Earnings Release • Aug 2, 2018
Earnings Release
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Rome, 2 August, 2018
Net profit at 250m in 2Q 2018, or 735m in 1H 2018 up +44% YoY
All business units focusing on Deliver 2022 implementation
Leverage of commercial distribution already bearing fruits
Significantly improved product offering for our customers
Efficiencies achieved across all segments
€ m unless otherwise stated
EBIT up, mainly supported by Mail, Parcel & Distribution Underlying operating profitability improving across all business units
€ m unless otherwise stated
All business units focusing on Deliver 2022 implementation
Deliver 2022 ongoing implementation
| Large Metro areas (8% of pop., 600 daily items/ km2) |
Urban areas (68% of pop., 80 daily items/ km2) |
Rural/ regulated areas (24% of pop., 10 daily items/ km2) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • Daily morning delivery (standard mail) |
• | Alternate day morning • delivery (standard mail) |
Alternate day delivery | |
| • Daily additional afternoon delivery (parcels and registered) |
• | Daily additional afternoon delivery (parcels and registered) |
||
| • delivery Weekend |
• | Weekend delivery |
Mail & Parcel • E-commerce agreement with FIT'1 POS for parcels and ecommerce services • Network transformation and business reinforcing ongoing • Offer innovative/ premium services across Italy (evening and Sunday deliveries) • Offer competitive and efficient services leveraging on Joint LATEST AGREEMENTS SIGNED PARTNER KEY ITEMS RATIONALE Further strengthen Poste Italiane's positioning to Enhance customer access to an enlarged postal network, by offering an extended reach and choice of options
Delivery Model, proprietary cargo airline and express
courier SDA
Parcel
participate in ecommerce growth
Parcel revenues mitigating mail slowdown, profitability supported by efficiencies
€ m unless otherwise stated
Continued shift from Mail to Parcels with B2C +40% in 1H 2018 including packets
Strong progression of revenues and operating profitability
€ m unless otherwise stated
Confirmed positive trends of commercial KPIs across all business lines
Robust growth in digital use
REGISTERED ONLINE USERS STOCK
# m
GROWTH IN TRACK&TRACE SEARCHES3
Sustainable revenues mitigating lower capital gains
€ m unless otherwise stated
Positive net inflows driven by life insurance, deposits and mutual funds
€ bn unless otherwise stated
Mutual funds 0.3bn supported by successful distribution agreements
Deposits do not include Repo and Poste Italiane liquidity.
Net flows improving and well positioned for a seasonal pick up in 2H 2018
€ m unless otherwise stated
Interest income up thanks to higher volumes offsetting lower yields
€ m unless otherwise stated
Class III and new products supporting assets under management and fee generation
€ m unless otherwise stated
EoP ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT EVOLUTION
Volumes and revenues strongly up thanks to commercial focus
€ m unless otherwise stated
Ongoing rebalance from traditional life to Private Pension Plan and P&C
€ m unless otherwise stated
Changing mix within life products, higher GWP from Private Pension Plan and P&C
€ m unless otherwise stated
Positive net inflows in 1H 2018, more than offsetting lower unrealised gains related to weak market conditions
€ m unless otherwise stated
More stable solvency ratio after the impact of market volatility in 2Q 2018
More stable solvency ratio: reduced sensitivity to Government spread thanks to increase of the volatility adjustment
Includes impacts from underwriting risk, operational risk and diversification
€ m unless otherwise stated
Confirmed track record to manage reduction of headcounts
Seasonal trend affecting net cash position
€ m unless otherwise stated
Q&A
Renewed commercial focus supporting sustainable profitability
Cost discipline measures under way
Deliver 2022 well on track, with all business units focused on execution
Solid capital ratios including the already announced capital increase1
€ m unless otherwise stated
€ m unless otherwise stated
Net inflows from mutual funds, unit linked and multiasset Class III insurance products
€ m unless otherwise stated
Details on portfolio and sensitivity
| Jun-17 | Dec-17 | Jun-18 | Var. YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unrealised gains (€/m) |
7,666 | 8,225 | 3,340 | -4,325 |
| Minimum guaranteed return (Class I) (%) |
0.93% | 0.88% | 0.84% | -9bps |
| Class I return (%) | 2.93% | 3.03% | 2.76% | -17bps |
Changing mix within life products, higher GWP from Private Pension Plan and P&C
€ m unless otherwise stated
| €m | 2Q 2017 | 2Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 1H 2017 | 1H 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 2,665 | 2,545 | -120 | -5% | 5,498 | 5,429 | -69 | -1% |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Mail, Parcel and Distribution | 898 | 863 | -35 | -4% | 1,812 | 1,761 | -51 | -3% |
| Payments, Mobile and Digital | 148 | 164 | 16 | 11% | 278 | 307 | 29 | 10% |
| Financial Services | 1,248 | 1,157 | -91 | -7% | 2,710 | 2,676 | -34 | -1% |
| Insurance Services | 371 | 361 | -10 | -3% | 698 | 685 | -13 | -2% |
| Total costs | 2,344 | 2,195 | -149 | -6% | 4,651 | 4,376 | -275 | -6% |
| of which: | ||||||||
| Total personnel expenses | 1,454 | 1,416 | -38 | -3% | 2,934 | 2,846 | -88 | -3% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,452 | 1,403 | -49 | -3% | 2,930 | 2,827 | -103 | -4% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 2 | 13 | 11 | n.m. | 4 | 19 | 15 | 375% |
| Other operating costs | 751 | 639 | -112 | -15% | 1,436 | 1,258 | -178 | -12% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 139 | 140 | 1 | 1% | 281 | 272 | -9 | -3% |
| EBIT | 321 | 350 | 29 | 9% | 847 | 1,053 | 206 | 24% |
| EBIT Margin | 12% | 14% | 15% | 19% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) and profit/(loss) on investments accounted for using the equity method |
-81 | 14 | 95 | 117% | -75 | 22 | 97 | -129% |
| Profit before tax | 240 | 364 | 124 | 52% | 772 | 1,075 | 303 | 39% |
| Income tax expense | 81 | 114 | 33 | 41% | 262 | 340 | 78 | 30% |
| Profit for the period | 159 | 250 | 91 | 57% | 510 | 735 | 225 | 44% |
| €m | 2Q 2017 | 2Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 1H 2017 | 1H 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 898 | 863 | -35 | -4% | 1,812 | 1,761 | -51 | -3% |
| Intersegment revenue | 1,119 | 1,086 | -33 | -3% | 2,453 | 2,455 | 2 | 0% |
| Total revenues | 2,017 | 1,949 | -68 | -3% | 4,265 | 4,216 | -49 | -1% |
| Personnel expenses | 1,406 | 1,370 | -36 | -3% | 2,838 | 2,760 | -78 | -3% |
| of which personnel expenses | 1,406 | 1,364 | -42 | -3% | 2,837 | 2,749 | -88 | -3% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 6 | 6 | n.m. | 1 | 11 | 10 | n.m. |
| Other operating costs | 524 | 508 | -16 | -3% | 1,058 | 985 | -73 | -7% |
| Intersegment costs | 19 | 20 | 1 | 5% | 34 | 35 | 1 | 3% |
| Total costs | 1,949 | 1,898 | -51 | -3% | 3,930 | 3,780 | -150 | -4% |
| EBITDA | 68 | 51 | -17 | -25% | 335 | 436 | 101 | 30% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 128 | 130 | 2 | 2% | 260 | 252 | -8 | -3% |
| EBIT | -60 | -79 | -19 | -32% | 75 | 184 | 109 | 145% |
| EBIT MARGIN | -3% | -4% | 2% | 4% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | -89 | -6 | 83 | 93% | -97 | -14 | 83 | 86% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | -149 | -85 | 64 | 43% | -22 | 170 | 192 | n.m. |
| Income tax expense | -42 | -25 | 17 | 40% | 5 | 56 | 51 | n.m. |
| Profit for the period | -107 | -60 | 47 | 44% | -27 | 114 | 141 | n.m. |
| €m | 2Q 2017 | 2Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 1H 2017 | 1H 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 148 | 164 | 16 | 11% | 278 | 307 | 29 | 10% |
| Intersegment revenue | 82 | 83 | 1 | 1% | 168 | 165 | -3 | -2% |
| Total revenues | 230 | 247 | 17 | 7% | 446 | 472 | 26 | 6% |
| Personnel expenses | 7 | 8 | 1 | 14% | 15 | 16 | 1 | 7% |
| of which personnel expenses | 7 | 8 | 1 | 14% | 15 | 16 | 1 | 6% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Other operating costs | 46 | 45 | -1 | -2% | 85 | 85 | 0 | 0% |
| Intersegment costs | 132 | 144 | 12 | 9% | 240 | 258 | 18 | 8% |
| Total costs | 185 | 197 | 12 | 6% | 340 | 359 | 19 | 6% |
| EBITDA | 45 | 50 | 5 | 11% | 106 | 113 | 7 | 7% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20% | 11 | 12 | 1 | 9% |
| EBIT | 40 | 44 | 4 | 10% | 95 | 101 | 6 | 6% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 17% | 18% | 21% | 21% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 2 | -1 | -3 | -138% | 2 | 0 | -2 | -88% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 42 | 43 | 1 | 2% | 97 | 101 | 4 | 4% |
| Income tax expense | 11 | 9 | -2 | -18% | 27 | 24 | -3 | -11% |
| Profit for the period | 31 | 34 | 3 | 10% | 70 | 77 | 7 | 10% |
| €m | 2Q 2017 | 2Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 1H 2017 | 1H 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 1,248 | 1,157 | -91 | -7% | 2,710 | 2,676 | -34 | -1% |
| Intersegment revenue | 261 | 254 | -7 | -3% | 519 | 515 | -4 | -1% |
| Total revenues | 1,509 | 1,411 | -98 | -6% | 3,229 | 3,191 | -38 | -1% |
| Personnel expenses | 32 | 28 | -4 | -13% | 63 | 50 | -13 | -21% |
| of which personnel expenses | 30 | 22 | -8 | -27% | 60 | 43 | -17 | -28% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 2 | 6 | 4 | 215% | 3 | 7 | 4 | 143% |
| Other operating costs | 158 | 66 | -92 | -58% | 248 | 147 | -101 | -41% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 1 | 0 | -1 | -100% | 1 | 0 | -1 | -100% |
| Intersegment costs | 1,182 | 1,148 | -34 | -3% | 2,590 | 2,586 | -4 | 0% |
| Total costs | 1,373 | 1,242 | -131 | -10% | 2,902 | 2,783 | -119 | -4% |
| EBIT | 136 | 169 | 33 | 24% | 327 | 408 | 81 | 25% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 9% | 12% | 10% | 13% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 1 | 4 | 3 | 300% | 3 | 7 | 4 | 133% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 137 | 173 | 36 | 26% | 330 | 415 | 85 | 26% |
| Income tax expense | 38 | 53 | 15 | 39% | 96 | 122 | 26 | 27% |
| Profit for the period | 99 | 120 | 21 | 21% | 234 | 293 | 59 | 25% |
| €m | 2Q 2017 | 2Q 2018 | Var. | Var.% | 1H 2017 | 1H 2018 | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segment revenue | 371 | 361 | -10 | -2% | 698 | 685 | -13 | -2% |
| Intersegment revenue | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Total revenues | 371 | 361 | -10 | -3% | 698 | 685 | -13 | -2% |
| Personnel expenses | 9 | 10 | 1 | 11% | 18 | 20 | 2 | 11% |
| of which personnel expenses | 9 | 9 | 0 | n.s. | 18 | 19 | 1 | 6% |
| of which early retirement incentives | 0 | 1 | 0 | n.m. | 0 | 1 | 0 | n.s. |
| Other operating costs | 23 | 20 | -3 | -13% | 45 | 41 | -4 | -9% |
| Depreciation, amortisation and impairments | 5 | 4 | -1 | -20% | 9 | 8 | -1 | -11% |
| Intersegment costs | 129 | 111 | -18 | -14% | 276 | 256 | -20 | -7% |
| Total costs | 166 | 145 | -21 | -13% | 348 | 325 | -23 | -7% |
| EBIT | 205 | 216 | 11 | 5% | 350 | 360 | 10 | 3% |
| EBIT MARGIN | 55% | 60% | 50% | 53% | ||||
| Finance income/(costs) | 5 | 17 | 12 | n.s. | 17 | 29 | 12 | 71% |
| Profit/(Loss) before tax | 210 | 233 | 23 | 11% | 367 | 389 | 23 | 6% |
| Income tax expense | 74 | 77 | 4 | 4% | 134 | 138 | 5 | 3% |
| Profit for the period | 136 | 156 | 20 | 15% | 233 | 251 | 18 | 8% |
| OPERATIONAL KPI's | 2Q 2017 | 2Q 2018 | ∆% YoY | 1H 2017 | 1H 2018 | ∆% YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIL PARCELS & DISTRIBUTION |
Mail Volumes (#m) Parcels delivered by mailmen(#m) Parcel Volumes (#m) B2C Revenues (€m) |
789 6 27 52 |
759 9 30 66 |
-3.8% +43.9% +11.1% +26.0% |
1,627 13 55 106 |
1,572 19 59 129 |
-3.4% 47.3% 7.3% 21.7% |
| PAYMENTS, MOBILE & DIGITAL |
PostePay cards (#m) of which PostePay Evolution cards (#m) Total payment cards transactions (#bn) of which eCommerce transactions (#m) PosteMobile new products (#m) Digital e-Wallets (#m) |
17.1 4.0 0.22 38.1 0.280 1.2 |
18.6 5.4 0.27 43.5 0.307 2.2 |
+8.8% +35.0% +29.4% +14.2% +9.6% +83.3% |
17.1 4.0 0.44 77.8 0.569 1.2 |
18.6 5.4 0.55 93.2 0.598 2.2 |
8.8% 35.0% 27.1% 19.2% 5.1% 83.3% |
| FINANCIAL SERVICES |
Total Financial Assets - TFAs (€/bn) Product Sales (#m) Fees per client¹ (€) Unrealized gains (€m) |
501 2.0 60 1,424 |
510 2.0 61 -1,291 |
+1.8% -1.0% 1.7% n.m. |
501 3.9 115 1,424 |
510 4.2 119 -1,291 |
1.8% 7.7% 3.5% n.m. |
| INSURANCE SERVICES |
Gross Written Premiums (€m) GWP – Life (€m) GWP – Private Pension Plan (€m) GWP – P&C (€m) |
5,196 4,933 229 33 |
3,576 3,290 238 48 |
-31.2% -33.3% +3.7% +44.2% |
11,131 10,570 487 73 |
8,912 8,305 510 96 |
-19.9% -21.4% 4.7% 31.5% |
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Tiziano Ceccarani, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.
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