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Poste Italiane

Earnings Release Aug 2, 2018

4431_ip_2018-08-02_4b79ef13-0b00-4246-8c1b-7357ede4d8c2.pdf

Earnings Release

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POSTE ITALIANE 2Q 2018 FINANCIAL RESULTS

Rome, 2 August, 2018

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

BUSINESS REVIEW

CLOSING REMARKS

Q&A

Net profit at 250m in 2Q 2018, or 735m in 1H 2018 up +44% YoY

All business units focusing on Deliver 2022 implementation

Leverage of commercial distribution already bearing fruits

Significantly improved product offering for our customers

Efficiencies achieved across all segments

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Excludes net capital gains on investment portfolio, early retirement incentives and real estate funds provisions.

OPERATING PROFITABILITY PROGRESSION

EBIT up, mainly supported by Mail, Parcel & Distribution Underlying operating profitability improving across all business units

€ m unless otherwise stated

DELIVER 2022 – PROGRESS UPDATE

All business units focusing on Deliver 2022 implementation

MAIL, PARCEL AND DISTRIBUTION KEY INITIATIVES

Deliver 2022 ongoing implementation

JOINT DELIVERY MODEL

  • Execution started April 16th
  • 226 delivery centres implemented the new model (65% target)
  • More than 1,700 municipalities already reorganized
  • Flawless execution on track with plan
Large Metro areas
(8% of pop., 600 daily items/
km2)
Urban areas
(68% of pop., 80 daily items/
km2)
Rural/ regulated areas
(24% of pop., 10 daily items/
km2)

Daily morning delivery
(standard mail)
Alternate day morning •
delivery (standard mail)
Alternate day delivery

Daily
additional
afternoon delivery
(parcels and registered)
Daily
additional
afternoon delivery
(parcels and registered)

delivery
Weekend
Weekend
delivery

Mail & Parcel • E-commerce agreement with FIT'1 POS for parcels and ecommerce services • Network transformation and business reinforcing ongoing • Offer innovative/ premium services across Italy (evening and Sunday deliveries) • Offer competitive and efficient services leveraging on Joint LATEST AGREEMENTS SIGNED PARTNER KEY ITEMS RATIONALE Further strengthen Poste Italiane's positioning to Enhance customer access to an enlarged postal network, by offering an extended reach and choice of options

Delivery Model, proprietary cargo airline and express

courier SDA

Parcel

  1. Federazione Italiana Tabaccai, association of licensed Italian tobacconists offering a range of services.

participate in ecommerce growth

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

BUSINESS REVIEW

CLOSING REMARKS

Q&A

MAIL, PARCEL & DISTRIBUTION ONGOING REFOCUS IN LINE WITH PLAN

Parcel revenues mitigating mail slowdown, profitability supported by efficiencies

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes Philately, Patenti Via Poste, Poste Motori, Mistral Air and other revenues; 2. Includes income received from Other Segments in return for use of the distribution network and Corporate Services.

MAIL, PARCEL & DISTRIBUTION ONGOING REFOCUS

Continued shift from Mail to Parcels with B2C +40% in 1H 2018 including packets

  1. Includes: Multichannel services, Editorial services and Postel volumes; 2. Includes: International parcels and partnership with other logistic operators.

AVERAGE PRICE INDEX (base 100) Other2 8 8 13 16 1 5 1 5 2Q 2017 2Q 2018 27 30 0% +23% 0% 0% 100 97 2Q 2017 2Q 2018 +11.1% 100 96 1H 2017 1H 2018 15 15 26 32 3 11 3 9 1H 2017 1H 2018 55 59 0% +23% 0% -18% +4 +7.3%

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Mail volumes decrease mainly related to lower margins products (e.g. direct marketing), while average prices increase in 1H 2018 thanks to positive volume mix
  • Parcel volumes boosted by 23% increase from B2C
  • Including international packets booked in Mail, total parcel volumes up 16% and B2C volumes up 40% in 1H 2018; excluding international packets, mail volumes down 4% in 1H 2018

CONTINUED GROWTH IN PAYMENTS, MOBILE & DIGITAL

Strong progression of revenues and operating profitability

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes fees from 'bollettino' cashed-in, tax payments slips and money transfer.

GROWTH IN PAYMENTS, MOBILE & DIGITAL

Confirmed positive trends of commercial KPIs across all business lines

  1. An innovative electronic tool associated to a single customer, which is enabled through a mobile app to authorize payment transactions.

POSTE ITALIANE DIGITAL FOOTPRINT

Robust growth in digital use

REGISTERED ONLINE USERS STOCK

GROWTH IN CONSUMER FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS

# m

GROWTH IN TRACK&TRACE SEARCHES3

FINANCIAL SERVICES IMPROVING IN LINE WITH PLAN

Sustainable revenues mitigating lower capital gains

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes revenues from electronic money services, fees for collection and payment services; 2. Includes revenues from custody accounts, credit cards, other revenues from distribution of third parties products. Comparable 2017 figures, adjusted for IFRS 15 and MCC-BdM disposal, are equal to 48 € /m for 2Q and 100 € /m for 1H; 3. Gross capital gains netted by minus; 4. Based on adjusted revenues from capital gains, IFRS 15 effect and MCC-BdM.

GROUP TOTAL FINANCIAL ASSETS CONTINUED INCREASE

Positive net inflows driven by life insurance, deposits and mutual funds

€ bn unless otherwise stated

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Total financial assets increased by 4bn in 1H vs Dec-2017, with positive net inflows of 4.4bn:
  • Postal savings negative net inflows significantly improving, thanks to new commercial initiatives, while maintaining positive inflows for all other products
  • Insurance products 4.9bn of which 0.4bn unit linked and multiasset Class III
  • Deposits 3.7bn supported by Public Administration accounts and resilient retail base
  • Mutual funds 0.3bn supported by successful distribution agreements

  • Deposits do not include Repo and Poste Italiane liquidity.

POSTAL SAVINGS IMPROVING, IN LINE WITH PLAN

Net flows improving and well positioned for a seasonal pick up in 2H 2018

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Average postal savings reported according to the remuneration scheme agreed with CDP, which excludes interests accrued year-to-date and based on a maturity of postal saving books adjusted for an estimate of potential early redemptions.

CURRENT ACCOUNTS AVERAGE VOLUMES AT A SOUND 58.0BN

Interest income up thanks to higher volumes offsetting lower yields

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes current accounts, time deposits and repurchase agreements. Not including Poste Italiane's liquidity; 2. Entirely invested in floating rate deposits c/o MEF; 3. Includes business current accounts, PostePay business and other customers debt ; 4. Average yield calculated as interest income and realised net capital gains on average total financial assets; 5. Excludes derivatives.

ASSET MANAGEMENT PROGRESSING

Class III and new products supporting assets under management and fee generation

€ m unless otherwise stated

EoP ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT EVOLUTION

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Net inflows of mutual funds +0.3bn in 1H 2018, growing at a faster pace than the market thanks to the launch of new successful products
  • Net inflows of class III and Unit linked products strongly up, in line with Deliver 2022 guidelines
  • Running management fees increasing YoY faster than the assets under management

LOANS AND MORTGAGES: STRONGLY IMPROVED OFFER TO CUSTOMERS

Volumes and revenues strongly up thanks to commercial focus

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Adjusted revenues refers to the restatement of 2017 revenues according to the accounting principle IFRS 15 (adopted from 1Q 2018) and netted from MCC-BdM.

INSURANCE SERVICES OPERATING RESULTS IN LINE WITH DELIVER 2022

Ongoing rebalance from traditional life to Private Pension Plan and P&C

€ m unless otherwise stated

INSURANCE GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUMS MIX UPGRADING

Changing mix within life products, higher GWP from Private Pension Plan and P&C

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes Life Protection.

SOLID NET INFLOWS SUPPORTING HIGHER NET TECHNICAL PROVISIONS

Positive net inflows in 1H 2018, more than offsetting lower unrealised gains related to weak market conditions

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes non-life technical reserves and net of re-insurance reserves; 2. Includes Life Protection; 3. Includes interests, upfront fees and other minor items.

POSTEVITA GROUP: SOLID SOLVENCY RATIO

More stable solvency ratio after the impact of market volatility in 2Q 2018

€ m unless otherwise stated

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Solvency ratio continued to be solid and above risk tolerance levels
  • Solvency II ratio at 185% in Jun-18, mainly due to market volatility in 2Q 2018
  • More stable solvency ratio: reduced sensitivity to Government spread thanks to increase of the volatility adjustment

  • Includes impacts from underwriting risk, operational risk and diversification

GROUP COSTS DOWN Continued cost discipline confirming Deliver 2022 trajectory

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes other expenses from financial activities, capitalised costs and expenses, and other other operating costs; 2. Excluding BdM-MCC (18 €/m in 2Q 2017 and 33 €/m in 1H 2017); real estate funds provisions (59 €/m in 2Q 2017, 17 €/m in 2Q 2018, 65 €/m in 1H 2017 and 17 €/m in 1H 2018) and provision for the early repayment of financial products (6 €/m in 2Q 2017 and 12 €/m in 1H 2017).

HR COSTS DOWN THANKS TO MAIL, PARCEL & DISTRIBUTION RE-ORGANIZATION

Confirmed track record to manage reduction of headcounts

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • HR costs per FTE at 41.8 thousand, in line with 2018 target
  • Average FTE reduction of c.2,700 YoY, in line with last 3 years
  • Labour costs/FTE benefitting from non-recurring items, costs in line with FY 2018 target

MAIL, PARCEL & DISTRIBUTION NET CASH POSITION

Seasonal trend affecting net cash position

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Cash-out for the capital increase in Anima.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

BUSINESS REVIEW

CLOSING REMARKS

Q&A

Strong 1H 2018 net profit thanks to improved operating results

Renewed commercial focus supporting sustainable profitability

Cost discipline measures under way

Deliver 2022 well on track, with all business units focused on execution

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

BUSINESS REVIEW

CLOSING REMARKS

Q&A

APPENDIX

BANCOPOSTA: AN ASSET GATHERER, WITH A LOW RISK BALANCE SHEET

Solid capital ratios including the already announced capital increase1

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Capital increase of 210 €/m to be approved by the AGM on 29 May as already announced; 2. 10.50% Min. CET1 ratio required to distribute earnings (transitionally reduced to 9.25% in 2017 and 9.875% in 2018).

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes Life Protection

Net inflows from mutual funds, unit linked and multiasset Class III insurance products

€ m unless otherwise stated

INSURANCE SERVICES: BREAKDOWN OF PORTFOLIO

Details on portfolio and sensitivity

INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO DURATION

Jun-17 Dec-17 Jun-18 Var. YoY
Unrealised
gains (€/m)
7,666 8,225 3,340 -4,325
Minimum guaranteed
return (Class I) (%)
0.93% 0.88% 0.84% -9bps
Class I return (%) 2.93% 3.03% 2.76% -17bps
  1. Includes also liquidity, UCITS funds and shares with ≤5yrs duration.

INSURANCE GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUMS MIX UPGRADING

Changing mix within life products, higher GWP from Private Pension Plan and P&C

€ m unless otherwise stated

  1. Includes Life Protection
€m 2Q 2017 2Q 2018 Var. Var.% 1H 2017 1H 2018 Var. Var.%
Total revenues 2,665 2,545 -120 -5% 5,498 5,429 -69 -1%
of which:
Mail, Parcel and Distribution 898 863 -35 -4% 1,812 1,761 -51 -3%
Payments, Mobile and Digital 148 164 16 11% 278 307 29 10%
Financial Services 1,248 1,157 -91 -7% 2,710 2,676 -34 -1%
Insurance Services 371 361 -10 -3% 698 685 -13 -2%
Total costs 2,344 2,195 -149 -6% 4,651 4,376 -275 -6%
of which:
Total personnel expenses 1,454 1,416 -38 -3% 2,934 2,846 -88 -3%
of which personnel expenses 1,452 1,403 -49 -3% 2,930 2,827 -103 -4%
of which early retirement incentives 2 13 11 n.m. 4 19 15 375%
Other operating costs 751 639 -112 -15% 1,436 1,258 -178 -12%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 139 140 1 1% 281 272 -9 -3%
EBIT 321 350 29 9% 847 1,053 206 24%
EBIT Margin 12% 14% 15% 19%
Finance income/(costs) and profit/(loss) on investments accounted for
using the equity method
-81 14 95 117% -75 22 97 -129%
Profit before tax 240 364 124 52% 772 1,075 303 39%
Income tax expense 81 114 33 41% 262 340 78 30%
Profit for the period 159 250 91 57% 510 735 225 44%

MAIL, PARCEL & DISTRIBUTION PROFIT & LOSS

€m 2Q 2017 2Q 2018 Var. Var.% 1H 2017 1H 2018 Var. Var.%
Segment revenue 898 863 -35 -4% 1,812 1,761 -51 -3%
Intersegment revenue 1,119 1,086 -33 -3% 2,453 2,455 2 0%
Total revenues 2,017 1,949 -68 -3% 4,265 4,216 -49 -1%
Personnel expenses 1,406 1,370 -36 -3% 2,838 2,760 -78 -3%
of which personnel expenses 1,406 1,364 -42 -3% 2,837 2,749 -88 -3%
of which early retirement incentives 0 6 6 n.m. 1 11 10 n.m.
Other operating costs 524 508 -16 -3% 1,058 985 -73 -7%
Intersegment costs 19 20 1 5% 34 35 1 3%
Total costs 1,949 1,898 -51 -3% 3,930 3,780 -150 -4%
EBITDA 68 51 -17 -25% 335 436 101 30%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 128 130 2 2% 260 252 -8 -3%
EBIT -60 -79 -19 -32% 75 184 109 145%
EBIT MARGIN -3% -4% 2% 4%
Finance income/(costs) -89 -6 83 93% -97 -14 83 86%
Profit/(Loss) before tax -149 -85 64 43% -22 170 192 n.m.
Income tax expense -42 -25 17 40% 5 56 51 n.m.
Profit for the period -107 -60 47 44% -27 114 141 n.m.

PAYMENTS, MOBILE & DIGITAL PROFIT & LOSS

€m 2Q 2017 2Q 2018 Var. Var.% 1H 2017 1H 2018 Var. Var.%
Segment revenue 148 164 16 11% 278 307 29 10%
Intersegment revenue 82 83 1 1% 168 165 -3 -2%
Total revenues 230 247 17 7% 446 472 26 6%
Personnel expenses 7 8 1 14% 15 16 1 7%
of which personnel expenses 7 8 1 14% 15 16 1 6%
of which early retirement incentives 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0%
Other operating costs 46 45 -1 -2% 85 85 0 0%
Intersegment costs 132 144 12 9% 240 258 18 8%
Total costs 185 197 12 6% 340 359 19 6%
EBITDA 45 50 5 11% 106 113 7 7%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 5 6 1 20% 11 12 1 9%
EBIT 40 44 4 10% 95 101 6 6%
EBIT MARGIN 17% 18% 21% 21%
Finance income/(costs) 2 -1 -3 -138% 2 0 -2 -88%
Profit/(Loss) before tax 42 43 1 2% 97 101 4 4%
Income tax expense 11 9 -2 -18% 27 24 -3 -11%
Profit for the period 31 34 3 10% 70 77 7 10%
€m 2Q 2017 2Q 2018 Var. Var.% 1H 2017 1H 2018 Var. Var.%
Segment revenue 1,248 1,157 -91 -7% 2,710 2,676 -34 -1%
Intersegment revenue 261 254 -7 -3% 519 515 -4 -1%
Total revenues 1,509 1,411 -98 -6% 3,229 3,191 -38 -1%
Personnel expenses 32 28 -4 -13% 63 50 -13 -21%
of which personnel expenses 30 22 -8 -27% 60 43 -17 -28%
of which early retirement incentives 2 6 4 215% 3 7 4 143%
Other operating costs 158 66 -92 -58% 248 147 -101 -41%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 1 0 -1 -100% 1 0 -1 -100%
Intersegment costs 1,182 1,148 -34 -3% 2,590 2,586 -4 0%
Total costs 1,373 1,242 -131 -10% 2,902 2,783 -119 -4%
EBIT 136 169 33 24% 327 408 81 25%
EBIT MARGIN 9% 12% 10% 13%
Finance income/(costs) 1 4 3 300% 3 7 4 133%
Profit/(Loss) before tax 137 173 36 26% 330 415 85 26%
Income tax expense 38 53 15 39% 96 122 26 27%
Profit for the period 99 120 21 21% 234 293 59 25%

INSURANCE SERVICES PROFIT & LOSS

€m 2Q 2017 2Q 2018 Var. Var.% 1H 2017 1H 2018 Var. Var.%
Segment revenue 371 361 -10 -2% 698 685 -13 -2%
Intersegment revenue 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0%
Total revenues 371 361 -10 -3% 698 685 -13 -2%
Personnel expenses 9 10 1 11% 18 20 2 11%
of which personnel expenses 9 9 0 n.s. 18 19 1 6%
of which early retirement incentives 0 1 0 n.m. 0 1 0 n.s.
Other operating costs 23 20 -3 -13% 45 41 -4 -9%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments 5 4 -1 -20% 9 8 -1 -11%
Intersegment costs 129 111 -18 -14% 276 256 -20 -7%
Total costs 166 145 -21 -13% 348 325 -23 -7%
EBIT 205 216 11 5% 350 360 10 3%
EBIT MARGIN 55% 60% 50% 53%
Finance income/(costs) 5 17 12 n.s. 17 29 12 71%
Profit/(Loss) before tax 210 233 23 11% 367 389 23 6%
Income tax expense 74 77 4 4% 134 138 5 3%
Profit for the period 136 156 20 15% 233 251 18 8%
OPERATIONAL KPI's 2Q 2017 2Q 2018 ∆% YoY 1H 2017 1H 2018 ∆% YoY
MAIL PARCELS &
DISTRIBUTION
Mail Volumes
(#m)
Parcels delivered by mailmen(#m)
Parcel
Volumes
(#m)
B2C Revenues
(€m)
789
6
27
52
759
9
30
66
-3.8%
+43.9%
+11.1%
+26.0%
1,627
13
55
106
1,572
19
59
129
-3.4%
47.3%
7.3%
21.7%
PAYMENTS,
MOBILE & DIGITAL
PostePay
cards
(#m)
of which PostePay
Evolution cards (#m)
Total payment
cards
transactions
(#bn)
of which eCommerce
transactions (#m)
PosteMobile
new products
(#m)
Digital e-Wallets
(#m)
17.1
4.0
0.22
38.1
0.280
1.2
18.6
5.4
0.27
43.5
0.307
2.2
+8.8%
+35.0%
+29.4%
+14.2%
+9.6%
+83.3%
17.1
4.0
0.44
77.8
0.569
1.2
18.6
5.4
0.55
93.2
0.598
2.2
8.8%
35.0%
27.1%
19.2%
5.1%
83.3%
FINANCIAL
SERVICES
Total Financial Assets
-
TFAs
(€/bn)
Product Sales (#m)
Fees
per client¹ (€)
Unrealized
gains
(€m)
501
2.0
60
1,424
510
2.0
61
-1,291
+1.8%
-1.0%
1.7%
n.m.
501
3.9
115
1,424
510
4.2
119
-1,291
1.8%
7.7%
3.5%
n.m.
INSURANCE
SERVICES
Gross
Written
Premiums
(€m)
GWP –
Life (€m)
GWP –
Private Pension
Plan (€m)
GWP –
P&C (€m)
5,196
4,933
229
33
3,576
3,290
238
48
-31.2%
-33.3%
+3.7%
+44.2%
11,131
10,570
487
73
8,912
8,305
510
96
-19.9%
-21.4%
4.7%
31.5%
  1. Segment revenue financial + insurance, excluding interest income, per client, excluding lower mass segment

DISCLAIMER

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Tiziano Ceccarani, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.

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