

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Including non-life technical reserves and net of re-insurance reserves; 2. Includes Life Protection; 3. Figures refers to last trading day of the quarter

POSTEVITA GROUP: REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS

Solvency ratio up to 284% driven by higher own funds

GROUP COSTS DOWN THANKS TO ONGOING EFFICIENCY MEASURES

All ordinary items of costs down confirming the focus on cost discipline

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes: Other expenses from financial activities, Capitalised costs and expenses, Other minor Operating Costs

  2. Adjusted other operating costs are calculated excluding in 1Q 2017: 10 €/m from BdM-MCC costs, 7 €/m due to a reclassification of non operating cost under the new IAS18 and 6 €/m for real estate funds provisions

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • HR costs down 3.4%, weight on revenues down to 50%
  • Non HR operating costs down 9.2%, weight on revenues down to 26%
  • Excluding non recurring items impacting 1Q 2017, non HR operating costs are down 7% YoY

HR COSTS POSITIVE TREND SUPPORTED BY LOWER FTE

Confirmed track record to manage reduction of headcounts

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Average FTE down by 2,200, including +3,000 fixed-term contract and 800 hirings
  • Labor cost/FTE down thanks to one day less paid national holiday, one-off release and deconsolidation of BdM-MCC
  • Labor cost/FTE broadly in line with 2018 targets of Deliver 2022

  • Including about 300 average FTE related to BdM-MCC deconsolidation during 2017

MAIL, PARCEL & DISTRIBUTION NET FINANCIAL POSITION

Seasonal trend affecting net financial position

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

BUSINESS REVIEW

CLOSING REMARKS

APPENDIX

Net profit increasing thanks to improved operating results

Commercial focus to sustain profitability

Cost discipline measures under way

Deliver 2022 on track, all business units focusing on the Plan

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

BUSINESS REVIEW

CLOSING REMARKS

APPENDIX

BANCOPOSTA: AN ASSET GATHERER, WITH A LOW RISK BALANCE SHEET

Solid capital ratios including the already announced capital increase1

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Capital increase of 210 €/m to be approved by the AGM on 29 May as already announced

  2. 10.50% Min. CET1 ratio required to distribute earnings (transitionally reduced to 9.25% in 2017 and 9.875% in 2018)

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes Life Protection

Net inflows from mutual funds, unit linked and multiasset Class III insurance products

€m 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Var. Var.%
Total revenues 2,833 2,884 51 2%
of which:
Mail, Parcel and Distribution 914 898 (16) -2%
Payments, Mobile and Digital 130 143 13 10%
Financial Services 1,462 1,519 57 4%
Insurance Services 327 324 (3) -1%
Total costs 2,307 2,181 (126) -5%
of which:
Total personnel expenses 1,480 1,430 (50) -3%
of which personnel expenses 1,478 1,424 (54) -4%
of which early retirement incentives 2 6 4 n.m.
Other operating costs 685 619 (66) -10%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 142 132 (10) -7%
EBIT 526 703 177 34%
EBIT Margin 19% 24%
Finance income/(costs) and profit/(loss) on investments accounted for using the equity
method
6 8 2 33%
Profit before tax 532 711 179 34%
Income tax expense 181 226 45 25%
Profit for the year 351 485 134 38%
€m 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Var. Var.%
Segment revenue 914 898 (16) -2%
Intersegment revenue 1,334 1,369 35 3%
Total revenues 2,248 2,267 19 1%
Personnel expenses 1,432 1,390 (42) -3%
of which personnel expenses 1,431 1,385 (46) -3%
of which early retirement incentives 1 5 4 n.m.
Other operating costs 534 477 (57) -11%
Intersegment costs 15 15 0 n.m.
Total costs 1,981 1,882 (99) -5%
EBITDA 267 385 118 44%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 132 122 (10) -8%
EBIT 135 263 128 95%
EBIT MARGIN 6% 12%
Finance income/(costs) (8) (8) 0 n.m.
Profit/(Loss) before tax 127 255 128 n.m.
Income tax expense 47 81 34 n.m.
Profit for the year 80 174 94 n.m.
€m 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Var. Var.%
Segment revenue 1,462 1,519 57 4%
Intersegment revenue 258 261 3 1%
Total revenues 1,720 1,780 60 3%
Personnel expenses 31 22 (9) -29%
of which personnel expenses 30 21 (9) -30%
of which early retirement incentives 1 1 0 n.m.
Other operating costs 90 81 (9) -10%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 0 0 0 n.m.
Intersegment costs 1,408 1,438 30 2%
Total costs 1,529 1,541 12 1%
EBIT 191 239 48 25%
EBIT MARGIN 11% 13%
Finance income/(costs) 2 3 1 50%
Profit/(Loss) before tax 193 242 49 25%
Income tax expense 58 69 11 19%
Profit for the year 135 173 38 28%
€m 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Var. Var.%
Segment revenue 130 143 13 10%
Intersegment revenue 86 82 (4) -5%
Total revenues 216 225 9 4%
Personnel expenses 8 8 0 n.m.
of which personnel expenses 8 8 0 n.m.
of which early retirement incentives 0 0 0 n.m.
Other operating costs 39 40 1 3%
Intersegment costs 108 114 6 6%
Total costs 155 162 7 5%
EBITDA 61 63 2 3%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 6 6 0 n.m.
EBIT 55 57 2 4%
EBIT MARGIN 25% 25%
Finance income/(costs) 0 1 1 n.m.
Profit/(Loss) before tax 55 58 3 5%
Income tax expense 16 15 (1) -6%
Profit for the year 39 43 4 10%
€m 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 Var. Var.%
Segment revenue 327 324 (3) -1%
Intersegment revenue 0 0 0 n.m.
Total revenues 327 324 (3) -1%
Personnel expenses 9 10 1 11%
of which personnel expenses 9 10 1 11%
of which early retirement incentives 0 0 0 n.m.
Other operating costs 22 21 (1) -5%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 4 4 0 n.m.
Intersegment costs 147 145 (2) -1%
Total costs 182 180 (2) -1%
EBIT 145 144 (1) -1%
EBIT MARGIN 44% 44%
Finance income/(costs) 12 12 0 n.m.
Profit/(Loss) before tax 157 156 (1) -1%
Income tax expense 60 61 1 n.m.
Profit for the year 97 95 (2) -2%
OPERATIONAL KPI's 1Q 2017 1Q 2018 ∆% YoY
MAIL PARCELS &
DISTRIBUTION
Mail Volumes
(#m)
Parcels delivered by mailmen(#m)
Parcel
Volumes
(#m)
B2C Revenues
(€m)
838
6.4
27.6
53.6
813
10.1
29.1
63.5
-3.0%
+57.8%
+5.4%
18.5%
PAYMENTS,
MOBILE & DIGITAL
Postepay
cards
of which Postepay
Evolution cards (#m)
Total payment
cards
transactions
(#bn)
of which eCommerce
transactions (#m)
PosteMobile
new products
(#m)
Digital e-Wallets
(#m)
16.4
3.7
0.21
39.7
0.289
0.9
18.4
5.1
0.27
49.7
0.291
2.0
+12.6%
+38.2%
+24.8%
+25.4%
+0.9%
+117.7%
FINANCIAL
SERVICES
Total Financial Assets
-
TFAs
(€/bn)
Product Sales (# mln)
Fees
per client¹ (€)
Unrealized
gains
(€m)
497
1.9
54
953
514
2.2
57
2,789
+3.3%
+15.8%
+5.6%
INSURANCE
SERVICES
Gross
Written
Premiums
(€m)
GWP –
Life (€m)
GWP -
Private Pension
Plan (€m)
GWP -
P&C (€m)
5,935
5,637
258
40
5,336
5,015
272
48
-10.1%
-11.0%
+5.5%
21.3%
  1. Segment revenue financial + insurance, excluding interest income, per client, excluding lower mass segment

DISCLAIMER

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Luciano Loiodice, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.

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